<p>Malaysian developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> is the latest to jump into St Leonards booming Transport Oriented Development precinct.</p>

<p>The developer, which has previously delivered Sapphire by the Gardens apartment development in Melbourne, identified the Atchison Street site in 2023. It filed a Scoping Report around 12 months ago, and now has revealed the designs for the new&nbsp;40-storey mixed-use tower.</p>

<p>The State Significant Development Application covers <a href="https://next-portal.urban.com.au/projects/14650/summary">20-22 Atchison Street</a>, a 1,374 sqm site positioned between St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the project would deliver 181 apartments, above a four-storey commercial podium, five basement levels, and new public domain works along Mitchell Street. The apartment mix comprises 35 one-bedroom apartments, 39 one-bedroom-plus-study apartments, 85 two-bedroom apartments, and 22 three-bedroom residences.</p>

<p>The proposal has been lodged as a shop-top housing development under the NSW Government’s TOD planning pathway, which allows increased density around key transport infrastructure. The site sits within the recently rezoned Crows Nest Accelerated TOD Precinct.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b799673d-48e2-46b0-801a-0e33a9330100" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20site.png?VersionId=dPh0UfwfaHpbFL1R7H1cbZNbIW0CHbCC" /></p>

<p>SP Setia acquired the Atchison Street site as part of its continued expansion into the Australian apartment market. In comments made to City &amp; Country (The Edge Malaysia) in 2023, SP Setia President and CEO Datuk Choong Kai Wai described the acquisition as “a strategic move” aligned with the group’s post-pandemic market recovery strategy.</p>

<p>“Our target for this exceptional development is local and overseas buyers, including first-home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Choong said.</p>

<p>The tower has been designed as a slender vertical form rising from a mixed-use podium, with COX Architecture positioning the development as a response to the evolving St Leonards and Crows Nest skyline.</p>

<p>“The purpose of the project is to facilitate the delivery of high-quality housing at a strategically located site and deliver a built tower outcome that is consistent with the desired future character of St Leonards and aligns with the TOD controls,” the design report stated.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b1a85eee-76f7-436c-a6da-73ba827b9b13" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20entry.png?VersionId=dA9jHGPMcm.dDbwk4QfxqWiY5bfh3UVt" /></p>

<p>The podium would incorporate retail uses fronting Atchison Street, commercial tenancies, landscaped communal areas, and pedestrian improvements along Mitchell Street. Vehicle access and loading would be consolidated via Atchison Lane.</p>

<p>Residents would have access to more than 665 sqm of communal indoor and outdoor spaces, while the development proposes 96 parking spaces across five basement levels.</p>

<p>The proposal also includes a commitment for 10 per cent of residential floor space to be allocated toward affordable housing through a monetary contribution.</p>

<p>COX said the tower form responds directly to the emerging high-density character of the precinct while seeking to maximise solar access, cross ventilation, and outlook from apartments.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2163f85c-f63b-4be3-aafa-f8763976cec5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_5.png?VersionId=WiAmtIKJ6.ZQ41EtYEQ1fol7AeorKBlL" /></p>

<p>“The building is orientated towards north,” the Apartment Design Guide compliance report noted, adding that the tower’s slim form was driven by the constrained inner-urban site dimensions.</p>

<p>The design also incorporates landscaped setbacks and communal open space at podium level, intended to soften the interface with surrounding streets and improve pedestrian amenity.</p>

<p>The project adds to a growing wave of redevelopment proposals reshaping St Leonards and Crows Nest following the opening of the Sydney Metro City line and the NSW Government’s push for higher-density housing around major transport nodes.</p>

<p>Last week Stockland filed plans just down the road. They want to build a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/601-pacific-highway-st-leonards-nsw-2065">52-storey tower on Pacific Highway</a>.</p>

<p><em>Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">First look: Stockland plans 52-storey, 538-apartment St Leonards tower&nbsp;</a></em></p>


Joel Robinson

First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has revealed plans for a new mixed-use tower at 10 Dangar Street, Wickham, advancing a proposal that would reshape the southern gateway to Newcastle’s city centre with one of the city’s tallest residential buildings.</p>

<p>The State Significant Development proposal, now on exhibition, seeks approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bowline-10-dangar-street-wickham-nsw-2293">43-storey tower</a> immediately adjacent to the Newcastle Interchange. The project would deliver around 200 apartments, including 42 affordable housing dwellings, alongside 99 co-living units, a 171-room hotel, retail space, and new public domain integrated through the site.</p>

<p>The scheme marks a significant escalation of plans previously approved for the site. Urban Property Group took over the prominent 2,904 sqm parcel, where excavation and demolition had already commenced under an earlier consent for a 14-storey mixed-use development.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="58a96dd9-407f-4d20-86b4-94e4bfeef74b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20podium.png?VersionId=LGlf08pdFGAZDzvx_CXC4XakHNZRuEE0" /></p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, the tower has been conceived as a landmark transit-oriented development anchored to the Newcastle Interchange precinct. The proposal includes 245 build-to-sell apartments across a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom residences, as well as two penthouses. Fifteen apartments and one operational unit are earmarked for NDIS housing. The co-living component would add a further 99 units, while the podium would accommodate retail uses and hotel facilities.</p>

<p>SJB said the site presents “a valuable opportunity to anchor the precinct by setting the standard for design, active ground planes and character at the key southern gateway.”</p>

<p>The architecture responds directly to the site’s position beside major transport infrastructure and within one of Newcastle’s fastest-evolving urban renewal precincts. The tower form sits above a sculpted podium designed to frame new public spaces, including a through-site pedestrian link connecting Station Street to Hannell Street, landscaped plazas, and activated retail edges.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a7bd6ff0-f7db-4ce8-a6dc-ea56e72c6149" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20lanne.png?VersionId=xzf39VADyhj7zBQY2I9fx9vI62u2tuSb" /></p>

