<p>Sydney developer Deicorp is set to officially open its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/hills-showground-village-castle-hill-2-mandala-parade-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Showground Village</a> precinct in Castle Hill.</p>

<p>NSW Premier Chris Minns will attend the opening on Sunday August 31, alongside&nbsp;Minister for Planning and Public Spaces Paul Scully, The Hills Shire Council Mayor Dr Michelle Byrne, Landcom CEO Alex Wendler, and Deicorp Founder Fouad Deiri.</p>

<p>There will be a ribbon-cutting ceremony before a tour of the newly opened retail precinct.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>Located just moments from Hills Showground Metro Station, the centre spans 9,500 sqm across four levels and features 26 specialty retailers as well as a 1,400 sqm public plaza, creating a new community meeting point for shopping, dining, fitness, and everyday convenience.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The grand opening will be celebrated with a family fun day, featuring free entertainment, children’s activities, and a Skill Tester Machine with guaranteed prizes ranging from Woolworths gift cards to a $5,000 Flight Centre voucher.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Showground Village forms part of the Hills Showground Station Precinct, an urban renewal initiative led by Landcom and Sydney Metro that will provide for around 2,300 new jobs over the next 20 years and around 9,000 new homes.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Deicorp was recently approved for another new development next door to Showground Village.</p>

<p>The new five residential buildings in the East Showgrounds Precinct, will see another 873 dwellings delivered, as well as&nbsp;3,500 sqm of open public space in the form of landscaped courtyards, a public park and communal outdoor recreational space including a playground, barbeque area, and outdoor seating.</p>

<p>“This approval will allow us to start construction on a range of beautifully designed, conveniently located apartments and create another vibrant, walkable and well-connected community,” said&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/deicorp" target="">Deicorp</a>&nbsp;Founder Fouad Deiri.</p>

<p>“These new homes will provide their residents with a seamless connection to jobs and services along Metro North West, and the new&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/hills-showground-village-castle-hill-2-mandala-parade-castle-hill" target="">Hills Showground Village</a>&nbsp;retail precinct currently under construction."</p>

<p>Deicorp has several thousand apartments in planning and under construction across Sydney, from Zetland and Five Dock to Crows Nest and Macquarie Park.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=133881]</p>


Joel Robinson

Deicorp, NSW Premier to officially open Showground Village, Castle Hill’s new retail and hospitality hub

<p>The Minns Labor Government will deliver Sydney’s first new heavy rail station in more than a decade – enabling up to 10,000 new homes by rezoning land around Woollahra and Edgecliff stations, right next to the CBD, to tackle the housing crisis and rebalance growth across the city.</p>

<p>Recent reports by the NSW Productivity Commission have warned that Sydney is losing twice as many young people as it is gaining, while also finding that Woollahra is the most feasible Local Government Area (LGA) in New South Wales to build new housing.</p>

<p>Despite this, housing approvals in Woollahra consistently lag well behind other LGAs, and the population has declined by 11 per cent over the past 50 years while Greater Sydney as a whole has grown by 74 per cent.</p>

<p>The new station that will be an eight-minute trip from Sydney CBD, will be located on the Eastern Suburbs train line in Woollahra, where a station build was started in the 1970s but never completed.</p>

<p>To enable the delivery of new homes the NSW Government will lead a rezoning of Woollahra and Edgecliff stations similar to other state led rezonings to allow additional homes to be built around the stations.</p>

<p>Affordable housing will also make up a proportion of development on the site with the final amount of affordable housing required, to be determined as part of the rezoning process.</p>

<p>The area surrounding the new station is within walking distance of major green and recreational space including Cooper, Trumper, Rushcutters Bay and Centennial Parks.</p>

<p>The Eastern Suburbs train line between Bondi Junction and Sydney CBD also has the lowest passenger usage rates during the AM peak of any line on the Sydney network, with only 43 per cent of operating capacity during the AM peak currently being utilised by passengers.</p>

<p>Sydney Water and Infrastructure NSW have confirmed there is capacity in the water and wastewater systems to accommodate the proposed 10,000 dwellings without major upgrades.</p>

<p>The rezoning is expected to take around two years and will further support the Government’s housing targets that rebalance the delivery of new homes around existing infrastructure.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>


Next stop Woollahra train station - delivering up to 10,000 new homes in the heart of Sydney

<section data-element_type="section" data-id="b086848">
<p>Fresh off completing its mixed-use Malvern project Malvern Collective, Kokoda Property Group has acquired a prime site on Richmond's Bridge Road.</p>

<p>They are planning a mid-rise residential development with&nbsp;integrated wellness amenities and a vibrant ground-floor retail and dining offering.</p>

<p>The site, at&nbsp;487–495 Bridge Road, spans&nbsp;1,650 sqm with 50 metres of dual frontage across Bridge Road and Palmer Street. It is currently leased to Adairs, and has a large retail building and 20 onsite car parks.</p>
</section>

<section data-element_type="section" data-id="534a164">
<p>Kokoda Property Group’s acquisition forms part of a broader phase of growth in Melbourne, building on momentum from the completion of Malvern Collective and the recent purchase of a Burnley Street site for the developer’s first commercial project.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Mark Stevens, Kokoda Property Group’s Founder and Managing Director, said that the company’s Bridge Road site acquisition signals confidence in a city that is re-accelerating.</p>

