Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

China

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An off-the-plan purchase of an apartment near Monash University in Melbourne by a Chinese based buyer is caught up in the emerging settlement risk scenario.
The off-the-plan sale for $600,000 is keeping the buyer up at night. Liu Jiabing planned for his daughter’s education when he helped her to get an offer to enrol next year, and then bought an apartment in Melbourne that is due to settle next month.
“At the very first, I was told I only had to pay 20 percent downpayment,’’ said the buyer, Mr Liu, who works at a prestige foreign language school in Nanjing, in China’s east.
He told The Australian the financiers then told him to pay 30 percent, "and later 40 percent, as the banks won’t lend and we have to borrow from small ­financial organisations.
“Last night I was told I have to pay 55 percent for down-­payment.
"But how am I supposed to find so much in cash in such a short time? I still have to pay my daughter’s university fees.”
Mr Liu is among the Chin­ese parents who buy new off-the-plan apartments before sending their children to Aus­tralian universities.
AC Property, a Melboune-based property portal, has been taking four or five calls every day from buyers who seek to resell their off-the-plan apartments after finding it hard to settle, the newspaper reported.
“We have been referring our clients to mortgage brokers to see if they can get alternative finance, but we haven’t seen a single case of success so far,” said AC Property ­director Esther Yong.
In once case parents, based in Guangzhou, in China’s south, have already missed the settlement deadline of July 18 for the apartment they bought for $440,000.
The developer is now charging them about $150 a day as penalty, which is pushing Mr Li to resell as soon as possible.
The Australian columnist Robert Gottliebsen wrote today the Chinese link to the looming apartment glut puts the education sector and Australia's international reputation "in peril."
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Higher equity required for offshore Chinese buyers settling off-the-plan apartments

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Sydney and Melbourne have traditionally been a favourite of offshore property investors, but now Canberra seems to be catching up, according to real estate firm Colliers International.
The firm expects several new entrants in Canberra over the next 12 months, according to a media release.
Matthew Winter, an investment services executive at Colliers, met investors in Singapore, Hong Kong, Shenzhen and Guangzhou and learnt about their interest in Canberra. 
“Investors are keen to learn more about Australia’s capital city, Canberra,” he said. 
“Over the past six months there’s been an increase in enquiry to secure Canberra assets by foreign investors, however, many large investors are sitting back and watching the property market before making their move.”
Canberra Airport will offer direct flights to Singapore later this year, making it easier for investors to visit the city and inspect potential assets, he said.
“Asia-based investors understand the relative value of Canberra assets with long-term government tenants, which was seen with the Louisa Lawson building sale late last year for $225 million to South Korean property investor, FG Asset Management. The building was sold with a cap rate of six per cent which is a much better return compared to what many Asian investors are getting in their own countries.”
He cited the example of Japan which currently has negative interest rates and a bond yield of 0.2 per cent, while investing in Australian property can easily earn six to seven per cent returns in the long term.
One of the obstacles of securing foreign investment in Canberra is the scale of property, which is often significantly smaller than what investors are after, according to Colliers International. Many wealthy private investors and syndicates in Asia are looking to spend in excess of $100 to $150 million to build large-scale precincts or acquire large core-plus assets. 
Asian city skylines are filled with apartment towers as developers try to achieve the maximum yield of units on the sites. Often these developments are built quickly and the quality of the developments vary. 
In Shenzhen, single developers are known for constructing 15 to 20 towers on one site, more than 40-storeys high per tower and the design of the towers are identical.
In Singapore, the landscape looks significantly different to many other Asian cities. Singapore has a mix of heritage and new buildings, however, they have a lot of planning controls in place to encourage the development of green buildings and green living. Many developments are of high quality and designed to be environmentally friendly.
Matthew said that more than 100 investors gathered in Singapore to hear from Colliers about the Australian property market on his recent trip.
“Unlike in Hong Kong and China where majority of investors are wealthy privates and developers, Singapore has more Institutions and REITs looking to invest in Australia.
Colliers has showcased 97 properties across nine Asian cities in the past three years, meeting with Asia-based investment groups which has resulted in more than $1 billion in property transactions.
 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Asia-based investors eye Canberra: Colliers

