<p>Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.</p>

<p>At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.</p>

<p>Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.</p>

<p><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FH_1EzB-1vs?si=XScVlP1ERsTDJoME" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe></p>

<p>"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.</p>

<p>Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.</p>

<p>“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.</p>

<p>He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]</p>

<p>After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.</p>

<p>"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."</p>

<p>Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.</p>

<p>"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]</p>

<p>Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.</p>

<p>"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."</p>

<p>For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.</p>

<p><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tsioMLcnjas?si=zq-ys3JuWpfa5hFv" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe></p>

<p>The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.</p>

<p>"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."</p>

<p>As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.</p>

<p>"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.</p>

<p>"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]</p>

<p>Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.</p>

<p>"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."</p>

<p>That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.</p>

<p>"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351104]</p>

<p>Aimee says one moment stood out.</p>

<p>"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."</p>

<p>The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.</p>

<p>Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356822]</p>

<p>ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]</p>

<p>For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.</p>

<p>"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."</p>

<p>For Aimee, the change is measured in time.</p>

<p>“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351102]</p>

<p>Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.</p>

<p>ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]</p>


Joel Robinson

From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

<p>Virgate Property Group is preparing to commence construction of Verdé, its new apartment development in Melbourne's Arts Precinct at Southbank, following a strong run of sales that has seen more than half of the project's 173 apartments secured.</p>

<p>Verdé has attracted a broad mix of first home buyers, owner-occupiers upgrading from nearby inner-city suburbs and investors, with younger owner-occupier couples aged between 28 and 45 accounting for the strongest enquiry. Many are already living in Southbank, South Melbourne, Albert Park, Port Melbourne, South Yarra and the CBD.</p>

<p>"Verdé is located in one of the most desirable pockets of southern Melbourne," Blair Property Group Director Darren Blair, who is managing sales at Verdé, said.</p>

<p>"It's within walking distance of the Arts Centre, Royal Botanic Gardens, Albert Park Lake, and Southbank's restaurants and retail. It's a great lifestyle location with strong amenity and liveability, which made it a very attractive choice for the project."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372549]</p>

<p>Virgate was already familiar with the precinct, having previously delivered the successful Domain House development in neighbouring South Melbourne. That experience gave the developer confidence to acquire the Coventry Street site and continue expanding its presence in Melbourne's inner south.</p>

<p>"We had been keeping an eye on the site and the broader precinct for a few months before deciding to move forward with the acquisition," Virgate said.</p>

<p>The project was ultimately secured in 2020 following feasibility studies, planning assessments and due diligence, with the brief centred on delivering "a high-quality, considered design that feels both refined and fit for purpose."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=314259]</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, Verdé comprises 173 one, two and three-bedroom apartments priced from $599,000. The architecture is distinguished by a faceted glass façade that responds to both the site's outlook and Melbourne's changing light conditions.</p>

<p>According to Bruce Henderson Architects, the coloured glazing gives the building a distinctive identity while also providing privacy and solar shading, with residences oriented to capture views across the bay, city skyline and surrounding parklands.</p>

<p>Inside, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> has created interiors focused on natural light, efficient planning and enduring materials. Apartments feature engineered oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, floor-to-ceiling glazing and SMEG appliances, while a restrained material palette aims to complement the expansive outlooks rather than compete with them.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372550]</p>

<p>Resident amenity has also been designed around everyday functionality rather than occasional use. Facilities include a concierge-serviced lobby, residents' lounge with fireplace, library and co-working space, gym, terrace garden with barbecue facilities, ground-floor café, and package delivery management.</p>

<p>The project's location continues to be one of its strongest drawcards. Positioned on Coventry Street, Verdé sits within walking distance of the National Gallery of Victoria, Arts Centre Melbourne, Royal Botanic Gardens and Albert Park Lake, while Southbank's dining precinct, Sturt Street trams and the new ANZAC Station are all nearby. The surrounding education catchment also includes Melbourne Grammar, Melbourne Girls Grammar, Mac.Robertson Girls' High School and several major university campuses.</p>

<p>The sales team says buyers have responded particularly well to the combination of location, design quality and long-term liveability.</p>

<p>"They're responding really positively to the quality of the design, premium resident amenities and the uninterrupted views. Many also appreciate the location and how connected it is to everything they need."</p>

<p>The ability to secure stamp duty savings before completion has also been a key factor for purchasers, alongside the opportunity to personalise finishes ahead of settlement.</p>

<p>With construction set to commence soon and more than half the apartments already sold, Verdé enters its next phase as one of the Arts Precinct's more established apartment developments, offering remaining buyers an opportunity to secure a residence before construction advances further. Expected completion is scheduled for late 2027.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4661]</p>


Virgate's Verdé Southbank moves toward construction as sales fly past halfway stage

<p>Downsizer-focused apartment development Kooyongkoot in Hawthorn has been recognised at the 2026 Better Future Melbourne Design Awards, taking home Gold and Silver awards in two categories.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kooyongkoot-hawthorn-1-kooyongkoot-road-hawthorn-vic-3122">Kooyongkoot</a>, currently being delivered by developer PQD and designed by Cera Stribley, received Gold in the Interior Design – Proposed category and Silver in the Architecture – Proposed category.</p>