<p>“Melbourne is regaining momentum,"&nbsp;Stevens said.</p>

<p>"After a cautious period post-COVID, we’re seeing buyer sentiment stabilise and capital leaning back into well-located, quality projects. Victoria now benefits from deep builder capacity and competitive delivery pricing, creating a rare opportunity to bring design-led inner-city developments to market without compromising on craftsmanship.</p>

<p>“Richmond ticks all the boxes for us – connectivity, culture and everyday amenity – making Bridge Road the perfect address for an amenity-rich, multi-use development."</p>

<p>Envisioned as an “urban lantern” the building will bring a distinctive new presence to Bridge Road with a sculptural retail frontage, designed to honour the street’s heritage character while contributing to its renewal.</p>

<p>Stevens said the acquisition reflects the developer’s commitment to design-led addresses in Melbourne’s inner city.</p>

<p>“Drawing on Richmond’s rich heritage and dynamic character, we’ve envisioned a contemporary building that respects the past while elevating the way people live today. With dual frontages, curated ground-floor spaces, and a focus on wellness, this project will contribute to the neighbourhood’s evolution, appealing to both downsizers and a new generation of professionals.”</p>

<p>Kokoda Property will now progress concept design ahead of a future planning process.</p>
</section>


Mark Stevens, Kokoda Property Group’s Founder and Managing Director, said that the company’s Bridge Road site acquisition signals confidence in a city that is re-accelerating

First look: Kokoda secures Richmond site for new apartment development

<p data-end="445" data-start="321">Gold Coast developer Drew Group is fast approaching sell-out at its Main Beach apartment development, Lagoon Main Beach.</p>

<p data-end="675" data-start="447">In the last nine months, Drew Group and sales partner Pezet Matheson have secured 31 sales totalling over $75 million, as the two-tower development advances towards completion under the expert eye of Hutchinson Builders.</p>

<p data-end="772" data-start="677">“Today's buyers are more discerning than ever," Drew Group Managing Director Jon Drew says.</p>

<p data-end="901" data-start="774">"It's essential to provide something truly unique that sets a development apart, and we believe Lagoon has achieved just that."</p>

<p data-end="973" data-start="903">[smartcode_project:default project_id=108747 project_image_fid=193023]</p>

<p data-end="1158" data-start="975">Just over 50 per cent of recent&nbsp;sales have been to local buyers, reflecting the deep trust and connection within the Gold Coast community that Drew Group has developed over the years.</p>

<p data-end="1397" data-start="1160">Demand has been particularly robust at the top end, with two of the three exclusive penthouses already sold, alongside five sub-penthouses. Only seven apartments remain in Lagoon's Signature Series — one&nbsp;penthouse and six sub-penthouses.</p>

<p data-end="1469" data-start="1399">[smartcode_project:default project_id=108747 project_image_fid=284864]</p>

<p data-end="1786" data-start="1471">Drew Group has also removed the much-maligned sunset clause from all contracts at Lagoon. The sunset clause — although rarely invoked, yet on occasion known to have been — allows developers to take back contracts on apartments should the building not be completed within the timeframe specified in the contract.</p>

<p data-end="1952" data-start="1788">Pezet Matheson Co-Director Jayde Pezet says the fact Lagoon is&nbsp;within a year of completion, and has no sunset clause in contracts, provides certainty to buyers.</p>

<p data-end="2008" data-start="1954">"This is paramount in the current market," Pezet says.</p>

<p data-end="2279" data-start="2010">Drew Group has committed to providing the highest level of security inclusions — none more impressive than the Ubiquity Access Control System, a cutting-edge facial recognition technology that is one of the most state-of-the-art keyless entry systems on the market.</p>

<p data-end="2351" data-start="2281">[smartcode_project:default project_id=108747 project_image_fid=190743]</p>

<p data-end="2428" data-start="2353">One of the biggest drawcards to Lagoon has been the size of the apartments.</p>

<p data-end="2567" data-start="2430">"It is unlikely that any future new development in Main Beach will be able to offer such spacious living at this price point," Drew says.</p>

<p data-end="2850" data-start="2569">"Today's buyers are more discerning than ever, carefully evaluating amenities like gyms, spas, workspaces, and beach lockers, along with quality finishes. It's essential to provide something truly unique that sets a development apart, and we believe Lagoon has achieved just that."</p>

<p data-end="2907" data-start="2852">Lagoon is set to complete construction in mid-2026.</p>

<p data-end="2958" data-start="2909">[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108747]</p>


Lagoon Main Beach approaches sell-out as local buyers drive $75m in sales

<p>National apartment developer Abadeen has topped out its debut Gold Coast apartment project,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/villea-palm-beach-26-mawarra-street-palm-beach-qld-4221">Villea Palm Beach</a>.</p>

<p>Buyers will move into the $120 million development in early 2026, with builder Emicon now focusing its attention towards the fitout stage of the apartments.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/abadeen-group">Abadeen</a>’s Executive Chairman and Founder, Justin Brown, said topping out at Villea represented an exciting step forward for the company’s national growth and the delivery of a benchmark coastal development.</p>

<p>“Villea Palm Beach represents everything Abadeen stands for — design-led living, premium quality, and the convenience we are bringing for residents to feel part of a perfect beachside community," Brown said.</p>

