<p>A new 25-storey apartment tower proposed for Mercer Street would push Geelong’s western gateway skyline higher, with Morphy Birrell Property Group lodging plans for a project directly beside one of the city’s most significant heritage streetscapes.</p>

<p>The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">FK</a>-designed development at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/65-67-mercer-street-geelong-vic-3220">65-67 Mercer Street</a> has now been referred to Victoria’s Planning Minister. The site sits opposite the Geelong rail corridor and immediately south of the heritage-listed St Peter and Paul’s Catholic Church and Ashby Hall precinct.</p>

<p>Rather than compete with the neighbouring ecclesiastical buildings, the proposal adopts a sculpted podium intended to reference the materiality and scale of the heritage context. Planning documents note the design draws cues from the “dark stone brick” church and surrounding masonry buildings, while the tower above transitions into a softer, curved form oriented toward Corio Bay and the Geelong waterfront.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Morphy Birrell Property Group targets 25-storey Geelong tower beside landmark church precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b797d10c-d4a6-47af-b8df-1aeaa3b382be" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/public%20square.png?VersionId=QGIpcz1x1hKB6lQLl2iobyHqb6PS2Ztc" /></p>

<p>The development forms “Stage 5” of Morphy Birrell Property Group’s broader Mercer Street precinct strategy, following the completion of the 21-storey Miramar tower on Cavendish Street and several additional approved redevelopment stages nearby. Planning consultants Ratio said the proposal “represents an exemplary development outcome” aligned with the strategic ambitions for Central Geelong’s continued urban renewal.</p>

<p>The mixed-use project would replace an existing low-rise commercial building and surface parking area on the 3,320 sqm corner site. FK’s urban context report describes the proposal as a residential development comprising apartments, resident amenities, commercial space, and integrated landscaping positioned to maximise bay views and northern sunlight access.</p>

<p>Renders show a deeply articulated tower with curved balconies stepping above a lower masonry podium that frames a landscaped forecourt facing Mercer Street. The design intentionally preserves sightlines toward the adjacent church buildings, with the podium scaled to reinforce the heritage edge before the tower recedes upward.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Morphy Birrell Property Group targets 25-storey Geelong tower beside landmark church precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2bdca91e-66f7-4ac7-8baa-2f93bd5b564e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/geelong%20site.png?VersionId=QOhbino4ZgzKYw5dW3QE14E.2yq.Sv87" /></p>

<p>The planning report highlights the site’s strategic location within 400 metres of key Geelong destinations including Cunningham Pier, the Geelong Station precinct, Deakin University, and the convention centre. Bus services run directly along Mercer Street, while the Corio Bay foreshore sits around 100 metres north of the site.</p>

<p>The proposal arrives amid accelerating redevelopment across central Geelong, where planning policy continues to encourage higher-density housing close to transport infrastructure and the waterfront. Mercer Street in particular has emerged as a focal point for taller apartment development due to its proximity to Geelong Station, the bay, and major civic infrastructure.</p>


Joel Robinson

Morphy Birrell Property Group targets 25-storey Geelong tower beside landmark church precinct

<p>Development giant&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/hamton">Hamton</a> and joint venture partner Hostplus have revealed the next residential stage of their $3 billion Moonee Valley Park masterplan, lodging plans for 512 more apartments within the precinct on surplus racecourse land at 110 Wilson Street, Moonee Ponds.</p>

<p>The proposed development, dubbed&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/trackside-house-110-wilson-street-moonee-ponds-vic-3039">Trackside Gardens</a>&nbsp;in the planning application, follows the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/vic/first-look-exclusive-hamton-and-hostplus-reveal-sixth-stage-of-moonee-valley-park-masterplan">recent unveiling of the sixth-stage Cox Place Precinct</a> and continues the long-running transformation of the Moonee Valley Racecourse into one of Melbourne’s largest urban renewal projects.</p>

<p>Positioned on the north-eastern edge of the racecourse adjacent to CityLink, Trackside Gardens will comprise three residential buildings rising between 61.8 metres and 86.4 metres within a heavily landscaped precinct shaped by Hamton’s Nature Based Cities framework.</p>

<p>The project forms part of the broader Moonee Valley Park redevelopment being delivered by Hamton, Hostplus and the Moonee Valley Racing Club, which is reshaping the 40-hectare racecourse site into a mixed-use neighbourhood with housing, retail, commercial space, hotels, parkland and community infrastructure.</p>

<p>Trackside Gardens sits separately to the recently proposed Cox Place Precinct, a five-building stage comprising around 1,100 residences, two build-to-rent buildings, two build-to-sell towers, retail, office space, and a hotel overlooking the racetrack. Together, the projects continue to accelerate housing delivery across the precinct.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Hamton expands Moonee Valley Park masterplan with 512-home Trackside Gardens precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5fc1941e-52d3-41c6-abc4-0f13fe8ae5ea" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/DA%20Edits%20%281%29.png?VersionId=7qwRHq5dcvXWNot2hNOgoQhN2GIWudNK" /></p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/dko-architecture">DKO Architecture</a> with landscape architecture by Tract, Trackside Gardens has been conceived as a botanical-style residential precinct prioritising canopy planting, communal green space, and vertical landscaping.</p>

<p>“The architectural vision for the proposed development centres around buildings in a botanical park setting that champions the important role of nature,” the planning submission states.</p>

<p>“The proposal incorporates principles of biophilic design, with landscape and environmentally sustainable development influencing the ultimate design response of the buildings and prioritising the ground plane to ensure a high amenity for both occupants and visitors.”&nbsp;</p>

<p>Trackside Gardens will deliver 512 apartments across the three buildings, alongside 518 basement car spaces and 523 bicycle spaces. Around 20 per cent affordable housing is proposed across the broader North East Precinct, equating to around 158 dwellings.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The affordable housing component will be concentrated within the Wilson East building, while the remaining apartments are expected to be delivered as build-to-sell residences.</p>

<p>Trackside Gardens has been designed around Hamton’s Nature Based Cities initiative, founded by Executive Chair Paul Hameister OAM in partnership with the University of Melbourne, Urbis, Ark Resources and Tract. The initiative promotes integrating higher-density urban development with significant biodiversity, tree canopy and landscape outcomes.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Hamton expands Moonee Valley Park masterplan with 512-home Trackside Gardens precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="89353449-7b3c-42fd-8fd8-8bf64a5ef80f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_4.png?VersionId=X8jRt0P2L7fIWjLhfX6gPknXToXIBeLj" /></p>

<p>A comprehensive landscape strategy would introduce deep soil planting, vertical greening, communal gardens, and new pedestrian links throughout the site.</p>

