<p>Virgate Property Group is preparing to commence construction of Verdé, its new apartment development in Melbourne's Arts Precinct at Southbank, following a strong run of sales that has seen more than half of the project's 173 apartments secured.</p>

<p>Verdé has attracted a broad mix of first home buyers, owner-occupiers upgrading from nearby inner-city suburbs and investors, with younger owner-occupier couples aged between 28 and 45 accounting for the strongest enquiry. Many are already living in Southbank, South Melbourne, Albert Park, Port Melbourne, South Yarra and the CBD.</p>

<p>"Verdé is located in one of the most desirable pockets of southern Melbourne," Blair Property Group Director Darren Blair, who is managing sales at Verdé, said.</p>

<p>"It's within walking distance of the Arts Centre, Royal Botanic Gardens, Albert Park Lake, and Southbank's restaurants and retail. It's a great lifestyle location with strong amenity and liveability, which made it a very attractive choice for the project."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372549]</p>

<p>Virgate was already familiar with the precinct, having previously delivered the successful Domain House development in neighbouring South Melbourne. That experience gave the developer confidence to acquire the Coventry Street site and continue expanding its presence in Melbourne's inner south.</p>

<p>"We had been keeping an eye on the site and the broader precinct for a few months before deciding to move forward with the acquisition," Virgate said.</p>

<p>The project was ultimately secured in 2020 following feasibility studies, planning assessments and due diligence, with the brief centred on delivering "a high-quality, considered design that feels both refined and fit for purpose."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=314259]</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, Verdé comprises 173 one, two and three-bedroom apartments priced from $599,000. The architecture is distinguished by a faceted glass façade that responds to both the site's outlook and Melbourne's changing light conditions.</p>

<p>According to Bruce Henderson Architects, the coloured glazing gives the building a distinctive identity while also providing privacy and solar shading, with residences oriented to capture views across the bay, city skyline and surrounding parklands.</p>

<p>Inside, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> has created interiors focused on natural light, efficient planning and enduring materials. Apartments feature engineered oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, floor-to-ceiling glazing and SMEG appliances, while a restrained material palette aims to complement the expansive outlooks rather than compete with them.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372550]</p>

<p>Resident amenity has also been designed around everyday functionality rather than occasional use. Facilities include a concierge-serviced lobby, residents' lounge with fireplace, library and co-working space, gym, terrace garden with barbecue facilities, ground-floor café, and package delivery management.</p>

<p>The project's location continues to be one of its strongest drawcards. Positioned on Coventry Street, Verdé sits within walking distance of the National Gallery of Victoria, Arts Centre Melbourne, Royal Botanic Gardens and Albert Park Lake, while Southbank's dining precinct, Sturt Street trams and the new ANZAC Station are all nearby. The surrounding education catchment also includes Melbourne Grammar, Melbourne Girls Grammar, Mac.Robertson Girls' High School and several major university campuses.</p>

<p>The sales team says buyers have responded particularly well to the combination of location, design quality and long-term liveability.</p>

<p>"They're responding really positively to the quality of the design, premium resident amenities and the uninterrupted views. Many also appreciate the location and how connected it is to everything they need."</p>

<p>The ability to secure stamp duty savings before completion has also been a key factor for purchasers, alongside the opportunity to personalise finishes ahead of settlement.</p>

<p>With construction set to commence soon and more than half the apartments already sold, Verdé enters its next phase as one of the Arts Precinct's more established apartment developments, offering remaining buyers an opportunity to secure a residence before construction advances further. Expected completion is scheduled for late 2027.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4661]</p>


Joel Robinson

Virgate's Verdé Southbank moves toward construction as sales fly past halfway stage

<p>Downsizer-focused apartment development Kooyongkoot in Hawthorn has been recognised at the 2026 Better Future Melbourne Design Awards, taking home Gold and Silver awards in two categories.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kooyongkoot-hawthorn-1-kooyongkoot-road-hawthorn-vic-3122">Kooyongkoot</a>, currently being delivered by developer PQD and designed by Cera Stribley, received Gold in the Interior Design – Proposed category and Silver in the Architecture – Proposed category.</p>

