Not all apartment amenities are immediately visible.

Swimming pools, gyms, rooftop terraces and residents' lounges have long featured on buyers' wishlists, but as the way Australians live has changed, so too have the features that make apartment living more convenient.

Increasingly, buyers are placing value on the practical aspects of day-to-day life. Fast internet, EV charging, secure bike storage, flexible workspaces and parcel management are becoming just as relevant as lifestyle amenities, reflecting changing habits and expectations.

Online shopping has been one of the biggest drivers of that shift.

Australians spent a record $82.6 billion shopping online in 2025, with almost one in every four retail dollars now spent digitally, making parcel deliveries a routine part of everyday life rather than an occasional convenience.

For apartment residents, however, receiving those deliveries isn't always straightforward.

Without someone home to accept a parcel, deliveries can be redirected to a nearby Post Office, left in building foyers or common areas, or require building management to temporarily store packages. As apartment living continues to grow across Australia's cities, parcel management has become an increasingly important consideration for both residents and developers.

Australia Post's Parcel Locker network is one response to that shift.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/KPZ9j5FRdsQ?si=Qztc1dNP3ZvEIUhb" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

Rather than relying on home delivery, eligible parcels can be directed to a nominated Parcel Locker, where they're securely stored until collected. Once a parcel arrives, residents receive a notification through the AusPost app or SMS and can retrieve it using a one-time code or QR code at a time that suits them.

The network has expanded to more than 1,500 locations nationwide, with Parcel Lockers positioned at Post Offices, shopping centres, supermarkets, transport hubs and, increasingly, within or alongside residential developments.

That growing presence reflects a broader change in how apartment buildings are being planned.

Developers are increasingly considering the operational side of apartment living alongside traditional lifestyle amenities. Just as secure mailrooms, bicycle storage and EV charging have become more common inclusions, parcel management is emerging as another feature that supports everyday convenience.

It also helps preserve the arrival experience within a building. Carefully designed lobbies and communal spaces can quickly become cluttered when deliveries accumulate, while secure parcel solutions reduce the likelihood of missed deliveries or parcels being left unattended.

For buyers comparing apartments, these everyday details are becoming part of the decision-making process.

Location, floorplans and finishes remain fundamental, but the features that simplify daily life are carrying greater weight than they once did. As online shopping continues to shape consumer behaviour, secure parcel delivery is increasingly becoming another amenity worth looking for.

Joel Robinson

Parcel delivery is joining the apartment amenity checklist

Inca Property Group has lodged a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for Dawn, a 53-apartment oceanfront development overlooking Mona Vale Beach.

The proposal, at 35-39 Darley Street East, would replace an existing 18-apartment strata building with a new owner-occupier-focused development comprising 53 two and three-bedroom apartments, including nine affordable built-to-rent residences delivered under the State's infill affordable housing scheme.

Positioned on a 2,679 sqm elevated site around 280 metres from Mona Vale Beach, the development has been designed to maximise panoramic ocean views while responding to the site's sloping topography.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/inca-property-group">Inca Property Group</a> Managing Director Josh Thompson said the State Significant pathway provided greater certainty for projects of this scale.

"This State Significant pathway gives the team real certainty to progress <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/dawn-35-39-darley-street-east-mona-vale-nsw-2103">Dawn</a> through to completion," Thompson said.

"It allows us to acquire a one-off site, design it carefully and deliver the right offering for the suburb, assessed by the NSW Government's planning department."

The project is one of the first developments in the area to be assessed under the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy, with the site sitting on the edge of the policy's designated inner area.

The proposal includes three basement levels providing 124 car spaces, alongside a range of resident amenities including a swimming pool, gym, sauna, wellness facilities and private plunge pools for selected ground-floor and penthouse apartments.

<img alt="Dawn" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fc1a1daf-0ce4-4f12-9076-b1fa553c7a91" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-21%20at%208.42.11%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4GZ9h.gpNkTljbxyAET8Jfhv51XUamDm" />

Thompson said Dawn had been designed specifically for owner-occupiers and downsizers, a buyer profile that has driven demand across Inca's recent Upper North Shore developments.

"The majority of buyers in our recent North Shore projects have been downsizers, and we are learning exactly what this market is looking for. Beyond the location itself, we have included resort-style amenities to deliver a genuine lifestyle offering," Thompson said.

Located within walking distance of Mona Vale Beach, the town centre, Mona Vale Golf Club and the Royal Motor Yacht Club, Dawn represents Inca's first Northern Beaches project following the sell-out of Tara on Park in Waitara and Ellis Residences, currently under construction in St Ives.

