Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Joel Robinson

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

La Vera closes in on completion as Macquarie Park continues residential transformation

Brisbane developer Red &amp; Co's decision to include dual key apartments in its debut Gold Coast apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/como-varsity-lakes-22-lake-street-varsity-lakes-qld-4227">COMO Varsity Lakes</a>, is proving to be one of the project's biggest drawcards, with buyers quickly snapping up the flexible residences.

More than half of the project's 36 dual key apartments have already sold, helping drive COMO beyond the 50 per cent sold mark within the first month of launch.

The strong response highlights growing demand for apartment designs that can adapt to changing lifestyles, with buyers increasingly looking for homes that accommodate multi-generational living, provide rental income opportunities or simply offer greater flexibility over time.

Located on the shores of Lake Orr, COMO will deliver 156 apartments across 16 levels, with the dual-key residences forming a limited release within the broader development.

Each combines a primary two-bedroom apartment with a fully self-contained studio on a single title, connected by a shared foyer and lockable internal door. The design allows owners to house ageing parents, adult children or guests while maintaining privacy, or lease the secondary residence to generate additional income.

Just 17 of the original 36 dual key apartments remain available.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=367096]

The innovative configuration combines two fully self-contained residences on a single title, typically comprising a primary two-bedroom apartment alongside a separate studio residence, connected via a shared foyer and lockable internal door.&nbsp;

The model is proving particularly attractive to owner occupiers navigating changing family dynamics and the realities of the current housing crisis.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363511]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/npa">NPA</a>&nbsp;CEO Andrew Erwin said dual key living was resonating strongly with modern buyers because it delivered both financial flexibility and practical lifestyle benefits.&nbsp;

“The housing crisis and rising cost of living are fundamentally changing how Australians think about home ownership,” Erwin said.&nbsp;

“Dual key apartments provide a genuine solution for families who want to stay connected while maintaining independence. Parents can help adult children save for a future home, ageing parents can remain nearby without moving into aged care, and owners still retain privacy and flexibility.

“Importantly, buyers are also recognising the financial advantages. It creates the opportunity to generate additional income from part of the home without the holding costs associated with owning a separate investment property.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363509]

Unlike traditional dual occupancy arrangements, the residences operate under a single title, meaning owners only incur one set of body corporate fees, council rates and holding costs.&nbsp;

The secondary residence can also evolve over time - functioning as guest accommodation, a home office, creative studio or private retreat before later becoming an income-producing asset.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/red-co">Red &amp; Co</a>&nbsp;Director and Co-Founder David Laverty said the strong early sales reflected growing buyer urgency and changing priorities within the market.&nbsp;

“Securing more than half of COMO’s residences within such a short timeframe is an outstanding result and a clear endorsement of both the design and location,” Laverty said.&nbsp;

“Buyers are responding to the combination of location, connectivity and amenity, but ultimately it’s value relative to other East Coast markets that is driving enquiry.”&nbsp;

“We’re also seeing strong interest from owner occupiers looking for homes that can adapt with them over time. Flexibility has become one of the most important considerations for buyers in today’s market.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363515]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, COMO features a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom residences with 2.7-metre ceilings and larger-format floorplans aimed at owner occupiers, downsizers and lifestyle-focused buyers.&nbsp;

The development will feature an extensive rooftop recreation and wellness offering including a 25-metre lap pool, sundeck, barbecue and dining areas, gym, sauna, plunge baths, landscaped gardens, wellness spaces and rooftop pickleball and paddleball courts.

The remaining dual key apartments range from 137 sqm to 167 sqm and include generous three-bedroom layouts with separate self-contained studio accommodation and dual parking.&nbsp;

Erwin said the dual key concept represented a broader shift in how Australians would live in the future.

“People want homes that can evolve with their lives,” he said.&nbsp;

“A dual key apartment can suit a family today, support an ageing parent tomorrow, and potentially generate income later on. That adaptability is becoming incredibly valuable in the current environment.”