<p>Planning documents state the development is targeting a 5 Star Green Star Buildings rating, a 7.5-star average NatHERS rating, and “Exemplary” Nature Based Cities certification.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The proposal joins an expanding pipeline of approved and proposed buildings within Moonee Valley Park, including the recently launched Eveline apartments and the approved Grandstand North and South towers.</p>

<p>Hamton has increasingly focused on precinct-scale, nature-led communities across Melbourne’s middle-ring suburbs, with projects spanning Hawthorn, Kew, and Moonee Ponds.</p>


Hampton unveils Trackside Gardens, latest stage of $3 billion Moonee Valley Park masterplan

<p>The Paul Gedoun-led <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ss-projects">S&amp;S Group</a> has achieved another milestone in its $1 billion transformation of Rainbow Bay on the southern Gold Coast with the completion of the company’s third project in four years, the $160 million <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a> residences.</p>

<p>Delivered by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/hutchinson-builders">Hutchinson Builders</a> and designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cottee-parker-architects">Cottee Parker Architects</a>, Esprit buyers have now moved into the 94 apartments across two interconnected buildings at 217-227 Boundary Street.</p>

<p>The successful settlement of Esprit marks another astounding chapter in the S&amp;S story, which launched its highly successful Flow apartments three years ago and created its own ultra-luxury branded fingerprint on an area craving new luxury residences.</p>

<p>Most early purchasers have secured gains of well over $1 million since the project launched in 2021.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102921 project_image_fid=172129]</p>

<p>S&amp;S Projects Founding Director Paul Gedoun said the completion of Esprit reflects sustained demand for premium apartments in tightly held coastal locations.&nbsp;<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;<br />
“Esprit has attracted buyers seeking a combination of quality design, considered amenity and a location that is becoming increasingly difficult to replicate,” said Gedoun.</p>

<p>“We identified some years ago that Rainbow Bay is a unique market where supply of luxury residences is limited, and we see the settlements in Esprit further underpinning this thinking - that for both owner-occupiers and investors.”&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102921 project_image_fid=172174]</p>

<p>A key feature of the development is ‘Club Esprit’, a 1,000sqm residents-only rooftop level combining wellness and recreation, believed to be a first for the Gold Coast, and which is fast becoming a signature of the S&amp;S brand.</p>

<p>Positioned to capture views across Snapper Rocks, Rainbow Bay and the Tweed River, the rooftop includes a 25-metre lap pool, gym, yoga lawn, sauna and steam facilities, ice bath, private dining spaces, outdoor cinema and landscaped areas for residents.&nbsp;</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/pezet-matheson">Pezet Matheson</a> Director Jayde Pezet, who led the sales campaign for Esprit and S&amp;S’s Flow and Awaken apartments, said the project’s performance reflects both the strength of the product and the depth of demand for premium apartments on the southern Gold Coast.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“In some cases, we’ve seen values double since launch, which is a clear reflection of how tightly held Rainbow Bay has become and the level of demand for well-executed projects in this market,” said Pezet.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Buyers recognised early what S&amp;S Projects was delivering here, and that conviction has been rewarded as the project has progressed towards completion.”&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102921 project_image_fid=214819]</p>

<p>Esprit offers a mix of two- three and four-bedroom apartments and sits within walking distance of the beachfront, cafés and local amenities, reinforcing its appeal as both a lifestyle and investment destination.</p>

<p>The project is the third completed by S&amp;S Projects in Rainbow Bay, following Flow Residences and Awaken Residences, which together have contributed to the suburb’s emergence as one of the Gold Coast’s most sought-after coastal pockets. &nbsp;</p>

<p>S&amp;S Projects is continuing its investment in the area with Radia, a $215 million development currently under construction.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102921 project_image_fid=172175]</p>

<p>Gedoun said the completion of Esprit signals continued confidence in the southern Gold Coast market.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“We’ve seen strong interest in well-located, high-quality apartments, particularly in areas where future development opportunities are limited."</p>

<p>“That’s been a key factor in the performance of Esprit and the broader Rainbow Bay market”.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=102921]</p>


Owners move in as Esprit completes at Rainbow Bay

<p>Few developers can boast a portfolio across South East Queensland's luxury markets quite like <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mosaic-property-group">Mosaic Property Group</a>.</p>

<p>The builder-developer, founded in 2004 by Managing Director Brook Monahan, has projects in planning, on the market, and under construction, from Burleigh Heads and Broadbeach to Kangaroo Point and South Brisbane.</p>

<p>With a pipeline exceeding $2 billion, Mosaic remains highly selective when it comes to development sites, having spent years refining its strategy around feasibility research and product planning. The group is set to continue growing into 2026 and beyond.</p>

<p>In Brisbane, Mosaic currently has three projects in the market. It is in the final release stage at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-bedford-by-mosaic-16-30-prospect-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">The Bedford</a> in Kangaroo Point, which is approaching complete sellout ahead of its late 2027 completion.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134792 project_image_fid=328123]</p>

<p>Designed in collaboration with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, The Bedford comprises 128 two- and three-bedroom residences. A selection of ultra-luxury Masterpiece Series Skyhomes, positioned across the top levels, offer expansive floor plans and sweeping views of the river and city.</p>

<p>High-end inclusions, such as natural stone benchtops, bespoke cabinetry, and Miele appliances, feature throughout all apartments, alongside the Rooftop Recreation &amp; Retreat Sky Terrace. This includes a resort-style pool with sun deck and loungers, spa, cold plunge pool, sauna, steam room, private dining room with a full kitchen, residents' lounge, multiple barbeque and relaxation zones, an outdoor viewing deck, and landscaped gardens with water features, all oriented to sweeping city and river views.</p>

<p>A gym with indoor and outdoor zones, and a golf simulator, further enhances recreational choice within the building.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134792 project_image_fid=328119]</p>

<p>A defining feature of the development is its integrated mixed-use component, which will deliver Kangaroo Point's first major supermarket, alongside a café and liquor store, bringing long-awaited convenience to the peninsula.</p>

<p>Monahan says The Bedford represents the culmination of a near-decade-long journey, after first identifying the A-grade Prospect Street site in 2016. While they came close to acquiring it at the time, the site was ultimately purchased by Woolworths' development arm, Fabcot. The opportunity resurfaced in 2024 when the site, vacant for nearly three decades, was brought back to market.</p>

<p>Monahan says Mosaic projects often begin years before any formal plans are drawn. Their new South Brisbane development is no exception, with the site first earmarked in 2018.</p>

<p>"We aren't opportunistic," Monahan says. "Every site purchase is carefully considered. As seen with Kangaroo Point and South Brisbane, it can take years to eventuate. There are sites we're looking at now that we may not secure for several years."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=141711 project_image_fid=353495]</p>