<p>The dual recognition reflects the design approach behind the boutique development on prestigious Kooyongkoot Road, where the focus has been on creating homes for downsizers seeking the space, quality and functionality of a detached house within a low-rise apartment building.</p>

<p>Rather than maximising apartment numbers, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pqd">PQD</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a> limited the development to just 18 residences, allowing for larger floorplans, greater privacy, generous landscaping and expansive communal spaces.&nbsp;The majority of the apartments also benefit from corner aspects, allowing for dual sources of natural light.</p>

<p>Now around 70 per cent complete and on track for completion in November 2026, Kooyongkoot will comprise a mix of garden residences, ter​race apartments, sub-penthouses, and is crowned by two half-floor penthouses with direct lift access and private rooftop terraces.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355297]</p>

<p>The Silver Award for Architecture recognised the way the building responds to its prominent corner position at the ent​rance to Hawthorn's Scotch Hill precinct, one of Melbourne's most established residential neighbourhoods.</p>

<p>Rather than competing with the grand homes that line Kooyongkoot Road, the architectural approach focused on restraint and longevity, using curved brickwork, generous landscaping and carefully considered proportions to integrate with the existing streetscape.</p>

<p>"The form feels fluid and timeless, as though shaped by the landscape itself – architecture that belongs, rather than competes," said Chris Stribley, Co-Founder and Managing Principal of Cera Stribley.</p>

<p>The judging submission also highlighted practical innovations throughout the building, including lift cores servicing only nine homes each, a central landscaped lightcourt designed to bring daylight and ventilation into the building, and fully enclosed private storage rooms with lighting, power and shelving to better accommodate residents transitioning from larger family homes.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355293]</p>

<p>The Gold Award for Interior Design recognised the project's focus on long-term liveability rather than display-home aesthetics.</p>

<p>According to the awards submission, the interiors were designed from the inside out, prioritising how homes would function over decades of daily use through generous proportions, practical storage, durable natural materials and flexible layouts.</p>

<p>The specification includes natural stone throughout, upgraded acoustic glazing, V-ZUG appliances and fully enclosed storage rooms, alongside an amenity offering focused on wellness, entertainment and everyday convenience.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a gym and yoga studio, a wellness centre featuring traditional and infrared saunas, a cold therapy shower and treatment room, as well as a residents' lounge and golf simulator/cinema room for entertainment.&nbsp;Kooyongkoot has also considered the everyday convenience of its residents by offering a private carwash and pet wash facilities on site as well as dedicated parcel lockers and oversized fully enclosed storage rooms.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355303]</p>

<p>The project's attention to detail has already resonated with buyers. Earlier this year, Kooyongkoot recorded one of Boroondara's highest apartment sales when an $8 million penthouse was purchased by a Melbourne CEO downsizing from a nearby family home.</p>

<p>"Every detail feels deliberate, from the overall design down to the smallest touches," the purchaser said.</p>

<p>"The level of quality and refinement is exceptional, but what really sold it was how liveable it felt... It felt like a place where everything had been considered, not just a luxury building."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355304]</p>

<p>Sustainability also formed a key part of both award submissions. Kooyongkoot is targeting a minimum 7.5-star NatHERS rating across all residences, supported by passive design principles, high-performance glazing, EV charging infrastructure, water reuse systems and a wellness model focused on lower-energy dry facilities rather than pools and large wet areas.</p>

<p>Located within walking distance of Scotch College, Methodist Ladies' College, Koo​yong Lawn Tennis Club, Aubur​n Village and Camberwell Junction, Kooyongkoot continues to target owner-occupiers looking to remain in Melbourne's inner east without compromising on space or quality. A limited selection of two, three and four-bedroom residences remains available, with prices starting from $1.9 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=102717]</p>


