<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> recently welcomed residents into Uno and Duo, marking the completion of the penultimate stage of its $1.2 billion West Village precinct in Brisbane's West End.

There are only two opportunities remaining in the two-tower stage known as The Allere Collection. Duo is fully sold out, but two penthouses have just been released in the sister tower Uno.

The sprawling penthouses, measuring upward of nearly 350 sqm, have been designed by renowned architecture firm Rothelowman to focus on multi-generational living. One penthouse has four bedrooms, the other five, as well as several living areas. A second entry to the apartments make them ideal for those with several generations living under one roof, allowing for greater independence and flexibility within the same home, an increasingly sought-after feature among extended families looking to remain connected without compromising privacy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=5703]

Built by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/hutchinson-builders">Hutchinson Builders</a>, one of the best in the construction game, Duo forms part of a connected, pet-friendly vertical community that brings together two architecturally aligned towers with shared rooftop amenity.

Rothelowman Principal Jeff Brown previously described the design philosophy as centred on connection.

“When thinking of ways to nourish a soul one needs connection to self, to nature and to community,” Brown said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=204874]

That ethos is expressed through Duo’s rooftop offering, which includes a pool and heated spa framed by mature planting, a private dining room and residents’ lounge, and BBQ facilities. On the lower levels, residents have access to&nbsp;work-from-home spaces, a workshop, and a pet parlour.

The rooftop captures views across the Brisbane River and back toward the city skyline, positioning it as both a retreat and a social anchor for residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=364091]

Owners in Duo also have access to Uno’s rooftop amenities, effectively doubling the shared facilities within the community. At Uno, residents can use a second rooftop pool, additional private dining and entertaining areas, a teppanyaki grill, and the Paw Pavilion, an off-leash space designed for residents’ dogs. The reciprocal access reinforces the project’s “vertical neighbourhood” model, where common areas are intended to extend the footprint of each apartment.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=5710]

The Allere Collection sits within West Village, a 2.6-hectare mixed-use precinct just 800 metres from the Brisbane CBD. Delivered progressively since 2016 on the former Peters Ice Cream factory site, the masterplan now integrates heritage buildings, retail and dining, health and wellness providers, and open green space into an established inner-west address.

Sekisui has released the final stage of the development, Callista on Park, set to be completed in Q2 next year. With the first release now 95 per cent sold out, limited large-scale three- and four-bedroom residences remain, priced from $2.6 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=114215]

Joel Robinson

Allere Collection residents move in as multi-award winning West Village enters its final chapter

Construction is underway at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a>, the boutique residential development by <a>Excelon Projects</a> on Stephen Street in Yarraville, following the appointment of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/balmain-co">Balmain &amp; Co</a> as builder.

The milestone marks a significant step forward for the 53-residence project, designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/six-degrees-architects">Six Degrees Architects</a> with landscape architecture by Simone Bliss Landscape Architects, conceived around a strong focus on community, craftsmanship and connection to nature.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/excelon-projects">Excelon Projects</a>’ vision brings together 41 one, two and three-bedroom apartments and 12 townhomes arranged around a central landscaped garden, prioritising liveability in a low-rise, low-density format.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297728]

Open-air corridors, a light-filled lobby and generous setbacks are intended to enhance day-to-day comfort while reinforcing the development’s community-oriented design approach.

Car parking has been located underground to prioritise shared green space and pedestrian movement through the site, allowing the landscaped garden to form the central organising element of the development.

Interiors incorporate custom pieces by Melbourne makers including leadlight pendants by Adadaz, hand-turned timber door handles by Auburn Woodturning, and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen, embedding a layer of local craftsmanship throughout the homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297736]

Sustainability has also informed the design approach, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating. Passive design measures such as cross-ventilation and thermal mass aim to reduce reliance on mechanical heating and cooling, while rooftop solar panels will supply power to common areas and harvested rainwater will be reused for landscape irrigation.

Positioned along the quiet, tree-lined Stephen Street, Yarraville Green sits between Yarraville and Seddon villages, placing residents within walking distance of cafés, dining, boutique retail and the Sun Theatre.

