Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Clearance Rates

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Sydney held a preliminary auction clearance rate at 75.1% for the week ending September 13, according to CoreLogic RP Data's Property Market Indicator Summary, which found it the tenth week in a row with a rate below 80%.
The inner south west region had a preliminary clearance rate of 68.6% from 142 total auctions. and the northern beaches 84.4% from 63 auctions. 
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Sydney's preliminary auction clearance rate at 75.1%: CoreLogic RP Data

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Melbourne's outer east region holds a preliminary clearance rate of 91.3% from a total of 89 auctions, according to the CoreLogic RP Data property market indicator summary for the week ending 6 September.
The inner south holds a preliminary clearance rate of 80.3% from a total of 172 auctions.
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Melbourne's outer east holds 91.3% preliminary clearance rate: CoreLogic RP Data

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The number of auctions across Australia’s capital cities slipped lower over the first week of Spring, with 2,272 auctions held (down from a recent high of 2,654 the previous week), however auction numbers remained well above the same week a year ago when there were 1,897 auctions held. 
 The preliminary clearance rate of 74.9 per cent was higher than the previous week’s result of 73.4 per cent and similar to last year, when the final result across the combined capital cities was 74.1 per cent.
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<img src="/images/2015/09/07/20150907-Capital-city.jpg" alt="" width="716" height="538">
 
In Melbourne, a preliminary auction clearance rate of 76.2 per cent was recorded across 998 auctions this week. Last week, Melbourne’s final clearance rate was slightly higher at 76.7 per cent across 1,188 auctions. One year ago, there were 872 Melbourne auctions held with 76.7 per cent of the results reported as successful. Of the 9 individual Melbourne sub-regions, this week the strongest performer, in terms of clearance rate, was Melbourne’s Outer East. So far, CoreLogic RP Data has collected 80 results for the region and the preliminary result shows 91.3 per cent of these auctions were successful.
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<img src="/images/2015/09/07/20150907-Melbourne.jpg" alt="" width="799" height="536">
 
Across Sydney, this week’s preliminary clearance rate was recorded at 78 per cent, up from a recent low of 75.1 per cent last week, the lowest clearance rate the city has seen all year, and below the clearance rate for the city one year ago (80.1 per cent). This week, Sydney was host to almost as many auctions as Melbourne (995), but less than the 1,106 held last week, and higher than a year ago when there were only 705 Sydney auctions held over the week. North Sydney and Hornsby was the busiest sub-region of Sydney this week for auctions, with 154 homes taken under the hammer. Based on preliminary results, the region recorded a healthy 83.6 per cent clearance rate, with only two other sub-regions recording a higher result; Inner West (88.6 per cent) and Eastern Suburbs (84 per cent).
Click to enlarge
<img src="/images/2015/09/07/20150907-Sydney.jpg" alt="" width="739" height="494">
 
There were 129 Brisbane homes taken to auction this week, with 83 results reported so far. The preliminary clearance rate for the city is 50.6 per cent, down from 54.2 per cent last week and higher than one year ago, when 44.7 per cent of the 128 properties taken to auction were successful. Across the Gold Coast 25 results have been reported so far, with a success rate of 64 per cent (16 sales).
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This week, Adelaide saw a preliminary clearance rate of 74 per cent, with 50 reported results across a total of 66 scheduled auctions. In comparison, over the previous week Adelaide’s clearance rate was 58.1 per cent and 68.8 per cent one year ago.
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<img src="/images/2015/09/07/20150907-Adelaide.jpg" alt="" width="721" height="489">
 
In Perth, auction volumes fell to 26 this week, from 34 last week. So far, only 7 auctions have been reported to CoreLogic RP Data, with 5 of these reported as successful. Last week, the final auction clearance rate for Perth was 45.2 per cent across the 34 auctions.
Across Canberra a total of 51 auctions were held this week, compared to 47 last week and 69 at the same time last year. Canberra’s preliminary clearance rate of 65.4 per cent is lower than it was the previous week (69.8 per cent).
Tasmania had 7 auctions take place this week, 2 results have been reported so far, with no sales.
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Auction clearance rates move higher on lower volumes: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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Reporting all residential property transactions within 24 hours of contracts being exchanged to a central body is just one recommendation Curtis Associates has made in their submission to the inquiry into Home Ownership.
Curtis Associates believes exchanging contacts of buyer and seller, agreed price, improvements made to the property and its cost would help create a fairer housing market in Sydney.
Curtis Associates said that there is an obsession with the drama of auctions and their clearance rates as well a, an obsession with median prices as a measure of market performance. 
"Agents are presently free to choose what data to report, when to report it and more important, what data not to report - especially if it conveys a downbeat impression of the property market.  
"Prices paid at auction are usually higher than those negotiated in a cooler private treaty environment; the latter of which account for about 75% of all transactions per week.  
"The auction results published by APM each Saturday night/Sunday morning exclude mid week auctions and thus account for less than that 25% of all such transactions."  
"It is submitted that comparing movements in raw median prices is like comparing apples with oranges. 
"Acceptance of the practice of keeping some sales prices confidential; the most absurd illustration of which being sellers who assert confidentiality over a price paid at a public auction. 
"For someone attending such an auction, that price is not only freely available, it is often a source of entertainment culminating in applause. For someone later researching the same price remotely, the result is a silent 'Price Withheld'." 
"In the equities market, such discriminatory withholding of information would almost certainly be unlawful." 
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Reporting property transactions to a central body necessary: Curtis Associates

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Auction clearance rates have been easing since April 2015, according to the August CoreLogic RP Data Housing Market and Economic Update.
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While clearance rates are still high, a steady decline has begun.
 
