Less than two years after breaking ground, Gardner Vaughan Group is celebrating the topping out of Bask, its second development in the exclusive coastal enclave of Bokarina on Queensland’s Sunshine Coast.&nbsp;

Located only minutes from the beachfront, the two seven-storey luxury apartment towers, known individually as Mydas and Caretta, offer a selection of one-to-four-bedroom residences with views of Lake Kawana, the Glasshouse Mountains, and Bokarina Beach.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=141609 project_image_fid=333359]

Gardner Vaughan Group Commercial Director Sam Gardner said the milestone marks the home stretch for construction, with first residents expected to be able to move in from Spring 2026.&nbsp;

“This is a significant milestone in bringing this development to life and represents our confidence in this region’s long-term growth and appeal,” Gardner said.&nbsp;

“With 85 per cent of apartments already sold, buyers are joining an established, coastal village that offers the very best of the Sunshine Coast – seasonally patrolled surf beaches, renowned restaurants, and links to established health and retail.&nbsp;

“The final collection of three- and four- bedroom apartments range in size from 127sqm to 300sqm, each with two or three secure car parks and storage, and with construction fast approaching completion we don’t expect the last few apartments to remain on the market for long.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=141609 project_image_fid=333362]

Local restaurateur Luke Stringer, who co-owns and manages the award-winning Bocca Italian and Playa Mexican restaurants in Bokarina, has lived in the beachside suburb for 18 months and worked there for more than three years, and said the beachside suburb was thriving.&nbsp;

“It’s fair to say Bokarina is finally stepping into the sun and there’s a lot to love about the place,"&nbsp;Stringer said.

"It’s such a great community, where you see the same smiling faces every morning and everything’s within easy reach – it’s the perfect hub in the middle of the Sunshine Coast.

“When we first opened Bocca Italian, we were the lone restaurant, but it’s been amazing to see how the area has grown. The more venues that open, the busier it gets for everyone. When Playa Mexican opened its first Saturday night, Bocca had a record night and Playa was packed too, which blew us away how everyone is thriving.&nbsp;

“There’s a great energy around the place now, and people are really embracing Bokarina as a food and lifestyle destination.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=141609 project_image_fid=363368]

Stringer joined other buyers at Bask Bokarina and the Gardner Vaughan Group team to celebrate the topping out at a special event in February.&nbsp;

Located in Kawana Waters, midway between Caloundra and Maroochydore, Bokarina locals enjoy scenic walking paths around Lake Kawana, playgrounds, beachfront boardwalk and parklands, alongside all the convenience of a masterplanned beachside community.&nbsp;

“You see people jogging or swimming in the morning, then grabbing coffee at the cafes, people are really embracing the area and all this growth is bringing more people to Bokarina,” Stringer added.&nbsp;

To take advantage of the vistas, each of the 135 apartments at Bask is designed with full size windows and high ceilings that provide an abundance of natural light.&nbsp;

Prices for the remaining three-bedroom apartments start at $1,599,000 and four-bedroom apartments start at $3,149,000.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=141609 project_image_fid=363369]

The mixed-use development also features ground-level retail space for cafés, dining options and boutiques, including the soon-to-be-opened ‘Corner Shop’, by the team behind Noosa’s well known ‘Organika’.

Sam Gardner said Gardner Vaughan Group’s 37-year history building and developing across South East Queensland has contributed to the success of its second development in Bokarina, which follows the recently completed Zinc Apartments.&nbsp;

“We care how people live and this is reflected in the way we approach the design and delivery of every development,” he said. “Furthermore, as a builder-developer we have full control over the construction program and our 100 per cent completion rate is something people can draw confidence from.”&nbsp;

Founded by civil engineers Guy Gardner and Darryl Vaughan in 1989, the family-owned business has evolved from a consultancy firm to an award-winning builder-developer, with projects across the Sunshine Coast, Moreton Bay, Brisbane and the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=141609]

Joel Robinson

Gardner Vaughan Group tops out Bask Bokarina apartments

Prolific Melbourne developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/hirsch-faigen">Hirsch &amp; Faigen</a> has launched its fourth new Gold Coast development in as many years.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/hirsch-faigen">Hirsch &amp; Faigen</a>, led by Daniel Faigen and backed by Eddie Hirsch, co-founder of United Petroleum, has unveiled The Eveleigh, on a prime 1,100 sqm site at 7-9 Surf Parade in the heart of Broadbeach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-eveleigh-broadbeach-7-9-surf-parade-broadbeach-qld-4218">The Eveleigh</a> will deliver 100 apartments across 31 levels, making it the company’s largest Gold Coast project to date. It builds on the success of its three earlier developments, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/hemingway-1267-1273-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach">The Hemingway in Palm Beach</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/emerson-kirra-100-musgrave-street-coolangatta">The Emerson at Kirra</a>, both completed, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yves-mermaid-beach-7-9-mermaid-avenue-mermaid-beach">Yves Mermaid Beach</a>, which is nearing completion.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360966]

The announcement of The Eveleigh affirms the company’s sustained confidence in the Gold Coast market which continues to remain undersupplied. It also increases the value of Hirsch &amp; Fa​igen’s Gold Coast development portfolio to more than $700 million since the company first entered the market in 2021 with Hemingway.