Prices currently range from $2,115,750 to $2,583,000.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135546]

Inter-generational living drives demand for COMO’s dual key apartments as housing pressures reshape buyer priorities 

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ceerose">Ceerose</a> has doubled down on its Leichhardt ambitions, lodging its second State Significant Development Application (SSDA) in the suburb in the last six months.

Their newest proposal seeks to transform a former industrial precinct into a new residential community centred around the adaptive reuse of one of the site's heritage warehouse buildings.

The new project, on a 6,930 sqm block at&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-76-william-street-leichhardt-nsw-2040">40–76 William Street</a>, will bring more than 200 apartments to a suburb that has seen little to no new supply in recent years. It follows Ceerose's late 2025 SSDA for a mixed-use apartment project on nearby Parramatta Road, signalling the developer's growing investment in Sydney's Inner West.

Ceerose Founder Edward Doueihi told Apartments.com.au the developer’s long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West had given it a strong understanding of how the area has evolved and where its future opportunities lie.

“Ceerose has had a long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West, giving us a unique understanding of the area’s evolution and future potential,” Doueihi said.

“Having delivered projects throughout the region, we have witnessed the suburb’s transformation first-hand and understand the opportunities for its continued growth.”

Doueihi said that understanding also informed the planning process, with a comprehensive Stakeholder Engagement Outcomes Report prepared before the application was lodged.

The report identified the key issues and concerns raised by neighbouring residents and other stakeholders, allowing those matters to be considered and incorporated into the design where appropriate.

He said the delivery of additional housing would also play an important role in supporting the revitalisation of Norton Street and the Italian Forum.

“By increasing the local residential population, the development is expected to strengthen demand for local businesses, encourage further investment, and help restore the vibrancy that made the precinct a thriving destination in the early 2000s.”

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7258c54c-8167-479e-8361-2d5fca9915b4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010B%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%202.jpg?VersionId=S9DQfxu_jpcB5LrAEYFUbyMzg5odW6i5" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the redevelopment would involve the demolition of four existing industrial buildings while retaining and adaptively reusing the site's most significant warehouse. The retained structure would anchor a new residential precinct comprising five interconnected buildings arranged around a large central landscaped courtyard, with heights stepping from five storeys along the surrounding residential streets to 11 storeys at the William Street corner.

According to the Architecture Design Report by Woods Bagot, the proposal "seeks to create a residential village centred around a generous green heart while celebrating the site's industrial heritage through the adaptive reuse of the existing warehouse building."

The development would comprise 203 apartments, with 188 proposed as build-to-sell residences, alongside 15 affordable housing apartments.

Rather than treating the retained warehouse as a standalone heritage object, Woods Bagot has sought to weave the site's industrial history throughout the masterplan. The proposal retains the north and west facades of the landmark corner warehouse, while new buildings reinterpret the site's brick-and-steel industrial language through their material palette and architectural expression.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9e8c64c2-881b-49e1-8c90-6b6acaaa45b6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010C%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%203.jpg?VersionId=Qm8_8H_Xrg_sc4Mdjc59vlAcKF_5wRTb" />

The design is organised around what Woods Bagot describes as a "green heart", a landscaped communal open space that reinstates the leafy character removed when the site became an industrial storage facility. A new pedestrian laneway running through the site would improve permeability between William, North and Francis streets, linking residents through landscaped public spaces while activating the ground plane.

Residents would have access to communal gardens and shared recreation areas distributed throughout the development. Sustainability has also been prioritised, with the project targeting an average 7.9-star NatHERS rating. Proposed initiatives include rooftop solar generation, rainwater harvesting, passive solar design, naturally ventilated lobbies, extensive cross-ventilation and the reuse of existing building fabric to reduce embodied carbon.

The adaptive reuse strategy became a defining feature of the application after heritage investigations found only one of the site's industrial buildings could feasibly be retained. The Heritage Impact Statement concludes that preserving the key warehouse façades while referencing the site's industrial character throughout the new development provides an appropriate balance between renewal and conservation.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="efffafdb-594f-4e2b-a067-921fd51c05e1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010D%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%204.jpg?VersionId=DPmE4.k16YRt0i27hEZVtJAffarpvUfx" />

"Retention and adaptation of the site buildings has been explored but found not to be feasible except for the tallest building, whose street facades will be retained," the heritage report states.