<p>The dual recognition reflects the design approach behind the boutique development on prestigious Kooyongkoot Road, where the focus has been on creating homes for downsizers seeking the space, quality and functionality of a detached house within a low-rise apartment building.</p>

<p>Rather than maximising apartment numbers, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pqd">PQD</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a> limited the development to just 18 residences, allowing for larger floorplans, greater privacy, generous landscaping and expansive communal spaces.&nbsp;The majority of the apartments also benefit from corner aspects, allowing for dual sources of natural light.</p>

<p>Now around 70 per cent complete and on track for completion in November 2026, Kooyongkoot will comprise a mix of garden residences, ter​race apartments, sub-penthouses, and is crowned by two half-floor penthouses with direct lift access and private rooftop terraces.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355297]</p>

<p>The Silver Award for Architecture recognised the way the building responds to its prominent corner position at the ent​rance to Hawthorn's Scotch Hill precinct, one of Melbourne's most established residential neighbourhoods.</p>

<p>Rather than competing with the grand homes that line Kooyongkoot Road, the architectural approach focused on restraint and longevity, using curved brickwork, generous landscaping and carefully considered proportions to integrate with the existing streetscape.</p>

<p>"The form feels fluid and timeless, as though shaped by the landscape itself – architecture that belongs, rather than competes," said Chris Stribley, Co-Founder and Managing Principal of Cera Stribley.</p>

<p>The judging submission also highlighted practical innovations throughout the building, including lift cores servicing only nine homes each, a central landscaped lightcourt designed to bring daylight and ventilation into the building, and fully enclosed private storage rooms with lighting, power and shelving to better accommodate residents transitioning from larger family homes.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355293]</p>

<p>The Gold Award for Interior Design recognised the project's focus on long-term liveability rather than display-home aesthetics.</p>

<p>According to the awards submission, the interiors were designed from the inside out, prioritising how homes would function over decades of daily use through generous proportions, practical storage, durable natural materials and flexible layouts.</p>

<p>The specification includes natural stone throughout, upgraded acoustic glazing, V-ZUG appliances and fully enclosed storage rooms, alongside an amenity offering focused on wellness, entertainment and everyday convenience.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a gym and yoga studio, a wellness centre featuring traditional and infrared saunas, a cold therapy shower and treatment room, as well as a residents' lounge and golf simulator/cinema room for entertainment.&nbsp;Kooyongkoot has also considered the everyday convenience of its residents by offering a private carwash and pet wash facilities on site as well as dedicated parcel lockers and oversized fully enclosed storage rooms.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355303]</p>

<p>The project's attention to detail has already resonated with buyers. Earlier this year, Kooyongkoot recorded one of Boroondara's highest apartment sales when an $8 million penthouse was purchased by a Melbourne CEO downsizing from a nearby family home.</p>

<p>"Every detail feels deliberate, from the overall design down to the smallest touches," the purchaser said.</p>

<p>"The level of quality and refinement is exceptional, but what really sold it was how liveable it felt... It felt like a place where everything had been considered, not just a luxury building."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355304]</p>

<p>Sustainability also formed a key part of both award submissions. Kooyongkoot is targeting a minimum 7.5-star NatHERS rating across all residences, supported by passive design principles, high-performance glazing, EV charging infrastructure, water reuse systems and a wellness model focused on lower-energy dry facilities rather than pools and large wet areas.</p>

<p>Located within walking distance of Scotch College, Methodist Ladies' College, Koo​yong Lawn Tennis Club, Aubur​n Village and Camberwell Junction, Kooyongkoot continues to target owner-occupiers looking to remain in Melbourne's inner east without compromising on space or quality. A limited selection of two, three and four-bedroom residences remains available, with prices starting from $1.9 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=102717]</p>


Kooyongkoot wins Gold and Silver at Better Future Melbourne Design Awards

<p>New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.</p>

<p>It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.</p>

<p>With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.</p>

<p>The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.</p>

<p>Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]</p>

<p>Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.</p>

<p>"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.</p>

<p>"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.</p>

<p>Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.</p>

<p>That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]</p>

<p>Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.</p>

<p>Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.</p>

<p>"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.</p>

<p>"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."</p>

<p>Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.</p>

<p>"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]</p>

<p>The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.</p>

<p>Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.</p>

<p>That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.</p>

<p>"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]</p>


The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

<p>A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.</p>

<p>The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.</p>

<p>The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.</p>

<p>The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.</p>

<p>Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.</p>

<p>"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.</p>

<p>"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."</p>

<p><img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" /></p>

<p>Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.</p>

<p>Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.</p>

<p>Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.</p>

<p>"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.</p>

<p>"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."</p>

<p>Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.</p>

<p>Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.</p>


Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

Housing

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<p><span>Rental rates for houses fell 0.8% across the combined capital cities over the three months to September, according to CoreLogic RP Data.</span></p>
<p><span>CoreLogic RP Data's September Rental Index Results found over the past year house rents have increased 0.3% with units rising 15% year-on-year. </span></p>
<p><span>The review said annual rental growth is currently at its slowest pace on record and is also well below its 10 year average levels.</span></p>
<p><span>"The 10 year annual rate of rental growth is currently higher than growth over the past year across each capital city," it said.</span></p>
<p><span>"Combined capital city house rents were recorded at $487 per week in September 2015 and unit rents were $462 per week, with the gap in the rental cost remains significantly lower than the actual purchase cost of a house relative to a unit."</span></p>
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Rental rates for houses down 0.8%: CoreLogic RP Data 

