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When Malcolm Turnbull addressed the National Press Club this week I was really hoping that he was going to announce some major policy critiquing for all matters pertaining to Australia’s ongoing housing affordability woes. 
Sadly, very little was offered where he clearly laid the blame at the states and territories which simply identified that very little would be happening to this space.
We can then expect political huffing and puffing until November 2, 2019 which is when Australia must contest the next election. A very strong possibility that we will see a changing of the guard where negative gearing laws will be changed which will then probably coincide with a major property downturn. On that basis, it is clear to predict the game plan for the next two and a half years. Property investors will go -hard simply because they want to get in before the negative gearing rules are changed (should there be a change in government.)
There is no doubt that property prices will continue to rise in 2017 to the extent that we may well see the cumulative house prices reach 100 per cent gains in five years in some areas. The latest statistics from CoreLogic revealed this week, identified the January price rise results showed Melbourne up an additional 11.8 per cent and continues to run amok at 16 per cent. Since June 2012, the cumulative increase in house prices has been 70.5 per cent, CoreLogic reported.
Two things I was expecting announcements on this week were immigration and reducing the off – the – plan ratios to overseas buyers. CBA senior economist Michael Workman said, ‘’housing affordability is set to worsen without federal action. 
The Federal Government controls some of the significant demand factors for housing markets, namely population growth via migration and the spectrum of tax and foreign investment policies that significantly inflate demand for existing and new housing. Housing affordability can be improved, via stabilising growth in house prices and rents, by gradual reforms to both supply and demand issues.”
In the present property environment, there is no need for off – the – plan sales to foreign buyers to remain at 100 per cent and this ratio is controlled by the Turnbull government.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/VRN-2.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/06/VRN-2.png" alt="">
Despite the construction of thousands of new apartments, we are not seeing an easing of rents as was the expected case. Data analysis from the NSW Rental Bond Board identified that NSW has more tenants than ever before. No surprises to learn that the most expensive five suburbs are Manly, Waverly, Woollahra, Willoughby and Mosman.
We can therefore expect to see these areas hot – spotting with investors as they know these areas provide the best rental returns as well as capital appreciation. Investors will keep driving these markets simply because the federal government has tinkered with superannuation, and property markets are out-performing the share market.
Of course, we all know that this will change over time although the momentum is much stronger with our respective governments doing absolutely nothing aside from weekly lip service.
 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/VRN-Statistics.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/06/VRN-Statistics.png" alt="">
 With much being written about money laundering within the Australian property markets the appointed watchdog, the Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis Centre (AUSTRAC), is investigating more than $3 billion in suspicious transfers from Chinese property investors last year.
This was further backed – up late last year when the major Australian lenders ceased lending to foreign buyers amid concerns. I was then surprised to read this week that foreign investors are again on the surge where this time they are paying cash to settle the full amount of the purchase.
Now many will be asking the obvious questions as to where all these monies are originating from based on recent announcements that the Chinese government had shut down money transfers from China?
Well, allow me to lay your concerns to rest – the smartest thing that Joe Hockey did when he was treasurer was to hand all data collection on every property transfer in Australia over to the Australian Taxation Office (ATO). You may have forgotten that some months later after reviewing the respective data an excited ATO announced that they were expanding their forensic property investigations back to 1985.
Just this week, I received a telephone call from one of the ATO investigators requesting purchaser contact information for a property we sold late last year. Nothing was said, I simply adhered to their request and provided the relevant information.
What this clearly tells us, is that every property transaction is scrutineered by the ATO and you can no longer beat the system.
With so many discussions on housing affordability this is one announcement that should please all those closely following the real estate movements. As each property settles all the data is then sent to the ATO for recording and investigation.
It has become very clear that everybody buying Australian real estate should know that each transaction is noted and investigated. And yes, they have the resources.
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. 
He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000.
 
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Why housing affordability is a political no – go zone: Robert Simeon

