The residential transformation of St Kilda Road is set to continue into with more new apartment plans for the sought-after boulevard.

Wing Tai Asia has lodged plans for a major residential tower at 464-466 St Kilda Road, replacing the former VACC House with an 18-storey mixed-use development designed around a retained heritage podium and a sculpted contemporary tower.

The proposal, prepared under Victoria’s Significant Residential Development with Affordable Housing pathway, would deliver 325 apartments and ground-floor retail across the prominent 4,653 sqm boulevard site in Melbourne’s St Kilda Road North Precinct.

The project centres on the adaptive reuse of the site’s heritage-listed VACC Building, an eight-storey office designed by Bernard Evans that has occupied the address for decades. Planning documents state the development would involve “carefully dismantling and conserving off-site the original metal fabric of the podium visible from St Kilda Road,” before reinstating it as the defining frontage of the new scheme.

Above the restored podium, Wing Tai is proposing a curvilinear residential tower. The scheme includes 172 one-bedroom apartments, 63 two-bedroom apartments, 66 three-bedroom apartments, and 24 four-bedroom apartments, alongside two ground-floor food and beverage tenancies fronting St Kilda Road.

The tower has been designed with substantial articulation and variable setbacks to minimise perceived bulk and maintain view corridors along the boulevard. Urbis, which prepared the planning report, said the design “has been significantly articulated through a curvilinear design” with “an interplay with materials, façade expression and depth” to create visual separation and visual interest.

The proposal also includes 254 basement car spaces, landscaped pedestrian links connecting St Kilda Road and Queens Lane, and a biophilic landscape strategy featuring canopy trees, raised planters, cascading greenery and a glass oculus pool overlooking the eastern frontage.

Planning documents confirm the $270.1 million development will contribute 3 per cent of project costs to the Social Housing Growth Fund as part of the application process.

Wing Tai acquired the St Kilda Road property in 2018 alongside Abacus Property Group for $95.38 million, before later consolidating ownership of the site. The property previously served as the Victorian Automobile Chamber of Commerce headquarters for around 60 years.

The transformation of the St Kilda Rd boulevard is already beginning to materialise, with a number of high-profile projects recently completed, launched, or approaching launch as developers continue to back the long-term appeal of the precinct.

Among the most notable recent completions is Louise by Samuel Property Group, just off the strip on Queens Lane, the same pocket Hirsch &amp; Faigen recently launched The Queensbury. Mirvac is too on the same street with The Albertine, which is approaching completion.

Dexus recently secured approval for its slice of St Kilda Road, while Gurner also has approved plans for the precinct.

Joel Robinson

Wing Tai unveils 325-apartment St Kilda Road tower on former VACC House site

Malaysian developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> is the latest to jump into St Leonards booming Transport Oriented Development precinct.

The developer, which has previously delivered Sapphire by the Gardens apartment development in Melbourne, identified the Atchison Street site in 2023. It filed a Scoping Report around 12 months ago, and now has revealed the designs for the new&nbsp;40-storey mixed-use tower.

The State Significant Development Application covers <a href="https://next-portal.urban.com.au/projects/14650/summary">20-22 Atchison Street</a>, a 1,374 sqm site positioned between St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the project would deliver 181 apartments, above a four-storey commercial podium, five basement levels, and new public domain works along Mitchell Street. The apartment mix comprises 35 one-bedroom apartments, 39 one-bedroom-plus-study apartments, 85 two-bedroom apartments, and 22 three-bedroom residences.

The proposal has been lodged as a shop-top housing development under the NSW Government’s TOD planning pathway, which allows increased density around key transport infrastructure. The site sits within the recently rezoned Crows Nest Accelerated TOD Precinct.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b799673d-48e2-46b0-801a-0e33a9330100" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20site.png?VersionId=dPh0UfwfaHpbFL1R7H1cbZNbIW0CHbCC" />

SP Setia acquired the Atchison Street site as part of its continued expansion into the Australian apartment market. In comments made to City &amp; Country (The Edge Malaysia) in 2023, SP Setia President and CEO Datuk Choong Kai Wai described the acquisition as “a strategic move” aligned with the group’s post-pandemic market recovery strategy.

“Our target for this exceptional development is local and overseas buyers, including first-home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Choong said.

The tower has been designed as a slender vertical form rising from a mixed-use podium, with COX Architecture positioning the development as a response to the evolving St Leonards and Crows Nest skyline.

“The purpose of the project is to facilitate the delivery of high-quality housing at a strategically located site and deliver a built tower outcome that is consistent with the desired future character of St Leonards and aligns with the TOD controls,” the design report stated.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b1a85eee-76f7-436c-a6da-73ba827b9b13" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20entry.png?VersionId=dA9jHGPMcm.dDbwk4QfxqWiY5bfh3UVt" />

The podium would incorporate retail uses fronting Atchison Street, commercial tenancies, landscaped communal areas, and pedestrian improvements along Mitchell Street. Vehicle access and loading would be consolidated via Atchison Lane.