<p>A similar story unfolded at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-carter-by-mosaic-77-linton-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">The Carter</a> in Kangaroo Point, opposite The Gabba. Like The Bedford, it is also approaching sellout of its 125 two- and three-bedroom apartments. The majority of sales are attributed to returning customers and referrals, with a balanced mix of investors and a strong majority of owner-occupiers.</p>

<p>BDA Architecture was again engaged to design the 22-storey building, which will feature a suite of wellness and lifestyle amenities, including a golf simulator and cinema, a commercial-grade gym, and a rooftop recreation level with a pool, steam room, sauna, cold plunge, teppanyaki bar, private dining spaces, and landscaped terraces.</p>

<p>Construction is on track for completion in mid-2027.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=151614 project_image_fid=362759]</p>

<p>Mosaic's latest offering is its most ambitious yet, boasting a rare, north-facing riverfront position on Montague Road in South Brisbane.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-riversdale-by-mosaic-south-brisbane-91-montague-road-south-brisbane-qld-4101">The Riversdale by Mosaic</a> is a 39-storey tower comprising just over 200 residences and Masterpiece Series Sky Homes. Designed in partnership with Bureau Proberts, it will feature nearly 3,000 sqm of genuine, internationally benchmarked six-star, hotel-style amenities, including a wellness precinct, pool, gym, massage and treatment rooms, cinema, golf simulator, and extensive outdoor dining areas across a two-level rooftop deck.</p>

<p>Early works are underway, with full construction expected to commence in the second half of 2026, and an anticipated late 2029 completion.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=151614 project_image_fid=362759]</p>

<p>Since 2012 alone, Mosaic has completed more than $2 billion in projects and is set to deliver another $2 billion worth of developments, comprising hundreds of luxury apartments, each defined by Mosaic's signature standards of quality, detail, and delivery.</p>

<p>"We never arrive, there is no finish line," says Monahan. "Our ambition is to keep evolving what luxury means, creating design- and lifestyle-led residences in incredible locations, places people genuinely aspire to and want to live, homes that are loved deeply and endure long beyond their moment."</p>


Mosaic's Midas Touch

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> (Urban) has broken ground at Keira Place, its new major mixed-use residential precinct in the heart of Wollongong CBD.</p>

<p>Held at 120-122 Smith Street, the groundbreaking marked the commencement of construction on Stage 1 of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/keira-place-120-122-smith-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Keira Place</a>, with the opening of the new display suite.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Keira Place is a State Significant Development that will deliver new housing supply, affordable homes and inclusive living options within walking distance of Wollongong’s CBD, coastline, transport, hospital and education precincts.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144442 project_image_fid=369868]<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Stage 1 is now under construction and will deliver 150 apartments across two residential buildings, including 27 affordable housing apartments and 18 specialist disability accommodation dwellings, along with activated ground-floor retail and commercial space.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Urban Co-CEO Patrick Elias said the groundbreaking represented a significant milestone for Wollongong and reflected Urban’s long-term commitment to regional cities.</p>

<p>“Today’s groundbreaking is about turning approvals into homes and moving quickly to deliver much-needed housing in Wollongong’s city centre,” Elias said.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
“Keira Place will provide a diverse mix of homes close to jobs, transport and services, while setting a high benchmark for quality, durability and consumer protection.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144442 project_image_fid=369869]<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Hon. Paul Scully MP, Minister for Planning and Public Spaces, Member for Wollongong said Keira Place is exactly the kind of development Wollongong needs – delivering new homes close to transport, employment and services, while supporting the continued growth and renewal of the CBD.</p>

<p>"This project reflects the Minns Labor Government's commitment to increasing housing supply in well-located areas."<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Wollongong Lord Mayor Cr Tania Brown said Keira Place would deliver lasting community benefits for the city.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
"Keira Place is a welcome addition to Wollongong's CBD delivering new housing, affordable homes and activated street-level spaces that will benefit our community for years to come," Brown said.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
"Urban Property Group's investment reflects the confidence that quality developers have in Wollongong's future, and I look forward to seeing this precinct come to life."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144442 project_image_fid=369867]<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a>, with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/dko">DKO,</a> Keira Place prioritises liveability and long-term performance, with landscaped shared spaces, generous apartment layouts and a pedestrian-friendly streetscape along Smith Street.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Residents will have access to landscaped podium areas, communal rooftop amenities with views to Mount Keira and the Wollongong skyline, and convenient ground-level retail.</p>

<p>The development will have 10-year Latent Defects Insurance by Resilience Insurance.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144442]</p>


Groundbreaking marks start of construction at Keira Place in Wollongong CBD

Mining

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<div>The ABS released its Detailed Labour Force figures for October 2015 which provided further detail on the extraordinary rate of job gains in New South Wales, where employment has grown at an electric pace over the past year. </div>
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<div>Sydney recorded another strong month of gains and has created +85,000 positions over the year to October. Interestingly after a fairly dismal four years, the rest of the state has also created +51,000 new roles. </div>
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<div>Of Australia's other major labour markets Melbourne (+78,000) and lately the improving Greater Brisbane region (+43,000) have accounted for the bulk of new positions.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/11/20/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/20/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>By contrast over the past five years since October 2010 total employment in Adelaide has declined by 5,500.</div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Unemployment divergence</span></strong><br><br><div>Looking at capital city unemployment rates on a rolling annual basis shows that while unemployment rates are rising in Perth and Adelaide, elsewhere they have been declining.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/11/20/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/20/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div>Sydney has been the king of employment gains in recent times, and as such recorded an unemployment rate for October of just 4.7 per cent across the Greater Sydney region.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Over the past year some of the consistently lowest unemployment rates in Australia have been seen in Sydney's Northern Beaches (2.5 per cent), Eastern Suburbs (3.2 per cent), North Sydney &amp; Hornsby (3.7 per cent) and Inner West (4.3 per cent).</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/11/20/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/11/20/A3.jpg" alt=""></div>
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<div><span>At the other end of the scale the unemployment rate in Adelaide continues to trend up to well above 7 per cent, with further jobs losses subsequently reported in the month of November in the struggling state of South Australia.</span></div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/11/20/A4.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/11/20/A4.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
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<div> </div>
<div>
<div>After a lift in unemployment as the resources capital expenditure boom passed its peak, Greater Brisbane has seen a pleasing improvement in its local economy.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Employment gains have picked up to a solid pace and the rolling annual unemployment rate has trended down from 6.3 per cent to 5.9 per cent through this calendar year to date.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/11/20/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Mining regions suffer</span></strong><br><em><br></em><em>Commsec</em> put out a usueful reseach note which reported that mining regions - and coal mining regions in particular - have suffered, with jobless rates in the Hunter Valley and Mackay having broadly doubled.<br><br>This in itself comes as no great surprise - I predicted as much here on this blog 14 months ago.<br><br>Other regions with elevated levels of unemployment have included Wide Bay, Logan-Beaudesert, Adelaide North, Townsville, and Cairns.<br><br>The news for regional Australia is far from all bad, however.</div>
<div>
<br>While there is no doubt that many parts of regional Queensland are doing it very tough, there have been improvements in unemployment rates in the Wide Bay region, the Hunter Valley, Newcastle &amp; Lake Macquarie, and Geelong (and possibly several other regions, subject to the vagaries of sampling variability).<br><br>Indeed, after some ugly results early in the year the figures reported for regional unemployment have generally improved of late, so perhaps some of the mining fallout is now in the rear view mirror, as contractors migrate back to their respective capital cities.<br><br>That said, total regional employment growth outside New South Wales (and to some extent Queensland) has been weak, while new roles may also be lower paid than those which they replaced.</div>
<div> </div>
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<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Mining regions struggle: Pete Wargent