<p>The design report describes the project as part of the broader transition of Wickham into “a vibrant, high-quality mixed-use urban precinct” that leverages proximity to the station, open space, and regional connectivity.</p>

<p>A detailed public art strategy has also been prepared for the development. The strategy positions the project as “a transit-oriented development of state significance at the gateway to Newcastle’s city centre” and outlines a series of integrated artworks responding to Newcastle’s industrial and transport heritage.</p>

<p>Creative Road’s curatorial framework for the project, titled Unveil, draws on “stratified surfaces, carved volumes, and light-filled apertures” while referencing Newcastle’s transformation from an industrial city into a contemporary education and technology hub.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="77a882bb-14b1-4d28-99ff-9438e39508c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20site.png?VersionId=cevgo_vN0eKPK78P8YcEu3mKPLkpFqE7" /></p>

<p>The proposal is being advanced through the NSW Housing Delivery Authority pathway after being declared State Significant Development in June 2025. The accompanying scoping report states the development aims to “maximise the site’s proximity to the Newcastle Interchange by delivering transit-oriented development” while increasing housing supply and affordable housing provision within the Newcastle LGA.</p>

<p>Urban Property Group’s plans align with the long-term strategic vision established under the Wickham Master Plan, which identified the interchange precinct as suitable for substantial uplift in height and density. The current proposal would significantly intensify that vision, positioning the tower among the tallest developments proposed for Newcastle.</p>

<p>The site sits immediately north of the Newcastle Interchange, bounded by Dangar Street, Hannell Street, and Charles Street. It is surrounded by a rapidly growing cluster of residential towers and mixed-use projects that have emerged following the completion of the light rail and transport interchange.</p>


First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s latest tower at Wickham interchange

<p>Bottega House has completed settlement of a landmark riverfront site in Macquarie Street, St Lucia, representing its first major Brisbane development.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Positioned on the banks of the Brisbane River, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/180-macquarie-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">premium site at 180 Macquarie Street</a> features uninterrupted river frontage in one of Brisbane’s most tightly held residential precincts.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The proposed development, currently under assessment with Brisbane City Council, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/mim-design">Mim Design</a> and will deliver a boutique collection of premium residences positioned specifically for owner occupiers and downsizers.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The residences are set to redefine luxury apartment living in the area, with a focus on architectural quality, refined finishes, landscape integration and elevated amenities including curated wellness facilities, resort-style pools and recreation spaces rarely seen in the local market.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Exclusive sales for the project will be led by Keenan &amp; Byrne, ahead of an anticipated launch later this year.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Bottega House Managing Director Nick Malloch said the project reflects the group’s ambition to deliver a highly curated residential offering within one of Brisbane’s most tightly held precincts.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“This is an incredibly rare riverfront opportunity and one we have approached with a long-term perspective,” Malloch said.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Our vision from the outset was to create a boutique collection of residences that feel more like private homes than traditional apartments, with generous proportions, refined finishes and exceptional amenity throughout."</p>

<p>Malloch says there is a&nbsp;lack of premium owner-occupier stock of this quality in the market, particularly for downsizers wanting space, privacy and a true lifestyle offering without compromise.&nbsp;</p>

<p>"Demand is expected to be strong given the scarcity of premium riverfront opportunities of this nature within Brisbane’s inner-west."&nbsp;</p>


Bottega House secures landmark riverfront site in St Lucia 

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<p data-end="157" data-start="0">The arrival of the first piling rig officially marks the commencement of construction at SIERA’s new beachside apartment development, Exhale, in Northcliffe.</p>

<p data-end="459" data-start="159"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/exhale-surfers-paradise-8-enderley-avenue-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Exhale</a>, a glass-encased tower featuring 54 large-scale apartments at 8 Enderley Avenue, is SIERA’s third Gold Coast development. It follows the recently completed PIPIS Bilinga beachfront project, which achieved suburb-record prices, and the soon-to-be-completed Chevron Island development, Tapestry.</p>

<p data-end="459" data-start="159">[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359603]</p>

<p data-end="651" data-start="461"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/siera">SIERA</a> Founder and Managing Director Brent Thompson said the arrival of the piling rig represented a significant milestone for the development, which is scheduled for completion in late 2028.</p>

<p data-end="950" data-start="653">Over the next month, around 260 piles are expected to be installed as work progresses on the basement structure. The building is anticipated to rise above ground level early next year, before unveiling its sculptural glass curtain wall, developed in collaboration with specialist façade engineers.</p>

<p data-end="1081" data-start="952">“The façade was designed to maximise panoramic coastal views while creating a distinctive architectural identity,” Thompson said.</p>

<p data-end="1081" data-start="952">[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=355935]</p>

<p data-end="1307" data-start="1083">Designed by BDA Architecture, Exhale will comprise just 54 two- and three-bedroom residences across 26 levels, a level of low-density living rarely delivered in this beachside pocket between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach.</p>

<p data-end="1522" data-start="1309">The project has been conceived as a resident-only building, with no short-stay accommodation permitted. SIERA says the model is intended to appeal to long-term owner-occupiers rather than transient holiday demand.</p>

<p data-end="1522" data-start="1309">[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=361052]</p>

<p data-end="1714" data-start="1524">Residences have been designed with large-format layouts and expansive glazing, with most apartments featuring more than 30 metres of glass frontage to maximise natural light and ocean views.</p>

<p data-end="1945" data-start="1716">The amenity offering spans two levels and centres on wellness and lifestyle, including a heated magnesium pool, sauna, yoga and Pilates studio, gymnasium, private dining facilities, cinema lounge, and dedicated surfcraft storage.</p>

<p data-end="1945" data-start="1716">[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359607]</p>

