The residential transformation of St Kilda Road is set to continue into with more new apartment plans for the sought-after boulevard.

Wing Tai Asia has lodged plans for a major residential tower at 464-466 St Kilda Road, replacing the former VACC House with an 18-storey mixed-use development designed around a retained heritage podium and a sculpted contemporary tower.

The proposal, prepared under Victoria’s Significant Residential Development with Affordable Housing pathway, would deliver 325 apartments and ground-floor retail across the prominent 4,653 sqm boulevard site in Melbourne’s St Kilda Road North Precinct.

The project centres on the adaptive reuse of the site’s heritage-listed VACC Building, an eight-storey office designed by Bernard Evans that has occupied the address for decades. Planning documents state the development would involve “carefully dismantling and conserving off-site the original metal fabric of the podium visible from St Kilda Road,” before reinstating it as the defining frontage of the new scheme.

Above the restored podium, Wing Tai is proposing a curvilinear residential tower. The scheme includes 172 one-bedroom apartments, 63 two-bedroom apartments, 66 three-bedroom apartments, and 24 four-bedroom apartments, alongside two ground-floor food and beverage tenancies fronting St Kilda Road.

The tower has been designed with substantial articulation and variable setbacks to minimise perceived bulk and maintain view corridors along the boulevard. Urbis, which prepared the planning report, said the design “has been significantly articulated through a curvilinear design” with “an interplay with materials, façade expression and depth” to create visual separation and visual interest.

The proposal also includes 254 basement car spaces, landscaped pedestrian links connecting St Kilda Road and Queens Lane, and a biophilic landscape strategy featuring canopy trees, raised planters, cascading greenery and a glass oculus pool overlooking the eastern frontage.

Planning documents confirm the $270.1 million development will contribute 3 per cent of project costs to the Social Housing Growth Fund as part of the application process.

Wing Tai acquired the St Kilda Road property in 2018 alongside Abacus Property Group for $95.38 million, before later consolidating ownership of the site. The property previously served as the Victorian Automobile Chamber of Commerce headquarters for around 60 years.

The transformation of the St Kilda Rd boulevard is already beginning to materialise, with a number of high-profile projects recently completed, launched, or approaching launch as developers continue to back the long-term appeal of the precinct.

Among the most notable recent completions is Louise by Samuel Property Group, just off the strip on Queens Lane, the same pocket Hirsch &amp; Faigen recently launched The Queensbury. Mirvac is too on the same street with The Albertine, which is approaching completion.

Dexus recently secured approval for its slice of St Kilda Road, while Gurner also has approved plans for the precinct.

Joel Robinson

Wing Tai unveils 325-apartment St Kilda Road tower on former VACC House site

Malaysian developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> is the latest to jump into St Leonards booming Transport Oriented Development precinct.

The developer, which has previously delivered Sapphire by the Gardens apartment development in Melbourne, identified the Atchison Street site in 2023. It filed a Scoping Report around 12 months ago, and now has revealed the designs for the new&nbsp;40-storey mixed-use tower.

The State Significant Development Application covers <a href="https://next-portal.urban.com.au/projects/14650/summary">20-22 Atchison Street</a>, a 1,374 sqm site positioned between St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the project would deliver 181 apartments, above a four-storey commercial podium, five basement levels, and new public domain works along Mitchell Street. The apartment mix comprises 35 one-bedroom apartments, 39 one-bedroom-plus-study apartments, 85 two-bedroom apartments, and 22 three-bedroom residences.

The proposal has been lodged as a shop-top housing development under the NSW Government’s TOD planning pathway, which allows increased density around key transport infrastructure. The site sits within the recently rezoned Crows Nest Accelerated TOD Precinct.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b799673d-48e2-46b0-801a-0e33a9330100" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20site.png?VersionId=dPh0UfwfaHpbFL1R7H1cbZNbIW0CHbCC" />

SP Setia acquired the Atchison Street site as part of its continued expansion into the Australian apartment market. In comments made to City &amp; Country (The Edge Malaysia) in 2023, SP Setia President and CEO Datuk Choong Kai Wai described the acquisition as “a strategic move” aligned with the group’s post-pandemic market recovery strategy.

“Our target for this exceptional development is local and overseas buyers, including first-home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Choong said.

The tower has been designed as a slender vertical form rising from a mixed-use podium, with COX Architecture positioning the development as a response to the evolving St Leonards and Crows Nest skyline.

“The purpose of the project is to facilitate the delivery of high-quality housing at a strategically located site and deliver a built tower outcome that is consistent with the desired future character of St Leonards and aligns with the TOD controls,” the design report stated.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b1a85eee-76f7-436c-a6da-73ba827b9b13" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20entry.png?VersionId=dA9jHGPMcm.dDbwk4QfxqWiY5bfh3UVt" />

The podium would incorporate retail uses fronting Atchison Street, commercial tenancies, landscaped communal areas, and pedestrian improvements along Mitchell Street. Vehicle access and loading would be consolidated via Atchison Lane.