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<p>As commodity prices and mining investment has sunk, demand for housing in mining areas has also slowed. This week we take a look at the performance of some of the major mining towns.</p>
<p>Mining towns and regions across the country have been hard hit as investment and commodity prices have slumped.  This week we’re looking at how the housing market has performed in terms of the volume and median price of sales across these regions.  The results indicate that not all mining towns have recorded an equivalent slowdown.  The following analysis looks at annual median prices and annual sales volumes</p>
<p><strong>Port Hedland </strong>– median prices peaked at $925,000 in June 2013 and sales volumes peaked at 402 in July 2006.  Current median prices are $390,000 (-58 percent lower than peak) and current sales are 128 (-68 percent below peak).  In what may be a positive sign for the market, annual sales are once again trending higher, although the median prices trend is yet to bottom out.</p>
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<p><a href="/images/2016/11/09/2016-11-07--image1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/11/09/2016-11-07--image1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Isaac </strong>– median prices peaked at $620,000 in November 2012 and sales volumes peaked at 661 in March 2012.  Current median prices are $138,390 (-78 percent lower than peak) and current sales are 117 (-28 percent below peak).  Transaction numbers have recently started to rise, however median price trends remain negative.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/11/09/2016-11-07--image2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/11/09/2016-11-07--image2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Karratha </strong>– median prices peaked at $815,000 in October 2010 and sales volumes peaked at 511 in March 2005.  Current median prices are $362,980 (-55 percent lower than peak) and current sales are 235 (-54 percent below peak).  Transaction numbers have been trending higher but the median sale price is still falling, albeit at a more moderate pace.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/11/08/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-08%20at%2012.25.26%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/11/08/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-08%20at%2012.25.26%20PM.png" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Gladstone </strong>– median prices peaked at $475,000 in September 2012 and sales volumes peaked at 1,823 in July 2007.  Current median prices are $350,000 (-26 percent lower than peak) and current sales are 572 (-69 percent below peak).  Dwelling turnover is continuing along a downwards trend with no sign of an improvement in buyer demand just yet.</p>
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<p><img src="/images/2016/11/09/2016-11-07--image4.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Kalgoorlie-Boulder </strong>– median prices peaked at $351,250 in June 2015 and sales volumes peaked at 1,656 in September 2006.  Current median prices are $312,000 (-11 percent lower than peak) and current sales are 345 (-79 percent below peak).  Transaction numbers appear to be levelling, however there is no sign of any upwards pressure on prices or turnover.</p>
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<p><img src="/images/2016/11/09/2016-11-07--image5.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Mackay </strong>– median prices peaked at $435,000 in June 2013 and sales volumes peaked at 3,264 in April 2004.  Current median prices are $345,000 (-21 percent lower than peak) and current sales are 1,045 (-68 percent below peak).  Transaction numbers have recently levelled across the Mackay housing market but are yet to improve.</p>
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<p><img src="/images/2016/11/09/2016-07-11--image6.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Roxby Downs </strong>– median prices peaked at $500,016 in November 2013 and sales volumes peaked at 187 in February 2004.  Current median prices are $250,000 (-50 percent lower than peak) and current sales are 23 (-88 percent below peak).  Transaction numbers have recently increased slightly across Roxby Downs.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/11/09/2016-11-07--image7.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/11/09/2016-11-07--image7.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The smaller mining townships which don’t act as major service centres have tended to see a much sharper fall in median selling prices than the larger townships.  The decline in sales and prices from the market peaks has been substantial across all of these regions, however the regions that have seen the most significant downturn were those that also recorded a significant upswing in prices and turnover rates prior to the peak in commodity prices.</p>
<p>Recently, most of these mining towns have experienced a stabilisation in sales with some regions having seen an increase in sales volumes.  Although sales may have broken the declining trend in a number of areas, median selling prices are generally continuing to trend lower across each of the regions highlighted.</p>
<p>The improvement in transactional activity could potentially be due to larger numbers of distressed sales moving through these markets, but may also be attributable to a cautious return of buyers seeking out a bargain.</p>
<p>The challenge for many of these regions remains that despite a recent uptick in commodity prices, investment in large infrastructure projects (new mines, processing facilities, transport etc) has dried up and subsequently few additional jobs are being created. </p>
<p>Although commodity prices have recently surged, particular iron ore, coking coal and thermal coal, it is not yet leading to a substantial increase in exploration activity or employment, subsequently housing demand remains weak and continues to have a dampening effect on housing prices. </p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.</em></p>
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

The lowdown on the mining town slowdown from Gladstone to Karratha

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<div id="post-body-8296077642061233663" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>Strewth, you know things haven't been hunky dory for housing markets in your region when the central bank starts profiling financial stability risks in its bi-annual Review. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Housing loan arrears continue to deteriorate in the mining regions of Western Australia and Queensland.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I have actually heard much about this already from various sources - in some small mining towns the situation is beyond chronic - but now it's starting to feed through to the official data.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Interestingly, nationally applications for property possession are still declining as a share of the total dwelling stock. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>But clearly this is not the case in mining hotspots. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>High vacancy rates, falling rents, and falling prices are hammering property investors in mining regions, reported the Reserve  Bank of Australia (RBA).</div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></strong></div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Illiquidity</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Banks have reported that in some regions even with big price discounts properties can't be sold.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The only minor consolation or "cushion" for households in aggregate is that in some of the worst-affected regions mining companies own a high proportion of the dwelling stock, so personal administrations, while rising in mining regions, nationally remain close to 15-year lows.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Though I doubt this feels like much of a consolation if you're the one stuck with an illiquid and depreciating asset.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The RBA profiled the Pilbara and the Kimberley region in coastal Western Australia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>And in Queensland, the RBA took a shufti at Townsville, Mackay, the Bowen Basin, Central Highlands.<br><br>
</div>
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<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/10/18/Screen%20Shot%202016-10-18%20at%201.48.45%20PM.png" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator">Crikey.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Mining crunch stress and house prices