Construction will be undertaken by Inca's in-house construction arm, GOP Constructions.

Dawn is the latest major apartment proposal for Mona Vale, with the suburb emerging as one of the key beneficiaries of the NSW Government's new Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy.

New developer One Living, led by industry veteran Joseph Scuderi, recently secured a site on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, where it is planning around 140 apartments.

IPM is also planning its third project in Mona Vale, significantly increasing the scale of its previous developments with an 82-apartment proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/159-167-darley-street-west-mona-vale-nsw-2103">159-167 Darley Street West</a>, opposite Bayview Golf Course and less than 800 metres from Mona Vale town centre.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/one-living-enters-sydneys-new-apartment-market-with-northern-beaches-site-acquisition">One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-ipm-plans-third-mona-vale-project">First look: IPM plans third Mona Vale project</a>

First look: Inca eyes Mona Vale with State Significant DA for Dawn apartments

Seasoned Victorian apartment developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a> has logged more than $400 million in sales in its luxury apartment project Palmera Residences at Northcliffe on the Gold Coast.&nbsp;

Central Equity Director Karl Kutner said the sales result reflected a combination of location, product quality and delivery certainty with the project already under construction by building powerhouse Multiplex.&nbsp;

"Surpassing $400 million in sales since launch is a significant milestone and an outstanding endorsement of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera Residences</a>,” he said.&nbsp;

"We believe one of the key reasons for this strong result is the confidence purchasers have in knowing the project is under construction with Multiplex. Buyers are increasingly looking for certainty. They want to know that the project they commit to today will be delivered by an experienced team with a proven track record."&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365782]

Kutner said it was clear there was still high demand for luxury projects that offered certainty of delivery.&nbsp;

“We are in a market where many residential developments have faced delays due to rising construction costs, labour shortages and financing challenges,” said Kutner.&nbsp;

"But having construction underway has provided our buyers with resounding confidence backed by more than 40 years of development delivery by Central Equity combined with construction by one of Australia's most respected construction companies."&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365785]

Central Equity is one of Australia's most experienced privately-owned property developers. Over more than four decades, the company has delivered in excess of 85 residential developments including 10,000 apartments and many thousands of stand alone homes.&nbsp;

Located on Garfield Terrace at Northcliffe, between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, Palmera Residences occupies one of the Gold Coast's most sought after beachside locations. The development has been designed to appeal to owner occupiers seeking premium residences that combine generous living spaces and resort style amenities.&nbsp;

Palmera Residences will feature an exceptional collection of resort style amenities, including two swimming pools: a generously sized family pool with safe shallow zones for relaxed recreation, and a 20 metre lap pool positioned to maximise all day sunlight.&nbsp;

Residents will also enjoy exclusive access to wellness and recreational facilities including a magnesium pool, sauna, yoga studio, expansive fitted gymnasium, resident lounge, outdoor BBQ’s&nbsp;and indoor and outdoor dining areas, together with a dedicated concierge and luxurious hotel inspired entrance foyer.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365767]

A unique feature at Palmera Residences has been designed to enhance the Gold Coast lifestyle which includes both indoor and outdoor gymnasium facilities, together with thoughtfully designed indoor and outdoor dining and entertaining areas. A corner café has also been incorporated to provide residents with a destination for their everyday needs.&nbsp;

Kutner said buyer demand had been broad based with purchasers attracted from interstate as well as throughout South East Queensland.&nbsp;

"We're seeing strong interest from owner occupiers, lifestyle buyers and people relocating to the Gold Coast. Many purchasers have been searching for a premium beachside residence where quality, design and delivery are equally important."&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Kutner said the sales milestone was an important achievement, but the focus remained firmly on delivering an exceptional development.&nbsp;

"While reaching $400 million in sales is an important milestone, our priority remains delivering a project that exceeds purchaser expectations,” he said.&nbsp;

"Palmera Residences has been designed to become one of the Gold Coast's landmark residential addresses, and we look forward to welcoming our purchasers to their new homes."&nbsp;

There are a limited number of residences remaining in selected configurations with pricing from $2,950,000 to $8,950,000. Palmera Residences is also crowned by expansive penthouses with wrap around views.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

Construction certainty and strong buyer demand drive major sales result for luxury Gold Coast development

Palmera Residences fly out the door as sales pass $400 million

National property developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/goldfields-group">Goldfields</a> has appointed BINAH as its construction partner for Quartet, its new Brisbane apartment development in the undersupplied suburb of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/milton-qld-4064">Milton</a>.

