South East Queensland’s apartment market is entering a new phase defined by rising prices, constrained affordability, and mounting pressure on the construction pipeline, according to RPM Group’s latest SEQ Apartments &amp; Townhomes Market Report.

The May 2026 report highlights a widening divide between what buyers can afford and what developers can viably deliver, with detached house prices continuing to push more buyers toward apartments across Brisbane, the Gold Coast, and the Sunshine Coast.

RPM says Brisbane’s median house price has reached around $1.5 million, accelerating the shift toward higher-density housing as buyers are increasingly priced out of the detached market.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135094 project_image_fid=356540]

Median unit prices rose across all three major SEQ markets in the March quarter. Brisbane City recorded the strongest annual growth, with median unit prices climbing 21 per cent to $862,000, while the Gold Coast reached the highest overall median at $950,000, up 17 per cent year-on-year. The Sunshine Coast followed at $870,000, representing annual growth of nine per cent.

RPM noted the affordability gap between houses and units remains significant, with detached homes commanding premiums of 67 per cent in Brisbane and 68 per cent on the Gold Coast relative to apartments.

The report suggests this price disparity is increasingly consolidating buyer demand within the apartment market, particularly among downsizers and owner-occupiers.

“Demand is real. Supply is moving. But they’re operating on different timelines and the gap between what’s being built and what buyers can afford is the defining tension in this market right now,” RPM Queensland and NSW Managing Directors Peter Neale and Clinton Trezise said in the report.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150787 project_image_fid=366230]

While approvals and commencements are strengthening, RPM argues the delivery pipeline remains constrained by construction costs, labour shortages, and extended build timelines.

Apartment approvals across Queensland increased 86 per cent over the year to February 2026, reaching 12,682 approvals, the highest level recorded since 2016. Brisbane overtook the Gold Coast as the state’s most active apartment approval market, with nearly 5,000 apartments approved over the past 12 months.

Unit commencements also strengthened considerably, rising 48 per cent year-on-year to 5,453 commencements in the December 2025 quarter, the highest level since 2018.

However, RPM’s research found apartment delivery timeframes have expanded sharply compared to the previous cycle. Projects are now averaging around 30 months from approval to completion, compared to roughly 20 months a decade ago.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=143932 project_image_fid=367515]

The number of units under construction has climbed to approximately 31,530 dwellings, nearing the previous 2016 peak, though projects are remaining in the pipeline for considerably longer.

Construction costs continue to weigh heavily on feasibility. RPM found the average apartment construction cost in Greater Brisbane reached $630,000 per dwelling in 2025, exceeding both Sydney and Melbourne. Coastal Queensland markets, including the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast, were even higher at an average of $817,418 per apartment due to the prevalence of larger premium product.

The report also points to increasing pressure from Olympic-related infrastructure spending ahead of Brisbane 2032, with labour competition expected to intensify over the next several years.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370960]

ANZ Associate Director of Property Daniel Gradwell said the underlying demand drivers across South East Queensland remain strong, supported by interstate migration, downsizers, and population growth.

“The challenge is bringing enough supply to market to meet that demand, and nothing on the horizon makes that straightforward,” Gradwell said.

RPM’s analysis found the affordability challenge is becoming more pronounced in the new apartment market itself, with only three per cent of surveyed new apartments priced below $1 million.

Instead, the market is increasingly concentrated in higher price brackets, with the most common new apartment price band across SEQ sitting between $1.5 million and $1.75 million. Around half of all new apartment stock surveyed is priced below $2 million.

The report suggests developers are not necessarily avoiding lower price points by choice, but because current construction economics make delivering affordable apartments increasingly difficult at scale.

Rental conditions also remain tight across the region. Median rents for one-bedroom apartments rose 12 per cent in Brisbane over the past year to $580 per week, while Gold Coast one-bedroom rents increased nine per cent to $630.

Despite rising rents, RPM noted bond lodgements have generally trended downward over the past five years, indicating more apartments are being absorbed by owner-occupiers rather than retained as investor-held rental stock.

Looking ahead, RPM expects projects targeting the mid-market owner-occupier segment between $1.25 million and $2 million to remain the most viable part of the market, while premium projects in highly constrained coastal or riverfront locations continue to attract demand.

“Construction costs are rewriting the feasibility rulebook across Greater Brisbane, and with little relief in sight, only projects in the right price band, right location, and with presales secured early will make it through,” the report concludes.

Joel Robinson

SEQ apartment demand outpacing affordable supply as construction timelines stretch: RPM

Camberwell Junction has long been the epicentre of amenity in Melbourne’s Boroondara region.

For nearly a century, it has drawn both locals and visitors, anchored by the Camberwell Sunday Market, which first operated in 1929 and quickly became a fixture of the suburb’s identity. Over time, the Junction evolved into one of Melbourne’s most established retail and lifestyle precincts, now comprising more than 400 stores and over 300 commercial businesses.

Despite that depth of amenity, one thing has remained notably limited: the supply of new apartments.