Residents would have access to more than 665 sqm of communal indoor and outdoor spaces, while the development proposes 96 parking spaces across five basement levels.

The proposal also includes a commitment for 10 per cent of residential floor space to be allocated toward affordable housing through a monetary contribution.

COX said the tower form responds directly to the emerging high-density character of the precinct while seeking to maximise solar access, cross ventilation, and outlook from apartments.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2163f85c-f63b-4be3-aafa-f8763976cec5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_5.png?VersionId=WiAmtIKJ6.ZQ41EtYEQ1fol7AeorKBlL" />

“The building is orientated towards north,” the Apartment Design Guide compliance report noted, adding that the tower’s slim form was driven by the constrained inner-urban site dimensions.

The design also incorporates landscaped setbacks and communal open space at podium level, intended to soften the interface with surrounding streets and improve pedestrian amenity.

The project adds to a growing wave of redevelopment proposals reshaping St Leonards and Crows Nest following the opening of the Sydney Metro City line and the NSW Government’s push for higher-density housing around major transport nodes.

Last week Stockland filed plans just down the road. They want to build a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/601-pacific-highway-st-leonards-nsw-2065">52-storey tower on Pacific Highway</a>.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">First look: Stockland plans 52-storey, 538-apartment St Leonards tower&nbsp;</a>

First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has revealed plans for a new mixed-use tower at 10 Dangar Street, Wickham, advancing a proposal that would reshape the southern gateway to Newcastle’s city centre with one of the city’s tallest residential buildings.

The State Significant Development proposal, now on exhibition, seeks approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bowline-10-dangar-street-wickham-nsw-2293">43-storey tower</a> immediately adjacent to the Newcastle Interchange. The project would deliver around 200 apartments, including 42 affordable housing dwellings, alongside 99 co-living units, a 171-room hotel, retail space, and new public domain integrated through the site.

The scheme marks a significant escalation of plans previously approved for the site. Urban Property Group took over the prominent 2,904 sqm parcel, where excavation and demolition had already commenced under an earlier consent for a 14-storey mixed-use development.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="58a96dd9-407f-4d20-86b4-94e4bfeef74b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20podium.png?VersionId=LGlf08pdFGAZDzvx_CXC4XakHNZRuEE0" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, the tower has been conceived as a landmark transit-oriented development anchored to the Newcastle Interchange precinct. The proposal includes 245 build-to-sell apartments across a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom residences, as well as two penthouses. Fifteen apartments and one operational unit are earmarked for NDIS housing. The co-living component would add a further 99 units, while the podium would accommodate retail uses and hotel facilities.

SJB said the site presents “a valuable opportunity to anchor the precinct by setting the standard for design, active ground planes and character at the key southern gateway.”

The architecture responds directly to the site’s position beside major transport infrastructure and within one of Newcastle’s fastest-evolving urban renewal precincts. The tower form sits above a sculpted podium designed to frame new public spaces, including a through-site pedestrian link connecting Station Street to Hannell Street, landscaped plazas, and activated retail edges.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a7bd6ff0-f7db-4ce8-a6dc-ea56e72c6149" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20lanne.png?VersionId=xzf39VADyhj7zBQY2I9fx9vI62u2tuSb" />

The design report describes the project as part of the broader transition of Wickham into “a vibrant, high-quality mixed-use urban precinct” that leverages proximity to the station, open space, and regional connectivity.

A detailed public art strategy has also been prepared for the development. The strategy positions the project as “a transit-oriented development of state significance at the gateway to Newcastle’s city centre” and outlines a series of integrated artworks responding to Newcastle’s industrial and transport heritage.

Creative Road’s curatorial framework for the project, titled Unveil, draws on “stratified surfaces, carved volumes, and light-filled apertures” while referencing Newcastle’s transformation from an industrial city into a contemporary education and technology hub.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="77a882bb-14b1-4d28-99ff-9438e39508c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20site.png?VersionId=cevgo_vN0eKPK78P8YcEu3mKPLkpFqE7" />

The proposal is being advanced through the NSW Housing Delivery Authority pathway after being declared State Significant Development in June 2025. The accompanying scoping report states the development aims to “maximise the site’s proximity to the Newcastle Interchange by delivering transit-oriented development” while increasing housing supply and affordable housing provision within the Newcastle LGA.

Urban Property Group’s plans align with the long-term strategic vision established under the Wickham Master Plan, which identified the interchange precinct as suitable for substantial uplift in height and density. The current proposal would significantly intensify that vision, positioning the tower among the tallest developments proposed for Newcastle.

The site sits immediately north of the Newcastle Interchange, bounded by Dangar Street, Hannell Street, and Charles Street. It is surrounded by a rapidly growing cluster of residential towers and mixed-use projects that have emerged following the completion of the light rail and transport interchange.