The company has enlisted its preferred architecture firm Rothelowman to design The Eveleigh, which will offer a thoughtfully curated lifestyle, including a substantial wellness precinct, communal recreation areas, children’s play spaces, work-from-home facilities, and shared lounge and dining areas.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360965]

Designed for the prime market demographic of downsizers and interstate lifestyle investors in mind, The Eveleigh has been crafted to offer an increasingly rare blend of affordable luxury in a tightly held market. Uniquely positioned in the heart of the Gold Coast’s most sought-after lifestyle suburb of Broadbeach, the project will also boast uninterrupted beach and hinterland views.

The Surf Parade site is just a short walk to the bustling Broadbeach dining and retail precinct, Pacific Fair, The Star Gold Coast and convention centre, and an easy stroll to Kurrawa Beach and the recreational amenity of Pratten Park on the Broadbeach foreshore.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360975]

“We’re excited to be proceeding with our fourth project on the Gold Coast in what is certain to become the new luxury precinct in Broadbeach,” says Anthony Bueti, the CFO of Hirsch &amp;a​mp; Faigen and a shareholder of the group.

“With the likes of Mosa​ic and Abedian &amp;a​mp; Co also launching quality projects in the area, the transformation will cement Broadbeach as the premier lifestyle and amenity suburb on the Gold Coast.

"After four years in the Gold Coast market, and with three successful projects completed, The Eveleigh is the product of everything we have learned to love about the Gold Coast and it will be an incredible addition to our growing portfolio in one of the most vibrant property markets in the country. We continue to remain very confident in the high-end Gold Coast property market.”

Urban Activation Director Matt George is handling sales for The Eveleigh, having sold out The Emerson, The Hemingway, and Yves, all before construction was completed.

Melbourne builder MAXCON has already commenced construction on The Eveleigh. They are forecasting a mid-2028 completion.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=149670]

Hirsch & Faigen unveils The Eveleigh in Broadbeach

Two years after securing development approval for the final stage of its award-winning Thornton Precinct on the doorstep of Penrith Station, Urban Property Group is set to launch <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/mayfair-on-penrith-172-lord-sheffield-circuit-penrith-nsw-2750">Mayfair on Penrith</a>, around 400 apartments designed to reflect two of Sydney’s most iconic structures.

The builder-developer has continued refining the design plans for the two-building development on a significant 8,280 sqm site on Sheffield Circuit, recognising the importance of the prime parcel as one of the closest developable sites to the station.

UPG enlisted architecture firm SJB to design the project. The team said they drew inspiration from both the General Post Office in Martin Place and East Circular Quay to help shape the design. The two-level colonnade, in particular, reflects the famous GPO building, which dates back to the 1860s.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136726 project_image_fid=362014]

There will be one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments on offer, with interiors by Cox Architecture. Residences will sit above a retail podium featuring hospitality and lifestyle operators such as One Playground and Volcano’s Steakhouse, contributing to an activated ground plane within the broader Thornton precinct.

A communal rooftop with a pool and views towards the Blue Mountains will provide shared open space for residents. The development is positioned between Ron Mulock Oval and Westfield Penrith, with the Nepean River and Great River Walk also nearby, placing daily amenity and green space within walking distance.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136726 project_image_fid=362015]

Mayfair is being delivered by Urban Property Group, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly 40 years’ experience across Sydney. The project will be the first in Penrith to be offered with Resilience Insurance’s 10-year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI) policy, which Urban Property Group has adopted across a number of its recent developments. The developer also has a 4.5-star iCIRT rating, one of the best ratings in market providing further confidence to buyers.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said providing additional assurance to off-the-plan buyers has become increasingly important.

“Anything we can do to give confidence in our product is a plus,” Elias told Apartments.com.au.

“Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. They’re making their single large investment, which is their home, and providing confidence is something that we feel is paramount.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136726 project_image_fid=362020]

The LDI policy provides a 10-year warranty covering structural defects, with independent inspections carried out during construction and protection for owners if defects arise post-completion.

Mayfair represents Urban Property Group’s sixth and final development within Thornton, consolidating the masterplanned precinct immediately east of the station.

The developer, which builds its own projects, has already commenced construction. SRM Residential is handling the sales campaign.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=136726]

Urban Property Group to close the curtain on award-winning Thornton precinct with Mayfair on Penrith release

Investor appetite for Queenstown apartments is strengthening as supply constraints and four-season tourism continue to underpin demand across the alpine region.

In Frankton’s masterplanned Remarkables Park precinct,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>’s 141-apartment Mountain Oak development is attracting repeat and yield-focused buyers seeking exposure to that market dynamic.

Brandon, who specifically targeted Queenstown as an investment location, said the combination of price point and limited new supply made Mountain Oak stand out.

“It is a quality product in a location that struggles to densify,” he said, referencing Queenstown’s land-locked geography and development limitations.

<img alt="From slopes to markets: Mountain Oak connects residents to the best of Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/658d4f_48c3ec1ae5df4a2cab7d23c07c7f51b3~mv2.jpg?VersionId=27K8oQ4ExDN8Yu70VHDa9Olq59XU36m3" />

Having spent significant time in the region, Brandon pointed to its global reputation and consistent visitation as key fundamentals.

“Queenstown is a known destination from people all over the world. The place is land locked and there are issues building there. It’s also busy all year round.”

