National developer Time &amp; Place appears to have settled on a design for its long-anticipated Potts Point project.

After several years of back and forth with local council and the NSW Government, the developer, which has spent close to a decade targeting the former The Chimes site on Macleay Street, has now progressed its plans.

Following a concept design submission last year by SJB, Time &amp; Place has lodged a full State Significant Development Application with the NSW Government, this time for a scheme designed by Kerry Hill Architects.

<img alt="Time &amp; Place" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="504d2a27-d65f-4227-8189-1e35e3376e62" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-20%20at%209.38.24%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=_XqFKATYHF30KnVByPxhaI9UBzmkmfn7" />

The 16-storey proposal includes 44 apartments, 21 of which will be build-to-sell. These will comprise 19 three-bedroom apartments and two four-bedroom penthouses.

More than 50 per cent of the development will be dedicated to affordable housing, with 23 one- and two-bedroom apartments delivered in line with the NSW Government’s Housing SEPP.

Kerry Hill Architects said the proposal is driven by a strong response to place.

“Our proposal for a new residential building for Potts Point in Sydney is driven by a deep consideration of place,” the practice said in its submission.

“This operates on multiple levels, including a landscape approach that reinstates endemic flora of the Sydney peninsula and provides a ground-floor garden for residents, reconnecting the site to its pre-European history. A brick podium further strengthens this relationship to context, integrating planting and fine bronze detailing that references the predominant material language of Macleay Street.”

The three-level podium will be topped by a communal resident space, featuring a covered pool designed to receive direct afternoon sun in winter, a neighbouring reflection pool, dining and event areas oriented to maximise sunset views, and an outdoor exercise zone.

<img alt="Time &amp; Place" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8d3eedc1-babb-44a3-bd96-d8a42f3adf1f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-20%20at%209.37.48%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Ii7.4dvqNatu5GQi6bhqNjAswrMB998." />

The design also incorporates highly crafted shopfronts and a clearly defined residential entry to activate the street. Juliette balconies to the podium residences will provide passive surveillance and a strong sense of habitation.

Above, the larger apartments are housed within a light-coloured masonry and bronze tower.

“The tower steps back in a series of gently curved volumes that reference the rich Art Deco context of Macleay Street,” the architects said. “Carefully calibrated vertical fins frame the views while providing privacy and a sense of refuge.”

<img alt="Time &amp; Place" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="6fab60f4-3140-4469-b47a-48c781e0a30b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-20%20at%209.28.44%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=e5XxrM3kzdASdKlcIACHAHbOSZhSKC9O" />

Time &amp; Place has been one of the most active developers nationally in the last 12 to 24 months. Late last year they completed&nbsp;The Queensbridge in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/southbank-vic-3006">Southbank</a>, a mixed-use tower with 353 apartments and a hotel. They are currently selling Park Modern, 246 apartments near the famous Botanic Gardens in South Melbourne.

The developer has approval for The Burke, a mixed-use project in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/glen-iris-vic-3146">Glen Iris</a>&nbsp;being delivered in partnership with Woolworths. The 60 apartments, positioned above a new Woolworths supermarket, are expected to launch in the coming months. Time &amp; Place is also progressing plans for the redevelopment of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/northcote-vic-3070">Northcote</a>&nbsp;Plaza, and have recently submitted plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/vic/time-place-unveils-plans-22-storey-south-melbourne-tower">22-storey tower</a>, another in South Melbourne.

In&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/sydney-nsw">Sydney</a>, the developer has two projects in Manly: Two Tides, which is currently under construction, and an ultra high-end building on&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/shoreline-manly-beach-89-90-north-steyne-manly">North Steyne</a>, fronting the beach. It is also continuing to work through the redevelopment of The Chimes building on Macleay Street in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/potts-point-nsw-2011">Potts Point</a>, as well as Marlborough House, the redevelopment of the original David Jones warehouse building in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/surry-hills-nsw-2010">Surry Hills</a>.

Joel Robinson

First look: Time & Place settles on design for The Chimes, Potts Point redevelopment

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/develotek">Develotek</a> is joining the likes of TOGA, Deicorp, and One Global Capital, betting on a boom in Five Dock ahead of the 2032 mooted opening of the Five Dock Metro Station.

Develotek, which is currently developing Bianca on the Drummoyne waterfront and has plans approved for a tower in Chatswood, has filed a State Significant Development Application for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/79-81-queens-road-five-dock-nsw-2046">two-building project in the evolving Kings Bay precinct</a>.

The buildings, one more boutique just five storeys and the other 26 storeys, will rise from an 3,158 sqm site across&nbsp;79–81 Queens Road and 2–8 Spencer Street, will home 134 one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments, above ground-floor retail and five basement levels of parking.

A key component of the proposal is the inclusion of 15 per cent of residential floor space as in-fill affordable housing, unlocking additional height and density under the Housing SEPP.

<img alt="First Look: Develotek lodges State Significant shop top housing project in Five Dock precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3ee31bf7-75ba-4bc5-b190-49885193219f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/podium_2.png?VersionId=730UbrduuwK3C1sO28RHjiLPUPqXqjkh" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a>, the scheme adopts a podium-and-tower configuration, with a five-storey street wall along Queens Road transitioning to a 26-storey tower set deeper into the site. The ground plane prioritises activation and permeability, with retail frontages and a new through-site link connecting Queens Road to Spencer Street.

At the upper levels, the tower façade has been conceived using a modular system to support prefabrication and reduce construction waste, while improving build efficiency. The splayed form draws on the geometry of surrounding industrial rooftops, reinterpreting the area’s heritage in a contemporary expression while also helping to reduce solar heat gain to east and west-facing apartments.