<p>"It is a particularly special project for us, being our first with spectacular ocean views, just metres from the water and with the addition of ground-floor retail. To reach the top floor is a proud moment, and I am incredibly proud of the Abadeen and Emicon teams for the way they are bringing this project to life for future residents.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=106840 project_image_fid=336444]</p>

<p>Pierre Saab, Director of builder <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/emicon">Emicon</a>, said topping out was an exciting milestone and the team is now focused on interiors and detailing.</p>

<p>“This is a fantastic milestone to reach. With the final roof pour complete, we’ve moved into the fit-out stage where the detailing will truly bring Villea to life,"&nbsp;Saab said.</p>

<p>"Standing on the top floor, the team was struck by the stunning 180-degree views of the ocean and all that <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a> has to offer — a daily reminder of the exceptional lifestyle this project will deliver.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=106840 project_image_fid=336441]</p>

<p>Nick Clydsdale, Director of SRQ, who is managing sales and marketing for Villea, said the milestone marks the next phase of the sales campaign.</p>

<p>“With construction now at its highest point, we are excited to kick start the next phase of the campaign off the back of strong sales momentum driven by the local market,"&nbsp;Clydsdale said.</p>

<p>"Villea is a prized offering in the popular suburb of Palm Beach— ideally suited to owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking a convenient and beautiful coastal lifestyle. At the same time, with forecasts pointing to further price growth across the Gold Coast in 2025, Villea offers investors the opportunity to enter early in the upswing cycle."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=106840 project_image_fid=336442]</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>Designed by acclaimed architects <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA</a>, Villea comprises 69 two- and three-bedroom residences with light-filled layouts, premium finishes including timber flooring, Fisher &amp; Paykel appliances, and high-performance glazing to maximise comfort.</p>

<p>Many residences capture ocean views, while all benefiting from generous open plan designs and access to shared amenities like a&nbsp;pool, gym, barbecue facilities, and outdoor entertaining spaces, all just 400m from the beach.</p>

<p>A ground floor retail leasing campaign is also underway, with Abadeen set to handpick a curated mix of tenants to enhance the experience for both residents and the wider community.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=106840]</p>


Abadeen tops out Villea Palm Beach

Investor Activity

<p>Capital city apartment rents have increased by around 5 per cent compared with a 7 per cent rise in city house rents since the start of this year, according to CoreLogic.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Rental demand is being deflected back towards inner-city precincts as other areas become less affordable for renters,&rdquo; suggests Tim Lawless, director of research for CoreLogic.</p>

<p>Average capital city apartment rents across Australia have seen a fall of around 1 per cent, according to CoreLogic between March 2020 and September this year.</p>

<p>Melbourne&rsquo;s apartment sector has been the weakest (with rents down 7 per cent), followed by Sydney (down 1 per cent).</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=3260 project_image_fid=62315]</p>

<p>Lawless advised that growing investor demand for apartments was driving recovery.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;Investor demand has historically been skewed towards the medium- to high-density sector, probably because of the lower maintenance and often higher yields associated with higher density-style dwellings,&rdquo; he told The Australian Financial Review.</p>

<p>It has been noted investor mortgage demand had increased from a record low of around 23 per cent to more than 30 per cent.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=2806 project_image_fid=175415]</p>

<p>Apartment price rises have slipped well behind houses while yields have risen, which makes it more attractive to many investors, according to CoreLogic.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Both the lower entry point and higher yield profile may be an attractive option for investors as they become more active in the housing market,&rdquo; Lawless says.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Once international borders reopen, it&rsquo;s likely rental markets will see an immediate and positive impact as migrants, such as students, seek out rental accommodation.&quot;</p>


Apartment price rises have slipped well behind houses while yields have risen, which makes it more attractive to many investors, according to CoreLogic

jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Rental prices beginning to rise in inner city markets: CoreLogic

<p>Ryrie Home is the latest development from Franz&eacute; Developments.</p>

<p>The mixed-use development, which broke ground earlier this year, is set to deliver Geelong&rsquo;s first major hotel and apartment project in 20 years.</p>

<p>Designed by&nbsp;Architectus,&nbsp;Ryrie&nbsp;Home will deliver a landmark Holiday Inn tower, 16 luxury apartments at&nbsp;Ryrie&nbsp;Residences, and a separate 11-storey tower,&nbsp;Ryrie&nbsp;Home.</p>

<p>As <a href="/news/vic/urbans-most-popular-vic-apartments-for-investors-in-q1-2021" target="_blank">Urban&#39;s most popular investor project for Q1 2021</a>, it&#39;s more than just the location&nbsp;that stands out. But with prices starting as low as $350,000, its both affordable and appealing.</p>

<p>Ryrie Home has been so popular with investors&nbsp;likely due to them eyeing its huge potential to downsize later in life.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5559 project_image_fid=88241]</p>

<p>Geelong is well-known and much loved for its big city feel, without the congestion. Affectionately called G-Town, everything is within easy reach, so you can spend more time doing the things you love, be it sports, shopping, or exploring the caf&eacute;s and diverse eateries.</p>

<p>Situated at 44 Ryrie Street, Ryrie Home holds a prime position in the center of Geelong a short walk from the acclaimed Geelong Gallery.</p>