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<p>The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released demographic data for the March 2015 quarter earlier today. The data showed that despite a quarterly bounce in population growth, the rate of growth continues to trend lower.</p>
<p>The national population increased by 1.35% over the 12 months to March 2015 which was the lowest annual rate of growth in nine years. Although growth slowed it should still be noted that Australia’s population increased by 315,952 persons over the past year. Although population growth has slowed it remains well above the long term average of 256,801 per annum.</p>
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<p><span>Over the March 2015 quarter, the national population increased by 93,942 persons, substantially higher than what was recorded over the December 2014 quarter when the nationally population recorded an increase of 64,010 persons.  Over the 12 months to March 2015, the national population increased by 315,952 persons which is the lowest annual increase in population since the 12 month period ending June 2011 when the nation recorded population growth of 308,274 persons.</span></p>
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<p><span>At a national level there are two components of population growth, natural increase (births minus deaths) and net overseas migration. Each of these measures recorded a bounce over the past quarter however, both components continue to trend lower on an annual basis. Over the 12 months to March 2015 natural increase was recorded at 142,898 persons and net overseas migration was recorded at 173,054. Natural increase was -9.7% lower over the year while net overseas migration was -16.0% lower, its largest annual fall since March 2011.  </span></p>
<p><span>While the decrease in the rate of natural increase implies a sharp rise in deaths or slowdown in births, it is important that the ABS has noted that there are problems with the preliminary natural increase estimates due to a lag in registering births in both NSW and Vic.  We are likely to an upwards correction to this data over the coming quarters which will lift the rate of population growth.</span></p>
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<p>Across the states and territories the rate of annual population growth is lower compared to the same time a year ago across the board. Although population growth is slowing, the sharpest slowdown in population growth is being felt in WA and NT. In WA the rate of population growth has slowed to 1.4% over the year to March 2015 from 3.5% two years earlier.  Similarly, annual population growth in the NT was 3.0% two years ago and the latest data shows it at just 0.2% over the past year.</p>
<p>Looking at the components of population growth we will ignore natural increase at this juncture because the ABS have highlighted some issues with the data for NSW and Vic. The two other drivers of population growth at a state and territory level are overseas migration and interstate migration.  NSW and Vic are the major benefactors of net overseas migration to Australia while Vic and Qld are the only benefactors of interstate migration.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/25/Chart-4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/25/Chart-4.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><span>Over the 12 months to March 2015, net overseas migration to Australia was recorded at 173,054 persons. More than two thirds of net overseas migration flowed to NSW (38.9%) and Vic (31.6%). If you add in Qld (12.1%), the three most populous states accounted for 82.6% of net overseas migration. Although net overseas migration is trending lower, the impact of the end of the mining boom is very clear. In March 2013, annual net overseas migration was recorded at 41,745 persons in Qld, 53,834 persons in WA and 5,173 persons in NT. Over the past year, annual net overseas migration had slowed to 20,857 persons in Qld, 15,383 persons in WA and 1,041 persons in NT.  </span></p>
<p><span>Conversely in NSW where mining is a smaller part of the overall economy, net overseas migration has actually increased from 63,661 persons in March 2013 to 67,272 persons in March 2015. Similarly in Vic net overseas migration has been much stronger over the past 2 years, falling slightly from 55,562 persons to 54,745 persons. Of course while most of the overseas migration is coming to NSW and Vic, most of that is flowing into Sydney and Melbourne fuelling more demand for housing and helping to explain why home value growth in those two cities has been so strong.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/25/Chart-5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/25/Chart-5.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>At a national level net interstate migration cancels itself out and does not add to population growth however, at a state level it can greatly impact on population growth. Over the past 12 months, only Vic (9,774 persons) and Qld (6,195 persons) have seen a positive inflow of residents from other states. In fact, net interstate migration into Vic is currently at its strongest level on record. Qld has recorded a slight rebound in net interstate migration however, it continues to hover around its lowest level on record. For the length of this data series (since 1981) NSW has consistently lost residents to other states and that remains the case losing 6,195 residents over the year. </p>
<p>The outflow of residents from NSW is hovering at around record low levels. WA has typically been a benefactor of interstate migration however, it lost a net -1,269 residents last year; its greatest loss since June 2003. Again we can see the impact of the slowing of the resources sector. In March 2013, net interstate migration was recorded at a higher 9,026 persons in Qld and 9,691 persons in WA. Conversely, net interstate migration at that time was recorded at -15,513 persons in NSW and 3,454 persons in Vic.</p>
<p>The trends in overseas and interstate migration in particular show that the population growth tide has turned away from the mining states and is now firmly focussed on NSW and Vic which have relatively little mining sector exposure. These states are also creating more employment opportunities and are subsequently attracting both people migrating from overseas and interstate. Higher population growth means more demand for housing, which is one of the drivers pushing dwelling values higher in Sydney and Melbourne.</p>
<p>The more up-to-date overseas arrivals and departures data from the ABS indicates that permanent and long-term arrivals into Australia have continued to trend lower since March 2015. This indicates that net overseas migration is expected to continue to trend lower over the coming quarters. It is also likely to result in more of these migrants wanting to move to NSW and Vic due to the fact that these are the states where more jobs are being created.</p>
<p>This is of course despite the fact that the two capital cities in these two states recording home value growth which is well in excess of growth elsewhere.</p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic RP Data. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/cameron-kusher/" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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Population growth slumps to its slowest rate in nine years: Cameron Kusher

