<p>Lewis Land's latest apartment release within its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan is targeting one of the Gold Coast's fastest-growing buyer groups, with almost a third of apartments at Solis priced below $1 million.</p>

<p>The seven-storey building at Biggera Waters will comprise 91 apartments, including 24 one-bedroom residences starting from $778,000, a price point Lewis Land says is aimed squarely at first home buyers struggling to enter the Gold Coast market.</p>

<p><img alt="Harbour Shires" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e7486e37-22f6-4c92-b212-9b0622070b8f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-08%20at%209.09.34%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=W8MJwJUCf6HkIyl_EVSksnd.QI6MZryY" /></p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lewis-land-group">Lewis Land</a> Head of Development Michael Long said the developer deliberately allocated a significant proportion of the project to more affordable apartment types.</p>

<p>"First home buyers have been priced out of many parts of the Gold Coast, and we saw a clear opportunity to address this and play our part in a longer-term housing solution," Long said.</p>

<p>"That's why 24 of the 91 apartments being delivered at Solis have been designed and priced for the city's next generation of homeowners, quality one-bedroom apartments, half of which include an additional multipurpose room to maximise space and flexibility.</p>

<p>"This approach places 30 per cent of apartments in Solis under $1 million, and with close proximity to Harbour Town's future light rail extension connecting residents to the city's major employment and knowledge hubs, it's a win for buyers looking to secure their first property."</p>

<p><img alt="Sores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="550526d3-73ba-4710-9739-c5f4294a30ef" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-08%20at%209.09.29%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=cQQdXHt9wS0UXwZEm5Py5bH_3kAmzyhu" /></p>

<p>Designed by BDA Architecture, Solis will deliver a mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments, with residences ranging up to 232 sqm. Apartments feature generous balconies and contemporary finishes, while residents will have access to Harbour Shores' lagoon pool, clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga studio and sauna.</p>

<p>The focus on first home buyers resonated with purchaser Holly Humphreys, who said she and her boyfriend spent more than a year searching for their first property before shifting their attention from houses to apartments.</p>

<p>"We fell in love with the first house we bid on and got our hopes up, but after repeated knockbacks we learned not to get too attached," Humphreys said.</p>

<p>"We offered at the high end of price guides, but sales kept going even higher. That's where we really struggled and we needed to re-evaluate our budget and our expectations. Standalone houses were off the table, and we pivoted to apartments and townhouses."</p>

<p>Humphreys said it was encouraging to see developers recognising the growing demand from first home buyers.</p>

<p>"There's a growing number of young buyers looking to enter the market earlier because they understand that getting in now can make a real difference as prices continue to rise," she said.</p>

<p>"It's fantastic to see a developer recognise this and then actively take measures to deliver an apartment with us in mind."</p>

<p>Solis is the first development planned within the second stage of the Harbour Shores masterplan, with early works expected to commence in September 2026.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]</p>


Joel Robinson

Lewis Land targets first home buyers at latest Harbour Shores release, Solis

<p>Luxury apartment developer Abadeen has recorded $19.25 million in apartment sales across two of its Lower North Shore developments in the lead-up to the end of the financial year, headlined by the sale of a $6.75 million penthouse at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/koyo-crows-nest-5-rodborough-avenue-crows-nest-nsw-2065">KOYO in Crows Nest.</a></p>

<p>The transactions also included the sale of a newly completed three-bedroom apartment at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/park-residences-cremorne-2-sutherland-street-cremorne-nsw-2090">Park Residences in Cremorne</a> for $6.35 million, with the residence selling shortly after the project's first public inspections following completion.</p>

<p>The sales come as completed, owner-occupier-focused apartments continue to attract strong demand across Sydney's Lower North Shore, particularly from buyers looking for certainty and immediate occupancy.</p>

<p>The penthouse at KOYO spans 491 sqm across a single level and was designed by architect Koichi Takada. The development is one of Abadeen's flagship boutique projects in Crows Nest.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=108800 project_image_fid=370093]</p>

<p>Abadeen Executive Chairman and Founder Justin Brown said buyer activity lifted noticeably in the lead-up to the end of the financial year.</p>

<p>"We saw a clear increase in enquiry levels, inspection numbers and buyer engagement across our completed projects leading into the end of the financial year," Brown said.</p>

<p>"Buyers have become far more decisive over the past six months. The combination of improving confidence, limited supply and the ability to physically inspect completed residences is creating strong competition for premium apartments in the best locations."</p>

<p>Brown says the&nbsp;response to Park Residences following completion has been particularly strong.</p>

<p>"Buyers want certainty and are responding positively to the opportunity to walk through a finished product, inspect the quality firsthand and move in immediately," Brown suggested.</p>

<p>"Projects such as Park Residences and KOYO demonstrate that when the product is exceptional and the location is irreplaceable, buyers are prepared to act quickly."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=114246 project_image_fid=370116]</p>

<p>Abadeen CEO Joe Tack said quality continued to differentiate projects in the current market.</p>

<p>"Today's buyers are incredibly discerning," Tack said.</p>

<p>"They are seeking larger floorplans, premium finishes, walkability, lifestyle amenity and confidence in the developer delivering the project. Well-designed boutique developments continue to outperform because they offer something genuinely difficult to replace.</p>

<p>"The enquiry we are seeing across our completed and recently completed Lower North Shore portfolio is very encouraging, and we expect this momentum to continue into spring."</p>

<p>The sales follow increased enquiry across Abadeen's Lower North Shore portfolio which also includes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/northcote-collective-naremburn-2-northcote-street-naremburn-nsw-2065">Northcote Collective in Naremburn</a> which also completed recently.</p>


KOYO penthouse headlines Abadeen's $19.25 million EOFY sales flurry

<p>The City of Sydney has approved plans for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/billbergia">Billbergia Group</a> and Metrics Credit Partners’ $3.5 billion Castlereagh Place project in the heart of the Sydney CBD</p>