In a suburb defined by its heritage streetscapes and tightly held residential stock, new development opportunities have been scarce, particularly within the core of the Junction itself. That lack of supply has left a gap in the market for larger, design-led apartments suited to downsizers and owner-occupiers wanting to remain in the area.

Boutique developer Above Zero identified that gap when it secured a prime site on Burke Road, in the heart of Camberwell Junction.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4896 project_image_fid=368543]

The site has a long planning history. Various proposals have been put forward over more than a decade, many of which were knocked back by the City of Boroondara, with initial applications dating back to 2015. Above Zero acquired the site in 2022 and returned with a revised scheme, refining both the building’s height and its ground-level interface to better align with Council expectations.

That process has culminated in approval for Camberwell House.

The Cera Stribley-designed development will deliver 57 residences on a 1,950 sqm site within the Camberwell Activity Centre, placing it directly within one of Melbourne’s most established retail and transport hubs.

It is expected to be one of the only new apartment developments to launch in the Junction in recent years, reinforcing the rarity of new supply in the precinct. Currently, there are just a handful of projects on the market in Camberwell, underscoring the significance of a development of this scale and positioning.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4896 project_image_fid=368544]

Camberwell House has been conceived with a clear focus on larger-format apartments. The project will offer a mix of two-, three- and four-bedroom residences, alongside a limited number of penthouses, targeting owner-occupiers seeking scale rather than volume-driven product.

The building’s vertical presence will also set it apart.

Positioned on Burke Road, the development is set to become one of the taller buildings in its immediate context, allowing for elevated outlooks across Melbourne’s CBD skyline and toward the Dandenong Ranges. In a precinct characterised by lower-scale built form, that height provides a point of differentiation, particularly for buyers seeking outlook and natural light.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4896 project_image_fid=368568]

Architecture has been led by Cera Stribley, with interiors by GOLDEN and landscape design by Florian Wild. The design approach centres on material consistency and restraint, with residences oriented to maximise light, ventilation and connection to outdoor spaces.

Full-height glazing and generous terraces form a key part of that strategy, allowing apartments to extend beyond their internal footprint and engage with the surrounding environment.

Beyond the private residences, a significant component of the project is its amenity offering.

Above Zero has positioned Camberwell House as a “complete living environment”, incorporating a full floor dedicated to resident facilities. At the centre of that is a wellness zone, including a 12.5-metre lap pool, spa, sauna and treatment spaces, alongside a gym and recovery-focused amenities.

This level of amenity is more commonly associated with inner-city developments, rather than established middle-ring suburbs like Camberwell.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4896 project_image_fid=368588]

Additional shared spaces include a private library lounge, dining and entertaining areas, and an indoor golf simulator. A self-contained guest suite has also been incorporated, allowing residents to accommodate visiting family or friends without impacting their primary living space.

The inclusion of these facilities reflects a broader shift in buyer expectations.

As more downsizers look to transition from larger family homes into apartments, there is increasing demand for developments that offer not just a residence, but a lifestyle. That includes access to wellness, social and entertaining spaces within the building itself, reducing the reliance on external amenity while still maintaining proximity to established precincts.

Camberwell House is positioned to benefit from both.

Its location places it within immediate walking distance of Camberwell Junction’s retail and dining offering, as well as public transport connections, including tram and train services. That combination of internal amenity and external convenience is central to its appeal.

<section data-scroll-anchor="false" data-testid="conversation-turn-150" data-turn="assistant" data-turn-id="request-WEB:55d7c6ac-8e6d-4881-ad49-0ed9bf66d1cc-74" dir="auto">
Jellis Craig Projects Director Stephen Bowtell is handling sales for the project and says Camberwell House offers a rare entry point into one of Melbourne’s most tightly held markets.

“Buyers are recognising that Camberwell House offers something they simply haven’t seen before in Boroondara,”&nbsp;Bowtell&nbsp;says.

“It combines a level of resident amenity and service typically associated with Melbourne’s premium inner-city developments, while being positioned right in the heart of Camberwell Junction.

“The response to the concierge offering has been particularly strong. Buyers appreciate not only the convenience, but also the sense of security and peace of mind that comes from having a dedicated presence in the building every day.

“When you combine that with the wellness facilities, the exceptional arrival experience, and panoramic views across both the CBD skyline and the Dandenong Ranges, it creates a lifestyle proposition that is genuinely unique within the local market.”
</section>

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4896]

Above Zero launches Camberwell House in undersupplied Camberwell Junction precinct

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/consolidated-properties">Consolidated Properties Group</a> (CPG) is approaching the launch of its latest Brisbane riverfront development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, on the dress circle Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

VIP buyers are now being engaged, with a full public sales launch coming later this year.