<p>Placed on a main thoroughfare the development is 5 minute walk from shopping centres,&nbsp;boutiques and a number of dining establishments.</p>

<p><a href="/buildings/ryrie-home-geelong-44-ryrie-street-geelong"><img alt="" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/geelong.png" /></a></p>

<p>Slightly beyond those is a Cinema and the MoPa Museum. And further afield&nbsp;are acclaimed dining institutions like&nbsp;Restaurant IGNI and the&nbsp;Empire Grill</p>

<p>Try taking the bike for a ride along the Geelong waterfront and experience the beaches and Royal Geelong Yacht Club, or enjoy an evening out by the water at bars like the Sailors Rest or Edge Geelong.</p>

<p>If you are looking for an exercise alternative to the nearby Fitness First, there is always Johnston Park</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5559 project_image_fid=88245]</p>

<p>The project features exposed concrete ceilings and floor-to-ceiling windows, merging a minimalist aesthetic with a sense of modern luxury in the bayside location.</p>

<p>Every&nbsp;home in the development features&nbsp;a private balcony where you can enjoy the panoramic bay views and alfresco dining year-round.</p>


The 109 residence mixed use tower draws on its Geelong Quarter location part of the fastest growing regional city in Australia.



jordan_55689

Walking tour: What's within walking distance from Geelong's Ryrie Home apartments?

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<p><strong>EXPERT INSIGHT</strong></p>

<p>Investors have clearly now joined the stampede of buyers rushing housing markets, but the overall home loan market share of investors remains at record low levels, offsetting any concerns by the RBA and financial regulators of potential market disruption.</p>

<p>The ABS reports that the value of national investor lending seasonally adjusted increased by 9.4% over January to $6.4bn which is the highest monthly total recorded since May 2018.</p>

<p>Despite the sharp increase, the overall home loan market share of investors fell to a new record low 19.1% and well behind the long-term average of 33.1%. Recent growth in investor lending still lags the remarkable increases reported by owner-occupiers and first home buyers.</p>

<p>During the similar strong market conditions in 2014, investor market share exceeded 40% which resulted in actions by financial regulators to subdue activity from this group. </p>

<p>This reflected concerns that record levels of highly-leveraged investors may cause disruptions to housing markets in the event of an increase in official interest rates pushing down home prices.</p>

<p>WA reported the sharpest increase in monthly investor lending over the past year, rising by 47.2%, followed by QLD up 26.7%, NSW up 17.9% and SA up 0.4%. Monthly investor lending in VIC however fell 1.0% over the past year.</p>

<p>NSW accounted for the most investor activity over January with 40.9% of total national activity with $2.21bn in loans approved followed by VIC well behind with $1.47bn, QLD $0.89bn, WA $0.34bn and SA $0.24bn.</p>

<p>The average NSW investor loan reported over January was the highest of all the states at $658,900 followed by VIC 537,388, QLD $441,037, WA $411,649 and SA $368,232.</p>

<p>Although investor lending is on the rise, the overall residential loan market share remains at record low levels with current strong prices growth clearly driven by unprecedented owner-occupier lending activity.</p>

<p>Any misguided move to raise interest rates to quell strong buyer activity would clearly place in jeopardy the current fragile and nascent economic recovery – something the RBA has clearly acknowledged.”</p>

<p><strong>Dr Andrew Wilson </strong><em>is the chief economist at Archistar</em></p>
</body></html>

awilson

investors have joined the stampede of buyers rushing housing markets: Archistar's Andrew Wilson

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<p>It’s a great time to be a landlord in Australia. With rare exceptions, vacancies are ultra low, rents are rising and there’s massive momentum behind prices.</p>

<p>A nationwide property boom is under way (with the big city inner-ring unit markets the exception) and the curious thing is that investors haven’t been joining the party. </p>

<p>The growth we saw in most markets in 2020 was driven by owner-occupiers, with first-home buyers leading the charge and other home buyers, especially lifestyle-seekers, prominent as well.</p>

<p>Investors were sitting on the fence, worried firstly about the September Cliff which failed to materialise and now apparently concerned about a potential March Cliff.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=600]</p>

<p>They’ve been waiting to see what would happen, before making decisions. And here’s what has happened while they’ve been fence-sitting – the new data from Domain shows that all capital cities had house price growth ranging from solid to strong in 2020, as did most of regional Australia. There was particularly notable uplift in the December Quarter.</p>

<p>This confirms earlier data from CoreLogic and both confirm the anecdotal evidence from the coal-face of markets which shows properties receiving multiple offers and selling for more than the asking prices, often before being formally listed.</p>

<p>Other research shows that rents have been rising in many parts of Australia, on the back of vacancy rates so low that it constitutes a national rental crisis.</p>

<p>So the hesitant investors have missed the first phase of the national property boom.</p>

<p>If they’d bought a year ago in many parts of Australia, their properties would now be worth 10%, 15% or 20% more than they paid.</p>

<p>For those who bought in sexy lifestyle locations like Byron Bay and the upmarket areas of the Sunshine Coast, a $1 million investment a year ago would now be worth around $1.3 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=84861]</p>

<p>If you’d bought a $400,000 property in Bendigo 12 months ago, it would likely now be worth around $460,000 (based on the median price data).</p>