“This project aspires to transform a former industrial site into a connected, resilient and people-focused urban community, grounded in Country, shaped by history, and designed to enrich everyday life within the evolving Kings Bay Precinct,” said John Walsh, Principal at Plus Studio.

The proposal reflects the broader transformation of the Kings Bay Precinct under the Parramatta Road Corridor Urban Transformation Strategy, marking a shift from its industrial past to a higher-density, mixed-use urban neighbourhood.

<img alt="First Look: Develotek lodges State Significant shop top housing project in Five Dock precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="abde734c-1e31-4a97-a1d2-fa9bcf31c380" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/building%20podium.png?VersionId=fNUupP6u146yEytQT31kKVRxwtACgPpP" />

Develotek is emerging as an active participant in the state’s affordable housing-led uplift pathway. The developer recently secured approval for a 34-storey mixed-use tower in Chatswood, where it similarly leveraged the in-fill affordable housing provisions to increase scale and deliver a 101-unit scheme with dedicated affordable apartments.

Their entry into Five Dock places them alongside a growing list of developers targeting the suburb ahead of its anticipated transport uplift, with Sydney Metro set to extend into the area. Major players including TOGA, Deicorp, and One Global Capital are all progressing large-scale precinct-style developments nearby, collectively reshaping the low-rise industrial fabric into a higher-density mixed-use corridor.

The Five Dock site sits within the Kings Bay Precinct, a key renewal area under the Parramatta Road Corridor Urban Transformation Strategy, where planning controls support significant uplift tied to affordable housing delivery. The consolidated 3,158 sqm site is currently occupied by low-rise industrial uses, including warehouses and vehicle workshops, earmarked for transition.

First Look: Develotek joins in Five Dock apartment boom

Ascot’s Racecourse Road continues to be a hive of activity for Brisbane developers.

Following Fortis and GRAYA, which are both preparing new projects along the key strip connecting Kingsford Smith Drive and Eagle Farm Racecourse, local developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/skyhold">Skyhold</a> is the latest to lodge plans for its own development.

The group is proposing One One Two Residences, a boutique project comprising just seven apartments, named after its address at 112 Racecourse Road.

The proposal outlines a five-storey building on an 810 sqm site. The built form slightly exceeds the four-storey expectation under the neighbourhood plan, aligning instead with the emerging character of the strip. As the planning report notes, “the locality is characterised by a transition toward medium-rise residential development, with a number of recent developments… above the stipulated height limits.”

<img alt="First Look: Skyhold lodges plans for boutique Ascot apartments as Racecourse Road revival gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ec577631-8c51-4163-960e-e7b3a77d655b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Ascot.png?VersionId=iAzQ46D4Uu1UqiS0mVnlcy9jeFKBpJIj" />

Designed by 111 with landscape architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/paul-bangay-garden-design">Paul Bangay Studio</a>, the scheme adopts a layered architectural approach with strong articulation and a subtropical response. Deep balconies, integrated planters, and a mix of masonry and textured finishes define the façade, while upper-level setbacks reduce perceived bulk. The architectural statement describes “a series of horizontally expressed layers, defined by deep balconies and a consistent robust material palette,” aimed at delivering a refined streetscape presence.

Apartments are configured as large-format residences, including multiple three-bedroom layouts and a full-floor penthouse, supported by ground-level parking. A rooftop terrace will provide communal amenities including a pool and landscaped recreation areas. The design prioritises privacy, natural ventilation, and greenery, with planting integrated across all levels to soften the building form and contribute to the public realm.

<img alt="First Look: Skyhold lodges plans for boutique Ascot apartments as Racecourse Road revival gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="1e1219bd-b45a-4d7f-bbc7-7207d7b2fc94" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Ascot%20entry.png?VersionId=JIoUOLMgQ5xWpEF0etEI3ffIoIVjD7gO" />

The proposal sits within the Racecourse Road precinct, a key mixed-use spine in Ascot that continues to attract renewed development interest.

Later this year national developer Fortis will launch its own boutique development, which, pending council approvals, will be 16 apartments designed by Koichi Takada Architects, just down the street.

“Racecourse Road is going through a massive revitalisation and we’re proud to be a part of that transformation,” said Fortis's QLD General Manager, Dan Boman.

Nearby, GRAYA is advancing its larger-scale The Gallery, a mixed-use shop-top housing project designed to act as a “catalytic project for Racecourse Road.”

First Look: Racecourse Road, Hamilton revitalization to continue as Skyhold joins the party

Twenty-five years after launching one of Australia’s most visionary and successful masterplanned beach communities - Casuarina on the Northern NSW Tweed Coast - developer Consolidated Properties Group has unveiled plans for an $800 million sister project located 10 kilometres south, at Cudgera Creek near the coastal town of Pottsville.

CPG has taken the wraps off Caldera, a 78-hectare masterplanned village that builds on the legacy of Casuarina and aims to help address Northern NSW’s coastal housing shortage via the delivery of 550 homes built in a sustainable manner and addressing affordability and housing diversity, while also focusing on architectural and ecological merit.

Caldera is being brought to life by the same creative team that delivered Casuarina, led by Consolidated Properties CEO and chairman Don O’Rorke, Hutchinson Builders chairman Scott Hutchinson and renowned urban designer Brian Toyota, of architectural practice Bureau Proberts.

CPG has lodged a rezoning application with Tweed Shire Council for the Caldera site, which has been designated since 1991 as the Dunloe Park Urban Release Area, the final land release area within the Pottsville locality and one of only four remaining growth areas along the entire Tweed coastal strip. Preliminary plans for Caldera feature a 13-hectare retail and commercial precinct at the core of the village, surrounded by meticulously planned residential areas comprising around 550 homesites.

