<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/consolidated-properties">Consolidated Properties Group</a> (CPG) is approaching the launch of its latest Brisbane riverfront development, Castile, on the dress circle Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

VIP buyers are now being engaged, with a full public sales launch coming later this year.

Positioned as the final opportunity to secure a new absolute riverfront residence on the East bank of Newstead, Teneriffe or New Farm, Castile at 47 Skyring Terrace has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a> as a timeless addition to the Brisbane skyline.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=371113]

The name Castile draws on themes of permanence, sophistication and legacy, reflecting a broader vision centred on enduring architecture and timelessness in the rarest of riverfront positions.&nbsp;

CPG Chairman and CEO Don O’Rorke said the project had been envisioned as a future Brisbane icon.&nbsp;

“With 47 metres of direct river frontage and never to be built out views, 47 Skyring Terrace is the definitive address on the Brisbane River,” O’Rorke said.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=371114]

“Rather than following trend-based apartment design, Castile draws inspiration from Brisbane’s great heritage buildings, reinterpreting classical architecture into a contemporary riverfront landmark designed to stand proudly for the next 100 years,” he said.&nbsp;

The approved development will comprise 227 apartments across a 25-storey tower alongside a boutique six-storey riverfront building of just 12 residences.&nbsp;

Construction is scheduled to commence in September 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150489]

Joel Robinson

CPG unveils Castile Newstead ahead of upcoming sales launch

Australia’s online shopping habits have shifted dramatically over the last decade. As eCommerce volumes surged, so too did the frustrations that came with traditional parcel delivery: missed deliveries, long Post Office queues, parcel theft and the challenge of being home during business hours.

Australia Post’s Parcel Lockers emerged as one of the more practical responses to that changing consumer behaviour.

What started as a relatively niche delivery option has evolved into a nationwide network of more than 1,400 self-service Parcel Lockers positioned at train stations, shopping centres, supermarkets and Post Offices across the country. The system allows Australians to send, collect and return parcels 24 hours a day, fundamentally changing how many people interact with deliveries.

The appeal is relatively straightforward: flexibility.

Instead of waiting at home for a delivery driver or rushing to a Post Office before closing time, users can direct eligible parcels to a Parcel Locker location of their choice. Once the parcel arrives, Australia Post sends a notification with a collection code or QR access through the AusPost app, allowing customers to retrieve their package at any time within the collection window.

For apartment residents in particular, the system has become increasingly valuable.

Higher-density living has created logistical challenges around deliveries, especially in buildings without concierge services or secure parcel rooms. Missed deliveries are common, while parcel theft has become an increasing concern as online shopping volumes continue to rise.

Australia Post itself has repeatedly highlighted the growing issue of “porch pirates” during peak shopping periods, encouraging customers to use Parcel Lockers as a safer alternative to unattended home deliveries.

That security aspect is one of the key reasons the Australia Post Parcel Locker network has grown so rapidly.

Parcel Lockers are positioned as secure, monitored collection points that reduce the risk of theft while also improving delivery efficiency for Australia Post. Instead of multiple redelivery attempts, parcels can be consolidated into a single secure destination.

The Parcel Lockers themselves are free to use through a MyPost account and support a range of parcel sizes up to 16 kilograms and dimensions of approximately 35 x 44 x 61 centimetres.

Beyond receiving parcels, the system has increasingly become integrated into the broader eCommerce ecosystem.

Customers can now use Parcel Lockers to return online purchases, while retailers have embraced the model as a way to improve delivery success rates and reduce friction in the shopping process. Australia Post has actively expanded partnerships with major retailers and promoted Parcel Lockers as part of a broader out-of-home strategy.

The timing of that expansion aligns with broader changes in Australian shopping behaviour.

The acceleration of online retail during and after the pandemic placed enormous pressure on delivery infrastructure. Parcel volumes reached record highs, particularly during Black Friday and Christmas periods, with Australia Post delivering more than 100 million parcels during peak festive seasons.

That growth forced logistics providers to rethink the “last mile” of delivery, widely regarded as the most expensive and operationally difficult stage of the process.

Parcel Locker systems have increasingly been viewed as part of the long-term solution.