That four-season economy, driven by skiing and snowboarding in winter and hiking, cycling and water-based tourism in summer, was also central to Sherry’s decision to invest.

“I believe the four-season tourism has major appeal as it would ensure that the property will not remain empty, unlike other areas in NZ,” she said.

<img alt="From slopes to markets: Mountain Oak connects residents to the best of Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Living_WEB.jpg?VersionId=3LglY20Jp_MAzQYdvwODRWvtjL.cZcqI" />

Mountain Oak has been structured to respond to that sustained demand, with 365-day visitor accommodation consent underpinning a mix of one-bedroom, flexi, two-bedroom and dual-key configurations that can operate as either short-term visitor accommodation or long-term rental housing. Dual-key apartments comprise two self-contained residences on one title, allowing owners to generate dual income streams or occupy one side while leasing the other.&nbsp;

Under Safari Group’s optional visitor accommodation management model, owners receive 60 per cent of the annual income generated by their apartment, with 24/7 on-site management, guest services and listing exposure included. Independent appraisal modelling suggests gross yields of up to 15 per cent for certain two-bedroom configurations, based on estimated nightly rates and occupancy assumptions.

For Brandon, that flexibility aligned with his broader investment strategy.

“It helps to know that I can have it managed either way,” he said. “My focus is on purchasing high yield cashflow properties.”

<img alt="Investors back Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments as Queenstown’s four-season economy drives demand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c786ba7f-f974-4ce3-9833-1bcd9f2938d6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/658d4f_ae3c049f388f4c13bf801649d91cbb4a~mv2%20%281%29.jpg?VersionId=J25uvzGdvtFaXGzuwz28ewJ9wWzbtvur" />

He selected a one-bedroom flexi configuration, citing both yield and adaptability.

“I work remotely and can travel to most places and work. I enjoy making spaces that work for the lifestyle that I live and it seems that others also enjoy it.”

Ranging from 54 to 57 square metres, the one-bedroom flexi incorporates a separate multipurpose room suited to a home office, additional storage, or accommodation for ski gear and seasonal equipment, an increasingly relevant inclusion for buyers balancing remote work and alpine travel.

Interiors feature underfloor heating in bathrooms and a heat pump in the main living area, supporting year-round comfort. Upper-level apartments are positioned to maximise natural light, with sliding windows and balustrades in select residences enhancing outlook and ventilation. Units are available in both light and dark interior schemes.

<img alt="Investors back Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments as Queenstown’s four-season economy drives demand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8f9492e9-8ee0-4aae-856c-8996ed9d9a06" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/658d4f_7d066f5200024c1aa472d01e2dc776ed~mv2.jpg?VersionId=MLR5xn6fLqPdBi7vxyRT.1zhQX3Ln0Ev" />

Sherry, a repeat Safari Group buyer, said her previous experience with the developer provided confidence to secure another apartment.

“Their developments have always finished on time, the quality has been high, and I didn't feel that my investment may be at risk,” she said. “Knowledge of the developer and our two existing Safari apartments gave us the confidence to proceed with this one.”

Safari Group has delivered more than 2,000 hotel units and residential apartments nationally and is now undertaking its fifth Queenstown development, reinforcing buyer confidence in delivery capability.

Although Sherry was not initially targeting Queenstown due to its price profile, prior visits reshaped her view of the market.

“I absolutely love this region and believe it is a major tourist attraction, which led me to the decision to invest.”

<img alt="How Mountain Oak Apartments draws holiday home buyers to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Construction commenced in June 2025, with completion anticipated by mid-2027. Apartments are priced from NZ$639,000, and the development carries Overseas Investment Office exemption approval, allowing non-residents to purchase.

For both investors, the purchase represents a balance of income generation and long-term portfolio positioning in a tightly held alpine market.

“I firmly believe my investments in Safari developments are a combination of all these elements,” Sherry said. “The location of this project enabled me to diversify.”

As Queenstown continues to attract year-round visitation alongside constrained housing supply, Mountain Oak’s dual-key flexibility, optional on-site management structure and established developer track record are resonating with investors seeking exposure to the region’s resilient tourism economy.

Investors back Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments as Queenstown’s four-season economy drives demand

The Minns Labor Government is today unveiling a game-changing new precinct at Bays West – delivering up to 8,500 well-located homes, including a minimum of 10 per cent affordable and essential worker homes - directly above the new Bays West Metro Station currently under construction.

The landmark transformation will convert underutilised government-owned port land on the Harbour into Sydney’s newest suburb, while retaining important deep-water port facilities to support Sydney’s working harbour.

Located just minutes from the Sydney CBD and connected to a world-class metro, ferry, walking and cycling links, the Bays West precinct will rebalance housing growth towards well-serviced inner-city locations and help tackle the state’s housing crisis.

<img alt="Bays West" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c5f01d10-0b6b-49de-8033-d3ef2728cb6d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-03-04%20at%204.06.12%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=UA6_r._1jYROJ5tFNXMHqjNYLKYWIN.Y" />

Affordable housing will be embedded from the outset, including dedicated homes for essential workers such as nurses, teachers, paramedics, firefighters and police so they can live closer to the communities they serve.

The precinct will combine new housing with public open space, opening public access to the waterfront for the first time in more than 100 years.

