<p>Roseville is poised for a wave of new apartment development following the NSW Government's rezoning of land around Roseville Station under its Transport Oriented Development program.</p>

<p>The new planning controls have unlocked significant development potential within walking distance of the station, with a number of sites expected to be amalgamated and redeveloped in the coming years as developers seek to take advantage of the increased density allowances.</p>

<p>One of the more restrained developments in the precinct, and set among the first to be delivered having commenced well before the recent changes, is Hyecorp's Juliet. The boutique apartment project is already well under construction and remains on track to welcome residents by the end of the year, offering a markedly different proposition to many of the larger-scale developments now likely to emerge across the suburb.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278194]</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/juliet-roseville-64-pacific-highway-roseville-nsw-2069">Juliet</a> will comprise just&nbsp;34 one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments opposite Roseville Station. For Hyecorp, which has delivered projects across Sydney's Lower North Shore for more than three decades, Roseville presented a rare opportunity to address a growing gap in the market.</p>

<p>"<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/roseville-nsw-2069">Roseville</a> has long been one of the North Shore's most tightly held and desirable suburbs, offering a unique combination of village charm, established greenery, excellent transport connections, and proximity to some of Sydney's best schools and lifestyle amenities," Hyecorp said.</p>

<p>"We recognised a growing demand from local homeowners seeking to downsize without leaving the community they have built their lives around. The location presented a rare opportunity to create homes that cater specifically to that buyer profile."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278196]</p>

<p>The six-level development has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/pbd-architects">PBD Architects</a> as a collection of residences that feel more like homes than apartments. The brief centred generous floorplans, abundant natural light, quality finishes, and strong connections to outdoor space.</p>

<p>PBD Architects drew inspiration from Roseville's established garden suburb character, creating a building that sits comfortably within its surroundings rather than dominating them. The architecture incorporates natural materials, soft forms, layered landscaping, expansive balconies, and generous setbacks to strengthen the connection between residents and the suburb's leafy environment.</p>

<p>"The focus was on designing spacious, house-like residences for discerning owner-occupiers and downsizers who wanted to remain on the North Shore without compromising on comfort, privacy, or design," PBD said.&nbsp;</p>

<p>"Every apartment was to feel considered, timeless, and highly functional."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278195]</p>

<p>Inside, residences feature engineered timber flooring, stone kitchen benchtops and splashbacks, integrated Fisher &amp; Paykel appliances, ducted air conditioning, and large outdoor entertaining areas designed to take advantage of district and treetop views.</p>

<p>Residents will also have access to a rooftop barbecue and lounge area, alongside practical amenities including parcel lockers, EV charging capability, bicycle storage, a dog wash bay, and a basement car wash facility.</p>

<p>The majority of purchasers so far have been local owner-occupiers from Roseville, Lindfield, Chatswood, Killara, and the broader Upper North Shore, many of whom are transitioning from larger family homes.</p>

<p>"Buyers are looking for spacious, house-like apartments that allow them to downsize without feeling like they are sacrificing comfort or functionality," Hyecorp noted.</p>

<p>"They value large kitchens, generous living areas, ample storage, quality finishes, secure parking, lift access, and low-maintenance living."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278204]</p>

<p>Juliet sits directly opposite Roseville Train Station and within walking distance of Roseville Village, while Chatswood's retail and dining precinct is only minutes away. The development is also surrounded by some of Sydney's most established schools, including Roseville College, Ravenswood, Pymble Ladies' College, and Knox Grammar, as well as nearby parklands and golf courses.</p>

<p>Juliet is currently more than 75 per cent sold ahead of its anticipated completion in late 2026.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=7395]</p>


Joel Robinson

Juliet to sit quietly amid Roseville apartment boom

<p>Sherpa Property Group has unveiled the third instalment of its Flourish series, securing full approval for the two-tower, $500 million Flourish Soleira development in Palm Beach.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-1150-1154-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> will rise from a prominent site in the commercial heart of Palm Beach, the long-time home of Cash Converters and a range of local retailers.</p>

<p>The project will introduce a new retail and dining precinct at ground level, beneath 286 apartments.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370959]</p>

<p>“We’re very committed to not only providing affordable residential offerings that are much needed in Palm Beach, but also delivering a vibrant new commercial heart that complements the extraordinary growth of the southern Gold Coast,” Sherpa Property Group founder Christie Leet said.</p>

<p>The development will sit under Sherpa's Flourish brand, which is aimed at providing a pathway into the beachside suburb for locals, first-home buyers and downsizers. In a move designed to assist first-home buyers entering the market, Sherpa has reserved all one and two-bedroom, one-bathroom apartments exclusively for eligible first-home buyers.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370964]</p>

<p>“Our vision through Flourish is to create a vibrant retail and lifestyle focal point within the Palm Beach centre zone, delivering thriving communities underpinned by lifestyle-rich locations,” Leet said.</p>

<p>“So far, Flourish has been an incredible success, and we hope to carry this momentum as we progress the next two Flourish projects in Palm Beach.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=371430]</p>

<p>Located across 1150-1164 Gold Coast Highway and 3 Sixth Avenue, the development will comprise two towers. The northern tower will deliver 154 apartments, while the southern tower will add a further 132 residences, helping address ongoing demand for new apartments in the tightly held coastal suburb.</p>

<p>Flourish Soleira will also feature the most extensive rooftop amenity offering ever delivered in Palm Beach.</p>

<p>The two towers will be connected by a skybridge, with residents gaining access to a rooftop recreation deck featuring a full-width swimming pool, hot and cold plunge pools, wellness spaces, a gymnasium, private dining facilities, massage treatment rooms, barbecue areas, a basketball court, golf simulator, indoor and outdoor dining spaces, sun lounges and extensive landscaping.</p>

