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EXPERT OBSERVER 
The number of dwelling starts (commencements) fell by 16.3 per cent in the December quarter to 46,706 dwellings after falling by 3.8 per cent in the September quarter. 
House starts fell by 7.6 per cent in the December quarter and apartment starts fell by 26.8 per cent. 
Work started on 221,606 new dwellings over the 12 months to December, up 2.4 per cent on the year, but fell from the record high of 234,179 dwellings in the year to December 2016. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/11/CMSC%201.JPG" alt="">
Across Australia, starts in the December quarter fell in seven states/territories: NSW (down by 15.6 per cent); Victoria (down by 10.5 per cent); Queensland (down by 29.7 per cent); South Australia (down by 4.5 per cent); Western Australia (up by 14.9 per cent); Tasmania (up by 3.9 per cent); Northern Territory (down by 24.6 per cent); and the ACT (down by 53.1 per cent).
In the year to December, dwelling starts were higher than the decade average in all of the states &amp; territories except for the Northern Territory (down 53.9 per cent), and Western Australia (down 30.8 per cent). Starts in NSW were 43.2 per cent above the decade average. Next highest was the ACT where starts were up by 42.7 above the decade average with Victoria up 22.5 per cent; Queensland up 12.4 per cent; Tasmania up 12.0 per cent; and South Australia up 8.5 per cent. \
In the December quarter $72.9 billion of residential and commercial building work was yet to be done (completed), up 5.6 per cent on a year ago. 
The value of residential and commercial building work in the pipeline stood at $94.9 billion at the end of December, down by 0.7 per cent on a year ago but down from a record $99 billion at the end of June.
Across Australia, 216,948 homes are being built, down from a record 230,573 homes in March.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/11/CMSC%203.JPG" alt="">
Consumer confidence 
The Westpac/Melbourne Institute survey of consumer sentiment index rose by 1.9 per cent to 100.7 in April. But the sentiment index is below its long-term average of 101.3 and down 1.7 per cent over the year to April. A reading above 100 denotes optimism. The survey of 1,200 people was conducted from April 1-5. 
The current conditions index fell by 3.2 per cent, but the expectations index rose by 5.4 per cent. 
Three of the five components of the index rose in April: 
The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago fell by 5.0 per cent to 80.2;
The estimate of family finances over the next year rose by 4.1 per cent to 105.6;
Economic conditions over the next 12 months rose by 6.2 per cent to 101.8; 
Economic conditions over the next 5 years rose by 5.9 per cent to 100.2;
The measure on whether it was a good time to buy a major household item fell by 2.0 per cent to 115.5. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/11/CMSC%202.JPG" alt="">
Housing outlook: A good time to buy a dwelling? The index rose by 2.4 per cent to 119.4, and was up 14.9 per cent on the year. House price expectations rose by 11.9 per cent to 95.6, but were down by 26.5 per cent on a year ago. 
Unemployment expectations: Unemployment expectations fell by 2.5 per cent to 127.4 in April to be up by just 1.4 per cent over the year.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors? 
Council approvals to build new homes may have eased from record levels, but there is still plenty of work to be done over the next year. Dwelling starts in ‘boom’ state of Tasmania are particularly strong. At the other end of the spectrum, building in the ‘Top End’ is at record lows due to weak population growth. 
And it’s not all ‘doom and gloom’ for building materials’ companies. In fact, the growing pipeline of public transport-related infrastructure projects could ‘fill the gap’ for residential builders, while boosting demand for building products. If re-elected, the Federal government has committed to $100 billion worth of rail, roads and other transport projects over a 10-year period. 
Consumer spending and the jobs market are both key to the interest rate outlook. Spending at supermarkets and on food have both been solid. As the Easter holidays approach, retailers will be hoping that Aussies feel chipper about their tax cuts. That said, it appears the reaction from low income earners has been fairly muted.
CommSec expects interest rates to be unchanged for the foreseeable future. But the loss of momentum across global economies means central banks are skewed to more accommodative monetary policies.
RYAN FELSMAN is a Senior Economist for CommSec
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Home building hits three year low: CommSec's Ryan Felsman