Located just two kilometres from the Brisbane CBD and moments from key 2032 Olympic precincts, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/quartet-milton-33-manning-street-milton-qld-4064">Quartet</a> will deliver 131 one, two, three, and four-bedroom apartments priced from $1 million to $4.2 million, combining elevated design with a wellness-focused lifestyle offering.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108736 project_image_fid=368000]

Goldfields’ Chief Executive Officer, Lachlan Thompson, said the appointment of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/binah-constructions">BINAH</a> marked an important milestone for the project.&nbsp;

“Bringing BINAH on board as our construction partner will allow us to bring our vision for Quartet forward with a team that has a proven track record of delivering high-quality residential projects,” Thompson said.&nbsp;

“We’ve taken a considered approach to progressing the site because we wanted to deliver the whole package. Buyers ultimately back great developers, great projects and great builders, and with Quartet, we’ve made sure all three line up.

“People want certainty, they want to know the project will be built, that the homes will be delivered as promised, and that the developer stands behind the quality of what they create. That’s something Goldfields has built its reputation on over many years.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108736 project_image_fid=367993]

BINAH’s Managing Director, Khalil Hafza, said the company was proud to be partnering with Goldfields to deliver Quartet.&nbsp;

“Quartet is an exciting project to bring to life, particularly given the level of detail in the residences and the extensive rooftop amenity planned for the building,” Mr Hafza said.&nbsp;

“Our focus is on delivering a high-quality build that brings that design vision to life and creates homes residents will enjoy for many years.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108736 project_image_fid=367999]

The facilities at Quartet have been feared towards the roof, with a&nbsp;25 metre lap pool, spa, sauna and cold plunge, and a communal barbecue area and alfresco.

Town planning was designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a> and brought to life by Melbourne-based architecture firm Cera Stribley.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/cera-stribley">Cera Stribley</a> Co-Founder and Managing Principal, Dom Cerantonio, said the project responds to both its riverside setting and Brisbane’s evolving urban character.&nbsp;

“Quartet has been designed to sit comfortably within its riverside context, offering a refined take on urban living through well-planned, generously proportioned residences that will stand the test of time,” Mr Cerantonio said.&nbsp;

“An emphasis on natural light, natural textures and carefully selected finishes from timber and marble to premium appliances, creates calm, considered interiors designed for comfort and long-term liveability.”&nbsp;

Construction of Quartet will commence in July 2026, with completion anticipated in Q4 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108736]

Construction to commence on 131-residence tower designed around wellness-focused living

Goldfields appoints BINAH for Quartet apartments in Milton

The first partnership between national developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/fortis">Fortis</a> and Adelaide-based developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/otello">Otello</a> has made a strong start, with the pair securing $21 million in unconditional sales at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/one-four-four-hutt-adelaide-144-hutt-street-adelaide-sa-5000">One Four Four Hutt</a>&nbsp;on the edge of the Adelaide CBD.

Over a third of apartments have been snapped up in the boutique 44-apartment project on the corner of Hutt Stret and Wakefield Road. Local downsizers and owner-occupiers wanting to remain in Adelaide's tightly-held southeast quarter have been the most prominent purchasers.

The DKO-designed, mixed-use development is one of the few new apartment projects in the precinct, an area where new housing supply has remained limited despite continued demand from buyers wanting to stay close to the CBD, Victoria Park and Adelaide's established east-end amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151233 project_image_fid=375378]

Fortis Head of Development SA Arthur Dendrinos said the early sales reflected both the strength of the local owner-occupier market and confidence in the Hutt Street location.

"The level of early commitment reflects the confidence local buyers have in the Hutt Street precinct," Dendrinos said.

"Many purchasers are long-term east-end residents who love the area and want to stay connected to the neighbourhood. They recognise the value of a well-designed, well-located development.

"Our partnership with Otello has been central to this success, and the number of unconditional sales at this stage only strengthens our confidence in the South Australian market."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151233 project_image_fid=375379]

Otello Director Daniel Harris said the sales result also highlighted the lack of new apartment opportunities within the Hutt Street precinct.

"One Four Four Hutt has clearly resonated with buyers, with strong early sales reflecting both the appeal of the Hutt Street corridor and the lifestyle on offer," Harris said.

"The activated ground-floor retail has also been a key drawcard, with purchasers responding to the vision of a more vibrant and connected streetscape, not just the residences themselves."

One Four Four Hutt will deliver 44 one, two and three-bedroom apartments, alongside a collection of penthouses, above a ground-floor retail offering designed to further activate the Hutt Street precinct.

Construction is scheduled to commence in the third quarter of this year, with completion anticipated in 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151233]

Fortis Head of Development SA Arthur Dendrinos said the early sales reflected both the strength of the local owner-occupier market and confidence in the Hutt Street location.