<p>LPS Group is expected to start construction later this year.</p>

<p>Sherpa is already well advanced on construction of its debut Flourish project, Flourish Amargo, located just around the corner from Soleira. Meanwhile, Flourish Oasis, positioned opposite Amargo, recently commenced construction and has nearly sold out its collection of 47 apartments.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]</p>


Sherpa unveils $500m mixed-use Palm Beach precinct, Flourish Soleira

<p>Are mortgage holders set to get a reprieve from the RBA in 2026?</p>

<p>Big Four bank NAB believes so. They are now expecting the next move from the RBA to be a cut, rather than a hike, which they had pencilled in for August. They are unsure of the timing of the cut however, they note in their latest&nbsp;NAB Economics RBA Watch.</p>

<p>NAB Chief Economist, Dr Sally Auld, said recent data suggests the economy has lost momentum and the outlook for rates has shifted, noting that the broader economic backdrop has changed since earlier in the year.</p>

<p>“The next move in the cash rate is likely to be down, but the timing is uncertain," Dr Auld said.</p>

<p>"In February, growth was above trend, the economy was operating above capacity and there was uncertainty over the restrictiveness of rates. None of these conditions exist today,” she outlined.</p>

<p>Dr Auld said recent data pointed to softer momentum across the economy while acknowledging that at the same time, uncertainty remains a key feature of the outlook.</p>

<p>“Both Q1 GDP data and the NAB business survey suggest momentum in the economy has slowed, meaning that growth has likely peaked for the cycle. That said, we are cognisant there is still considerable uncertainty around the outlook, both with respect to activity and inflation.”</p>

<p>Dr Auld said inflation risks and labour market outcomes would be important to watch.</p>

<p>“On the prices side, we are still forecasting above target core inflation through to mid-2027. Margins will compress and weaker labour market outcomes are a risk.”</p>

<p>She said tighter financial conditions are expected to weigh on housing and activity.</p>

<p>“Tighter financial conditions will be reflected in a slowing in house price growth and housing credit growth. In summary, we have greater conviction that the next move in rates is down, but less conviction on the timing.”</p>


Mortgage relief? NAB forecasts RBA rate cut, not hike, after softer economic conditions

<p>A local downsizer has splashed $6.5 million on a penthouse in Perifa's Alex &amp; Willow development in Crows Nest.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
The purchaser sold their long-held family home in the area before embarking on a six-month search for the right apartment. After inspecting a range of options across the Lower North Shore, the buyer returned to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/alex-willow-crows-nest-82-90-alexander-street-crows-nest-nsw-2065">Alex &amp; Willow</a>.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
The buyer profile reflects the project’s broader purchaser mix. <a>Alex &amp; Willow</a> has attracted predominantly local downsizers looking to transition from larger homes without compromising on space or quality, alongside a smaller cohort of upsizers and investors drawn to the project’s location and design credentials.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
The milestone sale comes as the project, developed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/perifa">Perifa</a>&nbsp;and delivered by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/versatile-made-construction">Versatile Construction</a>, both part of Versatile Group, reaches 60 per cent sold.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6680 project_image_fid=371325]<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Eddie Mansour, Managing Partner of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/ray-white-projects">Ray White Projects</a>, said the result demonstrates not only a headline price but also depth of demand.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
“This is an exceptional outcome and a clear reflection of sustained buyer demand for premium, well-located downsizer product,” Mansour said.</p>

<p>“We’re seeing a consistent pattern of local homeowners selling family residences and reinvesting into high-quality apartments that allow them to remain within their community. Alex &amp; Willow has resonated strongly with this group because it offers genuine scale, thoughtful design and immediate proximity to the village.”<br />
&nbsp;<br />
The sale reflects a broader and consistent trend of local downsizers actively seeking high-quality, low-maintenance residences close to established village centres. Agents report that demand for this product type has remained resilient, particularly where developments offer a rare combination of scale, design quality and walkable amenity.<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp;<br />
Fabrizio Perilli, Managing Director of Perifa and Versatile Group, said the sale marks a defining moment for the project.<br />
&nbsp;<br />
“The penthouse sale is a strong endorsement of the quality we have delivered, alongside our partners, and the clear demand from local downsizers for premium, boutique residences in this location,” Perilli said.&nbsp;<br />
&nbsp;<br />
“Most importantly, we’re proud to see the Alex &amp; Willow community beginning to take shape. As we move closer to completion, we’re looking forward to welcoming residents and seeing the project come to life.”&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6680 project_image_fid=338516]<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/nettletontribe">Nettleton Tribe</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/richards-stanisich">Richards Stanisich</a>, Alex &amp; Willow is a boutique collection of generously sized two- and three-bedroom residences in the heart of Crows Nest village.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Completion is slated for early 2027.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6680]</p>


Alex & Willow, Crows Nest penthouse sells off the plan for $6.5 million

<p>Fresh from launching the first stage of its Wollongong precinct, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/keira-place-wollongong-120-122-smith-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Keira Place</a>, builder-developer Urban Property Group has unveiled plans for the next phase of the masterplanned community.</p>

<p>Now on public exhibition through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority pathway is a State Significant Development Application for a further 657 homes on the prominent gateway site opposite Beaton Park.</p>

<p>The proposal comprises three buildings, including two build-to-sell towers rising 25 and 30 storeys, delivering 391 apartments, alongside a 12-storey co-living building with 266 residences, making it one of the largest co-living proposals currently planned in regional New South Wales.</p>

<p>Of the apartments proposed in the build-to-sell towers, the majority, 310, are two-bedroom dwellings. The balance comprises 44 one-bedroom apartments and 37 three-bedroom residences. Apartment sizes range from around 50 sqm for one-bedroom homes to approximately 90 sqm for three-bedroom apartments.</p>