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<div>An interesting week indeed for Australian econofans, with an emphatic rebound in engineering construction reported for the second quarter of the calendar year, driven by Western Australian resources projects (or, at least, one project). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Then on Thursday, a +0.8 per cent quarterly increase to $28.3 billion was reported for private new capital expenditure, which is not something we've been able to say too often over the past five years! </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The increase was largely driven by a +2.7 per cent uplift in expenditure on plant and equipment to $12.5 billion. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/C1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
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<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>The improvement lately has been as much about a steadying of the resources states as anything else, although Victoria is now seeing a relatively strong expansion in investment. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Only a tiny fraction of the lift in investment in Victoria has been driven by mining or manufacturing, instead being overwhelmingly accounted for by services industries and other sectors. </div>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/09/04/C2.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/09/04/C2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p> </p>
<div>Perhaps more importantly, the outlook is brightening, with a +17.6 jump in the third estimate for FY2017-18 capital expenditure to just under $102 billion (against market expectations of less than $96 billion, so that's a significant beat). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mining investment plans have lifted - though remaining unsurprisingly as subdued compared to the heady peak - while services and other selected industries are beginning to hit their straps, with an increase of +18.6 per cent on prior year expectations. </div>
<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Construction confounds</span></strong><br><br></p>
<div>AIG's industry surveys, which report on the direction of industry sectors relative to a neutral reading of 50, now record a very strong expansion in the massive services sector (56.4), while manufacturing (59.8) is expanding at the fastest pace in 15 years. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>A salient concern in 2016 was that a disorderly drop in residential construction could lead to widespread unemployment and the strong multiplier effect of that industry going into reverse. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>And yet the construction sector is now top of the pile, with a survey reading of a blistering 60.5 in July. What gives?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I was down in Sydney this week, and was struck by the burgeoning use of serviced and other office space - you can't help but notice the difference from 2012, when office space was abundant and activity appeared moribund. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Anecdotal, yep, and yet this has become of the key drivers of the construction outlook. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Building approvals for office buildings, educational space, and other commercial construction are absolutely flying in New South Wales and Victoria, sending the annual dollar value of non-residential building approved nationally to the highest level on record. </div>
<div>
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<div class="separator"> </div>
</div>
<div>And while high-rise apartment approvals have, as expected, dropped by a quarter, there has been a more sustainable rebalancing towards approvals for townhouses, boutique apartment blocks, and detached housing.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A bit of reluctant credit where it's due, too: the manufacturing surveys pointed to an uplift in infrastructure investment as a key driver of the rebound, responding to the ramp up in budget spend. So, a small hat tip for Treasurer ScoMo there, too. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">New phase</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>With capital expenditure and engineering construction no longer in material decline after five years of pain, it's fantastic to see the services and manufacturing industries coming to the party to rebalance the economy.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The only people forecasting an imminent recession now are apparently doing so more in hope than expectation, and the unemployment rate is steadily declining back towards the 4 to 5 per cent range. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>With almost all indicators pointing to improving rather than deteriorating economic conditions ahead, the economy and our housing markets are moving into a new phase, with the household sector to become the main point of focus. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Specifically there will be a great deal of analysis of household debt, and how households cope with the prospect of a normalisation of interest rates from the end of 2018 forth. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank"><span class="s2">AllenWargent</span></a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank"><span class="s2">blogger</span></a>.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s3"><em>His latest book is </em><a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank"><span class="s2"><em>Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
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Mining cliff Rest In Peace: Pete Wargent

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<p>Belgian construction player Besix has renewed its takeover intentions for the Brisbane-based Watpac.</p>
<p>It has lobbed a new $169 million cash bid.</p>
<p>Besix, already Watpac's largest shareholder, failed four months ago in a bid to secure two-thirds ownership of the ASX-listed contractor and mining services group.</p>
<p>However they lacked the support from fellow shareholders and were unable to get the plan approved.</p>
<p>If their bid is accepted, the Belgian builder has stated it would continue to operate the Australian company as a standalone business by retaining its brand and local identity.</p>
<p>"We continue to believe in the strong fundamentals of the Watpac business and are supportive of current management and their strategic direction," Besix chief executive Rik Vandenberghe, said.</p>
<p>Watpac's independent board committee has recommended the offer from Besix in the absence of a superior proposal emerging.</p>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Belgian builder Besix renews takeover attempt of mining company Watpac