<p data-end="2220" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="" data-start="1947">More than half of the apartments have already sold. SIERA has also opened a sales gallery for Exhale at its Chevron Island commercial premises, near its Tapestry tower and the site of its second Chevron Island apartment development, which is slated to launch in early 2027.</p>
</section>
</section>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112661]</p>


SIERA kicks off construction at Northcliffe tower Exhale

<p data-end="320" data-start="79">Local Little Bay residents, along with buyers from premium postcodes across Sydney’s affluent Eastern Suburbs, have dominated purchases in developer-builder Urban Property Group’s first Eastern Suburbs apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a>.</p>

<p data-end="638" data-start="322">The $250 million coastal project, one of the first new developments in the area in several years, has proven particularly popular with downsizers, especially those from Coogee and Bondi. One Double Bay downsizer paid $4.7 million for a four-bedroom penthouse, setting a new local apartment price record in the process.</p>

<p data-end="864" data-start="640">Buyers have been attracted to the combination of coastal tranquillity, premium design and amenity-rich neighbourhood living. The walkable village setting, along with proximity to three of Sydney’s leading golf courses, New South Wales Golf Club, St Michael’s Golf Club and The Coast Golf Club, has also been a key drawcard.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352689]</p>

<p>Built across two low-rise buildings designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hill-thalis-architecture-urban-projects-pty-ltd">Hill Thalis</a> and set along a lush, landscaped green spine, designed by leading landscape architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/arcadia-landscape-architecture">Arcadia</a>, ESTE Little Bay offers a collection of one, two, three and four-bedroom residences with interiors by Richards Stanisich.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> Sales Director, Tom McIvor said the response to ESTE has been "nothing short of extraordinary."</p>

<p>“Buyers have been quick to recognise ESTE as a rare opportunity to invest in a coastal sanctuary that offers both seclusion and connectivity to the heart of Sydney,” McIvor said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352687]</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">SRM Residential</a> Senior Director, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">Clayton Ross</a> said the local market has responded incredibly well, driven by ESTE’s exceptional location and the rarity it offers.</p>

<p>“We’ve seen strong interest from a variety of buyer groups, all of whom are drawn to the exclusivity and quality of the build and construction by the 4.5-star iCIRT-rated builder / developer, Urban Property Group. There’s truly nothing else like it along Sydney’s coastline.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352690]</p>

<p>The project also includes robust buyer protections, including Resilience Insurance’s Latent Defects Insurance, providing 10 years of structural cover, and an independent iCIRT-rating of the developer.</p>

<p>“The iCIRT-rating adds another layer of confidence,” Ross added. “Buyers see it as a safeguard for their investment and their lifestyle.” A highlight of ESTE’s offering is its exclusive wellness amenities, including a heated rooftop infinity pool and outdoor heated spa, a state-of-the-art Technogym fitness centre, and a sauna.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a> is topped out and is on track to complete towards the end of 2026, with residents moving in before Christmas.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112343]</p>


Eastern Suburbs buyers snap up ESTE Little Bay apartments

Owner Occupiers

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<p>After the tightening, it is now time for the banks to offer incentives to owner occupiers applying for home loans, but mostly for customers paying principal and interest.</p>
<p>Earlier this week, Westpac announced an eight basis-point cut in variable interest rates for customers paying principal and interest on their owner occupier home loans, taking the standard variable rate for these owner occupiers to 5.24 percent p.a.</p>
<p>Westpac followed a similar move by ANZ earlier this month, when it announced a five basis point cut in variable interest rates for customers paying principal and interest on home loans.</p>
<p>The bank’s standard variable rate for owner-occupiers is at 5.20 percent p.a.</p>
<p>The rate wars prompted comparison website Mozo’s director Kirsty Lamont telling News Corp that “the gloves are off and owner occupier borrowers are the winners”.</p>
<p>It encouraged owner occupiers with principal and interest loans to shop around and take advantage of the competition between banks right now.</p>
<p>For those looking to identify the cheapest home loans, the comparison website has announced the winners of its 2017 Experts Choice Home Loan Awards.</p>
<p>Mozo analysed 504 mortgage products from 89 lenders and awarded the top 10 percent across eight categories designed to reflect different types of borrowers. </p>
<p>The first spot was occupied by loans.com.au whose top product Essentials Variable 80 offers a variable interest rate of 3.64 percent (3.66 percent comparison rate).</p>
<p>Mozo rated the product a winner in multiple categories, including best Split Home Loan and best Variable Rate Loan for both owner-occupiers and investors.</p>
<p>Next was UBank’s UHomeLoan product with a variable rate of 3.74 percent (3.74 percent comparison rate) with no upfront fees.</p>
<p>The third place was reserved by State Custodians Low Rate Home Loan with Offset, a product that offers a 3.69 percent variable interest rate (3.72 percent comparison rate) with the benefit that customers can use an offset account and save on interest.</p>
<p>The others in the list were Bank Australia’s Basic Home Loan, Newcastle Permanent’s Discounted Variable Home Loan, Heritage Bank’s Discount Variable Home Loan Special and Gateway Credit Union’s Variable Rate Home Loan. Their products had interest rates from 3.84% to 3.99%, according to Mozo.</p>
<p>None of the big banks figured in the list.</p>
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Banks in rate war for owner occupier lending