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Chinese real-estate portal Juwai has completed a $10 million pre-initial public offering raising, as it heads to an ASX float late this year.
The latest raising was supported by local and Hong Kong-based institutional investors and high net worth individuals.
Juwai connects Chinese property buyers with sellers in other parts of the world.
The Australian Financial Review says it is aiming to raise about $30 million for its run at the ASX.  
Brokers Baillieu Holst and Evans &amp; Partners managed the pre-IPO raising of convertible notes to investors<a href="https://www.afr.com/street-talk/baillieu-evans-prepare-juwai-raising-20160608-gpexr4#ixzz4DyyoCuAQ">. </a> 
The notes will convert into shares on listing.
The South China Morning Post reported today that Charles Pittar, the CEO of Juwai.com said Brexit helped push a 100 per cent, week-on-week increase in consumer enquiries for UK property during the week of the vote.
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Juwai ASX list nearing as Brexit lifts search activity

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<div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="section">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">GUEST OBSERVER</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The China tourist boom continues to pay dividends.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The number of tourists to Australia from China and Hong Kong combined is now heading towards 1.4 million in the past year – and the gap is widening on the visitors from New Zealand.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">In fact 52,000 more tourists visited our shores from Greater China than compared with NZ over the past year. A remarkable change when you consider that even up to three months prior annual tourists from NZ exceeded Greater China by almost 7,000. And with China and Hong Kong tourist numbers continuing to grow at a 21 percent plus annual rate, there are more landmark results likely to be recorded over the next year. It is even more astonishing when you consider that just over four years ago Chinese tourist numbers were around half those of New Zealand.</div>
<div class="column">
 Clearly our number one tourist group is has shifted and the new winners from the China boom are tourist operators and retailers rather than mining companies that benefitted in the first stage of the China boom.</div>
<div class="column">
 Tourists from mainland China is fast closing in on 1.1 million in the past year, up 23 percent over the past year. While some may fret about the slowdown in the Chinese industrial sector, the more forward-thinking analysts are focussing on the boost to Australian retailers from increased spending by Chinese consumers and the growing number of Chinese tourists.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The rebalancing continues to be taking place across the economy. No doubt the weaker Aussie dollar is helping to alleviate some of the pressures for the weaker investment story. And from the Reserve Bank’s standpoint, policymakers will continue to monitor the transition, and debate if further stimulus is necessary to support growth.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2016/07/06/Screen%20Shot%202016-07-06%20at%205.00.06%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="column"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2016/07/06/Screen%20Shot%202016-07-06%20at%205.00.06%20PM.png" alt=""></div>
<div class="column">
 What do the figures show?</div>
<div class="column">
 Overseas arrivals &amp; departures</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="page" title="Page 2">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">Tourist arrivals rose by 0.2 percent in May. And departures rose by 1.5 percent. Arrivals are up 11.7 percent on the year with departures up 4.5 percent.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">In May, tourists from greater China (China and Hong Kong) totalled 120,700 (mainland China 100,800, Hong Kong, 19,900), ahead of New Zealand (109,900). Greater China passed NZ for the first time in September 2015.</div>
<div class="column">
 Over the past year a record 1,133,700 tourists came to Australia from China, up 22.7 per cent over the year. Tourists from China and Hong Kong rose to a record 1,366,500 over the past year, up 21 percent over the year. Tourists from New Zealand totalled 1,314,300 visitors over the past year, but were up just 3.9 percent.  Over the past year, net permanent and long-term arrivals to Australia totalled 263,920 – the lowest level in nine years (March 2007).
What is the importance of the economic data?
The Australian Bureau of Statistics releases data on overseas arrivals and departures is produced monthly and is an indicator of the health of the tourism sector. The figures are also useful in understanding spending trends and tracking migrant numbers – an indicator with widespread implications for employment, housing and spending.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2016/07/06/Screen%20Shot%202016-07-06%20at%205.01.10%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="column"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2016/07/06/Screen%20Shot%202016-07-06%20at%205.01.10%20PM.png" alt=""></div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Looking forward, not only will the weaker Aussie dollar should drive further tourism inflows, but it should provide an additional degree of support to the domestic tourism sector. Over time, the cheaper currency should make it more attractive to travel within Australia rather than overseas. Tourism has potential to join housing as a key driver of the Australian economy over the coming year, especially if the Aussie dollar falls further.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">In-bound migration is holding at the lowest levels in nine years, meaning that there is greater scope for unemployment to fall in the short-term before businesses have to start looking abroad for suitable staff. The Reserve Bank is likely to debate the merits of another rate cut at the August Board meeting.
 Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a>
</div>
</div>
</div>
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Migration at 9-year lows; Chinese tourism boom: Commsec's Savanth Sebastian