"The proposed building will interpret the brick and steel character of the subject site, including reuse of some components and construction of a large 'sawtooth' structure in the proposed open space."

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3bfef2b5-83f5-40cd-9cab-767092f34266" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010E%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%205.jpg?VersionId=7asb3i_ql4ybbuJOUb5UHBEIy0Q9t.DF" />

The William Street site is located around 300 metres from Leichhardt North Light Rail station and a short walk to Norton Street's retail, dining and hospitality precinct. The surrounding area has increasingly become a focus for urban renewal given its proximity to public transport and the Parramatta Road corridor.

Doueihi founded Ceerose in 1998 and has grown the business to become one of Sydney's more active apartment developers in recent years, with completed projects including The Alex Collective in Alexandria, Abbie's Lane in Annandale, and the award-winning Munro House in Elizabeth Bay. They are currently delivering Belgravia, 17 luxury apartments in Potts Point.

First look: Ceerose doubles down in Leichhardt with adaptive reuse of former warehouse site

credit

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Credit growth has been slowing as the housing sector cools in response to tighter lending conditions.
However, in the September quarter, a burst of strength in the business segment provided some temporary respite.
Total credit grew by 0.4% in the month of September, including a 0.35% rise for housing and a 0.6% expansion in business
Annual credit growth is 4.6% currently, moderating from 5.3% a year ago. Housing growth has eased to 5.2% from 6.6% over this period. Business grew by 4.4% over the past year, up a fraction from 4.2% a year earlier. Personal credit continues to contract, down 0.9% in the year to September 2017 and falling by a further 1.5% over the past year.
Business credit remains volatile around a modest uptrend. The September quarter saw a brisk rise of 2.0%, up sharply from gains in the three previous quarters (0.9%, 0.8% and 0.6%). The pace of the past three months is unlikely to be sustained given the current economic and financial backdrop.
On housing, indicators point to a further cooling of conditions. House prices have turned, moving lower following a strong run, and dwelling approvals are down from the 2016 peak and are likely to move lower still after an extended upswing, to bring them more in line with underlying requirements.
Tighter lending conditions and rising funding costs will continue to weigh on the housing sector over coming months - recall that 3 of the 4 major retail banks raised mortgage rates over August and September.
Momentum in housing credit, as measured by 3 month annualised growth, has slowed progressively from a peak of 6.8% in May 2017 to be 4.7% currently.
Tighter lending conditions were largely directed at the investor market. The upshot is a marked slowing in investor credit growth. For the three months to September, investor credit almost stalled, advancing by only 1.4% annualised.
The slowing in the owner-occupier market has been less pronounced - but the trend is lower. The 3 month annualised pace for owner-occupier housing credit is 6.4% currently, a moderation from a peak of 8.7% last July.
Turning to business credit, this is volatile around a modest uptrend, as noted above. Annual growth is 4.4% currently - three months earlier it dipped to 3.2%.
In 2017, the business mood improved, mirroring the global trend. This has translated into an increase in business investment in the real economy by the non-mining sectors.
Currently, business credit growth is undershooting growth in non-mining business investment, the reverse of the experience in recent years, suggesting a greater reliance by businesses on other sources of funding, including retained earnings.
Andrew Hanlan is a Senior Economist for Westpac
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Credit growth slowing as housing sector cools, responding to tighter lending conditions: Andrew Hanlan