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>The March housing finance approvals report was largely in line with expectations.</p>
<p>The number of approvals for owner occupier loans dipped 0.5 percent/mth but were flat ex refi. The consensus forecast was for a flat result. Approvals ex refi were up 3.8 percent yr. The value of investor loans rose 0.8 percent after a sharp 5.7 percent pull back in Feb, annual growth coming in at 14.2 percent/yr.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/15/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-16%20at%208.39.38%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/15/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-16%20at%208.39.38%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>All up the data was largely as expected – note that the latest round of macro prudential tightening was only announced in late March with impacts likely to come through in Apr-Sep. That said, the more moderate reads on investor loans in Feb-Mar suggest lenders were already reining activity in this segment to keep within APRA’s existing 10 percent limit on investor credit growth (i.e. growth in the total stock of loans).</p>
<p> </p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/15/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-16%20at%208.40.34%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/15/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-16%20at%208.40.34%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>The detail showed, ex refi, a solid gain in owner occupier approvals in NSW (+2.9 percent/mth) offset by falls in the other major states ranging from –1.3 percent/mth in Vic and –1.8 percent/mth in SA to –3.4 percent/mth in Qld and –4.4 percent/mth in WA. Annual growth remains positive for all states except WA.</p>
<p>Construction-related finance approvals posted a solid 4.3 percent/mth rise led by a 10 percent bounce in finance for the purchase of newly built dwellings (which includes apartments and ‘off the plan’ purchases). This segment showed a similar sized fall in Feb.</p>
<p>The total value of loans ex refi rose 1.3 percent, partially reversing Feb's 2.2 percent fall. Annual growth edged up to 10 percent.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/15/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-16%20at%208.41.36%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/15/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-16%20at%208.41.36%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>More recent data from weekly auction activity suggests housing market conditions steadied a touch in Apr-May after cooling off earlier in the year from a very strong finish to 2016. Auction volumes remain high although turnover via other channels looks to be very weak. Note that these measures only provide meaningful gauges for the Sydney and Melbourne markets.</p>
<p>Looking ahead, the exact impact of new regulatory guidelines is unclear. The specific limit for investor credit growth was unchanged at 10 percent although lenders were instructed to keep growth 'comfortably below' the target. The main new measure was a 30 percent limit on the 'interest only' share of new loans (currently running at 38  percent overall and 65 percent of investor loans), particularly those with high LVRs.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/15/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-16%20at%208.42.29%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/15/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-16%20at%208.42.29%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>Lenders have responded with increased rates on both investor and owner occupier loans with larger increases for 'interest only' products (+30bps on average for investor loans, +15bps for owner occupier loans). It remains to be seen how borrowers react but the mix suggests both owner occupier and investor finance approvals will be impacted, perhaps with some 'product switching' refinance flows in the mix as well. </p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em>Matthew Hassan is senior economist with </em><a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/"><span class="s2"><em>Westpac</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
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Matthew_Hassan-HHWHptmrw4

Approvals for owner occupier loans dip: Matthew Hassan

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<p>Owner occupier finance approvals came in better than expected for September, with the detail a little softer but separate figures on the value of investor finance loans on the strong side.</p>
<p>The number of owner occupier approvals rose 1.6%, well above the market expectations of a 1.6% fall. Industry data on bank loans had been soft in the month.</p>
<p>The gain was led by strong refi activity – ex refi loans were up just 0.5% and down in value terms (–0.8%mth) implying average loan size was quite a bit smaller.</p>
<p>Other detail showed a flat month for construction-related lending.</p>
<p>By state, there were solid gains for total owner occupier loans in NSW, Vic, Qld and SA with a decline in WA.</p>
<p>The 4.6% rise in the value of loans to investors is notable as it means the total value of housing finance loans is up in the month with a clear firming since the recent low in April – that in turn suggests other data pointing to a firming in housing market conditions is genuine and that the bulk of the lift is coming from domestic investor activity.<br><span><br>Details</span> </p>
<p><br>Owner–occupiers (no.)   1.6% mth, –3.7%yr   <br><span>– ex-financing (no.)       0.5% mth, –7.8%yr        </span><span>              </span></p>
<p>Construction of dwellings (no.)      –0.8% mth, –5.2%yr      <br><span>Purchase of newly built dwellings (no.)   5.9%mth, 5.7%yr          </span><span>                  </span></p>
<p>Value of loans:             </p>
<p>Owner-occupiers ($bn)   0.9%mth, –5.4%yr    <br><span>Investors ($bn)      4.6% mth, 9.6%yr          <br></span><span>Total ($bn)              2.3% mth, –0.2%yr        <br></span><span>Total ex refi ($bn)   1.8% mth, –1%yr      </span></p>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Owner occupier finance approvals better than expected in September: Westpac's Matthew Hassan

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<div class="section">Australian housing finance approvals were materially weaker than expected in July with much of the detail also on the weak side, investor loans about the only exception.</div>
<div class="section"> </div>
<div class="section">The total number of owner occupier loans fell 4.2 percent, well below the consensus forecast for a 1.5 percent decline.</div>
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<div class="section"><a href="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.19.29%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<p><span>Ex refinance the picture was even weaker with a 6.1 percent fall, the largest monthly decline since May last year.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.21.26%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.21.26%20AM.png" alt=""></span></p>
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<p><span>Approvals can be choppy month to month but moves tend to be in the ±3 percent range. </span></p>
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<p><span>Our estimates (using ABS seasonal factors) suggest seasonally adjusted owner occupier approvals ex refi were down 3-4 percent in NSW, Vic and Qld with, somewhat surprisingly, WA the only state to record a rise (+2.7 percent/mth). </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.22.28%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.22.28%20AM.png" alt=""></span></p>
<p><span>Note that the sum of these estimates across the big five states is firmer than the published national number (down about 2 percent rather than 6 percent). </span></p>
<p><span>The value of housing finance approvals to investors rose 0.5 percent, building on a 3.3 percent gain in June to be up 9.2 percent since April. </span></p>
<p><span>The sharp slowdown associated with the tightening in lending criteria and increases in borrowing rates for investor loans late last year has now clearly run its course. </span></p>
<p><span>With loan 'supply' now, arguably, less constrained (particularly given that investor credit growth is tracking at 4.5 percent/yr, well below the regulator's 10 percent ceiling) and some of the uncertainty around potential tax changes easing activity looks to be firming again.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.23.32%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.23.32%20AM.png" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>For the total value of housing finance approvals, the rise in investor loans partially offset the weakness in owner occupiers with the total value ex refi down a milder 2.2 percent/mth. The total value of approvals ex refi is down on a year ago, mainly reflecting last year's pull back in investor loans. </span></p>
<p><span>The July fall in owner occupier approvals is a little puzzling given the May interest rate cut and a range of other indicators suggesting both buyer sentiment and market conditions have firmed somewhat in recent months. </span></p>
<p><span>It may reflect the tail end of earlier weakness (finance approvals tend to respond to rate moves and sentiment shifts with a 2-3mth lag). There may also be some statistical 'noise' in the monthly data.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.24.38%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/09/12/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-12%20at%208.24.38%20AM.png" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>Overall, given the better reads coming from other market indicators and the divergence between investor and owner occupier loans we would tend to take the July finance approvals figure with a grain of salt and look to coming months to confirm whether a new weakening is coming through. </span></p>
<p><span><em><span>Matthew Hassan</span> is senior economist with <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.</em></span></p>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

