Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Joel Robinson

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

La Vera closes in on completion as Macquarie Park continues residential transformation

Brisbane developer Red &amp; Co's decision to include dual key apartments in its debut Gold Coast apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/como-varsity-lakes-22-lake-street-varsity-lakes-qld-4227">COMO Varsity Lakes</a>, is proving to be one of the project's biggest drawcards, with buyers quickly snapping up the flexible residences.

More than half of the project's 36 dual key apartments have already sold, helping drive COMO beyond the 50 per cent sold mark within the first month of launch.

The strong response highlights growing demand for apartment designs that can adapt to changing lifestyles, with buyers increasingly looking for homes that accommodate multi-generational living, provide rental income opportunities or simply offer greater flexibility over time.

Located on the shores of Lake Orr, COMO will deliver 156 apartments across 16 levels, with the dual-key residences forming a limited release within the broader development.

Each combines a primary two-bedroom apartment with a fully self-contained studio on a single title, connected by a shared foyer and lockable internal door. The design allows owners to house ageing parents, adult children or guests while maintaining privacy, or lease the secondary residence to generate additional income.

Just 17 of the original 36 dual key apartments remain available.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=367096]

The innovative configuration combines two fully self-contained residences on a single title, typically comprising a primary two-bedroom apartment alongside a separate studio residence, connected via a shared foyer and lockable internal door.&nbsp;

The model is proving particularly attractive to owner occupiers navigating changing family dynamics and the realities of the current housing crisis.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363511]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/npa">NPA</a>&nbsp;CEO Andrew Erwin said dual key living was resonating strongly with modern buyers because it delivered both financial flexibility and practical lifestyle benefits.&nbsp;

“The housing crisis and rising cost of living are fundamentally changing how Australians think about home ownership,” Erwin said.&nbsp;

“Dual key apartments provide a genuine solution for families who want to stay connected while maintaining independence. Parents can help adult children save for a future home, ageing parents can remain nearby without moving into aged care, and owners still retain privacy and flexibility.

“Importantly, buyers are also recognising the financial advantages. It creates the opportunity to generate additional income from part of the home without the holding costs associated with owning a separate investment property.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363509]

Unlike traditional dual occupancy arrangements, the residences operate under a single title, meaning owners only incur one set of body corporate fees, council rates and holding costs.&nbsp;

The secondary residence can also evolve over time - functioning as guest accommodation, a home office, creative studio or private retreat before later becoming an income-producing asset.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/red-co">Red &amp; Co</a>&nbsp;Director and Co-Founder David Laverty said the strong early sales reflected growing buyer urgency and changing priorities within the market.&nbsp;

“Securing more than half of COMO’s residences within such a short timeframe is an outstanding result and a clear endorsement of both the design and location,” Laverty said.&nbsp;

“Buyers are responding to the combination of location, connectivity and amenity, but ultimately it’s value relative to other East Coast markets that is driving enquiry.”&nbsp;

“We’re also seeing strong interest from owner occupiers looking for homes that can adapt with them over time. Flexibility has become one of the most important considerations for buyers in today’s market.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363515]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, COMO features a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom residences with 2.7-metre ceilings and larger-format floorplans aimed at owner occupiers, downsizers and lifestyle-focused buyers.&nbsp;

The development will feature an extensive rooftop recreation and wellness offering including a 25-metre lap pool, sundeck, barbecue and dining areas, gym, sauna, plunge baths, landscaped gardens, wellness spaces and rooftop pickleball and paddleball courts.

The remaining dual key apartments range from 137 sqm to 167 sqm and include generous three-bedroom layouts with separate self-contained studio accommodation and dual parking.&nbsp;

Erwin said the dual key concept represented a broader shift in how Australians would live in the future.

“People want homes that can evolve with their lives,” he said.&nbsp;

“A dual key apartment can suit a family today, support an ageing parent tomorrow, and potentially generate income later on. That adaptability is becoming incredibly valuable in the current environment.”