<p>The towers will be among the tallest in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/sydney-nsw-2000">Sydney</a>'s CBD, with more floors than any other residential tower in the city.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The 6,000 sqm site was acquired by the joint venture partners in 2024. It is the largest amalgamated land parcel in the Sydney CBD and comprises eight individual sites fronting Castlereagh, Pitt and Liverpool Streets.&nbsp;</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castlereagh-place-sydney-324-348-pitt-street-sydney-nsw-2000">Castlereagh Place</a> will transform an underutilised city block into a landmark mixed-use destination, anchored by two 82-storey towers comprising 607 luxury residences above an 8-level podium housing a 209-room luxury hotel. A 1,000 square metre civic park on ground level features a curated mix of food, beverage and retail.</p>

<p>The plans have been refined over the past year to rebalance the residential and hotel offering, and reconfigure the retail footprint to create a stronger, more dynamic dining experience.</p>

<p>A three-level flagship building on the prominent corner of Pitt and Liverpool Streets will be the gateway to the Castlereagh Place lifestyle precinct. Set to become a Sydney icon, the building is capable of housing multiple hospitality venues.</p>

<p>“Castlereagh Place is designed to be the City's next great urban oasis - an energetic mixed-use precinct that pulses with life, day and night,"&nbsp;said Joseph Kinsella, Group Director of Billbergia.</p>

<p>"It will bring the vibrancy of places like Barangaroo and Darling Quarter into a more accessible, central destination at the very heart of Sydney."</p>

<p>Kinsella said the project will build on&nbsp;Sydney’s growing laneway culture with the City’s largest network of new activated lanes - an expanded, next-generation take on precincts like Angel Place, Palings Lane and Ash Street in Wynyard.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134477 project_image_fid=374401]</p>

<p>Castlereagh Place has been designed by architects <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fjc-studio">fjcstudio</a> in collaboration with Trias Studio, Aileen Sage and Polly Harbison Design, joint winners of an international design competition in 2018.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Signature design elements from the original scheme remain unchanged, while the public domain has been significantly enhanced, delivering 60 per cent more open-to-sky space.</p>

<p>Pedestrian access will also be enhanced through new laneways linking Pitt, Liverpool and Castlereagh Streets, drawing people into a new civic park with outdoor seating, landscaping and integrated public art.</p>

<p>With activated laneways supported by strong hospitality offerings, Castlereagh Place is tipped to become a vibrant new dining destination in the heart of Sydney’s CBD.</p>

<p>It marks the largest undertaking to date for the Billbergia and Metrics Credit Partners partnership. Together they are developing other underutilised Sydney sites into mixed-use precincts, including the $2.2 billion Concord Central and the $1.3 billion Chatswood Grand Residences.</p>

<p>Metrics Managing Partner and Group CEO Andrew Lockhart said Castlereagh Place is a landmark project that will redefine Sydney’s skyline.</p>

<p>"As the tallest residential high-rise development, the revitalised site will offer panoramic views across the CBD and surrounds. We are excited to partner with Billbergia to reinvigorate an underutilised site and create a sophisticated and contemporary mixed-use offering situated in the heart of Sydney.”</p>

<p>Total apartments within the towers have increased to 607 dwellings, with a focus on larger floorplans. Aligned to growing market demand, Castlereagh Place now comprises 299 three-plus-bedroom apartments, 198 two-bedroom units and 110 one-bedroom configurations.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134477 project_image_fid=374402]</p>

<p>Resident amenities will include an exclusive residents club containing a gym, rooftop pool, dining rooms, co-working spaces, library, golf simulator, games room, cinema room, and access to an exclusive concierge service. There will be around 500 basement car spaces below the towers.</p>

<p>The development will also include a state-of-the-art wellness centre, set to feature a bathhouse with magnesium pools, hot/cold plunge pools and premium amenities.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>According to fjcstudio, the towers will feature distinctive yet elegant architectural design reflecting Sydney’s geometry and urban character, with a network of through-site links and intimate public spaces activating the streetscape.</p>

<p>"Castlereagh Place is a city-making project of significant scale and ambition," said Richard Francis-Jones, Design Director at fjcstudio.</p>

<p>"It will create a rich urban complex of public open spaces, landscaped gardens, and vibrant laneways. Defining these new public spaces and the important streetscape of Castlereagh Street is a sequence of fine-grained, diverse retail and hotel architecture designed in collaboration with Aileen Sage, Polly Harbison Design and Trias.</p>

<p>“Rising above the tree-lined, human-scale streetscape are two slender residential towers that will transform the city skyline and look towards the Harbour, Hyde Park, and the Royal Botanic Garden.”</p>

<p>Demolition and early construction works have commenced onsite at Castlereagh Place.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134477]</p>


Billbergia, Metrics, approved for $3.5 billion Sydney skyscrapers

<p>International developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/spg-land">SPG Land</a> is preparing to re-launch its long-awaited $1.5 billion <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/paradiso-place-surfers-paradise-103-ferny-avenue-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Paradiso Place</a> development at Budds Beach, bringing a new price point to the Surfers Paradise apartment market.</p>

<p>The developer will release one-bedroom apartments from $825,000 and two-bedroom apartments from $1.24 million in the three-tower development.</p>

<p>According to Urbis, the starting price for the two-bedroom apartments is more than $400,000 below the weighted average sale price for comparable two-bedroom apartments in Surfers Paradise during 2025, which was pinned at $1.7 million.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>Urbis reported quarterly average sale prices for new two-bedroom, two-bathroom apartments ranged from around $1.2 million to $1.7 million throughout 2025, peaking in the December quarter.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=106566 project_image_fid=185853]</p>

<p>Paradiso Place is now moving into its formal sales campaign, with a limited early-release opportunity available ahead of the public launch.</p>

