Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Negative gearing

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Amid the debate over negative gearing ahead of the budget, a new study has found that low-income households are using negative gearing to get into the property market while paying no net tax after welfare benefits has climbed to 60 percent. 
A study by KPMG says the bottom fifth of households (ranked by income) have enjoyed growth in “investment income” of 8.5 percent a year over the past decade, more than four times faster than the other 80 percent, according to a report in The Australian.
This was “confirmed by the substantial increase in value of second mortgage payments being undertaken within this quintile,” the study found.
It suggested the share of households paying no net tax — after welfare payments are netted against income tax paid — has reached 60 percent, which is above most conventional estimates that put the figure nearer 50 percent. 
The report analysed Melbourne Institute and ABS households income data over the 20 years to 2015.
KPMG chief economist Brendan Rynne was cited by The Australian as saying that a further government review was needed “as it suggests that the loosening of transfer payments after the GFC were never properly tightened up again — and it is very difficult to withdraw benefits once they have been granted”.
The number of low-income households with second mortgages is estimated to have more than doubled to above 37,000 since 2006.
“While it is perhaps understandable that the poorest members of our society want to diversify and increase their incomes, this group is the least able to take on the financial risk associated with geared investment activity,” Rynne said. “It is clear from our analysis that if the bubble does burst it will not just be the better-off who will be directly affected, the poor will be too.” 
The KPMG report finds half of the income of the poorest households was derived from government transfers.
“This outcome has in part been influenced by the growth in the Australian minimum wage … to $657 a week in 2015,” the report said. 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Rise in low-income households on welfare using negative gearing: KPMG 

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/76213/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-advanced" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
John Daley and Danielle Wood, The Grattan Institute
The latest data from the ATO is consistent with what we’ve seen in the past. It shows that people with high-income occupations – doctors, lawyers, and others – are more likely to use negative gearing than the nurses and teachers on whom Treasurer Scott Morrison focuses when he tries to justify retaining negative gearing. It also shows that negative gearing is typically worth four to five times more for doctors and lawyers than nurses and teachers.
The tax data shows that with falling interest rates, fewer landlords are negatively geared, and the average loss is also falling. Overall the investor property market seems to be concentrating a little, with slightly fewer landlords but more investment properties per landlord. Negative gearing has lots of problems. It costs the budget a lot of money, distorts investment decisions, increases house prices, and reduces home ownership, while doing little to increase supply.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/image-20170413-25882-17d8qsm.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/04/image-20170413-25882-17d8qsm.png" alt="">
The government claims it should nevertheless be retained because it’s primarily an investment strategy for “mums and dads”. But the detailed tax data from previous years shows that about two-thirds of the benefit goes to the one-fifth of taxpayers with the highest income before the negative gearing deduction.
We will have to wait until later this month for the release of more detailed data to check that this is still true.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/image-20170413-25888-a7fcjy.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/04/image-20170413-25888-a7fcjy.png" alt="">
Professor Fabrizio Carmignani, Griffith Business School
This data delivers a simple, probably not unexpected, but still concerning message: inequality in Australia is increasing.
We can see this in terms of the growing gap between the richest and the poorest suburbs, as well as an increase in dispersion across all suburbs.
For example, the data published yesterday indicates that average taxable income in the ten poorest postcodes was only 11% of the average taxable income in the ten richest postcodes. A decade ago, in 2004-05, income in the ten poorest postcodes was 21% of income in the richest postcodes.
In fact, while the average income at the top of the distribution has grown by 30% in a decade, average income at the bottom has actually declined by 33%. If we look at the overall dispersion of incomes by postcode, we can see that this has gone up by approximately 25% in ten years.
Whichever way we look at it, the conclusion is that there is more income inequality today than ten years ago.
The other interesting aspect to the data is that the richest postcodes today are more or less the same as ten years ago. Indeed, seven of the top ten postcodes in 2014-15 were already in the top ten in 2004-05. But this same trend is not observed at the bottom: none of the ten poorest postcodes today were in bottom ten in 2004-05.
And there is some bad news for Queensland in particular: the proportion of the state’s postcodes in the bottom ten has increased considerably, from three out of ten in 2004-05 to seven out of ten in the latest data. This data might be indicative of a growing poverty problem in this state.
Associate Professor Helen Hodgson, Curtin Law School
The ATO’s data clearly shows that the self-managed superannuation fund (SMSF) sector is not only continuing to grow, but is used primarily by people with the ability to make higher contributions; either high income earners or those late in their careers.
Members of self-managed superannuation funds made significantly higher contributions and have higher balances than members of Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA) regulated funds.
The data shows that on an individual basis, the median contribution to a SMSF was A$20,000. Meanwhile, members of APRA funds made median contributions of A$4,507.
Similarly, the super balances of members of SMSFs are significantly higher than APRA funds. SMSF members have median balances of A$289,483, compared to just A$32,734 for those in APRA regulated funds. The data also shows that a small proportion of people have very high balances, which is reflected in the difference between the median and mean balances in the statistics.
Two of the forthcoming changes to superannuation will limit contributions and impose a cap on balances, which should impact higher earners. Most people who made contributions in excess of A$25,000 are over 45 and earned more than A$180,000.
But the changes to the superannuation system will not take effect until July 2017, so it is too soon to know how that will impact superannuation funds. However the division between the self-managed and APRA regulated funds is clear.
This article was written by <a href="https://theconversation.com/au/team#jenni-henderson" target="_blank">Jenni Henderson</a>, The Conversation and and <a href="https://theconversation.com/au/team#josh-nicholas" target="_blank">Josh Nicholas</a>, The Conversation.
<div class="content" data-raw=""> </div>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