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The ANZ-Property Council Survey for the June quarter shows a further decline in sentiment in Australia’s property sector. 
Confidence has hit a new low and is now at the lowest level since the survey began in 2011.
Residential property continues to lead the fall in overall sentiment.
Nearly all the key residential indicators declined further in the June quarter, with sentiment, prices and construction all reaching fresh lows. 
"Importantly though, the outlook for credit availability improved, tentatively suggesting that the housing sector is reaching an inflexion point," it noted.
The largest decline in confidence came in New South Wales, which is consistent with the fact that Sydney has seen the most marked weakness in house prices.
 Not far behind was Victoria, while Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia saw more moderate declines. 
But ANZ Head of Australian Economics, David Plank, commented that the most important aspect of the latest ANZ-PCA property survey could be the improvement in the availability of finance.
"It was a modest improvement in this part of the survey in mid-2017 that signalled greater stability in the housing market later that year and in early 2018.
"Finance availability then deteriorated sharply, continuing to fall through the rest of 2018 and into 2019.
"We think this deterioration was the trigger for the renewed house price weakness in Sydney and Melbourne from that point.
"The turn in finance availability captured in this survey could signal a turn in the market.
"Certainly it suggests we may be past the worst of the downturn in building approvals.
"We need to be cautious, though, about the outlook."
He added finance is still difficult to get, and sentiment in the residential property space is very negative.
"This primarily reflects the price outlook, which has fallen further in New South Wales and Victoria.
"Sentiment does tend to lead rather than follow prices, however, certainly over the past few years.
"We think the continued downturn in price sentiment reflects recent developments rather than indicating a deterioration in the outlook.
"The shift in expectations with regard to interest rates may help the outlook.
"Still, we expect further declines in house prices this year."
Outside residential, sentiment is much better. It has, however, declined from its recent peak across most sectors. Sentiment in the retail sector is especiallysoft, which is not surprising.”
Sentiment declined in the commercial space as well, although it remains much more positive than is the case for residential. 
Declines in confidence were seen in all segments (retail, tourism, office) except industrial. 
It noted forward work schedules have declined, but remain elevated, reflecting the fact that the amount of work in the pipeline remains substantial but is past the peak. Consistent with the decline in the construction outlook, hiring intentions have also come down.
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NSW sees biggest fall in confidence in property outlook

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The Sydney based property tycoon Lang Walker has abandoned plans to build a $400 million office tower in Brisbane’s Fortitude Valley.
Fund manager EG has bought the site at 801 Ann Street from Walker Corporation for $27.72 million.
Walker paid $22.2 million in 2015.
Designed by COX Architecture, the proposed tower (above and below) consisted of 46,659 sqm of gross floor area (commercial and retail).
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/11/Ann-St3.jpg" alt="">
Walker general manager for Queensland development Peter Saba had previously believed the tower would raise the bar for commercial property.
A previous development application was lodged for the site by Walker Corporation in December 2014 which consisted of two 19 and 23 storey residential towers.
In mid-2017 Saba said the slowdown in the inner-city high-rise residential market due to oversupply had been behind the decision to scrap the residential towers plan.
"The outlook for the commercial property sector is brighter," Mr Saba said at the time.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/11/Ann-St2.jpg" alt="">
The asset will be acquired for the Yield Plus Infrastructure No.2 fund which was launched in August 2016 with a $750 million real estate mandate. 
Ann Street, Fortitude Valley is the 8th asset to join the fund which has now acquired approximately $330 million of assets across Australia. The fund strategy is to acquire yield producing real estate with repositioning potential, near new or upgraded infrastructure.  The transaction was brokered off market by Seb Turnbull of JLL Brisbane.
EG associate director capital transactions, Sean Fleming noted the island site allowed "a number of opportunities to enhance the value of the asset over the long term." 
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Backflipping tycoon Lang Walker finally quits Brisbane’s Fortitude Valley