<p>The development will comprise 845 apartments across three towers rising 40, 41 and 44 storeys from a 1.15-hectare site spanning an entire city block. The towers will sit above a new retail precinct.</p>

<p>"Paradiso Place represents a rare opportunity in today's market, offering premium apartments at a price point that is significantly more competitive than anything else currently available," SPG Land Sales Director Brad McMahon said.</p>

<p>"When you look at comparable new developments across Surfers Paradise, Main Beach and the Southern Beaches precinct, buyers are typically paying hundreds of thousands more for a similar product.</p>

<p>"The scale of this project and the developer-builder construction model allows us to unlock efficiencies that smaller developments simply cannot achieve. We are passing those benefits directly to buyers, while still delivering a five-star residential experience with an unmatched lifestyle."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=106566 project_image_fid=374280]</p>

<p>Each of the three towers designed by Rothelowman will have its own podium, connected by an elevated skybridge network to create a beachside village for residents. The resident amenity has been designed to rival a five-star hotel, with private dining rooms, resident lounges and entertainment spaces.</p>

<p>McMahon said the pricing strategy was a deliberate response to the current market.</p>

<p>"What Paradiso Place offers is a unique balance, genuine value within a premium market. Buyers are not compromising on quality, design or amenity, they are gaining access to it at a more competitive price point at a time when prices across the Gold Coast continue to reach new highs."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=106566 project_image_fid=362498]</p>

<p>Located around 100 metres from the beach and within walking distance of the Surfers Paradise North light rail station, Paradiso Place occupies one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held beachfront precincts.</p>

<p>Construction is continuing to progress, with eight of the project's 112 foundation piles now complete. Excavation has also commenced on the first diaphragm wall panel, with the first concrete poured on 15 June, marking a key milestone in the project's early works program.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=106566]</p>


SPG Land launches $1.5 billion Paradiso Place at attractive price point

<p>Luxury developer-builder <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lowe-living">Lowe Living</a> has achieved a new Victorian benchmark for an off-the-plan apartment, with the sale of two penthouses at its ultra-exclusive Maison Savoy development in Brighton.</p>

<p>The two penthouses achieved a combined sale rate of $49,926 per sqm. Both transactions eclipsed the previous identified Victorian off-the-plan price-per-square-metre benchmark, set by the 449 sqm apartment at Como Toorak, which sold at $46,659 per sqm.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=140818 project_image_fid=366473]</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/maison-savoy-brighton-150-esplanade-brighton-vic-3186">Maison Savoy</a>, Lowe Living's redevelopment of the former Brighton Savoy Hotel on absolute beachfront land at 150 The Esplanade, Brighton, has gained significant momentum since launching just eight weeks ago. Around 30 per cent of the project's 19 residences have already been secured, generating approximately $45 million in sales.</p>

<p>"Securing two of the three penthouse sales at this stage, within eight weeks of launching to market speaks to the confidence our clients place in Lowe Living," Lowe Living co-founder Emma Lowe said.</p>

<p>"They know we'll be with them through every stage of the journey, and that assurance is something we've worked hard to earn and never take for granted."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=140818 project_image_fid=366474]</p>

<p>Lowe said Maison Savoy was conceived as a genuine alternative to a prestige Brighton home, combining house-scale proportions with the convenience, security and lock-up-and-leave appeal of apartment living.</p>

<p>Lowe Living co-founder Tim Lowe said the early sales success demonstrated the resilience of Melbourne's prestige market and highlighted the growing demand for house-sized apartments among ultra-high-net-worth buyers.</p>

<p>"The Melbourne market has definitely been tested in recent years, with interest rates and global economic factors all creating a period of uncertainty across the real estate sector. The sales success at Maison Savoy however demonstrates that confidence remains exceptionally strong at the top end of the market.</p>

<p>"The prestige market is being driven by long-term lifestyle decisions rather than short-term market sentiment, which continues to create a level of certainty that befits an absolute beachfront property in a blue-chip location like Brighton.</p>

<p>"Brighton's fundamentals remain among the strongest in Melbourne, with limited new supply, enduring demand from an overwhelmingly local owner-occupier market, and a rare combination of beachfront amenity and proximity to the CBD."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=140818 project_image_fid=374378]</p>

<p>According to Cotality, Brighton remains one of Melbourne's most tightly held prestige suburbs, with an average ownership tenure of 15.3 years for houses and 12.3 years for units, while more than 73 per cent of homes are owner-occupied.</p>

<p>Tim Lowe said selling two of the project's three penthouses so early in the campaign was an uncommon result.</p>

<p>"This sales result is a reflection of quality and understanding the local market. It's incredibly rare to transact the penthouses so early in a sales campaign in any project so to have sold two of the three penthouses at Maison Savoy so soon after launch, all in-house without any external sales agency appointed, is reflective of our careful consideration of our buyers' needs and lifestyle.</p>

<p>"This is knowledge that is accumulated not just from data and demographic analysis, but via a deeply embedded understanding of how this type of buyer wants to live and feel in their home. We pride ourselves on getting to know our clients personally, and over the last 10 years we have been able to refine our product offering by talking one-on-one with our clients about their design and floorplan preferences.</p>

<p>"Being a fully integrated developer-builder with an in-house design and sales team allows us to lead every part of the process and ensure the highest quality of product and service at every touchpoint. It's a really important part of our DNA and the recent sales success at Maison Savoy indicates that our clients and purchasers are resonating with this point of difference.</p>

<p>"It reinforces that demand remains strong for thoughtfully designed residences that offer rarity, lifestyle and long-term value in tightly held locations, which ultimately validates Maison Savoy's positioning as creating a new benchmark for house-scale, wellness-led apartment living on Brighton's beachfront."</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=140818 project_image_fid=366480]</p>

<p>The residences at Maison Savoy start from 295 sqm, with most enjoying uninterrupted views across Port Phillip Bay. The project sits moments from the Brighton Bathing Boxes, Royal Brighton Yacht Club, Middle Brighton Baths and Church Street's retail and dining precinct.</p>