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Kudos to the NSW government by becoming the first elected government in NSW to achieve a cash positive financial position – quite amazing that never before has this been achieved.
The words ‘debt free’ don’t exactly go hand in hand with governments these days as we have become too accustomed to the monetary phrases of debt and deficits.
NSW Treasurer Gladys Berejiklian confirmed this week that NSW would post a $4.7 billion surplus in 2015/16 which just so happens to be $1.3 billion more than predicted in the June budget just four months ago. Still a massive turnaround from 30 June 2015 when net debt sat at $5.5 billion to a $57 million surplus as at 30 June 2016.
No doubt reassuring for the government who pledged a further $20 billion in infrastructure at the 2015 election, which includes a second harbour crossing. Now to a big property decision which is the elephant in the room in the form of stamp duty. Sydney’s new market which is the tens of thousands of new apartments under construction which have handsomely rewarded the government in the form of stamp duty. There would be significant question marks over foreign purchasers completing once these projects are finished.
It is worth noting that the treasurer is expecting stamp duty growth of 4.4 per cent per annum over the next four years whilst also predicting stamp duty revenue would hit $8.9 billion in 2016/17. As to that prediction I offer just two words – Good Luck! 
Investors would be no doubt observing the recent commentary by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) who noted “growth in rents is the slowest for decades”. So one then can only presume that the bait rent projections provided to the tens of thousands of off – the – plan buyers have next to no chance of coming to fruition? Furthermore, these rental projections play an intricate role in determining the amount of borrowings leveraged against each investor property.
According to realestate.com.au figures numbers of Chinese buyers looking to buy in Sydney have fallen by 9 per cent over the past twelve months. Many (including myself) expect these numbers to keep falling as a direct result of the NSW government’s recently introduced Foreign Investor Surcharge.
NSW Treasurer Gladys Berejiklian has announced that the June 21 NSW Budget will include the introduction of foreign investor surcharges on stamp duty and land tax on residential real estate. The measures are expected to raise more than $1 billion over four years and will fund essential services across NSW. “These new measures will ensure NSW’s property market continues to be an attractive destination for international investors while making sure that we are able to fund vital services into the future,” Ms Berejiklian said.
This initiative has not gone down well with foreign investors. One only has to look at what happened to the foreign buyer tax in Vancouver which saw a very hot market transition almost immediately to a frozen market overnight once the 15 per cent tax was announced. For example, property prices collapsed 33 per cent in September from a year ago.
Now for some other very big questions that are being asked and answered within the real estate industry currently that do require special consideration.
When you look back at the history of real estate in Australia a distinct observation has been the popularity of real estate franchises. In 2016 we have seen the lowest volumes of stock levels ever seen before, for example this week in Mosman there are 32 houses for sale, in 2015 there were 49, in 2014 82 and in 2013 there were 119 houses on the market that week.
Now a franchise office that operates within the one allocated postcode simply can no longer survive on these reduced stock levels as salespeople will look for work with businesses that offer unlimited or much larger farming areas. There has also been heated discussions about franchise fees which are performance based much like income tax. The more you sell the larger the franchise fee – in 1994 we went over to a flat fee so many franchise offices are demanding that fee structure.
Somewhat ironic that stamp duty was a blessing in disguise for the NSW government’s finances yet it is the reason why fewer homes are now on the market as owners have opted to invest the amounts they would pay in stamp duty into renovations. This also means that the selling cycle changes will blow out significantly as home owners will stay much longer in the principal place of residence.
So from Christmas on you can expect many franchise offices to rebrand (and no I’m not talking about my office) simply because we are seeing fewer and fewer properties on the market. Change is inevitable although it takes a long, long time to see tax changes from elected governments. Ping: The Henry Tax Review and NSW stamp duty to name just two examples.
In the meantime, businesses will re-calibrate and make the economic decisions required to stay afloat and progress down that path of longevity. I predict major changes to the Australian real estate franchise landscape from 2017.
<h4>MOSMAN – 2088</h4>
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 49 Number of houses on the market last week – 32 Number of houses on the market this week – 34 Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 60 Number of apartments on the market last week – 32 Number of apartments on the market this week – 34
<h4>CREMORNE – 2090</h4>
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 13 Number of houses on the market last week – 15 Number of houses on the market this week – 13 Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 23 Number of apartments on the market last week – 15 Number of apartments on the market this week – 13
<h4>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h4>
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 9 Number of houses on the market last week – 5 Number of houses on the market this week – 7 Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 23 Number of apartments on the market last week – 22 Number of apartments on the market this week – 22
 
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. 
He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000.
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It’s time for some very BIG property decisions: Robert Simeon