Positioned as the final opportunity to secure a new absolute riverfront residence on the East bank of Newstead, Teneriffe or New Farm, Castile at 47 Skyring Terrace has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a> as a timeless addition to the Brisbane skyline.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=371113]

The name Castile draws on themes of permanence, sophistication and legacy, reflecting a broader vision centred on enduring architecture and timelessness in the rarest of riverfront positions.&nbsp;

CPG Chairman and CEO Don O’Rorke said the project had been envisioned as a future Brisbane icon.&nbsp;

“With 47 metres of direct river frontage and never to be built out views, 47 Skyring Terrace is the definitive address on the Brisbane River,” O’Rorke said.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=371114]

“Rather than following trend-based apartment design, Castile draws inspiration from Brisbane’s great heritage buildings, reinterpreting classical architecture into a contemporary riverfront landmark designed to stand proudly for the next 100 years,” he said.&nbsp;

The approved development will comprise 227 apartments across a 25-storey tower alongside a boutique six-storey riverfront building of just 12 residences.&nbsp;

Construction is scheduled to commence in September 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150489]

CPG unveils Castile Newstead ahead of upcoming sales launch

Australia’s online shopping habits have shifted dramatically over the last decade. As eCommerce volumes surged, so too did the frustrations that came with traditional parcel delivery: missed deliveries, long Post Office queues, parcel theft and the challenge of being home during business hours.

Australia Post’s Parcel Lockers emerged as one of the more practical responses to that changing consumer behaviour.

What started as a relatively niche delivery option has evolved into a nationwide network of more than 1,400 self-service Parcel Lockers positioned at train stations, shopping centres, supermarkets and Post Offices across the country. The system allows Australians to send, collect and return parcels 24 hours a day, fundamentally changing how many people interact with deliveries.

The appeal is relatively straightforward: flexibility.

Instead of waiting at home for a delivery driver or rushing to a Post Office before closing time, users can direct eligible parcels to a Parcel Locker location of their choice. Once the parcel arrives, Australia Post sends a notification with a collection code or QR access through the AusPost app, allowing customers to retrieve their package at any time within the collection window.

For apartment residents in particular, the system has become increasingly valuable.

Higher-density living has created logistical challenges around deliveries, especially in buildings without concierge services or secure parcel rooms. Missed deliveries are common, while parcel theft has become an increasing concern as online shopping volumes continue to rise.

Australia Post itself has repeatedly highlighted the growing issue of “porch pirates” during peak shopping periods, encouraging customers to use Parcel Lockers as a safer alternative to unattended home deliveries.

That security aspect is one of the key reasons the Australia Post Parcel Locker network has grown so rapidly.

Parcel Lockers are positioned as secure, monitored collection points that reduce the risk of theft while also improving delivery efficiency for Australia Post. Instead of multiple redelivery attempts, parcels can be consolidated into a single secure destination.

The Parcel Lockers themselves are free to use through a MyPost account and support a range of parcel sizes up to 16 kilograms and dimensions of approximately 35 x 44 x 61 centimetres.

Beyond receiving parcels, the system has increasingly become integrated into the broader eCommerce ecosystem.

Customers can now use Parcel Lockers to return online purchases, while retailers have embraced the model as a way to improve delivery success rates and reduce friction in the shopping process. Australia Post has actively expanded partnerships with major retailers and promoted Parcel Lockers as part of a broader out-of-home strategy.

The timing of that expansion aligns with broader changes in Australian shopping behaviour.

The acceleration of online retail during and after the pandemic placed enormous pressure on delivery infrastructure. Parcel volumes reached record highs, particularly during Black Friday and Christmas periods, with Australia Post delivering more than 100 million parcels during peak festive seasons.

That growth forced logistics providers to rethink the “last mile” of delivery, widely regarded as the most expensive and operationally difficult stage of the process.

Parcel Locker systems have increasingly been viewed as part of the long-term solution.

The concept itself is not unique to Australia. Parcel Locker networks have become common globally, particularly across Europe and Asia, where dense urban environments and apartment living create similar logistical challenges. But Australia’s geography and suburban sprawl made adoption slower initially.

Now, however, the convenience factor is driving mainstream usage.

For commuters, Parcel Lockers near train stations allow parcels to be collected on the way home from work. For apartment dwellers, they remove the uncertainty around access and missed deliveries.

The rise of the AusPost app has also streamlined the experience, centralising notifications, tracking and Parcel Locker access into a single platform. Australia Post has increasingly pushed customers toward app-based delivery management, partly as a way to combat phishing scams and fake delivery notifications, which have become more sophisticated in recent years.

The Parcel Locker model is also beginning to influence property development itself.

Parcel management has become a growing consideration in apartment building design, particularly as online shopping becomes embedded in everyday life. Many new residential developments are now incorporating dedicated parcel rooms or Parcel Locker systems into foyers and communal spaces.

For developers, parcel management is increasingly viewed as part of the broader resident amenity offering, alongside gyms, wellness spaces and communal work areas.

That reflects a wider evolution in how residential buildings are designed.

Apartment buyers are placing greater emphasis on convenience, security and operational functionality, particularly in higher-density urban environments. Parcel delivery, once considered a minor operational detail, has become an increasingly important part of that equation.

Australia Post’s Parcel Locker network sits at the centre of that behavioural shift.

What began as a simple alternative delivery option has evolved into a key piece of infrastructure supporting Australia’s growing eCommerce economy and changing urban lifestyles.