Kooyongkoot wins Gold and Silver at Better Future Melbourne Design Awards

<p>New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.</p>

<p>It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.</p>

<p>With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.</p>

<p>The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.</p>

<p>Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]</p>

<p>Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.</p>

<p>"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.</p>

<p>"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.</p>

<p>Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.</p>

<p>That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]</p>

<p>Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.</p>

<p>Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.</p>

<p>"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.</p>

<p>"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."</p>

<p>Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.</p>

<p>"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]</p>

<p>The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.</p>

<p>Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.</p>

<p>That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.</p>

<p>"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]</p>


The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

<p>A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.</p>

<p>The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.</p>

<p>The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.</p>

<p>The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.</p>

<p>Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.</p>

<p>"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.</p>

<p>"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."</p>

<p><img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" /></p>

<p>Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.</p>

<p>Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.</p>

<p>Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.</p>

<p>"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.</p>

<p>"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."</p>

<p>Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.</p>

<p>Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.</p>


Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

<p data-end="315" data-start="85">The long-planned transformation of Brisbane's historic Shafston Estate has taken another major step, with Capella Hotel Group announced as the luxury hospitality partner behind what will become Brisbane's first branded residences.</p>

<p data-end="499" data-start="317">The project, to be known as <strong data-end="376" data-start="345">Capella Residences Brisbane</strong>, is being delivered by Verso Projects at the landmark Kangaroo Point riverfront estate, with completion targeted for 2029.</p>

<p data-end="899" data-start="501">The announcement follows a series of planning changes to the project over recent years. The site was originally approved in 2023 for a 15-level, 37-apartment development designed by Rothelowman for Burgundy Group before Verso Projects took over the 10,070 sqm riverfront holding and lodged revised plans with Kerry Hill Architects to increase the development to a 25-level tower with 51 apartments.</p>

<p data-end="1154" data-start="901">The latest announcement confirms Capella Hotel Group will bring its branded residential offering to the project, marking just the second Capella Residences development globally after Seoul, and the group's first branded residential project in Australia.</p>

<p data-end="1387" data-start="1156">The <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/23-castlebar-street-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Castlebar Street development</a> will centre around the restoration of the heritage-listed Shafston House, one of Brisbane's oldest residences, originally constructed in 1851 by Reverend Robert Creyke as a single-storey cottage known as Ravenscott.</p>

<p data-end="1387" data-start="1156"><img alt="Capella" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2b9f4ce5-638f-4d6b-8082-3ca7e4b75fca" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-09%20at%207.20.41%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=f7aeqsW_DzOJI4FymWb3lD8NptSfsP7q" /></p>

<p data-end="1611" data-start="1389">Capella said the project aligns with its focus on heritage-led developments, with the Brisbane estate combining the restored historic residence with a new luxury apartment tower and hospitality-inspired resident amenities.</p>

<p data-end="1823" data-start="1613">Residents will have access to the Capella Living Room, a concierge-led communal space inspired by the group's luxury hotels, alongside landscaped gardens, six swimming pools, wellness and recreation facilities.</p>

<p data-end="2042" data-start="1825">The broader estate will also include two riverfront homes, a six-berth private marina, porte cochère arrival experience, secure basement parking and a new section of public riverwalk along the Brisbane River frontage.</p>

<p data-end="2177" data-start="2044">The heritage Postal Depot Building will also be retained and repurposed as a guest house, in line with the revised development plans.</p>

<p data-end="2420" data-start="2179">The project represents another evolution for the site, which Kerry Hill Architects previously described as a rare opportunity to restore one of Brisbane's most significant heritage estates while creating a new benchmark for apartment living.</p>

<p data-end="2724" data-start="2422">"The Shafston Estate provides a once-in-a-generation opportunity to restore one of Brisbane's finest heritage precincts and to reinstate residential use as a unique site perched on the edge of Kangaroo Point," Kerry Hill Architects said in its Urban Context Report accompanying the planning submission.</p>

<p data-end="2858" data-start="2726">"The project will celebrate excellence in sub-tropical residential design, setting a new benchmark for vertical living in Brisbane."</p>

<p data-end="3130" data-start="2860">Verso Projects, which now has an $8.5 billion development pipeline spanning more than 6,000 dwellings across apartments, townhouses, retail and commercial projects, said the partnership with Capella would elevate the development beyond a traditional residential project.</p>

<p data-end="3415" data-start="3132">"We feel honoured to be restoring Shafston Estate to its former glory, elevating it to new heights of luxury and excellence underpinned by Capella's distinctive service ethos and design philosophy, and making it a standout landmark in Brisbane," Verso Projects CEO Steve Laffey said.</p>

