City Beat: Sydney unit market insights for March

Sydney unit values continued their upward trajectory over March, posting the strongest gains of any capital city across the country.

Following the end of the downturn over February when values rose 0.3 per cent, March saw increasingly improved value rise, up one per cent. That made unit values flat over the quarter.

Annually unit values are down -8.7 per cent, to a new median of $776,780. Hosue values across Sydney also posted gains (1.5 per cent). Their median is now $1.23 million, down -13.3 per cent annually.

Colliers Director Ian Bennett says the price gaps shows how much room there is to grow in the apartment market.

"The traditional price gap between existing houses and apartments sits at around 40 per cent, with the number currently at around 70 per cent this year. At one point in 2022 it sat at 100 per cent, but there is still a very long way to go to get close to any normal levels.

"This in turn shows how much room there is to grow in the apartment market.

"Our experience this year has shown the bottom of the market seemed to be at the end of 2022, with statistics revealing our three-bedroom stock increasing in value in the last 3 months by 14 per cent.

"The price growth achieved over the last three years increased dramatically, giving owners large equity within their homes. This made it less likely for owners to want to reduce pricing or sell at a loss, putting more pressure on the supply.

"People who purchased three years ago are still better off than they were even after the loss of the last 10 months by at least 15 per cent from when they purchased."

Ray White Projects Western Sydney Managing Director Mark Bernberg saw strong demand continue through March, consistent with the whole of the first quarter of 2023.

"Lead generation has been strong," Bernberg says, although says what isn't changing is buyers' appetite to buy.

"There’s no urgency in the market and people are still not sure what their borrowing capacity will be.

"The RBA needs to get the cash rate to the peak, and quickly, so buyers can have confidence in what they can spend and what their repayments will be."

Bernberg says Labor raising the stamp duty concessional rate to $800,000 was also a strong move for the market.

Across the country, values were up 0.6 per cent in March, the first rise since April 2022.

Dwelling values were higher across the four largest capital cities and most of the broad ‘rest-of-state’ regions, led by a 1.4 per cent gain in Sydney. The lift in housing values has been most evident across the upper quartile of Sydney’s housing market, CoreLogic note.

House values within the most expensive quarter of Sydney’s market were up two per cent in March and the upper quartile of the Sydney unit market was 1.4 per cent higher over the month.

“Sydney upper quartile house values fell by -17.4% from their peak in January 2022 to a recent low in January 2023, the largest drop from the market peak of any capital city market segment."

CoreLogic’s Research Director, Tim Lawless, put the rise down to a combination of low advertised stock levels, extremely tight rental conditions and additional demand from overseas migration.

“Although interest rates are high and there is an expectation the economy will slow through the year, it’s clear other factors are now placing upwards pressure on home prices,” Lawless said.

“Advertised supply has been below average since September last year, with capital city listing numbers ending March almost -20% below the previous five-year average. Purchasing activity has also fallen but not as much as available supply; capital city sales activity was estimated to be roughly -7% below the previous five-year average through the March quarter.

“With rental markets this tight, it’s likely we are seeing some spillover from renting into purchasing, although, with mortgage rates so high, not everyone who wants to buy will be able to qualify for a loan. Similarly, with net overseas migration at record levels and rising, there is a chance more permanent or long-term migrants who can afford to, will skip the rental phase and fast track a home purchase simply because they can’t find rental accommodation.”

Read more: City Beat: Sydney unit market insights for February