Night-time entertainment and creative industries will be anchored by the revitalisation of the historic White Bay Power Station as a cultural and community destination, connected to the harbour across a new expansive public forecourt.

Planning of the area will prioritise connectivity, including active transport links to neighbouring communities such as Rozelle, Balmain and Glebe, improved pedestrian access to the waterfront, and connections to the CBD, including an active transport link across the Glebe Island Bridge.

The Government will lead a master planning process that will include an international design competition to guide development across the precinct, ensuring homes, essential infrastructure, jobs, public spaces and transport links are delivered together.

It will be led by a new delivery agency to be established over the coming weeks, which will report to Minister Kamper who already has oversight of major precinct renewal projects including at Blackwattle Bay and Barangaroo. Once established, the publicly owned land in the precinct will be transferred to the new agency.

This is the first new suburb that has been built in inner Sydney in decades, it will see homes built alongside the Bays West Metro Station ensuring young people, families and downsizers are only minutes away from the CBD. As part of the transformation of the Bays West precinct, bulk port operations – including cement, gypsum and sugar handling – will cease on Glebe Island by no later than 2030.

<img alt="Glebe" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="46ef3c23-2ce1-4912-b8ba-5247de19d7b9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-03-04%20at%204.02.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=I5xKa7hLNlsueMsltA2dsYrRYtZCKvZz" />

The Government will work closely with industry to minimise impacts and ensure the continuity of supply. This includes a commitment of $270 million to improve road connections around the port at Port Kembla and to investigate increased rail freight capacity.

Working harbour operations across the precinct will be consolidated, mostly into White Bay, ensuring the precinct will continue to provide critical services for the harbour, including boat maintenance and marine construction and as a base for tug boats and for emergency services.

A new staging area will be established in White Bay, securing the future of the New Year’s Eve fireworks, Vivid and other major events for decades to come.

<img alt="Glebe island" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0554b153-b225-445b-a633-75aecea7dec9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-03-04%20at%204.06.17%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=P45ABy8KLuwjzVf04APWfeC4aOMA1Ngx" />

The cruise terminal will be retained in its current location, meaning tourists arriving in Sydney will be welcomed by the new precinct, with new shore-power facilities currently being installed that will reduce noise and emissions. The Sydney Heritage Fleet will also be offered new premises in White Bay.

Deep-water berths will be retained to preserve Sydney Harbour’s strategic operational capability, and the removal of the existing 1970s industrial silos, currently used as a billboard, as well as to store cement and sugar, will unlock new opportunities for public space and future housing.

“Right above a new metro station and minutes from the CBD, we’re delivering thousands of homes where people actually need them - close to work, close to services and close to transport,"&nbsp;Premier of New South Wales Chris Minns said.

“Importantly, this precinct will include affordable and essential worker housing from day one, so nurses, teachers, paramedics and police can live closer to the communities they serve.

“We understand that not everyone will welcome change, but cities don’t stand still. If Sydney is going to remain a place young people and families can afford to live in, we have to use well-located land better and plan for the future.”

Glebe Island to accomodate 8,500 new homes near new Bays Metro Station

Residential Market Trends

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One of the recent trends in real estate is more people moving from the big cities and buying in lifestyle areas within an hour or two of the city.
This movement has been enhanced by technology which allows people to work from home or by improved transport links.
I’ve described Regional Victoria as the strongest market in the nation over the past two years, based on data on sales activity and price growth in multiple locations.
And much of the uplift in markets within an hour or two of Melbourne – in the north, north-west and the south-east – has been driven by buyers out of Melbourne, both home-buyers and investors.
In the six months before the onset of the virus-induced restrictions, there had also been a notable increase in sales activity, with consequent positive impact on prices, in regional areas close to Sydney, including the Central Coast, the Southern Highlands and the Wollongong region.
I believe this trend will be further exacerbated by the current situation, which is forcing people to work from home.
Some will make it a permanent arrangement – and increasingly we are seeing media commentary to that effect.
An article last week in the Herald Sun in Melbourne said:
Many Melburnians will leave the city behind for regional Victoria during the coronavirus crisis, property experts say.
Agencies are reporting a “significant increase” in inquiries about regional properties from city dwellers “seeing the benefits” of working from home due to the COVID-19 lockdown, and keener than ever to escape the “madness” of Melbourne life.
Others are viewing the pandemic-impacted market as offering opportunity to get their feet on the property ladder in affordable areas.
A report from JLL says the COVID-19 quarantine policies have sent employees of all levels – from chief executives to junior staff – home with laptops to their kitchen tables.
“With this mass experiment under way, there is a belief among workplace experts that such set-ups could become more prevalent at companies large and small,” it says.
“Well beyond the peak of the crisis, corporate culture and, more than likely, the digital skills of global workforces, will have changed in significant ways. Location and working hours could become more flexible, leading to better productivity and improved work life balance for individuals.”
Gillian Rowbotham, human experience director – Australasia at JLL, says: “Given how suddenly everything changed, that tech has stood up pretty well, and people are mostly enjoying the flexibility to manage their day according to what needs to be done, I think we are inevitably entering a new dawn in the workplace experience.”
Interior architect Iva Durakovic suggests the success of working from home will mark the end of the office as we current know it, with remote working becoming the new norm.
The Associate Lecturer at UNSW Built Environment believes that remote working arrangements will continue long after the coronavirus pandemic has passed and will also change the nature of office spaces for the better.
"We already saw this idea of a distributed workforce getting stronger - and this will only accelerate it,” she says.
She says that widespread working from home is shaking up the role of the traditional workplace and highlighting what is truly valuable.
"It will break down what we need to come to a traditional workplace for, like face-to-face contact, and the way the future work environment looks. And it will be very different."
All of this has consequences for real estate. It provides another good reason for property investors to consider regional real estate, which offers greater affordability and higher rental yields than the big cities – and, if you choose your location well, good potential for capital growth.
We’ve seen excellent price growth in the past year or two, not only in Regional Victoria, but also in regional locations in NSW, Tasmania, South Australia and increasingly in Queensland.
TERRY RYDER is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Regionalisation: The positive real estate trends exacerbated by COVID-19: HotSpotting's Terry Ryder