<p data-end="3658" data-start="3417">"By partnering with Capella, globally recognised for its refined approach to luxury hospitality and deep respect for cultural and historical context, we will elevate this project beyond a residential offering into a world-class destination."</p>

<p data-end="3820" data-start="3660">Capella Hotel Group President Roland Fasel said Brisbane's emergence as a global city made it the right location for the company's Australian residential debut.</p>

<p data-end="3961" data-start="3822">"Brisbane is a city on the cusp of something remarkable, and Capella Residences is our commitment to being part of that story," Fasel said.</p>

<p data-end="4083" data-start="3963">"The Capella residential experience is more than luxury. It is about a sense of belonging to a place with deep meaning."</p>

<p data-end="4227" data-start="4085">Private appointments have now opened for the project, with a display suite expected to open in late 2026 ahead of the planned 2029 completion.</p>


Capella to launch Brisbane's first branded residences at Shafston House, Kangaroo Point

Brisbane

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<p>CoreLogic's head of research Tim Lawless talks the Brisbane housing market.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/OTbjH9ETIEY" frameborder="0" width="450" height="315"></iframe></p>
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Brisbane's market update for November: CoreLogic

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<p class="BodyCopy">The Brisbane property market, in terms of public perceptions, is a victim of the way research companies and media choose to portray price growth.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">It’s a stronger market than the published numbers suggest. Sales activity is generally buoyant and there are suburban precincts with growth markets right across the Brisbane metropolitan area.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">But the various research firms publish a single figure to describe house price growth across an entire metropolitan area - and that’s what media reports. In the past year, the single figure published for Brisbane suggests only moderate growth, much lower than Sydney or Melbourne. It’s caused some talking-head pontificators to declare that “there’s nothing happening in the Brisbane market”.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">But individual parts of the Brisbane metropolitan area have performed better than the reported research suggests. Over the past 2-3 years, various precincts have recorded double-digit annual growth in median prices - but the growth has not been felt across the board, so the overall Brisbane growth figures have been quite small.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Hotspotting analysis of sales activity shows that the Brisbane metro area is one of the most active capital city markets in Australia and I expect good price growth in specific areas in 2017.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Brisbane has greater buoyancy in its markets than do Sydney and Melbourne, where sales activity fell markedly in 2016. But media continues to report distorted figures for price growth and auction clearance rates in the bigger cities, especially for Sydney, creating a misleading impression.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">The notion that Sydney house prices are still growing at an annual rate of almost 20 percent is ludicrous but various media outlets keep stating it as fact, because one popular source says it’s so. Domain chief economist Andrew Wilson, on the hand, says comparing all Sydney sales in 2016 with all sales in 2015 gives an annual growth rate of just 4.4 percent, while the latest figure from the ABS is 3.3 percent and the Real Estate Institute of Australia says 3.4 percent.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Meanwhile, Brisbane chugs along, largely under the radar of national media – but not property investors who are smart enough to do their own research. A recent national survey found that Brisbane is the No.1 choice for property investors who plan to buy in 2017. Cheaper prices and much higher rental yields, compared to the two biggest cities, are strong attractions for nationally-focused investors.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Having just completed my latest analysis of sales data, I can confirm that the leading precinct for market activity is the Moreton Bay Region in Brisbane’s far north, where affordability, infrastructure and proximity to jobs nodes are key factors.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">The Redcliffe Peninsula, which is part of the Moreton Bay Region LGA, has received particular impetus from the completion of the Moreton Bay Rail Link, a long-awaited piece of transport infrastructure. Some of the Peninsula suburbs have recorded double-digit growth in their median house prices in the past 12 months.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">But while the Moreton Bay LGA leads, there is growth to be found in almost every segment of the Brisbane market. Some of the middle-market precincts both northside and southside, which appeared to have faded somewhat in 2016, have revitalised and there are numerous areas with growth momentum.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Logan City, the mirror image of Moreton Bay in the south of the Greater Brisbane Area, has been a market leader in the past two years. It appears to have faded a little but still has growth precincts and will continue to attract home-buyers and investors because of its cheap housing, excellent transport links and generally strong infrastructure.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Ipswich City, the south-western precinct with similar qualities to Logan City, is also rising and many suburbs are now delivering good price growth.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Redland Bay, which encompasses the bayside suburbs in Brisbane’s far east, is also now producing rising sales activity. It attracts buyers because of its affordable bayside lifestyle. It is increasingly emerging as an area of economic development and has good proximity to the Port of Brisbane and to Brisbane Airport, where there are major employment nodes.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Investors should continue to avoid the inner-city apartment markets. The CBD and near-city suburbs all have vacancy rates in the 5-7% range and these will increase as new high-rise projects are completed. Median apartment prices and median rentals are falling.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">The latest Market Monitor from the REIQ shows that median apartment prices fell in all the inner-city markets last year including the CBD (down 4 percent), South Brisbane (down 7 percent), Fortitude Valley (down 5 percent), West End (down 5 percent) and Woolloongabba (down 7 percent).</p>
<p>There are also suburban precincts, particularly in the middle-ring areas, with above-average vacancies too, thanks to over-building of small-to-medium developments of units and townhouses.</p>
<p>But those cautions aside, the Brisbane metro area is a place of busy markets where growth will be found by investors in 2017. It presents as a good hunting ground for those disillusioned by the high prices in Sydney and parts of Melbourne.</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">T<em>erry Ryder is the founder of </em><a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/"><span class="s2"><em>hotspotting.com.au</em></span></a><em>. You can  </em><a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E"><span class="s2"><em>email him</em></span></a><em> or follow him on </em><a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting"><span class="s2"><em>Twitter.</em></span></a></span></p>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Brisbane property market stronger than numbers suggest: Terry Ryder