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<p><span>Australia's four most populous states accounted for a thumping 93.4% of Australia's </span>population growth<span> over the year to Q1 2015, with New South Wales (its total population increasing to 7,597,000), Victoria (5,915,000), Queensland (4,767,000) and Western Australia (2,587,000) being the four states in question.</span><br><br><span>You could more or less chuck a soggy beach towel over the rest. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/25/B1.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/09/25/B1.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>The greatest gains in headcount across the most recent 12 month reporting period were seen in New South Wales (+101,200), Victoria (+97,500) and Queensland (+61,100), and as we've already seen that the recent "births" figures are almost certainly materially </span><a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/population-growth-surprise" target="_blank">understated</a><span> for the two most populous states. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/25/b2.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/09/25/b2.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<div>Population growth rates have slowed dramatically in the resources states and territories, including in Queensland (+1.3 per cent), and particularly in Western Australia (+1.4 per cent).<br><br>Meanwhile population growth in the Northern Territory has dried up almost completely (+0.2 per cent), and with net interstate migration away from the Top End reaching its most rapid level on record (-3,400) population 'growth' is set to turn negative in due course. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Population growth has also slowed in another state which is suffering from a "brain drain" - South Australia - where net interstate migration of negative -3,000 has helped to pull the rate of population growth down to just +0.8 per cent, though it still needs to slow further.<br><br>The 'Festival State' has not created a single full time job on a net basis since 2007 and the result has been a horribly increasing rate of unemployment.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/09/25/b2-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div><img src="/images/2015/09/25/b2-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Components of growth</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Net overseas migration remains very strong in New South Wales (+67,000) and Victoria (+55,000), but has clearly slowed in the resources states as the mining construction boom begins to fade into the rear view mirror.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/09/25/B5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/09/25/B5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>The most interesting trend for me over the last few years has been to note just how few people have been choosing to leave Sydney and Melbourne for cheaper or warmer climes (refer to the net interstate migration chart below), instead opting to stay put for the relative security of their capital city employment.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said, I do know more than a few people - including myself, in fact - who have recently decided to relocate from Sydney to Brisbane.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Brisbane is not only comparatively inexpensive, it also has a warmer climate and is considerably less crowded - and thus if the jobs market is creating the requisite employment it should be a no-brainer from my perspective!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The data below shows that the trickle of Sydneysiders moving to Queensland <em>has </em>only been a trickle through this cycle to date, and most certainly not a flood.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said, net interstate migration for the March quarter into Queensland (+1,300) was plenty stronger than we saw in the prior corresponding period (+700) taking annual net interstate migration into the Sunshine State back up to +6,200 from its recent nadir.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/09/25/B4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div><img src="/images/2015/09/25/B4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>Totting that little lot up we can see in the chart below that population growth has slowed significantly in Western Australia (+35,300) and Queensland (+61,100), and has slowed further in South Australia (+13,900).</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/09/25/B3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/09/25/B3.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>On the other hand annual population growth remains supremely strong in New South Wales (+101,200) and Victoria (+97,500) despite the under-reporting of births over the past six months.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Housing supply</span></strong>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>On an obliquely related note, although I can't remember exactly where I read it, somewhere this week was a piece which suggested that the construction of 10,000 apartments over four years at Sydney's Green Square would form part of a "tsunami" of oversupply in Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I'm not sure if this was some kind of gee-up, but as you can see the in the figures above with the state population having increased by close to +400,000 over the past four years alone...I dunno, but I reckon someone's having a giraffe.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Whatever the case, New South Wales has an existing stock of close to <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/nsw-dwelling-stock-value-explodes" target="_blank">3 million dwellings</a>, and to my knowledge there has not been any recorded example of such a tiny fraction of additional construction having a material impact on a capital city property market.<br><br>Like London, Sydney is a city which is increasingly constrained in terms of its land supply in desirable locations, and is a city which is more or less permanently in a position of requiring new supply.<br><br>Now granted we're presently constructing proportionately far too many of those "shoebox" type developments - no arguments there - but as the Greater Sydney population continues to mushroom over time any such localised examples of oversupply will only ever be temporary in nature. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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State population trends: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>A Minister for Cities and the Built Environment will help Australia make the most of its productivity powerhouses, says the Green Building Council of Australia (GBCA).</span></p>
<p><span>The Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has appointed South Australian Jamie Briggs as Australia’s first Minister for Cities and the Built Environment.</span></p>
<p><span>“This appointment recognises not only the importance of our cities as the engine room of the nation’s productivity and prosperity, but also the central role the built environment plays in tackling many of Australia’s greatest challenges," the GBCA’s chief executive officer, Romilly Madew said.</span></p>
<p><span>“Minister Briggs’ long-awaited appointment will enable us to better tackle the challenges we face – challenges such as climate change, population growth, ageing demographics, congestion, housing affordability, liveability and social inclusion."</span></p>
<p><span>The Property Council of Australia chief executive Ken Morrison warmly welcomed Malcolm Turnbull as "perhaps our most urbanist Prime Minister ever."</span></p>
<p><span>"He has lost no time in placing cities firmly on the federal agenda," Mr Morrison said.</span></p>
<p><span>"Make no mistake about it, this is a key economic appointment.</span></p>
<p><span>"The move recognises that in the most urbanised country in the world Australia's productivity challenges are going to be need to be met in our cities.</span></p>
<p><span>"With the property industry accounting for one ninth of Australia's GDP and employing 1.1 million people - more than mining and manufacturing combined - there is an increasing urban dimension to the economy.</span></p>
<p><span>"Jamie Briggs is a smart appointment as the new Cities Minister given his record in securing the government's $50 billion infrastructure commitment in last year's budget.</span></p>
<p><span>"The move mirrors one already made by the Opposition last year in appointing Anthony Albanese as shadow cities minister, and it is very pleasing to now see a bipartisan approach to the importance of this issue."</span></p>
<p><span>The Property Council also congratulated Scott Morrison - a former head of research for the organisation in the 1990s - on his appointment as federal Treasurer.</span></p>
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Jamie Briggs appointed Australia's first minister for Cities and Built Environment