First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s latest tower at Wickham interchange

Bottega House has completed settlement of a landmark riverfront site in Macquarie Street, St Lucia, representing its first major Brisbane development.&nbsp;

Positioned on the banks of the Brisbane River, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/180-macquarie-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">premium site at 180 Macquarie Street</a> features uninterrupted river frontage in one of Brisbane’s most tightly held residential precincts.&nbsp;

The proposed development, currently under assessment with Brisbane City Council, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/mim-design">Mim Design</a> and will deliver a boutique collection of premium residences positioned specifically for owner occupiers and downsizers.&nbsp;

The residences are set to redefine luxury apartment living in the area, with a focus on architectural quality, refined finishes, landscape integration and elevated amenities including curated wellness facilities, resort-style pools and recreation spaces rarely seen in the local market.&nbsp;

Exclusive sales for the project will be led by Keenan &amp; Byrne, ahead of an anticipated launch later this year.&nbsp;

Bottega House Managing Director Nick Malloch said the project reflects the group’s ambition to deliver a highly curated residential offering within one of Brisbane’s most tightly held precincts.&nbsp;

“This is an incredibly rare riverfront opportunity and one we have approached with a long-term perspective,” Malloch said.&nbsp;

“Our vision from the outset was to create a boutique collection of residences that feel more like private homes than traditional apartments, with generous proportions, refined finishes and exceptional amenity throughout."

Malloch says there is a&nbsp;lack of premium owner-occupier stock of this quality in the market, particularly for downsizers wanting space, privacy and a true lifestyle offering without compromise.&nbsp;

"Demand is expected to be strong given the scarcity of premium riverfront opportunities of this nature within Brisbane’s inner-west."&nbsp;

Bottega House secures landmark riverfront site in St Lucia 

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The arrival of the first piling rig officially marks the commencement of construction at SIERA’s new beachside apartment development, Exhale, in Northcliffe.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/exhale-surfers-paradise-8-enderley-avenue-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Exhale</a>, a glass-encased tower featuring 54 large-scale apartments at 8 Enderley Avenue, is SIERA’s third Gold Coast development. It follows the recently completed PIPIS Bilinga beachfront project, which achieved suburb-record prices, and the soon-to-be-completed Chevron Island development, Tapestry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359603]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/siera">SIERA</a> Founder and Managing Director Brent Thompson said the arrival of the piling rig represented a significant milestone for the development, which is scheduled for completion in late 2028.

Over the next month, around 260 piles are expected to be installed as work progresses on the basement structure. The building is anticipated to rise above ground level early next year, before unveiling its sculptural glass curtain wall, developed in collaboration with specialist façade engineers.

“The façade was designed to maximise panoramic coastal views while creating a distinctive architectural identity,” Thompson said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=355935]

Designed by BDA Architecture, Exhale will comprise just 54 two- and three-bedroom residences across 26 levels, a level of low-density living rarely delivered in this beachside pocket between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach.

The project has been conceived as a resident-only building, with no short-stay accommodation permitted. SIERA says the model is intended to appeal to long-term owner-occupiers rather than transient holiday demand.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=361052]

Residences have been designed with large-format layouts and expansive glazing, with most apartments featuring more than 30 metres of glass frontage to maximise natural light and ocean views.

The amenity offering spans two levels and centres on wellness and lifestyle, including a heated magnesium pool, sauna, yoga and Pilates studio, gymnasium, private dining facilities, cinema lounge, and dedicated surfcraft storage.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359607]

More than half of the apartments have already sold. SIERA has also opened a sales gallery for Exhale at its Chevron Island commercial premises, near its Tapestry tower and the site of its second Chevron Island apartment development, which is slated to launch in early 2027.
</section>
</section>

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112661]