<p>A key feature of the development is its private residents-only bathhouse, curated by the founder of Aurora Spa &amp; Bathhouse and modelled on traditional European bathing rituals and the award-winning Sorrento bathhouse.</p>

<p>The wellness offering includes a hydrotherapy pool, salt room, sauna, steam room, cold plunge pool, foot activation zone and a Vichy rainfall bed, one of only a handful in Australia. Residents will also have access to a Technogym studio, lounge spaces and a dedicated concierge service offering everything from morning coffee delivery and restaurant bookings to dry cleaning and home coordination.</p>

<p>"Wellness-led design has become a defining factor for luxury buyers," Emma Lowe said.</p>

<p>"Purchasers increasingly value homes that enhance wellbeing through thoughtful design, private amenity, privacy and liveability."</p>

<p>The penthouse purchasers are now undertaking a bespoke customisation process curated personally by architect Pete Kennon and the Lowe Living team, one of the developer's signature service offerings.</p>

<p>Construction on the $160 million transformation of the former Brighton Savoy Hotel site commenced last month, with completion expected in early 2028. The project has secured funding from NAB alongside development partner Monark.</p>

<p>Just one penthouse remains available, along with a limited number of two and three-bedroom residences starting from $3.75 million.</p>

<p>Lowe Living currently has eight projects on the market across Melbourne and recently celebrated its 10th anniversary, having grown a $1 billion development pipeline alongside a $350 million construction pipeline.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=140818]</p>


Lowe Living set new Melbourne off the plan apartment record

Construction

<html><body>
<div>The ABS released its Construction Work Done figures for the June quarter, which showed total construction for the quarter rebounding by +1.6% to a seasonally adjusted $49.8 billion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Over the last year total construction remained at historically very high levels at $198 billion, although this is now down from a sky-high annual figure of $211 billion one year ago.</div>
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<div>As any good politician would, of course, smiling Treasurer Hockey immediately took to Twitter to claim credit for the rebound.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MXXSPCW_nbQ/Vd49Y3e_dTI/AAAAAAAAXz8/ZfZZ5h_X5Ic/s1600/a9.jpg"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MXXSPCW_nbQ/Vd49Y3e_dTI/AAAAAAAAXz8/ZfZZ5h_X5Ic/s640/a9.jpg" width="640" height="178"></a></div>
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<div>But in fact public infrastructure work has been very weak. </div>
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<div>Furthermore, against recent trends the rebound in the June quarter was not driven by residential construction either, rather it was a punchy quarter for engineering (i.e. resources) construction works, with expenditure rebounding by +5.6 per cent to a seasonally adjusted $25.6 billion.</div>
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<div>Despite this positive blip, engineering construction work done was -8.8 per cent lower than a year ago, and will doubtless resume its downward trajectory in due course, as considered in more detail below.</div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Mining rebound in WA</span></strong><br><div> </div>
<div>The driver of the engineering construction rebound was an increase in spend of nearly +$3 billion in Western Australia to $11.3 billion for the second quarter.</div>
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<div>
<div>In fact, anyone who was paying very close attention might have anticipated this.</div>
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<div>Recall that the so-termed "record trade deficit" in April 2015r actually included an <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2015/06/trade-deficitwtf" target="_blank">anomalous spike</a>in Western Australian imports from Korea. As I <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2015/06/trade-deficitwtf" target="_blank">noted at the time</a>:</div>
<br><div><span><em>"<span>No further detail is provided by the ABS, but given that there was a kahuna $1.5 billion spike in merchandise imports in Western Australia, and we can assume that this was probably related to a major mining project.</span></em></span></div>
<div><span><em> </em></span></div>
<div><span><em>In all likelihood, one might hazard that this was rail capex for Gina Rinehart's Roy Hill iron ore project (which typically a business would treat as an investment in a fixed asset for the generation of revenue streams, rather than trading expenditure)."</em></span></div>
<br><div>In all probability, therefore, the June quarter rebound was capex driven with a large asset purchase accounting for most of the spike.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Moreover we can expect that the September quarter will see engineering construction work resuming its inevitable decline.</div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Building by state</span></strong><br><br><div>At the state level, Victoria has been the king of residential building across recent years.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>However New South Wales is now the one state which is benefitting from a material public sector and non-residential building contribution, thereby thrusting total building work done in the Premier State to its highest ever level in the June quarter.</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/08/27/A8.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div>
<span>Indeed, the New South Wales economy in generally is in very fine shape at the present time.</span><br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Residential building by state</span></strong><br><br><div>Looking at specifically residential buiding we can see that the +7.4 per cent year-on-year increase has been overwhelmingly a function of "other residential" building - which is to say, the construction of units, townhouses and apartments.</div>
<br><div>As denoted by the green line below, outside Sydney major renovations activity has been very subdued through this cycle.</div>
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<div>
<div>Although new house building has responded to low interest rates almost everywhere to a greater or lesser extent, the trend has been looking increasingly peaky over the past four quarters.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Victoria continues to lead the way on the house building front, a state which appears to suffer less from greenfield land supply constraints than other states and territories do.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/08/27/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/08/27/A6.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>On the other hand the higher density sector building work continues apace, particularly in Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane, which is a trend you can see everywhere from West End, South Brisbane, Fortitude Valley and Newstead (Brisbane), to Mascot, Wolli Creek and Zetland (Sydney). </span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/08/27/a7.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
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<div>
<div>The latest building approvals figures suggest that the cycle for unit and apartment approvals may also be set to peak in due course, thoughthe duration of higher density projects from approval to completion may run to several years.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Consequently the elevated levels of building activity in this sector may have quite some way to run yet.</div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong><br><br><div>Overal this was a positive result for construction in the June quarter which masks an ongoing decline in resources construction that is locked and loaded for the next few years. </div>
<div>
<br>Residential building remains strong for the time being, but even here Australia can only build new apartment projects for so long.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of more significance will be today's capex intentions for the 2015/16 financial year, and specifically whether businesses are becoming more inclined towards investment plans.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>If not, in a nutshell, interest rates will have further to fall.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Construction rebounds...for now: Pete Wargent