And as online shopping continues to expand, the role of Parcel Lockers is likely to become even more embedded in how Australians live, shop and receive goods.

How Australia Post Parcel Lockers changed parcel delivery convenience in Australia

Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

Townsville

Heran Building Group has introduced their luxury four-bedroom townhomes in Burdell, North Shore Residences.

&ldquo;North Shore is a place where a better lifestyle comes naturally, where neighbours know each other by name and the daily essentials are already just moments from your doorstep&rdquo;, the developers said.

Located in a growing Townsville suburb, Burdell is increasingly in demand due to its reputation as a safe, friendly and conveniently located area.

Priced from $372,900, each four-bedroom home features two bathrooms, double lock-up garages, and a modern kitchen with&nbsp;stone benchtops and&nbsp;European appliances, including a stainless-steel multifunction oven, cook-top, rangehood and stainless-steel dishwasher.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=106962 project_image_fid=170457]

Each townhome has a&nbsp;fully-fenced private yard.

Within the development is a communal&nbsp;swimming pool and ample visitor parking.

Ducted air-conditioning is built into the homes, as are&nbsp;roller blinds and venetians.

Only 15 minutes to the Townsville CBD, North Shore is cleverly positioned for strong ongoing demand thanks to its proximity to important hubs including employment, education, major shopping, arterial roads, and public transport.

Burdell feeds directly into the growing employment node of Townsville and surrounding suburbs via Woolcock St.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=106962 project_image_fid=170458]

The A1 is also only minutes away, providing easy access to all employment locations in the greater Townsville areas.

According to the developers, the expected rental return is approximately $290 to $380 per week, boasting rental yields of 4.37 per cent to 5.52 per cent per annum

The home is located in an evolving location, with two new shopping centres nearby, including North Shore Shopping Centre and the Stockland Townsville Shopping Centre, and the Townsville Grammar School.

Surrounding suburbs also offer a diverse range of amenities from medical, health, retail services and casual dining and takeaway options

Construction on the project began in May, due to reach completion in late 2021.

[smartcode_project_cta: project_id=106962]

Located in a growing Townsville suburb, Burdell is increasingly in demand due to its reputation as a safe, friendly and conveniently located area. 

max.kwok_55688

Brand new four-bedroom Townsville townhomes from $372,900

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Most people jump into markets when they hear they’re booming. Few will buy in a down market, with an eye to the future.
They’ll wait until a newspaper report tells them prices have jumped in the past year, which means they’re too late to maximise the best opportunities to buy well.
Perth is the most depressed of the capital city markets and buyers are staying away in droves. The real estate industry is working hard to talk up the market, claiming buyers should dive in before prices rise. Such claims are among real estate’s greatest clichés, but they will be right in the not too distant future – at the right time Perth will represent great buying, after 3-4 years of falling prices. But most won’t make a move until they read there’s a new boom on.
Another example of this conundrum is provided by Townsville. The North Queensland city has had a lot of negative publicity recently and you wouldn’t buy there on the current numbers.
But I rate locations on their future prospects, often in defiance of the current situation, to alert investors to areas poised for growth. Townsville is a classic case.
It’s among the sturdiest regional economies in Australia. I rate economic diversity and Townsville has more than most regional centres, with strong elements of government admin, education, defence, resources, health, tourism and manufacturing – plus an export port.
Its property market had a run of strong annual growth up to 2011 – and, after decline in the past few years, is ready to resume its forward progress. Its comeback will be boosted by major events, including retail projects, CBD commercial and infrastructure spending. It is also receiving economic impetus from the expansion of its military economy and will benefit from the $22 billion Adani mining project.
Townsville is forecast to be one of Australia’s fastest-growing cities, reaching a population of 340,000 by 2050, according to demographer Bernard Salt in a 2015 report.
Townsville has over 100 education facilities, including the James Cook University, where around 12,000 students are enrolled.
It’s close to the Barrier Reef and tourism is a big industry. The city received 1.2 million domestic visitors in the year to September 2016, injecting $925 million (up 35 percent on the previous year). Around 12,000 cruise ship passengers visit Townsville each year and, following a Cruise Ship Terminal upgrade, larger numbers are expected in the future.
Trade through the Port of Townsville often tops one million tonnes per month and it is now Queensland’s third largest port. Examples of the port’s growth include an $85 million export facility opened by Glencore in 2015 and Puma Energy’s $150 million fuel import terminal.
The Townsville house market was one of the strongest among the Queensland regional cities over the five years to 2011, with median prices rising 50 percent. In recent years, there have been few signs of growth and many suburbs remain in decline as a result of recent economic reversals.
News of Clive Palmer’s nickel refinery closing in 2016 has not helped the market.
But Hotspotting expects an economic revival in 2017 and better results in the property market, a sentiment shared by Herron Todd White. In the October 2016 edition of its In Focus report, HTW said conditions in the residential market were starting to stabilise.
A core problem for Townsville has been oversupply, bringing an adjustment in rents. Despite that, yields remain attractive and are generally in the 5-6 percent range for houses. Some of the unit markets have median yields close to 7 percent.
So it’s a good time to consider Townsville as it gears for a growth phase. Job-generating projects are set to get under way in 2017, headed by a $1.9 billion CBD makeover. The Townsville City Waterfront Priority Development Area plan is designed to create a modern city space where 30,000 people are expected to be living and working in the CBD by 2030.
New developments will include bars, restaurants and shops. This will also be the site of a sports stadium, convention centre, arts precinct and a redevelopment of the North Yards railway sheds.
Townsville will thrive on the Adani coal project, which will have its HQ in Townsville, if the miner’s undertakings are kept. But nothing is certain in the resources sector and Townsvillemay have to fight to maximise the benefits because other regional cities can sniff the opportunities. Hence this headline in the local paper on 10 February: “Townsville declares war on Rocky.”
In a story on the front page of the Townsville Bulletin, Townsville Mayor Jenny Hill said the gloves were off in beating out other regional cities for Adani's FIFO hub.
Townsville is likely to benefit from other mining activity in Central Queensland, despite being hundreds of kilometres from the mine sites, in many cases. As one example of how major mining companies approach staffing these days, reports suggest BHP Billiton “has turned to Townsville locals to fill 200 fly-in, fly-out jobs in the Bowen Basin”.
There are 270 jobs on offer at the company’s Peak Downs and Saraji mines near Moranbah and a spokesman for BHP Billiton Mitsubishi Alliance (BMA) says they are advertising FIFO roles from Townsville.
Townsville is also likely to benefit from plans for Singaporean Armed Forces to train at Shoalwater Bay Training Area and Townsville Field Training Area. Up to 14,000 Singapore personnel will conduct unilateral army training for up to 18 weeks a year by 2021. Land will be used for tank training and $300 million will be spent on new facilities. This is the plan that became contentious recently when rural landholders claimed their properties would be forcibly resumed to make way for the military manoeuvres.
Then there’s a $225 million solar farm planned in the Upper Ross, with the project attracting federal funding and a solar power purchase agreement reported to be the biggest in the country. Under a 13-year contract, EnergyAustralia will buy 80 per cent of the electricity generated by the 142MW facility, enough power for 52,000 homes.
With so many large-scale projects in its future, Townsville is poised to return to growth and tuned-in investors will be looking around for opportunities.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can  <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting">Twitter.</a>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Tuned in investors turning towards Townsville