The retail hub will be anchored by a Coles Supermarket and will offer 7000 sqm of retail and 23 commercial lots designed to serve the local community and bring together curated shopping, dining, gym, wellness, childcare, medical and other essential services.

<img alt="Cons prop" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fca7dc71-4b71-45b1-bb04-5a60bd7158d0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-20%20at%208.34.04%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=vAKwIvLuwmTKj6blHJRYIEeXS_8lCgUx" />

The project will create more than 1500 jobs over its development cycle, according to its economic modelling, and significantly address the shortage of employment land in the Tweed.

The residential areas will encourage a sense of community via a cohesive urban design that encourages walking, cycling, enhanced resident connectivity and reduced reliance on cars via bike paths and pedestrian-friendly streets.

Homesites will include a range of options from premium ridge-top homes to affordable housing options, ensuring a community that is inclusive of different income levels and designed to appeal to a wide demographic from baby boomers to families, singles and professionals. Architectural and planting covenants on home building will support the village’s built form and protect its character.

O’Rorke says CPG intends Caldera to be a model project delivered efficiently in a dedicated urban release area and ‘very much for this region and for this time’.

“Our vision for Caldera is to create a modern coastal village with its own unique northern NSW identity,” he said.

“Building on our legacy of Casuarina, 25 years on, this new village is designed to stand apart, offering the future of modern living, balancing the natural beauty of the region with contemporary amenities and convenience.

“Caldera will be more than just a place to live - it will be a welcoming, inclusive coastal village neighbouring Pottsville that invites visitors and embraces new residents. With its strong ties to the land, vibrant lifestyle and sense of place, Caldera will set a new standard for village living in Northern NSW.”

<img alt="CPG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9a5a7cf4-5f76-4ddf-bd05-c8fb77d0a787" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-20%20at%208.33.59%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=J1CzCGD7kE7fcAMd41V4pKAf_sI4L5Jv" />

The project’s centrepiece is environmental sustainability, with comprehensive wetlands protection measures and planting of native trees, parklands, village greens and communal grounds to enhance the natural beauty of the area.

CPG will also deliver a developer-funded wastewater treatment plant to ensure zero ocean outflows and provide high quality long-term infrastructure for Tweed Shire.

A key focus is wildlife management planning, including extensive conservation controls for the West Pottsville koala population, aligned with Tweed Shire Council’s Koala Plan of Management and designed to enhance koala habitat connectivity and future population growth.

Caldera will extend the existing koala corridor by connecting koala precincts west of the Pacific Highway with populations in the north and east precincts. A koala underpass will be created under Pottsville Road to complete the connection of this important corridor. Native tree plantings will expand essential koala food sources, while approximately eight kilometres of exclusion fencing will be constructed to safeguard the koalas from urban threats.

The Caldera site is nestled in the hills of Cudgera Creek and benefits from its rich natural surroundings including the Pottsville Wetland, Cudgera Creek Nature Reserve and nearby Pottsville Beach.

It takes its name from the surrounding Tweed Shield Volcano and Caldera, the vast bowl-shaped depression stretching from Byron Bay to the Queensland border that 20 million years ago was the world’s largest shield volcano and which has shaped the region’s striking landscape, with Mount Warning standing as one of its most iconic features.

The development is a joint venture between CPG and Pottsville Development Corporation, which made its first investment in Pottsville more than 45 years ago and is the developer of Black Rocks By the Sea, a masterplanned community now part of the fabric of Pottsville and which was the catalyst for the construction of a bridge across the Pottsville Estuary, providing direct access to the beach.

CPG’s $1.5 billion Casuarina Beach township, 10 kilometres to the north of Caldera, commenced construction in 2000 and has become the model for modern Australian, eco-sensitive beachside development.

Consolidated Properties unveils $800m coastal village Caldera in Casuarina

Growing national developer Time &amp; Place has announced its fifth new apartment development.

With two projects in Manly and two upcoming in Surry Hills and Potts Point, the developer, which expanded beyond Melbourne just a few years ago, is now heading to Mosman. It is planning 53 new apartments on Redan Street.

The 3,233 sqm site, spanning <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-48-redan-street-mosman-nsw-2088">40–48 Redan Street</a> with frontage to Redan Lane, is located just under 400 metres from Spit Junction Town Centre. It is reported the developer paid around $100 million for the five-site amalgamation.

Time &amp; Place, founded by Tim Price and backed by James Packer’s private investment firm NPACT, has submitted the project as a State Significant Development through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

Of the 53 apartments, 42 will be released to the market, with the remaining 11 allocated as affordable housing in line with NSW Government requirements.

fjc Studio has designed the building. In its Design Report, the architect said the diverse mix of dwelling types and sizes, including 11 two-bedroom affordable housing units, 40 three-bedroom apartments, and two four-bedroom residences, will support a broad demographic, including families, downsizers, and key workers.

The development will rise to nine levels, a height encouraged by the NSW Government due to the site’s proximity to Spit Junction, which has been identified as a low- to mid-rise centre. Developments within a certain proximity to these centres are permitted increased height.

fjc said the project “achieves an appropriate density outcome for its setting by balancing increased housing supply with strong amenity performance,” adding that it “makes a measurable contribution to NSW housing supply targets through the delivery of additional dwellings and dedicated affordable housing.”

The new development will replace five existing two-storey homes.

“By aligning with the objectives of the Housing SEPP and applying careful architectural and urban design principles, the development provides high-quality residential accommodation that integrates sensitively within its established Mosman context and delivers enduring benefits to residents and the wider community.”