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The decision by the NSW government to add a four per cent stamp duty surcharge on residential property brought by foreign purchasers is playing on xenophobia, according to leading real estate agent Malcolm Gunning.
Gunning said the decision should be recognised for what it is, pure greed.  “The government has found a scapegoat in foreign investors and is playing on xenophobia.
"They are choosing to single out Chinese investors when the real reason house prices are being pushed up is self funded retirees who are purchasing properties for their super funds,” Mr Gunning said.   The surcharge came into effect on 21 June, 2016 and the government also announced a 0.75 per cent land tax surcharge for foreign owners from the 2017 land tax year.
Foreign investors will also lose the ability to defer stamp duty payments for off the plan purchases for 12 months and lose the tax-free threshold for the land tax surcharge.   “The government will make $1 billion over the next four years from foreign investors, but refuse to make life easier for first homebuyers by way of incentives for the purchase of existing properties.   “It is important to recognise that this is just a grab for cash from the government and a cop out.
"Foreign investors are an easy target and they aren’t going to continue to invest in Australia if the government makes it harder and harder for them.   “They play an important role in the strength of construction industry and should be a welcome addition to this country.
"They are good for the economy and make a crucial contribution to our society,” Mr Gunning said. 
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NSW property tax for foreigners is playing on xenophobia: Malcolm Gunning

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The potential ASX-listing of Juwai is being addressed by stockbrokers Baillieu Holst and Evans &amp; Partners.
They have booked a roadshow with fund meetings next week, as the Chinese property website seeks to raise capital ahead of a mooted initial public offering. 
It's understood Juwai is seeking to raise $15 million in convertible notes, which would convert into shares at time of the IPO.
The Australian Financial Review's Street Talk column suggests the conversion would happen at a 20 per cent discount to the IPO price with an ASX listing likely for the coming 12-month period. 
Juwai, the online platform that connects Chinese property buyers with sellers in other parts of the world, has 2 million Chinese consumers visits each month. 
It's directors include former Consolidated Press Holdings executive Martin Green, while the chief executive is Macquarie Asia's former chief operating officer Charles Pittar. 
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Juwai website ASX listing roadshow underway

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Construction continues to be the mainstay of China’s economy -- flowing through to heavy industries such as steel and cement -- but the rebound is not sustainable, according to NAB's latest commentary on the country's growth outlook.
The NAB Group Economics report titled China’s economy at a glance, says new construction starts rose by 16 percent year-on-year (yoy) over the first five months of the year – with lower growth in May than March and April. But May's slower growth was largely due to base effects.
NAB says the construction rebound is not sustainable, with recovery in house prices largely driven by policy relaxation, loose credit and the poor performance of alternative investment options for individuals – re-inflating the property bubble that had previously deflated to a degree across 2014 and 2015.
Among other economic factors, growth in industrial production was unchanged in May at 6 percent yoy – in line with market expectations.
Fixed asset investment was softer in May, with trends mixed at a sub-sector level – with an acceleration in real estate investment, while investment in manufacturing continued to trend lower.
China’s trade surplus widened in May to US$50 billion (from US$45.6 billion previously) due to a month-on-month increase in exports. Price effects continue to influence trade values – with commodity imports increasing strongly in May – particularly construction related iron ore and copper.
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Construction still drives China’s growth but sustainability concerns remain: NAB