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That’s the big question that many are thinking with his current running commentaries on the Australian economy – but will he tee – off on exactly what are the major problems facing our economy?
I hope he does with his ten-year term expiring on 17 September having taken over as the Head Teller back on September 18, 2006. Interesting to note that over that time he has left the cash rate alone on sixty-seven (67) occasions, cut the cash rate on twelve (12) occasions and increased the cash rate on six (6) occasions.
Surprising how time flies when you’re having fun as the last cash rate increase was back on November 3, 2011 so in essence he has spent his last term as Head Teller cutting the cash rate.
One really could not blame him for cutting the cash rate this month to a record low of 1.50 percent – “whilst prospects for growth were positive, there was room for stronger growth, which could be assisted by lower interest rates.”
It is irresponsible to use last week’s record Sydney clearance rates as a consequence for the latest rate cut as this was always going to happen and I will get to that a little later. A big problem is the Wage Price Index where seasonally adjusted, private sector wages grew 0.5 percent and public sector wages grew 0.6 per cent in the June quarter 2016.
On an annual basis that equates to private sector wages growing 2.0 percent and public sector wages growing 2.4 percent annually. Trying to create and then increase consumption has been the biggest challenge for central banks globally. On the other hand, controlling property prices can be achieved although this task is beyond the control of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) which may explain why Glenn Stevens appears an angry man.
As I wrote earlier,<a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/blame-governments-high-property-prices/"> </a>blaming the governments for high property prices maybe somebody might like to explain why the latest Australia Bureau of Statistics survey reveals that last year 93,000 Australians moved overseas in the last twelve months, which is four times the average. Fifty per cent were in the 25 to 35-year-old category which is a telling statistic.
According to the latest Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) survey that was recently released by the Melbourne Institute, home ownership rates among those aged 25 to 34 years fell from 39 per cent in 2002 to 29 per cent in 2014. Home values are increasing and banking regulations are demanding twenty (20) per cent deposits which highlights the dilemma facing young Australians. The writings have been on the wall now for decades and sad to say our elected politicians have done nothing to address these problems.
<a href="/images/2016/08/22/Housing-Affordability-1.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/08/22/Housing-Affordability-1.png" alt="">
The March quarter for 2016, the Sydney median house price dropped 1.5 per cent to $995,804, while the Sydney apartment median price fell 0.7 per cent to $656,166. I would expect that both reversed that trend in the June quarter by heading back to positive territory. Over the past five years house prices have jumped almost fifty (50) per cent.
In search of answers I found this remarkable report by Professor Frank Stilwell, School of Economics and Political Science, University of Sydney<a href="https://www.pc.gov.au/inquiries/completed/first-home-ownership/submissions/sub212/sub212.pdf">.</a> This report looks at Sydney and NSW country property prices from 1986 to 2003 where property prices then rose nearly fivefold in Sydney and threefold for the rest of NSW.
Please make a point of reading the Executive Summary as this is a mirror image of what then happened over the next decade from 2006 to 2016.
“Average wages have not increased in line with inflation in land and housing. Consequently, housing affordability has declined sharply: a typical house in Sydney cost just under 4 years of average earnings in 1986, while in 2003 it cost over 12 years’ worth of earnings.”
“It is only by addressing these issues of tax reform that the pressures causing a crisis of affordability for many aspiring first home buyers can be resolved.” Yes, politicians and tax reform – as we saw at the last federal election they are petrified of those two words – tax reform.
<a href="/images/2016/08/22/NSW-Listings.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/08/22/NSW-Listings.png" alt="">
I’ve lost count how many times I have written about why Sydney property markets are recording declines in stock numbers which drives prices higher. Back to the Executive Summary for an explanation.
. “Stamp duty has become a fundamentally important source of State revenue and could not be reduced unless an alternative revenue source was found. That alternative could be land tax. Although less in the political spotlight, land taxation and interaction with the housing market could hold an important key to resolving the housing affordability crisis.”
This submission was prepared thirteen years ago and nothing has been done although Sydney house prices since that submission would have increased on average another three, four and five times depending on the area.
Little wonder first home buyers are leaving and no longer refer to Australia as being the “lucky country.” More importantly when are our politicians going to listen and act – or possibly understanding what needs to be done is too hard for them to fathom.
If parliamentary pensions could be docked for inactivity they would all be listening and acting. When Glenn Stevens delivers his final speech he must shoot from the hip and take no prisoners.
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 53
Number of houses on the market last week – 51
Number of houses on the market this week – 52
Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 41
Number of apartments on the market last week – 44
Number of apartments on the market this week – 45
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 2
Number of houses on the market last week – 10
Number of houses on the market this week – 10
Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 15
Number of apartments on the market last week – 16
Number of apartments on the market this week – 14
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 4
Number of houses on the market last week – 8
Number of houses on the market this week – 10
Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 25
Number of apartments on the market last week – 20
Number of apartments on the market this week – 21
 
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. 
He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000.
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Will the RBA governor go out with a bang? Robert Simeon

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Quite surprising that nothing has been said when last Friday, the Australian government debt ticked just over $475 billion.
For the last twelve months, the government on average has been borrowing $6.35 billion each month, so what happens when they hit the debt ceiling of $500 billion? Will that then bring an end to Australia’s prized membership of the AAA – rated club?
Standard &amp; Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch have just 9 countries in the AAA club – Australia, Canada, Denmark, Germany, Luxembourg, Norway, Singapore, Sweden and Switzerland. Should our membership be revoked that would mean that borrowing costs would increase overnight, which is not a good sign for the Australian economy. The Australian Taxation Office (ATO) currently estimates that Australian small businesses currently owe $13 billion in unpaid tax debts. Obviously, there is no impact on existing debt although when it comes time to refinance then that would be an entirely different story.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/20/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-20%20at%209.03.18%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/20/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-20%20at%209.03.18%20AM.png" alt="">
With the federal government recently weighing into the housing affordability debacle there are two things that I would immediately implement to critique our housing markets.
The ATO has taken over responsibility for being Australia’s biggest property manager so land banking must be the first point of call. It is estimated that Sydney now has well over 100,000 permanently vacant apartments so they should be rented out to ease the rental crisis. Look at the lost revenues the ATO is missing out on with these land banked properties, where the clear majority are owned by overseas investors. Land banking in Australia must be outlawed.
Reverse the ridiculous off-the-plan ratio back to 50 percent from 100 percent to overseas buyers. We are now going into the ninth year of 100 percent and the only clear impact we are seeing is that foreign investors have become a most dominant player. In 2016, Chinese developers acquired almost 40 percent of the Australian residential sites that were offered to the marketplace. All these properties are offered exclusively to Asia and these properties are not available for local buyers. Reducing the ratio back to 50 percent would have a big impact on housing affordability.
 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/20/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-20%20at%209.04.36%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/20/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-20%20at%209.04.36%20AM.png" alt="">
A recent survey by Roy Morgan Research found that approximately 7 per cent of Australian mortgage holders have little or zero equity in their homes in the twelve months to October 2016. That would equate to approximately 300,000 properties across Australia. Western Australia has the highest number with 54,000, followed by South Australia with 27,000, Queensland with 63,000, Melbourne has 50,000, Victoria has 65,000, NSW has 73,000 and Sydney has 33,000. Tasmania came in with 5,000 – these are concerning numbers when you consider the east coast has enjoyed unprecedented capital appreciation.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/20/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-20%20at%209.05.32%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/20/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-20%20at%209.05.32%20AM.png" alt="">
Since 2009, Sydney home values have doubled and Melbourne have climbed 85 percent. In 2011, less than 10 percent of investors held multiple investment properties, according to Digital Finance Analytics. This has now grown to 16 percent nationally, and on the east coast multiple investment properties is now approximately 18 percent.
Really makes one wonder, just what data our elected politicians and policy makers are actually looking at or quite possibly, they don’t even understand this data?
The most recent data from CoreLogic shows that the rental yields in Sydney and Melbourne are on the decline. For Sydney, houses yield is 2.8 percent and units are 3.8 percent. In Melbourne, houses are 2.7 percent and units are 4.0 percent. It will be most interesting to see just how low these yields will go with all the new developments entering the market. It is quite clear that investors have been enjoying the unprecedented capital growth over rental yields in Sydney and Melbourne, although this is about to change.
With very few alternate investment opportunities, we don’t at this particular point in time expect to see investors retreating out of the market, although we do expect to see carnage in the CBD markets. This should not come as a great surprise as these markets have introduced thousands and thousands of new apartments, and many suburbs have constructed less than one hundred new apartments.
Whatever the case, if you like watching real estate machinations 2017 will keep you highly entertained.
To add to this, the Commonwealth Bank advised mortgage brokers this week, that from February 13, it will cease accepting refinancing applications for investment home loans. Will the other major lenders then follow suit?
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. 
He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000.
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The ticking time bomb in our property markets: Robert Simeon