Fortis makes Adelaide debut with Otello as One Four Four Hutt records strong early sales

Rate Cuts

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The NAB have forecast a rate cut for June 2020, following an already predicted cut in February.
The two cuts will take the official cash rate down to 0.25 per cent. It already sits at a historic low 0.75 per cent.
"At this point, we see an increased risk of a move to ‘unconventional’ policy in H2 2020 should the labour market deteriorate more significantly than we forecast, with low inflation posing little constraint to further easing," NAB group chief economist Alan Oster advised.
"Previously, we had pencilled in only a further 25bp cut to the cash rate and hoped to see a material support from fiscal policy, which now looks unlikely in the required timeframe.
"Our forecasts of below-trend growth, a deterioration in the unemployment rate and inflation firmly below the RBA’s target band are broadly unchanged, but clearly imply the need for policy makers to do more."
In November NAB <a href="/expert-insights/finance/nab-pushes-next-rate-cut-out-to-february-2020-nabs-alan-oster">pushed their next cut forecast</a> to February.
They suggest June will be the final cut before quantitative easing begins.
NAB believe employment growth will be slow and unemployment will drift further above the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment.
"Indeed, our forecasts for the household sector and business investment are notably weaker than the RBA’s, although we remain more optimistic on public spending," Oster added.
"Should the data turn out weaker than our forecasts, there is a real prospect the RBA moves to unconventional policy in H2 2020."
 
 
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

NAB add second RBA rate cut in to forecast

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The minutes of the November monetary policy meeting of the Reserve Bank Board give us no significant reason to change our view that the next rate cut will occur in February.
While some forecasters have been promoting the idea of a move in December, these minutes provide the flavour of a Board that is in no hurry to make the next cut.
The minutes conclude that “the Board would continue to monitor developments”. It also referred to “having already delivered a substantial monetary stimulus in recent months, there was a case to wait and assess the effects of this stimulus, especially given the long and variable lags”.
Nevertheless, the minutes do not want to leave the reader in any doubt that the Board continues to have a clear easing bias.
The minutes concluded that the Board “was prepared to ease monetary policy further if needed” and also noted that “members reviewed the case for a further reduction at the present meeting”.
The second important issue around the policy outlook is the “effective lower bound” (ELB) of the cash rate.
Westpac has argued since July that the ELB will prove to be 0.50% and will be reached in February 2020. One factor that has been important to our thinking has been the response of the Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiment index to the rate cuts that began in June 2019.
The index has been on a clear downward trend since and the Board has recognised that by noting that “a further reduction in interest rates could have a different effect on confidence than in the past”. Put another way, the Board “recognised the negative effects of lower interest rates on savers and confidence”.
On the other hand, the Board was informed that it appears that Banks still have adequate scope to pass on future rate cuts. The minutes noted that “while close to a quarter of deposits were estimated to be earning interest at rates between 0-50bps, most deposits earned interest at rates over 1%”.
The Banks’ response to the cumulative 75bp reduction in the cash rate was to lower interest on at-call retail deposits by an average of 60-70bps.
As noted above, this reduction in deposit rates is affecting the confidence of savers, whereas the data also showed that borrowers had been repaying existing loans at a faster pace. This observation puts one of the most important channels of monetary policy, a boost to spending from the increased cash flows of borrowers, at some risk.
In our preview to these minutes, we were hopeful that the minutes might cast some light on the sentence in the November Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP), “the Board was mindful that rates were already very low, and that each further cut brings closer the point at which other policy options might come into play”.
The issue here is whether these “other policy options” refer to unconventional monetary policy, fiscal policy, or both. It is most likely “both”. So more details on the unconventional side would have been helpful. The Governor is speaking on “Unconventional Monetary Policy: Some Lessons from Overseas” on November 26.
No doubt, he will cast some light on his thinking in that speech. It is also the last day before the blackout for the December RBA Board meeting.
If he wanted to signal to the market that the very disappointing labour force and wages reports from last week, which printed after the November Board meeting, had swayed his thinking towards a December move, that speech would be the time. However, we would be very surprised, given the earlier discussion about these minutes, to see such a move from the Governor.
The November Board meeting also discusses the Staff’s revised growth outlook. As we noted in the discussion of the SMP, there were very few changes in the RBA’s forecasts. The RBA continues to forecast trend growth (2.8%) in 2020, and above-trend growth (3.1%) in 2021.
Westpac is forecasting 2.4% growth in 2020, with the major differences being around the outlook for business investment and dwelling construction. In fact, the minutes highlight that the RBA remains uncertain about the pace of recovery in the dwelling cycle with one of the key factors being the impact of rising prices in the established market on new construction.
Commentary around the international outlook continues to point to risks being tilted to the downside. However, a key reason justifying the decision not to move in November was around the “decline in pessimism” which had been signalled by global financial markets.
A further reason to delay any more cuts is to await outcomes for the global economy, with the developments around the US-China trade conflict being front of mind.
Conclusion
The case for a December rate cut is heavily downplayed in these minutes, although, as discussed, the meeting occurred before the disappointing wages and employment prints from last week.
We certainly do not believe that those prints will be sufficient to move the RBA away from its current “monitoring” approach and so confirm our forecast that the next cut will occur in February 2020.
The discussion around the impact of low rates on confidence is clearly very significant and gives some support to our view that 0.5% will be the effective lower bound of the cash rate in this cycle. 
<a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-minutes/2019/2019-11-05" target="_blank">Read the full RBA Minutes</a>.
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BILL EVANS is Chief Economist for Westpac
 