Residents would have access to more than 665 sqm of communal indoor and outdoor spaces, while the development proposes 96 parking spaces across five basement levels.

The proposal also includes a commitment for 10 per cent of residential floor space to be allocated toward affordable housing through a monetary contribution.

COX said the tower form responds directly to the emerging high-density character of the precinct while seeking to maximise solar access, cross ventilation, and outlook from apartments.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2163f85c-f63b-4be3-aafa-f8763976cec5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_5.png?VersionId=WiAmtIKJ6.ZQ41EtYEQ1fol7AeorKBlL" />

“The building is orientated towards north,” the Apartment Design Guide compliance report noted, adding that the tower’s slim form was driven by the constrained inner-urban site dimensions.

The design also incorporates landscaped setbacks and communal open space at podium level, intended to soften the interface with surrounding streets and improve pedestrian amenity.

The project adds to a growing wave of redevelopment proposals reshaping St Leonards and Crows Nest following the opening of the Sydney Metro City line and the NSW Government’s push for higher-density housing around major transport nodes.

Last week Stockland filed plans just down the road. They want to build a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/601-pacific-highway-st-leonards-nsw-2065">52-storey tower on Pacific Highway</a>.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">First look: Stockland plans 52-storey, 538-apartment St Leonards tower&nbsp;</a>

First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has revealed plans for a new mixed-use tower at 10 Dangar Street, Wickham, advancing a proposal that would reshape the southern gateway to Newcastle’s city centre with one of the city’s tallest residential buildings.

The State Significant Development proposal, now on exhibition, seeks approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bowline-10-dangar-street-wickham-nsw-2293">43-storey tower</a> immediately adjacent to the Newcastle Interchange. The project would deliver around 200 apartments, including 42 affordable housing dwellings, alongside 99 co-living units, a 171-room hotel, retail space, and new public domain integrated through the site.

The scheme marks a significant escalation of plans previously approved for the site. Urban Property Group took over the prominent 2,904 sqm parcel, where excavation and demolition had already commenced under an earlier consent for a 14-storey mixed-use development.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="58a96dd9-407f-4d20-86b4-94e4bfeef74b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20podium.png?VersionId=LGlf08pdFGAZDzvx_CXC4XakHNZRuEE0" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, the tower has been conceived as a landmark transit-oriented development anchored to the Newcastle Interchange precinct. The proposal includes 245 build-to-sell apartments across a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom residences, as well as two penthouses. Fifteen apartments and one operational unit are earmarked for NDIS housing. The co-living component would add a further 99 units, while the podium would accommodate retail uses and hotel facilities.

SJB said the site presents “a valuable opportunity to anchor the precinct by setting the standard for design, active ground planes and character at the key southern gateway.”

The architecture responds directly to the site’s position beside major transport infrastructure and within one of Newcastle’s fastest-evolving urban renewal precincts. The tower form sits above a sculpted podium designed to frame new public spaces, including a through-site pedestrian link connecting Station Street to Hannell Street, landscaped plazas, and activated retail edges.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a7bd6ff0-f7db-4ce8-a6dc-ea56e72c6149" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20lanne.png?VersionId=xzf39VADyhj7zBQY2I9fx9vI62u2tuSb" />

The design report describes the project as part of the broader transition of Wickham into “a vibrant, high-quality mixed-use urban precinct” that leverages proximity to the station, open space, and regional connectivity.

A detailed public art strategy has also been prepared for the development. The strategy positions the project as “a transit-oriented development of state significance at the gateway to Newcastle’s city centre” and outlines a series of integrated artworks responding to Newcastle’s industrial and transport heritage.

Creative Road’s curatorial framework for the project, titled Unveil, draws on “stratified surfaces, carved volumes, and light-filled apertures” while referencing Newcastle’s transformation from an industrial city into a contemporary education and technology hub.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="77a882bb-14b1-4d28-99ff-9438e39508c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20site.png?VersionId=cevgo_vN0eKPK78P8YcEu3mKPLkpFqE7" />

The proposal is being advanced through the NSW Housing Delivery Authority pathway after being declared State Significant Development in June 2025. The accompanying scoping report states the development aims to “maximise the site’s proximity to the Newcastle Interchange by delivering transit-oriented development” while increasing housing supply and affordable housing provision within the Newcastle LGA.

Urban Property Group’s plans align with the long-term strategic vision established under the Wickham Master Plan, which identified the interchange precinct as suitable for substantial uplift in height and density. The current proposal would significantly intensify that vision, positioning the tower among the tallest developments proposed for Newcastle.