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Auction clearance rates have been easing since April: CoreLogic RP Data

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So far this week, 1,494 capital city auction results have been reported to CoreLogic RP Data, resulting in a preliminary auction clearance rate of 75.7% across the combined capital cities. 
There were a total of 1,862 capital city auctions held this week. This week’s result indicates that clearance rates are still tracking higher than they were one year ago, when the final auction clearance rate over the week was 68.9 per cent across 1,473 auctions.
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Across Melbourne, this week’s preliminary clearance rate was recorded at 78.6 per cent, up from a recent low of 75.7 per cent last week and remaining well above the clearance rate for the city one year ago (69.0 per cent). This week, Melbourne was host to 760 auctions, significantly lower than the 918 held last week, but higher than a year ago when there were 636 Melbourne auctions held over the week. Of the 9 individual Melbourne sub-regions, this week the strongest performer, in terms of clearance rates, was the Outer West. So far, CoreLogic RP Data has collected 48 results for the region and the preliminary results shows 93.8 per cent of these auctions were successful.
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Sydney’s preliminary auction clearance rate was 78.8 per cent this week, the fourth week in a row where Sydney has recorded a result below 80 per cent. Last week, Sydney’s clearance rate was 79.9 per cent, while one year ago results show that 76.7 per cent of Sydney homes taken to auction were successful, showing the gap between this year’s clearance rate and last year’s clearance rate is starting to close. In terms of the number of auctions across the city, this week volumes were lower, down to 816 from 906 last week. One year ago just 588 Sydney homes were taken to auction over the week. The Blacktown sub-region of Sydney has shown the strongest performance so far this week, with 94.4 per cent of the 18 reported results selling, with 2 remaining results yet to be collected.
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There were 140 Brisbane homes taken to auction this week, with 94 results reported so far. The preliminary clearance rate for the city is 60.6 per cent, up from 54.0 per cent last week and higher than one year ago, when just 36.7 per cent of the 96 properties taken to auction were successful. Across the Gold Coast 44 results have been reported so far, with a success rate of 47.7 per cent (21 sales).
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This week, Adelaide saw a preliminary clearance rate of 71.9 per cent, with 57 reported results across a total of 75 scheduled auctions. In comparison, over the previous week Adelaide’s clearance rate was 58.9 per cent and 61.0 per cent one year ago.
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There were 23 Perth auctions this week, with a preliminary clearance rate of 43.8 per cent. Last week, Perth recorded its strongest auction clearance rate for July, at 52.6 per cent.
Across Canberra a total of 40 auctions were held this week, compared to 49 last week and 28 at the same time last year. Canberra’s preliminary clearance rate of 79.2 per cent is higher than it was the previous week (68.8 per cent).
Of the 6 Tasmanian auction results reported so far this week, 2 sales have been recorded.
 
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Sydney’s clearance rate below 80%: CoreLogic RP Data's Shana Miller