<p><img alt="Smith St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="19347059-1612-41a0-9c74-b86a657237f8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-10%20at%2010.02.18%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sWXnaCcA.cIC6N8YT1dg5pJ2e1V3Z6z7" /></p>

<p>The submission says the proposal has evolved significantly from its original Housing Delivery Authority application following extensive consultation with the State Design Review Panel and Wollongong City Council.</p>

<p>The final scheme has been designed to align with the emerging vision for the Flinders Street Precinct, an area identified by Council as a future high-density mixed-use neighbourhood capable of accommodating substantial housing growth close to transport, employment and community infrastructure.</p>

<p>According to the design report prepared by COX Architecture, the development aims to "deliver a built outcome consistent with the future character of the Wollongong CBD while responding to the site's unique constraints and opportunities."</p>

<p>"Our vision for the next phase of the site evolution in Wollongong is grounded in three design pillars that guide the design response: place, natural environment and celebration," COX said.</p>

<p>"Inspired by its surroundings and grounded in the stories of place on Wodi Wodi Country, the design proposal acknowledges the established character of its setting while creating a unique and timeless identity that sits harmoniously within it.</p>

<p>"The design proposal responds to its specific site conditions, acknowledging the vegetation, climate, wind conditions and solar access of the site."</p>

<p>The architecture responds directly to the site's position between Wollongong's urban core and its natural landscape setting.</p>

<p>COX identified views towards Mount Keira and the Illawarra Escarpment as defining features of the site, while the upper levels of the towers will also capture expansive views across the city and out to the Pacific Ocean.</p>

<p>The design team has positioned the tallest buildings closer to the rail corridor, where overshadowing impacts can be better managed while establishing a landmark built form on the northern approach into the city.</p>

<p><img alt="Smith St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="79580d5b-500c-4ebf-9629-797146a4a694" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-10%20at%209.51.59%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=WbTB1EKSG.KDfsfz0F3wp1QVa2oCMGR5" /></p>

<p>Urban Property Group secured the 11,000 sqm Smith Street site in 2022 and has since progressed plans for the broader Keira Place precinct.</p>

<p>Construction recently commenced on the first stage of Keira Place, which will deliver 150 apartments across two residential buildings, including 27 affordable housing apartments and 18 specialist disability accommodation dwellings, alongside activated ground-floor retail and commercial space.</p>

<p>Urban Co-CEO Patrick Elias said the commencement of construction marked a significant milestone for Wollongong and reflected the developer's long-term commitment to regional cities.</p>

<p>"Today's groundbreaking is about turning approvals into homes and moving quickly to deliver much-needed housing in Wollongong's city centre," Elias said.</p>

<p>"Keira Place will provide a diverse mix of homes close to jobs, transport and services, while setting a high benchmark for quality, durability and consumer protection."</p>

<p><em>Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/groundbreaking-marks-start-of-construction-at-keira-place-in-wollongong-cbd">Groundbreaking marks start of construction at Keira Place in Wollongong CBD</a></em></p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>


Urban Property Group unveils trio of towers for next stage of new Wollongong precinct, Keira Place

Property market

<html><body>
<p><span>Nothing is going quite right for James Magnussen with his timing.</span></p>
<p><span>The champion swimmer pulled his Ryde investment from its scheduled auction last weekend when he was in Adelaide competing for a spot for Rio 2016.</span></p>
<p><span>The apartment has been pushed back to an April 23 auction, with apparently now a couple of contracts having been issued to prospective buyers.</span></p>
<p><span>Its price guide has dropped from $750,000-$800,000 to between $710,000 and $775,000.</span></p>
<p><span>Magnussen's performance at the Australian swimming championships after injury saw him fail to qualify for an individual swim in Rio after losing out in the 50 and 100 metre freestyle races.</span></p>
<p><span>He is still expected to be heading to Rio as part of the 4x100 metre relay team which will be decided before the deadline on May 31.</span></p>
<p><span>The Drummoyne based swimmer bought the apartment in original condition in the block of six and renovated the 88 sqm apartment, with the help of a builder mate, during his recovery from shoulder reconstruction surgery.</span></p>
<p><span>The total refurbishment, including a new open kitchen and bathroom, cost about $50,000.</span></p>
<p><span>There's still a likely profit as Magnussen Enterprises Pty Ltd paid $623,000 early last year for the three bedroom, 1960's red-brick walk up block unit.</span></p>
<p><span>The property failed at auction last November when the bidding started and ended at $740,000. </span></p>
<p><span>Following the auction failure, the Gladstone Avenue unit was re-listed through John Paranchi of Hunters Hill McGrath who had the The Hired Home stylists furnish what was previously an empty space.</span></p>
<p><span>They suggest investors are likely to yield $650 weekly rental tenants.</span></p>
<p><span>Of the 500 plus auctions listed across Sydney last weekend, some 45 were pulled from auction.</span></p>
<p><span>Magnussen does have an eagle eye for a good property deal as he spent $935,000 in 2012 on his own Drummoyne flat which was seemingly well bought as it had traded at $910,000 some five years earlier in 2007.</span></p>
<p><span>Some recently retired swimmers have had mixed fortunes in the property market.</span></p>
<p><span>The former world record swimming champion Eamon Sullivan secured $1.8 million for his Surry Hills terrace - bought for $1.26 million in 2009 - following his move back to home town Perth.</span></p>
<p><span>Three time gold medalist Stephanie Rice too had no problems in securing a $1.28 million sale for her Paddington terrace just outside of Brisbane prior to auction.</span></p>
<p><span>But she only made a $20,000 profit from the property she paid $1.26 million for in 2009.</span></p>
<p><em>This article was first published in the Saturday Daily Telegraph. </em></p>
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firstname1-iYD4UYzvBa