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The shadow treasurer, Chris Bowen has defended the accuracy of his costings of the opposition’s signature negative gearing reform. 
It follows reports in the Australian Financial Review and the Australian questioning whether the policy was based on accurate numbers on the extent of new home acquisitions by investors.
Labor has said it would remove negative gearing for people who <a href="/news/labor-sets-january-1-2020-start-date-for-its-cgt-and-negative-gearing-policy-implementation">purchase existing properties from 1 January 2020</a> and halve the capital gains tax discount for properties bought after the same date – measures expected to raise $2.9bn over four years or $35.1bn over 10.
Bowen said in February the Grattan Institute had stated that “around 90% of investment lending is for existing housing”, implying that 10% is for new housing – a figure he has stated publicly for three years.
Bowen angrily rejected the reported black hole, arguing that his public statements about the current rate of investment loans for new housing were designed to show the policy rationale of negative gearing to stimulate new housing had failed but the figures used in costing the policy were “quite separate”.
Bowen revealed the PBO had originally calculated that 12% of negatively geared dwellings would be new properties, which they had now updated to 22% in the first year, rising over time.
The PBO had reached a “prudent assumption” based on “the best evidence available to them”, including Australian Bureau of Statistics data but supplemented by “unpublished data” from the Reserve Bank and big four banks.
“We have the most rigorous costings process of any opposition, ever,” he said. “The PBO stands by their costings and I stand by the PBO.”
Bowen said Labor would provide full costings of its revenue measures “in good time during the election campaign”. 
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Shadow treasurer Chris Bowen defends negative gearing data assumptions

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The majority of Australian voters do not understand Labor’s proposed changes to capital gains tax and negative gearing, according to a report released by the Housing Industry Association (HIA) this week.
The report, based on polling by JWS Research, also showed that the majority of people 74% want a proper review before any changes take place.
"HIA has always said that changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax for housing are bad policy," HIA Managing Director, Graham Wolfe said.
"This research confirms how unpopular these changes are across all political persuasions.
"Twice as many voters oppose these changes than support them.
"This report shows that many Australians have little understanding of how Labor’s changes would affect them."
According to HIA's research, only 34% of Australians are aware of the proposed changes and understand it at some level, while others have no understanding.
52% of people believe rents will rise as a consequence of the changes. 
"With 92% of all renters aspiring to buy their own home, Labor’s proposed changes will weigh heavily on their savings’ plans," Wolfe said. 
"If these changes are made, rents will rise as supply dries up due to a lack of investment in new housing. This will make renting a home less affordable.
"If rents rise, renters saving for a deposit for their own home will take a backward step.
"These changes are anti-investment.
"They fail to recognise that private rental accommodation provides homes for almost three million families and reducing the supply of private rental homes will only lead to an increase in rents.
"We can’t solve the housing affordability challenge by taxing housing. This policy seeks to do just that.“
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Most Australians don't understand Labor's CGT and negative gearing policies: HIA report

 Decline in housing prices has led to slowing consumption: RBA's Guy Debelle

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An architecturally designed home situated over 1,081 square metres in Woolwich Peninsula is now on the market.
It has been offered by Tracey Dixon from McGrath Hunters Hill. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/12/hunt%203.jpg" alt="">
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/12/hunt%202.jpg" alt="">
Designed by Bobby Singh with Ian Halliday from BKH Architects, the brand new residence at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-hunters+hill-128325498" target="_blank">Hunters Hill </a>comes with formal lounge integrating home theatre and wet bar, living and dining flowing into harbour view entertainer's terrace, master suite and four other bedrooms. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/12/hunt%204.jpg" alt="">
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/12/hunt%205.jpg" alt="">
Additional features include skylit foyer with Italian marble, gymnasium, steam room, private garden with infinity edge swimming pool, five car garage plus Control4 home automation.
It's also close to Valencia Street Wharf, city buses and eateries. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/12/hunt%206.jpg" alt="">
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Brand new Hunters Hill trophy home on the market 