SIERA kicks off construction at Northcliffe tower Exhale

Queensland

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The rental market in Queensland's Mackay continues to decline, with 10.3% of rental stock vacant, according to the Real Estate Institute of Queensland (REIQ).
The town has been fuelled in the past by its mining economy, thanks to its location near the Bowen Basin coal mining reserves. However, as coal mining work declines, in part due to falling commodity prices, so too has Mackay's popularity with workers.
There was a 3.1% vacancy rate two years ago.
The struggling rental market has seen some landlords offer rent-free periods to attract tenants.
One investor is advertising a two week free offer on a <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/rental-properties/10-19-23-stevenson-street-mackay/Property-Details-rent-residential-8281018" target="_blank">three bedroom townhouse style South Mackay property</a> that falls under the National Rental Affordability Scheme (NRAS).
It was available last February at $368 per week, and is now available at $300 a week, from 24 February.
The investor paid $370,000 in 2011. The median sale price of a Mackay unit or townhouse in the September 2014 quarter was $301,000, according to the REIQ. The median house price was $391,000.
It is not just NRAS investors who are seeking tenants. Another landlord is also offering a two week free rental period after lowering their asking rent from $300 per week in May 2013 to $250 per week. The <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-unit-qld-mackay-404537165" target="_blank">two bedroom townhouse, pictured below,</a> is available now. 
<img src="/images/2015/02/03/2.jpg" alt="">
5/10 Romeo Street, Mackay
Domain Group senior economist Andrew Wilson says that three to four years ago, Mackay – which <a href="https://propertyobserver.com.au/finding/residential-investment/17995-thursday-observer-matusik" target="_blank">saw vacancy rates as low as 0.9%</a>, by some measures  – was a "classic overheated market".
"It became investor central, with a lot of speculation, and prices moved well beyond their fundamentals, and affordability killed demand" Wilson told Property Observer.
He notes that the mining economy peak saw a lot of housing supply brought to market, with the transient workforce unable to keep up.
"A lot of the mining workers are fly-in, fly-out, and a lot of them are actually drive-in and drive-out as well, so there was no real incentive to be a local resident. And it really was the decline of the mining sector that triggered the drop [in rental demand]."
Wilson says Mackay's market declines aren't over yet.
"There's a real oversupply in Mackay, and no bottom is falling in the market. As long as vacancy rates are that high, you're going to see investors competing for a relatively small pool of tenants.
"That puts more downward pressure on rents, and those with a short term investment view have moved on."
The competition to attract a dwindling supply of tenants has seen the investors who own <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-unit-qld-mackay-412534091" target="_blank">5/9 Stevenson Street</a> in South Mackay advertise the property at $210 per week. In early 2012, they was asking for $490 per week. They paid $206,000 in April 2008.
<img src="/images/2015/02/03/1.jpg" alt="">
5/9 Stevenson Street, Mackay
The current state of Mackay's property market is perhaps not a surprise, given <a href="/news/qld/mackay-market-is-down-and-it-s-still-falling">warnings from experts</a> in the past year about oversupply.
Wilson says it will be a while before the town's market strengthens again.
"It's going to be a long journey back for a stable Mackay housing market," says Wilson.
"It was the curse of the hotspot." 
Property Observer notes the vacancy rate in Mackay was just 0.7% in December 2011.
Picture of Mackay marina courtesy of  Kris C. May/<a class="mw-mmv-license" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0" target="_blank" style="font-size: 12.1599998474121px; line-height: 1.3em;">CC BY-SA 3.0</a>.
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jrichardson-uRX5hFdKfN

Mackay's property investor woes continue as vacancy rate hits 10% 

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The China Capital Investment Group has bought Queensland’s Daydream Island Resort for around $30 million, well below its $65 million asking price in late 2012.
With the low dollar and strong growth in the Chinese inbound market, the resort is the latest sale with Lindeman Island also sold to Chinese buyers, Whitehorse in 2012.
The annual turnover of the resort is estimated at $27 million.
The Australian reported CBRE’s Wayne Bunz and Ray White’s Dan White secured the sale.
The island has a 4.5-star 296-room ­resort built by ­Nature’s Own founder Vaughan Bullivant, who paid $25 million for Daydream in 2000.
The businessman who sold the Nature’s Own vitamin company for $137 million in 1997 spent nearly $50 million on it.
 
<img src="/images/stories/2012/11/daydream.jpg">
Daydream sits among many Whitsunday, Queensland resorts that have suffered from the high Australian dollar and also the cheaper airfares to Asian holiday destinations. 
<img src="/images/stories/2012/11/vaughan.jpg">
Bullivant (pictured above) said his resort was profitable in 2012.
“Daydream has always been extremely important to me, and I’ve put many years of my life into making it the beautiful tropical island resort that it is today, as have many staff and my Daydream Island management team,” he said on its 2012 offering.
“But I’m 65 now and looking to at some stage put my feet up and enjoy doing other things in life, including more travel and spending time with my family, which has long been my goal.”
It was Village Roadshow that sold the island in 1999. 
<img src="/images/stories/2012/11/daydream2.jpg">
The purchasing syndicate reportedly included Keith Williams and Vaughan Bullivant. Williams was bought out.
Daydream Island is one of seven islands of the Molle Group, a sub-group of the Whitsunday Islands in Queensland, Australia. The island is small, measuring one kilometre in length and 400 metres at its widest point.
 
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Daydream Island sold by Vaughan Bullivant to Chinese buyers

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Land prices at Sovereign Islands have bounced back.
There was a $1,755,000 sale on <a href="https://www.realestateview.com.au/Real-Estate/hampton-court-sovereign-islands/Property-Details-sold-residential-8157004" target="_blank">Hampton Court through Ray White</a>.
"This is your opportunity to own and build on the last allotment available on Hampton Court," the marketing said.
There was 26 metre waterfrontage with sheltered mooring on the 701 square metre lot with Broadwater and river views.
It last sold at $1,022,500 in 2012.
It was first sold at $1.5 million by Lewis Land in 2005.
The vendors did want $2.1 million in 2009.
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Sovereign Islands, Gold Coast land price recovery

po-LsXgBTHBmX

With $91 million in personal property holdings, are Queensland's politicans really unbiased?