Prices currently range from $2,115,750 to $2,583,000.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135546]

Inter-generational living drives demand for COMO’s dual key apartments as housing pressures reshape buyer priorities 

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ceerose">Ceerose</a> has doubled down on its Leichhardt ambitions, lodging its second State Significant Development Application (SSDA) in the suburb in the last six months.

Their newest proposal seeks to transform a former industrial precinct into a new residential community centred around the adaptive reuse of one of the site's heritage warehouse buildings.

The new project, on a 6,930 sqm block at&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-76-william-street-leichhardt-nsw-2040">40–76 William Street</a>, will bring more than 200 apartments to a suburb that has seen little to no new supply in recent years. It follows Ceerose's late 2025 SSDA for a mixed-use apartment project on nearby Parramatta Road, signalling the developer's growing investment in Sydney's Inner West.

Ceerose Founder Edward Doueihi told Apartments.com.au the developer’s long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West had given it a strong understanding of how the area has evolved and where its future opportunities lie.

“Ceerose has had a long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West, giving us a unique understanding of the area’s evolution and future potential,” Doueihi said.

“Having delivered projects throughout the region, we have witnessed the suburb’s transformation first-hand and understand the opportunities for its continued growth.”

Doueihi said that understanding also informed the planning process, with a comprehensive Stakeholder Engagement Outcomes Report prepared before the application was lodged.

The report identified the key issues and concerns raised by neighbouring residents and other stakeholders, allowing those matters to be considered and incorporated into the design where appropriate.

He said the delivery of additional housing would also play an important role in supporting the revitalisation of Norton Street and the Italian Forum.

“By increasing the local residential population, the development is expected to strengthen demand for local businesses, encourage further investment, and help restore the vibrancy that made the precinct a thriving destination in the early 2000s.”

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7258c54c-8167-479e-8361-2d5fca9915b4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010B%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%202.jpg?VersionId=S9DQfxu_jpcB5LrAEYFUbyMzg5odW6i5" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the redevelopment would involve the demolition of four existing industrial buildings while retaining and adaptively reusing the site's most significant warehouse. The retained structure would anchor a new residential precinct comprising five interconnected buildings arranged around a large central landscaped courtyard, with heights stepping from five storeys along the surrounding residential streets to 11 storeys at the William Street corner.

According to the Architecture Design Report by Woods Bagot, the proposal "seeks to create a residential village centred around a generous green heart while celebrating the site's industrial heritage through the adaptive reuse of the existing warehouse building."

The development would comprise 203 apartments, with 188 proposed as build-to-sell residences, alongside 15 affordable housing apartments.

Rather than treating the retained warehouse as a standalone heritage object, Woods Bagot has sought to weave the site's industrial history throughout the masterplan. The proposal retains the north and west facades of the landmark corner warehouse, while new buildings reinterpret the site's brick-and-steel industrial language through their material palette and architectural expression.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9e8c64c2-881b-49e1-8c90-6b6acaaa45b6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010C%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%203.jpg?VersionId=Qm8_8H_Xrg_sc4Mdjc59vlAcKF_5wRTb" />

The design is organised around what Woods Bagot describes as a "green heart", a landscaped communal open space that reinstates the leafy character removed when the site became an industrial storage facility. A new pedestrian laneway running through the site would improve permeability between William, North and Francis streets, linking residents through landscaped public spaces while activating the ground plane.

Residents would have access to communal gardens and shared recreation areas distributed throughout the development. Sustainability has also been prioritised, with the project targeting an average 7.9-star NatHERS rating. Proposed initiatives include rooftop solar generation, rainwater harvesting, passive solar design, naturally ventilated lobbies, extensive cross-ventilation and the reuse of existing building fabric to reduce embodied carbon.