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Scotsburn, the grand Avoca estate in the Southern Highlands, has sold for a record $9.25 million.
It was offloaded by the Knox grazier family, who paid $8.1 million less than two years ago, an Avoca record.
It was bought by the Lai family, who are behind property giant Zone Q Investments, the Australian arm of China’s JiaHe JianAn Group.
They had been asking $8.9 million through Michael Maloney and Phillip Dwyer from Richardson &amp; Wrench Bowral.
It has been reported the 41 hectare property has been bought by the Chinese Lai family, the family behind Zone Q Investments, the Australian arm of China’s JiaHe JianAn Group.
Monitored by a 16 camera CCTV security system, the sprawling home, complete with five ensuited bedrooms and five living areas, has a mud room, library, billiard room with bar, 2000 bottle wine cellar and a home office.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/4/avoca%202.jpg" alt="">
In its own wing is a 20 metre heated indoor swimming pool, a gym and a sauna.
The mature landscaped grounds feature a championship all-weather tennis court, boules court, netted veggie garden and orchard
The 41 hectares include improved pastures suitable for cattle or horses, as well as cattle yards, a hay shed, six dams and two permanent springs.
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/4/avoca%203.jpg" alt="">
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Southern Highlands trophy home Scotsburn, Avoca sells for $9.25 million

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Scotsburn, an architectural home in Southern Highlands with panoramic district views, is on the market with a price guide of $8.9 million.
The 102-acre property has been offered by Michael Maloney and Phillip Dwyer from Richardson &amp; Wrench, Bowral.
Scotsburn at<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-lifestyle-nsw-avoca-7999486" target="_blank"> 60 Bresnahan Lane, Avoca</a> features five extra-large bedrooms, five living areas, gourmet kitchen, billiard room with bar, and home office.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/4/avoca%202.jpg" alt="">
The grand entry comes with wide foyer, soaring ceiling and double glazed window. 
Other features of Scotburn include mature landscaped grounds, heated indoor pool, all-weather tennis courts, and boules court. 
The property also includes in ground water tanks, three phase power, solar system, improved pastures six dams and permanent springs. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/4/avoca%203.jpg" alt="">
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Southern Highlands trophy home Scotsburn in Avoca listed for $8.9 million