<p>So it’s time for investors to stop procrastinating and get busy. And the latest ABS data on loans indicates that, at last, investors are starting to get involved.</p>

<p>This, in fact, is typical investor behaviour. Investors don’t lead property cycles, they react to them. They stampede into the market when they hear there’s a boom happening.</p>

<p>So I expect a big surge of activity from investors in 2021. There are too many good reasons to become buyers of well-located real estate and make it available to a hungry rental market.</p>

<p>The uplift in investor buyers will add further energy to the momentum already happening in markets across the nation.</p>

<p>It will make a national property boom that much more certain.</p>

<p>Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au</p>

<p>ryder@hotspotting.com.au</p>

<p>twitter.com/hotspotting</p>
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The hesitant investors have missed the first phase of the national property boom.



terryryder

It’s time for real estate investors to stop procrastinating and get busy: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

<html><body>
<p>The fundamental cynicism of major banks has been on display in the past week, with lenders exploiting APRA’s anti-investor measures to boost their profits.</p>
<p>Most major lenders have lifted interest rates for investors and then tried to represent the cash grab as a “we had no choice” situation caused by the regulators.</p>
<p>There is no justification for the interest rate hike. Lenders have already tightened their lending criteria in a number of ways designed to eliminate many fringe dwellers from the possibility of borrowing to buy investment properties.</p>
<p>The interest rate hike is clearly not motivated by a desire to further restrict investor activity. It’s simply a profit-boosting play which can be explained away, conveniently but dishonestly, as a consequence of APRA moves.</p>
<p>How do we know?  Because the big banks and other lenders have lifted interest rates on existing investor loans, not just on new ones.</p>
<p>Increasing interest rates on existing loans does nothing to reduce investor borrowing to buy real estate. All it does is boost bank profits. </p>
<p>If they were fair dinkum in their claims that they’re acting “as part of our commitment in meeting APRA’s benchmark” (as Westpac tried to claim), they would lift rates on new loans only.</p>
<p><span>The Bank of Queensland, which lifted its standard variable rate for investor loans 29 basis points, has a master of weasel words on staff called Matt Baxby who came up with this classic to justify the unjustifiable this week: “</span>We are adopting a prudent position that is aligned with the market and balances our own growth objectives with the risks associated with investor lending in general and the overall growth of investor lending in the market as a whole.”</p>
<p>If you can make sense of that statement, please write and let me know. I think a reasonable translation is: “We’re shafting a significant proportion of our existing customers but we’re hoping you won’t notice.”</p>
<p>Beyond that, the APRA measures and lenders’ response to them are an extraordinary case of overkill by bureaucrats who clearly don’t have a grip on market reality. </p>
<p>The faceless APRA boffins who make their pronouncements never stand up to be identified or face any scrutiny of their actions. If we had the opportunity to question them, whoever they are, I’m quite certain we would discover their understanding of real estate markets is wafer thin.</p>
<p>Essentially, Sydney is having a boom and all of Australia is being punished for it.</p>
<p>Taking punitive measures that apply nationally in response to an issue in Sydney is tantamount to amputating a leg to cure a sprained ankle.</p>
<p><span>I note </span>that the Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA) has questioned the decision by lenders to increase interest rates for both new and established property investors, suggesting a different approach should’ve been taken to ensure a sustainable property market.</p>
<p>PIPA chair Ben Kingsley said APRA’s pressure tactics to force individual lenders to lock out investors have raised both concerns and question marks for the industry.</p>
<p>“Increasing borrowing costs for investors who bought into the market some time ago seems unfair and detracts from what should be the common goal of creating a balanced property market,” he said.</p>
<p>PIPA suggested that more targeted measures to slow new investor lending in certain areas, such as decreasing and restricting borrowing power for new investors in locations where the market is particularly heated, would have been a better approach.</p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Couldn’t agree more.</span></p>
<p><em>TERRY RYDER is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Fundamental cynicism of major banks on display: Terry Ryder