The adaptive reuse strategy became a defining feature of the application after heritage investigations found only one of the site's industrial buildings could feasibly be retained. The Heritage Impact Statement concludes that preserving the key warehouse façades while referencing the site's industrial character throughout the new development provides an appropriate balance between renewal and conservation.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="efffafdb-594f-4e2b-a067-921fd51c05e1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010D%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%204.jpg?VersionId=DPmE4.k16YRt0i27hEZVtJAffarpvUfx" />

"Retention and adaptation of the site buildings has been explored but found not to be feasible except for the tallest building, whose street facades will be retained," the heritage report states.

"The proposed building will interpret the brick and steel character of the subject site, including reuse of some components and construction of a large 'sawtooth' structure in the proposed open space."

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3bfef2b5-83f5-40cd-9cab-767092f34266" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010E%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%205.jpg?VersionId=7asb3i_ql4ybbuJOUb5UHBEIy0Q9t.DF" />

The William Street site is located around 300 metres from Leichhardt North Light Rail station and a short walk to Norton Street's retail, dining and hospitality precinct. The surrounding area has increasingly become a focus for urban renewal given its proximity to public transport and the Parramatta Road corridor.

Doueihi founded Ceerose in 1998 and has grown the business to become one of Sydney's more active apartment developers in recent years, with completed projects including The Alex Collective in Alexandria, Abbie's Lane in Annandale, and the award-winning Munro House in Elizabeth Bay. They are currently delivering Belgravia, 17 luxury apartments in Potts Point.

First look: Ceerose doubles down in Leichhardt with adaptive reuse of former warehouse site

Prestige Market

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Have you ever wondered what it takes to own a property in the top two percent of the market?
Nationally, you’ve made it into the 98th percentile if you own a house worth at least $2.16 million (roughly $1.6 million above the national median house value) or a unit worth $1.43 million (about $930k higher than the national median unit value) or higher.
Although the national entry point to the top 2% club looks extremely high for most of us, the national figure is skewed higher by Sydney and Melbourne where housing values are much higher.
A 98th percentile house would set you back at least $3.21 million in Sydney ($2.3 million above the median) and $2.53 million in Melbourne ($1.8 million above the median), while in more affordable areas such as regional South Australia, the top 2% of the market is a much lower $553,790.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/10/25/2%20CL%201.JPG" alt="">
Darwin is the only capital city where the 98th percentile for a house is less than $1 million, at $878,100, while across the regional areas of each state, every area apart from Regional NSW and Regional Qld, shows a 98th percentile lower than $1 million.
The top two percent of the market is lower for units, with every capital city except Sydney and Melbourne showing a 98th percentile below $1 million.
Sydney’s 98th percentile unit value was $1.88 million in September ($1.17 million above the median) and Melbourne’s 98th percentile unit value was $1.20 million ($651k above the median).
But what if being a national or city wide two percenter isn’t quite enough? Across New South Wales the municipality with the highest 98th percentile is Woollahra at $8.16 million, followed by Mosman ($7.79 million) and North Sydney ($6.04 million). Outside of Sydney, the Byron Shire has the highest 98th percentile house value at $1.8 million.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/10/25/2%20CL%202.JPG" alt="">
In Victoria, the Stonnington council has the most exclusive 2% of houses with a 98th percentile of $6.88 million, followed by Melbourne ($3.94 million) then Boroondara ($3.90 million). Across the regional parts of the state, the Surf Coast has the highest 98th percentile value at $1.33 million.
In Queensland, the highest 98th percentile house value can be found at Noosa on the Sunshine Coast, tracking at $1.87 million in September, followed by Brisbane ($1.52 million) and Gold Coast ($1.33 million). Outside of South East Queensland, the highest 98th percentile house value can be found at Douglas (north of Cairns) at $9.43 million.
South Australia’s Burnside council shows the highest 98th percentile at $1.66 million, with Unley ($1.66 million) and Walkerville ($1.55 million) taking up the second and third positions. Across the regional areas of the state the council of Yankalilla tops the 98th percentile at $708k.
Western Australia’s most expensive municipalities all show a 98th percentile for houses above $3 million, led by Peppermint Grove at $3.82 million and followed by Cottesloe ($3.35 million) and Nedlands ($3.11 million). Although housing values have dropped by more than 20% across Perth, these three areas remain in the national top 20 for the highest 98th percentile house value.
Outside of Perth, the highest 98th percentiles are at Busselton as well as Augusta-Margaret River, both at $1.4 million.
Across Tasmania, the only municipality with a 98th percentile house value over $1 million is Hobart, at $1.25 million. Kingborough ($874k) and Clarence ($816k) round out the top 3.
Outside of Hobart, the Huon Valley council area tops the 98th percentile at $667k. Across the Northern Territory, Alice Springs tops the 98th percentile rankings at $961k, followed by Darwin at $953k.
TIM LAWLESS is the CoreLogic Head of Research
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tlawless-5VLUrbAk9s