Swimmer James Magnussen pulls Ryde investment from auction

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<div>It looks increasingly as though 2016 is going to be a becalmed year for Sydney's property markets.<br><br>Some articles doing the rounds this week suggested that apartment prices had already fallen in Sydney, but as you would expect different market sectors and sub-regions have behaved somewhat differently.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mainly these declines would relate to new stock or "off-the-plan" or high-rise apartment purchases, some of which in my opinion is quite over-priced and quite risky, and some outer suburban or secondary locations where auction clearance rates have tanked. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Residex released its April market update on Friday which showed that <em>median</em> apartment prices in Sydney had increased by +11.5 per cent over the year to March, to a fresh all-time high of $691,500.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Following a +2.4 per cent increase in March, the median unit price growth has all but overhauled median house price growth in the harbour city, which has slowed to +12.2 per cent over the year to March. <br><br>This need not be such a surprise - at this stage in the cycle the stamp duty on detached housing in desirable locations has become increasingly prohibitive, acting as a drag on price growth.  </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Sydney's median house price is now $1,042,500 which is +$271,500 higher than when the latest round of doomsday predictions were rolled out at the beginning of 2014. And this median price is also +$381,500 than in the middle of 2012 when some other crash predictions were being bantered around.<br><br>With the additional stamp duty burden ramping up by nearly $18,000 over the past four years, rational buyers will increasingly look towards properties they can add value to, or scale down their entry price accordingly. <br><br>While auction results are still throwing out some enormous results (for example, this <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-terrace-nsw-potts+point-115126003" target="_blank">Potts Point terrace</a> was resold for a thunderous $13 million this week, almost doubling the record price for a Sydney terraced house) it does look as though the wider market away from the inner suburbs has now slowed in accordance with APRA's wishes. </div>
<div>
<br>According to Residex medians, there was a continued steady growth in the year to March for Brisbane houses (+3.5 per cent) and Brisbane units (+4.2 per cent). <br><br>
</div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Economy more upbeat</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>There have been quite a few positive signs for the economy of late - an extraordinarily strong NAB business survey saw conditions at their equal highest level in 8 years, and the AIG Performance of Manufacturing Index gauge surging to its highest reading in 12 years. <br><br>Lately there has been a strong bounce in commodity prices, sending some of the oversold major resources companies on a serious bull run.<br><br>The March Labour Force figures showed that the national unemployment rate has kept ticking down to its lowest level in two-and-a-half years, and quite a bit sooner than had been expected. <br><br>More detailed employment figures due out on Thursday will confirm that Sydney's economy is rather enjoying its infrastructure and building boom. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/04/18/UE.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/18/UE.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>As for the much-feared "mining cliff", well that  has all but been and gone, meaning that resources construction will no longer be such a significant drag on the economy in about 12 to 18 months time.</div>
<div>
<br>The latest available data only runs to December 2015, but as we are now about three-and-a-half years beyond the peak estimates have shown that some three quarters of the decline may now be in the rear view mirror, while record residential construction activity has helped to offset the decline.<br><br>That said, Western Australia and the Northern Territory still evidently have quite a way to fall back yet.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/04/18/C1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/18/C1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Good news, and futures markets are now less than convinced of the need for a further interest rate cut in this cycle.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Financial Stability Review (FSR)</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>In other news the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its April 2016 Financial Stability Review (FSR) on Friday. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The RBA noted that spreads on Australian banks' wholesale funding costs had increased a little over the past six months, partly due to one-off factors related to international regulation. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said, spreads have declined a bit of late as the outlook has brightened, and having successfully issued some $50 billion in bonds since the beginning of the year Australian banks are set to comfortably meet their funding requirements through this calendar year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Despite the moderate increase in spreads, banks' long and short debt pricing spread to swap remains a world away from where it was in, say 2012, let alone from the unholy spike of 2008.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In any event Australian banks are now less exposed to wholesale funding risk because first deposit funding and now equity funding have been stepped up respectively.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There has been very little impact on deposit rates. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/18/FUNDING.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<img src="/images/2016/04/18/FUNDING.jpg" alt=""><br><br>
</div>
<div>Non-performing asset ratios on domestic books are generally speaking in pretty good nick, having continued to improve in the latter half of 2015.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/04/18/FSR1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>For the majors non-performing loans are also in very good shape, although the resources regions and mining towns of Western Australia and Queensland are expected to cop some default action, an unfortunate occurrence which has been known about for some time. </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/04/18/FSR2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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</div>
<div>The RBA highlighted the potential for apartment oversupply and possible related settlement risks, while noting that there has been little evidence of the latter to date, and also little evidence of any meaningful slowdown in demand from China. <br><br>Despite the high levels of apartment construction, I'm coming around the view that with more than half of the dwelling stock effectively financed by offshore investors - overwhelmingly from China - such a ratio of apartments may never make it to the rental market that the actual impact on supply could yet prove to be a fizzer. <br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">No stress?</span></strong><br><br>The RBA remains relatively unperturbed with household debt levels, for although gross household debt has increased so too have aggregated mortgage buffers (balances held in offsets and redraw facilities), up to an enormous 17 per cent of outstanding loan balances - that's the equivalent of more than 2.5 years of mortgage repayments at current interest rate levels.<br><br>The RBA reiterated that most household debt is held by the households that can afford to service it, with half of household debt held by the top quintile of income earners. Meanwhile, indicators of stress on overall loan portfolios remain low. <br><br>However, this review did acknowledge that the households without mortgage buffers are often those in the lower income brackets, which may present a market risk in time. <br><br>As such, housing markets in lower socio-demographic areas may be at greater risk if either interest rates or unemployment rates rise. <br><br>This certainly rings true in the case of Sydney where house prices in the west and at the city fringe have recorded particularly punchy price growth since 2012 - a dynamic which tends to mask any underlying household mortgage stress - but with auction results pointing to ongoing weakness, the fundamentals out west all look rather fragile.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