The site sits immediately north of the Newcastle Interchange, bounded by Dangar Street, Hannell Street, and Charles Street. It is surrounded by a rapidly growing cluster of residential towers and mixed-use projects that have emerged following the completion of the light rail and transport interchange.

First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s latest tower at Wickham interchange

Bottega House has completed settlement of a landmark riverfront site in Macquarie Street, St Lucia, representing its first major Brisbane development.&nbsp;

Positioned on the banks of the Brisbane River, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/180-macquarie-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">premium site at 180 Macquarie Street</a> features uninterrupted river frontage in one of Brisbane’s most tightly held residential precincts.&nbsp;

The proposed development, currently under assessment with Brisbane City Council, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/mim-design">Mim Design</a> and will deliver a boutique collection of premium residences positioned specifically for owner occupiers and downsizers.&nbsp;

The residences are set to redefine luxury apartment living in the area, with a focus on architectural quality, refined finishes, landscape integration and elevated amenities including curated wellness facilities, resort-style pools and recreation spaces rarely seen in the local market.&nbsp;

Exclusive sales for the project will be led by Keenan &amp; Byrne, ahead of an anticipated launch later this year.&nbsp;

Bottega House Managing Director Nick Malloch said the project reflects the group’s ambition to deliver a highly curated residential offering within one of Brisbane’s most tightly held precincts.&nbsp;

“This is an incredibly rare riverfront opportunity and one we have approached with a long-term perspective,” Malloch said.&nbsp;

“Our vision from the outset was to create a boutique collection of residences that feel more like private homes than traditional apartments, with generous proportions, refined finishes and exceptional amenity throughout."

Malloch says there is a&nbsp;lack of premium owner-occupier stock of this quality in the market, particularly for downsizers wanting space, privacy and a true lifestyle offering without compromise.&nbsp;

"Demand is expected to be strong given the scarcity of premium riverfront opportunities of this nature within Brisbane’s inner-west."&nbsp;

Bottega House secures landmark riverfront site in St Lucia 

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The arrival of the first piling rig officially marks the commencement of construction at SIERA’s new beachside apartment development, Exhale, in Northcliffe.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/exhale-surfers-paradise-8-enderley-avenue-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Exhale</a>, a glass-encased tower featuring 54 large-scale apartments at 8 Enderley Avenue, is SIERA’s third Gold Coast development. It follows the recently completed PIPIS Bilinga beachfront project, which achieved suburb-record prices, and the soon-to-be-completed Chevron Island development, Tapestry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359603]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/siera">SIERA</a> Founder and Managing Director Brent Thompson said the arrival of the piling rig represented a significant milestone for the development, which is scheduled for completion in late 2028.

Over the next month, around 260 piles are expected to be installed as work progresses on the basement structure. The building is anticipated to rise above ground level early next year, before unveiling its sculptural glass curtain wall, developed in collaboration with specialist façade engineers.

“The façade was designed to maximise panoramic coastal views while creating a distinctive architectural identity,” Thompson said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=355935]

Designed by BDA Architecture, Exhale will comprise just 54 two- and three-bedroom residences across 26 levels, a level of low-density living rarely delivered in this beachside pocket between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach.

The project has been conceived as a resident-only building, with no short-stay accommodation permitted. SIERA says the model is intended to appeal to long-term owner-occupiers rather than transient holiday demand.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=361052]

Residences have been designed with large-format layouts and expansive glazing, with most apartments featuring more than 30 metres of glass frontage to maximise natural light and ocean views.

The amenity offering spans two levels and centres on wellness and lifestyle, including a heated magnesium pool, sauna, yoga and Pilates studio, gymnasium, private dining facilities, cinema lounge, and dedicated surfcraft storage.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359607]

More than half of the apartments have already sold. SIERA has also opened a sales gallery for Exhale at its Chevron Island commercial premises, near its Tapestry tower and the site of its second Chevron Island apartment development, which is slated to launch in early 2027.
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[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112661]

SIERA kicks off construction at Northcliffe tower Exhale

House Values

This time has come for apartments to reign over houses.

It feels like for the last decade, houses have been the ones growing exponentially (that&#39;s because they have) - while apartments, while still seeing solid growth, have been playing second fiddle.

The latest data however out of property data house CoreLogic shows apartment values rose faster than houses in more than half of a pool of suburbs across the country in the past three months, as stretched affordability and lower borrowing capacity forced buyers to opt for high-density homes.

Rising rents are also expected to lure more investors to the unit market and help fuel further price gains this year.

Of the 899 suburbs analysed, units outperformed houses across 489 markets in the last three months.

Compared to a 12 month analysis, only 180 of the same 899 suburbs saw apartments outperform houses.&nbsp;

&quot;This suggests it is a more recent phenomenon where unit values would out-perform houses,&quot; CoreLogic advised.

