New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]

The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

Joel Robinson

The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

The long-planned transformation of Brisbane's historic Shafston Estate has taken another major step, with Capella Hotel Group announced as the luxury hospitality partner behind what will become Brisbane's first branded residences.

The project, to be known as Capella Residences Brisbane, is being delivered by Verso Projects at the landmark Kangaroo Point riverfront estate, with completion targeted for 2029.

The announcement follows a series of planning changes to the project over recent years. The site was originally approved in 2023 for a 15-level, 37-apartment development designed by Rothelowman for Burgundy Group before Verso Projects took over the 10,070 sqm riverfront holding and lodged revised plans with Kerry Hill Architects to increase the development to a 25-level tower with 51 apartments.

The latest announcement confirms Capella Hotel Group will bring its branded residential offering to the project, marking just the second Capella Residences development globally after Seoul, and the group's first branded residential project in Australia.

The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/23-castlebar-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Castlebar Street development</a> will centre around the restoration of the heritage-listed Shafston House, one of Brisbane's oldest residences, originally constructed in 1851 by Reverend Robert Creyke as a single-storey cottage known as Ravenscott.

<img alt="Capella" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2b9f4ce5-638f-4d6b-8082-3ca7e4b75fca" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-09%20at%207.20.41%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=f7aeqsW_DzOJI4FymWb3lD8NptSfsP7q" />

Capella said the project aligns with its focus on heritage-led developments, with the Brisbane estate combining the restored historic residence with a new luxury apartment tower and hospitality-inspired resident amenities.

Residents will have access to the Capella Living Room, a concierge-led communal space inspired by the group's luxury hotels, alongside landscaped gardens, six swimming pools, wellness and recreation facilities.

The broader estate will also include two riverfront homes, a six-berth private marina, porte cochère arrival experience, secure basement parking and a new section of public riverwalk along the Brisbane River frontage.

The heritage Postal Depot Building will also be retained and repurposed as a guest house, in line with the revised development plans.

The project represents another evolution for the site, which Kerry Hill Architects previously described as a rare opportunity to restore one of Brisbane's most significant heritage estates while creating a new benchmark for apartment living.

"The Shafston Estate provides a once-in-a-generation opportunity to restore one of Brisbane's finest heritage precincts and to reinstate residential use as a unique site perched on the edge of Kangaroo Point," Kerry Hill Architects said in its Urban Context Report accompanying the planning submission.

"The project will celebrate excellence in sub-tropical residential design, setting a new benchmark for vertical living in Brisbane."

Verso Projects, which now has an $8.5 billion development pipeline spanning more than 6,000 dwellings across apartments, townhouses, retail and commercial projects, said the partnership with Capella would elevate the development beyond a traditional residential project.

"We feel honoured to be restoring Shafston Estate to its former glory, elevating it to new heights of luxury and excellence underpinned by Capella's distinctive service ethos and design philosophy, and making it a standout landmark in Brisbane," Verso Projects CEO Steve Laffey said.

"By partnering with Capella, globally recognised for its refined approach to luxury hospitality and deep respect for cultural and historical context, we will elevate this project beyond a residential offering into a world-class destination."

Capella Hotel Group President Roland Fasel said Brisbane's emergence as a global city made it the right location for the company's Australian residential debut.

"Brisbane is a city on the cusp of something remarkable, and Capella Residences is our commitment to being part of that story," Fasel said.

"The Capella residential experience is more than luxury. It is about a sense of belonging to a place with deep meaning."

Private appointments have now opened for the project, with a display suite expected to open in late 2026 ahead of the planned 2029 completion.

Capella to launch Brisbane's first branded residences at Shafston House, Kangaroo Point

Lewis Land's latest apartment release within its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan is targeting one of the Gold Coast's fastest-growing buyer groups, with almost a third of apartments at Solis priced below $1 million.

The seven-storey building at Biggera Waters will comprise 91 apartments, including 24 one-bedroom residences starting from $778,000, a price point Lewis Land says is aimed squarely at first home buyers struggling to enter the Gold Coast market.

<img alt="Harbour Shires" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e7486e37-22f6-4c92-b212-9b0622070b8f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-08%20at%209.09.34%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=W8MJwJUCf6HkIyl_EVSksnd.QI6MZryY" />

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lewis-land-group">Lewis Land</a> Head of Development Michael Long said the developer deliberately allocated a significant proportion of the project to more affordable apartment types.