Mosman has become increasingly popular with developers in recent years.

Developer Abadeen has been particularly active, with Mosman Residences currently on the market and under construction on Clifford Street. It also has an upcoming Burran Avenue project, comprising just three apartments on the Balmoral Slopes, and recently secured the Midas and Honeysuckle nursery site on Military Road.

Prosker Property has a project on Redan Lane, just a few doors down from Time &amp; Place’s proposed development.

Developers including Toohey Miller, DARE Property Group, and WINIM also have projects underway in the area. In 2024, a five-year target was set for the Mosman LGA to increase housing supply by 500 dwellings by 2029.

Time &amp; Place entered the Sydney market with Two Tides, its under construction Manly development. Given its sales success, it has secured another development in the area, more boutique, facing the beach on North Steyne.

They are hoping to launch their redevelopment of The Chimes in Potts Point this year, and next year will look to take to market Marlborough House, an adaptive re-use of the landmark David Jones warehouse in Surry Hills.

Time & Place to take on Mosman apartment market

Commercial Market

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As we enter reduced restriction levels as our stages of lockdown change, this is a positive sign for the economy that we are starting to resume business activities, albeit in a new way.
During this time, Ray White Commercial has been active in listing, selling and leasing commercial assets with many investors, developers and business owners keen to continue to plan for the future. 
The way which we do business may have changed but it has also resulted in the advancement of technologies which will be now more accepted such as online auctions, virtual tours etc. 
With record low interest rates and banks now more mobilized to complete transactions, we continue to see high levels of enquiries and buyers with finance ready with the ability to transact.
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Sales activity for this week remains at a similar level to last week recording over $114 million across 32 transactions. 
This week we have seen the average sale price of over $3.5 million well ahead of last week which featured a higher volume of smaller sales with an average of just $2.2 million. 
Close to $50 million of these sales were transacted in Queensland, spread across all asset classes with retail and development site activity greater than traditional industrial assets while medical related properties also sold. 
We have seen a number of medical facilities change hands this year and a growing number of enquiries in this sector may see it a more favourable investment option in a post COVID-19 economy.
NSW sales were limited but development site activity together with a number of smaller regional assets, while WA featured prominently this week with a number of industrial sales.
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Over the last six weeks, Ray White Commercial has recorded over $1.17 billion in Australian commercial transactions in the sub $50 million asset class. 
The reduced sentiment due to the current COVID-19 crisis not significantly dampening activity for private investor and developer purchasers while a number of institutional buyers have also transacted. 
Over this short period the spread of assets which have sold highlight the ongoing demand for a range of stock suggesting future confidence across all asset classes despite the current economic uncertainty. 
Industrial assets contribute a quarter of all sales while development sites increase their foothold representing 22.13 per cent of turnover. The office and retail asset classes which were anticipated to be adversely affected by the pandemic has accounted close to 38 per cent of all turnover demonstrating longer term confidence of this class. Encouragingly, uses such as hotels, aged care, child care and student housing have all seen robust investment activity.
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Commercial property transaction volumes sub $50 million: Ray White

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A growing population that is well supported by investment into new infrastructure projects has resulted in a pickup in commercial property development in Tweed, according to Ray White's latest Between the Lines report.
“This combined with record lows in interest rates has seen enquiry levels elevated by out of town buyers looking to capitalise on the sound fundamentals of the region and attractive investment yields,” said Ray White Head of Research Vanessa Rader.
“The Tweed region is an established commercial market that offers a mix of industrial product, retail both in showroom assets and strip retail, as well as office accommodation."
“This has historically been a very locally driven market with a high volume of sales transacting to local investors, developers and a growing number of small businesses looking for owner occupation.”
Ray White Commercial Sales and Leasing Specialists Darren Jones and Aaron Neylan said the Tweed region continued to excite.
“Tweed has a vibrant growing population and strong tourism trade all aiding in local business and investment into the Shire,” Mr Jones said.
“While traditional private investors have actively invested into the local economy, State investment into infrastructure has spurred on buyers from further afield looking to take advantage of competitive yields in this improving economy,” Mr Neylan said.
Mr Jones said across the Tweed region the industrial market continued to be the most active of them all.
“The high level of smaller industrial holdings including industrial units has dominated sales activity over the past 12 months, representing $41.453M during the 2018/2019 period, up 28.59 per cent on the prior financial year,” he said.
“These smaller assets with an average price of $943,000 are well suited to the smaller local investor keen to capitalise on low interest rates and yields averaging sub 6.75 per cent."
“Retail assets continue to regularly trade but smaller strip retail assets are becoming increasingly more difficult to keep occupied with food and service-related tenancies most active in the current market."
“Larger showroom retailing continues to be in hot demand with household retail trading continuing to be active, keeping yields within the 5.5 per cent to 7.5 per cent range.”
Mr Neylan said the industrial market was the greatest space-user across the Tweed region and the range of stock was wide with a mixture of older-style factory warehouses and smaller, modern industrial unit complexes which offered a mix of office and retail uses.
“Current net face rents for industrial stock average $125psqm, but they can range from as low as $70psqm up to $170psqm depending on its size, quality and access,” he said.
“Given the continued growth in this segment of the market, there has been limited scope for growth in the overall average, however new assets regularly push the upper rental limits."
“Properties which offer a greater office component or more traditional commercial office space have shown stable rents over the last 12 months, currently averaging $208psqm, but these can range closer to $300psqm for quality stock."
“The retail market has gone through a lot of change over the past few years, the change from more traditional retail uses, growth in vacancies in some locations and the growth in showroom stock has seen an average range of $259psqm.”
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Tweed commercial property market sees booming growth: Ray White