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<div>GUEST OBSERVATION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Over the last three weeks. And in the last week in particular, there have been some key announcements that will likely have a meaningful impact upon the housing market. The screws have been further tightened and this time we think they will have an impact. To recap the major changes include:</div>
<ul>
<li>A requirement for banks to hold 2% more capital (compared to risk weighted assets).</li>
<li>A requirement for banks to lift risk weights on home loans, meaning the banks will not be able to leverage as much from their home loan assets as they were before.</li>
</ul>
<div>Banks have responded by:</div>
<ul>
<li>Announcing capital raises</li>
<li>Lifting interest rates on investment property loans</li>
<li>Reducing loan to value ratios on investment property loans and locations considered higher risk</li>
<li>Increasing the servicing requirements (e.g A loan service test on a higher theoretical interest rate).</li>
<li>Not allowing tax benefits from negative gearing to be used as income.</li>
</ul>
<div>Clearly the changes will knock out most of the weaker borrowers, which is what the changes are designed to do, besides strengthen the balance sheets of the banks. But will it move existing property investors to the exits? The cumulative effect of these changes will now most likely dampen demand from property investors. The announcement last week of interest rate increases was probably the final nail. Indeed trusted sources on the ground including agents and mortgage brokers in Sydney are informing me of would-buyers now holding back. We also note the recent decline in Sydney auction clearance rates to just back below 80%. Nevertheless clearance rates in the mid to high 70's is still suggestive of strong market. It should also be noted that SQM expects total residential property listings have surged in July, though the final result will not be known until early August. As we know the recovery in the housing market, particularly for Sydney has been investor driven. It’s a good time to re-publish the following chart which does clearly illustrate how investor have dominated this recovery. </div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/07/28/HousingFinanceCommitmentsJuly2015.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div><img src="/images/2015/07/28/HousingFinanceCommitmentsJuly2015.png" alt=""></div>
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The problem is, property investors can be a fickle bunch. A number of them are momentum driven. Buy when the market is moving higher and sell when the market is heading lower. Forget about the fundamentals and the emotional attachment. It is the capital gain and preservation of that gain that counts. Contrast this with first home buyers and owner occupiers who tend to not care (as much) for the market ups and downs. They tend to be longer term holders. They tend to sell and buy on an upgrade/downgrade or when servicing improves/deteriorates.This makes for a market they may well be more volatile than previous cycles. Even so, is there enough here to create a full blown crash? No way. We would still need to see a lot more action from the banking sector than these initiatives before that happens. I believe rates would need to go up by at least 1.5% and at a time when there is some type of massive supply overhang on new stock. Neither seems likely at this point in time. Needless to say the probabilities have now rapidly increased of a housing market slowdown which could be commencing now. 
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<div>Louis Christopher is property analyst for SQM Research. He can be contacted <a href="https://www.sqmresearch.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.</div>
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The slowdown we're going to have: Louis Christopher

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The combined capital city weighted clearance rate for the past week sat at 78.2% close to its 78.6% rate last week, Corelogic RP Data figures show for the week to May 10.
 
<img src="/images/2015/05/08/CoreLogic1.png" alt="" width="607" height="264">
Thirteen of the 15 weeks of auctions this year have cleared above 74%.
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The number of homes taken to auction last week fell slightly to 2,385, compared with 2,540 over the previous week. 
The overall strength across the combined capital city market is showing no sign of slowing down, with 13 of the 15 weeks in which auction results have been reported on so far this year seeing the clearance rate at, or above, 74%. 
Over the corresponding week last year, the clearance rate was 65% and 1,535 auctions were held. 
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<img src="/images/2015/05/08/corelogicmelb.png" alt="" width="566" height="306">
 
In Melbourne, 77.5% of the 938 reported auctions sold in the week to May 10.
There were 1,064 auctions held across the city, down from 1,139 last week when the final auction clearance rate was 81.7% and higher than the 710 auctions held one year ago, with a notably lower clearance rate (61.9%). The inner region of Melbourne had the highest number of auctions this week (231), with a clearance rate of 71.1%. Meanwhile, the strongest clearance rate was recorded across the South East and Outer East region, where preliminary results show 9 in every 10 homes taken to auction sold.
<img src="/images/2015/05/08/sydney.png" alt="" width="550" height="275">
Across Sydney, 924 homes were taken to auction last week with a preliminary clearance rate of 88.7% across 726 reported results. The latest results show that Sydney’s record strong conditions are continuing. In the prior week, the final clearance rate for the city was 87.3%, which prior to being overtaken this week, had been the cities second strongest result on record across 914 auctions.
One year ago, 618 Sydney homes were taken to auction with a clearance rate of 73.3%. Last week, the performance across Sydney’s individual sub regions was varied. Across the Central Coast, where 21 results have been reported so far, the clearance rate was 51.1%, while across Blacktown (96.0%), Ryde (93.6%) and North Sydney and Hornsby (92.9%) the success rate of auctions was much higher.
<img src="/images/2015/05/08/brisbane.png" alt="" width="508" height="260">
There were 176 Brisbane auctions last week with a preliminary clearance rate of 55.5%, having increased from 47.3% in the prior week across 192 auctions and higher than one year ago when there were 89 auctions with a success rate of 46.7%. The Gold Coast’s preliminary clearance rate was 41.8% across 55 results this week.
<img src="/images/2015/05/08/adelaide.png" alt="" width="509" height="257">
A total of 92 Adelaide homes were auctioned last week and the preliminary auction clearance rate of 63.9% is just higher than the 62.8% from the previous week across 167 auctions. One year ago, although Adelaide’s clearance rate was comparable at 62.3%, there were far fewer auctions (57). 
In Perth, 42 auctions took place last week, with 19 results reported so far. Perth’s preliminary clearance rate of 26.3% across these 19 results is similar to both last week’s result (29.4%) and the clearance rate from one year ago (25.0%). 
Canberra’s preliminary auction clearance rate of 63.0% last week is lower than last week, when the final auction clearance rate was 83.0 per cent and higher than the 57.1% recorded last year. So far this year, Canberra’s auction clearance rate has been substantially stronger when compared to previous years. 
Tasmania saw 11 auctions take place last week, 7 results have been reported so far, with 3 sales.  
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