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<div>Now the construction sector is expanding again per AIG.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Some good analysis from AIG that is well worth a read - apartment construction is an obvious strong point, which makes the drag on second quarter GDP by dwelling construction something of a mystery.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Perhaps the residential construction industry is operating at or close to its full capacity?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In any case, I expect dwelling construction to contribute to the economic growth in the third quarter.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/09/PCI.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/09/PCI.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>All three of </span>AIG's Performance Indices<span> are now in expansion territory - manufacturing, construction and services.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/09/AIG.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/09/09/AIG.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Source: AIG</p>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Construction expands in August: Pete Wargent

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<p>Construction work done missed expectations in the fourth quarter shrinking by another 3 per cent to $51.1 billion. </p>
<div>That follows on from a significant contraction in Q3, so in the second half of 2018 construction work done slowed by about 7 per cent overall.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Quite nasty on the face of it, although we were coming off a high base. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The engineering construction work done figures took a 5 per cent hit in Q4, which sounds quite dire at first blush.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>To be fair, the ABS has never gone big on accruals accounting for one-offs like the LNG Prelude platform, and as the Gorgon and Ichthys projects drop off the headline figures will inevitably appear weak - yet the underlying figures aren't quite so bad.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In fact mineral exploration spend has been on the rise, so investment and mine restarts will likely pick up, especially in Western Australia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Here are the trend figures for engineering, in chain volume measures terms (you can click to expand the charts).</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-vHa4gkejwfc/XHXfv_tDHhI/AAAAAAAAutU/tZU6tx8YpQsd2_kiSR5ZznERJZye_7BAACLcBGAs/s1600/A1.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-vHa4gkejwfc/XHXfv_tDHhI/AAAAAAAAutU/tZU6tx8YpQsd2_kiSR5ZznERJZye_7BAACLcBGAs/s640/A1.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="803" data-original-width="1367"></a></div>
<p> </p>
<div>Residential construction work dropped by about 3½ per cent in the fourth quarter, although overall activity was actually still quite high on these estimates. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>A significant driver of the squeeze was slowing Sydney and Brisbane apartment construction, and there'll be plenty more to come here in 2019. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-iOylhEeJli8/XHXfwEaU6iI/AAAAAAAAutc/1WlaQhkwTqYA1J_O_tsLAYo-jm3j10fEwCLcBGAs/s1600/A2.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-iOylhEeJli8/XHXfwEaU6iI/AAAAAAAAutc/1WlaQhkwTqYA1J_O_tsLAYo-jm3j10fEwCLcBGAs/s640/A2.jpg" width="640" height="376" data-original-height="815" data-original-width="1387"></a></div>
<p> </p>
<div>For completeness, quarterly 'other residential' work done slowed by about 4½ per cent in H2 2018 from $8.2 billion to $7.8 billion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In my humble opinion there could well be another couple of billion of quarterly declines to come here in 2019 and beyond, even if Australia is moving more towards attached dwellings and medium-density living. </div>
<p> </p>
<div><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-_ipAqrmh5jM/XHXfvygOfhI/AAAAAAAAutY/eBW_Qxir5zgbz2qFMTYqJOok537AOZ0wQCLcBGAs/s1600/A3.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-_ipAqrmh5jM/XHXfvygOfhI/AAAAAAAAutY/eBW_Qxir5zgbz2qFMTYqJOok537AOZ0wQCLcBGAs/s640/A3.jpg" width="640" height="392" data-original-height="834" data-original-width="1361"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong>The wrap</strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall, a fairly ordinary miss on expectations. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There are still too many partials to be reported for Q4 2018 to have any level of certainty, but while a technical recession perhaps remains unlikely, in per capita terms it looks very possible.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Banks on strike; no chance of a hike.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</em></div>
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Construction misses in Q4: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>EXPERT OBSERVATION</span></p>
<p><span>The March 2018 quarterly construction figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics indicate a slow-down in NSW while Victoria grows.</span></p>
<p><span>The latest construction figures indicate a slowing rate of work in NSW particularly for </span><span>non-</span>residential work.</p>
<p>When the figures are looked<span> at on a per capita basis Victoria does seem to be building more than NSW. For total building in the March Quarter NSW construction was $1,145 per capita while</span><span>Victoria spent $1,343 per person.</span></p>
<p><span>In terms of residential construction over the March Quarter the per capita figures are</span><span>$785 per person in NSW and $878 per person </span><span>in Victoria.</span></p>
<p><span>On non</span>-residential construction over the March quarter NSW expenditure was $270 per capita<span> compared to the Victorian per capita expenditure of $339.</span></p>
<p>While both states are strong in long term measurements it does appear that Victoria is pulling<span> ahead in overall construction dollars </span><span>on a per capita basis.</span></p>
<p>It will be important for the NSW government to continue the excellent residential construction<span> of recent years into the future by ensuring a good pipeline of projects in the planning system. There are concerns in the Sydney apartment market of a slow-down in</span><span>pre commitments for apartments that could have an impact on housing supply.”</span></p>
<p><span>See below the graph of Total Building Value per Capita based on ABS seasonally adjusted data for the March 2018 quarter.</span></p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/5/25/C1.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><em><span>CHRIS JOHNSON</span> is the Urban Taskforce CEO.</em></p>
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Construction slowing in New south Wales but growing in Victoria