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GUEST OBSERVATION 
Here’s a glimpse at what’s happening—and why—in the Australian commercial real estate market from the measurement perspective of asking price for rents. There are many experts who give advice on how to understand the current trends in commercial real estate.
Whether you’re planning to buy, sell or lease, these expert opinions are worth noting.
Experts focus on “prime”
Most of the published information about commercial real estate relates to the highly visible “prime” end of the market. Sometimes this can give a distorted view of the whole market.
We, at <a href="https://www.commercialpropertyguide.com.au/" target="_blank">Commercial Property Guide</a> reveal the data associated with the less examined small and medium size market. The value of commercial real estate is closely tied to the rent a property can command. This is much more relevant for commercial than residential real estate. A study of what landlords are asking for commercial rents over time can give an insight into the likely future.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/9/CPG%201.JPG" alt="">
National Market Overview 
The Australian market is made up of a relatively small number of significant markets. The three major markets are Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane which account for the lion’s share of the national commercial real estate industry. These metropolitan markets respond and react to many local events.
There are, however, national and international themes that can be seen to have a bigger influence on how they perform. Rarely do the three big metropolitan markets act in unison. Commercial real estate has been experiencing a cycle that has lasted 3 years between lows.
The national asking rent increases peaked in early 2017 at very high levels and have been trending down ever since. Exceptionally glum periods were at the end of 2018 and the time prior to the national election when rent increases dropped below zero. Sydney has had a number of peaks and troughs in the past few years.
These cycles have been about 10 to 14 months from peak to peak. While Sydney commercial real estate rent increases sailed through previous national elections unfazed, this time was different. Sydney office rents have risen since the election.
Melbourne and Brisbane are not synchronised with Sydney. Melbourne rent increases were in a slow and graceful decline. However there has been an upswing in lease prices since the middle of 2018. While Brisbane rents have managed only increases of 1% every three months at best.
Office asking rent increases have been in what stockbrokers would call a “trading range” for many years starting in January 2017 with a slow declining cycle peak in each of the three successive cycles.
The explanation could be the rapid surge in coworking office space flooding the lower end of the small office market. You don’t need to be a behavioural economist to know office landlords are hoping for an end to decreasing rents.
At the more granular level there is variation in asking prices for office rents between major cities and even suburbs within the same city. For example, different office rent increases do exist between adjacent Prahran and Cremorne in Melbourne. Retail rents are a much more interesting picture.
The Retail market was going down for quite some time, but since July 2018, retail rents have been continuing to increase. By comparison, the industrial property market has been travelling well and has enjoyed reasonably stable rent growth over the last 5 years.
However, there was a mysterious bout of Christmas fear that started in October and didn’t show signs of improvement until this January. There was a fresh round of Amazon Armageddon about warehouse demand stories that spooked the industrial landlords and their real estate agents.
The fear seems to have evaporated as quickly as it arrived.
 Property Value based on Rent Return
Commercial real estate properties are valued on the basis of the revenue they can generate. The change in rent not only affects what the tenant pays, but also the value of the landlord’s asset.
The consensus of industry experts is that a “tight market” is driving future rent growth for Melbourne and Sydney - caused in part by leasing decisions being brought forward to beat other property seekers to the best available leases. More experts have identified the affordability of the Brisbane market driving its leasing demand.
These opinions are worth considering.
SIMON ROSE is the CEO of <a href="https://www.commercialpropertyguide.com.au/for-sale/" target="_blank">Commercial Property Guide</a> an independent commercial property website that focuses on news, views and tips about commercial property and the industry.
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Accurate commercial property measurements are worth 1000 surveys: Commercial Property Guide

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After dipping down in May, The Data App estimate trend cap rates rose to 6.66% in June; an increase of 13 basis points on last month. and 62 basis points higher than a year earlier, according to Rob Ellis, Director of The Data App (TDA).
Mr Ellis said, "this means cap rates, in trend terms, have risen to their highest level since June 2016.”
“From their low point in March 2018, <a href="https://thedataapp.com/" target="_blank">The Data App</a> calculate trend cap rates for commercial retail assets have now increased by 96 basis points.”
“While retail assets continue to be brought to the market, there is little doubt demand is becoming more subdued," he noted.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/1/TDA%201.JPG" alt="">
Trend estimates for June show:
<ul>
<li>The value of shopping centre transactions was the lowest since April 2017 and;</li>
<li>The volume of gross lettable area (GLA) transacted during the month was the lowest since April 2012; over seven years ago.</li>
</ul>
TDA conservatively estimates around 1.3 million square metres of gross lettable area (GLA) is currently up for sale.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/1/TDA%202.JPG" alt="">
Mr Ellis said, "current trend cap rates (6.66%) are still well below their long-run average (7.42%). Simple mean reversion would point to some further upside, while cyclically weak consumer demand, the impact of internet shopping as well as a number of AREITs being net sellers of shopping centres, would suggest scope for even higher cap rates.”
"Pulling in the opposite direction, commercial retail property is offering increasingly attractive yields, especially when compared to other asset classes. This value attraction will eventually encourage buyers back. For now, the balance of risks to shopping centre values remains skewed to the downside,” he concluded.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/1/TDA%203.JPG" alt="">
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Commercial retail cap rates reach three year highs: The Data App 