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The national commercial and industrial security fencing contractor Fencewright Pty Ltd have taken up a tenancy in a refurbished industrial facility at Geebung in Brisbane’s north.
The company’s new Queensland headquarters will be at 21 Kingtel Place, Geebung.
Fencewright has taken out a three plus three year lease at a gross rental at $130,000 per annum.
The lease was negotiated by Paul Anderson and Dan Costello of Ray White Industrial Milton.
FenceWright was established in Perth four years ago.
FenceWright moved on the lease listing within 48 hours of Ray White Industrial Milton listing it for lease.
The 2,000 square metre holding comes with a refurbished building area of 1,150 square metres, including a 1,000 square metre warehouse and a 150 square metre office/showroom space.
FenceWright managing director Matthew Sivewright said they had been searching for several months.
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Industrial lease in Geebung for Fencewright

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Judging from the first week of campaigning, the 2015 Queensland election is going to be very much about economics – and jobs in particular.
On the one hand, Premier Campbell Newman and his Liberal National Party stress that <a href="https://qld.lnp.org.au/lnp-unveils-plan-jobs-tomorrow/" target="_blank">under their “strong economic management”</a>, 1,100 new jobs are being created every month and Queensland is on track to become the fastest growing state economy in Australia.
On the other hand, the Labor opposition, led by Annastacia Palaszczuk, has focused on <a href="https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-state-election-2015/queensland-election-2015-remember-the-cutbacks-says-alp-20150108-12jrrw" target="_blank">“the savage cuts to jobs”</a> under the Newman government, arguing those cuts have affected the delivery of adequate services, especially in health.
For voters trying to discern the facts behind each party’s spin, two crucial questions are:
<ul>
<li>How does Queensland’s economy compare to the rest of Australia?</li>
<li>How has the economy performed since Newman’s Liberal National government took over from Anna Bligh’s Labor back in March 2012?</li>
</ul>
The short answer to the first question is: around the average, with some local situations that tend to be among the worst in the country.
As for the second question, I was a little surprised by what the data showed: that Queensland’s economy has fared worse over the past three years than it might appear at first sight.
To offer an independent analysis of those two questions, I have used data publicly available from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Monthly data for employment and unemployment are adjusted for seasonality using the X-12 software package of the US Census Bureau.
Now, let me add some substance to those short answers.
A snapshot of the Queensland economy today
Table 1 below reports a set of key macroeconomic indicators (looking at the economy as a whole) for each Australian state and for the aggregate Australian economy. See the notes beneath the table for technical definitions.
<a href="https://62e528761d0685343e1c-f3d1b99a743ffa4142d9d7f1978d9686.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com/files/68651/area14mp/image-20150112-23812-r3fzs1.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://62e528761d0685343e1c-f3d1b99a743ffa4142d9d7f1978d9686.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com/files/68651/width668/image-20150112-23812-r3fzs1.png" alt=""></a>
 Source: Author’s calculations based on data from the Australian Bureaus of Statistics 
Notes: GDP is Gross Domestic Product, GDI is Gross Domestic Income, Unemployment rate is number of unemployed persons in percent of total labour force, Youth unemployment rate is the rate of unemployment of persons ages 15-24, and the employment rate is the number of employed individuals in percent of total working age population. GDP and GDI growth rates refer to the period June 2013-June2014. The unemployment rate refers to November 2014, youth unemployment is the 12 month average to November 2014 and the employment rate is the 3 months average to November 2014. Author provided
In terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in aggregate and per capita (meaning per person), the Queensland economy is broadly in line with the Australian average. Only Western Australia and Northern Territory appear to clearly outperform the Sunshine State.
But data on Gross Domestic Income (GDI) show that Queensland is well below the Australian average. In particular, GDI per-capita in Queensland has decreased by 1% between June 2013 and June 2014. This is the second largest decline in the entire country.
Conceptually, GDP and GDI measure the same thing: output. However, they do that from two different perspectives. GDP measures “expenditures” while GDI measures “incomes”. The discrepancy between the two arises because of measurement errors.
GDP is the more popular of the two measures, but recently most Statistical Offices have started reporting both. In fact, it has been shown that GDI tends to suffer from a smaller measurement error than GDP.
GDI is therefore likely to be a more reliable predictor of the business cycle of the economy. And this is not good news for Queensland, because it means that we might be going through a much less favourable economic phase than we believe.
In terms of labour market performance, Queensland currently has the equal highest unemployment rate in the country (6.9%), matched only by Tasmania, even though this is only a few decimal points higher than the Australian average (6.3%).
Youth unemployment in Queensland (14.1%) is marginally below the Australian average of 14.5%. However, there is a lot of regional variation within Queensland. In Cairns, for instance, youth unemployment is above 21%, one of the highest rates observed in Australia. Conversely, in Mackay youth unemployment drops to 8.6%.
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Newman vs Bligh on jobs and growth
In Table 2, I report the change in several macroeconomic variables since 2007. The period of observation is split in three sub-periods corresponding to the latest three Queensland governments: Bligh I (September 2007-March 2009), Bligh II (March 2009-March 2012), and Newman (March 2012 to the latest available information).
The table reports the data for Queensland and Australia overall. In terms of economic growth, again GDP and GDI provide quite different indications. According to GDP, the Queensland economy under the LNP government has performed on par with the Australian aggregate – slightly better, in fact.
Conversely, GDI data present quite a dim picture, with Queensland doing much worse than the Australian average and, more importantly, experiencing a net 2% decline in income per-capita. In this respect, the LNP government has delivered a significantly worse outcome than the previous two Labor governments.
Employment performance appears to be the highlight of the LNP government. The increase reported in the table corresponds to an average of about 970 new jobs per month between March 2012 and November 2014.
But, unfortunately for Queensland, this is only part of the story. First, practically all of the new jobs created are part-time. In fact, full-time employment decreased during the period of observation from 1.634 million to 1.626 million. Those are “original” figures; the seasonally adjusted figures show an even stronger decline. (You can read more about seasonal adjustment of jobs data <a href="https://theconversation.com/hockey-plays-the-abs-blame-game-while-unemployment-hovers-32746">here</a>.)
Second, unemployment has grown. Now, the increase shown in the table refers to the seasonally adjusted data and is considerably larger than the increase resulting from the original data. Still, the creation of new jobs occurred while existing jobs were being destroyed.
As a result, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased from 5.5% in March 2012 to 6.9% in November 2014. Even the original data show an increase in the unemployment rate, albeit of a much more modest magnitude.
<a href="https://62e528761d0685343e1c-f3d1b99a743ffa4142d9d7f1978d9686.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com/files/68652/area14mp/image-20150112-23782-1amuzxq.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://62e528761d0685343e1c-f3d1b99a743ffa4142d9d7f1978d9686.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com/files/68652/width668/image-20150112-23782-1amuzxq.png" alt=""></a>
 Source: Author’s calculations based on data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics 
Notes: Growth rates of GDP and GDP are annual averages. Growth rates of employment and unemployment are measured over the entire period of each government using seasonally adjusted monthly data. In addition to the growth, the table also reports the simple change in level (i.e. change in the number of people employed and unemployed). The change in unemployment rate is simply the difference between unemployment rate at the beginning of the period and unemployment rate at the end of the period. Author provided
Overall, under the LNP government, the Queensland labour market appears to have performed worse than the Australian average.
Also, it does not seem that the Newman government has outperformed either of the two Bligh governments. During Bligh’s time in power, from September 2007 to March 2012, the Queensland economy experienced higher GDI growth, faster employment growth, and a smaller increase in the rate of unemployment.
The Newman government did marginally better than the Labor government in terms of GDP per-capita growth and better than Bligh I in terms of limiting the growth in the number of unemployed people. However, the growth in unemployment during Bligh I occurred at a time when Australian unemployment was growing even faster.
Fabrizio Carmignani is professor, Griffith Business School at Griffith University.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
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FabrizioCarmignani-GxUevkhNYc