The concept itself is not unique to Australia. Parcel Locker networks have become common globally, particularly across Europe and Asia, where dense urban environments and apartment living create similar logistical challenges. But Australia’s geography and suburban sprawl made adoption slower initially.

Now, however, the convenience factor is driving mainstream usage.

For commuters, Parcel Lockers near train stations allow parcels to be collected on the way home from work. For apartment dwellers, they remove the uncertainty around access and missed deliveries.

The rise of the AusPost app has also streamlined the experience, centralising notifications, tracking and Parcel Locker access into a single platform. Australia Post has increasingly pushed customers toward app-based delivery management, partly as a way to combat phishing scams and fake delivery notifications, which have become more sophisticated in recent years.

The Parcel Locker model is also beginning to influence property development itself.

Parcel management has become a growing consideration in apartment building design, particularly as online shopping becomes embedded in everyday life. Many new residential developments are now incorporating dedicated parcel rooms or Parcel Locker systems into foyers and communal spaces.

For developers, parcel management is increasingly viewed as part of the broader resident amenity offering, alongside gyms, wellness spaces and communal work areas.

That reflects a wider evolution in how residential buildings are designed.

Apartment buyers are placing greater emphasis on convenience, security and operational functionality, particularly in higher-density urban environments. Parcel delivery, once considered a minor operational detail, has become an increasingly important part of that equation.

Australia Post’s Parcel Locker network sits at the centre of that behavioural shift.

What began as a simple alternative delivery option has evolved into a key piece of infrastructure supporting Australia’s growing eCommerce economy and changing urban lifestyles.

And as online shopping continues to expand, the role of Parcel Lockers is likely to become even more embedded in how Australians live, shop and receive goods.

How Australia Post Parcel Lockers changed parcel delivery convenience in Australia

Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property Listings

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The level of fresh listings nationally has increased 4.9% when compared to the same period one year ago, with homes in capital cities increasing 8.9% compared to this time last year, according to CoreLogic RP Data's latest Property Pulse.
According to the report some 233,119 properties were added to the listings pool over the past month, with the largest increase in listings numbers for the four weeks ending August 30 in Sydney (16.4%), Melbourne (9.7%) and Canberra (17.7%).
Sydney's total stock levels are -0.5% lower than a year ago, with Melbourne listings down 4.7% lower than a year ago.
<a href="/images/2015/09/03/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-03%20at%202.56.41%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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mick.cee-iDmgDDAmu8

Fresh listings nationally increase 4.9%: CoreLogic RP Data

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A five bedroom landscaped home in the Meelup Hill Estate in Dunsborough, Western Australia, has been listed for sale with $2.2 million hopes.
The <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-wa-dunsborough-117010943" target="_blank">125 Endicott Loop</a> two hectare residence has been listed through Michael Mort at JMW Real Estate.
With five bedrooms, four bathrooms and study, the property has been constructed with a dam, flowing creek and scheme water. 
The house features an open fireplace in the living area and has elevated decked entertaining areas.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Meelup Hill Estate home lists with $2.2 million hopes

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<div>The top five properties attracting the most interest on realestateview.com.au this week are a mixture of those with development potential, trophy mansions and smart buys for potential investors.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The property generating the most clicks through realestateview.com.au last week was a potential development site at 17 Marriott Parade Glen Waverley.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
The home, set on 1538 sqm of land, is offered up as an opportunity to build a <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/49-20-ellerby-street-glendalough/Property-Details-buy-residential-9226490" target="_blank">four storey apartment complex</a>. It sold through Freeman Li and Tony Ievoli from Barry Plant Glen Waverley.
</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/08/28/17-Marriott-Parade-Glen-Waverley-VIC-3150-Real-Estate-photo-1-large-9226490.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="333"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
The second most clicked property on realestateview.com.au is a  brand new property located at <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/25-barry-street-kew/Property-Details-buy-residential-9156442" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">10 Lauren Close, Gol Gol</a>, for sale at $490,000. 
The four bedder with a massive family room and study nook features 9ft ceilings and spotted gum timber floors throughout.
It is for sale through Roccisano Real Estate.
<a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/49-20-ellerby-street-glendalough/Property-Details-buy-residential-9226490"><img src="/images/2015/08/28/10-Lauren-Close-Gol-Gol-NSW-2738-Real-Estate-photo-1-large-9156442.jpg" alt="" width="438" height="291"></a>
 