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<p>GUEST OBSERVATION</p>
<p>"I have always wondered, in a distant future when humanity is able to settle permanently on a distant body (such as planet, moon or rocky body), are there any current legal frameworks that could be applied as a precedent for such individuals to “take ownership” of that body and its resources?" – Daniel, Croydon, Australia</p>
<p>Despite regular excited talk, human “settlement” of another planet, the Moon or an asteroid may still be many years away. Physicist Andrew Coates sees major challenges in Elon Musk’s public plans to colonise Mars.</p>
<p>But mining of space resources is a realistic possibility – and several nations are already investing in extraction operations in space.</p>
<p>We currently have five space law treaties which cover many key issues about the use, exploitation and protection of space. These treaties deal with ensuring that no nation claims sovereignty over a celestial body.</p>
<p>However they do not provide any clear guidelines for extracting resources in the absence of that sovereignty – that is, extracting resources from an asteroid or body that is not “owned”.</p>
<p><strong>The moon flag was symbolic</strong></p>
<p>Humanity first walked on the Moon in 1969.</p>
<p>The historic landing of Apollo 11 and Neil Armstrong’s first moon walk are remembered for Armstrong’s deliberate choice of words – “that’s one small step for a man, one giant leap for mankind” – as well as the symbolic planting of an American flag on the surface of the Moon.</p>
<p>The choice of flags for this occasion was carefully planned. The relevant NASA appropriations bill provided that the planting of the flag was “intended as a symbolic gesture of national pride in achievement” and “not to be construed as a declaration of national appropriation by claim of sovereignty”.</p>
<p>In total, twelve men have walked on the Moon, all of them American and the last of these was as long ago as 1972. None of these acts have been interpreted as an act of settlement or claim of US sovereignty.</p>
<p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/IFDgqkQ0agk?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0" frameborder="0" width="440" height="260"></iframe></p>
<p><em><span class="caption">Astronaut Gene Cernan described his 1972 moon visit as like “being on God’s front porch”.</span></em></p>
<p>Since this time, the popularity of space exploration has waxed and waned, due to the prohibitive cost of space programs.</p>
<p>However, recent developments in space flight have drastically cut the cost of space vehicles. This has resulted in a renewed interest in exploring more permanent settlements on Mars or other celestial bodies.</p>
<p><strong>Space law treaties</strong></p>
<p>Let’s look at the five existing space law treaties that would apply if humanity were to establish a base on Mars or the Moon.</p>
<p>The first of these, the Outer Space Treaty (1967) provides that: "Outer space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies, is not subject to national appropriation by claim of sovereignty, by means of use or occupation, or by any other means."</p>
<p>This fundamental principle of “non-appropriation” prevents any nation from claiming sovereignty over the Moon or any other celestial body.</p>
<p>The other space treaties deal with:</p>
<ul>
<li>Rescue of Astronauts (1968)</li>
<li>Liability of States for Damage Caused by Space Objects (1972)</li>
<li>Registration of Objects Launched into Outer Space (1975)</li>
<li>Agreement Governing the Activities of States on the Moon and Other Celestial Bodies (known as “the Moon Agreement”) (1979).</li>
</ul>
<p><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/232609/original/file-20180820-30605-57aygk.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></p>
<p><em><span class="caption">Would you like to live on the Moon? This is what it might look like.</span> <span class="attribution"><a class="source" href="https://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news/series/moon/why_go_back" target="_blank">NASA</a></span></em></p>
<p>These treaties (like the Antarctic Treaty with respect to the management and use of Antarctica) represent the international law that applies to outer space.</p>
<p>The Moon Agreement provides the most extensive protection of the Moon environment, and includes specific rules relating to potential activities on the Moon and other celestial bodies.</p>
<p>However, Australia is one of the very few countries which has acceded to the treaty – only 18 parties have acceded to or ratified this treaty (compared to the Outer Space Treaty, which has 107 members).</p>
<p>The Moon Agreement is therefore not considered to reflect customary international law – this means that its terms are not considered to reflect existing rules and norms of international space law. China, the United States and Russia are not members of this treaty, and neither are United Arab Emirates and Luxembourg (countries that do have clear space mining interests).</p>
<p><strong>Taking resources without ownership</strong></p>
<p>Despite the fact that nations may not claim sovereignty over a celestial body, the international treaties leave open the scope for states and private firms to use and mine celestial bodies without asserting ownership of the entire asteroid or planet.</p>
<p>In other words, you can extract and own resources without asserting sovereignty over the entire planet.</p>
<p>At the moment, in the absence of any clear laws regulating resource extraction, it is a case of first in, best dressed.</p>
<p>Corporations are now preparing operations to explore and utilise space resources, such as platinum, helium-3 (a potential fuel source) and water.</p>
<p>Various states, including the United States, Luxembourg and the United Arab Emirates have begun authorising resource exploration and extraction operations and conveying rights under their respective laws to their nationals with respect to the ownership of those natural resources.</p>
<p>Some states have argued that the Outer Space Treaty requires benefit-sharing of the materials extracted from space mining, as detailed by the Moon Agreement. However, even that agreement foreshadows the development of a further international regime to govern the exploitation of natural resources of the Moon, but such a regime has never been agreed on.</p>

<p><img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/101464/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">So while there is no ability for states to claim sovereignty over space, there is still scope for exploitation of its resources.</p>
<p><em><strong>Melissa de Zwart</strong>, Professor, Adelaide Law School, University of Adelaide</em></p>
<p><em>This is an article from I’ve Always Wondered, a series where readers send in questions they’d like an expert to answer. Send your question to alwayswondered@theconversation.edu.au</em></p>
<p><em>This article was originally published on <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/ive-always-wondered-could-someone-take-ownership-of-a-planet-or-a-moon-101464" target="_blank">original article</a>.</em></p>
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Could someone take ownership of a planet or a moon?

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<p><img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/77590/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-advanced" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1"></p>
<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p><span>Legislation designed to protect wildlife is being rolled back or ignored in all sorts of ways in all sorts of places, according to a new global database of attacks on green tape.</span></p>
<p>When President Donald Trump was mulling over whether to pull out of the Paris climate agreement, it is hard to imagine that he was listening to the experts. US climate researchers are being so stifled, ignored or blackballed that France has now offered sanctuary to these misunderstood souls.</p>
<p>One might prefer to think of Trump as an outlier in an otherwise environmentally sane world. But alarmingly, there’s just too much evidence to the contrary.</p>
<p>A recent analysis, led by Guillaume Chapron of Sweden’s Agricultural University, reveals a rising tide of assaults on environmental safeguards worldwide. If nothing else, it illustrates the sheer range and creativity of tactics used by those who seek to profit at the expense of nature.</p>
<p>The assaults on environmental protections are so diverse that Chapron and his colleagues had to devise a new “taxonomy” to categorise them all. They have even set up a public database to track these efforts, giving us a laundry list of environmental rollbacks from around the world.</p>
<p>One might perhaps hope that species staring extinction in the face would be afforded special protection. Not in the western US states of Idaho and Montana, where endangered gray wolves have been taken off the endangered species list, meaning they can be shot if they stray outside designated wilderness or management areas.</p>
<p>In Western Australia, an endangered species can be legally driven to extinction if the state’s environment minister orders it and parliament approves.</p>
<p>Think diverse ecosystems are important? In Canada, not so much. There, native fish species with no economic, recreational or indigenous value don’t get any legal protection from harm.</p>
<p>And in France – a crucial flyway for Eurasian and African birds – killing migratory birds is technically illegal. But migrating birds could be shot out of the sky anyway because the environment minister ordered a delay in the law’s enforcement.</p>
<p>In South Africa, the environment minister formerly had authority to limit environmental damage and oversee ecological restoration at the nation’s many mining sites. But that power has now been handed over to the mining minister, raising fears of conflict between industry and environmental interests.</p>
<p>In Brazil, the famous Forest Code that has helped to reduce deforestation rates in the Amazon has been seriously watered down. Safeguards for forests along waterways and on hillsides have been weakened, and landowners who illegally fell forests no longer need to replant them.</p>
<p>In the Indian Ocean island nation of Mauritius, endangered species are protected by law, unless it is deemed to be in the “national interest” not to do so. Although an endangered species, the endemic Mauritius flying fox was annoying commercial fruit farmers, so the government has allowed more than 40,000 flying foxes to be culled.</p>
<p>And in Indonesia, it’s illegal to carry out destructive open-pit mining in protected forest areas. But aggressive mining firms are forcing the government to let them break the law anyway, or else face spending public money on legal battles.</p>
<h2><strong>Shoot the messengers</strong></h2>
<p>Campaigners should also beware. Under new legislation proposed in the UK, conservation groups that lose lawsuits will be hit with heavy financial penalties.</p>
<p>In many parts of the world, those who criticise environmentally destructive corporations are getting hit with so-called “strategic lawsuits against public participation”, or SLAPP suits.</p>
<p>In Peru, for instance, a corporation that was mowing down native rainforest to grow “sustainable” cacao for chocolate routinely used lawsuits and legal threats to intimidate critics.</p>
<p>That’s before we’ve even discussed climate change, which you might not be allowed to do in the US anyway. Proposed legislation would prohibit the government from considering climate change as a threat to any species. No wonder researchers want to move overseas.</p>
<p>As the above examples show, essential environmental safeguards are being conveniently downsized, diminished, ignored or swept under the carpet all over the world.</p>
<p>Viewed in isolation, each of these actions might be rationalised or defended – a small compromise made in the name of progress, jobs or the economy. But in a natural world threatened with “death by a thousand cuts”, no single wound can be judged in isolation.</p>
<p>Without our hard-won environmental protections, we would all already be breathing polluted air, drinking befouled water, and living in a world with much less wildlife.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><em>Bill Laurance is a Distinguished Research Professor and Australian Laureate at James Cook University and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/bill-laurance-4358" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Around the world, environmental laws are under attack in all sorts of way: Bill Laurance