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The federal government has just promised to increase spending on public hospitals from A$21.7 billion in 2018 to A$26.2 billion by 2023. Expect more hospital promises in coming weeks. There is a long history of parties at both state and federal level pledging new hospitals during election campaigns.
Building new hospitals may at first seem sensible, especially as the population grows. But it will not cure the health system’s most pressing ailment. Instead, <a href="https://bcec.edu.au/assets/2018/12/BCEC-To-Health-and-Happiness-Report.pdf" target="_blank">our research</a> shows it’s more effective to focus health policy on people and prevention.
A problem of demand
It is true that hospitals in Australia aren’t keeping up with demand. Though supply of beds has increased, the population is growing while also ageing. This is increasing demand for all health-care services, including hospital beds.
The following graph shows the change in the number of beds per 1,000 people in all states and territories since 2006. Only in the Australian Capital Territory has the ratio improved.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/264557/original/file-20190319-28496-ii13jb.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/264557/original/file-20190319-28496-ii13jb.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
Available hospital beds per 1000 population, by region, public hospitals (including psychiatric). <a class="source" href="https://bcec.edu.au/assets/2018/12/BCEC-To-Health-and-Happiness-Report.pdf" target="_blank">Bankwest Curtin Economic Centre | AIHA (various years), Australian hospital statistics, Health Services Series; AIHW (various years), hospital resources' Australian hospital statistics, Health services series.</a>
State and federal governments thus feel a lot of pressure to spend more on hospitals. In 2016-2017 it was <a href="https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports/health-welfare-expenditure/health-expenditure-australia-2016-17/contents/summary" target="_blank">$69 billion</a> Australia-wide – $2 billion more than the previous year. The following graph shows expenditure on public hospitals by state over the past two decades.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/264579/original/file-20190319-60956-6i0qhw.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/264579/original/file-20190319-60956-6i0qhw.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
Public hospital spending in each state since 1996. <a class="source" href="https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports/health-welfare-expenditure/health-expenditure-australia-2016-17/contents/data-visualisation" target="_blank">Australian Institute of Health and Welfare</a>, <a class="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">CC BY</a>
Queensland shows the greatest growth over the past two decades. In Western Australia, where we did our research, the proportion of government health budgets spent on public hospitals rose from 26% to 31%.
Preventive measures
We looked at why the hospital care is growing faster than the overall health sector, and what can be done about this.
Our conclusion: there needs to be more focus on the “unsexy” parts of the health-care system that treat people before they get sick enough to need a hospital. Prevention is cheaper and more effective than cure.
For example, it is estimated that A$9 million invested in <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18719075" target="_blank">anti-smoking campaigns</a> between 1997 and 2007 saved A$740 million on smoking-related illnesses like lung cancer.
Yet our breakdown of health spending in Western Australia shows just 1.7% is spent on preventive measures – called “public health spending”. Australia-wide the average percentage is even less, according to <a href="http://fare.org.au/wp-content/uploads/Preventive-health-How-much-does-Australia-spend-and-is-it-enough_FINAL.pdf" target="_blank">research</a> from La Trobe University and the Australian Preventative Partnership Centre.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/264563/original/file-20190319-28468-c37pcs.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/264563/original/file-20190319-28468-c37pcs.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
Breakdown of health care spending in WA. <a class="source" href="https://bcec.edu.au/assets/2018/12/BCEC-To-Health-and-Happiness-Report.pdf" target="_blank">Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre | Authors’ calculations from AIHW health expenditure database.</a>
Early medical attention is another way to reduce the need for hospitals. In analysing data from around Western Australia between 2009 and 2016, we generally found that increasing visits to general practitioners reduced the incidence of avoidable deaths (deaths that could have been avoided with better treatment or prevention).
People-centred approach
Limited prevention and early detection comes back to the way we fund health care. Australia’s health system is funded using a “<a href="https://beta.health.gov.au/resources/publications/australias-health-landscape-infographic" target="_blank">hospital-centred</a>” rather than “people-centred” approach.
This means hospitals are funded by the number of patients cared for and the type of procedures done. Hospital and GPs are funded separately. There is no incentive to cooperate and keep people out of hospitals.
A people-centred approach, on the other hand, would give funds based on patients’ health outcomes, rather than their particular treatments. GPs would be paid to manage patients, with the goal of keeping them out of hospital.
This system would particularly help people living in remote and rural regions, including Indigenous Australians, who are disadvantaged by the relative lack of resources being spent on local and preventive health.
The Canterbury model
<img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/268298/original/file-20190409-2905-15ie8ak.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=237&amp;fit=clip" alt="">
The Canterbury region in New Zealand. <a class="source" href="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c9/Position_of_Canterbury_Region.png" target="_blank">English Wiki</a>
The best example of such a people-centred system is New Zealand’s <a href="https://www.cdhb.health.nz/about-us/key-projects-and-initiatives/international-report-encourages-health-systems-to-learn-from-canterbury-dhb/" target="_blank">Canterbury model</a> – named after the Canterbury region on New Zealand’s South Island (which includes Christchurch).
Instead of separate budgets for GPs and hospitals, Canterbury created a “one system, one budget” approach. This led to new programs that weren’t possible under the old system. An example is <a href="https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/publications/quest-integrated-health-and-social-care" target="_blank">Healthpathways</a>, which brought together GPs and specialists to decide on treatement programs for individual patients.
In working to make hospitals the last resort, more time and resources have gone to GPs. There are now more 24-hour clinics, for example, making it easier to get treated by a local doctor when needed.
A <a href="https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/6/5/e010709" target="_blank">study of the Canterbury system</a> showed that between 2007 and 2014 the number of people being hospitalised declined from 6.59 to 5.83 per 1,000. While an 11% decline may not seem huge, it represents a significant financial saving, given the high cost of hospitalisation.
Canterbury shows what can be achieved by rethinking how health care funding works. Australia has the opportunity to reimagine its health care system in a similar way.
New hospitals get a lot of attention. Politicians can point to them as concrete evidence they’re doing something to help. But emphasising hospitals as the most important part of the health system comes at a cost, and will only get more so as the population ages.
It’s time to discuss alternatives. Putting more resources into prevention and people is the right medicine for our future health needs.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/111084/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
Steven Bond-Smith, Research Fellow, Bankwest-Curtin Economics Centre, Curtin University
Alan Duncan, Director, Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre and Bankwest Research Chair in Economic Policy, Curtin University
Astghik Mavisakalyan, Associate professor, Curtin University
Yashar Tarverdi, Research fellow, Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre, Curtin University
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/more-hospitals-will-not-cure-australias-ailing-health-care-system-theres-a-more-efficient-way-111084">original article</a>.
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More hospitals will not cure Australia’s ailing health-care system. There’s a more efficient way