Seddon Station is also a short walk away, ideal for residents seeking an inner-west address with strong amenity and transport connections.

Completion of Yarraville Green is anticipated in 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]

Balmain & Co appointed builder as construction begins at Excelon Projects’ Yarraville Green

A long-stalled Mermaid Beach development site opposite Pacific Fair, previously earmarked for a twin-tower project, is set for a fresh development push with plans for a major mixed-use residential tower.&nbsp;

Billionaire garbo Ian Malouf's development company, REMI Residences, is proposing Project Elegance, a 44-storey tower with over 270 residential apartments and 88 short-term accomodation units at&nbsp;2065 Gold Coast Highway, Mermaid Beach, on the corner of Mermaid Avenue.

Malouf paid $23.76 million for the 3,783 sqm site in 2022, six years after it traded for $34.1 million when it was bought by Hubei United Investment Group.

 
<img alt="First Look: REMI Developments plans major mixed-use tower with 360 apartments at stalled Mermaid Beach site" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" data-widget="image" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Mermaid%20Beach%20da%20podium.png?VersionId=yRYSSPItvCA5ZeQ49LlwkQYVn7OhEqIC" /><img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" draggable="true" height="15" role="presentation" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAPABAP///wAAACH5BAEKAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />

&nbsp;

The design statement by DKO says Project Elegance "represents a holistic response to its coastal and urban context. It draws upon site, climate, and landscape to create a composed architectural outcome that prioritises occupant experience, public interface, and long-term viability via vibrant and active uses."

They say the subject site&nbsp;occupies a distinctive island parcel with three street frontages and prominent visual exposure to passing visitors.

"This unique position allows the development to form a panoramic dialogue with water and city, setting the foundation for a climate-responsive, site-specific architectural expression.&nbsp;The podium base, inspired by the region’s sandstone headlands and coastal setting, and adopts a sculpted and grounded character that provides a stable counterpoint to the slender tower above."

&nbsp;

<img alt="First Look: REMI Developments plans major mixed-use tower with 360 apartments at stalled Mermaid Beach site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="4f088e10-6493-49d4-83cd-10fc039318ac" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Mermaid%20Beach%20da%20tower.png?VersionId=Sbglj0tNBqyvY5V_DlVH.bvjXi8kBbfl" />

Residents and guests would have access to multiple communal recreation levels. Plans include a shared recreation deck on level six, with a pool and three padel courts. There will be a residential-only pool on level seven, and an upper-level communal space only accessible by those buyers towards the top of the tower.

&nbsp;

Ground-floor commercial spaces are proposed to operate between 5am and midnight, contributing to an activated street frontage along the busy Gold Coast Highway corridor.

The site sits within the High Density Residential zone and a Light Rail Urban Renewal Area, where planning policy encourages higher-density development close to transport infrastructure and services. The planning report states the project aims to “ensure the efficient reuse of this centrally located property” and support the transformation of inner-city areas into “more vibrant, compact, interesting, connected and active” precincts.

&nbsp;

The proposal marks the latest attempt to unlock the high-profile parcel, which previously carried approval for the “Elegance” twin-tower development, a project that included more than 500 apartments but ultimately stalled after sales activity ceased in 2019.

REMI Developments has been increasingly active in the Gold Coast property market, with the Malouf-led group positioning itself around premium residential and lifestyle-focused projects as the region continues to attract both interstate buyers and international interest.

Malouf is one of Australia's most impressive entrepreneurs, having sold his waste business fore more than $500 million, having started only with a small truck at 18 years old.

First Look: Billionaire Ian Malouf plans Mermaid Beach tower

A State Significant Development proposal from Ecove Group could see two high-rise residential towers developed above an ALDI-anchored retail podium in Gordon.

The 28-storey towers, dubbed Eight 10, would become the tallest in the sleepy Upper North Shore suburb, which has been stirred by changes to the Low to Mid-Rise Housing Policy aimed at triggering greater density around transport hubs.

Ecove Group’s plans for 810 Pacific Highway, a 2,357 sqm site around 400 metres from Gordon railway station, include 180 apartments, 39 of which would be dedicated as affordable housing.