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>“I’m no criminal. I had no choice,” Bruce said. “I felt the only way I could get the government to see the injustice that is taking place was by taking action. All I wanted was to protect my home.”</p>
<p>Bruce is one of three protesters brought before a Mudgee court on May 17 for a preliminary hearing. On April 12, he was arrested after peacefully objecting the proposed expansion of the Wilpinjong mine by blocking the entry to the mine and stopping shift workers from entering and leaving the area.</p>
<p>The Wollar Three, as they have become known, are the first to be charged under New South Wales’ anti-protest laws, which were introduced in March 2016. They pleaded not guilty.</p>
<p>If convicted, the Wollar Three face significant penalties including heavy fines and up to seven years’ imprisonment. The laws they were charged under have been described as draconian and an attack on democracy and civil society.</p>
<p><strong>An existential threat to a community</strong></p>
<p>Bruce is one of the very few remaining residents of Wollar, a small rural community in the Mid Western Region, NSW. Wollar is located in the western coal fields and surrounded by three multinational open-cut coal mines - Peabody’s Wilpinjong Mine, Yancoal’s Moolarben and Glencore’s Ulan Coal Mines.</p>
<p>While coal extraction has a long history in the region, the recent intensification of mining has challenged the previous co-existence of mining and local communities in the region. Wollar is the latest rural village to fall victim to coal mining.</p>
<p>Most central to Wollar’s demise is Peabody’s Wilpinjong mine, which is the mine closest to the village. Peabody today owns the vast majority of land in and around Wollar, and more than 90% of the pre-Wilpinjong population has been resettled.</p>
<p>Last month, the Planning Assessment Commission approved a further expansion of the mine. This will bring the boundary of the mine to within 1.5 kilometres of the village.</p>
<p>As the mine has encroached on Wollar, the community has dispersed – and fewer than 30 residents today remain in the area. This forced migration has been accompanied by the withdrawal of services and social support that had made village life viable. Remaining Wollar residents are increasingly vulnerable and unable to sell their properties for a fair price on the open market.</p>
<p>During the recent commission hearing, the remaining residents requested that all the properties within the area be afforded acquisition rights. Such rights would have provided the opportunity to negotiate with the proponent, with a view to selling their properties to the mine and gaining autonomy over their future.</p>
<p>The commission’s determination report found the expansion:</p>
<p><em>… has the potential to further exacerbate the existing decline of Wollar.</em></p>
<p>However, the commission concluded that no other properties but those within the zone of affliction, limited to the village, are exposed to impacts that would justify granting acquisition rights.</p>
<p>This assessment is based on a reading of impacts that emphasises spatial proximity and technical measures of environmental (noise and dust) modelling. It fails to acknowledge the role played by the proponent and the government in reducing the wellbeing and livelihood of those left without compensation.</p>
<p><strong>Invisible displacement violates international standards</strong></p>
<p>The existing project and the coming mine expansion represent a slow onset disaster that has significantly reduced local residents’ wellbeing. The remaining residents have become displaced in place, with their future opportunities for mobility and life significantly reduced.</p>
<p>The resettlement of the former residents of Wollar has happened slowly and without any proper planning. This breaks with the primary underlying assumption of international safeguard standards, which state that risks associated with displacement and resettlement should be predicted and mitigated.</p>
<p>The World Bank’s Performance Standard 5 relates to project-related land acquisition and involuntary resettlement. It refers to resettlement as both physical displacement (relocation or loss of shelter) and economic displacement (loss of assets or access to assets, which result in reduction in income sources and other livelihood means).</p>
<p>The standard aims to “minimise adverse social and economic impacts from land acquisition or restrictions on land use by”:</p>
<ul style="list-style-type: circle;">
<li>providing compensation for loss of assets at replacement costs; and</li>
<li>ensuring that resettlement activities are implemented with appropriate disclosure of information, consultation, and the informed participation of those affected. However, this standard is not applicable to the case at hand. Nor can the Wollar Three or others facing this type of invisible displacement call on international human rights law for a just outcome.</li>
</ul>
<p>Article 17 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights offered some protection for property rights:</p>
<ul style="list-style-type: circle;">
<li>Everyone has the right to own property alone as well as in association with others.</li>
<li>No-one shall be arbitrarily deprived of his property.</li>
</ul>
<p>However, property rights were not included in the binding human right treaties established on the foundation of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. In any case, the Wollar Three have not lost their right to own property under the letter of human rights law.</p>
<p>The law does not capture a sense of loss while a person remains in place. Nor does international law create a cause of action that can be called on in Australian domestic courts.</p>
<p><strong>A sense of loss and injustice</strong></p>
<p>Standing outside the Mudgee courthouse last week, Bruce explained:</p>
<p><em>My home is threatened and I’ve lived in that area for 30-odd years and I just had to stand up and say no, this should not be allowed to go ahead!</em><br><em>Bruce’s actions come as a reaction to the sense of injustice that is marking the planning system in NSW.</em></p>
<p>A sense of lost place and displacement saturates the stories of those who live in the area, who speak of themselves as “victims of a silent war” and “casualties of extraction”. They have become stranded, left with properties that no longer have any value, decreased income and increased costs.</p>
<p>In this context, they feel increasingly hopeless. It was this sense of powerlessness that led Bruce and the two other accused to take civil disobedience action in April. Feeling they no longer have any hope or future, they were willing to risk a prison sentence.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><em>Amy Maguire is a Senior Lecturer in International Law and Human Rights, University of Newcastle and author for The conversation. She can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/amy-maguire-129609" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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Displaced rural residents face imprisonment for protesting mine expansion: Amy Maguire