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<p>For years now I have contemplated how an investment banker would run the Australian economy and now we are about to find out with Malcolm Turnbull taking over the reigns as prime minister.</p>
<p>Straight after the news broke I posted a message on Mr Turnbull’s Facebook page – “Congratulations on becoming Prime Minister of Australia.If I can ask you to do one thing – could you please appoint Kelly O’Dwyer as Housing minister. It’s rather embarrassing that the Australian government does not have a Minister for this important portfolio.”</p>
<p>There are major dark clouds forming and what we might expect is being discussed by a few, and if we are proven correct this will be a major storm that will reverberate across Australia. The problem started back in 2008 when the then prime minister Kevin Rudd and his treasurer Wayne Swan changed the ratio permitting foreign buyers to purchase off the plan in Australia. The ratio was adjusted from 50 per cent to 100 per cent (which is where it currently sits) at that time I wrote that such a move was fraught with danger.</p>
<p>Take Sydney for example, where tens of thousands of new apartments have been sold off – the – plan, there now are grave concerns that the foreign buyers will walk away from the deposits and won’t settle. With interest we should be watching the stock market in China which has lost approximately 40 per cent in the last three months, where when we see stock market corrections money is then diverted into real estate – this time around this may not be the case. Then we see that volatility on the global equity markets in August was the highest since 2011.</p>
<p>The first signs of cracking in the residential market will be, when these new developments are completed, how many apartments that were sold off the plan are immediately placed back on the market. BIS Shrapnel recently reported that NSW is set to become Australia’s top home builder in 2016, having overtaken Victoria which has held this position since early 2000.</p>
<p>Should the foreign buyers spook then the new construction will in all probability come to a grinding halt where history shows prices start falling significantly due to an oversupply on the markets. Thanks to the overseas buyer ratio being doubled this spells double trouble, given what we have seen with the real estate investment markets has been unprecedented. Historically we have absolutely no measures on what may happen aside from expecting the worst.</p>
<p>We also see that APRA’s policy initiatives are now cooling the markets which may need some urgent critiquing given that if the property markets cool too quickly this will spook the foreign buyers in to a frenzy of defaults.</p>
<p>On the flip side we have the Australian government via the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) forensically examining all property transactions for existing homes that may have been illegally acquired – I predict this will be huge. There is approximately another 6 weeks left of the amnesty period before the ATO starts prosecuting.</p>
<p>Thus far this crackdown on illegal purchases has more than doubled to over 500 investigations and that’s before the amnesty period ends – predominately at this stage the ATO is relying on public tip offs. Treasurer Joe Hockey let the cat out of the bag this week when he commented “So we are getting on with the job of enforcing the laws. There has been no enforcement and no successful order for at least the last 20 years. But we have taken this decision to ensure that there is integrity in the foreign investment regime and that those people who unlawfully hold Australian residential real estate are caught.”</p>
<p>Going by that one must be thinking that this investigation is so huge that they are now looking back 20 years – which would lead to an unprecedented number of divestment orders in 2016. Should we see the off – the – plan investors defaulting it would not be smart for the integrity of Australian property prices to also run divestment orders on existing dwellings.</p>
<p>Another point that needs raising is that NSW is doing the major lifting in terms of the Australian economy as this is the hub for economic momentum. The Reserve Bank of Australia, APRA, ATO, lenders and elected politicians need to immediately start consulting property developers and industry specialists and start drawing up a battle plan.</p>
<p>Until a clearer picture is presented foreign ownership rates from 100 per cent need to be cut hard. So that’s why Malcolm Turnbull needs to appoint a Housing minister next Monday as he/she will have plenty of work to do given I see the property markets now on a “High Alert”.</p>
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 64</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 56</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this week – 52</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 44</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 49</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this week – 51</p>
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year –10</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 6</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this week – 7</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 16</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 20</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this week – 22</p>
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 7</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 2</p>
<p>•Number of houses on the market this week – 3</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 33</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 37</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this week – 29</p>
<p> </p>
<p><em><span>ROBERT SIMEON</span> is a director of </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> </em><em>and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. <br>He has also been writing real estate blog </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> </em><em>since 2000. </em></p>
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Are foreign buyers about to ‘short’ our residential markets? Robert Simeon