For most new apartment buildings, the Owners Corporation starts life with little more than a bank account and the first quarterly strata levies.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/9-gay-street-castle-hill-9-gay-street-castle-hill-nsw-2154">9 Gay Street</a> in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/castle-hill-nsw-2154">Castle Hill</a>, it starts with around $7 million in reserve.

It's an unusual legacy of what was once one of Sydney's highest-profile apartment remediation projects. When the development, originally known as Skyview and built by disgraced developer Top Place, came under scrutiny by then NSW Building Commissioner David Chandler, an $11 million remediation bond was negotiated to ensure any building defects could be fully rectified.

The building underwent an 18-month remediation program, during which around $4 million of that bond was spent bringing the building up to the standard it should have been in from the outset.

After extensive inspections, all active rectification orders have been lifted. What's more, around $7.2 million remains secured for the Owners Corporation for the next 15 years.

In a twist few would have predicted, what began as a significant concern for purchasers has left the building with something almost unheard of in the apartment market: a multi-million-dollar financial reserve from day one.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=147685 project_image_fid=359136]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a> Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said the structure offers buyers a level of certainty that is difficult to replicate.

"The $11 million bond established for the Skyview Castle Hill development represents exceptional value, providing genuine financial security for purchasers," Huxley said.

"Unlike a standard insurance policy, this bond consists of real funds held in trust for the Owners Corporation, offering a tangible layer of protection and added peace of mind."

The apartments themselves have been designed with a focus on practical, contemporary living. Interiors feature Smeg appliances, stone benchtops, tiled living areas, carpeted bedrooms, 2.7-metre ceilings, floor-to-ceiling glazing, and ducted heating and cooling throughout.

Residents also have access to a range of shared amenities, including two rooftop barbecue areas, a swimming pool, children's playgrounds, secure building access, storage cages, and visitor parking.

The location continues to be one of the project's strongest drawcards. Castle Hill Metro Station sits virtually on the doorstep, providing direct connections across Sydney's expanding Metro network, while Castle Towers offers extensive retail, dining, entertainment, and service amenities within walking distance.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=147685 project_image_fid=359127]

The building, now named after its location at 9 Gay Street, comprises a diverse mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments starting from just under $600,000.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett said demand in the Hills District continues to be driven by buyers seeking convenience and connectivity.

"Interest from both owner-occupiers and investors in Castle Hill remains exceptionally strong, with buyers consistently prioritising developments in close proximity to the Metro station and Castle Towers Shopping Centre," Hamblett said.

"There is a clear trend in the market, with purchasers seeking convenient access to transport and lifestyle amenities that support a seamless, low-maintenance way of living."

On top of the long-term protection afforded by the remaining $7.2 million bond, Equitifund is offering a limited-time stamp duty rebate on selected apartments.

Eligible purchasers can also secure finance options, including a 3.99 per cent two-year variable rate, loan-to-value ratios of up to 90 per cent, and interest-only lending options through EquitiCredit.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=147685]

Joel Robinson

Why this Castle Hill apartment building starts with a $7 million advantage

For much of the past few years, conversations about Australia's property market have centred on the rapid growth seen in Sydney, Brisbane, Gold Coast, and Perth. <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melbourne-vic-3004">Melbourne</a> has followed a different trajectory.