"First home buyers have been priced out of many parts of the Gold Coast, and we saw a clear opportunity to address this and play our part in a longer-term housing solution," Long said.

"That's why 24 of the 91 apartments being delivered at Solis have been designed and priced for the city's next generation of homeowners, quality one-bedroom apartments, half of which include an additional multipurpose room to maximise space and flexibility.

"This approach places 30 per cent of apartments in Solis under $1 million, and with close proximity to Harbour Town's future light rail extension connecting residents to the city's major employment and knowledge hubs, it's a win for buyers looking to secure their first property."

<img alt="Sores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="550526d3-73ba-4710-9739-c5f4294a30ef" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-08%20at%209.09.29%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=cQQdXHt9wS0UXwZEm5Py5bH_3kAmzyhu" />

Designed by BDA Architecture, Solis will deliver a mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments, with residences ranging up to 232 sqm. Apartments feature generous balconies and contemporary finishes, while residents will have access to Harbour Shores' lagoon pool, clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga studio and sauna.

The focus on first home buyers resonated with purchaser Holly Humphreys, who said she and her boyfriend spent more than a year searching for their first property before shifting their attention from houses to apartments.

"We fell in love with the first house we bid on and got our hopes up, but after repeated knockbacks we learned not to get too attached," Humphreys said.

"We offered at the high end of price guides, but sales kept going even higher. That's where we really struggled and we needed to re-evaluate our budget and our expectations. Standalone houses were off the table, and we pivoted to apartments and townhouses."

Humphreys said it was encouraging to see developers recognising the growing demand from first home buyers.

"There's a growing number of young buyers looking to enter the market earlier because they understand that getting in now can make a real difference as prices continue to rise," she said.

"It's fantastic to see a developer recognise this and then actively take measures to deliver an apartment with us in mind."

Solis is the first development planned within the second stage of the Harbour Shores masterplan, with early works expected to commence in September 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]

Lewis Land targets first home buyers at latest Harbour Shores release, Solis

Luxury apartment developer Abadeen has recorded $19.25 million in apartment sales across two of its Lower North Shore developments in the lead-up to the end of the financial year, headlined by the sale of a $6.75 million penthouse at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/koyo-crows-nest-5-rodborough-avenue-crows-nest-nsw-2065">KOYO in Crows Nest.</a>

The transactions also included the sale of a newly completed three-bedroom apartment at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/park-residences-cremorne-2-sutherland-street-cremorne-nsw-2090">Park Residences in Cremorne</a> for $6.35 million, with the residence selling shortly after the project's first public inspections following completion.

The sales come as completed, owner-occupier-focused apartments continue to attract strong demand across Sydney's Lower North Shore, particularly from buyers looking for certainty and immediate occupancy.

The penthouse at KOYO spans 491 sqm across a single level and was designed by architect Koichi Takada. The development is one of Abadeen's flagship boutique projects in Crows Nest.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108800 project_image_fid=370093]

Abadeen Executive Chairman and Founder Justin Brown said buyer activity lifted noticeably in the lead-up to the end of the financial year.

"We saw a clear increase in enquiry levels, inspection numbers and buyer engagement across our completed projects leading into the end of the financial year," Brown said.

"Buyers have become far more decisive over the past six months. The combination of improving confidence, limited supply and the ability to physically inspect completed residences is creating strong competition for premium apartments in the best locations."

Brown says the&nbsp;response to Park Residences following completion has been particularly strong.

"Buyers want certainty and are responding positively to the opportunity to walk through a finished product, inspect the quality firsthand and move in immediately," Brown suggested.

"Projects such as Park Residences and KOYO demonstrate that when the product is exceptional and the location is irreplaceable, buyers are prepared to act quickly."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114246 project_image_fid=370116]

Abadeen CEO Joe Tack said quality continued to differentiate projects in the current market.

"Today's buyers are incredibly discerning," Tack said.

"They are seeking larger floorplans, premium finishes, walkability, lifestyle amenity and confidence in the developer delivering the project. Well-designed boutique developments continue to outperform because they offer something genuinely difficult to replace.

"The enquiry we are seeing across our completed and recently completed Lower North Shore portfolio is very encouraging, and we expect this momentum to continue into spring."

The sales follow increased enquiry across Abadeen's Lower North Shore portfolio which also includes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/northcote-collective-naremburn-2-northcote-street-naremburn-nsw-2065">Northcote Collective in Naremburn</a> which also completed recently.