The true state of Queensland’s economy, without the spin

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Located between the two large urban footprints of Brisbane and Gold Coast, property investors are often attracted to Logan’s low property entry price and higher rental yields. 
Demand for accommodation in Logan has been high based on its average annual population growth rate of 2.3% over the last decade - superior to the Australian average of 1.7%. This trend appears to be holding firm.
<table style="width: 460px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="147">
Population Growth
</td>
<td valign="top" width="131">
2003-2013
</td>
<td valign="top" width="114">
2008-2013
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="147">
 
</td>
<td valign="top" width="131">
(10yrs)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="114">
(Post-GFC)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="147">
Australia
</td>
<td valign="top" width="131">
1.7%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="114">
1.8%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="147">
Queensland
</td>
<td valign="top" width="131">
2.4%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="114">
2.1%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="147">
Logan
</td>
<td valign="top" width="131">
2.3%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="114">
2.2% 
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<img src="/images/2015/01/12/logan%20jan%2012.jpg" alt="">
Other than a spike in building approvals in 2010-11, Logan’s housing supply has been consistent with population demand.
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/free-reports-articles-archive/" target="_blank">Our research</a> confirms that locations where developers are concentrating most on future supply include Jimboomba, Loganlea, Browns Plains, Waterford, and Beenleigh.
What Logan lacks most is sufficient local jobs. An unemployment rate of 6.4% is significantly above Brisbane’s 5.1%. According to Census data, of the 300,667 population 123,619 are employed although only 72,745 of these jobs are within Logan themselves.
The region’s biggest employment nodes are Springwood and Browns Plains and both catchments battle significant traffic congestion.
A largely blue-collar demographic, Logan’s biggest industries are:
<ul>
<li>Manufacturing ($4.9 billion output per annum),</li>
<li>Rental, hiring and real estate services ($2.4 billion),</li>
<li>Construction ($2.3 billion),</li>
<li>Retail ($1.1 billion), and</li>
<li>Wholesale trade ($1.1 billion).</li>
</ul>
Transport and logistics, food manufacturing, and health care have been described as ‘emerging industries’ although there is very little tangible progress.
While the local government has been gallant in trying to improve its reputation with a ‘City Of Choice’ campaign, it still has a high rate of crime and a distinct lack of attractions.
With the supply-demand equilibrium expected to continue, I believe that Logan will to continue to performer steadily although better investing can be found in select pockets of Brisbane.
Simon Pressley is managing director of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/" target="_blank">Propertyology</a>, a full-time property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Australia’s (REIA) Buyer’s Agent of the Year (2012+2013+2014).
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spressley-sBoeMhannA

Is it time for Logan to make its mark?