That relative underperformance is now encouraging some buyers to reassess the city, particularly those willing to look beyond short-term market movements and focus on quality property in established locations, along with the long-term growth prospects of a city expected to overtake Sydney as Australia’s most populous.

John Bekiaris, Research &amp; Market Insights at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Projects by Equitifund</a>, said Melbourne's current position is attracting increasingly sophisticated purchasers.

"Melbourne continues to present one of Australia's strongest long-term investment stories," Bekiaris says.

"While other capital cities have experienced stronger recent growth, that relative underperformance is exactly what's attracting sophisticated counter-cyclical investors."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=1979 project_image_fid=363268]

Equitifund isn't just commenting on Melbourne's property market, it's investing in it.

The Sydney-headquartered capital partner has taken over the remaining apartments at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/victoriana-melbourne-20-queens-road-melbourne-vic-3004">Victoriana</a>, the recently completed glass-encased development opposite Albert Park Lake in Melbourne's tightly held St Kilda Road precinct.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a> and built by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/hickory">Hickory</a>, Victoriana places residents between one of Melbourne's most recognised parklands and the CBD, offering oversized two and three-bedroom apartments aimed at owner-occupiers seeking a genuine alternative to a traditional family home.

The development comprises 232 completed residences alongside a suite of resident amenities, including a 25-metre indoor swimming pool, gymnasium, landscaped entertaining areas, resident lounges, EV charging, secure basement parking and a concierge-style arrival experience.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=1979 project_image_fid=363229]

The apartments have been designed with owner-occupiers firmly in mind.&nbsp;Open-plan living and dining areas flow onto generous balconies framing views across Albert Park Lake, Fawkner Park, the Royal Botanic Gardens and the Melbourne skyline.

Kitchens feature Gaggenau appliances, stone benchtops and generous preparation space. Bedrooms include built-in robes, while bathrooms feature full-height textured tiling. Hardwood flooring and ducted air conditioning complete residences designed for long-term living.

Rothelowman's architecture takes its cues from the landscape opposite the site. Sweeping horizontal glazing references the movement of Albert Park Lake, while generous balconies and expansive glazing strengthen the connection between the apartments and the surrounding parklands. The result is a building designed to deliver the scale and amenity expected of luxury apartment living, while offering the larger floorplans increasingly sought by owner-occupiers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=1979 project_image_fid=363284]

The location is one of Victoriana's defining characteristics. Positioned on Queens Road, residents are directly opposite Albert Park Lake and within easy reach of Fawkner Park, the Royal Botanic Gardens, South Melbourne, St Kilda Road and the CBD. With few comparable development opportunities remaining in the precinct, buyers are increasingly placing value on outlooks that are unlikely to be interrupted by future construction.

Greg Huxley, Founder of Equitifund, believes those qualities become even more valuable over time.

"Premium real estate has always rewarded buyers who take a long-term view," Huxley said.

"Victoriana represents the kind of asset that's increasingly difficult to recreate today, particularly in an established location like Queens Road."

He said rising construction costs are also changing the way buyers assess completed developments.

"When you combine an irreplaceable location with thoughtful architecture and premium finishes, you create something that becomes increasingly difficult to reproduce as construction costs continue to rise."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=1979 project_image_fid=363228]

According to National Sales Director Ben Hamblett, enquiry has been driven largely by Melbourne downsizers and buyers upgrading from smaller apartments.

"Interest in Victoriana continues to build, with strong buyer focus on the larger owner-occupier residences within the development," Hamblett says.

"Enquiry is increasingly driven by local buyers who recognise the rarity of what's on offer: park-facing apartments in an established neighbourhood where new development opportunities are becoming increasingly scarce. At Victoriana, the view is not just a feature; it's an appreciating asset in its own right."

He said interstate enquiry has also strengthened as buyers reassess Melbourne's position within the national property cycle.

"Melbourne currently stands as the most compelling entry point of any major Australian capital, and discerning buyers are beginning to recognise what those who move early always understand: the best opportunities are taken before the price rise confirms them."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=1979]

Why now is the time to buy in Melbourne's premium apartment market

Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

Staff reporter

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