KOYO penthouse headlines Abadeen's $19.25 million EOFY sales flurry

Price

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Forecasters are setting themselves up to fail when they make very exact predictions about future price growth.
I've long been puzzled by economic forecasters predicting, for example, that Brisbane house prices will grow 7.4% in 2014-15 (not approximately 7% or 8%, mind you, but exactly 7.4%) and then exactly 7.5% in 2015-16 – as QBE has done with its Australian Housing Outlook report, with the help of BIS Shrapnel.
What micro-economic event will occur in 2015-16 to cause Brisbane's average price growth to limp 0.1 of a percentage point higher in that year, compared to the previous year?
Why will Melbourne prices grow exactly 2.2% in 2015-16 and then decrease exactly 0.7% in 2016-17?
What chance the forecasters will be right? I would suggest zero (and that's an exact figure I can predict with confidence).
Has this kind of forecast ever been exactly right in the past? No. I've checked and I can't find an instance of an accurate prediction.
So why do it? Why pretend you can predict city price growth two or three years into the future, down to the last decimal point, when it's not remotely possible to be right?
The most likely answer is: to drum up a bit of publicity, comfortable in the knowledge that most media outlets will publish this nonsense without asking a single question. And even more comfortable in the knowledge that no one will check in three years to see how accurate the forecasts were.
Louis Christopher of SQM Research commented earlier this year that organisations who make big claims or extreme forecasts for publicity reasons rely on "the community's collective amnesia" to cover their tracks. In other words, they can relax, knowing that no one will bother to check on the results of their forecasts, much less hold them to account for them.
Even more alarming about this forecast report is that it is fundamentally based on data from the Real Estate Institute of Australia.
It lists Real Estate Institute of Australia (REIA) figures for the previous decade and then extrapolates forward, with predictions for the next three (financial) years.
The Melbourne figures are particularly rubbery. According to the REIA, Melbourne prices rose a tad under 20% in the financial year that ended on 30 June.
Such a figure is fanciful. All the other major research sources contradict it. RP Data says 9%, Australian Property Monitors says 10% and the Australian Bureau of Statistics says 9%.
Even more spectacular, the REIA claims Melbourne prices rose almost 27% in 2009-10.
As I have written previously in this column, the institute's figures for Melbourne growth are good for a laugh, but no one sensible gives them any credibility.
I've called the REIA to account numerous times in the recent past on the accuracy of its price data – and now the institute refuses to send me their figures. Fortunately, it's not difficult to get a copy of their reports from other sources.
The one thing that does make sense about the QBE report are the general themes, in terms of which locations are likely to rise and which are not.
For example, it suggests Brisbane will be the leading city for growth in the next three years, and that makes some sense. It also suggests that Adelaide and Hobart will do better than Melbourne, Perth, Canberra and Darwin, and that generally aligns with my own thoughts, based on our research.
It forecasts growth in some of the key regional centres, such as Newcastle, Wollongong, Ballarat, Bendigo, Cairns, Townsville, the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast – and that also makes sense.
But the exact numbers they have applied to those cities for price growth in the next three years? Give me a break.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email</a> him or contact him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">twitter</a>.
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

When people pretend they can predict exact property price growth, there's a 0.00% chance they'll be right

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We know the rate of price growth continues to slow, but the most telling data in the latest November figures CoreLogic RP Data, was the slowing in growth for Sydney apartments.
Sydney continued to drive capital city growth in November, with house values up 14.3% on an annualised basis.
It was running at 14.9% two months ago. It was 15.2% during 2013.
But the apartment segment is nowhere near as strong.
Apartment values in November were up 8.7% over the past year.
But two months it was running at 11.5%. It was 11.6% during 2013.
It is fair to say most Australian cities have now passed their cyclical peak periods.
Sydney's house median sits at $825,000, up from $775,000 at the end of 2013.
Apartment median sits in Sydney at $605,000, up from $557,000 at the end of 2013.
Overall the national capital city average annualised growth for houses has been 8.9% compared to 5.9% for apartments.
Of course let's not forget that just three year ago units were the faster movers in 2012, which was overall pretty ordinary for growth with Sydney house prices up 1.3% annually and units up 2.3% annually.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Sydney apartments the weaker link for late 2014 price growth: CoreLogic RP Data