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Mrs Shilpa Karandikar and Mr Shrikrishna Karandikar of Clarinda, Victoria have separately appeared in the Moorabbin Magistrates Court on 3 October 2018 having been charged with offences against the National Consumer Credit Protection Act 2009 (National Credit Act) following an ASIC investigation. The matters were adjourned for mention on 5 December 2018.
Mrs Karandikar was charged with three counts of engaging in credit activities contrary to a four-year ASIC banning order against her. It is alleged that Mrs Karandikar had prepared and submitted home loan applications for three customers in contravention of the banning order made on 10 July 2014. That order was made on the basis that Mrs Karandikar had submitted false documents to secure a $243,000 home loan for a customer.
Mr Karandikar was charged with three counts of giving false documents to the National Australia Bank, certifying that he had completed customer identification forms in the presence of the home loan applicants, when it is alleged he had not met them. The home loan applications were submitted to the National Australia Bank through Mr Karandikar's former mortgage broking business, Siddhi Vinayak Finance Pty Ltd.
ASIC permanently banned Mr and Mrs Karandikar in December 2017 from engaging in credit activities. The basis for the permanent bannings included the continuation of credit activities and misleading and deceptive conduct.
The Commonwealth Director of Public Prosecutions is prosecuting these matters.
Background
The National Australia Bank identified the misconduct and reported it to ASIC.
Engaging in conduct that is contrary to a banning order, contrary to section 82 of the National Credit Act, carries a maximum criminal penalty of 100 penalty units and/or two years imprisonment.
Giving information or a document to another person, while engaging in a credit activity that is false in a material particular, or materially misleading, contrary to section 160D of the National Credit Act, carries a maximum criminal penalty of 100 penalty units and/or two years imprisonment.
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Couple charged with breaking ASIC banning order and providing false documents 

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
The latest private sector credit data from the Reserve Bank (RBA) shows that the expansion of housing credit continues to slow with both owner occupier and investor credit growth tracking lower in April. 
The RBA recently released private sector credit figures for April 2018 and the data reiterates the ongoing slowing of demand for housing credit. Over the month, housing credit expanded by 0.4% which, when rounded, was the slowest monthly expansion in housing credit since June 2013. Over the past 12 months, housing credit has increased by 6.0% which is its slowest annual increase since March 2014. The first two charts show how in 2008 and 2013, when dwelling values were falling, the expansion of credit also slowed.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/6/12/credit%201.jpg" alt="">
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/6/12/credit%202.jpg" alt=""> 
Housing credit expansion is slowing for both owner occupiers and investors. Over the month, owner occupier credit increased by 0.6% while investor credit expanded by just 0.1%. Over the month, owner occupier credit expanded at its slowest monthly rate since December 2016 and investor credit expanded at its slowest pace since March 2016. In the recent housing market downturns, it has typically been investor credit growth that has slowed much more than owner occupier. Given that investors have been a substantial driver of housing demand over recent years, it is reasonable to expect that investor credit growth will slow further from here as values in the most investor-centric markets (Sydney and Melbourne) continue to fall.
On an annual basis, it is clear that the slowdown in investor credit growth is entrenched, while owner occupier housing credit has also slowed, but is holding firmer. Owner occupier credit expanded by 8.0% over the past year, its slowest annual expansion since January 2018 while investor credit grew by just 2.3% which is its slowest rate of annual growth since September 2016.
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/6/12/credit%203.jpg" alt="">
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/6/12/credit%204.jpg" alt="">
As at the end of April 2018 there was $2.827 trillion in credit outstanding to Australian authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs), Of this $2.827 trillion, $1.755 trillion or 62.1% was to residential housing with a further 32.5% to business and 5.4% for other personal credit. Although it has only occurred over the past two months, after trending higher for many years, the share of total credit that was for housing has edged lower. In previous housing market downturns, the share of outstanding credit to housing has fallen. Given this, the expectation is that the share of total credit for housing will continue to decline over the coming months as values continue to fall.
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/6/12/crediet%205.jpg" alt="">
The slowdown in housing credit growth is being driven by a range different factors. Firstly, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) introduced a 10% speed limit on investor credit in December 2014 which has resulted in a slowing of investor credit growth. Although APRA have announced that this cap will be removed shortly it is unlikely that investor credit growth will accelerate in a meaningful way. Secondly, loan serviceability is now being calculated across the board based on an interest rate of at least 7% which has made accessing credit for some more difficult. APRA has also implemented a cap on interest-only lending of 30% of all new mortgages, this has led to a substantial drop in demand for this product which was largely used for investors. Finally, lenders are now typically charging premiums of 60 basis points on interest rates for investors compared to owner occupiers with premiums typically in excess of 100 basis points for investors with interest-only loans.
Although the 10% speed limit is set to be lifted from July 1st, the likelihood of a rebound in housing credit remain low. The 30% cap on interest-only lending has a much more broad based dampening effect on investor activity. Add to this the fact that APRA is now focusing more on minimising debt to income ratios higher than 6 and maintaining a focus on keeping low deposit lending to a minimum and banks are stepping up their scrutiny on borrower expenses and incomes. The net effect is likely to be further tightness in housing credit which will continue to constrict housing market activity and reduce prospects for price appreciation.
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Housing credit growth tracking at slowest pace since mid-2013: Cameron Kusher