Architecture firm PBD said in its Design Report the site "presents an exciting opportunity to positively contributes to the surrounding context, enhances the overall urban experience."

<img alt="First Look: Ecove lodges State Significant Development plans for dual-tower “Eight 10” project at 810 Pacific Highway, Gordon" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e50141fa-fb0b-44b3-bf9b-c6d87b993c3b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Eight%2010%20podium.png?VersionId=YTgQPBxNnmQwr6x2AJSpVZ1COqa.9oLQ" />

The site previously received approval for a development comprising 56 apartments above retail in 2018.

PBD noted in its report that the planning&nbsp;context for the site has "evolved significantly since the original consent was issued."

In April 2024, the Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure (DPHI) identified the site as being located within a Transport Oriented Development (TOD) precinct. In parallel, Ku-ring-gai Council progressed a preferred planning framework for Gordon Town Centre, including proposed amendments to the Ku-ring-gai Local Environmental Plan 2015 (KLEP 2015).

<img alt="First Look: Ecove lodges State Significant Development plans for dual-tower “Eight 10” project at 810 Pacific Highway, Gordon" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="cf65fb26-a163-41ea-a4d3-8ddbeabd67e4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Eight%2010%20MAP.png?VersionId=vrQJzXSg3xRH.APBmtth5mA2adPmUPjc" />

PBD said the proposed development "responds to the amended KLEP 2015 and, in addition, seeks to utilise the floor space ratio and height incentives available under Chapter 2, Part 2, Division 1 of the State Environmental Planning Policy (Housing) 2021."

Late last year the first project in Gordon through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority was approved. That was for 106 apartments across two connected seven to eight-storey buildings.

Ecove plans 28-storey apartment towers in Gordon

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/graya">Graya</a> has set its sights on one of Brisbane’s scarce remaining riverfront development opportunities.

They have spent $17 million on an 810 sqm site across 16-18 Sandford Street, where it is planning SILK, a 15-storey apartment tower with just 22 apartments.

Planning documents outline a single tower designed to take advantage of the site’s northerly outlook toward the river and Brisbane CBD.

There will be eight two-bedrooms and 14 three-bedroom apartments on offer, each either half- or full-floor.

<img alt="Graya" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="059e1aa4-695c-4556-bafa-e8b5970c06f5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-03-12%20at%203.07.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=tEqwv_m8HYhrXSCStOMFHvGZZ5WgKfEx" />

&nbsp;

According to the Town Planning Assessment, the proposal "showcases a high quality architectural and landscape design outcome that is enhanced by the amenity of the Brisbane River… and provides a subtropical design response that celebrates Brisbane’s climate and lifestyle.”

Ground level includes landscaped communal areas facing the river alongside a gym and outdoor garden space, while the rooftop terrace will feature multiple leisure amenities like swimming pools,&nbsp;dining and barbecue facilities, as well as outdoor relaxation and yoga spaces.

<img alt="Graya" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="93982dbb-9f27-409b-a319-bd6f458f9ea7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-03-12%20at%203.09.05%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=gCaaW82pEBxMvXkVkEm4TC_o7_UXA82p" />

Architecturally, the tower form draws inspiration from the movement of water along the river edge. Design documentation describes the building as “a form sculpted by flow, shaped by shifting water,” with curved forms, varied materiality, and sculptural elements used to soften the building’s visual bulk. Sandstone, an iconic material throughout St Lucia, is reinterpreted through a mix of refined and split-face textures across the façade.

The Sandford Street frontage is intended to present an articulated façade featuring vertical landscaping and sculptural architectural elements, helping the tower integrate with the evolving high-density character of the riverfront strip while maintaining visual interest from both the street and river corridor.

Graya has continued to expands its footprint across South East Queensland, with projects under construction across both Brisbane and the Gold Coast.

GRAYA unveils plans for SILK in St Lucia

Housing Supply

A key reason why fundamental problems in the housing market are never solved is because people seek to treat the symptoms rather than the cause.

This is true in business and in life, as much as it is in the housing market. It makes little sense to take medication for high blood pressure if the underlying cause is that you&rsquo;re overweight because you have a bad diet and you don&rsquo;t exercise.