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Everyone is keen to know how the property markets will fare over 2015, but it seems that Queensland is on many investors' radars.
Raine &amp; Horne real estate agents have shared their predictions of where the best areas of the state may be.
General manager Queensland, Steve Worrad, said that market conditions are improving in Brisbane and the Gold Coast, however noted that the "smart money" is looking further afield.
"Major hubs such as Toowoomba are set to benefit from major infrastructure improvements, while smaller centres such as Woodford and Kingaroy will enjoy the benefits of factors such as lower interest rates and the breaking drought," he said.
"Once we get past the Queensland election, which was called by the Premier this afternoon for 31 January, homeowners and investors considering the sale of a regional property in Queensland can expect excellent selling conditions in 2015," said Worrad.
Toowoomba Source: Andrew Lynch (principal, Raine &amp; Horne Toowopomba)
Expectation:
<ul>
<li>Growth from 5% to 8% over the year</li>
<li>Major driver: The recent launch of the Brisbane West Wellcamp Airport is likely to have a positive impact on the economy and real estate, being a first for Toowoomba.</li>
</ul>
Signs of change:
<ul>
<li>Large number of commercial developments have attracted enquiries from businesses considering relocating from Brisbane due to the airport.</li>
</ul>
Features of the town:
<ul>
<li>Multi-industry town with strong service and healthcare businesses, plus a robust agricultural sector.</li>
<li>Strong education hub that is also a big employer for local people.</li>
</ul>
Suburbs to consider:
<ul>
<li>Charlton, which isn't far from the airport.</li>
<li>Rangeville and Centenary Heights – both tightly-held owner occupier suburbs on the eastern side priced around $400,000. Currently in strong demand.</li>
<li>Darling Heights and other west side areas close to USQ, which are already popular with yield chasing investors. There are some new developments in the area.</li>
</ul>
Moreton Bay Source: Jill Garth (principal, Raine &amp; Horne Woodford)
Major driver:
<ul>
<li>Demographic shift in the area</li>
<li>Low interest rates</li>
<li>Has hit the bottom of the cycle with only a positive outlook available</li>
</ul>
Signs of change:
<ul>
<li>First time buyers are re-emerging in the area, potentially due to lower interest rates</li>
<li>Higher number of investors have already been seen</li>
</ul>
Investment features:
<ul>
<li>High yields available in excess of 6%.</li>
</ul>
South Burnett region Source: John Allery (co-principal, Raine &amp; Horne Kingaroy)
Expectation:
<ul>
<li>Up to 5% growth over the year</li>
</ul>
Major driver:
<ul>
<li>Increase in rainfall has been good for the agricultural area.</li>
</ul>
Features of the town:
<ul>
<li>A number of piggeries and grain producers.</li>
<li>Swickers Kingaroy Bacon Factor employs 500 people and is one of Australia's most significant pork abattoirs</li>
<li>Famous for peanuts.</li>
<li>2.5 hours north west of Brisbane</li>
<li>Stanwell Power Station employs 450 locals</li>
</ul>
Investment features:
<ul>
<li>Due to the 2014 drought, real estate is currently affordable in the area</li>
<li>A number of entry-level homes sub-$200,000</li>
<li>Currently a buyer's market</li>
</ul>
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

Queensland 2015 predictions: Raine & Horne's top areas to watch

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Why have South East Queensland (SEQ) property markets been attracting such an increasing amount of positive press over the last year or so?
Every Tom, Dick and Harry seems to have an opinion, however few people can actually articulate any meaningful comment on what is likely to drive SEQ markets.
About a year ago, a couple people with high profiles made a comment along the lines of ‘Sydney and Melbourne markets have already moved so Brisbane must be next’. Such gibberish implies that markets perform like well-behaved children who take it in turns playing with their toys.
Other headline chasers try to sound intelligent by quoting generic stats such as changes in median property values, auction clearance rates, or people attending open homes and want to pass it off as ‘quality research’. Yawn!
People, especially investor, follow like sheep. Media momentum builds and, suddenly, a growing percentage of property investors are thinking ‘all roads point to Brisbane, Logan, Ipswich, or Deception Bay’.
Comforted by the fact that everyone appears to be saying the same thing, investors all around country have felt that they’re on a winner and have set about finding an expert with local knowledge to help them secure their own piece of south-east Queensland ‘gold bullion’.
The Propertyology team certainly isn’t going to reject the increased level of new business enquiry from this herd mentality. And, while we do think that parts of south-east Queensland have a healthy outlook, investors are often shocked when we remark that we feel that we can make their investment dollar work harder in locations outside of SEQ - interstate and other parts of Queensland. Be the shepherd, not a sheep!
Much of the rhetoric which gets reported on property markets relates to matters affecting housing demand. I recently conducted a keynote presentation at the Australian Property Institute Conference and discussed why housing supply and sentiment play an equally important role in fluctuations of property prices.
Since the turn of the century, equilibrium was maintained between Queensland dwelling construction levels (supply) and demand (population growth).
<img src="/images/2014/12/15/pressey%20dec%2015%20one.jpg" alt="">
<table style="width: 460px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="160">
Population Growth
</td>
<td valign="top" width="141">
2003-2013
(10yrs)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="119">
2008-2013
(Post-GFC)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="160">
Queensland
</td>
<td valign="top" width="141">
2.4%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="119">
2.1%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="160">
Australia
</td>
<td valign="top" width="141">
1.7%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="119">
1.8%
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
Whilst Queensland’s population growth rate is still above the national average, interstate migration is not what it used to be and growth rates have eased.
With the mining construction boom winding back, governments are looking at alternative measures to stimulate the economy. Incentives have been offered for new property purchases, more land has been released, and zoning changed. Australia is now in the midst of a construction boom.
Several locations will soon have considerably more housing supply than demand requires, followed by underperforming price growth and rental returns. The battle between ‘supply’ and ‘demand’ is on. Most sheep will end up in the wrong paddock!
Simon Pressley is managing director of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/" target="_blank">Propertyology</a>, a full-time property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Australia’s (REIA) Buyer’s Agent of the Year (2012+2013+2014).
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Does South East Queensland really deserve all the attention?