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<p>Brisbane’s housing market capital gains is subdued, but sustainable, according to CoreLogic’s latest update report.</p>
<p>The property data firm says that rise in house values compensating a fall in unit values takes Brisbane’s annual growth rate into 2%.</p>
<p>For more information see the video below:</p>
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Subdued but sustainable: Brisbane's housing market update: Tim Lawless

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p>The Brisbane market is showing meaningful improvement and appears ready for a long overdue boom. Every statistic that matters depicts uplift in the Brisbane market and prices are expected to rise in 2020.</p>
<p>Many commentators have forecast a Brisbane boom in recent years, though many were simply assuming that the Queensland capital would follow the lead of Melbourne and Sydney. Brisbane, however, has lacked the core growth drivers that boosted markets in the two biggest cities.</p>
<p>But, increasingly, growth parameters are lining up for Brisbane. Population data is favourable, the affordability comparison is helpful, surveyed investors say they are targeting Brisbane – and the major piece of the puzzle previously missing, infrastructure spending, is starting to happen.</p>
<p>I have commented in the past: “Brisbane is like a car where the engine is revving but it can’t move forward because the handbrake is on.” Perhaps the handbrake has been released - a growing number of analysts are tipping good price growth in Brisbane this year (including Domain, BIS Shrapnel and Westpac) and I tend to agree.</p>
<p>My Autumn 2020 survey of sales activity reveals 37 suburbs with rising buyer demand, the second best result for Brisbane in the past three years – and almost double the number six months earlier. There has also been a marked decline in the number of problem locations (those classified as declining or danger markets).</p>
<p>Vacancy rates continue to improve, though there are still areas of weakness, and 43% of Brisbane suburbs have delivered annual growth in their median house prices, including double-digit uplift in the strongest areas.</p>
<p>There is particular strength in the northern suburbs of Brisbane – the Brisbane North precinct and the Moreton Bay LGA jointly account for 21 of the 37 suburbs ranked as rising markets. The southside has many of the struggling markets and Brisbane’s inner-city, while improving, still has its problems.</p>
<p>The Brisbane North precinct and its neighbour Moreton Bay Region are the standouts, as they have been in our surveys in the past.</p>
<p>Brisbane North has 13 suburbs classified as rising markets, another 24 suburbs with steady sales activity and none ranked as declining or danger markets.</p>
<p>The uplift in sales activity is producing solid price growth in many of these suburbs, well above the average for the Brisbane metro area. Kedron has recorded annual rises in its median prices for both houses (up 6%) and apartments (up 11%), while Windsor is up 22% for houses and 6% for apartments.</p>
<p>Newmarket’s median house price is up 16%, Northgate has risen 14%, while Stafford, Nudgee and Geebung have all increased between 6% and 8%.</p>
<p>The Moreton Bay Region LGA has regularly been the best-performing Brisbane market, boosted by affordability, good infrastructure and proximity to employment nodes. It’s been overtaken by Brisbane North in the latest survey, but remains a significant market.</p>
<p>The February 2020 opening of a new university campus will boost demand in nearby suburbs like Petrie and Lawnton (Petrie is already rated a rising market and is likely to get stronger as the campus effect clicks in).</p>