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Sydney’s established suburbs have just one thing in common when we talk about their existing houses in that for years now we have seen no new housing developments – they have simply dried up.
They no longer exist nor will we see any more new developments, so the number of houses in a particular suburb is all but fixed forever. Unlike outer Sydney where new housing estates are being released at the fastest rates ever witnessed before to meet the growing consumer demand – however the new markets are totally different from the established property markets.
It’s interesting to note that the established housing markets are contracting with less properties being offered to the marketplace which is underpinning property prices. Just as interesting is the observation that the overseas buyers are now strong participants in the established Sydney property markets followed by the local buyers in close pursuit.
This is what many are calling the perfect storm where if you removed the overseas buyers the Sydney established property markets would bear no resemblance to what we witnessed in 2015. With the NSW government now fixated on high – density residential strata developments many property buyers are observing that established houses are the best investments because production has ceased.
Whilst the NSW government has no problems encouraging the new residential subdivisions of airspace we certainly don’t envisage we will see any outdoor public spaces being converted to residential housing subdivisions.
We can also throw into the ‘perfect property storm’ record low interest rates where households are leveraging their borrowings to the maximum in order to take full advantage of the lowest rates in property history. When they leverage high this takes longer to pay down the principal home loan which in turn slows down the number of properties being offered to the market place which is exactly what we are witnessing today.
Just as interesting is that the last cash rate increase by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) was back on November 3, 2010 when the RBA increased the cash rate +0.25 percent to 4.75 percent.
To show further proof a recent analysis by Digital Finance Analytics identified that 13 percent of households with an owner occupied loan would be in financial discomfort if rates were to rise at all. This is a smaller proportion to investment property owners who came in at 27 percent. However, more than one third of households said that they would be in difficulty if rates rose by 3 percent.
With many property owners closely following the cash rate musings emanating from the RBA – they may be better advised to watch their respective lenders a lot more closely.
Business analysts warned this week if there are no RBA cuts in 2016 then the banks would again act independently by announcing their own independent rate increases. Many quickly forget that in 2015 the big banks joined hands and raised their respective rates between 15 and 20 basis points.
Based on this data, for that to happen we would see the investment property hardest hit with a very distinct possibility of surging nervous investors trying to off – load their newly acquired investment properties. On the flip – side the major banks are most concerned that this newly created investment property loan portfolio has them exposed – so we in all probability will see them massaging their mortgage books in 2016.
This of course does not bode well for all the new developments awaiting release to the respective marketplaces where Melbourne has approximately another 20,000 new apartments ready to be released over the next five years with Sydney sitting at around 6,000 new apartments.
Then of course we have the dilemma with the apartments already sold off – the – plan with plenty of talk that many of those won’t proceed with their contracts. In particular the Big Four banks are only too well aware of their exposure to these new markets. That would explain why they have commenced their whisper campaigns – where we can expect to read plenty more in coming months.
When the property flows are weak the prices shoot up which is exactly what has happened to the established markets. The new investment markets are the ones that dominated in 2015 so there is a very good chance they may dominate conversations in 2015 for all the wrong reasons. What also needs to be factored in are the new developments where 100 per cent of these apartments were sold offshore. It’s anyone’s guess what may happen should we see these newly created markets start showing the first signs of panic.
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 58
• Number of houses on the market last week – 36
• Number of houses on the market this week – 45
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 43
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 32
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 38
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 8
• Number of houses on the market last week – 9
• Number of houses on the market this week – 11
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 18
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 11
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 15
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 4
• Number of houses on the market last week – 6
•Number of houses on the market this week – 6
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 37
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 23
*Number of apartments on the market this week – 27
 ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985.  He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000. 
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Simply put, property will be as steady as she flows: Robert Simeon