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bevans-rYk9SxEa4r

RBA minutes signal that the Board is in "monitoring" mode: Bill Evans

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The RBA has resisted calls to cut the official cash rate, but will be looking closely at this month’s employment data, whether wages growth remains flat and potentially the next round of inflation figures before they pull the trigger. 
Sally Tindall, research director at RateCity.com.au, said borrowers might have to wait until August before getting a rate cut. 
“Australia didn’t get a rate cut, but it’s still not off the cards. Based on the May statement from Phillip Lowe, its likely they’ll hold off until they see more consistent trends in employment and inflation,” she said.   
“But consumers don’t have to wait for the RBA to save money on their home loan. 
“The downturn in the market is putting pressure on banks’ bottom lines. What they need is more business on their books. 
“The best way for borrowers to get a rate cut is to turn themselves from an existing customer into a new one.”
How to get yourself a rate cut 
“Go online, find out what your bank is offering new customers, but also see what others are offering, because ultimately the lower the rate, the more money you’ll have left in your pocket,” said Tindall.
“Call your bank and ask them to match the rate offered to new customers, and if they aren’t prepared to budge you are well within your right to take your business to another lender; that’s the beauty of a variable home loan rate.” 
Lowest ongoing variable rates
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Rates remain on hold for the 33rd month, but here’s how to get a rate cut

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Westpac is cutting fixed rates on owner occupier and investor home loans by up to 0.20 percent, effective tomorrow.
Westpac’s decision comes after the nation’s largest bank, CBA, who cuts rates on Tuesday.
It is the second time this year that Westpac has cut some of its fixed home loans, after cutting some of its 2-year fixed rates in February.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/4/11/Westpac%20Rate%20Cuts.JPG" alt="">
(Source: RateCity.com.au)
RateCity.com.au research shows 40 lenders have cut fixed rates on around 450 products since the beginning of the year. 
ANZ is the only big bank to have not cut its fixed rates this year.
The Commonwealth Bank has cut interest rates on its fixed-rate loans for home owners and investors.
Lenders to cut their fixed rates since the start of the year include Macquarie, St George Bank, Adelaide Bank, AMP, Bankwest and, from this Friday, Bendigo Bank.
<div class="_1665V undefined">
<p data-gtm-vis-recent-on-screen-6236702_632="1554930972862" data-gtm-vis-first-on-screen-6236702_632="1554930972862" data-gtm-vis-total-visible-time-6236702_632="4000" data-gtm-vis-has-fired-6236702_632="1">CBA has also cut 0.1 percentage points off its three-year and four-year fixed-rate loans for owner-occupiers, to take the new rates to 3.79 per cent and 4.09 per cent respectively.
The bank has also sliced 0.1 per cent off its investment loans, with its two-year loan now sitting at 3.89 per cent, its three-year fixed at 3.99 per cent and five years at 4.39 per cent.
The cuts apply to principal and interest loans and are "packaged" rates, where those applying for the loans have other products with the bank, and apply to those taking out a new fixed-rate loan.
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<div class="_1lC_G">As demand for home loans slows, the cuts apply to a range of fixed-rate home loans, with the biggest cut of 0.3 percentage points to its five-year owner-occupied loan to a new rate of 4.09 per cent.</div>
Figures from comparison site Mozo show that a home buyer with a $400,000 loan would save $4260 over the five-year fixed period.
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Westpac joins other big two to cut fixed home loan interest rates