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<p>The most dramatic changes seen in real estate markets around Australia in recent years have been felt in towns and cities touched by the resources sector.</p>
<p>And the biggest source of distressed messages I receive from real estate consumers is from those who property in Gladstone, Moranbah and the Surat Basin towns in Queensland.</p>
<p>The greatest single influence has been a fundamental shift in how mining companies source their workforces, creating the modern phenomenon of fly-in-fly-out (FIFO) workers.</p>
<p>The reality of the mining industry these days is that the towns near the mines or the big processing plants don’t surge as they did in the past because most of the workers are living (and spending) elsewhere, flying in and staying at workers camps. In some cases, locals living a few kilometres from the mines are unable to get jobs there.</p>
<p>In Gladstone where three massive gas plants were built, the non-resident workforce peaked at 6,655 in 2014, of which 5,475 (82%) were living in camps on Curtis Island, where the plants were built. That meant few were buying or renting local dwellings. Vacancies remain high, around 8%, according to SQM Research figures.</p>
<p>Developers who built new dwellings in Gladstone were left disappointed – and property prices fell. The median prices for Gladstone suburbs like Clinton, Glen Eden, Tannum Sands and West Gladstone have all fallen at a rate of at least 8% per year over the past three years – remarkable given that $60 billion was invested in three projects in a regional centre of less than 70,000, creating many thousands of jobs.</p>
<p>Currently BHP Billiton has 270 jobs on offer at two mines near the boom-bust town of Moranbah in Central Queensland, but only 70 workers will be locals.</p>
<p>The other 200 will be sourced from centres like Townsville, with regular flights from there to Moranbah. The reality is that Townsville, 350 kilometres from the mines, will get more benefit from these projects than will the local town.</p>
<p>Practices like these have caused Moranbah’s median house price to fall from a peak of $750,000 to around $150,000 - with price decreases averaging 27% per year over the past three years. There has been a glimmer of improvement recently, with vacancies (which peaked around 10%) now below 5%, according to SQM Research, but it’s been an ugly three to four years to this point.</p>
<p>This is possibly the most extreme example of a boom-bust market in the history of the nation. The town’s property market was a victim of its own success: with very ordinary houses costing $750,000 to buy and $1,500 per week to rent, it’s not surprising that mining companies sought alternative ways to accommodate their workforces.</p>
<p>The whole issue of FIFO workforces has become very contentious, with local residents believing they now get few benefits but lots of problems when there’s a big mine with an accommodation camp just outside their town.</p>
<p>There are also the family issues to consider, with FIFO workers spending long periods away from their families, friends and home communities.</p>
<p>So now the Queensland government is trying to force changes. And like anything that involves change for reasons that appear worthy, there are all sorts of unforeseen consequences.</p>
<p>A Queensland parliamentary committee hearing is currently considering legislation that would ban companies from having a 100% FIFO workforce if the mine is close to a town where it could source workers.</p>
<p>Unsurprisingly, big mining companies like BHP Billiton are unhappy. The <em>Courier-Mail</em> declared in an article this week: “Taxpayers could be forced into paying a massive compensation bill to mining giant BHP Billiton over State Government plans to restrict fly-in, fly-out workforces.”</p>
<p>In a submission to the committee, BMA (a BHP joint venture company undertaking mining in Central Queensland) said there were concepts in the government’s planned legislation which “have the potential to result in absurd outcomes”.</p>
<p>“It also claimed it had been singled out by the government and specifically targeted by the legislation because of its Daunia and Caval Ridge mines, near Moranbah, which were 100% FIFO,” the newspaper report said.</p>
<p>The government’s goalis to ensure regional communities benefit from the operation of nearby mines, but the proposed laws have a retrospective element, meaning it affects projects that are already under way, not just the new ones.</p>
<p>BMA claims to have invested $200 million in the 2,000-room Buffel Park FIFO village near Moranbah, on the basis that it would be fully utilised for the 30-year life of the mine.</p>
<p>BMA asset president Rag Uddwas quoted as saying:“A subsequent change in Queensland’s law that erodes the value of this overall investment is deeply disturbing to our business. If the government proceeds with this Bill as it is currently drafted then we reserve the right to enter into discussions to achieve fair and reasonable compensation from the state.”</p>
<p>BMA said it would be happy to work with the laws if they applied to new projects but the current Bill is retrospective to 2009.</p>
<p>“Queensland Law Society also said the legislation was flawed, but councils have broadly endorsed its objectives,” the<em> Courier-Mail</em> reported. “The state government said it would await the parliamentary committee’s report, due in March.”</p>
<p>Something has to change, but the current situation it untenable for local communities and hugely disruptive to their property markets. Here’s what an SBS report on Moranbah and FIFO said:</p>
<p><em>The boom is now over, with fewer mining workers living in the town and the resulting cash flow drying up. One resident said, “You’re walking around the streets going, ‘why am I still here? There is no benefit in staying out here anymore’.”</em></p>
<p><em>Anne Baker, the Mayor of Isaac Regional Council, of which Moranbah is a part, laments the loss of people and economic activity from her towns. “We’ve currently got 27 operating coal mines and two of them are 100% forced FIFO and surrounding mines are adopting similar practices. It’s a significant change in how mining companies employ their workforce.”</em></p>
<p><em>A 100% FIFO mine requires that all workers must fly in from areas such as Cairns and Brisbane - not come from the local towns. This system prevents Moranbah residents from working in the mines, effectively inhibiting the ability of the employees to have a work-life balance.  </em></p>
<p><em>Residents claim that some go so far as to relocate to Brisbane or Cairns to keep their jobs, staying locked up in the camps overnight rather than with their families just a few kilometres away.</em></p>
<p>Tony Windsor, a former federal independent MP, also raised concerns on the impact of FIFO work.</p>
<p>“I think that’s a shocking indictment of policy in Australia. We should be encouraging people to move to these towns and promoting a sense of the community as a benefit,” he said. “To shuffle them back into the feedlots – our major cities – and just fly people in and out. That’s mining in two respects; mining a resource, but also mining people.”</p>
<p>And the additional fall-out from these mining practices is property markets that are seriously undermined and disrupted. Locations that should be booming are doing the opposite.</p>
<p>We await the outcome of Queensland’s proposed solutions to see if significant change can be achieved. In the meantime, it remains ugly for those who own real estate in these places.</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">T<em>erry Ryder is the founder of </em><a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/"><span class="s2"><em>hotspotting.com.au</em></span></a><em>. You can  </em><a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au"><span class="s2"><em>email him</em></span></a><em> or follow him on </em><a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting"><span class="s2"><em>Twitter.</em></span></a></span></p>
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