&quot;It is also in line with the nature of downturns historically, where houses tend to have more volatility, and deeper declines than what we may see in the unit segment.&quot;

Across the capital cities, growth rates have generally been stronger in unit markets further from the CBD.

Sydney&#39;s Newtown was one of 20 Greater Sydney suburbs which saw the unit market outstrip houses. Among others were Darlinghurst, Darlington and Zetland near the CBD, and Caringbah South and Woolooware in the Sutherland Shire area.

In Woolooware, unit values&nbsp;are two and a half times cheaper than houses. Units rose&nbsp;4.9 per cent over the last three months to a median $1.036 million, while the 2.5 per cent house price declines took the median house price to $2.7&nbsp;million.

Sydney-wide, the median house price is now 70 per cent more expensive than units.&nbsp;

Melbourne&#39;s Kensington saw the biggest difference in the house and unit market, with units rising 7.2 per cent and houses remaining flat.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=28968 project_image_fid=195528]

Port Melbourne and Balaclava also saw big swings in favour of the unit market.

Melbourne&#39;s&nbsp;houses are 59 per cent more expensive than units -&nbsp;a drop from 61 per cent earlier this year, while the ACT showed a slight drop with&nbsp;house prices 73 per cent higher compared to units -&nbsp;down one per cent from last year.&nbsp;

Looking ahead, the increased overseas migration, and the relative affordability of units compared to houses, as well as the recent upswing in new investor financing seen in February and March, will likely help insulate the apartment sector.

<h2>The biggest differences in Sydney markets</h2>

<h2><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/syd.png"><img alt="" height="614" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/syd.png" width="1558" /></a></h2>

<h2>The biggest differences in Melbourne&nbsp;markets</h2>

<a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2022-05-25_at_11.10.17_am.png"><img alt="" height="616" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2022-05-25_at_11.10.17_am.png" width="1556" /></a>

<h2>The biggest differences in Brisbane markets</h2>

<h2><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2022-05-25_at_11.12.36_am.png"><img alt="" height="616" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2022-05-25_at_11.12.36_am.png" width="1556" /></a></h2>

&nbsp;

Of the 899 suburbs analysed, units outperformed houses across 489 markets in the last three months

The suburbs where apartments are outperforming houses

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Sydney and Melbourne should prepare for a big drop in housing value, according to finder.com.au.
Finder asked experts and economists to weigh in on ANZ Bank forecasting a 15-20% fall from peak house prices in Sydney and Melbourne.
The majority of experts surveyed (15/21, or 71%) said they agreed with ANZ’s assessment.
Graham Cooke, Insights Manager at finder.com.au, said that economists’ predictions of drops in the property market have become more dramatic.
“ANZ’s suggested 15% drop would see $145,500 and $118,500 wiped off the average house price in Sydney and Melbourne respectively," said Cooke. 
“A 20% drop would see nearly $200,000 disappear from the equity of Sydney homeowners,” Cooke said.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/12/5/Finder%20Table%201.JPG" alt="">
Interestingly, economists were evenly split as to whether the housing downturn would result in more or fewer renovation projects.
“There is however solid agreement that there’ll be fewer new homes built in 2019,” Cooke said.
The Finder Survey showed that two-thirds of experts (14/21, or 66%) expect less construction, with 38% of experts predicting there’ll be at least a 10% drop in construction of new homes in 2019.
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Sydney house values could plummet by nearly $194,000: Finder

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The Brisbane property market chugs along, largely under the radar in the national headlines, although NSW purchasers are increasingly attracted by its cheaper prices.
CoreLogic has taken a look at the relationship between housing market growth in the two cities to determine whether the emerging slowdown in Sydney could translate into an acceleration in home buying in Brisbane.
The gap between median home values sits at a price differential of 85% - Sydney's $909,000 median versus $490,000.
The three decade average premium of Sydney dwellings over Brisbane prices has been 55% indicating that the current gap remains attractively above the long-term average.
Over the past 20 years the average gap has been 56% and at 41% during the past decade.
Such a price gap has made Queensland a popular migration destination for people choosing to leave New South Wales.
This has been the case especially following past Sydney surges.
The average quarterly number of persons migrating from New South Wales to Queensland sits at around 12,000 persons per quarter.  
The peak migration to Queensland at around 18,000 per quarter took place in 1989, and again 2002.
The wide gap in the cost of housing between the two cities was evident in both 1989 and 2002, CoreLogic researcher Cameron Kusher noted.
At its 1988 peak, Sydney dwelling values were 104% higher than Brisbane and in 2001, 107% higher than Brisbane.
Kusher concluded the past trends suggest that Brisbane could be well positioned for a pick-up in value growth as the Sydney housing market slows from its current peak.  
But he says there have been instances where value gap surge hasn’t been followed by a price surge in Brisbane.
So a lift in Brisbane activity and prices is no certainty, Kusher concluded, adding that although interstate migration out of NSW is increasing, it is yet to hit anything close to those two previous highs.
He also noted that people leaving NSW for Queensland won't necessarily settle for Brisbane as much as they have in the past.
Both the Gold and Sunshine Coasts are much bigger cities in their own right than they were in 1989 and 2002.
Ignoring the troubled Brisbane apartment market, Hotspotting website founder Terry Ryder recently advised the Brisbane house market was generally buoyant with some suburban precincts even recording double-digit annual growth for which Sydney has been renown for in recent years.
Ryder nominated the leading precinct as the Moreton Bay Region in Brisbane’s far north, where affordability, infrastructure and proximity to jobs nodes are key factors.
The Redcliffe Peninsula, which is part of the Moreton Bay Region LGA, had received particular impetus from the completion of the Moreton Bay Rail Link, a long-awaited piece of transport infrastructure.
Logan City, the mirror image of Moreton Bay in the south of the Greater Brisbane Area, had been a market leader in the past two years, though had perhaps faded a little of late.
Ipswich City, the south-western precinct with similar qualities to Logan City, had many suburbs now delivering good price growth.
This article first appeared in the Daily Telegraph.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Brisbane housing market chugging along