The cost to own a property in the top 2% of the market: Tim Lawless

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Prestige property values are falling twice as fast as low-end housing, the investment bank Morgan Stanley suggest.
<div class="cq-article-content-paras section">
Daniel Blake, equity strategist, said there is no evidence of any economic, policy or banking changes that might stop the fall in property prices.
And regulatory changes are considered a further headwind.
</div>
The real estate values in top end postcodes has been sliding at an annual rate of about eight percent, compared to four per cent for properties in the bottom, or fourth quartile, its analysis shows.
Rising interest rates, political uncertainty, stagnant incomes and increasing investor nervousness about the Labor Party's proposed changes to negative gearing are contributing to a sharp downturn in lower priced property too, it shows.
"Given the subdued outlook for credit demand and supply, the still elevated level of prices and indebted households, it looks unlikely that the market will trough in the immediate future," the bank's report concludes, adding the underlying weakness is "entrenched," Blake said.
Last month Morgan Stanley analysts released a bearish outlook on the state of the property market.
“Our housing model suggests that both prices and approvals are likely to fall further, and given the subdued outlook for credit demand and supply, the still-elevated level of prices and indebted households, it looks unlikely that the market will trough in the immediate future,” it wrote.
 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Prestige property values falling twice as fast as low-end housing

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In the July meeting minutes, the RBA discussed the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets decline.
The minutes suggested house prices had fallen by almost five percent in Sydney over the preceding year after its significant increases in previous years.
"Members observed that prices in Sydney and Melbourne had fallen the most for more expensive properties, while prices of lower-priced properties had been little changed, consistent with the typical pattern of larger fluctuations in prices at the higher end of the market," the minutes read.
"In the other state capitals, housing prices had been fairly steady, with the exception of Hobart, where prices had picked up markedly given strong demand and supply constraints."
The members noted that data from the national accounts suggested dwelling investment had peaked in late 2016, although residential construction cycles had differed significantly across the states.
"In New South Wales, dwelling investment in higher-density projects had remained at a high level since the beginning of 2016," the minutes read.
They said liaison contacts had suggested there were capacity constraints in Sydney, which meant that, given the large amount of work in the pipeline in New South Wales, construction activity was likely to remain at a high level for some time.
The minutes noted that dwelling investment in Victoria was also likely to remain at a high level for some time.
"Members noted that more of this activity had been in detached dwellings and that ‘greenfield’ land sites had generally been more readily available in Victoria.
"By contrast, the construction cycle for apartments had clearly passed its peak in Queensland, while detached housing construction in Western Australia might have reached a trough.
Growth in household income had remained low compared with the average of the preceding 20 years, the members suggested, with household income remaining subdued over the most recent couple of years.
Growth in labour income had increased to its highest rate since 2012, in line with solid growth in employment.
Wages growth remained low, consistent with ongoing spare capacity in the labour market and some structural forces that had also been evident in other economies.
To read the <a href="/expert-insights/finance/minutes-of-july-2018-monetary-policy-meeting-of-the-reserve-bank-board">full minutes click here.</a>
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Top end prices in Sydney and Melbourne fall the most, while little change for lower-priced properties: RBA minutes