The becalmed market: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>The regional centre of Tamworth (postcode 2340), also known as the country music capital of Australia, figures on the list of most searched suburbs by <span>rent.com.au</span> for 2015.</span></p>
<p><span>The median rental for all rental properties advertised in Tamworth in the 30 days to February was $300 per week, a significant 6.25 percent or $20 lower than the previous quarter, according to <a href="https://rent.com.au/" target="_blank"><span>rent.com.au</span></a>.</span></p>
<p><span>This was also lower than the median of $315 per week of surrounding suburbs, which comprise East Tamworth, North Tamworth, South Tamworth, Taming and West Tamworth. </span></p>
<p><span>A look at rental pricing trends also shows that median weekly rents for both houses and units haven’t had any spikes or sharp falls in six-months from August 15 to January 16.</span></p>
<p><span>The average days on market for all rental properties advertised in Tamworth within the monitored 90 day period also fell by nine days to 29 days from the previous quarter.</span></p>
<p><span>There was a total of 151 rental properties advertised in Tamworth within the last 30 days, a jump of 41 from the previous 30 days. Out of these there were 93 houses and 58 apartments. </span></p>
<p><span>The dwelling composition of postcode 2340 is 63.5 percent houses and 36.5 percent apartments, according to ABS data.</span></p>
<p><span>The rents ranged from $150 for a one-bedroom dwelling to $515 for a five-bedroom place in the 30-day period.</span></p>
<p><span>There are a total of 31 rental properties in Tamworth, 59.6 percent of all properties in Tamworth (ABS, Census Data, 2011).</span></p>
<p><span><em>Property Observer</em> showcases two examples around the median rental price from rent.com.au:</span></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2016/04/15/rent1.jpg" alt="" width="553" height="398"></span></p>
<ol>
<li><span>A three-bedroom house at <a href="https://www.rent.com.au/property-house-tamworth-2340-1694111" target="_blank"><span>28 Hercules Street</span></a> (above) is up for rent at $310 per week.</span></li>
<li>
<span style="line-height: 1.3em;">A three-bedroom house on </span><a href="https://www.rent.com.au/property-house-tamworth-2340-1693342" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">23 Warren Street</a><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> (below) is available for $295 per week.</span>
</li>
</ol>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><img src="/images/2016/04/15/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-15%20at%2010.43.46%20AM.png" alt="" width="649" height="456"></span></p>
<p><span>The ASX-listed Rent.com.au Ltd achieved a record 615,405 unique visitors to its website in January, followed by more than 610,000 unique visitors in February.</span></p>
<p><span>Landlords are able to list their property for free in a limited time offer on <a href="https://www.rent.com.au/" target="_blank"><span>rent.com.au</span></a>. </span></p>
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prateek24-ezbwHMbNAk

NSW’s Tamworth median rent fell more than 6 percent in 30 days, average rate on market up: rent.com.au

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<p>I’m not sure if you are into New Age stuff, but in my experience it works. I’ve read a few books and I think most of us has seen the movie “The Secret” a few years ago which really bought it all into the mainstream.</p>
<p>The Law of Attraction is a belief based on the concept that ‘like attracts like’ and that focussing on positive thoughts you will attract positive outcomes. Negative thoughts will do the same, attract negative outcomes. </p>
<p>Whilst property developing is mostly all about numbers, if you don’t have the right mindset then you may find it hard to succeed. This goes for most things in life really.</p>
<p>I’ll tell you a little story. It’s been about 15 years since I started my business. Looking back, it was pretty crazy times. Not only did I transition from a career in marketing cosmetics to developing property, I also educated myself financially and bought a hand full of investment properties and had my first son all in the space of about a year.</p>
<p>I’ll always remember when I started Property Bloom as it was the year I also started a family. After discovering I was pregnant, I suddenly decided that we (my then husband and I) needed to build up our wealth in preparation for our retirements, still a way away but this must have been how my “nesting instinct” played out. When you are pregnant the increase in adrenaline in your system, alongside hormones and emotions makes mother’s-to-be very productive.</p>
<p>Rather than buying baby things, I started buying properties. Instead of cleaning out the cupboards, I sat in lecture theatres being inspired by all the strategies you can use to build wealth through property.</p>
<p>In the process of setting up our portfolio of investment properties, I realised just how much I loved property. I wanted to create a business where I could still do what I loved and have the flexibility to look after my little baby. After developing property for myself, a couple of friends asked me to project manager theirs and so that’s how Property Bloom came about. My little baby is turning 15 soon and so much has happened in this time.</p>
<p>The biggest, most challenging change for me came just two years ago when I became a single mum. Unfortunately, things didn’t work out for my marriage and after 19 years it was the biggest decision of my life to leave it. I had to weigh up many things and the most important being the kids. I have two beautiful sons and they are my priority. With the help of some good counselling and support of my awesome girlfriends, I made it through. The scariest thing was not fully knowing how I would manage financially.</p>
<p>But I needn’t have worried as during the last few years, I worked out how we can create and attract what we want. It’s all about having the right energy or mindset.</p>
<p>I was so unhappy I didn’t realise how much this sadness impacted on my daily life. I used exercise and keeping busy to cope but at the end of the day, I was finding it hard to keep a positive mindset. Then two massive life changing things happened. My elderly father died and then suddenly my younger mother-in-law died in the space of just a few months. These were the first deaths in my family and the harsh perspective they gave me was so powerful it literally kicked me into action.  Life was too short and I knew I had to make a massive change.</p>
<p>When I became happy after making that enormous and very tough decision, it was like the entire universe was on my side. My business was already doing well, possibly as I used it to focus on to get me through the tough times. But as a feeling of peace flowed through me, everything became brighter and it was easy to be positive.</p>
<p>I cherished the time I had with my boys and also the newly found time I had to myself when they were with their father. I’d never had much time to myself. Building a business and raising a family is time consuming and hard work. I used this precious time to recharge my energy levels, rebuild my self-esteem and focus on what I wanted.</p>
<p>In the meantime, my property development project management business that I love so much, was gaining momentum. Lots of clients were coming back to do a second and third project with us and new clients were attracted to the high level of service our boutique business offers. This meant I had no reason to feel financially worried despite taking out a massive mortgage on the family home so the kids and I could still stay there. Thank goodness for low interest rates!</p>
<p>After a while, I started thinking that the only thing missing was a partner to share my happy life with.</p>
<p>This is the fun bit. One New Year’s Eve, over a few glasses of champagne with my girlfriends, I wrote out a list of things I wanted in a new partner. This is much like writing out a list of goals. When you write them down, they become real and the more you go back and review them, the more energy and focus you are putting on them.</p>
<p>Almost a year to the day of writing that list, I met an amazing man. As we got to know each other, I was blown away that he was literally everything on my list, and more – no mean feat considering it was two pages long!</p>
<p>I’m ecstatically happy and very grateful, its amazing how awesome life is.</p>
<p>So how is your mindset right now? Make it positive and not negative, as remember like attracts like. Are there any changes (hopefully not as dramatic as mine) that you can make that will help you achieve your goals and have you written them down yet?  If something cannot be changed, you can still change your attitude about it. Get started on attracting what you want, perhaps it’s to get started on that development project you’ve always wanted to do.</p>
<p>Your mind is the most powerful tool you’ll ever need on a development site. </p>
<p><em>Jo Chivers is chief executive officer of property development project managers <a href="https://www.propertybloom.com.au/about" target="_blank">Property Bloom</a>.</em></p>
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jochivers-wq5Bp59R5a