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Houses in Newcastle, the NSW Central Coast and Coffs Harbour are now at the peak of the market according to Herron Todd White's houses property clock for November.
The clock puts houses in the Gold Coast, South East NSW, and the Sunshine Coast as approaching peak of the market.
Houses in Bundaberg, Townsville, Emerald and South West WA sit at the bottom.
<a href="/images/2016/11/07/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-07%20at%2010.32.18%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/11/07/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-07%20at%2010.32.18%20AM.png" alt="">
 
Industrial property in Brisbane and Melbourne was approaching the peak of market place in Herron Todd White's October 2016 industrial property clock.
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Houses in Newcastle, Coffs Harbour and NSW Central Coast at peak, Gold Coast nearing top: HTW property clock

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A report by SQM Research on Labor's negative gearing policy states dwelling prices will fall and sales turnover and stamp duty revenue will dip should the changes be legislated.
House prices could fall as much as 15 per cent during the four years it will take for the market to absorb the Labor Party's planned negative gearing changes in the worst-case scenario.
The average decline was suggested as around 4 per cent, according to SQM.
Renters would be shielded for the next few years from higher monthly rents, SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher said.
The report, titled Labor's Negative Gearing Policy - A Market Viewpoint' suggested average acquisition yields will rise up to 5.5 percent.
SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher said there will be a market impact if Labor’s negative gearing policy is legislated, and given the forecast of initial negligible rental growth suggests a correction in the housing market of -3 percent to +1 percent in FY2018, -8 percent to -3 percent in FY2019 and -4 percent to -2 percent in FY2020.
"The positive end of the range takes into account a response rate cut of 50 basis points by the RBA. The negative end of the range assumes no rate cuts in response," he said.
"The total adjustment in the housing market is forecasted to last between two to four years with most of the adjustment phase occurring within three years. Thereafter the market would likely potentially return back to equilibrium, having ‘priced-in’ the loss of the tax concession.
"Our analysis suggests the market impact would last by around three years with sales falling significantly in year one and a correction to take affect with dwelling prices falling the most in the second year. We think there would be a possible response to this event with the RBA cutting rates, thereby mitigating some of the potential price falls. We don’t think the market will crash per say, but it will be felt by the economy. We then expect the market to return to equilibrium from year three.
"We strongly encourage Labor to consider some of the investor issues, particularly surrounding the distortion their policy may create on pricing of off-the-plan developments and the likely losses investors in those properties would face come resale time to those who won’t have the tax concession.
"While we take the view that negative gearing reform is a good thing, such reform should be done as part of a wider property tax reform that should include a broad based land tax and the elimination of stamp duties. Such reform should have a phase in period of up to three years. Doing so would reduce the risks of a significant downturn which would likely have wider ramifications on the economy.”
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Labor's negative gearing plan to trigger price fall: SQM

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Capital city dwelling values are yet to show declines, according to CoreLogic RP Data's Hedonic Home Value Index, March 2016.
Perth and Darwin are the only cities to record negative value movements over the past year, according to CoreLogic RP Data head of research Tim Lawless, who said over the past twelve months, house values rose by 6.6 per cent compared with a 4.7 per cent increase in unit values
"Declines (Perth and Darwin) from their recent peak which was more than twelve months ago have been modest at just 4.6 percent. 
"Sydney and Melbourne growth rates are moderating after a strong cycle of growth, while other cities are recording minimal shifts higher and lower."
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Capital city dwelling values yet to show declines: CoreLogic RP Data