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Dexus, Australia's biggest office landlord, has purchased 80 Collins precinct, a commercial and hotel development for $1.5 billion.
The 80 Collins precinct is a large-scale site located in the Eastern Core of Melbourne’s CBD.
The precinct comprises 105,000 square metres of Net Lettable Area across an existing 47 level A-grade office tower, a new 35 level premium office tower, a new retail podium with 21 tenancies and a new 255 room boutique hotel.
New components of the 80 Collins precinct are currently being developed, with completion slated for 2020.
Dexus chief executive Darren Steinberg said the sale was completed on a passing yield of about 5.3 per cent and will be accretive to the 2020 financial year results.
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"This is right on our strategy and will provide an excellent return to Dexus shareholders in the future," Mr Steinberg said.
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"We are playing to our strengths and we see strong demand in the Melbourne office market."
With this acquisition Dexus will own or manage circa 20% of the total office stock (by area) in the Eastern Core post the acquisition of the 80 Collins precinct and the development of the neighbouring Dexus owned 52 and 60 Collins Street.
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Dexus purchase 80 Collins precinct in Melbourne

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Asia Pacific commercial real estate investment markets appeared to run out of momentum in the third quarter of 2018 after two years of very strong growth, with deal volumes sliding in the region’s two largest markets, Real Capital Analytics (RCA) data showed. 
China registered the lowest quarterly level of transactions in five years as it reined in lending to investors and developers. Japan experienced its quietest three months since the Global Financial Crisis a decade ago.
Q3 2018 volumes were down 27% to US$27 billion compared to the same quarter last year, but were saved from a steeper decline by all-time high volumes in South Korea. 
The last time the region recorded a quarterly decline was Q2 2016. Over the 12-months ending Q3 2018, purchases of commercial buildings in APAC totalled US$165.0 billion, a 3% increase from the same period ending Q3 2017, RCA‘s Q3 2018Asia Pacific Capital Trends report showed.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/4/16/figure%201%20.jpg" alt="">
 
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Petra Blazkova, RCA’s Senior Director of Analytics for Asia Pacific, said: “For the past decade the Asia Pacific real estate investment market has been characterised by rising prices and steady yield compression, enabling capital gains for most players."
"With property yields at historic lows and tighter financing conditions looming, or already encroaching in some markets, activity seems to be shifting into a lower gear as investors determine whether the next stage of the investment cycle is on the horizon.”
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Australian Price Growth Momentum Begins to Ebb<img src="blob:https://www.urban.com.au/ada82210-5607-45c4-a26f-ed2c41437e79" alt="page2image3763824" width="230.529000" height="0.719966">
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After a long run of gains, commercial real estate prices in Australia have logged two successive quarters of decelerating growth. Australian investment volumes over the quarter fell 39% compared to Q3 2017 and over 12-months dipped 1% year-over-year in Q3 2018 to US$26.7 billion (A$37.0 billion), RCA data showed. Deal count declined by 15%, based on 12-month rolling totals.
Offices, while remaining the best performer, started to plateau first, and particularly outside Sydney’scentral business district. The narrowing financing gap has also forced investors to take a pause. RCA’sCommercial Property Price Indices (CPPI) showed Australian commercial real estate prices have risen 82% in the past five years.
Sydney recorded growth in both the retail and industrial sectors for the first nine months of the year, however overall volumes declined by 5%, possibly signaling a market turning point. Average quarterly commercial real estate yields in the city, which move inversely to prices, rose for the first time in three years.
 Yields elsewhere have continued to compress over the past quarter, most notably in Melbourne by 25 basis points and where price rises in Q3 averaged the highest for any major city in the world, RCA data showed.
RCA’s Blazkova observed: “The jury is out on the Australian market following this bout of weakness. High prices are persuading owners to sell, which supports the investment market, but overall momentum appears to be slowing.”
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Melbourne bucks downward trend in Asia Pacific commercial property prices in late 2018: Real Capital Analytics