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EXPERT OBSERVER 
<div id="post-body-2776624239748747914" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>Residential building work done fell another 2½ per cent back in the first quarter of the year, to be 3.2 per cent lower than a year earlier. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Unsurprisingly this largely continued to be driven by apartments and medium-density dwelling activity in Sydney and Brisbane. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There'll plenty more where this came from in Q2 as well. </div>
 <div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-P9fueGlywsY/XOSqw1SGT1I/AAAAAAAAwHQ/oS8gzhTWMf0xNkQe5PiVpvTYLuSYPc7vwCLcBGAs/s1600/A1.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-P9fueGlywsY/XOSqw1SGT1I/AAAAAAAAwHQ/oS8gzhTWMf0xNkQe5PiVpvTYLuSYPc7vwCLcBGAs/s640/A1.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="814" data-original-width="1387"></a></div>
 <div>More disappointingly engineering construction is also now winding down sharply again, to be some 12.4 per cent lower than a year earlier. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>New South Wales and Queensland held up relatively well on public and infrastructure works.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But this was a poor result for Western Australia with the lowest level of activity since 2005. </div>
 <div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-7f-GxgMKemk/XOSqwrR3CnI/AAAAAAAAwHM/3FcMjU_TxqU6nY5J4JioFwIagFIGytCgQCLcBGAs/s1600/A2.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-7f-GxgMKemk/XOSqwrR3CnI/AAAAAAAAwHM/3FcMjU_TxqU6nY5J4JioFwIagFIGytCgQCLcBGAs/s640/A2.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="804" data-original-width="1369"></a></div>
 <div>In the post-Ichthys Northern Territory engineering activity is imploding towards zero.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The wrap</div>
<div> </div>
<div>An ugly result, as median market expectations were for total construction activity to be flat, but year-on-year the contraction has now blown out to 6 per cent and falling fast. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Market analysts and the most highly respected RBA-watchers are weighing up the potential for four interest rate cuts, in addition to fiscal stimulus or unconventional policies. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MRH8cCtxeAo/XOSsPDkwFXI/AAAAAAAAwHc/aSxB8JQy6v8ZDcLMoCZonL2IqDap63WzwCLcBGAs/s1600/JG.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MRH8cCtxeAo/XOSsPDkwFXI/AAAAAAAAwHc/aSxB8JQy6v8ZDcLMoCZonL2IqDap63WzwCLcBGAs/s640/JG.jpg" width="640" height="134" data-original-height="154" data-original-width="729"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The skilled vacancies figures for April showed construction jobs and trades down by between 10 and 20 per cent from a year earlier, pushing the monthly result lower once again. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The trend for skilled vacancies nationwide is now also 6 per cent lower than a year earlier, albeit coming back down from a very high peak in New South Wales and Victoria. </div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>. 
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Construction is winding down sharply: Pete Wargent