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The pace of home value growth across Brisbane has been improving, with dwelling values rising by 4.1 percent over the past twelve months.
The latest NAB housing insights report noted due to the higher pace of growth recorded in Sydney and Melbourne since 2009, Brisbane home values have become comparatively very affordable with the typical Brisbane house now showing a median value that is approximately $441,000 lower than Sydney’s and $144,000 lower than Melbourne’s. 
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<img src="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%201.50.44%20PM.png" alt="">
The slower conditions compared with the larger states of New South Wales and Victoria can likely be attributed to softer economic conditions as the mining sector winds down. More recently though we have seen consistent improvements in the services sector of the Queensland economy, with rising tourism numbers and retail spending providing support for coastal and lifestyle based housing markets as well as the Brisbane housing market. 
The regional areas of the state have shown a weakening in the rate of home value growth, dragged lower by value falls in the region’s most heavily dependent on mining related activities. Values in Mackay were 8.6 percent lower over last year, while Fitzroy values had fallen 3.7 percent and values across the Central West region were down 6.2 percent. Conversely, key lifestyle oriented markets such as the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast are seeing home values trending higher.
<a href="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%201.48.47%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%201.48.47%20PM.png" alt="">
 
The Brisbane housing market has been somewhat undersupplied in previous years’, yet housing price performance has lagged notably behind that of Sydney and Melbourne. Consequently, the comparative affordability makes the Brisbane market an enticing alternative for foreign investors, while pent up demand will keep local buyers in the market. An improving outlook for the Queensland economy will be another factor supporting prices as low interest rates and AUD depreciation help to jump start non-mining segments of the economy, feeding into better labour market outcomes. 
However, population growth is expected to continue slowing in Queensland, while the unemployment rate is likely to remain above 6% over the near-to-medium-term, which will limit gains in property prices. Also, similar to Sydney and Melbourne, residential construction is picking up rapidly in Brisbane, which should address some of the pent-up demand and cool the market. 
<a href="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%201.52.25%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%201.52.25%20PM.png" alt="">
Similar to what was seen across all three of the major eastern markets, the NAB Property Survey showed a sharp deterioration in market sentiment in Queensland for Q4 2015, although forward expectations suggests the weakness may be only temporary. Nevertheless, respondents downgraded their house price expectations significantly, as well as their rental expectations – in contrast to NSW and Vic where rental expectations rose. 
NAB expects house price growth in Brisbane to outperform other capital cities, but to slow to 3 percent in 2016 (from 4.3 percent in 2015).
On a more positive note, foreign buyers are responding as expected to the relative affordability (and availability) of Brisbane property, with demand apparently picking up in the quarter according to the Survey. Overall, NAB expects house price growth in Brisbane to outperform other capital cities, but to slow to 3 percent in 2016 (from 4.3 percent in 2015).
However, there are a number of risks stemming from the uncertainty around foreign demand and the impending spike in housing supply. These risks are particularly prevalent in the unit/apartment market, where prices are already expected to fall 0.6 percent in 2016 (from 1.8 percent in 2015).
 
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Brisbane house values to increase by 3 percent, units to fall by 0.6 percent: NAB

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Homes in the Sydney suburbs of Hunters Hill, Canada Bay and Ku-ring-gai are the top council areas with the most valuable real estate assets, according to a new report by Aussie Home Loans and CoreLogic RP Data.
The report found homes in Hunters Hill have an average equity level of 72.3 percent or $878,481, then Canada Bay at 70.2 percent and Ku-ring-gai with 69.2 percent.
Mortgaged homes across NSW have an average of 56.6 percent equity or $358,763.
Aussie executive chairman John Symond said the data confirms that NSW property has been a great wealth creator for owners, compared with other asset classes and property in other states across Australia.
“I believe the best investment both for security and lifestyle is still real estate and I see no reason why this will change over the next decade, especially in view of the lower interest rate climate, lack of housing supply and continuing population growth”, said.
"Fast growing Sydney council areas dominate the survey as property prices have risen at a compounding rate of 8.3 per cent over the last 20 years. 
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<img src="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%204.47.59%20PM.png" alt="">
Councils in the Upper Hunter Valley had the lowest average home equity within New South Wales, especially Muswellbrook and Singleton.
CoreLogic RP Data research director Tim Lawless said Sydney is leading the state in home values as the population grows in the city, while many regional centres are facing neutral or falling population levels.
“The figures show that areas close to Sydney’s CBD have generally performed better as the population becomes more compressed with more medium to high density dwellings”, he said.
Average level of home equity – state by state percentages and dollar values
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<img src="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%204.45.19%20PM.png" alt="">
Download the free <a href="https://www.aussie.com.au/home-loans/property-reports/home-equity" target="_blank">Aussie/CoreLogic Housing Equity Report here</a> or visit aussie.com.au. 
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Sydney's Hunter's Hill, Canada Bay lead councils with most valuable real estate