<html><body>
It seems when buying property in Victoria, the further you are from Melbourne, the cheaper it gets.
According to RP Data, there are 13 suburbs in Victoria that had median house prices under $100,000 over the last 12 months and they are all in the north and north-west parts of the state.
Victorian House Median Prices
<ol>
<li>
<a href="/news">Sea Lake</a> - $70,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Kaniva</a> - $73,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Minyip </a>- $75,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Rainbow</a> - $77,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Ouyen</a> - $78,000</li>
<li>H<a href="/news">opetoun</a> - $80,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Jeparit</a> - $82,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Nyah West</a> - $85,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Coleraine</a> - $88,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Dimboola </a>- $89,000</li>
</ol>
Similarly, the cheapest units are found 100s of kilometres from Victoria’s major metropolitan areas. But these units aren’t just in small rural towns. According to RP Data, some of Victoria’s cheapest units are found in the large rural hubs of Victoria, in places such as Horsham, Mildura and Moe.
Victorian Unit Median Prices
<ol>
<li>
<a href="/news">Newborough </a>- $133,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Moe</a> - $145,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Morwell </a>- $149,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Mildura</a> - $159,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Alfredton</a> - $180,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Maryborough </a>- $182,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Wodonga </a>- $185,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Bairnsdale</a> - $188,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Horsham</a> - $188,000</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Yarrawonga</a> - $193,000</li>
</ol>
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owisniewski-RiYLqnXfKH

Where can you find the cheapest homes in Victoria?

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Guest observation
Apart from loose monetary policies that lead to toxic lending, such as negative gearing, real estate investments by self-managed super funds (SMSF) and foreign investment, there is another factor behind rapid house price inflation.
Excessive increases in house prices are also caused by unreliable estimates of fair market value price.
To explain in more detail, real estate sales data has its flaws, due to settlement prices not being triggered from actual pre-sale valuations – which remain unchecked throughout the sale process.
What is a pre-sale valuation?   A pre-sale valuation is a comprehensive report put together by a registered valuer. It represents the market value of a property for sale (the price one is expected to get for their property and is subject to any supply and demand curve shifts during the validity period).
During this process, the valuer will look at the land value/ location/aspect, building structure/improvements and condition, building/structural faults, features of the home and recent sales in the area.   For land valuation only, valuers analyse sales of both vacant land and improved properties, making adjustments for the added value of improvements.
When there are unsuitable sales, a valuer will factor in other matters, such as most valuable use of the land, holding costs, taxation, constraints on use such as zoning and heritage restrictions, land size, shape and land features, such as slope and soil type, nearby development and infrastructure and views.
Ignoring the pre-sale valuation
Some results can be triggered from listing prices that may be inflated by matters irrelevant to the value of the property, such as marketing fees, commissions and profits. And yet, banks continue to lend to borrowers and produce flawed valuations to protect their financial position.
The system is obviously skewed towards market manipulation – which in turn has caused rapid increases in house prices and driven the house price values to levels that are economically unsustainable.   The flawed price model system is favoured heavily on the supply and demand side and through rampant speculation – instead of the property's true valuation price. This could easily be addressed by both investors and home buyers gaining access to a pre-sale valuation report (paid for by the seller and part of the contract) as a hedging instrument to minimise the impact of paying too much over the true value price.
This would mean sales data that is relevant and dependable, while dramatically improving bank lending performance.
However, an adjustment valuation for high risk loan to value ratio (LVR) lending, may still be required when the purchase price exceeds the initial valuation price. This would be a shorter version of the report in the sale contract to reflect the purchase price (the new market value price) and to verify that the purchase price was achieved through market demand, than from errors or omissions in the initial report.   As monetary policy makers look for ways to keep the housing market from overheating, it's critically important that the Reserve Bank and Australian Prudential Regulator Authority address the other systemic issues of price inflation.
One is the methodology used to estimate the selling price and the other concerns the reliability of sale price data, but chances of it happening are only likely if house prices come crashing down.
George Rousos is the founder and director of <a href="https://www.itc.nsw.edu.au/index" target="_blank">Industry Training Consultants.</a>  
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jrichardson-uRX5hFdKfN