People who hover around the sidelines of the real estate industry, sniping at things they don&rsquo;t like, are highly prone to demanding actions on the symptoms of a perceived problem when they should be addressing the underlying causes of the symptoms.

Treating symptoms, while ignoring causes, has a tendency to make problems worse. Right now, we have spectators to the housing market demanding controls on landlords because rents are rising.

Other spectators want draconian measures from regulatory authorities because prices are rising, bringing howls of outrage about housing affordability.

In both cases, their targets are investors, always a popular choice as scapegoats when there&rsquo;s growth in housing markets and it&rsquo;s characterised in media as a crisis.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=94542]

The natural impulse of the sideline whingers is to demand a crackdown aimed at investors, because they&rsquo;re always seen as the villains.

The reality for the issue of rapidly rising rents is that we need to be encouraging investors, not attacking them.

The symptoms of the problem are rising rents, but the cause is a chronic shortage of rental properties.

In my four decades of researching and writing about housing markets, I&rsquo;ve never seen vacancies so low in so many places.

Anyone genuine in their concerns (rather than having a whinge or grandstanding for political reasons) should be asking why we have such a shortage and how we can fix that fundamental problem.

Rental control is a quick fix medicine to treat the symptoms, while ignoring the underlying market health issues. It will make the problem worse by exacerbating the fundamental problem, which is that Australians have been massively discouraged from becoming investors.

Rental vacancies are a function of the activity of property investors. When people buy dwellings and make them available for rental in large numbers, there are ample properties for everyone who wants or needs to be a tenant, and rents are likely to be stable.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=600]

But investors have been largely absent from the market in recent years. There has been a growing raft of disincentives to property investment over the past five or six years &ndash; including a series of negative measures by APRA, negative changes to depreciation rules and menacing political rhetoric at the last two federal elections, notably from the ALP which has been intent on scrapping negative gearing and increasing capital gains tax.

We&rsquo;ve also had state governments discouraging investors by hitting them with new taxes, fees and charges. The impact of all those different milestone events since 2015 has been a profound discouragement to investment. Some sections of media have characterised property investment as something akin to a criminal activity, abetted by politicians who have claimed the average investor is a rich greedy bastard who owns 15 or 20 properties and is ripping off the system &ndash; a blatant lie (the official data shows 75% of investors have average incomes and own only one or two properties) but lapped up by a careless media.

The short-term consequences include a rental shortage crisis and the long-term outcomes include fewer Australians who will be self-funded in retirement and will need to be supported in growing numbers by taxpayers. If governments respond to the twits on the sidelines and enforce controls on rental levels, rather than allow market forces to set them, that will be yet another disincentive to investors &ndash; and the problem will get worse.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=100322]

Limiting how much a tenant has to pay in rent is worthless if the prospective tenant can&rsquo;t find a vacant property at any price. That&rsquo;s the reality at the moment. There are so few vacant properties that there are dozens of applicants for every listing and people who desperately need a home keep missing out. Rents are rising because people are offering more than the asking rent in an effort to out-bid their competitors, not because landlords are asking extortionate rents.

And, as an aside, increasingly businesses can&rsquo;t fill job vacancies because willing applicants can&rsquo;t find anywhere to live. The only answer to this problem is to increase the supply of rental properties. And that means introducing measures that encourage property investors.

That will elicit further howls of indignation from the chattering economists and other sideline snipers, but it&rsquo;s the only way to fix this problem.

Rental control is a quick fix medicine to treat the symptoms, It will make the problem worse by exacerbating the fundamental problem, which is that Australians have been massively discouraged from becoming investors