The third most clicked house on realestateview.com.au this week is an expressions of interest for a Kew trophy home. 
The property, <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/49-20-ellerby-street-glendalough/Property-Details-buy-residential-9341870" target="_blank">25 Barry Street Kew</a>, Victoria, is a five bedroom mansion for sale through Sam Wilkinson and Scott Patterson of Kay &amp; Burton Hawthorn.
<img src="/images/2015/08/28/25-Barry-Street-Kew-VIC-3101-Real-Estate-photo-1-large-9341870.jpg" alt="" width="501" height="334">
 
The fourth most clicked property for the last week is <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/42-buller-drive-glen-waverley/Property-Details-buy-residential-9215338" target="_blank">3/16 Cromdale Street Mount Martha, Victoria</a>, listed for sale between $590,000 and $650,000. It is for sale through Sam Danckert of Abode Mt Martha.
<h3><img src="/images/2015/08/28/cromwell.jpg" alt=""></h3>
The fifth most clicked property on realestateview.com.au this week is a single level Victorian home with three bedrooms at <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/49-20-ellerby-street-glendalough/Property-Details-buy-residential-9260418" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">137 Male Street, Brighton</a>, Victoria.
The property sold at auction last week through Barb Gregory and Jason Collie of Marshall White Brighton.
<img src="/images/2015/08/28/137-Male-Street-Brighton-VIC-3186-Real-Estate-photo-1-large-9260418.jpg" alt="" width="720" height="480">
<h2> </h2>
</div>
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Top five most clicked homes: Realestateview.com.au

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The number of new properties listed for sale in Sydney is 16.6% higher when compared to last year, according to figures released by CoreLogic RP Data.
Melbourne listings are up 11.5%, a 12 month change of -6.5%.
 
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Sydney new property listings up 16.6% year on year: CoreLogic RP Data 

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Renovator Cherie Barber has her 1890S Leichhardt investment property listed for September 5 auction.
The property listed by Cobden &amp; Hayson agent Ben Southwell is expected to challenge the suburb's current $3.05 million record.
The Victorian-era house is a restored five-bedroom home on 410 square metres which Barber bought in April 2008 for $950,000. It had been listed with $1,129,000 hopes at March 2008 auction.
Barber, who appears as an expert on Network 10s The Living Room, is founder of the workshop Renovating for Profit.
She added a 14-person spa in the central garden of <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-leichhardt-120388361" target="_blank">93 Hill Street</a>.
There is also a self-contained apartment above the garage.
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Cherie Barber lists 1890s Leichhardt record setter

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The celebrity photographer Nicholas Wilson and his wife Sally have listed their Zetland terrace.
The four-bedroom terrace is tipped to fetch more than $1.65 million through McGrath's Ben Forsyth at its August 29 auction.
They want more space for their three sons at Kensington. The couple bought <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.mcgrath.com.au/buy/house-zetland-nsw-2017/266497">the Victorian-era home</a> on Portman Street in 2006 for $729,000.
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Celebrity photographer's Zetland Victorian-era listing