The other factor behind our skyrocketing prices

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The rate of price growth in the housing market has peaked, with prices to grow modestly over the fourth quarter and beyond, according to LJ Hooker’s Buyers’/Sellers’ Market Index.
Sellers were in favour over the third quarter, but now it’s buyers that may be given the upper hand.
In New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland, the third quarter recorded the ninth of favourable selling conditions. This is indicated by statistics that show sales outstrip listings.
Meanwhile, in Western Australia and the ACT the markets remain balanced, while Tasmania has been in favour of buyers.
While sellers were still in favour in the third quarter, LJ Hooker national research manager Matthew Tiller said that it was important to note that the index was a record result for sellers and may have reached its peak.
“According to the ABS [Australian Bureau of Statistics], the rate of growth of finance commitments peaked in the second quarter after considerable growth over the last three years,” said Tiller.
“As price growth returns to a more sustainable level and listings come on to the market for the spring and summer selling seasons, we forecast a gradual shift back towards a buyers’ market,” he said.
Western Australia, Tasmania and ACT offer immediate future and opportunities for house growth, according to LJ Hooker head of real estate Christopher Mourd.
“LJ Hooker’s network of offices are commonly reporting that many owners are viewing the low interest rate environment as an opportunity to upgrade,’’ said Mourd.
“However, many won’t commit to listing their home until they’ve found their next home. This preference has created a shortage in supply, and heavily weighted the index in favour of sellers going to market now,” he said.
<img 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" alt="">
Source: LJ Hooker
{mijopolls 45}
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

Market's price growth rate has peaked: LJ Hooker

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While it seems that the national growth rate has moderated somewhat, a number of capitals are still recording solid growth figures.
However, the month of September was largely flat across the board, according to RP Data. Over the three months to September 2014, Sydney remained the stand out, recording 4.1% price growth, while Hobart dropped by 1.0%.
RP Data national research director Tim Lawless said that September’s overall growth across Australia, at 2.9%, was indeed driven by Sydney and Melbourne. Melbourne recorded 3.7% growth, while Adelaide also saw a strong uptick of 3.1%.
"The annual rate of appreciation in dwelling values has actually been moderating since reaching a peak in April this year," said Lawless.
"The fact that the annual trend of capital growth has been trending lower is an important factor to note as it highlights that the rate of capital gain is no longer accelerating," he said.
He did not that housing market conditions remain buoyant, but said that the 12 month trend is drifting lower since an 11.5% peak in April. 
"A moderating annual trend, as well as the relatively flat September result, is likely to be welcome news to policy makers and potential buyers after the winter months recorded the largest capital gain since 2007.
"The softer September result is also likely to be seen as a positive indicator by the Reserve Bank which has recently raised concerns about the level of value growth and speculative investing in the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets," Lawless said.
CAPITAL CITY SEPTEMBER MONTHLY GROWTH, MEDIAN DWELLING
 Sydney Month: 0.8% Quarter: 4.1%  Year on year: 14.3%  Median: $655,000 Melbourne Month: -0.8% Quarter: 3.7%  Year on year: 8.1%  Median: $535,000 Brisbane Month: 0.7% Quarter: 0.6%  Year on year: 6.4%  Median: $440,000 Adelaide Month: 0.9% Quarter: 3.1%  Year on year: 5.8%  Median: $390,000 Perth Month: -0.4% Quarter: -0.6%  Year on year: 3.2%  Median: $515,000 Hobart Month: -0.3% Quarter: -1.0%  Year on year: 4.6%  Median: $300,000 Darwin Month: -1.0% Quarter: 1.4%  Year on year: 1.7%  Median: $545,000 Canberra Month: -0.5% Quarter: 1.4%  Year on year: 1.7%  Median: $500,000 
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Capital gain no longer accelerating, slowdown will be welcomed by policy makers: RP Data’s latest statistics

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Across Australia, including metro and regional, the August growth recorded was a flat lining 0.02%. However, the results of different cities varied substantially.
Here are the city and country results for median house price movements across the country over the month of August, as recorded by Residex.
CITY
 
MELBOURNE
2.31%
SYDNEY
1.52%
DARWIN
1.13%
HOBART
0.60%
ADELAIDE
-0.10%
ACT
-1.43%
BRISBANE
-1.70%
PERTH
-1.84%
Source: Residex
 
Turn over page for regional/country results.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
COUNTRY
 
TASMANIA
0.59%
NEW SOUTH WALES
-0.15%
VICTORIA
-0.41%
QUEENSLAND
-0.51%
WESTERN AUSTRALIA
-0.52%
NORTHERN TERRITORY
-0.55%
SOUTH AUSTRALIA
-1.49%
Source: Residex
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