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<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">GUEST OBSERVER</span></div>
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<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The latest economic data highlights the balancing acts being played out in the Australian economy. Mining is in transition from booming investment activity to the production phase of the cycle. As a result mining profits and sales fell in the latest quarter. But while mining profits are retreating, profits in other parts of the economy are rising, in fact hitting record highs.</span></div>
<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></div>
<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">There is also the balancing act in the housing sector. Financial authorities want to see less frothy growth in investor housing lending, but at the same time want to maintain lending growth in business and owner-occupier home lending. The good news is that this is also happening.</span></div>
<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></div>
<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">So from the Reserve Bank’s standpoint there is nothing to do but to monitor the transitions to ensure that the process moves as smoothly as possible. </span></div>
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<div class="column"><a href="/images/2015/08/31/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-31%20at%202.40.33%20PM.png" target="_blank"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><img src="/images/2015/08/31/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-31%20at%202.40.33%20PM.png" alt=""></span></div>
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<p style="line-height: 1.3em;"><strong><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">What do the figures show?</span></strong></p>
<p style="line-height: 1.3em;"><strong><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">B</span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">usiness indicators</span></strong></p>
<p style="line-height: 1.3em;"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Company operating profits </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">fell for the fifth straight quarter, dropping by 1.9 per cent in the June quarter. Profits fell in 10 of the 15 industry groups. Profits fell by 9.9 per cent in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Mining, </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">fell by 0.8 per cent in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Manufacturing </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">and fell by 4.7 per cent in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Construction. </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">But profits rose by 3.3 per cent in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Retail Trade.</span></p>
<span style="line-height: 1.3em;">In the year to June (2014/15 year)</span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">, profits totalled $255.8 billion, down 5.4 per cent over the year and the biggest annual decline in just over two years. Non-mining profits rose by 2.2 per cent to a record $184.7 billion in 2014/15.</span>
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<span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Unincorporated gross operating profits </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">actually rose by 5.1 per cent in the June quarter after rising by 6.8 per cent in the March quarter. </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Business gross operating profits  </span></span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">fell by 0.9 per cent in the June quarter after rising 0.6 per cent in the March quarter. </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Company profits before tax </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">fell by 11.3 per cent in the June quarter after rising 13.7 per cent in the March quarter.</span>
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<span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Inventories </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">rose by less than 0.1 per cent in the June quarter after rising by 0.6 per cent in the March quarter. Inventories rose in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Manufacturing </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(up 0.9 per cent) and in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Electricity, gas, water and waste services </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(up by 2.6 per cent). Inventories fell in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Mining </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(down by 0.3 per cent), </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Wholesale Trade </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(down 0.4 per cent) and in both </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Accommodation &amp; food services </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">and </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Retail Trade </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(both down by 0.2 per cent).</span>
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<span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Sales rose in 8 of the 15 industry sectors in the June quarter</span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">. Sales rose the most in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Transport, postal and warehousing </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(up 3.1 per cent) followed by </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Rental, hiring and real estate services </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(up 2.6 per cent). Sales fell most in </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Mining </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(down 2.5 per cent) and </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Construction </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">(down 0.8 per cent).</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The value of all sales by industry </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">fell for only the first time in nine quarters, down by 0.2 per cent in real terms in the June quarter to be 1.4 per cent higher than a year ago. In the March quarter sales were growing at the fastest pace in 31⁄2 years.</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">In current prices, sales </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">rose in five states and territories in the June quarter: NSW &amp; Queensland (both up 1.5 per cent), Tasmania (up 1.1 per cent) and Victoria &amp; South Australia (both up 1.0 per cent).</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Sales fell </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">in Western Australia (down by 3.7 per cent), ACT (down by 1.1 per cent) and Northern Territory (down 0.4 per cent).</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Wages &amp; salaries </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">rose by 1.1 per cent in the June quarter to be up 1.6 per cent over the year, weaker than the 2.3 per cent annual growth in the Wage Price Index.</span>
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<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></div>
<div class="column"><strong><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Private sector credit</span></strong></div>
<div class="column">
<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Private sector credit (lending) </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">rose by 0.6 per cent in July after a 0.4 per cent gain in June. Annual credit growth</span><br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">rose from 5.9 per cent to 6.1 per cent.</span>
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<div class="column">
<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Housing credit </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">grew by 0.6 per cent in July after a similar rise in June. Housing credit is up 7.4 per cent on a year ago – the strongest annual growth since October 2010.</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Owner occupier housing </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">credit rose by 0.5 per cent in July to stand 5.3 per cent higher than a year ago – the fastest annual growth since April 2012. </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Investor housing </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">finance lifted 0.6 per cent in July – the slowest growth in almost two years (equal the rate in October 2013). Investor housing credit was up by 10.8 per cent over the year, down from 11.1 per cent annual growth in June.</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Personal credit </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">was unchanged in July after rising 0.3 per cent in June. Personal credit was up 0.9 per cent over the year.</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Business credit </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">rose by 0.7 per cent in July – the biggest rise in six months. Business credit is 4.8 per cent higher than a year ago.</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Term deposits </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">held with banks rose for the first time in six months, up by $4.7 billion in July to $511.3 billion. But term deposits are down 5.0 per cent on a year ago – the sharpest decline in 12 years. Term deposits have been regularly falling in annual terms for 20 months – the longest period in records going back almost 30 years.</span><br><p style="line-height: 1.3em;"><strong>What is the importance of the economic data?</strong></p>
<p><span>The quarterly </span><span>Business Indicators </span><span>publication by the Bureau of Statistics contains measures such as inventories, company profits and income from sales. Higher inventory (stock) levels can be either intentional or unintentional. If stocks are low and sales are expected to rise in the future, businesses will seek to build up stocks. However an unintentional build-up in stocks is where sales fall short of expectations, leaving more goods on the shelves than desired. If profits are increasing then this may point to increased capital spending and employment in the future. Rising profits are also a sign of favourable business conditions. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/08/31/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-31%20at%202.47.59%20PM.png" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p> <img src="/images/2015/08/31/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-31%20at%202.47.59%20PM.png" alt=""></p>
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<span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Private sector credit </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">figures are released by the Reserve Bank on the last working day of the month. Credit is separated into three categories – housing, other personal and business. Private sector credit is effectively the amount of loans outstanding in the economy. If growth in lending is strong then it suggests that credit from financial institutions is freely available, underlying demand for assets such as cars and houses is firm and that the price of credit (interest rates) is attractive.</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Housing Industry Association </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">releases data on the </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">sales of new homes </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">each month. The HIA collects the data each month from a sample of Australia's largest 100 home builders. The survey covers around 14 per cent of the home building industry.</span>
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<br><strong><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">New home sales</span></strong>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">New home sales fell by 0.4 per cent in July. Sales of multi-units fell by 4.2 per cent while detached house sales rose by 0.7 per cent.</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The Housing Industry Association reported: </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">“In the month of July 2015 detached house sales increased by 4.2 per cent in New South Wales. Detached house sales fell by 2.3 per cent in Victoria and by 4.9 per cent in Western Australia. Sales were close to flat for the month in Queensland (-0.6 per cent) and South Australia (-0.2 per cent).</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The annual peak for detached house sales has passed. Over the three months to July this year detached house sales fell by 2.8 per cent to be 3.4 per cent lower when compared to the three months to July 2014.</span>
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<div class="column">'<span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Multi-unit’ sales peaked in May this year and fell by 4.2 per cent in July following a decline of 2.9 per cent in June. Over the three months to July this year multi-unit sales increased by 8.3 per cent, but it was the strength of the May result that drove the quarterly outcome.</span>
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<div class="column"><strong><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</span></strong></div>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The Australian economy is evolving as best as can be expected. There is no need for the Reserve Bank to either lift rates or cut rates in the current environment.</span>
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<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Our review of the profit-reporting season showed that Corporate Australia remains in good shape. While profits are understandably down in mining and engineering sectors, they are up in consumer and housing-dependent areas. Bottom-line earnings are generally improving despite the fact that a large number of companies have taken the opportunity of favourable financials to write down the value of assets such as intangibles.</span></div>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Over the last seven years the Australian economy has experienced the biggest structural swings in a century. Mining investment and prices soared; resource prices retreated; mining investment was completed; mining production has ramped up to record highs; interest rates fell to record lows; and home building approvals hit record highs. Major swings and transitions have already occurred and the process is a long way from over.</span>
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<br><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The Reserve Bank can feel justifiably happy about how the process has gone so far. </span>
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<div class="column"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><span><em>Craig James</em></span><em> is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.</em></span></div>
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Investor home lending slows: Craig James