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Australia's richest man, Meriton boss Harry Triguboff, has slammed the NSW government for its plans to impose higher taxes on foreign buyers of residential property.
"It is very bad. Without the Chinese nothing would ever get built," Mr Triguboff told The Australian Financial Review.
"Never mind the bullsh-- stories, sales volumes have already dropped and prices are coming down steadily.
"The Chinese buyers are already disappearing.
"This is not a joke. Chinese real estate agents are already sacking staff," he advised. 
When asked how the surcharge might impact on Meriton's own sales – the group has been reported as selling about one in five apartments to Asian buyers – Mr Triguboff said he was not yet sure, but he might have to drop his prices.
The NSW Treasurer Gladys Berejiklian announced that from June 21, when she hands down the state budget, foreign buyers of apartments, houses and residential land in NSW will have to pay a 4 per cent stamp duty surcharge.
They will also be hit by a 0.75 per cent land tax surcharge commencing in the 2017 land tax year.
Mr Triguboff labelled the new taxes "very dangerous", coming as they did on top of moves by the banks to tighten up lending to foreign buyers.
He also urged caution in light of the decline of the mining sector.
"We have nothing else except real estate. We have to be very careful," Mr Triguboff told the AFR.
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The Chinese are already disappearing: Harry Triguboff

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GUEST OBSERVER
In March, China (including Hong Kong) passed New Zealand as Australia’s largest source of tourists. And that gap widened in April. Over the past year 1.35 million Chinese visited our shores. This is the new boom – the tourism boom – and again it is driven by China. 
Tourism Research Australia found that international visitors spent $36.6 billion in 2015 with China spending $8.3 billion or almost $8,000 per person. Spending was up by 18 per cent on a year earlier – the strongest growth in 14 years. And the latest data on tourist arrivals suggests that the spending by international visitors continues to lift, providing valuable momentum for the economy.
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 It has been a stellar week for the economy. Data has showed the economy growing at the fastest pace in 31⁄2 years; building approvals hit fresh record highs; car sales are at record highs; and tourist arrivals hit fresh record highs. The economy is firing on all cylinders. Clearly any suggestion that rate cuts are needed to lift a sagging economy is very much misplaced. The Reserve Bank cut rates in May – and still may cut rates again – on the premise that the economy can record even faster growth without sparking higher inflation.
What do the figures show?
Overseas arrivals &amp; departures
Tourist arrivals rose by 1.2 percent to record highs in April. Tourist departures fell 3.4 percent in April from record highs. Arrivals are up 11.6 percent on the year with departures up 2.2 percent.  
Tourists from greater China (China and Hong Kong) totalled 119,800 in April (mainland China 100,900, Hong Kong, 18,900), ahead of New Zealand (110,300).  
Tourist arrivals from mainland China and Hong Kong rose to a record 1,350,000 over the past year (up 21.6 per cent over the year) ahead of tourists from New Zealand (1,313,400 visitors over the past year).  
Over the past year, net permanent and long-term arrivals to Australia totalled 270,230 – the lowest level in nine years (May 2007).  
Over the year to April, 33,500 Aussies visited Pakistan, up 33.5 per cent on the 25,200 visitors in the year to April 2015. Also 329,000 Aussies visited Japan over the past year, up 26.6 per cent over the year.  
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New Car Sales
According to the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries there were 96,672 new cars sold in May. Over the year to May a record 1,172,402 new cars were sold. Annual growth of 4.3 percent is the strongest in 31 months.  
In May alone, passenger car sales fell by 5.8 per cent on a year ago to 38,222; sports utility vehicles (SUV) sales rose 11.4 per cent to 36,230; light truck sales rose 10.6 per cent to 19,373 and heavy truck sales rose 5.9 per cent to 2,847.    
Sales across states in May 2016 on May 2015: NSW (+6.0 per cent); Victoria (+3.5 per cent), Queensland (+1.3 percent), South Australia (+9.6 percent), Western Australia (-5.0 percent), Tasmania (+4.3 percent), ACT (+8.9 percent) and Northern Territory (+3.1 percent).  
Car affordability  
New vehicle sales are rising because car affordability stands at record highs. The CommSec car affordability measure shows that someone on the average wage has to work 23.8 weeks to buy a new Ford Falcon auto sedan. That is around 2 weeks fewer than two years ago. And five years ago, the same worker would have had to work an extra seven weeks to buy the same car.
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Performance of Services
The Performance of Services index rose by 1.8 points to 51.5 in May. A reading above 50 suggests expansion of the services sector.  
The Australian Industry Group noted: “Of the five activity sub-indexes in the Australian PSI®, sales (51.7 points) and stocks (51.2 points) lifted into positive territory in May while new orders (55.3 points) continued its expansion. Deliveries (49.1 points) and employment (49.1 points) were both stable to slightly negative.”  
Four of the nine services sub sectors were stable or expanded in May. What is the importance of the economic data?  
The Australian Bureau of Statistics releases data on overseas arrivals and departures each month – an indicator of the health of the tourism sector. The figures are also useful in understanding spending trends and tracking migrant numbers – an indicator with widespread implications for employment, housing and spending.  
The Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries releases estimates of car sales on the third business day of the month. The figures highlight the strength of consumer spending as well as conditions facing auto &amp; components companies.  
The Australian Industry Group compile the Performance of Services Index (PMI) each month. The Australian PSI is the Australian equivalent of the US ISM services gauge. The PSI is one of the timeliest economic indicators released in Australia. The PSI is useful not just in showing how the services sector is performing but in providing some sense about where it is heading. The key ‘forward looking’ components are orders and employment.  
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
In 2015 an estimated 120 million Chinese travelled overseas. Australia’s share was just over a million tourists. So there is scope for significant growth but it will require more transport and accommodation capacity being put in place.  
Another month, another record high for the car industry. New vehicle sales hit new highs in the year to May and it is clear that a key reason for the strength is the fact that cars have never been more affordable.  
The Reserve Bank policymakers will find it harder to cut rates in coming months. That doesn’t mean that it’s impossible, rather the Reserve Bank will need to be more active explaining the change.
Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.
 