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When the Budget was released this week I kept reading with great interest that the government had failed to address ‘housing affordability’. Truth be known the only thing that the Abbott government actually controls is foreign buyers and taxation such as negative gearing and capital gains tax. With regard to foreign buyers it has been well documented that with regard to this portfolio they have Failed it with a capital ‘F’.
In fairness the Federal government would respond by saying that to the contrary they have already unleashed the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) to forensically investigate all property transactions that they believe have contravened the laws. Well if it wasn’t for some bloggers and journalists who pointed this out to the Abbott government foreign buyers would be still running amok. I believe the findings will leave most property observers gobsmacked because I believe we are talking about thousands and thousands of sales.
It’s interesting to note that last week a Senate committee made 40 something recommendations pertaining to housing affordability which included calls to review negative gearing and the appointment of a federal minister for housing, to name just two. Well I have been vocal on not having a housing minister since the Abbott government came to office. More interesting was that Coalition senators immediately rejected the findings – well no surprises there.
If you look closely at the housing affordability debate it can be quickly summed up that data shows we are not building enough high density developments. I wrote about this recently – Lots of positives from discussing negative policies where the NSW government has recognised the problem stemming from municipal councils who are rejecting developments despite the Sydney population expanding at unprecedented levels. The NSW government wants to merge councils to free up more development to meet Sydney’s population explosion.
Should the NSW government be successful with its charter then the price of apartments will obviously come down as too rents. So I’m somewhat mystified why property investors are driving up apartment prices when such a major announcement is pending.
The Abbott government needs to take a very serious look at the legislation that allows foreign buyers to purchase off the plan. I believe that it would be sage for the Abbott government to place foreign buyers on – hold until the ATO has released its preliminary findings. What we are seeing today is Chinese developers out bidding the local developers simply because the off – the – plan legislation allows them to sell directly overseas to foreign buyers so these properties never even hit the Australian market. A vast number of these properties are land banked so they remain vacant which again is self-defeating and ludicrous that this can happen in this day and age.
This week we also read that there are foreign criminals trying to buy Australian real estate to wash their money by investing in real estate. Well this is nothing new as I have heard a few examples of agents who questioned some foreign buyers who expressed interest in landmark Sydney residences.
Thailand has had serious problems with the Russian mafia who have bought up significant parts of that country where the government announced a few years ago that it was cracking down hard on these transactions. This is a global problem where Australia immediately needs to take decisive action which also means tightening the many legal loopholes.
Take the recent divestment order on Villa del Mare where it was found that the Chinese purchaser did not have Australian residence. When I wrote about this <a href="/expert-insights/treasurer-joe-s-villa-del-nightmare-robert-simeon">Treasurer Joe’s Villa del Nightmare</a> on March 5 I said that the purchaser would find an Australian resident to buy the property. Well <a href="/news/australian-buyer-lola-wang-li-emerges-with-villa-del-mare-the-39-million-point-piper-firb-home">Australian buyer Lola Li emerges with Villa del Mare, the $39 million Point Piper FIRB home.</a>
The good news to come from this debate is that for the first time “the dogs are barking” and the Abbott government has to act – and act fast. Finding a viable solution to foreign buyers will prove a much harder assignment than towing back boats.
With regard to new developments, for starters there should be a selling ratio of foreign buyers to Australian residents established.
The Australian property industry has never before encountered such a debate and much of this stems from record low global cash rates. Investors are chasing returns and Sydney is one of the hottest property markets on the globe.
The Abbott government needs to send a very clear message to foreign buyers which is either buy or bye?
Mosman Market
When you look closely at the actual numbers of properties on the market you will struggle to say that the market is booming or bubbling as some prefer to say. Historically when markets are booming this coincides with record volumes being on the market which is otherwise known as a feeding frenzy. The confusing parts about our local markets are that stock levels are down 50 per cent on this time last year or thereabouts.
MOSMAN – 2088
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 102
• Number of houses on the market last week – 57
• Number of houses on the market this week – 57
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 72
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 50
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 49
CREMORNE – 2090
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 7
• Number of houses on the market last week – 3
• Number of houses on the market this week – 4
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 27
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 13
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 10
NEUTRAL BAY – 2089
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 7
• Number of houses on the market last week – 3
•Number of houses on the market this week – 3
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 48
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 31
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 27
 Source: APM Price Finder
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Do we tell foreign buyers to buy or bye? Robert Simeon