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<p>Australia's home ownership and affordability issue is likely to escalate unless governments at all levels start working in a coordinated manner, according to the Housing Industry Association.</p>
<p>In the submission to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics, HIA observed that reforms in tax, planning, construction infrastructure and land supply could improve the home ownership difficulty that Australia is facing.</p>
<p>"A number of the taxes imposed on the housing sector, and on new housing in particular, are inefficient. The Australia’s Future Tax System report, commonly referred to as the ‘Henry Tax Review’ found that among the vast array of taxes paid by the housing sector, about half of them were highly inefficient. In particular, the Henry Tax Review highlighted: </p>
<ul>
<li>stamp duties; the existing land taxes; </li>
<li>the effects of zoning on raw land prices; </li>
<li>excessive requirements in the building code; </li>
<li>the effects of planning delays and uncertainties in planning on risk premiums and finance charges of developers; and, </li>
<li>inefficient and excessive costs within infrastructure charges. </li>
</ul>
<p>"One prominent example is stamp duty on property conveyances. Stamp duty on residential property conveyances generated an estimated $9 billion in revenue in 2013/14. Research undertaken for the HIA by Independent Economicsdemonstrates that stamp duty is the most inefficient tax in Australia’s entire taxation system. </p>
<p>"As a tax on moving, stamp duty on conveyances discourages households from moving home when this decision may better suit their needs in terms of size, location or other amenities. Thus, households do not get the best use out of the available housing stock." </p>
<p>HIA argued that governments should support infrastructure funding and delivery, including access roads, sewerage systems, water pipes, electricity lines, telecommunications links and community facilities to provide a better environment for new developments.</p>
<p>"Currently, much of the infrastructure for new housing is paid for upfront by developers, with the costs being passed on to builders and ultimately new home buyers. This results in very detrimental effects on the affordability of both new and existing homes. </p>
<p>"Many infrastructure charges are set by local government, often with little transparency around how the charges are calculated and a lack of clarity from local government in terms of what they deliver in return for the charges.</p>
<p>"The development assessment (planning approval) process in Australia is not harmonised and remains fragmented across the states and territories. </p>
<p>"Whilst there is a degree of consistency in approach, there is a vast difference between jurisdictions, and more crucially between more than 500 local governments, with respect to which residential buildings require detailed assessments and which may be authorised using a single technical building approval. </p>
<p>"Significant variations also exist in the administrative processes which support the regulatory requirements for planning assessments. These variations see builders managing layers of red tape and costs to prepare applications and the associated time delays that go with preparing this information."</p>
<p>It is important government maintain land supplies in order to improve housing affordability. HIA has called on governments to create a body responsible for collecting and reporting on land information in an efficient timely manner.</p>
<p>"Australian continues to fail to develop a national reporting scheme for land supply which allows direct comparison of the pipeline for new housing. </p>
<p>"While some jurisdictions currently report information on land that has been ‘zoned’, land that has approval for subdivision and land that has been completed and is ready for sale, there is no holistic data collection, analysis and reporting mechanism to track and advise our nation’s land supply pipeline. </p>
<p>"Further, there are six key stages in the land supply pipeline and these should all be collected, analysed and reported. </p>
<p>"Rezoning of land within areas identified for urban development under metropolitan or regional strategies needs to be more streamlined, including significantly improved coordination of external agencies such as environmental approvals, bushfire management restrictions and the like, which local governments are not well resourced to manage."</p>
<p>Australia supports a national building code, with all state and territory jurisdictions adopting this through their respective regulations. But the way in which this code is adopted provides scope for local government to intervene through their planning approval processes.</p>
<p>"The Australian Building Codes Board has been seeking reforms in this area. However, there appears to be limited appetite by state jurisdictions to make significant changes that would effectively prohibit this conduct by local government."</p>
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Reform needed to curb home ownership difficulty: HIA