<html><body>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><strong>EXPERT OBSERVATION</strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Dwelling values, particularly those in Sydney and Melbourne, have been falling now for a number of months.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>The latest ABS housing finance data indicates that the impact of these falls is now seemingly being felt in demand for new mortgages.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">While the value of lending fell over the month for owner occupiers and investors, the slowdown was much more substantial for investors, and the sharp month-on-month fall follows a downwards trend that has been evident across several rounds of macro prudential measures over the past few years.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>This isn’t really a surprise given so much of the lending to investors has been focused on Sydney and Melbourne and these cities are seeing values fall and yields at close to historic lows while investors are also incurring higher mortgage rates than owner occupiers, with additional rate premiums they use interest-only mortgages,.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space">Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/5/11/fig1.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a> </span></span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/5/11/fig1.jpg" alt=""></span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">In March 2018 there was $31.9 billion worth of housing finance commitments which was the lowest monthly value of commitments since August 2016.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Housing finance commitments were split between $21.0 billion to owner occupiers and $10.9 billion to investors.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Owner occupier commitments fell by -1.9% over the month to their lowest value since December 2017.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Investor finance commitments were down by -9.0% over the month, falling to their lowest value since January 2016.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>The declining trend in investor housing finance commitments had slowed recently, however, the -9.0% monthly fall was the largest decline since September 2015 when they fell -10.4% over the month as lenders tightened in order to remain under the 10% APRA speed limit in annualised terms.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space">Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/5/11/fig2.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge. </a></span></span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/5/11/fig2.jpg" alt=""></span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The $21.0 billion worth of finance commitments to owner occupiers was split between: $1.9 billion for construction of dwellings, $1.2 billion for purchase of new dwellings, $6.3 billion for the refinance of established dwellings and $11.6 billion for the purchase of established dwellings.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Each type of owner occupier commitment fell over the month however, year-on-year the value of lending for construction of dwellings was the only owner occupier finance segment that was lower.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space">Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/5/11/fig3.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a></span></span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space"> <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/5/11/fig3.jpg" alt=""></span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The $10.9 billion worth of investor housing finance commitments in March 2018 was split between $1.0 billion for construction of new dwellings and $9.9 billion for established dwellings.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>The value of lending for new construction was -18.9% lower over the month while the value of commitments for established dwellings was -7.9% lower. <span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space">Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/5/11/fig4.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a></span></span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/5/11/fig4.jpg" alt=""></span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Looking more broadly at finance commitments for new housing vs established housing shows a decline over the month for both.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>The chart also shows how the established market, of which there are substantially more properties, dwarfs the new housing market.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Over the month there was $4.1 billion worth of commitments for new housing and $21.5 billion for existing housing (excluding refinances).<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Commitments for new housing fell by -1.9% over the month while commitments for existing stock were -6.8% lower.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">A month’s worth of data doesn’t necessarily indicate a trend but it was quite a substantial fall in the value of housing finance commitments in March, particularly for investors.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>CoreLogic has believed for some time that investment in housing, particularly in the most expensive markets of Sydney and Melbourne, made little sense given stretched affordability, yield compression and little near-term value growth prospects with values currently declining.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>Despite this, lending finance data (which will be updated next Tuesday) has continued to show investor activity which is well above average levels in NSW and Vic.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>We would expect that the coming release will show a further weakening of demand in these two states.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Over the coming months it is anticipated that mortgage activity, particularly from the investment sector will remain weak relative to recent years.<span class="Apple-converted-space">  </span>With APRA recently announcing they will lift the 10% speed limit on investment credit growth from July 1, it will be important to watch the trend in investment credit flows. <span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">There have been recent reports that lenders are starting to reduce the interest rate premiums on some interest only loans and investment loans, however any reduction in rates could be offset by stricter serviceability testing on borrower expenses and incomes as well as the prospect for renewed focus from lenders to reduce their exposure to high loan to income ratio loans as well as maintaining their reluctance to take on high loan to valuation ratio loans. <span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><span class="Apple-converted-space"><em><span>CAMERON KUSHER</span> is head of research for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/"><span class="s2">here</span></a>.</em></span></span></p>
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Is a crunch in investor mortgage demand now starting to bite?

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<div>Annual credit growth slowed to 4.5 per cent as at June 2018, well down from 5.4 per cent a year earlier, according to the Reserve Bank's latest Financial Aggregates. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Broad money growth fell to an anemic 1.9 per cent year-on-year in June - the lowest level since Bobby Brown was #1 in the Australian charts with Humpin' Around in September 1992 - a disagreeable image I'm sure you'll agree (and the credit aggregates weren't too flash either).</div>
<p> </p>
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<div>Personal credit shrank 1.3 per cent year-on-year, and the annual growth in business credit slowed to just 3.2 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Housing credit held up reasonably well at 5.6 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The monthly growth in mortgages was all driven by owner-occupiers, with total investment credit actually declining for only the third time since these records just before Bobby Brown. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>With more investors also now switching to paying down principal, investor credit as a share of total housing market outstanding loans fell to 33.5 per cent, which puts investor market share broadly back in line with the average level seen over the past 18 years since June 2000 of 33.2 per cent. </div>
<p> </p>
<div><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-j57Ykdonboo/W2AWC8rQffI/AAAAAAAArSo/igt0b2G41KgtCLYL9WArzYDP-iq1U03YwCEwYBhgL/s640/RBA1.jpg" width="640" height="350" data-original-height="797" data-original-width="1452"></div>
<p> </p>
<div>Although housing credit as measured here is slowing, the APRA ADI figures also released today grew at a faster clip, implying in turn that non-ban lenders are picking up some of the slack. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of of the larger players Westpac recorded solid growth in its home loan book, while Macquarie, Commonwealth Bank, and NAB notched higher totals for investment loans for the month of June.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In saying that, NAB's investor loan book has recorded only 2 per cent growth over the past year and CBA and ANZ are in negative territory, so there is potentially ample headroom for more investor lending to return forthwith (the 10 per cent growth cap has been shelved as redundant). </div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-B8BLQUx19Os/W2AcFelOndI/AAAAAAAArTE/dx-Gm0xyewsozM30UPyib3Pog-EQZBE8QCLcBGAs/s640/A1.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="802" data-original-width="1369"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall, housing credit still seems to be flowing freely enough, but the economy really needs to start generating household income growth to get things moving again. </div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Credit strangle continues for property investors: Pete Wargent