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It’s a marvel that Australia has any regional cities left.
Every time there’s a major (and sometimes relatively minor) business reversal, media declares the death of the local economy and often the collapse the local property market.
Legendary author Mark Twain could have been speaking for Newcastle, Wollongong, Geelong and many other regional cities when he said that “the reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated”.
The latest Australian regional city to inspire a premature obituary is Townsville in the wake of the decision by political and business buffoon Clive Palmer to shed 237 jobs at his Queensland Nickel refinery. 
As has become common in the wake of such events, the media coverage has been a tad over the top since the announcement. I’ve seen reports predicting devastation of the local economy. One suggested Townsville would become “a ghost town”.
Admittedly some of the dire forecasts have been sourced from sacked workers who were understandably emotional.
But beyond the unfortunate impacts on the affected families, the downsizing of the Queensland Nickel business is not a catastrophe for Townsville.
The northern Queensland city is one of Australia’s strongest regional economies. It has wonderful diversity, with a broad range of strong industry sectors providing employment and economic activity.
It has a major (and expanding) military presence, a massive government sector, a significant education industry, a busy tourism industry and various activities related to the resources sector, among others. 
Few Australian regional cities can match it for strength and diversity.
A couple of years from now the Queensland Nickel kerfuffle will be seen as a minor blip in the economic life of this very strong city.
Townsville is not the first regional economy to be declared terminal and it won’t be the last.
Last rites have been administered in recent years to both Wollongong and Geelong, which nevertheless remain very much alive and kicking.
Wollongong was proclaimed an impending basket case when Bluescope Steel announced some major downsizing in 2011. Media went overboard. I recall one headline predicting that property values would fall 50%.
But something quite different occurred. The Wollongong property market has recorded strong price growth in the years since, partly because it caught the wave from Sydney and partly because of positive events in the local economy. 
What the doomsayers overlooked when they over-reacted to the Bluescope Steel job cuts is that there are a lot of  other things happening in Wollongong besides the smokestack industries. Like many other regional cities, Wollongong has been busily reinventing itself and these days has strong industry sectors in education, IT and tourism, among others.
The gradual decline in employment at the steelworks has been going on since the 1970s. Back then, Bluescope Steel employed 27,000 people. Today it provides jobs to only 10% of that number. In the meantime, Wollongong has moved on and created new modern industries to sustain itself.
It’s doing just fine.
So is Geelong, although it should have shuffled off this mortal coil before now, in the wake of bad news about the Ford car plant and one or two other old-style industries. 
But, like Wollongong, Geelong isn’t a blue collar factory town any more. Its biggest employment sectors are eduction and health. The city is thriving as an affordable lifestyle alternative to Melbourne, to which it is now better connected since the completion of the $5 billion Regional Rail Link.
Major new enterprises are opening up in Geelong. One is the National Disability Insurance Scheme, which is being headquartered in Geelong and is attracting other enterprises that want to be located near it.
In real estate terms, Geelong is the strongest market in regional Victoria and I don’t expect that to change any time soon.
There are echoes in this situation also of Newcastle, which was expected to wither and die following the closure of BHP activities in the late 1990s. But check it out today and you’ll find a strong and vibrant city where spending on new infrastructure and property developments totals many billions of dollars. 
And so it will be with Townsville. I’m sure those 237 people who are losing their jobs are suffering (I’ve experienced retrenchment a couple of times in my life and it’s not pleasant) but Townsville as a community and as an economy will not be devastated. 
We’re talking 237 jobs in a city of 200,000 people. Even allowing for flow-on effects, Townsville’s future is as strong as ever.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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Townsville economy will weather mining downturn: Terry Ryder