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EXPERT OBSERVER
While we have integrated the latest national accounts data and fine tuned our growth forecasts we have not fundamentally changed our view on pattern of growth outcomes over the next two years.
Thus last month, prior to the Accounts, we were expecting through the year growth to December 2019 of 2.6% now we are expecting 2.5%.
We have also not changed our forecasts for 2020 at around 2¼. What has however happened – given the new history - is a much larger slowing in year average terms in 2019 – previously 2.4% now 2.1%.
However we see the through the year growth numbers as providing a better gauge of growth momentum going forward.
As was heralded in yesterday’s  February Monthly Business Survey the slowing in the growth momentum has  continued into Q1 2019.
 In particular, the situation in discretionary retail and consumption more generally has deteriorated even further. We now expect not much improvement in the growth rate in consumer spending in 2019 – at around 2.0%  and any improvement in 2020 will need policy action. 
The Accounts also highlighted a turn down in the construction cycle – which appears to have continued (and indeed accelerated) into early 2019. This reinforces our view that over the next two years we are facing a pronounced residential construction cycle (a fall of around 20%).
That said supporting growth will be continued spending by the public sector, both on the NDIS and infrastructure. In addition to this, we still expect business investment to make a significant contribution to growth – though there are growing risks to this.
 Also exports will continue to grow, as LNG hits full production then plateaus at a high level. So it is important not to get too negative on our growth prospects.
That said our forecasts now point to below trend growth and a degree of rising spare capacity in the economy (already evident in the February Business Survey). 
This will mean less progress on reducing unemployment and slower than anticipated progress in wage growth (outside of policy intervention) and ultimately inflation. We now see no improvement in unemployment till mid 2020 and a slight deterioration thereafter.
This is why we now expect the RBA to cut the cash rate twice in 2019. While the exact timing of cuts is data dependent, we see the RBA cutting rates in July and then November. 
We believe this would be the path of “least regret” for the bank. We expect that as slower growth and less progress on reducing unemployment take hold at a time of subdued inflation and abating financial stability concerns the Bank will assess it can do more to bolster the economy.  
Of course a material deterioration in the labour market in the next few months (not our forecast) could see an earlier cut from the RBA.
ALAN OSTER is the Chief Economist for NAB
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Slowing growth with rate cuts ahead: NAB's Alan Oster

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Australian capital city dwelling prices fell another 0.6% in October marking 13 months of consecutive price declines since prices peaked in September last year. This has left prices down 4.6% from a year ago, their weakest since the GFC.
The decline is continuing to be led by Sydney and Melbourne. Sydney dwelling prices fell another 0.7% and they have now fallen 8.2% from their August 2017 high, Melbourne prices fell another 0.7% and are down 4.9% from their November high. Perth (-0.8%) also saw prices fall, but Hobart (+0.9%) and Adelaide (+0.2%) saw prices rise with prices flat in Brisbane, Darwin and Canberra.  
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/11/1/AMP%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/11/1/AMP%201.jpg" alt="">
 
Source: CoreLogic, AMP Capital
Tighter bank lending standards particularly around tougher income and expense verification and total debt to income limits, poor affordability, rising unit supply, falling price growth expectations and FOMO (fear of missing out) risking turning into FONGO (fear of not getting out) for investors are pushing prices down in cities which have seen strong gains since 2012, ie Sydney and Melbourne. This is continuing to be evident in very weak auction clearance rates and auction sales volumes in those cities. Recent auction clearance rates averaging around the mid 40s in Sydney and Melbourne are consistent with ongoing price declines of around 7% pa.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/11/1/AMP%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/11/1/AMP%202.jpg" alt="">
Source: Domain, CoreLogic, AMP Capital
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/11/1/AMP%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/11/1/AMP%202.jpg" alt="">
Source: CoreLogic, AMP Capital
<div>The decline in Sydney and Melbourne property prices likely has much further to go as these considerations continue to impact potentially accentuated by further out of cycle bank mortgage rate increases and expectations that negative gearing and capital gains tax concessions will be made less favourable if there is a change of Government at the coming Federal election. In these cities we expect to see a top to bottom fall in prices of around 20% spread out to 2020. If anything the risks are on the downside, particularly if negative gearing and capital gains tax arrangements are changed. So there is more to go yet!</div>
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<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/11/1/AMP%204.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:</div>
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<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/11/1/AMP%204.jpg" alt=""> </div>
<div>Source: CoreLogic, AMP Capital</div>
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<div>Having not had the same boom over the last five or six years other capital cities are likely to perform better. Perth and Darwin are likely close to bottoming (albeit the bottoming process is taking a lot longer than I have been expecting!), Adelaide, Brisbane, Canberra and Hobart are likely to see moderate growth, with Hobart slowing down after its recent mini-boom.</div>
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<div>Similarly home prices in regional centres are likely to hold up better with modest growth as they haven’t had the same boom as Sydney and Melbourne and offer much better value and much higher rental yields. The average gross rental yield for regional areas is 5% compared to just 3.6% in the capital cities.</div>
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<div>Overall, Sydney and Melbourne are likely to see a top to bottom fall of around 20% spread out to 2020, but for national average prices the top to bottom fall is likely to be around 10%. A crash landing – say a national average price fall in excess of 20% - remains unlikely in the absence of much higher interest rates or unemployment, but it’s a significant risk given the difficulty in gauging how severe the tightening in bank lending standards in the face of the Royal Commission will get and how investors will respond as their capital growth expectations collapse at a time when net rental yields are around 1-2%.</div>
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<div>Implications for interest rates</div>
<div>Ongoing home price falls in Sydney and Melbourne will depress consumer spending as the wealth effect goes in reverse and so homeowners will be less inclined to allow their savings rate to decline. It’s also a negative for banks. It’s consistent with our base case view that the RBA will leave rates on hold out to late 2020 at least. However, home price weakness is at levels where the RBA started cutting rates in 2008 and 2011 and the 2015-16 property slowdown was also turned around by rate cuts in May and August 2016. So we still can’t rule out the next move in rates being a cut rather than a hike – but at this point the RBA is a long way from contemplating a rate cut as it would need to see evidence that the slump in home prices and the drag on consumer spending is seriously threatening to push inflation even lower - so it’s probably a second half 2019 story at the earliest.</div>
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<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
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Next RBA move could still be a cut: Shane Oliver