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<p>The Property Council of Australia is driving the development of retirement villages due to the level of Australians aged over 65 expecting to double in the next ten years.</p>
<p><span>A new report released by the Property Council in conjunction with research firm RPS, titled The Five A's of Retirement Living, </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">recommends a suite of actions to promote retirement villages investment that includes setting retirement living housing targets, fast-tracked approvals and making retirement living a permissible development in all residential zones.</span></p>
<p><span>Mary Wood, executive director of Retirement Living said by 2025, the demand for retirement living accommodation for people aged over 65 years is expected to double. But at the current rate of development, there simply will not be enough supply of retirement communities to meet demand.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">“The rapid increase in the number of older Australians needs to be matched by an increased determination by politicians and town planners to support the development of more seniors housing,” she said.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">“Purpose-built homes in retirement communities that are well located and expressly designed to support older Australians to be happy, independent and socially engaged is an important goal – but not one that our planning systems are well placed to achieve."</span></p>
<p><span>The report contains a suite of recommendations for state and local governments, including:</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span>Policies that incentivise the integration of villages with the general community; </span></li>
<li><span>Development yield improvements including car parking flexibility, landscape area reductions and lower open space infrastructure charges; and</span></li>
<li><span>Rate rebates for retirement village dwellings. </span></li>
</ul>
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Seniors housing crisis threat looming: Property Council of Australia

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<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Capital gains for the detached housing market continue to outperform the unit market, according to new figures released by CoreLogic RP Data.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Capital gains for the house market over the past 12 months are at 1.3%, with units at -0.6% </span></p>
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Canberra unit capital gains down 0.6%: CoreLogic RP Data  

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<p><span>Home values are still falling in Darwin, with the latest figures from CoreLogic RP Data showing the largest annual decline since early 2012. </span></p>
<p>The median house price is $570,000 and the median price for units $441,500.</p>
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