ATO data shows inequality is in everything from super to the property market

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A majority of voters think real estate tax concessions should be cut or left alone, while also backing the federal government's $50 billion plan to cut company taxes than oppose it, according to a recent poll. 
Amid the housing affordability debate ahead of the May budget, the poll finds there is neither a majority for or against whether investor taxes of negative gearing and the 50 percent capital gains tax concession should be curbed.
The poll by Fairfax Media/Ipsos found 35 per cent of the people surveyed indicating tax concessions for real estate investors be reduced, while 40 percent said they should remain the same. Only 19 per cent said the concessions should be increased.
Lowering tax concessions for housing was most popular with people aged over 55, and least popular (24 percent) for people aged 18 to 24, according to the survey of 1,400 respondents over the weekend.
Labor says negative gearing should be available only for new investors to new homes only and cutting the capital gains tax (CGT) concession to 25 percent for investors who hold the asset for at least a year.
The Coalition opposes touching negative gearing but has been looking at CGT options as part of its housing affordability package for the May budget, Fairfax media reported.
The Treasury has done extensive research for the government on the issue.
But on the decision by the Fair Work Commission to cut Sunday penalty rates for retail, hospitality, pharmacy, and fast food workers, the view is more emphatic, said the survey. Almost two-thirds, or 63 percent, do not buy into the argument that more businesses will choose to open on Sundays or public holidays once the pay rates are reduced. Just 29 percent believe otherwise.
The poll also finds voters evenly divided over the government's plans to cut the company tax rate to 25 percent from from 30 percent over the next 10 years.
Despite a concerted campaign by Labor against the tax cuts, 44 percent support the 10-year plan while 39 pe cent are opposed.
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Voters still to be convinced on negative gearing policies: Fairfax/Ipsos poll

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Bankwest has said it will not take into account negative gearing benefits when determining loan eligibility serviceability.
It means investors will not be able to secure as much in any loan application. It also could apply to existing loans.
It follows on from last week’s announcement when the Commonwealth Bank subsidiary said it was not accepting new applications for refinancing of investment properties.
BankWest has confirmed it will remove the tax advantages of negative gearing when determining whether or not applicants are eligible for investor loans, said a report in The Real Estate Conversation. 
The move would mean investors can borrow less from the lender. Also, as another consequence Bankwest would likely be writing fewer investment loans.
The Commonwealth Bank is expected to announce similar moves.
There was speculation in the media that both BankWest and the Commonwealth Bank were close to the 10 per cent growth cap for investor loans set by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority. 
The report cited an Australian Financial Review article quoting Mark Chapman, a director of tax accountants H&amp;R Block, that the rule change would affect existing borrowers.
"The impact of Bankwest's decision on new borrowers is not too bad – they can just borrow through another bank," he said. “But for existing BankWest borrowers, the change is retrospective.”
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Bankwest will ignore negative gearing tax benefits when calculating investor loans