July fall in owner occupier approvals is a little puzzling: Westpac's Matthew Hassan

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<p>While home value rises have been moderate over recent years outside of Sydney and Melbourne, it provides little comfort for first home buyers in the two largest cities who struggle to compete with those that already own homes.</p>
<div>
<p>In 2008, combined capital city home values fell by -6.1 percent in the space of 9 months. By the end of the year, home values had reached and began to climb thereafter.</p>
<p>The drivers of this growth was largely two forms of stimulus: aggressive interest rate cuts and a boost to the First Home Owners Grant (FHOG). Since the boost to the FHOG was removed and many of the existing grants were removed or scaled back, first home buyers have continued to languish at near record low levels. The harsh reality is that first home buyers are struggling to compete with those who already own a home or who are investing.</p>
<p>The first chart highlights the increase in home values across each capital city from December 2008 to April 2016. Another way to think about this is that if in December 2008 you owned a home worth $500,000 it is now worth $758,418 which is $258,418 more than in December 2008. Looking at this same calculation across each capital city, the increases in value over that time based on a $500,000 home owned in December 2008 are: Sydney ($400,825), Melbourne ($338,866), Brisbane ($73,417), Adelaide ($81,029), Perth ($64,096), Hobart ($11,263), Darwin ($109,293) and Canberra ($126,262).</p>
<h3>Cumulative change in home values<br>December 2008 to April 2016</h3>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/30/2016-05-30---img1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/30/2016-05-30---img1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>While the value of a home owner’s property has undergone massive rises, the increase in inflation and wages has been comparatively more sedate.</p>
<h3>Cumulative change in CPI (inflation) <br>December 2008 to March 2016</h3>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/30/2016-05-30---img2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/30/2016-05-30---img2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Although combined capital city home values have increased by 51.7 percent between December 2008 and April 2016, inflation has increased by a significantly lower 17.1 percent over the period. CPI has increased by a greater amount than values in Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and Hobart indicating ‘real’ home values have fallen. Meanwhile in Sydney, Melbourne, Darwin and Canberra CPI growth has lagged that of home value growth.</p>
<p>Looking at wages growth between December 2008 and March 2016, it shows that nationally and in New South Wales, Victoria and the ACT it has lagged value growth across the capital cities. It should be noted that wages are now growing at the slowest pace in at least 18 years and that the increases highlighted do include strong wage increases in the latter part of the mining boom. Nonetheless, the data highlights that in NSW and Vic wages are increasing at a much slower pace than home values in Sydney and Melbourne are.</p>
<h3>Cumulative change in Wage Price Index<br>December 2008 to March 2016</h3>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/30/2016-05-30---img3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/30/2016-05-30---img3.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The final chart shows the change in the value of new lending (excluding refinances) to investors, owner occupier first home buyers and subsequent buyers between December 2008 and March 2016. The chart highlights how the value of lending to owner occupier first home buyers is now lower than it was in December 2008 across each state and territory. This has occurred despite the increase in home values over the timeframe. While lending to owner occupier first home buyers has fallen, lending to investors and subsequent buyers has increased in most states and territories with substantial rises in NSW and Vic.</p>
<h3>Change in the value of new lending to investors, FHB and subsequent buyers<br>December 2008 vs. March 2016</h3>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/30/2016-05-30---img4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/30/2016-05-30---img4.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>While outside of Sydney and Melbourne home values have increased below or at a similar pace to inflation and wages, it is a very different story in the two largest capital cities. Existing owners of homes in Sydney and Melbourne have seen a significant increase in the ‘real’ value of their home. Subsequently those that do not yet own struggle to compete with investors and upgraders that have been so active in the market and already have significant equity.</p>
<p>The simple answer to this problem is that first home buyers in Sydney and Melbourne should look to buy properties outside of these cities however, that may be a little simplistic. Job creation has not been as strong outside of Sydney and Melbourne and for many moving interstate, employment opportunities are generally a big decision. Even buying outside of Sydney in nearby regional cities may not be attractive because transport infrastructure does not provide quick and efficient access to Sydney and Melbourne from nearby regional cities.</p>
<p>We certainly don’t advocate for the return of grants for first home buyers as they have tended to just push up the cost of housing. Prospective first home buyers are facing some tough choices as they compete with other segments of the market who may have larger budgets or a great deal of equity behind them thanks to a history of strong capital gains. Remaining (or joining) the rental market is one option that many may choose, considering weekly rents are down 0.2 percent across the combined capitals.</p>
<p>Those choosing to rent may decide to make their first home purchase an investment property in a location that is more affordable and better suits their budget. For those first home buyers looking to buy their first home to live in, their options will often be limited to the city outskirts if they are to purchase a detached dwelling, or compromising on space to live closer to where they work and play by choosing a higher density option.</p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.</em></p>
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Investors, owner occupiers making things tough for first home buyers: CoreLogic RP Data's Cameron Kusher