What’s the most important tool needed to develop property? Jo Chivers 

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<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">iBuyNew, the online marketplace connects prospective property buyers with off-the-plan properties, whether it's apartments or townhouses.</span></p>
<p><span>The company had marketed more than 650 new residential projects around Australia as of September 2015, according to its CEO Mark Mendel.</span></p>
<p><span>Some of the recent properties featured on iBuyNew include projects in NSW's Gosford, Merrylands, Melbourne and Brisbane. The developments are priced in the range $435,000 to $490,000.</span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span></p>
<p><span>iBuyNew has more than 2,700 new and Off The Plan (OTP) properties.</span></p>
<p><span>Starting in 2013, iBuyNew sold more than $170 million worth of properties and generated more than $600,000 in profit last year, according to an article in the <em>Australian Financial Review</em> late last year.</span></p>
<p><span>Mendel plans to grow his team to 30 by the end of 2016 as the company begins to expand its offerings and user base.</span></p>
<p><span>Recently, technology investment company Disruptive Investment Group Limited increased its stake in iBuyNew to 100 percent from 50 percent for $5.9 million. </span></p>
<p><span>The deal is expected to be completed before July this year subject to approval from shareholders.</span></p>
<p><span>Mendel said in a recent media post that iBuyNew are property consultants, helping buyers zero in on the right property through reach, advice and insights. </span></p>
<p><span>The company pays its consultants a flat fee irrespective of whether it's a $300,000 or a million dollars. </span></p>
<p><span>"Many other real estate agents are paid a commission, so the more you spend, the more they gain," said Mendel.</span></p>
<p><span>He also said many developers were approaching the company even before launching their projects to the market.</span></p>
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