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<div>Personal credit growth was negative again in November 2017, as it was in October 2017, and on an annual basis it has been negative since 2015 as Aussies elect to cut up their credit cards (or at least, apply for fewer cards and personal loans).<br><br>Housing credit continues to swing across from investors to owner-occupiers - in part due to loan switching - but in aggregate the annual rate of growth at 6.4 per cent remains higher than a year earlier when it was 6.3 per cent. </div>
<p> </p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-0yCCn4mLAfY/WkdoqRqLgVI/AAAAAAAAnus/pa_QXMs6Mc0Doek8mBChxLX3KX27AzleQCLcBGAs/s640/RBA1.jpg" width="640" height="378" data-original-height="803" data-original-width="1354"></div>
<p><br><span>Annual credit growth was steady year-on-year at 5.4 per cent.</span><br><br></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ljdXLu8nUFQ/WkdorDaKAvI/AAAAAAAAnu0/4IleZattKeA89bssvZ6Yp07INR016KMHwCLcBGAs/s640/RBA2.jpg" width="640" height="376" data-original-height="803" data-original-width="1365"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Cross-checking to APRA's monthly figures we can see that ADIs grew their investment loan exposures at just 2.8 per cent, miles below the arbitrary 10 per cent speed limit, so there is plenty of potential capacity for investment loans to pick up again in 2018. </div>
<p> </p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-q_3V-T87s3I/Wkdoqtj6aSI/AAAAAAAAnuw/BV3AtDI3h-w22j7p8K64BFth2AOnLL7uwCLcBGAs/s640/APRA.jpg" width="640" height="372" data-original-height="797" data-original-width="1370"></div>
<div>
<br>On the other hand, APRA's figures showed that monthly owner-occupier credit grew by an up-tempo 0.56 per cent to $1.04 trillion, suggesting that non-banks have picked up the slack created by tighter lending standards.<br><br>
</div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Low mortgage stress</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The unemployment rate contin<span>ued to trend lower in 2017, now down to its lowest level in 4½ years with further declines to come in 2018, and S&amp;P has its 30-day prime mortgage arrears at the lowest level we've seen. Arrears may or may not pick up a bit in 2018, but they are presently tracking at such a remarkably low level it could hardly be a surprise if they did. </span>
</div>
<p> </p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-2yg8nUBdByQ/WkdopQzcUuI/AAAAAAAAnuo/5fduST_I4iEZnj-8g1srhqzQhTmDp1mXgCLcBGAs/s640/Arrears.jpg" width="640" height="380" data-original-height="800" data-original-width="1344"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Reserve Bank's figures suggest that the ratio of household debt to disposable income will likely tick past 200 per cent in 2018, but serviceability remains very comfortable for most households, with the cost of living indexes very benign and household income growth passed its nadir.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It was interesting to see that the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) incorporated the two uppermost points I raised at the UBS Conference panel debate, namely on Australia's household debt distribution by quintile and the tremendous growth of mortgage offsets (see borrowers and buffers) in its latest paper on household debt (though it appears to have given the buffers point relatively short shrift!).<br><br>The fact is, though, that mortgages are easier to service than they used to be, and overall households are managing pretty well, while the outlook is improving nicely in the resources states.<br><br>Roll on 2018 and the 'surprisingly resilient' articles...</div>
<div> </div>
<div>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</div>
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Non-banks pick up slack for investment loans: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>Investor activity has certainly reduced on the Northern Beaches as many local suburbs have a strong reliance on the Tourism and Retail sectors, according to a recent Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report. </span></p>
<p><span>The report notes the unit markets in Manly, Fairlight and Balgowlah have seen the biggest reduction in activity, having the largest drop in weekly rents and higher vacancy rates. </span></p>
<p><span>It noted SQM Research indicated weekly asking rents for units in Fairlight have been slashed from $895 in February 2020 to $690 as of July 2020. </span></p>
<p><span>"Capital values have not declined at similar levels thus reducing potential yields," the valuation firm said. </span></p>
<p>A recent example of this reduction would be <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-apartment-nsw-fairlight-120102621" target="_blank">1/40 Rosedale Avenue, Fairlight</a> (pictured above), the report noted. </p>
<p>This two-bedroom, one-bathroom unit was recently leased for $600 to $620 per week after being previously leased for $745 per week in 2019.</p>
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<p><span>Investors range from local, out of towners and international buyers.</span></p>
<p><span> Australia has performed quite admirably against COVID-19, particularly when benchmarking against other countries.</span></p>
<p><span>"A number of agents have noted stronger activity, particularly for housing, from international buyers and expats," the valuation firm said. </span></p>
<p><span> As the uncertainty in the global markets make </span>the Australian property market a relatively safer investment, and many expats are looking to re- enter the market as an investment that they can turn into their family home should they need to return home.</p>
<p>A recent example of this would be <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-balgowlah-133811254" target="_blank">139 Woodland Street, Balgowlah </a>(pictured below) sold for $2.88 million in July through Cunninghams Real Estate with an original asking guide of $2.75 million, the report noted. </p>
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<p><span>The report suggests investors have traditionally been attracted to new units as their investment vehicle thanks to their lower entry price point than houses, location to essential services and low maintenance compared to a detached house in the suburbs. </span></p>
<p><span>However investors must proceed with caution with many cases of settlement valuations not meeting the original price paid off the plan. </span>This can occur years after the initial purchase has been agreed upon.</p>
<p>"If you have concerns, our advice is to engage an independent valuer to provide a valuation on the property," the valuation firm said. </p>
<p>An example from Sydney’s central west is <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-nsw-lidcombe-133603762" target="_blank">114/9 Paddock Street, Lidcombe</a> (pictured below), a 2 bedroom 2 bathroom unit which sold off the plan in March 2017 for $810,000 however has now relisted with an asking price of $700,000 to $750,000.</p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/8/31/lidcombe.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><span>Given the amount of proposed units to be built in the local area and the current market conditions this trend will no doubt continue in the short term, the report noted. </span></p>
<p><span>In comparing rental returns of one and two-bedroom units, one-bedroom units in </span>Parramatta have shown a higher annual return than their two-bedroom counterparts, as shown in the table below.</p>
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<p><span>In the south, units in Mortdale and Oatley are still providing reasonable rental returns whilst vacancy rates in these suburbs have remained reasonably low compared to neighbouring suburbs along the railway line, which have had a greater supply of new units into the market. </span></p>
<p><span>According to SQM Research, the vacancy rate in June for the Mortdale/Oatley postcode was 1.7 per cent, compared to 4.9 per cent in the Penshurst postcode and 4.7 per cent in the Hurstville postcode.</span></p>
<p><span>A two-bedroom, one-bathroom, unit with one-car garage, recently sold in Rosa Street, Oatley for $700,000.</span></p>
<p><span> The 1960’s ground floor unit, with a dated but well maintained fit out, positioned within short walking distance to Oatley village shopping, cafes and railway station. </span></p>
<p><span>The unit was leased to </span>a long term tenant for $520 per week, providing a rental yield of 3.9%.</p>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Investor activity shrinks on the Sydney Northern Beaches: HTW residential 