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That pesky property bubble is mainly contained to the investors chasing yields and taking advantage of a chronic under-supply which is driving up rents – well it was however, we are now starting to see rents flat lining given supply has significantly increased.
New lending initiatives are quickly changing the investor landscape where I suspect it will be a very long time before we see lenders offering 90 per cent loans as we are now seeing lending ratios sitting more around the 70% mark. <a href="/expert-insights/overseas-buyers-will-support-sydney-house-prices-during-apra-crackdown-nab">Overseas buyers will support Sydney house prices during APRA crackdown: NAB</a>; it is fair to say that the federal government won’t be tweaking the foreign buyer ratios (presently at 100 per cent) anytime soon.
There is a reason for this; Australia’s population is set to hit 40 million people by 2056. In order to meet this demand we will see the greatest infrastructure spending in Australia’s history given it’s been calculated that by 2056 Australia will need a further 1,100,000 apartments. Across Australia that means an additional 27,000 apartments each year for the next 41 years, it is expected Sydney and Melbourne will do the majority of the heavy lifting. This also plainly identifies why the Baird government wants to amalgamate the councils to ensure that these new developments keep getting approved.
The message is quite clear that if you want to reside in close proximity to the CBD you will have to live with an avalanche of high density developments.
This week the residential data from the 34th Property Directions Survey was released which is an industry based group comprising property experts – Valuers, Fund Managers, Property Analysts and Property Financiers.
<ul>
<li>58% of respondents stated that Sydney residential property was in or entering a bubble, while 53%t of the respondents believe that the Melbourne property market is in the same position. Seventy per cent of the survey respondents do not believe that the Brisbane residential market was in a bubble.</li>
<li>The majority of the respondents also believe residential property prices will continue to rise for 6 to 12 months. Fifty – three per cent of respondents believe that Sydney residential property prices will continue to rise for either 6 or 12 months with 26% stating 18 months. Respondents are more certain in their predictions for Melbourne residential property with 76%seeing prices continuing to rise for 6 to 12 months.</li>
<li>In 2016, Sydney residential property is seen as reaching the top of the property cycle and moving past the top in 2017. In 2016 respondents see Melbourne residential property having passed the top of the cycle but remaining close to the top through to 2017. Brisbane residential property is seen to be just nearing the top of the cycle.</li>
<li>All respondents to the Property Directions Survey see low interest rates as either a significant or very significant driver of demand for residential property in Sydney, while 95% also point to foreign investment being significant or very significant.</li>
<li>Respondents list a number of other factors they also believe play a role in increasing demand in Sydney, such as population growth, low supply over the past decade and the trend towards smaller households.</li>
<li>The major drivers are considered to be similar for the Melbourne residential property market however 94% see foreign investment as a significant or very significant driver and 87% sight low interest rates as significant to very significant.</li>
<li>A large majority of respondents see low interest rates as the main driver of demand and prices for Brisbane and Perth residential property; however this view is not as strong as it is for Sydney and Melbourne. The majority of survey respondents do not view foreign investment as a significant or very significant factor in driving demand in Brisbane or Perth, but believe negative gearing plays a bigger role.</li>
<li>Most respondents believe both interest rates and inflation will remain similar for next year, while moving higher in the next three years.</li>
<li>It’s a different story with foreign investment, with a small majority of respondents believing levels will remain similar for the next six months. Respondents are less certain over the next 12 months, but most see foreign investment at similar or higher levels. Respondents are even more uncertain about the outlook for 2018,</li>
<li>Some respondents listed current or emerging factors which they believe may have an impact on the Australian property market. Factors listed include a slowing Chinese economy, any increase in the unemployment rate and potential changes to foreign investment or immigration rules.</li>
</ul>
So the eastern seaboard is where we will see the majority of the new developments with NSW leading the way. This again will be investor led although it would be reasonable to suggest that with such a huge apartment platform the house prices will continue to rise with less single residential housing being built.
With that in mind it’s scary to think where prices will go for houses within a 15 kilometre radius of the Sydney CBD. Through the roof springs to mind.
As for that pesky property bubble – it won’t be doing any damage when the vast majority of suburbs across Sydney are posting record low stock levels. When markets are booming (or bubbling along) you see record stock levels which is the complete opposite to what we are seeing across Sydney at the present.
<h4>MOSMAN – 2088</h4>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 85
• Number of houses on the market last week – 55
• Number of houses on the market this week – 46
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 63
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 41
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 43
<h4>CREMORNE – 2090</h4>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 8
• Number of houses on the market last week – 7
• Number of houses on the market this week – 2
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 9
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 11
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 8
<h4>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h4>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 9
• Number of houses on the market last week – 3
• Number of houses on the market this week – 2
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 42
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 29
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 30
 
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985.  He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000. 
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Living with an avalanche of high density development: Robert Simeon

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The Australian property markets find themselves in an unprecedented quandary with record low cash rates that have driven investment property prices in Sydney and Melbourne to record levels. The problem as I see it is that it is highly unlikely that such dizzy heights can be maintained, so that said one can assume that prices should start plateauing. 
The problem with that scenario is that given the present market conditions this is highly unlikely as property investors are only interested in Sydney and Melbourne real estate.
The owner occupier property market is much slower with stock levels at all-time lows which can be attributed to the fact that businesses are no longer paying cash bonuses preferring to reward staff with shares. What this has done is take billions of dollars from the owner occupier property markets which explains in principle why the owner occupier markets are so slow.
Nobody can really explain why property investors are only interested in Melbourne and Sydney especially when Australia is experiencing an unprecedented population explosion. This becomes even more confusing when we hear that Australia’s east coast is the destination expected to feel the full brunt of this population explosion.
This year I have been in dialogue with Richardson &amp; Wrench Projects where I have attended some information seminars to learn more about this fascinating investor market. The problem with real estate agents is that our knowledge is always contained within a particular postcode, hence a reluctance to look outside our comfort zone which is the very same mindset as property investors.
So the first question I wanted to know was where are the next best areas to invest outside Sydney and Melbourne, that are more much affordable with strong capital growth, excellent rental returns and with strong depreciation allowances. My question was answered immediately with two areas – Newcastle and Brisbane – well, that makes sense as they are both on the east coast with strong population forecasts.
With that in mind it was off to Brisbane to have a look around and see just why Brisbane is considered the next area to chase property investor returns. The first thing you notice is their road infrastructure is superior to Sydney’s with nowhere near the traffic congestion. Just like what we are now seeing with NSW where government is now on a record infrastructure spend, although in NSW we keep adding a new lane to infrastructure that was only constructed ten years ago. The government has allocated a further 120 billion dollars for infrastructure over the next three decades.
A new international airport and the big star attraction is the new Las Vegas style $4.000 billion casino – in many instances the South Bank area (which is the area I liked the most) reminded me of what’s happening at Barangaroo on Sydney Harbor. Although at a fraction of the price.
One of the most interesting points that really resonated with me was that the Richardson &amp; Wrench Projects team told me that they actually reject 90 per cent of projects that fail their strict criteria – which was evidenced in their project investment reports which are about sixty pages of research data. Investors in Sydney and Melbourne usually get a one or two page report if they are lucky which always have the usual disclaimers.
So what happens to the ninety per cent of developments that were rejected was my next question? Well, they lure those unsuspecting property investors and stitch them up which explains why property investors stick to the areas that sit well within their comfort zones – even though they know they are paying top dollar.
Australians love investing in property which explains why so much is written about bubbles, crashes and fear factor frenzies. So if you are contemplating stepping out of your comfort zone and looking for an investment area to watch closely we would recommend Brisbane – it’s a very interesting exercise especially for those who insist that you only invest in Sydney and Melbourne. I am the first to admit that this week’s visit to Brisbane has completely changed my property investment train of thought.
It’s important to note that Australia is changing (so must our perceptions) with the latest Bureau of Statistics projections now have Melbourne as Australia’s biggest growing city. Melbourne is tracking to become the country’s biggest city in 2056 and has also overtaken Western Australia to now be Australia’s fastest growing state.
MOSMAN – 2088
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 74
• Number of houses on the market last week – 46
• Number of houses on the market this week – 43
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 57
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 43
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 39
CREMORNE – 2090
Number of houses on the market this time last year – 11
• Number of houses on the market last week – 6
• Number of houses on the market this week – 4
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year –11
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 8
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 12
NEUTRAL BAY – 2089
* Number of houses on the market this time last year – 3
• Number of houses on the market last week – 2
•Number of houses on the market this week – 2
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 42
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 30
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 39
ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985.  He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000.
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Searching for the next investor hot spots? Robert Simeon