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Sydney's lower North Shore suburbs making record-breaking sales aren't indicative of the actually slowing market, according to the June report from valuation firm Herron Todd White.
Prestige property on the Lower North Shore appears to be following the current general market trend, with a reduced number of potential purchasers and these same buyers now have the luxury of taking their time to make decisions in purchasing, the valuation firm suggests.
It hasn’t definitively resulted in reduced sale prices as yet, there are still some very strong results, noted the report.
In particular, Cremorne had a record suburb sale in March this year, with a prestige waterfront home selling for $18 million.
Indicating the continued strength of the prestige market, that record lasted just over two months, broken by the sale of 8 Wonga Avenue, Cremorne (pictured above) in late May for around the $19 million mark.
The purchaser is reportedly a foreign buyer, showing that they are still present and remain confident in this segment of the market.
The Lower North Shore market is currently in line with most other Sydney markets for the most part.
A general slow-down is being reported by local agents in the area with fewer potential purchasers at open homes and fewer bidders come auction time.
The region has had a relatively strong 71% clearance rate for the week ending 27 May, noted the report.
The valuers stated that "although the general lower North Shore market is showing some resilience, we do expect the market to further soften over the next few months and then stabilise towards the end of the year.
"The investor product in particular, as in other areas, appears to be constrained by difficulty in gaining finance."
It is becoming clear that it is in fact the restrictive lending environment that is the main driver of softening prices, rather than an actual lack of confidence in the market.
With the current banking royal commission being undertaken, we do not see any potential change in restrictive lending in the near future.
"The banking royal commission on lending restrictions will have less impact in the prestige market, which is likely part of the reason we haven’t seen the same clear softening market conditions for prestige property on the Lower North Shore compared to the general market" concluded the HTW valuers.
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Record property prices persist amid Sydney's lower North Shore slowing market: HTW 

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The prestige market as a whole is currently dominated by a lack of supply, which is most keenly felt in traditional blue ribbon prestige areas such as the eastern suburbs and lower north shore, according to the latest report by Herron Todd White.
As a result, transaction numbers remain somewhat subdued, although strong buyer demand for this limited available stock level is translating into bullish prices being achieved in some instances.
Herron Todd White noted that the prestige market shows signs of strong price growth.
"With an overall strengthening in the prestige dwelling market combined with limited stock levels, the prestige apartment market has shown recent signs of strong price growth primarily driven by the empty nester buyers, who previously struggled to realise adequate selling prices as a flow on from the impact of the GFC," said the report.
"While the prestige market is not stimulated as strongly by the impact of interest rate fluctuations, we do consider that savvy participants closely watch the performance of global and local markets and remain concerned about the under performing and fluctuating equities market and moderate performance of the local economy.
"Should stock levels increase, we consider that buoyant market conditions currently enjoyed in the prestige space may weaken."
Prestige residential property in Sydney is generally considered to represent properties greater than $3 million.
Prestige homes are scattered throughout the greater Sydney metropolitan area, with the highest concentrations in the eastern suburbs and eastern beaches, inner city and inner east, inner west and the lower and upper north shores.
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Sydney prestige prices may weaken with rise in stock: HTW 

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A casual $1.5 million can get you into a four bedroom prestige waterfront home in Darwin, according to Herron Todd White's October Month in Review.
Herron Todd White said although Darwin's top-end market is not 'firing on all cylinders', the local prestige market has not suffered to the extent of other market segments.
"The prestige market is victim to a case of circumstances with investor confidence down as income growth has decreased since the start of 2015," the report noted.
"There are only a limited number of purchasers who operate in this market with properties being listed for long periods of time.
"There are limited markets in Australia that still offer the same opportunity to purchase prime waterfront real estate at this price point."
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