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GUEST OBSERVATION
It is clear to anyone that following significant rejuvenation, North Sydney CBD is still in a phase of substantial transition, led by the anticipated arrival of the Sydney Metro in 2024. The one thing the area needs to continue to evolve into a desirable, vibrant and well-functioning CBD is exceptional public space and more of it. Done well, these spaces will dramatically improve the vibrancy, safety, amenity, value and appeal of the CBD for all – from residents, visitors and students to workers and investors. 
Over the past six years, North Sydney Council has been working on strengthening the role of the North Sydney CBD as the principle economic engine of the North Shore. Following an audit by the Council of the public domain in 2015 and with funding from the NSW Government in 2018, Stage 1 of the North Sydney CBD Public Domain Strategy (PDS) ‘Place Book’ has been released. The PDS is specifically targeted at realising a more engaging and resilient CBD that offers a greater range of activities and unique public spaces for workers, residents and visitors alike. 
Over the next 20 years, the North Sydney CBD worker population is forecast to grow by more than 30% to over 80,000, with the residential population growing beyond 7,000. This growth will see more than 1,000,000 square metres of floor space by 2036. 
As the commercial and residential populations increase, so must the provision of additional public space.  
The ‘Place Book’ (Stage 1) is the initial ideas phase of the PDS and explores the future potential of public domain in the North Sydney CBD. It focuses on improving quantity, quality, connectivity and the interaction of cars, pedestrians, and cyclists of the public domain. More than 16,000 square metres of new public space has been proposed, in addition to upgrades to almost 21,000 square metres of existing public space. 
Major projects include:
<ul>
<li>Creating a new 6,500 square metre public plaza by pedestrianising the section of Miller Street between Pacific Hwy and Berry St that is directly outside the new Victoria Cross Metro Station. This will include a ‘scramble intersection’ allowing four-way crossing and the return of east-west (two-way) traffic on Berry Street between Pacific Highway and Miller Street;</li>
<li>Transforming Miller Street into a ‘Civic Spine’ through a suite of public domain upgrades between St Peters Park (south of Blue Street) and St Leonards Park (adjacent North Sydney Oval);</li>
<li>Creating a new 1,200 square metre Post Office Plaza, which will involve redesigning the intersection of Miller Street and Pacific Highway (removing small and dangerous refuge islands) and incorporating scramble crossing;</li>
<li>Converting the under-utilised deck of the tramway viaduct into a 3,500 square metre public space, similar to Sydney’s ‘Goods Line’ and New York City’s ‘Highline’; and</li>
<li>Upgrading Berry Street with 5,000 square metres of improved footpaths and squares, in addition to a new architecture offering incorporating shops and on street dining.</li>
</ul>
Council is also in the final stages of finalising its Ward St Precinct Masterplan, which will seek to create significant commercial floorspace in the precinct, as well as providing significant new public spaces.
Most of these projects are expected to be delivered in the next five years by 2024 to coincide with the opening of the Victoria Cross Metro Station. The tramway viaduct has a 10 year delivery plan. 
We expect the Council’s and proposed upgrades will instill confidence that the changes to North Sydney will continue to contribute the evolution strengthening of the CBD. 
We have seen the transformation of North Sydney translate through the commercial property market in a number of ways, including: 
<ul>
<li>Attracting new tenants into North Sydney from the Sydney CBD and surrounding suburban markets such as Chatswood and Macquarie Park. New commercial developments, including 100 Mount Street and 1 Denison Street, have signed tenants such as Nine Entertainment, who was originally based in Artarmon. </li>
<li>Increasing the amenity for existing tenants. North Sydney is already home to a number of global brands, such as Coca Cola, Vodafone, Sony and Genworth, that have, and will continue to, benefit directly from these improvements.</li>
<li>Enhancing capital values for existing land owners. Greater amenity and demand for office space has led to average prime gross face rents have increasing by 3.6% in the year to July 2018. This growth has translated into higher capital values for North Sydney landowners, with $1.26 billion ($10 million plus) of transactions occurring in the same period, according to Knight Frank Research.   </li>
<li>Institutions such as Charter Hall, Investa, Dexus, LGS and Mirvac are taking a real interest in the planning changes occurring in North Sydney and the impact this is having on their properties. </li>
<li>With North Sydney now considered an extension of Sydney CBD, a number of high net worth offshore buyers have purchased in the precinct. For example, the recent sale of 80 Mount Street attracted strong offshore interest due to its ideal location providing opportunities for the owner to integrate ground floor retail refurbishments into existing public spaces. </li>
</ul>
The proposed upgrades to the public domain in North Sydney CBD will stimulate future developments and attract new investment, vastly improving the streetscape and benefiting all those that utilise the space. 
Angus Klem is Partner, Head of North Sydney, at Knight Frank. He can be contacted <a href="https://www.knightfrank.com.au/contact/people/angus-klem-aun07179" target="_blank">here</a>.
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How North Sydney's planning changes will affect commercial real estate: Knight Frank

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Commercial property confidence is at much more encouraging levels than its residential counterpart, according to the latest ANZ Property Council Survey.
The survey found that the gap in confidence between commercial and residential property has now reached record levels.
Despite this, commercial sentiment has also dropped.
The drop in sentiment in the most recent quarter occurred across all segments, although the retail segment is still the weakest.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/11/AMP%20Capital%201.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/10/11/AMP%20Capital%201.JPG" alt="">
Sluggish income growth, rising mortgage rates and utility costs and reduced wealth effects as house prices fall are all issues reducing the level of household consumption taking place.
Online retailing and global competition are also continuing to hinder domestic bricks and mortar retailers.
However, the industrial segment is now the most optimistic, displacing tourism.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/11/AMP%20Capital%202.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2018/10/11/AMP%20Capital%202.JPG" alt="">
Firms in the industrial industry report that the construction pipeline has increased further over the recent quarter, especially in New South Wales, while it remains elevated in Victoria and Queensland.
Danial Gradwell and David Plank, the authors of the report stated:
"The outlook for capital values is solid, which we think is consistent with demand coming from the strong pipeline of infrastructure projects coming through in those states.
"In addition, while online retailing is disrupting the retail sector, the storage and logistics requirements are supporting the industrial sector."
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/11/AMP%20Capital%203.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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"It is disappointing to see that survey respondents’ appraisal of the federal government has retreated considerably," the report said.
"While the September quarter showed a solid improvement in the government performance index (likely in response to the 2018-19 Budget), the subsequent leadership spill in August appears to have hindered confidence once more."
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Commercial property confidence is solid, for now: ANZ