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In his first speech as Reserve Bank of Australia governor, Philip Lowe left the door open to further official rate cuts so long as inflation remains low.
He also suggested there could be a fresh surge in Sydney house prices.
He said that inflation is likely to remain low and that the economy is still some way from generating enough jobs to reignite strong wages growth.
"We too have now joined the club of countries with headline inflation noticeably below the medium-term average, although we are a more recent member than many others," he said.
"Headline inflation here is 1 per cent and measures of underlying inflation are running at around 1.5 per cent.
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<div>Lowe revealed figures and research from the Australian Bureau of Statistics and bank officials which shows a big fall in the size and frequency of wage gains in recent years.</div>
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<div>Six years ago, almost 40 percent of the 18,000 individual job categories tracked by the ABS received a wage increase of between two and three percent.</div>
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By contrast, less than 10 percent of jobs got this type of wage increase and almost half had a wage increase of between two and three percent.
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"Looking to the future, we expect that the various factors holding inflation down will continue for a while yet," Lowe said.
"But this does not mean that we have drifted into a world of permanently lower inflation in Australia."
He said the economy should gradually strengthen as the negative drag caused by the end of the mining boom exhausts and the labour market tightens.
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<div>The bank are determined to ensure inflation quickens, Lowe said. He highlighted they wanted to avoid the trap that countries like Japan have fallen into.</div>
Lowe described the housing picture as 'complex'. It's one of the sectors of the economy at greatest risk of a blow out if rates are cut too low. 
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"Prices seem to be increasing quite briskly again in some areas, although are falling in others," he said.
"Growth in rents is very low and there is a big increase in housing supply still to come. 
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"To add to the picture, credit growth is still exceeding income growth, although by a smaller margin than last year.
"It is also noteworthy that much of this credit is being used to finance new housing construction rather than consumption."
He suggested inflation should pick up over the next two years, however said it's still likely to be "closer to two percent than three percent."
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<div>Lowe said that achieving the quickest return of inflation would be unlikely to be in the public interest.</div>
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"Achieving the quickest return of inflation back to 2.5 per cent would be unlikely to be in the public interest if it came at the cost of a weakening of balance sheets and an unsustainable build-up of leverage in response to historically low interest rates," he said.
"Conversely, the case for moving more quickly would be strengthened in a world where the labour market was deteriorating and people were having increasing difficulty finding jobs."
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<div>The new governor defended the Reserve Bank's ability to be flexible about maintaining its 2 to 3 percent inflation target.</div>
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<div>He suggested he doesn't believe in even more dramatic interest rate cuts. </div>
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Lowe concluded by highlighting the GFC, admitting it has left "scars" by creating uncertainty and a lack of job security for companies and workers.
"This increased value put on job security has made many workers less inclined to push for large wage rises."
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Price growth mixed nationally but Sydney brisk: RBA 