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Home owners are holding onto their property for much longer than they were 10 to 15 years ago.
Based on the findings from the CoreLogic May 2019 sales data (the most up to date data), the average hold period has consistently increased since 2005 across both house and units nationally.
Nationally, the average length of home ownership currently sits at 11.3 years for houses and 9.6 years for units, this is an increase of 3.8 years for houses and 2.9 years for units over the past 10 years. (Note: The average hold period figure is based on sales from the past year, using the latest sold date and the previous sold date to establish how many years a property has been held for between each transaction.)
Across the individual capital cities, the average hold period of both houses and units rose over the last 10 years, 5 years and current year, with houses being held longer relative to units across all capital cities.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/9/6/Home%20Ownership%201.JPG" alt="">
Melbourne houses recorded the longest period of ownership over the last year at an average of 12.5 years
Perth units recorded the longest average hold period of 10.8 years.
Darwin houses are typically being held for 9.2 years
Canberra units are held on average for 8.7 years; the shortest average hold period across the capital cities.
Compared to ten years ago, Sydney recorded the longest average hold periods for both houses and units at 9 and 7.3 years respectively, since then Melbourne houses have consistently seen the longest hold period, while results have been varied across the unit market.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/9/6/Home%20Ownership%202.JPG" alt="">
Regional Victoria and Queensland represented the areas with the longest average hold periods across regional Australia, with houses across both regions currently being held on average 11.1 years, while units in regional WA are being held the longest at 10.2 years.
The Northern Territory rest of state region currently has the shortest average hold period at 8.9 years for houses and 8 years for units.
The council areas with the longest average hold period for houses was dominated by regions within Melbourne, Sydney and regional Queensland. Houses in Monash Victoria came in with the longest average hold period at 17.1 years.
While for units, Perth makes up eight of the 20 council regions with the longest hold periods. Armadale (WA) and Swan Hill (Vic) both recorded an equal average hold period of 13.4 years for units.
The East Pilbara council region tops both the house and unit list for the shortest average hold period, with houses currently being held for 7.7 years, while units across the region are being held by half the duration at 3.8 years.
The remaining regions on the ‘houses held’ list are comprised by mostly regional parts of the country as home owners are evidently more likely to sell across these regions compared to their capital city counterpart. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/9/6/Home%20Ownership%203.JPG" alt="">
Interestingly, the shortest average hold period list for units is dominated by Melbourne with 6 of the 20 council regions making up the unit list. The data suggest that home owners are much more reluctant to sell their property than they were a decade ago which is also highlighted by the ongoing decline in sales transactions.
Other factors at play include: the rising cost of selling and purchasing property, combined with affordability constraints across some Australia’s more expensive capital cities contribute to owners holding onto their properties longer.
It’s expected that this trend will continue over the coming years given such concerns aren’t likely to see much improvement in the near future.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/9/6/Home%20Ownership%204.JPG" alt="">
CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian branch of CoreLogic.
Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Home owners holding onto their homes longer: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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Lower investor demand is being reflected in a shrinking apartment pipeline, according to a new report from JLL.
According to JLL’s latest 1Q 2019 Apartment Market Reports, the number of apartments under construction in Australia’s six major capital cities has fallen by around 10% over the past year.
The number of apartments being marketed has fallen by a massive 48% over the same period.
Melbourne’s construction numbers held strong with 18,540 apartments under construction, up 15% from a year ago.
However, the number of apartments being marketed in Melbourne fell by 51% over the past year (1Q 2018 – 1Q 2019).
Sydney has seen a 24% fall in construction over the past year and a massive 77% reduction in apartments marketed, while Brisbane experienced a 36% reduction in construction and 59% reduction in apartments marketed.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/5/31/New%20Project%2012.jpg" alt="">
These trends are a result of several factors influencing local market conditions, said Leigh Warner, JLL’s Head of Residential Research - Australia.
“The decline in the supply pipeline that has been happening for some time now very clearly illustrates how the pre-sales requirements put on developers by financiers in Australia makes our supply pipeline very responsive to prevailing demand conditions,” said Warner.
“We’ve seen quite a few projects that we’ve been tracking for some time be redesigned for other land uses including office, hotels and student accommodation by existing or new owners.
“This has particularly been the case in Melbourne.
“The medium-term danger now is clearly that it will take some time for the supply pipeline to get going again and, with still very strong levels of national population growth, we could quite easily move into supply shortages over the next few years at the national level.
“This could result in real pressure on renters in some parts of the country in particular and move us from a housing price affordability crisis into a rental affordability crisis if we are not careful.”
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/5/31/New%20Project%2013.jpg" alt="">
With the exception of first home buyers, most buyer groups have been very inactive over the past few years, the JLL report said.
APRA’s macro prudential measures have been the major cause of slow investor credit growth, said Warner.
“The fall in overseas demand cannot really be attributed to any one thing,” said Warner.
“State and Federal imposts on foreign investors and credit constraints definitively contributed to the decline, but changes to Chinese capital restrictions likely had a much larger impact.
“And the late stage of the cycle and better opportunities elsewhere also likely played a role.”
With investors largely sitting out, developers are changing schemes to better target owner occupiers, the report found.
“In 1Q19 there was an increase in planning submissions lodged, reflecting both lapsed approvals being resubmitted and developers changing schemes to better suit current demand trends and more specifically target owner occupiers with smaller projects, larger apartments and higher quality finishes,” said Warner.
JLL expects conditions to remain tough in the short-term, with many parts of the country to see further downward pressure on prices and rents before starting to stabilise in late-2019.
“The combination of still tight credit, the Federal election and buyers holding off to see where prices will settle in some markets will all remain headwinds in the short-term,” said Warner.
“However, we think the medium-term outlook is very different.
“We have not significant over-built in aggregate and very low completions over the next few years, along with continued strong population growth, will see us quickly move into an under-provision of space and see rental markets tighten once more.
“The timing of this recovery will differ across the country, but it is likely to be the resource markets of Brisbane and Perth that lead the next cycle as economic and population growth continue to improve in these markets.
“The excesses of the booms in Sydney and Melbourne mean these markets will take longer for price growth to return, but lower investor activity could mean the turnaround in the rental market in these cities could be much quicker.”
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Number of apartments being marketed falls 48% in a year: JLL