iBuyNew helping buyers with off-the-plan properties

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<div><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">It looks as though 2016 is shaping up to be a year within which the residential construction boom, which has mostly served the demands of foreign investors, begins to tail off.</span></div>
<div> </div>
<div>We should never read too much into the results of one month, of course, but reflecting trends that have already been reported by Housing Industry Association (HIA) finance for the purchase of new dwellings fell by more than 15 percent in February.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/13/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/04/13/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Although it is not yet much reflected in the rolling annual data below, finance for the construction of new dwellings also ticked back by -1.9 per cent in February.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It may or may not be too early to call the peak on finance for dwelling construction after a very solid run through this cycle, but market releases suggest that building approvals are now on a downslope, and construction will probably follow suit in time too.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/13/A11.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a><br><img src="/images/2016/04/13/A11.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Market shifting away from investors</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Figures showed investor lending steadying at around a seasonally adjusted $11.9 billion, which is still a historically high figure, but some way down from the August 2015 peak.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A quick glance at the chart for loans outstanding shows how banks and lenders have shifted their focus in favour of home loans, a direct response to APRA's regulatory intervention.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/13/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/13/A6.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<div>We know that there remain blurred lines between investor and home loans, but the February data shows that overall the balance has tilted back in favour of owner-occupier finance ($21 billion) over investment housing finance ($11.9 billion).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall, 2016 looks likely to be a steadier year for property markets, as investors are limited in their borrowing capacity.<br><br>It's worth remembering that owner-occupiers represent a greater share of the market, and as such have the potential to push prices up in the areas in which they are buying (think middle-ring suburbs, catchments for good schools, good transport links, appealing shopping and lifestyle locations).<br><br>Investors should now begin to account for about one third of the market, which is much more in line with historical averages.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>With returns from fixed interest accounts so low and mortgage repayments much lower than they were, many in the home ownership sector will look to improve the value of their own homes, or look to acquire renovation projects.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Indeed major renovations activity is now at long last trending up in all three of the most populous states, with Sydney leading the way by a margin. Renovation activity is presently less popular in Melbourne, with considerably more modern housing available following a strong decade of construction and dwelling supply.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/13/A10.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/13/A10.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">First homebuyers subdued</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>While 2016 looks set to be the year of the homebuyer, much of the activity is being driven by refinancing and existing home-owning folk looking to trade up or down, rather than by new market entrants.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Even if the ABS data is not quite complete or accurate, it seems fair to surmise that the share of dwellings financed by first homebuyers is tracking some way below the long run averages.</div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/04/13/A9.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong><br><br></p>
<div>2016 therefore seems likely to be a year wherein markets are increasingly moved by homebuyers ahead of investors.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It is worth reiterating here that in part due to high transaction costs, whether bought as a home or a pure investment, property works best as a long term play.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The internet and financial media is largely - though, of course, not absolutely - a fusion of noise, short-termism, misinformation and guesswork when it comes to property market commentary. You only need to look back to 2012 for some classic examples of that.<br><br>In my opinion there is very little value in comparing returns with the share market over a one or two year timeframe. Each asset class has its merits and place in a portfolio, but generally speaking property needs at least a ten year time horizon in order to justify the transaction costs. <br><br>The data yesterday confirmed that home loan activity levels - although not necessarily aggregate mortgage values - are rising solidly in Queensland, and this is readily visible in some of the family-friendly middle ring suburbs of Brisbane. Investor hubs are considerably patchier, and many of the resources regions are an absolute disaster zone. <br><br>A final point of interest for today is that markets had increasingly been lining up bets for an interest rate cut as soon as May, though I personally didn't like the odds of that happening. <br><br>I don't spend hours deliberating over monetary policy wording, but clearly the Reserve Bank (RBA) noted in its most recent decision release that "continued low inflation would allow scope for easier policy, should that be appropriate...".<br><br>There are probably three things that would need to be in place for an interest rate cut, being a cooling of property investor lending (tentative tick), confirmation that hiring is weakening, and evidently confirmation of continued low inflation. <br><br>The Labour Force figures for March are due out on Thursday, and the market consensus sees a fairly moderate result as likely, with some clear risks to the unemployment rate reading, while the March inflation data is due out towards the end of the month.<br><br>There's a bit of water to flow under the bridge between now and then, but a nice bump in key commodity prices overnight and an incredibly strong result from NAB's Business Survey really don't point towards a rate cut at this stage. <br><br>A cracking NAB survey showed a surge in business conditions at their highest level in fully eight years since 2008, and while the employment gauge jumped to a five year high. Business conditions are now showing a reading of +12, absolutely miles above the long run average of +5, and capacity utilisation has improved strongly (I do note here, though, that the outlook for mining remains dire). <br><br>The RBA has arguably been a reluctant cutter through this cycle, so I reckon that rules out a May cut. In fact, interest rates could be on hold for as far as the eye can see. <br><br>As ever, happy to be proven wrong on that, though.</div>
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<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Residential construction boom tapering off: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>Unit rents increased at record levels over the March quarter for the majority of capital cities despite a national apartment building boom, according to the March Quarter Rental Report from <span id="0.0773269054479897" class="highlight">Domain</span><span>.com.au.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The report found u</span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">nit rents increased in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Hobart and Canberra over the March quarter, staying at record levels despite the recent unit building boom, while h</span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">ouse rental vacancies remain low in most capitals.</span></p>
<p>Capital city vacancy rates were steady at 2.1 percent for houses but fell slightly for units to 2.3 percent, with overall dwelling vacancies remaining at 2.2 percent.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/04/7/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-07%20at%2011.21.30%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/04/7/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-07%20at%2011.21.30%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>Domain.com.au senior economist Dr. Andrew Wilson said d<span style="line-height: 1.3em;">espite the recent influx of home building, we can expect to see upward pressure on both house and unit rents in most capital cities continuing in the foreseeable future.</span></p>
<p>"The clear exceptions to tight capital city rental markets are Perth and Darwin. Rents in these cities continue to fall reflecting the impact of the downturn in the resource economy and the end of the significant rental demand driven by a fly-in fly-out workforce," he said.</p>
<p>"Sydney median unit rents increasing sharply over the March quarter.</p>
<p>“Despite the significant numbers of new apartments entering the market, Sydney unit rents bounced back this quarter with a sharp 4 per cent increase in the median weekly rental. This increase offers no relief for tenants with house rents remaining at record highs and already low vacancy rates continuing to tighten. <span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The median unit rent was recorded at $520 per week, closing in on the $530 median weekly rent for houses. Sydney unit rents have now increased by 4 percent over the past year – second to Melbourne for annual growth. </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The report found Melbourne house rents came in at $400 per week, up 2.6 percent over the year and unit vacancy rates falling despite the recent surge in new supply.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">"It has been a positive quarter for investors in Melbourne with unit rents now rising to record levels and vacancy rates falling, despite an unprecedented new apartment boom. Melbourne house rents remain at peak values as well, with low vacancy rates indicating no relief in sight for tenants," he said.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">“Brisbane tenants in units and houses have experienced rising rents, with both at record highs. Vacancy rates do remain reasonably balanced, however, with some slight tightening for units in the March quarter."</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Gross rental yields for investors held over the March quarter, with Hobart having highest gross returns for houses at 5.6 percent and rising. Sydney had 3.3 per cent.</span></p>
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mick.cee-iDmgDDAmu8