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Home loan rates continue to drop with close to 200 cuts in the past month.
A new analysis by <a href="https://www.ratecity.com.au/" target="_blank">RateCity.com.au</a> shows 106 variable rate home loan rates have been cut by 0.17 percentage points on average since September 1.
Fixed rates have also dropped in that time, with 74 rates cut by an average of 0.23 percentage points.
Peter Arnold, data insights director at RateCity.com.au, said a huge portion of rates on offer are now under the 4 per cent mark and further cuts are imminent. 
“The cash rate is on hold yet we are still getting home loan cuts as there is so much competition to get new customers and we don’t expect that to change in the near future,” he said.
“There are now 834 home loans with rates under 4 per cent with ongoing variable rates as low as 3.35 per cent, and three-year fixed rates starting from 3.59 per cent.”
RateCity calculations shows that while a typical RBA rate cut of 0.25 per cent frees up $45 a month on a typical $300,000 home loan, switching from the average standard variable rate of 4.62 per cent to one of the lowest available could save borrowers $220 per month.
Arnold said the fact that rates were on hold this month could make buyers complacent when it comes to finding a home loan.
“If you’ve been sitting on a rate it’s as good a time as ever to get a good deal as there’s a lot of the banks fighting hard for customers.”
“Whether it’s variable, or fixed, rates are at historic lows and buyers will end up ahead if they make the most of the competition in the marketplace,” he said.
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Home loan rates at under 4 percent: RateCity

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Challenger banks are leading the response to the RBA’s second rate cut this year with Bank Australia and Bank of Sydney to pass on the full 25 basis point rate cut as the Big 4 hold back up to 15 basis points, says Mozo.com.au.
The financial comparison site says the big banks are also delaying interest rate relief to borrowers by up to 3 weeks, while Bank Australia’s generous cut will be passed on this Friday.
“The Big 4 are set to pocket a whopping $1.6 billion by denying loyal borrowers up to 15 basis points in rate relief and delaying passing on their miserly cuts by up to 20 days,” says Mozo Director Kirsty Lamont.
“At the same time, we’ve already seen two challenger banks announce they will pass on the rate cut in full and Bank Australia’s customers will get their rate relief a full week before the first big bank delivers on its stingy rate cut.”
“The third rate cut in under 18 months is great news for Aussie home borrowers and we are hoping to see a race to rock-bottom rates by challenger banks eager to snatch business away from the big banks,” says Lamont. 
All four of the big banks have announced they will cut variable home loan rates, withholding around half of yesterday’s 25 basis point RBA cut.
NAB, ANZ, CBA and Westpac have confirmed they will pass on just 10, 12, 13 and 14 basis points respectively, in August.
Bank Australia announced it would pass on the full 25 basis points, opening the door for big cuts by other smaller lenders.
<a href="https://mozo.com.au/home-loans/variable-rate" target="_blank">Mozo</a> have Mortgage House as having the lowest variable rate. Borrowers can compare 478 home loans online using Mozo’s Home Loan comparison tool.
Data insights director at RateCity.com.au Peter Arnold said variable mortgage holders were carefully watching the banks’ moves.
“The major banks’ decisions are disappointing, and it means that around 80 per cent of all variable home loan customers will miss out on some of the savings,” he said.
“The fact that all of the Big Four banks have decided to pass on just half yesterday’s RBA cut isn’t surprising and proves shareholders are their number one priority now.
“But the good news for borrowers is that there’s a home loan rate war going on and plenty of lenders will be passing on the cut in full and are actively hunting for new customers with low rates.
“There are plenty of lenders already offering rates below 4 per cent for owner-occupiers, so if you’re on a rate above 4.5 per cent, the chances are you’ll still be behind, even if you do get a cut.”
“Not all lenders passed on the full 0.25 percentage point saving after the May rate cut, with just 0.18 percentage points making its way to customers on average, leaving borrowers $183 million out of pocket,” he said.
<a href="/images/2016/08/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-03%20at%2012.53.48%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/08/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-03%20at%2012.53.48%20PM.png" alt="">
Source: Rate City calculations based on a 30-year home loan at the average SV rate of 4.71 percent.
 
 
 
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RBA rate cut update: Which banks have moved?

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The ANZ tips there will be RBA rate cuts in May and August this year.
They have noted their expectation for a weakening property market too, in their latest February 2016 ANZ heatmap.
<a href="/images/2016/01/18/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-18%20at%2010.38.06%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to end</a><img src="/images/2016/01/18/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-18%20at%2010.38.06%20AM.png" alt="">
ANZ's heatmap published in February last year (below) predicted a cash rate of <a href="/expert-insights/finance/rba-2-cash-rate-forecast-the-anz-heatmap">2% for December 2015</a>.
<a href="/images/2016/01/18/anz-feb-2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/01/18/anz-feb-2.jpg" alt="">
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