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<p>The Reserve Bank of Australia released its Financial Aggregates data for January 2016, which showed credit growth of +6.5 percent in the year to January 2016, a steady increase on the +6.1 percent recorded for the year to January 2015.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div>Total annual housing credit growth has slowed a bit from its recent peak of +7.47 per cent in November 2015 to +7.33 per cent in January 2016, reflecting in part the shift in composition of lending from investors to owner-occupiers. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Investor credit growth is now well below APRA's arbitrary +10 per cent threshold at just +7.9 per cent and consistently slowing from +11 per cent in June, meaning that theoretically major banks could in due course start to ramp up lending into this sector should they feel the urge to do so. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of course, any such move would be dependent upon a range of regulatory factors, and whether APRA has the appetite to loosen its throttle.<br><br>Meanwhile owner-occupier annual credit growth recorded another significant jump in surging to a 64 month high of +6.95 per cent, with homebuyers looking to take advantage of attractive mortgage rates.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>Deposit growth seems to present few headaches for banks right now. While term deposits have been understandably less popular in the prevailing low interest rate environment, total deposits with banks have expanded in a robust manner over the year to January. </span></div>
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<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA3.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Business credit</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Business credit grew by +6.2 per cent in the year to January 2016, up from +5.5 per cent in the year to January 2015. It is as yet unclear whether this is the end of the uptrend for business lending growth, or a blip in the upwards trajectory. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Housing credit</span></strong><br><br><span>The chart below shows how lenders in the housing market have conveniently managed to shift almost seamlessly away from investment lending to owner-occupier credit, with a bit of reclassification jiggery-pokery along the way.</span><br><br><span>In fact, the data submitted by lenders makes it look as though the chart has been drawn up on an Etch-A-Sketch.</span>
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<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA5.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA5.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Total housing credit continued to push beyond $1.53 trillion, growing at an annual pace of +7.33 per cent, although naturally there are marked differences between the states and capital cities, with some faring much better than others.<br><br>There have been a few pro-equities articles today discussing "plummeting" lending and investors "leaving the market in droves".<br><br>That's interesting, but it's not what I'm seeing. Don't forget that housing credit expanding at a pace of +7 per cent implies a doubling in outstanding credit over a decade.<br><br>It's all in the marketing, I guess.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/03/RBA6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/03/RBA6.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Credit growth was fairly steady in January, with owner-occupiers continuing to pick up the baton from investors within the housing sector.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A key question going forward will be whether having managed to push investor credit growth below its preferred +10 per cent threshold APRA releases its grip on investor lending at all. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As APRA's data last week showed, the overwhelming majority of property buyers these days have substantial deposits, the question is whether tougher criteria are to be maintained surrounding mortgage serviceability. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Another key factor could be movements in the cash rate, with interest rate cuts potentially set to stimulate demand for mortgage borrowing further, although it appears likely that lenders would hold back 10bps to15bps of a prospective 25bps interest rate cut.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Adding to the parts of GDP we already know such as net exports, the Business Indicators released by the ABS this morning including inventories (-0.4), wages (+0.5), and company profits (-2.8), each suggested that headline GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2015 is likely to be weak. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>These GDP partials may prove to be another tack in the coffin for the next movement in interest rates being down. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Owner-occupiers lead housing lending: Pete Wargent

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<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">In the December quarter, the gap between rates for investors and owner occupier borrowers widened, with investors now paying 0.21 per cent more on average, RateCity report.</span></p>
<p><span>Despite higher rates for some investors, overall mortgage rates fell for both variable and fixed, with the largest cuts applied to the 3-year fixed rates.</span></p>
<p><span>"Interestingly, fixed rates – including 5-year terms – are more competitive than variable rates on average and the gap is widening, making fixed rates an appealing option for some people now," RateCity money commentator Sally Tindall noted.</span></p>
<p><span>"However, competition in the variable space is driving sharper deals than fixed.</span></p>
<p><span>"For example, variable rates are sitting as low as 3.69 per cent, while one of the lowest 5 year fixed rates is 4.39 per cent," she said.</span></p>
<p><span>She noted home loan rates have gone both up and down in the space of three months.</span></p>
<p><span>The major banks all chose to hike rates by an average of 0.18 percentage points on the back of APRA’s requirement that they hold more capital while competition at the bottom of the market sharpened with around 25 lenders choosing to cut their lowest variable rates to as little as 3.65 per cent. </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p><span>"Unsurprisingly, existing mortgage holders primarily missed out on this news as the majority of these cuts were for new customers only.</span></p>
<p><span>"The most dramatic change occurred in investor borrowing where there was a $2.1 billion drop in lending figures in just four months.</span></p>
<p><span>"The falls came on the back of the introduction of higher home loan rates for investors of up to 1.44 percentage points, with around half of the market adopting this two-tiered pricing structure. </span></p>
<p><span>"We expect lenders will continue to tweak their home loan products in the year ahead in an attempt to reduce risk and control investor growth including a continued tightening of LVR requirements."</span></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><a href="/images/2016/01/22/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-22%20at%208.55.44%20AM.png" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: 12.16px; line-height: 1.3em;">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
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Gap between rates for investors and owner occupiers widening: RateCity