terryryder

Why is there a housing shortage and why will government controls make it worse? Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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GUEST OBSERVER
Despite repeated warnings around apartment oversupply and settlement risk, the number of dwellings being approved for construction across the capital cities remains unquestionably strong.
In July 2016, there were 17,380 capital city dwelling approvals which was the highest number of approvals since October 2015.  It was also the third highest monthly number of capital city dwelling approvals on record.  Despite a recent slowdown in capital city dwelling approvals there was a substantial rebound in July 2016.
<div>
<h3>Monthly and 6 month average number of capital city house and unit approvals</h3>
<a href="/images/2016/10/04/2016-09-26--image1.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/10/04/2016-09-26--image1.png" alt="">
<h3>6 month average number of capital city dwelling approvals</h3>
<a href="/images/2016/10/04/2016-09-26--image2.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/10/04/2016-09-26--image2.png" alt="">
Looking at the split between houses and units over the month, there were 6,482 houses and 10,898 units approved for construction across the combined capital cities.  There have now been more units approved for construction than houses across the combined capital cities for 22 consecutive months.  Over the 12 months to July 2016, 57.9% of all capital city dwelling approvals were for units.
<h3>6 month average number of capital city house approvals</h3>
<a href="/images/2016/10/04/2016-09-26--image3.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/10/04/2016-09-26--image3.png" alt="">
<h3>6 month average number of capital city unit approvals</h3>
<a href="/images/2016/10/04/2016-09-26--image4.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/10/04/2016-09-26--image4.png" alt="">
Over the past year, there have been 76,356 capital city houses and 104,835 capital city units approved for construction.  In each of: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Canberra there have been more units than houses approved for construction over the past year.
Sydney - there were 54,667 dwelling approvals over the past year which is 7.3% higher than the previous year.  This figure comprised of 16,360 house approvals (+3.2% yoy) and 38,307 unit approvals (+9.1% yoy).
Melbourne – over the year to July 2016 there were 57,428 dwellings approvals which was -0.2% lower over the year.  25,880 of these approvals were for houses and 31,548 were units, with the year-on-year changes recorded at +11.2% and  -7.9% respectively.
Brisbane – The 30,901 dwelling approvals over the past year consisted of 11,210 houses and 19,691 units.  Overall approvals are 4.0% higher over the year with house approvals -1.4% lower and unit approvals 7.4% higher. 
Adelaide – there were 6,119 houses and 3,899 units approved over the past year resulting in 10,018 total approvals.  Over the past year, dwelling approvals are 10.9% higher with house approvals up 9.3% and unit approvals 13.5% higher.
Perth – the number of annual dwellings approvals fell by -24.3% over the year to 20,963.  Over the year, the 14,202 house approvals were -26.7% fewer than the previous year and the 6,761 unit approvals were -18.6% less than a year ago.
Hobart – there were only 989 new dwellings approved for construction over the year, 799 of which were houses and 190 units.  House approvals were -22.7% lower year-on-year and unit approvals were down -10.8%.
Darwin – there were 1,304 dwelling approvals over the past year which was -12.7% lower year-on-year.  Over the year, the 657 house approvals was -22.8% lower than the previous year and the 647 unit approvals were 0.6% higher than the previous year.
Canberra – there were 1,129 houses and 3,792 units approved for construction over the past 12 months.  There were -8.1% fewer house approvals than over the previous year while unit approvals were 24.7% higher over the year.
Despite policy makers and analysts (including CoreLogic) voicing concerns about the level of housing construction currently underway, particularly for units, approvals in capital cities generally remain unquestionably strong.  From here it will be interesting to see how many of these approvals immediately progress to commencement and ultimately through to a completion.  Tighter lending conditions for both developers and purchasers for off-the-plan units is likely to result in a larger proportion of approvals that don’t proceed through to a finished product.  The data also reiterates why purchasers of off-the-plan units in major capital city housing markets should be very selective with regard to the types of units they purchase.
Importantly, oversupply concerns are most visible across specific and well defined geographic areas and product types. CoreLogic’s Settlement Risk Report identifies the Melbourne inner city and Brisbane inner city as the two markets where the largest amount of unit supply is likely to be delivered over the next 24 months.
Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.
</div>
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Capital city dwelling approvals rebounding: Cameron Kusher