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/62630/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Negative gearing was one of the federal election campaign’s fiercest battlegrounds.
While the Labor opposition claimed that the major beneficiaries of the tax policy were almost all in the very highest earnings bracket, the Coalition attacked any proposed changes, saying they would “smash” house prices and unfairly punish “mum and dad investors”.
The fact is, negative gearing can have surprising outcomes.
Using game theory, senior lecturer in mathematics Stephen Woodcock constructed four scenarios that demonstrate exactly who benefits from negative gearing.
You can watch a video explaining it <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2PTCQ2j1mQ" target="_blank">here</a>.
<h2>What happened</h2>
The game maximised the desirability of occupying the best house they could afford, whether this was by buying or renting.
The ultimate outcome was that richer players used negative gearing to keep purchasing multiple houses – forcing others to buy progressively inferior houses and/or rent from others. Some missed out completely and were forced to rent.
At the end of the game, one buyer owned all the houses, with all other players forced to rent from them.
And interestingly, in this game, negative gearing increased prices.
<h2>What does the future hold?</h2>
“It is easy to see how curious (and less than ideal) ownership patterns can arise when tax policies incentivise speculation in the property market. What is less clear is what can, or should, be done now,” says Dr Woodcock.
Dr Woodcock points out that both Sydney and Melbourne rank in the world’s five least affordable cities to buy a house. Despite record low interest rates, first home buyers are at the lowest level in years. First home owner grants have done little to help this and, arguably, have only served to increase prices further.
Instantly scrapping negative gearing would almost certainly cause a huge drop in prices, which would be manifestly unfair to people who made investment choices assuming that tax advantage would be available.
Labor’s proposed restriction of the benefit to newly built properties onlywould provide some relief. It has been argued, though, that this would encourage speculation in certain areas.
“A tax policy which avoids incentivising curious outcomes for society, yet retains basic fairness for existing investors would require subtle measures and crossbench support. Albeit by the narrowest of margins, the Coalition’s retention of power might mean that any such reforms are several years away.”
Interestingly, it was noted earlier this year that federal politicians – from both major parties – averaged more than two investment properties each.
Charis Palmer is deputy business editor, The Conversation and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/au/team#charis-palmer" target="_blank">here</a>.
Georgina Hall is editor, The Conversation and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/au/team#georgina-hall" target="_blank">here</a>.
Helen Westerman is business and economy editor, The Conversation.
Jenni Henderson is assistant editor, Business and Economy, The Conversation and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/au/team#jenni-henderson" target="_blank">here</a>.
Wes Mountain is deputy multimedia editor, The Conversation and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/au/team#wes-mountain" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Property 101: The curious incentives and consequences of negative gearing

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GUEST OBSERVER
While the weekend’s election was tight, if nothing else, it’s clear that Labor needs to rethink some of their policies if they’re to win a majority government in the future. 
After a bruising loss in the 2013 federal election, when Kevin Rudd fell to Tony Abbott in a landslide defeat, the Labor party has made up significant ground on the Liberals – the weekend’s election is clear proof of this.
However, it would seem that Labor’s ability to regain support isn’t necessarily because the Australian voter base is highly attracted to its policies, but rather has come from the party’s so called “mediscare” campaign. 
This was evident in the final weeks of the election campaign, when Labor strategically switched its focus from promoting its own policies to a sustained attack on the Liberal party over claims that it wanted to privatise Medicare – a claim that the Liberal’s unequivocally denied. 
The tactic clearly worked, though, and as soon as the polls closed, Labor was immediately espousing that it had won the campaign, if not the election.
Nevertheless, if Labor wants to form a majority government in future elections it will have to seriously rethink some of their policies, because they’ve failed to convince many middle-class voters of their plan for Australia’s future. Even though they’ve already won more seats than the 2013 election, Labor’s primary vote is currently the second lowest on record.
Labor’s approach to negative gearing is a prime example of a policy they need to rethink.
Being one of the party’s key policies, and one that is distinctly at odds with the Liberal party, it’s clear Labor’s stance on the matter hasn’t been accepted by ordinary Australians.
If Labor hasn’t already got the message, then maybe the results from a recent survey will show exactly how out of touch their negative gearing policy is with the Australian public.                 
The Real Estate Institute of WA conducted a survey in the weeks leading up to the election.
Asked if negative gearing should be restricted to only newly-built properties, just 3 percent of respondents answered, yes.
That is a resounding rejection of Labor’s negative gearing policy, which if implemented will cause major disruption to Australia’s housing markets.
With more than 9 million houses in Australia owned by owner-occupiers and investors, this is a significant portion of the voter base that will be effected.
These voters would be very hesitant to back a Labor party with their current negative gearing policy for fear they’d see the value of their properties decline.
That’s not even taking into account the huge number of renters that would be negatively affected as well.
Given this, Labor will have to seriously rethink their stance on negative gearing, and other policies, if they’re to have any chance of forming a majority government in future elections.
Damian Collins is the founder and managing director of Momentum Wealth and can be contacted <a href="https://www.momentumwealth.com.au/damian-collins/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Labor policy rethink needed to win majority government: Damian Collins