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<p>Owner occupiers are expected to return to the market in force as their choices widen and the outlook for interest rates remains positive, according to a report by the the Urban Development Institute of Australia (Queensland) Research Foundation.</p>
<p><span>The third Industry Insights Report talks about the trends in land, house and apartment sales, supply and prices across Queensland.</span></p>
<p><span>It reveals a marked shift in the residential property market in 2015, with the focus shifting from regional Queensland to the South East. </span></p>
<p><span>Prepared by The National Property Research Company (NPR Co), the report gathers market intelligence from industry players – real estate agents and developers across 15 regional areas.</span></p>
<p><span>South East Queensland hotspots include Brisbane, Gold Coast, Ipswich, Logan and Moreton Bay, all showing price growth in land and house sales volume. Medium to high density median prices – houses and apartments – remained fairly static, with growing sales volume, this is a reflection of the strong supply into the market in this category.</span></p>
<p><span>The report also reveals:</span></p>
<p><span>• In Brisbane, almost all respondents reported a rising market across all forms of housing over the last six months, with the majority view that we were yet to see the top of the cycle for apartments. Interest rates and population growth were cited as the most positive market influences.</span></p>
<p><span>• The outlook for the Sunshine Coast is positive. Whilst median price rises were slight across the board, the hospital nearing completion, investigation into improved transport infrastructure, economic diversification and improving domestic tourism figures buoyed the market.</span></p>
<p><span>• In Ipswich, the market is steadily rising, although there was concern about the negative impacts of low employment growth and infrastructure investment that may limit growth. Two thirds of respondents reported healthy levels of demand from international buyers.</span></p>
<p><span>• Logan, Gladstone and Toowoomba led the state for land, with modest growth in land volume sales. Whilst Gladstone is coming off a low base, the outlook is more positive into 2016. Toowoomba is riding the wave of infrastructure projects, and there was strong agreement that demand had increased across the board for all forms of housing. Logan has reaped the benefits of two major masterplanned communities and may well prove to be Brisbane’s newest and most dynamic corridor.</span></p>
<p><span> • Population growth in the Fraser Coast, Mackay and Gladstone has challenged recovery in these LGAs. Mackay and Gladstone continue to experience oversupply, but are optimistic for improved conditions and see the affordability as the silver lining for buyers over the next 12 months.</span></p>
<p><span>• In Bundaberg, it was the opinion of respondents that positive growth in the market will be driven by low interest rates and affordability.</span></p>
<p><span>• Whilst sales volumes in Cairns cooled since the last report, median prices rose across the board, and the industry eagerly awaits the commencement and/or confirmation of major infrastructure projects.</span></p>
<p><span>• The outlook for the Gold Coast is very positive with a large majority of respondents confident about a continued rising market, particular for houses, and very healthy overseas demand from both investors and owner occupiers.</span></p>
<p><span>UDIA (Qld) president Brett Gillan said Queensland’s new property market contributed to economic growth and jobs in Queensland in the first half of 2015, noting the buoyancy of the South East Queensland market.</span></p>
<p><span>“We are seeing the return of owner occupiers to the market, and they are looking for diversity and fresh choices in housing types and locations. Our challenge is to respond to this demand, and meet their lifestyle aspirations at an affordable price,” he said.</span></p>
<p><span>“We are very aware of the challenges that regional communities outside of South East Queensland continue to face and we have been working closely with our industry, local councils and the state government in 2015, to assist with the creation of local planning schemes that have the best interests of the communities’ future at heart.”</span></p>
<p><span>Industry Insights researcher, NPR Co managing director Matthew Gross, said that the research throws the spotlight on the factors behind the vastly variable market conditions being experienced across Queensland.</span></p>
<p><span>“The report suggests that confidence and certainty, interstate capital inflows and a resurgence in the stock market are issues to watch in 2016,” he said.</span></p>
<p><span>CSQ CEO Brett Schimming said the UDIA (Qld) Research Foundation, that has just celebrated its first anniversary, has filled a gap in industry knowledge that CSQ is proud to have been able to facilitate.</span></p>
<p><span>“The housing and construction industry is one of the most important economic drivers and this research helps to keep industry informed. The more we know the better we can plan housing developments and ensure we have the right skills and training in place to meet future needs,” he said.</span></p>
<p><span>The Foundation’s research programme is driven by the Industry Leaders’ Research Group representing Stockland, Amex Corp, Lend Lease, Frasers Property, Investa, Peet, Pradella Property Ventures, Excel Development Group, Defence Housing Australia, Pointcorp, AV Jennings, Wentworth Equities, McNab, PLACE Design Group and Village Retirement Group.</span></p>
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2016 marks the return of Queensland's owner occupier market: UDIA