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<div>
<div>
<div>
Based on the relationship between demonstrated housing demand and advertised stock levels we are seeing relatively more stock available for sale compared to demand for that stock across the capital cities at the moment.
The months of supply figure compares the number of unique properties advertised for sale to the number of transactions in the market. The analysis provides unique insight into how long it should take to clear the volume of stock currently available for sale. It is important to note that off-the-plan housing stock is typically not advertised for sale as individual properties and as a result is not included within this analysis.
Across the combined capital cities, there is currently 4.4 months’ worth of residential properties being advertised for sale. As the first chart shows, the months of supply is currently higher at this point of the year than it has been each year since 2012. The increasing months of supply is largely due to the slowing rate of transaction activity rather than a spike in properties available for sale, indicating demand has diminished relative to advertised supply levels which is pushing the figure higher. <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/resources/property-pulse/article-graphs-img/2017-05-15--image1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/19/rsz_kusherchart.png" width="700" height="425">
Sydney – there is currently 3.0 months of established housing supply available for sale across the city. The city has seen consistently low months of supply over recent years however, the figure is currently at its highest level for this time of year since 2012.
Melbourne – established housing stock currently sits at 4.2 months of supply for the city. Supply levels remain quite low but are at their highest levels for this time of year in five years.
Brisbane – the city currently has 5.1 months of established housing stock available for sale. The months of supply figure is higher than it has been at this time of year for each of the past five years.
Adelaide – there is currently 3.7 months of established housing stock available for sale. Although stock levels are higher than they were at this time over the past two years, stock levels were higher over the three years previous to that.
Perth – at the moment there is 8.3 months of established housing stock available for sale throughout the city. This is a high months of supply figure relative to other capital but it is well down on the 8.7 months at the same time last year.
Hobart – the months of supply figure for Hobart is the lowest it has been for many years. There is currently 4.1 months’ worth of established stock available for sale which is down from 5.0 months a year ago and the 7.2 months the year previous.
Darwin – across the city there is currently 6.7 months of established housing supply which is well down on the 10.5 months at the same time a year ago and 7.5 months over the previous year.
Canberra – there is currently 2.6 months of supply of established housing stock for sale in Canberra. The months of supply level is the same as what it was a year ago but lower than the previous years highlighted.
Based on these figures it seems that the supply of stock for sale relative to demand is increasing in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane. Meanwhile demand is outweighing supply in Hobart and Canberra leading to a decline in the months of supply. In Perth and Darwin supply continues to dramatically outweigh demand but the balance is slowly improving. In Adelaide there has been little change in months of supply over recent years suggesting the market is in relative equilibrium.
Cameron Kusher is a research analyst for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/" target="_blank">here</a>.
</div>
</div>
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Fewer buyers results in greater months of supply: Cameron Kusher

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<div>Now the construction sector is expanding again per AIG.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Some good analysis from AIG that is well worth a read - apartment construction is an obvious strong point, which makes the drag on second quarter GDP by dwelling construction something of a mystery.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Perhaps the residential construction industry is operating at or close to its full capacity?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In any case, I expect dwelling construction to contribute to the economic growth in the third quarter.</div>
<a href="/images/2015/09/09/PCI.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/09/09/PCI.jpg" alt="">
 
All three of AIG's Performance Indices are now in expansion territory - manufacturing, construction and services.
<a href="/images/2015/09/09/AIG.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/09/09/AIG.jpg" alt="">
Source: AIG
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Construction expands in August: Pete Wargent