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Abolishing the current negative gearing and capital gains rules could have a drastic impact on the property market, possibly flooding the market with property as investors transition to different financing models according to Sam Comer, senior manager of Tax Advisory for Crowe Horwath, part of Findex.
She said for property investors their election decision could largely be steered by the impact any new policy will have on their investments and retirement planning. 
"With property usually being purchased with much higher leverage than shares, a change in the ruling would have the most drastic impact on the property market, which has always been a strong backbone of the Australian economy and investment main stake for mums and dads investors.," she said.
 ‘If we are seeing the negative gearing ruling changed, I anticipate a strong shift toward SMSF [self managed super fund] investing, taking the already strong trend to a massive migration. I don’t thing the full flow-on effect a new ruling would have has even been contemplated.
 For those voters out there unsure of the potential impact their vote would have on their investment strategy, <a href="https://www.ratecity.com.au/" target="_blank">RateCity.com.au</a> has released an Election Calculator.
 According to statistics from <a href="https://www.ratecity.com.au/election-2016" target="_blank">RateCity’s Election Calculator</a>, in NSW  5 percent of people under 80k, 12.3 percent(of total) plan to neg gear,  34.6 percent between 80-180k, 20.4 percent plan to neg gear, and 10.3 percent over 180k, 6.6 plan to neg gear.   While in Victoria, 62.2 percent under 80k, 11.2 percent neg gear, 35.2 percent between 80 and 180, 18.8 percent to neg gear, 7.6 percent over 180k, 5.1 percent to neg gear, and in Queensland, 56.1 percent under 80k, 7.2 to neg gear, 35.3 percent between 80-180, 16.7 percent to neg gear, and 8.6 percent over 180, 5 percent to neg gear.   
According to the data, RateCity claim Labor should be further ahead than it currently is depicted at in news polls.
Business owner and interest home buyer Michael said he was very surprised by the result – he has always been an avid Liberal voter, but discovered that Labor might be more beneficial for him from a financial perspective. 
"I have voted Liberal all my life and hadn't thought much about how the way I voted impacted me financially. This is certainly something worth taking into consideration."
<a href="/images/2016/07/01/newspollcompare%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/07/01/newspollcompare%201.jpg" alt="">
 
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Negative gearing battleground underpins election decision for voters

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
In the current housing tax debate a number of studies have come out arguing that while prices will fall (by varying amounts) rents will not be affected. That rents will be unaffected is surprising and (in my view) wrong.
Outside of the heat of an election, the Henry Tax Review’s comprehensive review of the tax system argued for lower taxes on savings, a proposition that most economists would regard as unexceptional. (There is now a (small) school of thought arguing for higher taxes on savings but this author for one does not subscribe to that.)
Specifically, the Henry Review recommended the marginal tax rates on interest and rental income should be 40 percent lower; for example, the 35 percent and 45 percent income tax rates on labour income would be lowered to 21 percent and 27 percent. For property investors these rates would also apply to capital gains and net losses, thereby reducing the value of negative gearing.
For ‘ungeared’ investors (those who do not take on debt), the effective tax rate would be lower while for highly geared investors the effective tax rate would be higher, leading to less incentive to leverage (making the Reserve Bank of Australia happy). Overall, the effective tax rate for the “average” investor would be higher.
Now the Henry Review acknowledged that its proposed changes would, by lifting the user cost of capital of investors, lift rents. It therefore explicitly said that its proposed changes would need to be accompanied by measures to both lower the cost of housing by removing supply constraints, and to lift levels of rental assistance for households in the private rental market. In short, it did not see the increases in rents as immaterial.
If the increase in user cost of capital (on investors who are ‘geared’ by borrowing money to invest) with the Labor proposal is higher (roughly double), on what basis could rents not rise? It is not evident to me.
The key component of the user cost of capital, and the one which varies the most over time, is interest rates. When interest rates rise or fall, we expect prices to fall, or rise. But interest rates also change rents, since rent = user cost × value of house.
And what we also see is that a rise in interest rates causes the rent-price ratio (that is, the ratio of home prices to annual rent, also referred to as the rental yield) to rise, while a drop in interest rates will see it fall.
To illustrate, consider Melbourne for the period 1991-2014 when interest rates have fallen significantly and the rent-price ratio has followed suit. This has seen prices increase significantly (4.9 percent pa in real terms), and faster than the rise in costs (3.2 percent). In inner areas where there is a significant location premium (over living at the urban fringe), the rise in prices has been fastest (5.8 percent) as the value of that location premium has been bid up.
That is, most of the change in the rent-price ratio has come from rising prices. On the other hand, in the outer areas, where there is no location premium and the value of a house is the structure plus the cost of land, prices (3.4 percent pa) have moved in line with costs (3.2 percent pa) but rents have risen much more slowly (1.4 percent). That is, rents explain the decline in rent-price ratios.
So, while the assumption of most commentators is that price movements do the work in changing rent-price ratios, and that is so over the short term, over a longer time span, rents do some of the adjustment.
Changes in interest rates are uncontroversial. But the same principles apply to changes in tax if they change the cost of capital, which is why the Henry Review expected rents to rise.
In the case of the Labor’s negative gearing changes, the waters are muddied for some by its proposed exemption on new housing. A couple of points here. Firstly, ABS figures are quoted to suggest that investors’ purchases are 93% established housing, and only 7% new housing. This significantly understates the role of investors.
The NAB residential property survey has domestic investor purchases of new housing at about 20-30% - that is, domestic investors are already a significant component of the new market (adding to supply!).
Secondly, Henry also expected a change in the mix of landlords to consolidate from one with a large number of small landlords, to one with a smaller number of large landlords. More marginal investors – middle income/low wealth investors – will be the first to vacate the field as their entry point is typically cheaper, old stock not premium new stock.
High income/low wealth investors will have the option of new dwellings. High income/high wealth individuals will benefit from the higher rents and lower prices on established dwellings.
That is, the ownership of the dwelling stock (and tax benefit!) will shift to the top end of income earners. But it is not clear that the special treatment of new housing will add materially, if at all, to supply of new dwellings.
In short, the law of unintended consequences will apply. Logic says that rents will rise, and with the 30 percent renting in the private market skewed to low income earners, that means housing affordability will have declined for these people.
Nigel Stapledon is Andrew Roberts fellow and director Real Estate Research and Teaching Centre for Applied Economic Research, UNSW Australia and an author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/nigel-stapledon-269708" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Why rents will rise under Labor’s negative gearing proposal