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NSW’s Coffs Harbour has reached the peak of the market cycle, while Melbourne is approaching its peak, according to valuation firm Herron Todd White’s latest property clock for houses, which also discusses gentrification.
The HTW clock for March is a simple broad brush means to suggest where property markets are and what direction prices are moving in.
<a href="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%2010.02.45%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/03/10/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-10%20at%2010.02.45%20AM.png" alt="">
Coffs Harbour joins Dubbo, Newcastle and Central Coast at the top of the property cycle for houses, making it a clean sweep for NSW at the top.
Canberra, and the twin cities of Albury and Wodonga have entered a rising phase, while Sydney remains as a market starting to decline, joined by Horsham and South West Western Australia, shows the clock.
The Coffs Coast is made up of several small coastal and rural communities and has not yet experienced significant gentrification. 
There are several well established and sought after localities which continue to experience redevelopment or modernisation of old to new, however, these have not been gentrified, more they have always been prime locations. 
In Coffs Harbour, localities of this type that have experienced new development include Sawtell and the Jetty/ Harbour precinct and the northern beaches localities of Moonee Beach, Sapphire Beach and Emerald Beach. 
Valla Beach to the south and the popular rural township of Bellingen are also areas to which people tend to be attracted. The township of Woolgoolga (25 kilometres north of Coffs Harbour) is also experiencing new development within the central location close to the CBD and beach. Several older style cottages along the headland and central town positions are being purchased and redeveloped for more upmarket housing or higher density development. 
This is also coupled with increasing commercial activity seeing further development of the cafe and restaurant scene attracting increased popularity as a holiday destination and permanent address. 
There is one locality where the future for gentrification would appear to be the brightest - Park Beach (about five kilometres from Coffs Harbour’s CBD). This area was established in the 1970s with modest low-rise holiday and unit accommodation buildings and several single residential homes scattered throughout. Along the esplanade (Ocean Parade), higher density development has taken place with medium rise unit buildings, the landmark tavern known as the Hoey Moey and Park Beach Caravan Park making this area a popular tourist location. 
The locality has suffered from a history of negative social features and while these have been largely addressed, a stigma remains which has reduced broader market appeal. The advantage of this locality is the beachside position with major shopping facilities such as Park Beach Shopping and Home Base centres located nearby. This area is divided into two sections by a distributor road known as Hogbin Drive to the east and west. 
Although the whole locality has seen considerable new development in the past two years, predominantly through the construction of new townhouse complexes, the major development of new high-rise buildings to the east of Hogbin Drive has seen the area lift in stature. 
The area is predominantly made up of unit complexes with limited single residential dwellings available. The entry point in the area for a modest two-bedroom unit is around $150,000 to $180,000 with average prices ranging from $200,000 to $250,000. 
New three-bedroom townhouse units (west of Hogbin Drive) sell for $360,000 to $390,000, while modern units east of Hogbin Drive are priced between $420,000 to $460,000. The new high-rise buildings start at around $400,000 on the lower levels and up to $1 million plus for penthouse units. 
Among the capital cities, the ACT property market has undergone significant gentrification over the past five years with the emergence of Braddon’s Lonsdale Street precinct and the Kingston Foreshore as two of the most sought after residential locations, say HTW.
In Melbourne, the growing popularity of Footscray is being driven by revitalisation of local amenities, an increase in shops and restaurants, local council initiatives, affordability of property and significant volume residential developments.
The current median house price for the December 2015 quarter was $765,000, a slight decrease from $780,000 in September 2015 and the median unit price was $366,667 which has remained steady since September 2015. 
Among the other movers is Gladstone, which is approaching the bottom of the market, while the rural region of Gippsland in Victoria is shown as rising.
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Coffs Harbour joins 3 NSW cities at the peak: March HTW house property clock 