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GUEST OBSERVER
CoreLogic’s Accumulation Index looks at the total returns from the housing asset class factoring in the change in the value of the dwelling and the gross rental return from the property.
The CoreLogic Accumulation Index shows that nationally, the total returns from the housing asset class over the 12 months to August 2017 were 13.2%.  Because the return is calculated from value change as well as the gross rental yield, you tend to find that houses have a superior value growth performance while units offer superior rental returns.  
Over the past year, total returns for houses nationally have been recorded at 13.5% compared to a 12.0% return for units.  Over the 10 years to August 2017, the annual total returns for housing nationally have been recorded at 8.8%, split between 8.9% for houses and 8.5% for units.
<h3 class="text-align-center">Annual total returns from the housing asset class, National</h3>
Click to enlarge
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/20/2017-09-18-image1.png" alt="">
Total housing returns have generally been superior in capital cities to regional markets however, in the 2008 and 2010-11 downturns, returns slumped by a greater magnitude in the capital cities.  Over the past decade, combined capital city annual total returns have been recorded at 9.3% with returns of 9.5% for houses and 9.0% for units.  Over the 12 months to August 2017, total returns have been recorded at 14.0% for houses and 12.3% for units.  Like the national chart, the recent data for the combined capital cities shows that total returns have started to slow.
<h3 class="text-align-center">Annual total returns from the housing asset class, combined capital cities</h3>
Click to enlarge
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/20/2017-09-18-image2.png" alt="">
Regional markets are also beginning to see total returns slow however, the returns over recent years have generally not been as strong as those across the combined capital cities.  Over the past 12 months, total returns have been recorded at 11.7% for houses and 10.2% for units.  Over the past decade, annual total returns for housing outside of the capital cities have been recorded at 7.0%, 7.2% for houses and 5.6% for units.
<h3 class="text-align-center">Annual total returns from the housing asset class, combined regional markets</h3>
Click to enlarge
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/20/2017-09-18-image3.png" alt="">
Hobart has recorded the strongest annual growth of all capital cities over the past year and it also has some of the highest rental yields which has meant it has had the strongest total returns.  Total returns for houses over the past year have been above 10% in each of Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra.  For units, double-digit total returns have been achieved over the past year in each of Sydney, Melbourne and Hobart.  Units in Darwin were the only capital city property type to achieve negative returns over the past year.
<h3 class="text-align-center">Annual total returns from the housing asset class, individual capital cities, to Aug-17</h3>
Click to enlarge
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/09/20/2017-09-18-image4.png" alt="">
With capital growth now appearing to have peaked and rental yields at record lows it is reasonable to expect a further moderating of total returns over the coming months.  
The other important thing to consider when looking at total returns is the calculation of the rental income.  Although rents are increasing in many areas, the assumption in a gross rental yield calculation is that the property is occupied for 52 weeks of the year.  In some parts of the country this is increasingly difficult to achieve and it can eat into the investment returns.
The total returns data, particularly for the past decade, shows why housing investment has been so popular and hit record highs.  
Returns have been fairly consistent and less volatile than equities however, the ongoing strength and the evidence of a recent slowdown should give investors pause for thought.  
With mortgage rates starting to increase for investors, record-high levels of new housing supply and value growth slowing, housing investors shouldn’t assume that the types of returns seen over recent years will continue to be replicated going forward.
Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Total returns from housing are starting to ease: Cameron Kusher

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Housing undersupply not only in Australia but globally: Nerida Conisbee

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
The NSW Premier's priorities for the next four years do not include housing supply.
The previous priorities for the NSW Premier for 2015 - 2019 included a number of priorities around housing supply, but these have been left off the 2019 - 2023 priorities.
While many of the Premier's new priorities are laudable, the absence of any priority around housing supply seems to signal a lack of interest in how the state will house population growth in an affordable manner.
Premiers Priority 7 is about reducing street homelessness by 50% by 2025, and this is a laudable priority to pursue.
Urban Taskforce member Toga has led the way in this area with their Addison Project in Randwick, which provides accommodation free of charge in an old motel that is awaiting development.
Another Urban Taskforce member, PAYCE, supports the Sydney Street Choir and they run programs that help with homelessness.
The last round of Premier's Priorities included 'Making Housing More Affordable' (Including target housing completions per year) and "Faster Housing Approvals' and ‘Accelerated Rezoning for Housing' but none of these have been included in the latest priority list.
While housing value has decreased in the last few years, there is now a big housing approval shortage that will inevitably lead to an under supply in the years ahead. This will reduce the number of new homes required for population growth, and inevitably lead to housing prices going up again.
The priorities from the last four years that referred to housing supply related to the planning system seem to have been replaced by priorities for greener public spaces and for greening the city.
While these are worthwhile areas to aim for they do not compare to the economic importance of housing supply and housing costs.
Clearly how housing is managed in a time of high population growth is an important policy issue for the NSW Government that should be measured. As the Premier in her media Release said, 'What gets measured gets done'.
CHRIS JOHNSON is the Urban Taskforce CEO
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Berejiklian's priorities leave out housing supply: Chris Johnson