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVATION</p>
<p>An increase in investor activity in the latter half of 2019 has stirred the interest of first home buyers and owner-occupiers as they return to the property market.</p>
<p>Last year, RiskWise Property Research detailed the effect investors had on the market and how their response to market forces affected that of owner-occupiers.</p>
<p>When the “investor bulls” left the market so too did the energy which drives it.</p>
<p>Investors were always significantly more sensitive than owner-occupiers to changes in out-of-pocket expenses, driven by interest rate fluctuations, changes in legislation or other events.</p>
<p>At the moment investor interest is aroused, and we are seeing more activity. And when this market is going up this has a very material impact on the residential market, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne.</p>
<p>The impact of investor activity on the housing market has been clearly demonstrated over a prolonged period which included the global financial crisis, the boom and subsequent downturn in resources construction, and increases and decreases to mortgage rates.</p>
<p>Right now, thanks to low interest rates, more relaxed credit restrictions, the election results (ruling out the feared taxation changes), APRA's changes to the floor assessment and tax cuts, we are seeing a return in confidence in the market and, consequently, for higher clearance rates and higher prices.</p>
<p>Improved auction clearance rates and consumer confidence are creating a very clear trend, that will consequently lead to price increases and a rise in auction clearance volumes, as sellers expect stronger demand for their properties and, therefore, are more confident to put them on the market.</p>
<p>The Westpac Consumer Confidence Index on House Price Expectations Index saw a dramatic rise from October last year to October 2019 of 36.1 per cent. Since May it has risen a whopping 54.4 per cent, with a 5.9 per cent rise in October alone. The biggest gains over the last two months were in NSW at 12.5 per cent and Victoria at 16.6 per cent.</p>
<p>Investor activity reached its recent peak in NSW at 46.6 per cent in Jan 2017 and over the past two years has fallen to 32 per cent. In Victoria it went from 35.5 per cent in March 2017 to 26.7 per cent in August 2019. And while these state figures are well correlated with those in Sydney and Melbourne, investor activity is slowly recovering.</p>
<p>The RBA's three interest rate cuts and other improvements have led to improved serviceability and lower out-of-pocket costs for investors and this is likely to drive a significant increase in investor activity.</p>
<p>CoreLogic figures for October show the nation's median dwelling value lifted 0.9 per cent to $524,744 in September, with median property values in Sydney and Melbourne jumping 1.7 per cent last month, reaching $805,424 and $634,913 respectively.</p>
<p>While the potential of taxation changes had diminished investor activity in the market, the election results ensured this particular risk had been removed.</p>
<p>However, construction defect faults in Sydney and Melbourne high rises meant investors were targeting more family-suitable homes.</p>
<p>Also, the potential taxation changes put forward by Labor exposed investors to a tangible risk over investment properties not suitable for owner-occupiers, especially as they would also have created primary and secondary markets, significantly impacting dwelling prices.</p>
<p>We must also take into account that some areas in Sydney and Melbourne have significant unit oversupply and underperform the market which again drives investors towards properties that enjoy a more stable demand, particularly properties which are more suited to families.</p>
<p>He said the number one indicator for market sentiment was investor lending finance (excluding refinancing).</p>
<p>If you see a material increase in investor activity, you will also see the annual rate of dwelling price growth accelerate significantly.</p>
<p>The bottom line is that the more investors there are in the market, the stronger price growth.</p>
<p><em><strong>DORON PELEG</strong> is the RiskWise CEO</em></p>
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