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The leading growth markets in Australia are now popping up in unexpected places.
Regional centres like Launceston and Townsville (above), as well as the affordable outer-ring precincts of our capital cities, dominate Hotspotting’s new National Top 10 list for municipalities with the highest number of growth suburbs.
This partly reflects the decrease in the number of rising markets in Sydney and Melbourne, with both the big cities still performing solidly but well past their peaks in terms of sales volumes. The attention is now shifting to other cities.
In the new Spring edition of The Price Predictor Index, the Moreton Bay Region in Brisbane’s north is the No.1 LGA in Australia for growth markets, having overtaken the Sunshine Coast. 
Moreton Bay LGA has 14 suburbs with upwardly-mobile markets, with buyers attracted by affordable prices, infrastructure and jobs nodes. Growth areas include Caboolture, Burpengary, Arana Hills, Bongaree, Deception Bay, Bray Park, Woorim and Warner. 
Morayfield is a key market, with sales around 170 per quarter, compared to 120-130 two years ago.
The Sunshine Coast LGA continues to feature strongly. It has 12 growth suburbs, while the neighbouring Noosa LGA has four. Growth stars include Coolum Beach where quarterly sales are up from around 70 to above 100. Caloundra and nearby Golden Beach are also thriving.
The Adelaide market gets very little national attention but it’s showing considerable resilience and there is growth potential in specific precincts. The Marion LGA in Adelaide’s south-west is the leading market in the South Australia capital, having lifted the number of growth suburbs in each of the past three quarterly surveys.
The Marion LGA, a middle-market area of Adelaide, now has nine rising suburbs, including Oaklands Park (median house price $470,000) which has lifted sales from 18 to 24 to 29 to 30 to 37 to 41 in the past six quarters. Other growth suburbs include Sheidow Park, Clovelly Park, Dover Gardens, Edwardstown and Glengowrie.
The Hobart market has captured national attention as homes sell quickly, rents rise at rates above the national average and price growth challenges the major cities. Within the Hobart metro area, the Clarence LGA is the market leader, although growth suburbs are spread across the city. 
Clarence, on the opposite side of the Derwent from the CBD, includes growth suburbs such as Geilston Bay, Bellerive, Lindisfarne, Rokeby, Risdon Vale and Warrane.
Launceston markets continue to grow in strength, but tend to be overlooked because of growing national focus on results in Hobart. Tasmania’s No.2 city has eight suburbs with growth markets, while the nearby West Tamar LGA has three. Affordable Invermay (median house price $230,000) typifies the growth in this region. Its sales levels have grown from 19 to 22 to 24 to 29 to 34 to 37 in the past six quarters, while sales in South Launceston have risen from 20 to 29 to 34 to 47 to 51.
Townsville in North Queensland is one of the nation’s comeback markets. It is showing increasing signs of recovery from years in which the usually-strong local economy struggled, thanks to the downturn in the resources sector and the closure of the city’s nickel refinery. 
The growing evidence of a revival is likely to gather pace as major events (such as the location of the headquarters for the $20 billion Adani mining project) start to take shape. On the back of improving economic prospects, Townsville now has six suburbs with rising markets. 
Perth too is mounting a comeback after four years in a slump and regions in the north of the metro area are leading the fightback. The Wanneroo LGA is  featuring strongly; it has six suburbs with growing sales activity - remarkable when you consider that the entire Perth metro area had zero growth suburbs only nine months ago. 
The growth markets include Alkimos, Carramar, Clarkson and Hocking. The Wanneroo LGA is the fast-growing municipality in WA and includes several new growth suburbs. As is often the case in such areas, vacancies are high in some postcodes but this will change as demand continues to grow. 
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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Leading growth markets popping up in unexpected places: Terry Ryder