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Another fascinating week with Australia experiencing a significant stock market correction followed by the National Reform Summit which in all probability won’t amount to anything given the responsibility rests with our politicians. When it comes to anything economic in Australia we see a typical allergy where they are too frightened to come into contact with these issues.
Since 2013, the internet population grew approximately 20% – from 2.4 billion to 3.2 billion people yet for some strange reason we still struggle to understand data, or is it that the data we should be seeing is withheld? Australia’s misunderstood property markets are a prime example – with Sydney well ahead of the country in terms of inaccuracy in reporting.
One of the main areas for concern to come from the National Reform Summit was productivity where many believe Australia has come to a grinding halt which is replicated with our present GDP growth rates. For some time now I have been carefully watching property growth rates which (wait for it) closely resemble our GDP results.
To further explain we closely looked at sales data from 2009 to 2014 for house and apartment sales in Seaforth, Mosman, Cremorne, Neutral Bay, Cammeray and Northbridge where the total number of households equates to 39,227.Source CoreLogic RP Data.
We need to bear in mind that when you closely examine individual suburb markets at five (5) per cent turnover per annum the market turnover is normal and slightly under-performing. When it gets to ten (10) % per annum turnover the market is considered strong and when the market hits fifteen (15) % turnover per annum that is a boom. The last time we witnessed the market hitting 15% was in 1988.
So we took the six year averages for sales and this is what we found.
<ul>
<li>Seaforth – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 120 houses which equates to 5.1% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Seaforth – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 16 apartments which equates to 4.7% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Mosman – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 312 houses which equates to 5.3% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Mosman – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 492 apartments which equates to 4.9% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Cremorne – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 62 houses which equates to 4.6% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Cremorne – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 278 apartments which equates to 5.0% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Neutral Bay – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 55 houses which equates to 4.95% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Neutral Bay – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 323 apartments which equates to 4.8% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Cammeray – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 56 houses which equates to 5.6% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Cammeray – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 147 apartments which equates to 5.5% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Northbridge – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 88 houses which equates to 4.3% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
<li>Northbridge – Average number of sales from 2009 to 2014 per annum – 28 apartments which equates to 5.5% of the total market on a per annum basis.</li>
</ul>
When one takes into account that the cash rate at the beginning of 2009 was 3.25% and dropping to 2.50 at the end of 2014 we would have expected the number of properties to be rapidly increasing – which has not been the case. Moreover this reaffirms that business is not doing that well given households are not that interested in taking on more debt, which certainly resonated with a lot that was presented at the National Reform Summit. . The burning question is what is Canberra going to do about this?
<h5>Mosman Houses Sold – Total Number 5,890 Houses</h5>
2009 – 303 2010 – 325 2011 – 264 2012 – 276 2013 – 355 2014 – 350
<h5>Mosman Apartments Sold – Total Number 10,020 Apartments</h5>
2009 – 523 2010 – 453 2011 – 474 2012 – 443 2013 – 543 2014 – 514
<h5>Cremorne Houses Sold – Total Number 1,135 Houses</h5>
2009 – 71 2010 – 65 2011 – 56 2012 – 56 2013 – 66 2014 – 59
<h5>Cremorne Apartments Sold – Total Number 5,481 Apartments</h5>
2009 – 339 2010 – 302 2011 – 288 2012 – 218 2013 – 267 2014 – 255
<h5>Neutral Bay Houses Sold – Total Number 1,109 Houses</h5>
2009 – 61 2010 – 69 2011 – 51 2012 – 51 2013 – 61 2014 – 40
<h5>Neutral Bay Apartments Sold – Total Number 6,638 Apartments</h5>
2009 – 411 2010 – 362 2011 – 287 2012 – 283 2013 – 308 2014 – 286
<h5>Cammeray Houses Sold – Total Number 1,275 Houses</h5>
2009 – 58 2010 – 50 2011 – 50 2012 – 56 2013 – 64 2014 – 61
<h5>Cammeray Apartments Sold – Total Number 2,610 Apartments</h5>
2009 – 156 2010 – 194 2011 – 156 2012 – 107 2013 – 135 2014 – 137
<h5>Northbridge Houses Sold – Total Number 1,914 Houses</h5>
2009 – 88 2010 – 63 2011 – 68 2012 – 89 2013 – 102 2014 – 94
<h5>Northbridge Apartments Sold – Total Number 504 Apartments</h5>
2009 – 32 2010 – 33 2011 – 20 2012 – 23 2013 – 35 2014 – 27
<h5>Seaforth Houses Sold – Total Number 2,317 Houses</h5>
2009 – 113 2010 – 109 2011 – 113 2012 – 121 2013 – 138 2014 – 127
<h5>Seaforth Apartments Sold – Total Number 334 Apartments</h5>
2009 – 21 2010 – 11 2011 – 10 2012 – 14 2013 – 17 2014 – 26 Source – CoreLogic RP Data
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 69
• Number of houses on the market last week – 53
• Number of houses on the market this week – 65
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 51
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 41
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 42
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 7
• Number of houses on the market last week – 2
• Number of houses on the market this week – 4
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 15
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 15
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 18
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 5
• Number of houses on the market last week – 4
•Number of houses on the market this week – 2
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 36
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 25
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 30
 ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985.  He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000. 
 