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Rating agency Moody's Investors Service says earnings reported by 13 Australian real estate investment trusts (A-REITs) rated by it suggest their credit quality will remain strong throughout FY2017.
It also expects the rated A-REITs' liquidity to remain strong because of their moderate level of debt maturities over the next 12 months.
Eleven trusts reported results for the first halves of their 2017 fiscal years, while the other two reported for all of calendar 2016.
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"We expect the A-REITs' financial leverage -- as measured by adjusted net debt/EBITDA -- to increase slightly during their respective fiscal years as the trusts take on modest amounts of debt to fund developments and acquisitions," said Kirsten Lee, analyst at Moody's Investor Service.
"Nonetheless, modest net operating income (NOI) and funds from operations (FFO) growth of around 2.0%-3.0% will partially offset the increase in debt, while the NOI and FFO growth will be driven by a continued high level of contracted rental income from relatively long-weighted lease expiries," adds Lee.
Moody's conclusions were contained in its latest report, "Financial Results Indicate Credit Quality Will Remain Strong Through Fiscal 2017". 
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The report said that because of a lack of immediate suitable investment opportunities, with assets seen as being priced at the peak of the cycle, the majority of the A-REITs are likely to continue operating at the lower end of their internal target gearing ranges to retain balance-sheet flexibility. 
They will also operate with sufficient cushions within their rating tolerance levels to manage a potential turn in the property cycle.
In contrast to the larger A-REITS, Moody's expects the smaller A-REITs to remain acquisitive, as they seek to expand their asset bases.
The rating agency expects that retail trusts will continue to see solid comparable NOI growth, owing to broadly steady vacancy rates and fixed rent increases, and despite slowing sales growth.
The underlying operating environment for super regional and regional malls is likely to remain supportive, with a strong pipeline of demand from international retailers keeping occupancies at high levels.
However, Moody's expects re-leasing spreads and comparable NOI growth will be negatively affected if significant retailer bankruptcies continue because rental rates on new leases are typically lower than those on renewed leases.
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The comparable NOI growth of sub-regional malls will be the most negatively affected, should this occur, due to weaker International retailer demand.
Moody's said it expects the rated office and industrial A-REITs with high exposure to Sydney will continue to see moderate NOI growth, driven by fixed rent increases, higher occupancies and lower incentives.
It also expects the rated A-REITs' liquidity to remain strong because they have a moderate level of debt maturities over the next 12 months.
Of the 13 A-REITs that have reported, six demonstrated credit neutral results, while four were credit positive and three negative, it said.
The results reflect a modest reduction in average financial leverage as most A-REITs have paid down debt from the proceeds of their non-core asset sales. This, coupled with a modest development pipeline -- will see the rated A-REITs maintaining strong balance sheets and good headroom within their ratings over the next 12 to 18 months, concludes the report. 
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Rated A-REITs to show strong credit quality in 2017: Moody's