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The largest CBD freehold, mixed-used development site with holding income, is set to hit the market in the coming weeks.
Colliers International in conjunction with CBRE are selling this significant holding known as the South Yards precinct, on behalf of Honeycombes Property Group who are one of Queensland’s largest private developers. The 17.2ha site is on the edge of the Townsville CBD and will become an extension of the city once fully developed.
Adjacent to the new $300 million, 25,000 seat Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the purchaser will have the opportunity to masterplan the site and develop a mixed-use precinct, capitalising on the growth underway in North Queensland.
The South Yards precinct has a holding income of more than $870,000 per annum; a rarity for large-scale development sites.
“The South Yards site is intended to be the natural expansion of the Townsville CBD and represents a huge opportunity for a forward-thinking investor, developer or land banker,” said Samuel Biggins, Director, Investment Services at Colliers International. 
“Notable comparisons can be drawn to renowned urban renewal projects such as Brisbane’s James Street and Southbank precincts; Lend Lease’s Barangaroo project and Docklands in Melbourne.” 
Neville Smith, Associate Director, Townsville at Colliers International said “Townsville is the economic, administrative, educational and defensive hub of Northern Australia, with over $12 billion in infrastructure projects currently underway.  
“The city enjoys a diversified economy supported by several sectors including the Australian Defence Force; prominent higher education institutions such as James Cook University and State and Federal government bodies including the Australian Tax Office and Queensland Government Regional Headquarters.  
This major land holding is of the same size as Townville’s existing core CBD with an anticipated development standard already set with the grandeur of the new Stadium precinct opposite
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Townsville’s most strategic land holding is on the market 

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Anecdotal evidence suggests that the supply of new stock being brought to Townsville market remains low as potential sellers hold off listing properties in the current environment, according to the latest Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report. 
The valuation firm suggests that in locations across the nation, the downtime delivered by isolation has spurned on owners looking to improve their assets through maintenance and upgrade. This month's HTW residential report highlights where renovations are on the rise and the price points and outcomes those markets can expect.
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"We are continuing to see sales occur, albeit at lower volumes compared to pre-COVID-19 and to date value levels appear to be holding," the valuation firm said. 
The report states over the past 12 months there has been a noticeable increase in the number of house flippers in the market, typically operating within the five to eight kilometre radius of the city centre in suburbs such as Railway Estate, Currajong and Gulliver.
 The buy in price for homes with renovation potential in these areas is typically in the low $200,000s with end values created in the high $200,000s to mid $300,000s depending on the extent and quality of the works undertaken.
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"The rise in popularity of lifestyle home renovation shows such as House Rules and The Block are also contributing to the increase in renovation projects being undertaken by home owners," the valuation firm said.
The reason behind this increase could be contributed in part to the change-over cost from their current home to an upgraded property, the report suggested. 
Furthermore, location seems to be a factor in the decision to renovate. Owners not wanting to take a gamble on location by moving are opting to stay where they are and renovate to accommodate their changing circumstances.
"Apart from upgrades to kitchens and bathrooms, we are seeing decks and outdoor living spaces added and house extensions to create more living space and utility," the valuation firm said. 
"The renovator market is likely to continue tracking on its current course during 2020 with the cost of borrowing remaining low and a preference from buyers at this time for renovated properties requiring little work with the age old saying of 'I’d rather be opening a can of beer (or bottle of wine), than a can of paint' ringing true," the valuation firm said. 
A renovated Queenslander cottage in South Townsville has recently been sold for $330,000.
The <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-qld-south+townsville-133215230" target="_blank">36 Nelson Street</a> home (pictured below) comprises three bedrooms, functional kitchen, study and expansive undercover patio area. 
It features renovated bathroom, split air-conditioning and electric controlled gate. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/6/29/south%20townsville%20.jpg" alt="">
 
A current listing is a three bedroom house in Railway Estate. 
The <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-qld-railway+estate-133779006" target="_blank">71 Ninth Avenue</a> home (pictured below) comes with refurbished kitchen, renovated bathroom, open plan living and three generous bedrooms. 
It also features fresher painted interior and exterior, rumpus room, and traditional features including high ceilings and light timber floorboards. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/6/29/railway%20estate.jpg" alt="">
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Townsville renovators prefer properties requiring little work: HTW residential 