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Chinese tourism boom, record car sales: CommSec's Craig James

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Bloomberg has reported on the waning interest Chinese buyers have in Australian property.
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It has noted in the first four months of the year, visits by potential buyers to realestate.com.au listings in New South Wales state from China declined 25 percent over the same period last year.
Views of properties in Victoria fell 8.9 percent, Bloomberg noted.
Listings in Western Australia saw the biggest drop of 35 percent, according to the portal, which is the nation’s biggest property website.
After many months where developers have failed to secure sellouts, Lendlease sold all 391 apartments of its third and final stage of its Darling Square apartments on Saturday.
The Sydney CBD sales secured around $460 million during a a four-hour period.
The apartments were priced between $630,000 and $3.5 million through CBRE. 
Many were "seasoned property buyers" who have some equity behind them.
The absence of foreign buyers was noticeable compared to the first and second stage sellouts in 2014 and 2015, the Australian Financial Review noted.
The first stage sellout in 2014 by Lend Lease secured the off the plan sellout of all 357 Sydney apartments, with revenue estimates as high as $650 million.
About 25 percent of apartments were sold to offshore ­buyers, the proximity to UTS encouraging purchasing by Chinese families.
Set on the doorstep of Darling Harbour, Haymarket, Chinatown and Ultimo, the initial Darling Square prices ranged from $700,000 for a 50-square-metre, one-bedroom ­apartment to $3.5 million for a 130-square-metre sky home.
This is not to say the Chinese buyers aren't there.
At weekend auction a Monomeath Avenue, Canterbury offering with pool on 1021square metres attracted five registered bidders, who pushed the price well over its reserve of $4.8 million to sell at $5.11 million.  
"There was a lot of Chinese interest, in fact all but the winning bidder were Chinese," selling agent Tom Ryan from Jellis Craig told The Australian Financial Review.
"It was almost as if they were a bit reluctant to buy it - the Chinese are still in the market but they don't seem to be as explosive," he said.
 
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