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ASIC has cancelled the Australian credit licence of S &amp; S Enterprises Pty Ltd, trading as appliance rental business Rent To Own Appliances, after ASIC found it had entered into credit contracts where it charged consumers an annual interest rate higher than the 48 per cent maximum allowable under the National Credit Act.
ASIC found that Rent To Own Appliances charged consumers an effective rate of interest as high as 208 per cent.
In response to ASIC's concerns, Rent To Own Appliances has agreed to stop collecting payments on all current contracts and to allow consumers under these 'rent to buy' contracts to keep the goods being purchased under the contracts.
ASIC Deputy Chair Peter Kell said, 'Credit licensees must understand their obligations under the law and take compliance with those obligations seriously. This includes understanding the limits in the law about maximum interest rates which they can charge consumers.
“As this case demonstrates, ASIC will remove those licensees from the industry which fail to meet their obligations under the law”.
Rent To Own Appliances has agreed to maintain its membership with an external dispute resolution scheme, the Credit &amp; Investments Ombudsman (CIO), for a period of at least 12 months after its' credit licence is cancelled.
Consumers who entered into a contract with Rent To Own Appliances and have any questions should contact Rent To Own Appliances on (03) 5964 6512 or 0433 585 130 to discuss the matter. Any consumer who is not happy with Rent To Own Appliances' response should contact CIO on 1800 138 422.
Rent To Own Appliances' credit licence (credit licence number 392764) was cancelled with effect from 26 October 2016.
A 'rent to buy' contract is an arrangement where you agree to purchase an item (for example, a fridge or television) by 'renting' that item for a set period of time. You make regular payments, for example, every month, over the agreed period (say 3 years). Under the terms of the agreement, you are not actually hiring the goods but you are making a commitment to buy them. At the end of the rental period, you own the goods.
Rent to buy contracts are treated under the law as credit contracts and have a maximum allowable annual interest rate of 48 per cent. For more information, refer to the Rent to buy factsheet on ASIC's MoneySmart website.
Rent To Own Appliances entered into credit contracts with consumers for furniture and household appliances. It operated a website (www.renttoownappliances.com.au) and traded from Lilydale in Victoria.
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ASIC cancels credit licence of Rent To Own Appliances

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ASIC has permanently banned former credit representative Tony Nguyen from the credit industry following an investigation.
Mr Nguyen, of Bankstown, New South Wales, is banned from engaging in credit activities due to ASIC finding him "not a fit and proper person to engage in credit activities". His conduct involved multiple breaches of the credit legislation and was considered serious, repeated, and dishonest.
About September 2013 and February 2014, ASIC investigations found Mr Nguyen gave eight loan applications and 30 supporting documents to a lender which contained false information about the clients' income and employment. Among the false supporting documents were:
1.   13 payslips and 5 PAYG payment summaries stating that his clients worked for companies they had never worked for;
2.   2 payslips stating that the client earned a gross annual salary of $79,706 as a warehouse assistant when in fact he earned about $38,000 gross per year; and
3.   a notice of assessment, an income tax return and an income tax return estimate stating the client earned a taxable income of $273,998 from a nail beauty salon in Fairfield West when in fact the client earned about $50,000 and owned a nail beauty salon in Gosford.
ASIC found Mr Nguyen was acting as an unauthorised mortgage broker, providing credit assistance when he was not authorised to do so by an Australian credit licensee. 
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Nail beauty salon misinformation leads to ASIC ban on home loan broker

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ASIC has banned Mr Raghwa Nand Prasad from providing financial services and from engaging in credit activities for four years following an investigation.
ASIC found between February 2008 and March 2011, Mr Prasad contravened credit legislation and financial services laws, and was involved in Ms Prasad’s contravention of credit legislation and financial services laws. ASIC made these findings on the basis that, in respect of the seven loan applications which involved false documents created by Ms Prasad, Mr Prasad, among other things:
<ul>
<li>was familiar with his clients’ financial situation, having acted as their tax agent</li>
<li>signed off on applications containing false documents without querying whether the application accurately represented his client’s financial situation</li>
<li>knew the application documents were false,</li>
<li>directed or allowed Ms Prasad to send the application containing the false documents to the lender.</li>
</ul>
In May 2015, ASIC banned Ms Prasad for 10 years from engaging in credit activities and from providing financial services following her conviction for loan fraud. 
In September 2014, Mr Prasad’s former wife and broker assistant, Ms Shashi Kanta Prasad, was convicted for creating false loan documents in an attempt to secure home loans totalling more than $3.6 million.
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ASIC bans broker for four years