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<p class="post-title entry-title">EXPERT OBSERVER </p>
<div id="post-body-2776624239748747914" class="post-body entry-content">
<div><span>Residential building work done fell another 2½ per cent back in the first quarter of the year, to be 3.2 per cent lower than a year earlier. </span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>Unsurprisingly this largely continued to be driven by apartments and medium-density dwelling activity in Sydney and Brisbane. </span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>There'll plenty more where this came from in Q2 as well. </span></div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-P9fueGlywsY/XOSqw1SGT1I/AAAAAAAAwHQ/oS8gzhTWMf0xNkQe5PiVpvTYLuSYPc7vwCLcBGAs/s1600/A1.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-P9fueGlywsY/XOSqw1SGT1I/AAAAAAAAwHQ/oS8gzhTWMf0xNkQe5PiVpvTYLuSYPc7vwCLcBGAs/s640/A1.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="814" data-original-width="1387"></a></div>
<br><div>More disappointingly engineering construction is also now winding down sharply again, to be some 12.4 per cent lower than a year earlier. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>New South Wales and Queensland held up relatively well on public and infrastructure works.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But this was a poor result for Western Australia with the lowest level of activity since 2005. </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-7f-GxgMKemk/XOSqwrR3CnI/AAAAAAAAwHM/3FcMjU_TxqU6nY5J4JioFwIagFIGytCgQCLcBGAs/s1600/A2.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-7f-GxgMKemk/XOSqwrR3CnI/AAAAAAAAwHM/3FcMjU_TxqU6nY5J4JioFwIagFIGytCgQCLcBGAs/s640/A2.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="804" data-original-width="1369"></a></div>
<br><div>In the post-Ichthys Northern Territory engineering activity is imploding towards zero.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>An ugly result, as median market expectations were for total construction activity to be flat, but year-on-year the contraction has now blown out to 6 per cent and falling fast. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Market analysts and the most highly respected RBA-watchers are weighing up the potential for four interest rate cuts, in addition to fiscal stimulus or unconventional policies. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MRH8cCtxeAo/XOSsPDkwFXI/AAAAAAAAwHc/aSxB8JQy6v8ZDcLMoCZonL2IqDap63WzwCLcBGAs/s1600/JG.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-MRH8cCtxeAo/XOSsPDkwFXI/AAAAAAAAwHc/aSxB8JQy6v8ZDcLMoCZonL2IqDap63WzwCLcBGAs/s640/JG.jpg" width="640" height="134" data-original-height="154" data-original-width="729"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The skilled vacancies figures for April showed construction jobs and trades down by between 10 and 20 per cent from a year earlier, pushing the monthly result lower once again. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The trend for skilled vacancies nationwide is now also 6 per cent lower than a year earlier, albeit coming back down from a very high peak in New South Wales and Victoria. </div>
<p><em><strong>PETE WARGENT</strong> is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</em><span> </span></p>
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Construction is winding down sharply: Pete Wargent

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<p class="post-title entry-title">EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p class="post-title entry-title">There are much softer numbers for construction in Q3 2018, feeding into the GDP result. </p>
<div>Somewhat old news by now, but the value of apartment building work done peaked somewhere between April and June this year, with the pipeline falling away now.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The value of apartment building work two peaked about two years ago in Queensland, with the unit market in Brisbane now looking much more in equilibrium than it was. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-GotiguGC1Bo/W_31-vn5rKI/AAAAAAAAtF8/hBy0ioFkrHYSzLFEzhqinlTTp62OzJxUQCLcBGAs/s1600/A1.jpg"><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-GotiguGC1Bo/W_31-vn5rKI/AAAAAAAAtF8/hBy0ioFkrHYSzLFEzhqinlTTp62OzJxUQCLcBGAs/s640/A1.jpg" width="640" height="372" data-original-height="804" data-original-width="1378"></a></div>
<p class="post-body entry-content"> </p>
<div>The September quarter also saw a much weaker result for engineering, and this was in spite on the tremendous ongoing strength in infrastructure construction in New South Wales and Victoria. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The slowdown reflected weaker activity levels in Queensland, South Australia, and Western Australia, as well as dramatic drop off in the Northern Territory as the Ichthys LNG project now transitions to the production phase. </div>
<p class="post-body entry-content"> </p>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-1t4jAa6gx1E/W_31-9T5rUI/AAAAAAAAtGA/zCEyL4CY9GEPxcYb0SJW5-zHf_5aqVkMQCLcBGAs/s1600/A2.jpg"><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-1t4jAa6gx1E/W_31-9T5rUI/AAAAAAAAtGA/zCEyL4CY9GEPxcYb0SJW5-zHf_5aqVkMQCLcBGAs/s640/A2.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="801" data-original-width="1366"></a></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">Overall, a weak result across all sectors of construction: new houses, new apartments (ex-Sydney), commercial, and engineering. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</em></div>
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Construction is weakening, that means fewer cranes: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>Construction sites across NSW will be subject to a new scaffolding safety blitz after a recent round of inspections saw more than 800 notices issued for significant safety breaches.</span></p>
<p><span>Minister for Better Regulation, Kevin Anderson has called upon the industry to improve its standards or risk heavy fines after SafeWork’s inspectors found missing scaffold parts, unlicensed workers, and substandard safety measures for those working from heights.</span> </p>
<p><span>“This is no joke – this year alone three people have died and 25 have been seriously injured due to falling from a height,” Mr Anderson said.</span> </p>
<p><span>“Over the first three month blitz SafeWork inspectors issued 26 penalty notices, 232 prohibition notices and 580 improvement notices, 500 of which were for risks associated with falling from heights.</span> </p>
<p><span>“We will not tolerate poor safety and workers lives being placed at risk on our worksites, and from today we are kicking off a new three month<span> blitz, focusing on these risks.</span></span></p>
<p><span>“The sites we’ve identified can expect another visit very soon<span>.”</span></span> </p>
<p><span>Mr Anderson said the notices were only the first step in the process, and under the recently amended Work Health and Safety Act 2011, non-compliant businesses could face heavy fines or up to five years jail-time.</span> </p>
<p><span>“NSW is proud to be leading the way with the strongest work health and safety legislation in the country, and we will not hesitate to prosecute anyone who disregards the safety of others,” Mr Anderson said.</span> </p>
<p><span>“Everyone should feel safe doing their job. If you spot anything risky, play your part in protecting your own safety as well as that of your work mates by immediately reporting it to SafeWork via the <em>Speak Up</em> app or <a href="https://speakup.safework.nsw.gov.au/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable">website</a>.”</span></p>
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Second NSW scaffold safety blitz following significant breaches