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The building of inner city apartments in Melbourne and Sydney has slowed to a dangerous level, according to The Australian columnist, Robert Gottliebsen.
He suggests governments are making the looming unit shortfall worse.
"Not only is substantial employment and business activity at stake in both states, but in Sydney the NSW government has dreamt up an unbelievable plan that will halt apartment construction in many areas, potentially for years," he wrote.
He says apartment building has slowed dramatically because communities and councils across the city are making it as hard as possible for high density living projects to find a way through the approval processes.
"Normally such decimation of an industry is caused by demand, but in June 2019 demand is not the problem."
The supply in both cannot be generated to meet looming demand.
He noted at the moment in both cities there is excess supply but demand momentum helped by the return of Chinese to the market has already lifted Sydney apartment prices by 10% after they had fallen by 20 to 30%.
"During 2020 the demand-supply ratio will change markedly."
In both Sydney and Melbourne it takes about three years for a development to get through the approvals, while in other states the apartment approval process takes less than a year, he said.
In Sydney the current approval mess means that production of apartments is now down 40%.
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Governments making the looming 2020 Sydney and Melbourne apartment shortfall worse: Robert Gottliebsen

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Sydney’s latest five-year housing supply forecast, written by the NSW Department of Planning and Environment, anticipates a solid pipeline of construction.
NSW Department of Planning and Environment Executive Director, Justin Douglas, said the new forecast shows almost 192,000 new dwellings will be built across the city during 2018/19 to 2022/23.
Douglas said Sydney needs to build 725,000 new homes in the next 20 years, or around 36,000 per annum, to accommodate a growing population.
"We’re forecasting to meet that demand over the next five years, with just over 38,000 homes per year on average planned for the city," he said. 
He believes it's good news for first home buyers as supply levels are strong and there are more purchasing options.
The forecast shows the top five local government areas where additional new homes will be built over the next five years are Parramatta (22,100), Blacktown (18,300), Sydney (14,850), Liverpool (11,950) and The Hills (11,700).
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/7/Supply%20hotspot.JPG" alt="">
"The forecast helps to inform decisions on future land use zoning to ensure there’s a solid pipeline of new housing supply," Douglas said. 
"It takes account of current residential developments under assessment, approved but not commenced construction, and those under construction, as well as analysis of likely future development under current zoning and planning controls.
"The preparation of the forecast has involved significant input from local government, the development industry, service providers, and state agencies."
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/6/7/local-government-area-forecast-map-2400x1698.jpg" target="_blank">here</a> to enlarge
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/7/local-government-area-forecast-map-2400x1698.jpg" alt="">
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Parramatta and Blacktown top Sydney’s official housing supply pipeline forecast 

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EXPERT OBSERVATION 
The proposed changes by APRA to its guidance on restrictions on borrowers repayment obligations will help the supply of new housing.
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has proposed changes to its guidance to banks and Authorised Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) that will increase the maximum borrowing capacity for borrowers in relation to housing.
The regulator believes that the measures that were introduced at a time of heightened risk can now be reduced.
Rather than using an interest rate of 7% ADIs would be permitted to set their own minimum interest rate floor for use in serviceable assessments. APRA does still propose a buffer on interest rates and while stating that risk has reduced APRA is still concerned about high house prices, low interest rates, high household debt, and subdued income growth.
APRA also commented that there was too big a difference emerging between owner-occupier principal and interest loans compared to investor interest-only loans.
The Urban Taskforce is very supportive of APRA’s proposed changes as clearly house prices have dropped significantly in cities like Sydney and this is reducing confidence in the new housing market.
The re-election of the Morrison Government means negative gearing and capital gains tax will not change so more certainty is coming into the housing market. This greater certainty along with APRAs changes are positive signals for the housing sector.
To fully lift housing supply to the levels needed will also need support at state government level to ensure that levies on new homes are not excessive.
In Sydney the state government’s proposal to lift the cap on local infrastructure contributions from July 2020 could add $60,000 to the cost of each home or apartment. All levels of government must do their bit to ensure housing supply matches the need.
CHRIS JOHNSON is the Urban Taskforce CEO.
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