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<img src="/images/2015/07/21/Holdencapital_banner.jpg" alt="" width="788" height="166">
 
SPONSORED POST
“A clear and concise marketing plan that will deliver the projected return”
Sounds simple…. yet we see so few doing it well and most don’t do it at all! For the most part, the key elements of a loan application are well understood by most developers and don’t vary much. Fundamentally they comprise: 
<ul>
<li>
Your financial position and credit worthiness: these are what they are and you can’t gild the lily trying to make them appear better than they are (although some try and fail);</li>
<li>
Gross realisation values and project expenses: completed product prices, land value and associated build costs are all fairly defined values. They will be determined by the market (via pre-sales and tenders on the build job) and certified by the relevant market experts (valuers and QS/engineers);</li>
<li>
The project team and past experience: again, these are relatively pre-defined components of your finance application and while you can enhance them with the introduction of appropriate expertise and testimonials, for the most part the key components have been locked in by the time the application is submitted;</li>
<li>
The capital structure and project feasibility: the combination of debt, junior debt and equity is generally driven by how much equity you have or choose to contribute to the transaction, and the project feasibility draws on the known elements of costs and end values and the time required to undertake the process. While many try and rush this part of the process, the one thing you can’t buy is time, but if you understand the market you are operating in, you can use it to your advantage!</li>
</ul>
As lenders/investors contemplating financing and/or investing in your next project, we would argue that the key element most often missing from applications we see, and the one that you should arguably have the most influence over, is explaining to us how and to whom you are going to sell the product. 
And it is not just your ability to sell the first 60% of the project in order to repay our funds that is critical, but how you will sell the last unit of stock, which represents your profit because that is what will convince us that you fully understand the deal you want us to invest in. So let’s look at what we actually want to hear/read about:
<ul>
<li>
Where will the demand for your product come from? Too many developers fail to understand the market dynamics of supply and demand and who will be the buyers; 
</li>
<li>
The second part to who, is “why” will they buy it? Why does your product meet the identified demand and how have you gone about satisfying yourself this is so? Again, too many developers follow the herd. What we as financiers/investors want to see is a considered approach based on an understanding of the market and economic factors driving the product decisions. This doesn’t have to be a costly exercise with massive reports. Quite simply, we want to see that the developer understands the markets dynamics at play in the area he is choosing to develop, and that he has created a product designed to meet the relevant drivers;
</li>
<li>
Why is yours better than the one down the road? Again, this is simply another way for you to demonstrate that you understand what the market wants and what the competition is doing. Frankly, if you don’t know the answer to these questions you should be seriously reconsidering why you are a developer.
</li>
<li>
What will they be willing to pay for it? And can you show evidence of similar product being purchased for that dollar value. Often the formal valuation report will be a precondition to settlement, and an approval will be required before it is produced. In its absence, we are looking for evidence to support the proposed Gross Realisation values in your feasibility. An ability to point to recent and relevant market sales in support of your assumptions is another way of demonstrating your professionalism;
</li>
<li>
How much will it cost to secure the sales and how will they be funded? In order to attract these buyers, marketing collateral, and an on-site sales office, sales agents salaries, marketeers fees up front and back end are all important considerations which many developers pay minimal consideration to, often because they do not fully understand the issues involved. We cannot stress enough just how important these elements of the deal are, and how your understanding of them influences credit and equity investment decisions. In particular, how you propose to fund them before and during the project construction phases are key to us fully understanding the real profitability of the project. 
</li>
</ul>
Simply put, more than anything else, if you can demonstrate a clear understanding of these marketing and sales related processes (and they are two very different beasts) you will get the attention of a lender or equity investor. Once you have our attention, it’s a much easier process to gain the approvals you are seeking. 
To find out more about which option best suits your next project, contact Dan Holden at HoldenCAPITAL on 0401 669 502 or visit HoldenCAPITAL <a href="https://www.holdencapital.com.au/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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