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<p>There's a lot happening in Brisbane at the moment, so here's a round up of the latest construction milestones in the city. </p>

<h2><strong>Mirvac commence construction on Ashford Residences</strong></h2>

<figure><img alt="" class="image-article_full_width_580px" height="393" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2020-08-26_at_6.53.03_pm.png?itok=_fBMruWu" title="Source: Built Brisbane/Linkedin" width="580">

<figcaption>Source: Built Brisbane/Linkedin</figcaption></figure><p><a href="/developers/mirvac">Mirvac</a> have now commenced construction on their $81 million Ashford Residences community at Everton Park which includes the creation of a one-hectare eco area alongside the Kedron Brook.</p>

<p>Civil contractor Pensar Infrastructure have been engaged to begin work on the initial stages which will form part of the Ashford Residences project. On completion, Mirvac Residential's new community will feature 124 residences, including 43 freestanding homes and 80 three and four bedroom terrace homes, along with the newly restored heritage Queenslander, 'Murphy's Dairy Residence' and as pictured; The Ashford Club.</p>

<h2><strong>Cavcorp connect retail precinct to Luminare</strong></h2>

<figure><a href="/buildings/luminare-newstead-20-festival-place-newstead"><img alt="" class="image-article_full_width_580px" height="313" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2020-08-26_at_6.59.13_pm.png?itok=XWzaKQ8C" title="Source: Built Brisbane/Linkedin" width="580"></a>

<figcaption>Source: Built Brisbane/Linkedin</figcaption></figure><p><a href="/developers/cavcorp">Cavcorp</a> have lodged a proposal to expand their award-winning Long Island retail precinct with a new four-floor fitness and wellness centre. The new development will be the second stage of Long Island and will be built around a central public piazza which will also connect Lucent and the future <a href="/buildings/luminare-newstead-20-festival-place-newstead">Luminare</a> building.</p>

<p>The building highlights Cavcorp’s commitment to health and wellness for their residents and locals alike, through the inclusion of two full floors for gyms and a top floor featuring a 25 metre pool, yoga pavilion, magnesium spas, infrared saunas and float tanks. The rooftop even features a vegetable garden.</p>

<h2><strong>West End’s Tree House includes over 1000 trees</strong></h2>

<figure><a href="/buildings/tree-house-111-jane-street-west-end"><img alt="" class="image-article_full_width_580px" height="247" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2020-08-26_at_7.01.01_pm.png?itok=RA-ftrLf" title="Source: Aria Property" width="580"></a>

<figcaption>Source: Aria Property</figcaption></figure><p>One of West End’s most exciting developments currently under construction is <a href="/developers/aria-property-group">Aria Living's</a> "Tree House" at 111 Jane Street, opposite Davies Park. Designed by <a href="/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, the 12 storey, 90 apartment residential building aims to merge lush greenery with an architecturally striking form, featuring more than 60 mature trees throughout.</p>

<p>Using an earthy colour palette and incorporating some gorgeous curves, <a href="/buildings/tree-house-111-jane-street-west-end">Tree House</a> is a prime example of Aria’s ability to go well above and beyond Brisbane City Council's Buildings that Breathe guidelines with landscape designers RPS at the helm. The capacity to adequately maintain the intense amount of vegetation at Tree House will likely have some impact and dictate future decision making for Aria’s bold new Urban Forest proposal, which is proposed to contain over a thousand trees.</p>

<p>And what’s an Aria development without a stunning rooftop? Tree House certainly doesn’t buck the trend featuring; a 2 storey rooftop with river and city views, an infinity pool, spa, private dining rooms, BBQ facilities and even a playground for the kids.</p>

<p>The development is on track for completion towards the end of the year.</p>

<p><em>Stay up to date on either <a href="https://www.instagram.com/builtbrisbane/"><u><strong>Instagram</strong></u></a> or <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/company/builtbrisbane/"><u><strong>LinkedIn</strong></u></a>.</em></p>
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Brisbane's latest construction milestones: Featuring Mirvac, Cavcorp + Aria Property

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<p>Construction employs about 340,000 people across Victoria, but with new measures limiting staff to 25 per cent on multi-storey construction projects, concerns have been raised.</p>
<p>According to new restrictions, high-rise Melbourne sites can only function with one-quarter of normal employees on-site and workers can only work at one site during stage four restrictions.</p>
<p>The rules put 75 per cent of Melbourne’s 220,000 construction jobs at risk, said Kerry Barwise, consulting economist for the Australian Construction Industry Forum (ACIF) industry body.</p>
<p>It will also halt work for specialists and skilled tradespeople, who work across several sites.</p>
<p>Currently 735 of Victoria’s 832 largest construction projects are undertaken in Greater Melbourne, placing strains on supply chains and pressures on cash-flow.</p>
<p>ACIF criticised the decision, noting that inflexible, hard rules were not the answer.</p>
<p>"They’re not necessarily enhancing safety, but they’re definitely limiting the capacity to do the job.” Barwise said.</p>
<p>“They should take better account of the risk management strategies which are being applied."</p>
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New COVID-19 restrictions place pressure on Victoria's construction industry