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The Australian Financial Review says Labor's budget forecasts have been undermined by revelations that the Parliamentary Budget Office believes the impact of negative gearing and capital gains tax changes are uncertain enough to make revenue forecasts of low reliability.
Its correspondent Laura Tingle writes Labor is heavily relying on its negative gearing/capital gains tax package to shore up its medium term budget position by raising over $37 billion over the next decade.
The Parliamentary Budget Office was actually asked by the Coalition to model a negative gearing and capital gains policy similar to Labor's policy.
The PBO estimated the policy submitted by the Coalition would raise around $6 billion a year by 2026-27, about $800 million less than Labor's published figures, but with a similar trajectory of increasing revenue from 2019-20 onwards.
Around $2.5 billion of this annual revenue would come from capital gains tax and around $3.5 billion from the negative gearing measures.
Tingle writes it was the first time there has been a reliable breakdown of the split in anticipated revenue collections between the two tax measures, albeit with PBO reflection on the uncertainty over the likely revenues.
"The costing is considered to be of low reliability due to uncertainty surrounding behavioural responses, broader economic impacts and assumptions surrounding the growth in the components of net investment income and capital gains", the costings document says.
"This response does not account for the potential broader macroeconomic implications of this proposal. In addition, the reliability of the costing decreases the further into the future the estimates are projected", PBO says.
An internal briefing for the government noted capital gains tax is seven times more volatile than total tax revenue and 2.5 times more volatile than company tax revenue.
This year's budget papers noted that "forecasting CGT is very difficult".
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Doubts on revenues from Labor's negative gearing and capital gains policy: AFR report

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A survey by the Urban Development Institute of Australia has found that the Federal Opposition's proposed changes to the negative gearing would prompt many residential property developers to shed staff and then build fewer homes.
The UDIA Property Industry Forecast Survey of 200 property industry business leaders found more than 50% of respondents said it was likely they would reduce their number of employees as well as the production of new dwellings.
“We are seven weeks into the election campaign and are yet to see any substantive evidence on the impacts of changes to negative gearing,” the UDIA national president, Michael Corcoran said.
“The people that know the impacts are the industry and they have said definitively that there is too much at risk to change.”
The UDIA had previously welcomed the Turnbull Government's announcement that there will be no changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax.
UDIA modelling, validated independently by MacroPlan Dimasi, suggested that a median investment house under current NG &amp; CGT arrangements still delivers between $43,897 to $71,699 net revenue to the Federal Budget bottom line.
"Changes to the status of Negative Gearing and CGT will hurt middle and low income Australian renters enormously.
"Changes to the status will spike rental prices, cause falls in the value of the family home and reduce supply of needed rental housing which is derived from both established and new housing stocks. Additionally, many first home buyers, who see building a new home as their path to home ownership, will be outbid for their new home by investors who have been forced in to this one segment " said UDIA President Michael Corcoran.
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