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Data doesn’t lie when you keep misreading it: Robert Simeon

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If one was looking for a single word that is missing from the ongoing property debate, look no further than 'perspective'.
Some are looking at the property market from a perspective that has lead them to a conclusion which is totally and completely wrong.
Investors have got it completely right given (in the case of Sydney) we are suffering from a chronic undersupply which explains why the vacancy rate in a 10 kilometre radius from the CBD has sat below 2% for the best part of a decade.
Never before have we seen a better time to convene an inquiry into the Australian real estate markets because nobody has an accurate perspective as to what is actually happening. Earlier this year I was one of the first to write that something was not right with the influx of overseas buyers.
This brought about an inquiry (that is still going) although it has exposed the Australian Foreign Investment Board (FIRB) to be in total disarray.
Last week, Federal MP Kelly O'Dwyer told ABC Lateline:
"What we've found out though, through the evidence that our committee has received, is that these rules have simply not been enforced through prosecution since 2006 by the FIRB. I think there has been a failure of leadership of the FIRB on this. I think they have dropped the ball. I think if we have rules in place, those rules need to be properly enforced. That is the only way we can give confidence to the Australian people that our foreign investment framework's working as it should. So we would be looking to tighten up exactly what occurs in terms of enforcement penalties that can be applied, but also to make sure that FIRB is doing its job."
Well it's very clear that FIRB have not been doing their job, so in the meantime Ms O'Dwyer should be introducing a temporary ban on all overseas purchases until such time that the government can fully determine how big this matter is.
In my opinion there is no better person qualified to chair the inquiry than Bill Moss who is a former Macquarie Group banker and head of property. Speaking to The Weekend Australian, he said:
"This is the first (property) cycle we've seen where there's a deregulated global market,where capital is free to flow from Asia to Australia. We have a free floating dollar, equity makers are global and now our residential markets are going the same way."
The major concern in Australia is that nobody knows just how many properties have been acquired given nobody has a perspective as to the exact number.
Although, negative gearing presents a much bigger problem in the Australian property markets than overseas investors.
Another person who must be appointed to an inquiry is Saul Eslake, who this week called on Canberra to put an end to negative gearing for new investors as the best way to dampen frothy property markets in Sydney and Melbourne.
It should be noted that he referred to them as 'frothy' not a 'bubble'. He accepts that it is not politically feasible to abolish negative gearing because around 15%of voters are currently taking advantage of negative gearing – which explains why no politician should participate in the inquiry given they have vested interests.
Australian investors are smart and can sense a change to the property tax landscape in Australia, which I pointed out last week.
It is important to note the recommended measures are nothing more than temporary until such time that the government can get a correct perspective on the Australian property markets.
Bill Moss went on to say in his interview that our housing markets were better tackled at a state or local government level, with the federal government or the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) macro prudential tools such as restricting how much banks can lend to investors. "Rather than react to what's happening, what the government needs to do is understand what is going to happen."
The interview keeps getting better, when he commented that "governments should look how to make money from a real estate bubble."
In my opinion, overseas buyers should be paying a much higher Stamp Duty and a Vacancy Tax for all properties where the owners decide to landbank by locking them up. All these taxes should be flowing into new infrastructure strategies.
The problem is that governments have neither perspective nor understanding about real estate machinations. So they need to establish an inquiry to better understand what exactly is going on as against merely flying from the seats of their pants.
 
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The new 'P' in property is perspective

The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.

Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."

That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.

Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]

Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.

The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]

The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.

Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]

Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.

Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]

Joel Robinson

Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.

Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]

The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.

Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.

"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.

"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.

"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]

Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.

The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]

Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.

Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]

Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.

Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]

Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.

It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 52-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.

Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.

While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]

Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 52-storey tower, which has just shy of 250 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.

The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.

"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.

"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.

"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]

One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.

"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.

While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.

"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.

"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."

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There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.

As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.

"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.

A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.

The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.

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A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.

It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.

Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.

The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]

"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.

"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.

"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."

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The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.

Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.

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The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.

The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]

Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.

Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]

While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.

It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.

Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]

That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.

Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]

The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.

Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.

In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.

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The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.

Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.

This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]

What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.

The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.

Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]

Robert Simeon

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