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<p class="legacy">GUEST OBSERVATION</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Architecture suffers before building does.</p>
<p>A survey of more than 450 architecture practices conducted by the Association of Consulting Architects finds that <a href="https://aca.org.au/article/pulse-check-no-3-preliminary-findings">two thirds</a> have lost more than 30% of their revenue, and eight in ten have had projects cancelled or put on hold.</p>
<p>Six in ten are relying on JobKeeper. Half have cut pay or working hours. Three in ten have stood down or sacked staff. Only 15% believe they have enough work to see out the year.</p>
<p>In total, the survey finds more than A$10 billion of projects have either been cancelled or put on hold, just among those responding to the survey.</p>
<p>John Held, the National President of the Association of Consulting Architects says</p>
<p>"unless there is a more effective stimulus package for construction, the government will need to consider extending JobKeeper beyond its expiry in September to prevent the loss of many normally-viable architectural practices. Without a pipeline of projects, a substantial rise in unemployment across the whole construction sector will result"</p>
<p>Dr Peter Raisbeck, an expert in the building and construction industry at the University of Melbourne, says</p>
<p>"two thirds of architects in Australia are small businesses employing less than five people, operating on small profit margins. Widespread insolvencies amongst these vulnerable firms would be catastrophic"</p>
<p>The design professions – architecture and engineering – are the <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/kionasmith/2019/12/31/the-canary-in-the-coal-mine-isnt-ancient-history/#c6abbe843931">canary in the coalmine</a> for the wider construction industry. If those professions are in a slump now, construction itself will most probably be in big trouble in three to six months.</p>
<p><strong>A window on the future</strong></p>
<p>The findings are reinforced by forecasts prepared by the <a href="https://www.acif.com.au/acif-news/australian-construction-industry-forum-issues-coronavirus-recovery-proposal-constructions-bridge-to-recovery">Australian Construction Industry Forum</a>.</p>
<p>They show that while engineering construction on projects such as motorways and public transport is likely to hold up reasonably well, residential and non residential construction, already weak prior to COVID-19, is set to slump over this year and the next, with the brunt of the impact being felt in NSW and Victoria.</p>
<p>It will be very bad for employment.</p>
<p>The building and construction industry consists of nearly 400,000 businesses that directly employ more than 1.2 million Australians. Most of the supply chain for building materials is in Australia, particularly for low-rise residential buildings.</p>
<p>The immediate priority should be to ensure that projects continue to be designed and documented to avoid the “valley of death” caused by the need for drawings to be completed before construction can start.</p>
<p><strong>We’ve had warning</strong></p>
<p>If eight out of ten architectural practices have projects that have been cancelled or put on hold now, there will be a significant shortage of projects going to tender later in 2020 and in 2021.</p>
<p>Based on the numbers in the surveys, the loss of jobs in construction could add two percentage points to unemployment during 2021.</p>
<p>To overcome the valley of death, something needs to be done to restart projects that have been deferred or cancelled.</p>
<p>To their credit, state and territory governments have brought forward varying amounts of public works projects, including schools, hospitals and a small amount of social housing. In Victoria, the acceleration of the government’s <a href="https://theconversation.com/cladding-fire-risks-have-been-known-for-years-lives-depend-on-acting-now-with-no-more-delays-111186">combustible cladding replacement program</a> is also helping to prop up demand.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, the evidence from the Association of Consulting Architects survey suggests this won’t be enough.</p>
<p>HomeBuilder, the federal government’s $680 million program intended to “save the tradies”, appears <a href="https://www.afr.com/property/residential/frustrating-state-delays-hold-up-homebuilder-grants-20200615-p552na">to have stalled</a>.</p>
<p>So far, none of the states has finalised an implementation plan for the scheme, perhaps because it was so <a href="https://theconversation.com/homebuilder-might-be-the-most-complex-least-equitable-construction-jobs-program-ever-devised-140162">poorly designed</a>.</p>
<p>In Sydney, where a lot of houses may exceed the $1.5 million value cap, some builders are complaining that the scheme is actually delaying decisions while homeowners wait to see if it will apply to them.</p>
<p><strong>And we know what to do</strong></p>
<p>We can learn from history. The Rudd government’s $3 billion (in today’s money) <a href="https://www.anao.gov.au/work/performance-audit/building-education-revolution-primary-schools-21st-century">Building the Education Revolution</a> scheme was successful in stimulating construction and delivering jobs during the global financial crisis.</p>
<p>The $3 billion <a href="https://www.anao.gov.au/work/performance-audit/home-insulation-program">Home Insulation Program</a> (later known as the “pink batts” program) also created jobs.</p>
<p>Although there was widespread and justified criticism of how both programs were implemented, they were big enough and quick enough to make a difference to employment. And they delivered general benefits.</p>
<p>We should be able to learn from these ideas and the mistakes that were made in their implementation.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>The Morrison government’s efforts to support the construction industry to date have been too small and too slow. The architects survey suggests the design professions will go over a cliff in September. The construction forecast suggests that the construction industry will follow them over in 2021.</p>
<p>State and local governments have a long list of useful school, health and community projects that could go ahead now if the federal government made the money available.</p>
<p>Many shovel-ready projects that have been cancelled are in the higher education sector, many of them meant to deliver the STEM graduates or STEM research that the government <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jun/19/australian-university-fees-arts-stem-science-maths-nursing-teaching-humanities">says it is keen on</a>.</p>
<p>There is also a crying need for good <a href="https://theconversation.com/why-the-focus-of-stimulus-plans-has-to-be-construction-that-puts-social-housing-first-136519">social housing</a>, made more apparent by <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/covid-public-housing-wrap-20200705-p5596z">developments in Melbourne</a>.</p>
<p>If we learned anything from the global financial crisis, it was that going hard and early worked. It is not too late to do it now, but it will be soon.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/141367/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;"></p>
<p><span><a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/geoff-hanmer-90647">Geoff Hanmer</a>, Adjunct Professor of Architecture, <em><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-adelaide-1119">University of Adelaide</a></em></span></p>
<p>This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/if-architecture-is-the-canary-in-the-coalmine-the-outlook-for-construction-is-appalling-141367">original article</a>.</p>
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