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<p><span>On the last day of the month the Reserve Bank released its </span>Financial Aggregates <span>data for the month of August 2015, which showed another solid month for both housing credit growth (+0.6%) and business credit growth (+0.5%).</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA1.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA1.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<div>Over the year housing (+7.5 per cent) and business (+5.3 per cent) credit has helped to take total private sector credit growth to its highest level since 2008 at +6.3 per cent.</div>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Business credit grows</span></strong></p>
<div>Total business credit outstanding ticked up to above $800 billion, having recovered steadily since the financial crisis.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>Annual credit growth for the business sector increased at its strongest annual pace since February 2009, with Westpac forecasting further moderate gains in the months ahead.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA3.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Investor loans slowed</span></strong><br><br><div>There has evidently been a little innocent jiggery-pokery by Australia's major lenders when it comes to the splitting of investor and owner-occupier credit.</div>
<br><div>As you can see in the chart below, last month it transpired that tens of billions of dollars of credit had been misreported as owner-occupier credit, when in fact in related to investment housing.<br><br>The direction of the misstatement can hardly come as a shock.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As a result the share of outstanding credit for investment housing is materially higher than previously had been thought (or at least, reported - I expect few market participants would be surprised).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said, the slow drip of measures taken to douse investor credit first became a trickle and now it is a flow, and it appears that APRA's intervention has now taken the sting right out of the investment lending sector, with some lenders having put the kibosh on new investment loans altogether.<br><br>You can see the impact of the restatement and then APRA's macroprudential measures in the red line below, with the total stock of outstanding credit not rising on a seasonally adjusted basis this month for the first time since 2011.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA4.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>
<div>Overall this is a healthy move for the market, which was at risk of becoming too "top heavy" with investors.<br><br>Although there is no oversupply of dwellings in aggregate, there clearly were too many investors piling into the market which had helped to slow rental growth to a 20 year low.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The return of owner-occupiers</span></strong>
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<div>However, it is too simplistic to say that the slowdown in investor lending will automatically put dwelling price growth into reverse gear.</div>
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<div>If there is one thing we know about banks in this country it is that they will look to lend against housing where possible, and as such we can expect lenders to push owner-occupier loans ever harder, using enticing mortgage rates of around 4 per cent to in order to expand home loan books.<br><br>The Reserve Bank Governor himself has predicted that more folk will opt to place themselves as "owner-occupiers" in due course. </div>
<br><div>Indeed, while investor credit is now almost certain to fall below APRA's advisory +10 per cent growth threshold over the next few months, owner-occupier credit has already been picking up the slack in rising by rising by +0.6 per cent in August.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There has been a clear pick-up in the pace of owner-occupier credit growth over the past three months, and annualised home lending growth to owner-occupiers has increased to 43 month high at +5.6 per cent.</div>
<div>
<br>In turn this has helped total home lending credit growth rise to +7.5 per cent, which is now a 59 month high.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA5.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Investor share of credit falls</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The restatement of the categorisation of investor loans saw the total share of investor credit blow out to an unprecedented 38.6 per cent last month.</div>
<div>However, with APRA's cooling measures now taking effect the investor share ticked downwards in August for the first time in 30 months, more evidence that the regulatory intervention will have a material impact on the investor sector.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA6.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></p>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall it was another month of strengthening housing credit, with owner-occupiers increasingly willing to take advantage of record low borrowing rates. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Investor credit growth looks set to fall back to an annual growth rate of below 10 per cent, but in total housing credit is still picking up its pace to multi-year highs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>---</div>
<div> </div>
<div>August was a quieter month for initial capital raised on the Australian Securities Exchange, although there was a strong volume of secondary cap raisings.<br><br>Total capital raised on a rolling annual basis has increased to its highest level since the great flood of recapitalisation over the year to May 2010.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/10/01/ASX-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/01/ASX-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Owner-occupiers pick up housing market baton: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released housing finance data for July 2015 earlier this week.</span></p>
<p><span>Throughout July, there was $32.8 billion worth of housing finance commitments. This figure was comprised of $19.2 billion worth of commitments to owner occupiers and $13.6 billion in commitments to investors. Over the month, the total value of housing finance commitments increased by 1.5% to be 15.0% higher year-on-year.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/10/Chart-11.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/09/10/Chart-11.jpg" alt=""> </span></p>
<p><span><span>At $19.2 billion, owner occupier housing finance commitments increased by 2.2% over the month and were 13.9% higher year-on-year. Breaking the $19.2 billion into its components: $1.6 billion was for construction of dwellings, $1.1 billion was for the purchase of new dwellings, $6.2 billion was for refinances of established dwellings and $10.2 billion was for the purchase of established dwellings. Over the month, commitments for the construction of dwellings fell -1.5%, purchase of new dwellings rose 8.4%, refinances rose 3.3% and purchase of established dwellings rose 1.5%.  </span></span></p>
<p><span><span>Over the past 12 months the refinance segment has been the key driver of growth in the owner occupier lending segment with commitments up 23.7%. In comparison, year-on-year changes have been recorded at -7.6% for construction of dwellings, 15.4% for purchase of new dwellings and 12.6% for purchase of established dwellings. Recently growth in the owner occupier lending segment has been lacklustre, driven largely by refinances however, the 13.9% year-on-year rise in owner occupier housing finance commitments excluding refinances is the largest rise since February 2014.</span></span></p>
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<p><a href="/images/2015/09/10/Chart-21.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/10/Chart-21.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Turning to the investment segment of housing finance commitments, this has over recent years been a significant driver of new demand. In July 2015, investor housing finance commitments rose by 0.5% to be 16.5% higher year-on-year. If we look at the $13.6 billion in investment housing commitments across its components, $1.1 billion was for construction of new investment dwellings and $12.5 billion was for established homes. </p>
<p>Over the month, commitments for new construction rose 11.7% compared to a -0.4% fall in commitments for established homes. Year-on-year investor commitments for construction of new dwellings has increased by 81.5% compared to a 12.9% rise in the much larger segment for purchase of established investment homes.  The chart above shows the recent weakness in commitments for established homes and the ongoing rise in commitments for new construction.</p>
<p>It seems that there is a growing appetite for investment in off-the plan investment properties while demand for established investment stock is waning a little.  Despite the monthly rise in demand for investment lending, the rate of growth has started to ease as Australian authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs) tweak their lending policies in line with policy updates from APRA aimed at slowing growth in the pace of total investor housing credit.</p>
<p>Housing credit data for July 2015 showed that growth in owner occupier credit is ramping up while investor credit demand is potentially slowing. This release of housing finance data appears to support that notion. The ADIs will be hoping that they can entice additional activity from the owner occupier segment over the coming months as there is likely to be a slowdown in lending to the investment segment.</p>
<p>Housing finance data is continuing to rise however, it appears that growth is starting to tilt away from investors towards the owner occupier segment. Although regulators such as the Reserve Bank and APRA will be glad to see that exuberance from investment borrowers may be slowing, they will be very keen to monitor and ensure that any pick-up from owner occupier borrowers is not as a result of a relaxing of lending standards.</p>
<p>Both the housing credit and housing finance data will be closely monitored over the coming months in order to see if this transition continues. Specifically we will be watching whether housing credit can continue to increase its rate of growth and if new commitments continue to tilt away from investors towards owner occupiers and what impact that may have on housing finance demand.</p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/cameron-kusher/" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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