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GUEST OBSERVATION
There’s no shortage of talk about house prices. How much further will they fall? When will the market stabilise? Is it time to get in? 
What we know is national capital city dwelling prices have fallen 6.8% since peaking in October 2017, led by Sydney and Melbourne following strong prior price booms. 
But how much has affordability actually improved? 
It’s an important question, not just for potential buyers and nervous sellers. That’s because with the price adjustment in Sydney and Melbourne continuing and demand from property investors unlikely to return soon, an eventual stabilisation of the market depends heavily on the response of owner occupiers to improving affordability – and it seems there’s more to do to generate a lift in demand. 
There is little doubt that housing affordability and consumer sentiment towards housing are closely linked. Our previous research established a particularly close relationship between the “time to buy a dwelling” index and an affordability measure that incorporates both deposit requirements and mortgage repayments.<img src="https://www.westpac.com.au/content/dam/public/wbc/news/images/article/2019/03/TimetoBuy%20(002).png" style="font-size: 12.16px;">
<a href="https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/file/Australia/2019/February/WestpacHousingPulseFebruary2019.pdf" data-s-object-id="https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/file/australia/2019/february/westpachous_1">Latest readings on both measures show</a> buyer sentiment lifting a little in response to some easing in affordability pressures, although the gap to long run averages indicates affordability is still not back to “normal”. After hitting a seven-year high of 23.3% in late 2017, the proportion of average household income required to finance the purchase of a median priced dwelling has declined to just below 22% in early 2019 to be near the levels seen in late 2016. 
That’s partly because many factors feed into affordability with price moves, mortgage rates and incomes key. 
In other periods of price corrections, namely the late 1980s and early 1990s, the GFC and the 2011–13 interest rate tightening cycle, falling rates and income growth helped restore affordability.
In contrast, this adjustment is expected to see much less assistance from rates and is occurring against a backdrop of weak income growth, implying that price declines will need to do most of the “heavy lifting” to generate an improvement in affordability. 
And there’s likely more lifting to do, even though Westpac now expects the RBA to cut rates help affordability too. 
<img src="https://www.westpac.com.au/content/dam/public/wbc/news/images/article/2019/03/AusdwellingPrices%20(002).png">
Using some indicative estimates of how much further prices may need to move by looking at the price change required to return affordability to its 20-year average points to about a further 5% decline required nationally. In NSW and Victoria, more substantive moves in the 5-10% range are likely to be required, while other states should require milder moves.
While the picture differs across cities, and between houses and units in most cases, price adjustments in the key Sydney and Melbourne markets still look to have some way to run. 
That will be disappointing for those hoping for stabilisation to emerge but will be encouraging for those looking to get into what were previously very expensive markets.
MATTHEW HASSAN is a Senior Economist for Westpac
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Matthew_Hassan-HHWHptmrw4

How much more affordable is housing now? Westpac's Matthew Hassan

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Construction work completed fell 2.5% in the December quarter 2018, according to the latest figures released by the ABS, but still rose over the year.
Despite the December quarter decline, the residential building industry did $68.7 billion worth of work on new homes during 2018 - which was an all time high.
Work done is 2.1% up on the year.
Construction costs rose 3.6% over 2018, the biggest increase in nine years, according to CommSec.
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/2/27/Con-Costs.jpg" target="_blank">here </a>to enlarge
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/2/27/Con-Costs.jpg" alt="">
"The 2018 calendar year set a record for residential building activity but the amount of building work being done by the industry is now slowing," HIA senior economist Geordan Murray said.
"Following its mid-year peak, activity began to retreat.
"Other leading indicators of residential building activity, such as sales of new residential lots, new home sales, building approvals and housing finance all deteriorated quite significantly during the latter stages of 2018.
“This implies that the pipeline of new residential building work is thinning out and as the homes that are currently under construction reach completion there are likely to be fewer new projects to replace them."
HIA suggest the number of homes under construction will continue to decline throughout this phase of the cycle and the value of building work will decline accordingly.
"Today’s figures are significant as they provide a good indication that next week’s GDP figures will show that the slowdown in new home building has detracted from GDP growth for the second consecutive quarter," Murray said.
"HIA forecasts further declines in home building over the next two years which will provide a headwind for economic growth."
Construction activity still sits at high levels, however it's another weak reading in the Australian property industry.
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/2/27/con-levels.jpg" target="_blank">here </a>to enlarge
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/2/27/con-levels.jpg" alt="">
Earlier this month the dwelling approvals reached their <a href="/news/apartments-drive-dwelling-approval-decline-back-to-2013-levels">lowest levels since 2013</a>.
CommSec's Craig James says the inflation dragon has been sighted in the economy and is alive and well in the construction sector.
"The higher costs are in evidence across home building, commercial construction and engineering," James said.
"The question is whether builders and developers will be able to pass on the higher costs in the current environment."
Construction work fell across all states and territories.
The Northern Territory was down over 14%, followed by Queensland at 5.8%.
New South Wales was down 4.1%, Tasmania 3.6%, Western Australia 3.3% and ACT 3% down.
South Australia saw 2.5% decline and Victoria just 1.1%.
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Construction work declines more than expected