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Jobs and job security are major drivers of our local property market with both of these currently heading in the right direction prior to COVID-19 directives, according to a recent Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report. 
The current COVID-19 epidemic is going to have a negative impact on key drivers, so it will be interesting to see what impact this may have on the property market in the short to medium term, the valuation firm said.
"Over the twelve months since January 2019, we have seen a trend increase of 7.1 percent in the number of persons employed in the Townsville region. 
"Our unemployment rate is on a downward trend and the higher levels of business confidence and strong rates of job advertising being observed bode well for continued strength in employment creation in the coming months," the valuation firm said. 
"We have a strong pipeline of projects proposed to commence in 2020 or currently underway, with completion of the North Queensland Stadium and its hosting of events now a reality." 
The report suggests this is providing a positive driver along with other proposed inner city projects such as the SeaLink ferry terminal, the Cowboys Centre of Excellence and the 166-room Double Tree by Hilton hotel.
Detached housing in inner suburbs such as Belgian Gardens, North Ward and South Townsville in close proximity to entertainment and lifestyle hubs are seeing sales rates quickening and selling periods reducing. Sales however are still price sensitive and price movements thus far have been minimal.
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"We are however entering a period of unprecedented global economic disruption with COVID-19. Just how this will translate in our local market in terms of jobs and job security will be a major indicator to watch over the months ahead." 
A beachside unit in North Ward has recently been sold for $290,000.
The <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-unit-qld-north+ward-133163758" target="_blank">11/177 Mitchell Street</a> home (pictured below) comprises two bedrooms, two bathrooms, multiple balconies and secure car space. 
The complex features resort-style pool and entertaining area. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/5/25/north%20yard.jpg" alt="">
A current listing is a traditional Queensland cottage in South Townsville priced at $335,000.
The two bedroom, one bathroom is situated at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-qld-south+townsville-133146638" target="_blank">12 Sixth Avenue</a> (pictured below).
Positioned on a 721sqm block, it comes with modern kitchen, front veranda, internal laundry and huge yard. 
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<div>Note regards COVID-19</div>
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This edition of Month In Review had its topic defined in late February with submissions from our offices collated through to late March. During this period, shifts in the social and economic landscape due to COVID-19 became increasingly dramatic, as demonstrated by the varied information provided by offices over the course of three weeks. 
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<div>This month’s residential theme on baseline property market drivers remains a common thread, and provides an indication of what influences to monitor as the property sector recovers post-crisis.</div>
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How will COVID-19 pandemic transform Townsville property market: HTW residential 

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A major Townsville commercial office building has been acquired by Independent fund manager Castlerock, in the largest commercial office transaction in Far North Queensland.
The Melbourne-based group secured the State Government tenanted 445 Flinders Street in a deal brokered by Colliers for $92,855,000 million.
The deal represents a yield of 6.9 per cent on the passing income.
Settlement was pushed forward two months to the end of March due to a faster than expected influx of investors targeting long-term sustainable assets with strong and stable leases, according to the agents.
Castlerock director, Adam Bronts, said it was the company’s largest transaction to date and reflected a strategy to start moving into bigger transactions.
The purchase comes 18 months after Castlerock acquired 44 Nelson Street in Mackay for $52.4 million, again in a deal brokered by Colliers.
Both buildings are tenanted long-term by the Queensland Government.
“The purchase of Flinders Street in Townsville is our largest asset acquired to date and confirms our approach to purchasing long-term sustainable assets with long-term government tenants,” said Mr Bronts.
“It is a significant building in the city and a fantastic asset for our investors.”
445 Flinders Street acts as the region’s primary State Government headquarters and is 89 per cent leased to the government until September 2028, with a five-year lease renewal option.
Designed by ML Design, it is classified as an A-grade building comprising 11,383 square metres of floorspace across nine levels and offering the largest column-free floorplates in the local market.
It includes an additional 252 square metres of retail at ground level and three-level podium carpark accommodating 195 parking bays that offer Townsville’s best carparking ratio of 1:60.
It is occupied by the Department of Transport and Main Roads, the Department of Natural Resources and Mines and the Department of Health and Education.
The building also houses the Queensland Government’s North Queensland Recovery Centre, which because of its critical nature, has been highly specified and is able to operate without power or water for up to five days. Designed and built to an Importance Level Four classification, it can operate in the event of a natural disaster.
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Government-occupied Townsville office building sold in record deal

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Townsville agent Julie Mahoney not only conducted her first online auction but also managed to become the first Townsville office to sell property via online platform.
Two properties were snapped up on Monday night, 7 Townsend St, Mysterton (pictured above) sold for $450,000 and 116-118 Martinez Avenue, West End went for $545,000.
Office principal and selling agent Julie Mahoney said the auctions drew a large range of bidders including locals, those from interstate and even a few international viewers translating to some great results on the night.
Ms Mahoney said, "most of the bidders were local but the demographic was quite interesting."
“We had bidders who were aged from 70 plus online and one of my vendors who will be auctioning later in the month watched from England."
A local first home buyer couple were the winning bidders on 7 Townsend St, Mysterton which they said was the first auction they’ve participated in.
“We were very nervous, however it was an easier process than what we thought it was going to be and not being able to see the competition actually made it easier,” they said.
The couple had been looking for several months and the four bedroom home was exactly what they were after.
Calling the auctions was Ray White Queensland chief auctioneer Mitch Peereboom who said he is thrilled to see both buyers and sellers embracing the new technology.
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Townsville's first successful online auction sale

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The retail market in Townsville during 2020 is likely to maintain its status quo with the greater economic climate in the retail sector making for tough conditions, according to the latest report from valuation firm Herron Todd White.
“Generally speaking, we are seeing a firming in yields in the broader retail sector, however there appears to be limited potential for rental growth in the current environment and a higher risk of increasing vacancies on the back of looming lease expiries with no current commitment to re-lease,” said the March report.
“Ageing neighbourhood centres with a single anchor tenant will likely present a higher risk due to capital expenditure requirements and cash flow volatility.”
The potential for redevelopment of these centres in the current market is also limited.
The firm ultimately concluded that the smaller sub-neighbourhood centres offering a mix of fast food and drive through options are likely to remain the retail flavour during 2020.
 
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