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The latest research from Burke Road Cityscope shows sales value has decreased in the quarter to August 2018.
In the latest quarter, there were six sales at a total value of $6 million, compared to the five sales at a total value of $10.8 million in the previous quarter.
This quarter brings the 12-month total to $85.8 million of 20 sales, an increase compared to the 28 sales at a total value of $58.5 million over the previous year.
The table below shows sales recorded for the past eight updates of Burke Road Cityscope.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/9/10/BURKE%20RD%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/9/10/BURKE%20RD%201.jpg" alt=""> 
Notable sales in the August 2018 update of Burke Road Cityscope include:
<ul>
<li>5 Redfern Road, Hawthorn East (pictured below), a single-storey former house converted to use as an office and warehouse on a 190 square metre block and 7 Redfern Road, Hawthorn East, a single-storey former house on a 192 square metre block, which were bought together as a development site for $2.05 million through Knight Frank - Glen Waverley; </li>
</ul>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/9/10/5%20REDFERN%20RD.jpg" alt="">
<ul>
<li>742 Burke Road, Camberwell, a two-storey 48 square metre brick shop building with first floor dwelling with a brick outbuilding at the rear and parking for four or five cars in a paved rear yard and carport, which was bought for $1.65 million through Prowse Burns Commercial; and </li>
<li>Unit 1 at 321-323 Camberwell Road, Camberwell, a ground floor space on the north-west side of approximately 173 square metre and three car spaces, which was bought for $1.135 million through DBRE Pty Ltd - Moorabbin. </li>
</ul>
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/9/10/BURKE%20RD%202.jpg" alt="">
Properties for sale in the August 2018 update of Burke Road Cityscope include:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/9/10/267%20Camberwell%20Road.jpg" alt="">
<ul>
<li>267 Camberwell Road, Camberwell (pictured above), a single-storey brick retail building with brick one-car garage at rear, constructed in 1940 on a 257 square metre block, which is for sale by auction on 31 August, 2018 through Teska Carson Pty Ltd – Richmond; and</li>
</ul>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/9/10/694%20burke%20rd.jpg" alt="">
<ul>
<li>Unit 1, a ground level retail space and unit 2, consisting of office space on level one and residential on level two at 694 Burke Road, Camberwell (pictured above), a brick building with three-storeys to the front and two and three-storeys to the rear, constructed 1890 and refurbished in 1997 and 2005 with a four-car garage at rear on a 184 square metre block; which is for sale together by auction on 31 August, 2018 through RT Edgar – Hawthorn.</li>
</ul>
Leasing opportunities listed in the August 2018 update of Burke Road Cityscope include:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/9/10/693%20burke%20rd.jpg" alt="">
<ul>
<li>693 Burke Road, Hawthorn East (pictured above), a four-storey commercial building with a ground floor car parking area and 24 basement car spaces, which has an office space of 336 sqm available through Gorman Commercial; </li>
</ul>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/9/10/691%20burke%20rd.jpg" alt="">
<ul>
<li>Chiquita House at 691 Burke Road, Hawthorn East, a five-storey concrete building with parking for 17 cars on part of the ground floor and to the rear, built 1971  and building was renovated in 1990 and again in 1999, which has office space ranging from 214 to 329 square metre available through Gorman Commercial; and</li>
</ul>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/9/10/697%20burke%20rd.jpg" alt="">
<ul>
<li>697 Burke Road, Camberwell, a seven-level concrete office building built in the 1970s and refurbished in 1999 which comprises office floors, an upper ground floor showroom/office and parking for 38 vehicles on the lower ground floor and an additional car space stacker for 16 vehicles, has an office space of 253 square metres for lease through JLL Glen Waverley and Colliers International Melbourne East. </li>
</ul>
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Burke Road, Camberwell commercial property sale values fall

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Commercial property prices have skyrocketed in recent years, sowing seeds that could lead to opportunistic buying opportunities – and distressed sales – in coming years.
Here are 10 factors at play that could lead to attractive buying opportunities for those who have cash at the ready.
1.    There’s a limit to how low yields can go. As property prices in some markets have risen faster than rents, the rate of return has reduced and reduced. No one knows just how low they can go, but there is a floor and we’re getting close to it.
2.    Australia’s big four banks have become increasingly cautious in their lending in this space. They have, perhaps, heeded <a id="m_-6975728259029557408LPlnk750883" class="m_-6975728259029557408OWAAutoLink" href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2017/sp-so-2017-11-20" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2017/sp-so-2017-11-20.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1528424268072000&amp;usg=AFQjCNElBd8bcSWPwe0ZyXyFIOLx0GY3-Q">warnings</a> by RBA’s head of Financial Stability Jonathan Kearns, of the risks of a “sharp correction” and potential for a repeat of the 1990s bust that followed the 1980s boom.  
3.    Changes in market conditions and a potential reduction in debt availability and/or increase in costs is likely to require some developers who acquired assets for future conversion or demolition to sell.
4.    Foreign banks are still lending for Australian commercial property but could experience pull back if interest rates rise or there is a change in global capital markets.
5.    Unlike residential loans, commercial property loans need to be refinanced every few years. Currently, rising property prices have provided a cushion for heavily indebted owners to help meet their obligations to banks. If this levels off or falls, it could be problematic for those owners.
6.    Interest rates could rise. Historically low interest rates have also underpinned commercial property affordability and supported high prices, and a rise could render some owners into financial trouble, forcing sales.
7.    Rising bond rates. If interest rates rise, then bonds will start to offer higher returns – meaning investors, particularly those overseas who are likely to see rates rise first, could place cash elsewhere.
8.    Businesses may be doing better than they were in the midst of the GFC but they are still price-sensitive and unlikely to swallow much more in the way of increased rents, which have been rising in most locations, albeit not as fast as property values.
9.    High-end corporate office occupants are increasingly seeking better amenities – end-of-trip facilities, ground floor cafes and gyms, even <a id="m_-6975728259029557408LPlnk484422" class="m_-6975728259029557408OWAAutoLink" href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/concierge-services-in-office-blocks-a-musthave-for-prospective-tenants-20160707-gq0xfz" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/concierge-services-in-office-blocks-a-musthave-for-prospective-tenants-20160707-gq0xfz.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1528424268072000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHJYyVJ3j6j7Jp6zUkcnxwszALaQQ">concierges</a> – as well as strong environmental credentials. Cash-strapped landlords who lose a major tenant may not be able to afford the upgrades required to attract new tenants.
10.  Federal Government tenants require properties to have a minimum 4.5 star NABERS rating, however achieving this in an existing property requires significant investment which, again, the cash-strapped landlord might not be able to fund easily.
Russell Bullen is the chief operating officer of diversified property company Quintessential Equity
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