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Brisbane's year of recovery and the ongoing struggle of the Gold Coast unit market are standout features of the latest quarterly Market Monitor from the Real Estate Institute of Queensland.
Also noteworthy are the solid 2014 performances of regional cities Toowoomba, Cairns and the Sunshine Coast.
Despite the general uplift in market activity on the Gold Coast, the unit market is still struggling to recover from the oversupply years in terms of prices.
The Gold Coast's median unit price up 4.4% in annual terms, but still 2% below the price levels of five years earlier, according to Market Monitor.
Specific markets have yet to move into positive territory on prices. The median unit price for Surfers Paradise is 4.2% lower than a year ago and it remains 6.3% below the level of five years ago.
Broadbeach has dropped 1.7% in 12 months and remains 3.8% lower than in 2009. Main Beach has shown a 0.9% annual rise, but is still 6.7% below the price levels of five years ago.
It's a more positive story in the housing market. Most housing suburbs have recorded annual growth in median prices, double-digit growth in a few cases – and most, though not all, now have price levels above those of five years earlier.
This tallies with the trend we've notice with sales levels. There's been a steady rise in sales activity in many of inland housing market on the Gold Coast over the past 12-18 months. Prices have reacted more recently.
Another Queensland icon Noosa continues to struggle. The unit market in the Noosa LGA has dropped 1.3% in 12 months and price levels remain 7% lower than in 2009.
The suburb of Noosa Heads is still a basket case, despite the rhetoric of local agents. The median unit price dropped 12% in the past 12 months and is 29% lower than five years earlier.
This is why we refer to Noosa Heads as the biggest lemon in Australian real estate. How did this place ever get its lofty reputation with investors?
Our previous comments about the need for caution in the Brisbane inner-city unit market appear to be reflected in price data in Market Monitor. The median apartment price for the Brisbane CBD fell 10.1% in the September Quarter. Others to record quarterly decline were Kangaroo Point (down 8%), Woolloongabba (2.5%), West End (13%) and Fortitude Valley (7%).
The result for the wider Brisbane City local government area was better, with a 0.6% quarterly rise and a 5% annual rise in the median unit price.
Houses generally are doing much better. The median house price for the Brisbane City Council area rose 8.7% in 12 months, including a 1% rise in the September Quarter.
Many of the better individual performers - suburbs that out-performed the city average – are in the northside areas of Brisbane City, including Chermside (up 13%), Kedron (up 15%), Sandgate (up 12%) and Stafford (up 15%).
The more distant reaches of the Brisbane metropolitan area are showing some life, with annual growth in median house prices in Logan City (up 4.5%), Moreton Bay (up 4%) and Ipswich City (up 3.2%). I'm expecting bigger numbers from these areas in 2015.
Toowoomba's recent solid performance is reflected in the figures. The median house price rose 1% in the quarter and 7.2% over 12 months. Price levels are now 24% higher than five years ago. Units are up 8.5% in annual terms, including a 2.5% rise in the September Quarter.
The recovery on the Sunshine Coast is also evident. The median house price rose 1.2% in the quarter and is up 6.3% in annual terms. Buderim, always the most popular housing market, has risen 7% in the past 12 months.
Cairns' revival is apparent, with house prices up 6.2% and units up 7.5%. Other places showing some spark after several poor years include the Fraser Coast, flood-affected Bundaberg and the Whitsundays, including Bowen. Townsville and Rockhampton remain sluggish.
Gladstone dropped a further 4% in the September Quarter and is 8% down on a year earlier. Mackay has taken a big hit on rentals but prices are down only moderately (3.5% in annual terms).
Isaac Shire, which includes boom-bust icon Moranbah, is down 38% in annual terms, while Emerald is down 15%.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://hotspotting.com.au">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or contact him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter</a>.
 
 
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