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
The Reserve Bank (RBA) has released its financial aggregates data for October 2018.  The housing credit data is of particular interest.  It covers data from all local mortgage lenders and measures the value of mortgages outstanding.  The data is important because it highlights the expansion or contraction in credit.
As at the end of October 2018 there was $1.797 trillion in outstanding housing credit.  Housing was overwhelmingly the largest share of outstanding credit, accounting for 62.1% of total credit.  Looking at the split between owner occupier and investor credit, owner occupiers accounted for 67.0% of outstanding credit while investors accounted for 33.0% which is that cohort’s lowest share since June 2012.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/change%20in%20house%20credit.png" alt="change in house credit" width="1017" height="256" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="677891bb-3eda-4d6f-b1e4-e67f74329956" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/change%20in%20house%20credit.png">
 Total housing credit increased by 0.3% in October 2018 which was its slowest monthly rate of growth since July 1984. The monthly expansion in housing credit has been consistently slowing since February 2018 when it expanded by just 0.5% during the month. On an annual basis, housing credit has expanded by 5.1% which is its slowest annual expansion since October 2013. While the slowdown in credit growth was initially being led by investors, credit growth for owner occupiers is now also slowing.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/change%20owner%20occupier%20credit.png" alt="change owner occupier credit" width="993" height="250" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a3e4f229-9c47-484f-8c67-6e521303edcf" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/change%20owner%20occupier%20credit.png">
 Owner occupier housing credit increased by 0.4% in October 2018 which was its slowest monthly growth since April 2015. Owner occupier housing credit increased by 7.0% over the 12 months to October 2018 and that was its annual slowest growth since November 2015. The monthly change in owner occupier credit has been slowing since February 2018 which has slowed annual credit growth form 8.1% to the currently 7.0%.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/change%20investor%20credit.png" alt="change investor credit" width="978" height="247" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c4f385f9-69ec-4e92-a70e-377e5f39dbf8" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/change%20investor%20credit.png">
 Investor credit recorded a nominal increase of less than 0.1% in October 2018 which was its smallest monthly change since credit fell by -0.1% in June 2018. The monthly change in investor credit has been minimal for a number of years now which is resulting in the weakest annual expansion in investor credit on record. Over the past 12 months, investor credit has expanded by just 1.3%.
It should be noted that the expansion in credit to investors is certainly being driven by fewer new originations (as highlighted in monthly housing finance commitments data). What is less clear but is also likely to be a factor is the ongoing shift from investors away from interest-only mortgages and towards principal and interest. Note that RBA reports around 70% of interest-only mortgages are to investors. In terms of new interest-only lending, APRA reported in the June 2018 quarter that $15.74 billion worth of new interest only mortgages was committed to which was its second lowest quarterly value any time since March 2008. Furthermore, the total value of outstanding interest-only mortgages has fallen to $461.329 billion, its lowest value since September 2014. As borrowers move from interest-only arrangements in which the principal isn’t repaid, to principal and interest mortgages, outstanding credit to investors is expected to keep falling especially as overall investor and interest-only new lending also continues to fall.
Overall, the reduction in housing credit can be attributed to the tighter credit environment, however a range of other factors are also at play in tempering housing credit, including low consumer sentiment, housing affordability constraints and higher mortgage rates. We expect housing credit growth to remain weak. With fewer transactions in the market and ongoing value declines it is reasonable to expect a further slowing of housing credit demand over the coming months.
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More signs the housing market is slowing further: Cameron Kusher

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House price growth is typically regarded as a good thing. It creates a feel good wealth effect which triggers spending across the Sydney economy.
But over the past few weeks, ANZ, Moody's Analytics, BIS Oxford, Macquarie Securities, HSBC, Citi, JP Morgan and UBS have all adjusted their price forecasts downwards for the Sydney residential market outlook. 
Most of these economists are saying prices will fall by somewhere up to 10% from peak to trough.
For most property owners who are happy where they are, its not something that is going to directly affect their bottom line. They might just think they are not as wealthy.
The reduced values could certainly affect existing homeowners refinancing mortgage loans in what is already a tougher post-royal commission lending landscape.
The sellers this spring who have owned their home for an extended time are on the whole likely to come up a little short of the stellar price that their new neighbour paid last year.
But with huge 75% gains made during the five year long post-2012 boom, they will be fine.
This downturn, if it stays moderately quarantined, will only truly impact those who bought in the past two years, paying over the odds, and now wanting to sell.
These resales are actually few and far between, although I spotted one in Surry Hills.
The ninth floor, one bedder sold for $753,000 having sold in early 2017 at $770,000.
All up when the $20,000 loss is added to costs, the seller would be down by $70,000.
But at least there was activity arising from the listing which highlights home buying is more affordable for buyers.
There were three bidders for the apartment, so two are still looking.
The NSW Treasury actually anticipates a slowdown in sales activity, which could limit the price falls, but will unquestionably affect many more players in the property market.
Treasury expect just 183,000 annual sales, as property transactions are put on hold.
This figure is down on the prior 210,000 annual sales tally.
That means 27,000 fewer agency commissions and solicitor contracts.
Less bank or mortgage broker loans.
Fewer tradies tasked to fix up those long overdue unhelpful selling issues like the leaking gutters.
No need for those fresh flowers for the Saturday open for inspections. 
Maybe no need for 54,000 bottles of champagne - one for every seller and buyer.
It is this ripple effect which affects the wider economy and potentially triggers a recession.
The Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe recently suggested the current decline was "manageable".
Australia had gone through "plenty of periods" in the last two decades where prices have declined," Dr Lowe said.
"That's what happens in the housing market – we have these big run-ups, prices stabilise, sometimes they might fall, stabilise and then they'll rise again.
“We are watching it carefully.
"As long as it's not a very large decline – it's manageable."
Of course, full time secure jobs have traditionally been the key to owning and holding the family home.
So it is to be hoped the 8,000 layoffs announced this month by Telstra don't become endemic.
This article first appeared in The Daily Telegraph. 
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