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How are these for solid property investment fundamentals: detached houses cost well under the national average price of $475,000 ~ rental yields of 6% plus ~ population growth rate in line with the national average ~ controlled rates of new housing supply ~ average household income well above the national average ~ average age lower than the national average. How many locations can you think of with better credentials?
For the fifteen year period ending December 2014, the average annual change in median house values in this location was 6.5% and, when combined with median yields of 6.4%, the total return gives this location a ranking which puts it amongst Australia’s Top 40% (209th out of 550 local government jurisdictions). In fact, the historical performance of this property market since the year 2000 was on par with Sunshine Coast and Ballarat, better than the highly desirable South Perth, equal to or better than twenty-nine of Melbourne’s thirty-one LGAs, and better than all of Sydney’s forty-three LGAs. 
Keen to know where this location is?
The main industries supporting the economy of this location are tourism, agriculture, and the defence force. The outlook for these economies at this juncture in the Asian Century, where an unprecedented rise in the number of people about to enter the middle class beckons, is super exciting. It’s little wonder that the Australian federal government and lots of wealthy foreign investors are actively pursuing funding options for new infrastructure investment in the region. 
With current rents all but covering the holding costs on an investment property in this location, just imagine the potential for future capital growth. 
<a href="/images/2015/11/26/900_KatherineNT_PropertyMarket_1999-2014.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
 <img src="/images/2015/11/26/900_KatherineNT_PropertyMarket_1999-2014.jpg" alt="">
If this hasn’t got the motivated property investor licking their lips I don’t know what will!
World champion athletes Cadel Evans and Leisel Jones were born in this location is probably insufficient information for people to correctly guess the name of this location. Ok, I’ll cease with the suspense. The location that I have described is the Northern Territory regional town of Katherine!
Now, I bet your investment appetite has suddenly dissipated. 
I have just created a real-life set of circumstances to illustrate that too few property investors have an ability to understand and remain focused on the important fundamentals that count most when selecting a location to invest in. The fundamentals described above are real; they are impressive. And if, when I revealed the name of this location, it was a suburb within a capital city I suspect this report would be promptly shared with so many family and friends that it would accelerate within Google’s search engine faster than one could say ‘hotspot’.
Instead of making decisions on investment fundamentals, almost all property investors will immediately be drawn to a map and their personal feelings upon receipt of the name of a location. Often without even realising it, the heart immediately over-rules the head and we begin to ask ourselves questions like ‘would we live there?’ Whether we personally would live in Katherine, Kingston or Kogarah is as subjective as selecting T-bone, trout, or tofu from the restaurant menu.
Located 320 kilometres (a 3 hour drive) south east of Darwin, Katherine is positioned along the nationally significant freight link connecting Darwin to Adelaide. In addition to the national highway, a railway line connects also runs past Katherine. 
Katherine is the Northern Territory’s fifth most populous local government authority (after Darwin, Palmerston, Alice Springs, and Litchfield). 
Katherine has developed in to the primary service centre for a total regional population of 24,000 and an area almost the size of Victoria. Essential social infrastructure is well established, including modern retail facilities, hospital, schooling, sports grounds, parks and gardens as well as several Commonwealth and Territory Government services.
The main industries supporting Katherine’s economy are agriculture, tourism, defence, government (primary industries), and mining.  
RAAF Base Tindal, located adjacent to Katherine civilian airport, is significant for Australia’s air combat defence and fast jet base. The RAAF personnel and families contribute approximately 2,200 people to Katherine’s population and this is expected to increase with the potential of the Delamere Bombing Range and the Bradshaw Range.
The region is adventure territory, offering unique attractions such as Kakadu and Nitmiluk national parks, Katherine Gorge, ancient (indigenous) rock paintings, caves, fishing and camping experiences. Katherine is exceptionally popular for the ‘grey nomads’ (the fast growing number of baby boomers who enjoy long and affordable holidays while taking in the unique sights that Australia offers). 
With approximately 300,000 visitors per year, the retail facilities of Katherine are more than adequate. 
Plentiful water supply and vast open planes makes this prime agricultural land. The environment consists of a warm, tropical climate, spectacular gorges and rainforests, and heavy monsoonal rains in summer. Flash flooding from the Katherine River can occur although it is quite sheltered from the potentially destructive cyclonic winds.
This is one of Australia’s biggest beef cattle regions. Vegetables, mangoes, hay and other field crops are also grown. The NT Department of Primary Industries employs approximately 40 people in Katherine in predominantly research-related roles. With the rapid rise of Asia’s middle class and the resultant huge demand for agricultural products (especially proteins), the Top End is attracting increasing interest from the federal government and foreign investors for investment in primary infrastructure such as irrigation, roads, and rail.
Once a prime gold mining region, the main mined commodities today are lead, zinc, limestone and gravel. 
Several primary schools, a 600-student public high school, an expanding Catholic college, and Charles Darwin university campus cater for the educational needs while the Katherine District Hospital services the health needs of the region
Katherine has already outperformed most high profile property markets over the last fifteen years. Current fundamentals would suggest that the potential for the next fifteen years is better again. Property investors who are unable to challenge the status quo and focus on fundamentals, not the name, are only short-changing themselves.
<a href="/images/2015/11/26/700_darwin.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/11/26/700_darwin.jpg" alt="">
 
SIMON PRESSLEY IS MANAGING DIRECTOR OF <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/" target="_blank">PROPERTYOLOGY</a>, AN REIA HALL OF FAME INDUCTEE, PROPERTY MARKET ANALYST, ACCREDITED PROPERTY INVESTMENT ADVISER, AND BUYER’S AGENT. PROPERTYOLOGY WORKS EXCLUSIVELY WITH PROPERTY INVESTORS TO PURCHASE PROPERTIES IN STRATEGICALLY CHOSEN LOCATIONS ALL OVER AUSTRALIA.
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