Rents continue to rise despite national building boom: Domain

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<p>Minister for Family and Community Services and Social Housing Brad Hazzard <span style="line-height: 1.3em;">and the Lord Mayor of Sydney, Clover Moore, officially opened the latest development by </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">City West Housing, The Exordium Apartments at Zetland.</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Exordium Apartments at Zetland is a $41m development comprising 104 </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">contemporary one, two and three bedroom units geared toward </span>affordability<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> for city workers.</span></p>
<p>Janelle Goulding, CEO of City West Housing said the vision for the development <span style="line-height: 1.3em;">was to create a high quality and sophisticated contemporary building and </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> provides a mix of residential </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">dwellings to help support the ever increasing demand for affordable rental accommodation.</span></p>
<p>It will feature communal gardens and BBQ areas, a small cafe and a single <span style="line-height: 1.3em;">level basement with parking for 40 cars and ample bicycle storage.</span></p>
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

City West Housing Zetland development The Exordium officially open

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>The impending end to the 2015/16 tax year is set to help drive real estate market activity in autumn.</p>
<p>With the end of the tax year fast approaching, many investors and self-managed super funds will be weighing up whether to rebalance in or out of real estate assets and will act well before the  June 30 cut-off.</p>
<p>Throw in the threat of a July Federal Election and we expect appraisal, listing and sales numbers to hold their ground in the lead up to the end of the financial year.</p>
<p><strong>Buyer activity will be consistent in autumn</strong></p>
<p>Real estate has become a round-the-clock market due to the universality of the internet, which means vendors can achieve good sales results regardless of the season.</p>
<p>Buyers are driven to secure a property for a wide variety of reasons, whether it’s to secure a tax-effective investment for a self-managed super fund, or a home to live in – and the season makes little difference to them.  </p>
<p>If the vendor settles on a realistic price and the property is well presented, it won’t matter to buyers whether it’s spring or autumn.</p>
<p>Yet the reality is there will be fewer properties for sale in autumn than in the traditional springtime selling months between September and December, when many owners list properties for sale.</p>
<p>The number of properties for sale in March 2016 was 20 percent less than September 2015, according to Raine &amp; Horne.</p>
<p>If there are fewer properties for sale in April and May than September, and more or less the same number of buyers, it stands to reason that an autumn sale can make plenty of sense.</p>
<p><strong>A more pleasurable experience for buyers</strong></p>
<p>Across much of Australia, autumn is relatively milder than the stickier spring and summer months – although it will be getting chillier in the southern states.</p>
<p>An autumn open home therefore can present a more pleasurable experience for buyers, who will be more likely to poke around properties with more inviting external spaces for longer than they might at the height of the summer.</p>
<p>The colourful backdrop provided by autumn leaves may even strike a chord with some buyers looking for the perfect outdoor experience.</p>
<p>Tumbling autumn leaves, however, means owners need to be diligent with the rake to ensure the exteriors of their properties present in a clean and tidy fashion. </p>
<p> </p>
<p><em><span>Angus Raine is executive chairman, <a href="https://www.raineandhorne.com.au/" target="_blank">Raine &amp; Horne</a>.</span></em></p>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

End of financial year to drive autumn property markets: Angus Raine

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>Australia’s property market found itself caught in a perfect storm last year.</p>
<p>With RBA interest latest sitting at levels not seen since the 1950s, an Australian dollar sitting below 0.80 to the US dollar, and a low a level of inflation, both investors and owner-occupiers alike saw it as the perfect opportunity to claim their piece of Australia’s property market pie. Across the country, we saw new dwelling commencements increase for the third year running at 211,860 in conjunction to the boom in Melbourne and Sydney’s house prices. <br><br> But after experiencing this seemingly perfect storm that helped us sail prosperously through 2015, as we propel further into the next leg of the race many are left wondering; <em>will 2016 provide the same conditions to herald a consecutive year of property market success?</em></p>
<p>Much like the weather, our economy is far from static. The forces that once may have assisted us can very quickly take a turn. Some will find this will ultimately put them at an advantage; for others, it may make the voyage a little less linear.<br><br> While RBA interest rates currently sit on 2 percent and are expected to hold, and the Australian dollar floats around 0.70 to the greenback, it is the banks that have changed their game. <br><br> The rhetoric of global economic uncertainty currently prevailing among business experts means that banks have had to respond. More stringent stress testing standards to assess their capability to respond to a financial downturn mean this is also being applied to investors in 2016.<br><br> As the cost of capital has increased for banks due to greater risk, investors will now find it harder to access loans. While there has always been a degree of stress testing, the margins are now higher. The Big Four Australian banks have a large amount of security tied to residential debt, so while you may put in an application at 4 percent it is likely to be tested at 6 percent. <br><br> This creates an environment where being able to prove cashflow is prime, highlighting two major players: those who have assets but are cashflow poor and may struggle to liquidate, and those with strong balance sheets with a large amount of cash on hand who can prove mitigation of future risk. For those who are able, commercial property will likely be the investment pick, with better yields and stronger prospects for long-term tenants providing stronger foundations for capital growth and ultimately a more secure investment.</p>
<p>It is important for both large scale and individual investors alike that property is not a short-term venture, and disruptions in the market should not instantly prompt investors to sell. Those who panic will ultimately lose because they are selling in a softening market if having purchased recently. Given the nature of our globally-linked financial markets and the uncertainty surrounding them, it is likely interest rates will remain low for at least several years to come. If you are sensible with the amount you are borrowing, and gear yourself comfortably, you are likely to be in a winning position in the long run.</p>
<p>Our perfect storm may well be on the turn, but it’s still presenting a whirlwind of opportunity for property investment. This will be easier for some more than others, but with a prudent and logical financial approach, there’s still plenty of opportunity to capitalise.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><em>Andrew Fawell is director, Beller, and can be contacted <a href="https://beller.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>. </em></p>
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