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The top Victorian listing on realestateview.com.au over the last week has been a three bedroom North Melbourne trophy home compete with Carrara marble, silken polished concrete, luminous Victorian Ash and solid Royal American Oak.
Constructed by builder and designer owners, <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/4-47-forrest-avenue-east-perth/Property-Details-buy-residential-9196604" target="_blank">11 Chetwynd Place North Melbourne</a> is set for Auction at 12pm Saturday, August 8 through Anthony Gattuso of Woodards real Estate.
<img src="/images/2015/08/07/11-Chetwynd-Place-North-Melbourne-VIC-3051-Real-Estate-photo-1-large-9196604.jpg" alt="" width="506" height="337">
The second top recent listing over the last week through realestateview.com.au was a three bedroom townhouse with two car garage and stylish kitchen in the Sydney suburb of Thornleigh. <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/4-47-forrest-avenue-east-perth/Property-Details-buy-residential-9265902" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">45/10-14 Loch Maree Avenue, Thornleigh</a>, is a family friendly home located close to schools, shops and transport.
It is set for auction Auction Saturday 22nd August at 4.30pm through Alex Gayl and Dion Verzeletti of Ray White Thornleigh.
<img src="/images/2015/08/07/45-10-14-Loch-Maree-Avenue-Thornleigh-NSW-2120-Real-Estate-photo-1-large-9265902.jpg" alt="">
The third top listing for realestateview.com.au over the last week was a lifestyle rural property of 8094 sqm with mountain views and a there bedroom colour bond and weatherboard home built in 2009.
<a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/4-47-forrest-avenue-east-perth/Property-Details-buy-residential-9252248" target="_blank">63 Gap Road Springsure, Queensland</a>, comes complete with four-bay shed, close proximity to the local primary school and connection to town water.
It is for sale through John Noffke of Noffkes' Rural Real Estate and Livestock.
<img src="/images/2015/08/07/63-Gap-Road-Springsure-QLD-4722-Real-Estate-photo-1-large-9252248.jpg" alt="">
 
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Trophy Melbourne listing tops online property search: realestateview.com.au

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<div>GUEST OBSERVATION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Over the last three weeks. And in the last week in particular, there have been some key announcements that will likely have a meaningful impact upon the housing market. The screws have been further tightened and this time we think they will have an impact. To recap the major changes include:</div>
<ul>
<li>A requirement for banks to hold 2% more capital (compared to risk weighted assets).</li>
<li>A requirement for banks to lift risk weights on home loans, meaning the banks will not be able to leverage as much from their home loan assets as they were before.</li>
</ul>
<div>Banks have responded by:</div>
<ul>
<li>Announcing capital raises</li>
<li>Lifting interest rates on investment property loans</li>
<li>Reducing loan to value ratios on investment property loans and locations considered higher risk</li>
<li>Increasing the servicing requirements (e.g A loan service test on a higher theoretical interest rate).</li>
<li>Not allowing tax benefits from negative gearing to be used as income.</li>
</ul>
<div>Clearly the changes will knock out most of the weaker borrowers, which is what the changes are designed to do, besides strengthen the balance sheets of the banks. But will it move existing property investors to the exits? The cumulative effect of these changes will now most likely dampen demand from property investors. The announcement last week of interest rate increases was probably the final nail. Indeed trusted sources on the ground including agents and mortgage brokers in Sydney are informing me of would-buyers now holding back. We also note the recent decline in Sydney auction clearance rates to just back below 80%. Nevertheless clearance rates in the mid to high 70's is still suggestive of strong market. It should also be noted that SQM expects total residential property listings have surged in July, though the final result will not be known until early August. As we know the recovery in the housing market, particularly for Sydney has been investor driven. It’s a good time to re-publish the following chart which does clearly illustrate how investor have dominated this recovery. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/07/28/HousingFinanceCommitmentsJuly2015.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/07/28/HousingFinanceCommitmentsJuly2015.png" alt=""></div>
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The problem is, property investors can be a fickle bunch. A number of them are momentum driven. Buy when the market is moving higher and sell when the market is heading lower. Forget about the fundamentals and the emotional attachment. It is the capital gain and preservation of that gain that counts. Contrast this with first home buyers and owner occupiers who tend to not care (as much) for the market ups and downs. They tend to be longer term holders. They tend to sell and buy on an upgrade/downgrade or when servicing improves/deteriorates.This makes for a market they may well be more volatile than previous cycles. Even so, is there enough here to create a full blown crash? No way. We would still need to see a lot more action from the banking sector than these initiatives before that happens. I believe rates would need to go up by at least 1.5% and at a time when there is some type of massive supply overhang on new stock. Neither seems likely at this point in time. Needless to say the probabilities have now rapidly increased of a housing market slowdown which could be commencing now. 
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<div>Louis Christopher is property analyst for SQM Research. He can be contacted <a href="https://www.sqmresearch.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.</div>
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