<p>Other precincts have some growth markets: Brisbane-east, Brisbane-south and Brisbane-inner each has four suburbs with rising sales activity. Currently these are out-numbered by plateau markets, but I expect that to change as the year rolls on.</p>
<p>The Brisbane-inner precinct is a confusion of suburbs with contrasting rankings: the 22 ranked suburbs in my Autumn 2020 survey include 4 rising, 7 plateau, 1 consistency, 7 declining and 3 danger. The danger markets (Albion, Fortitude Valley and Kelvin Grove) are those where sales activity has dropped markedly, prices are down and vacancy rates remain high. This, however, is an improvement – 18 months ago the Brisbane-inner precinct had 12 suburbs classified as danger markets.</p>
<p>It’s noteworthy that many of the Brisbane locations with solid median price growth in the past year are situated towards the upper end of the market. They include Hamilton ($1,560,000, up 11%), Balmoral ($1,050,000, up 7%), Indooroopilly ($950,000, up 12%), Newmarket ($950,000, up 16%), Rochedale ($1,035,000, up 7%), Sherwood ($935,000, up 7%), Toowong ($890,000, up 10%) and Windsor ($940,000, up 22%).</p>
<p>Inner-city Highgate Hill stands out with good median price both for houses (up 8%) and apartments (up 10%).</p>
<p>Usually, up-cycles in capital city property markets begin at the top end and ripple out from there.</p>
<p><strong>TERRY RYDER</strong> <em>is the founder of hotspotting.com.au </em><br><em>ryder@hotspotting.com.au</em><br><em>twitter.com/hotspotting</em></p>
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Brisbane property market looks set for long overdue boom: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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<div>The December 2015 Residential Property Price Indexes figures confirmed the expected slowing in the final quarter of last year, although more timely private sector indices suggest that nationally prices began to rise again in the first quarter of 2016, perhaps by around +1.5 percent. Let's look through the macro trends from the 2015 figures in three concise parts.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 1 - Market steadier in summer</span></strong><br><br>The total value  of dwelling stock increased only marginally to $5.9 trillion in the December quarter, rising by $482 billion or +8.9 per cent over the calendar year. This was broadly in line with capital city dwelling price growth of +8.7 per cent, plus a bit more reflecting the value of the new supply of new dwellings.<br><br>The total value of dwelling stock has increased by a third or $1.5 trillion since December 2011, now tallying 3.5 times the size of nominal GDP. </div>
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<div>The weighted 8 capital city average indexes showed that both house and unit prices steadied in the last quarter of 2015, with house price growth (+9.3 per cent) outperforming the market attached dwellings (+6.7 per cent) over the course of the calendar year, a triumph for scarcity over affordability. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/03/23/R10.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
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<p> </p>
<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 2 - City by city</span></strong><br><br>While Sydney showed the expected moderate final quarter correction and Darwin prices tumbled, Perth saw its prices increase by +0.5 per cent leading a number of commentators to call the bottom on Perth's market cycle and to project moderate gains for 2016.<br><br>Melbourne prices rose by +1.6 per cent to record strong growth of +9.6 per cent for the year, second only to another immense calendar year for Sydney at +13.9 per cent.<br><br>Canberra went on a tear with prices leaping by +2.8 per cent in the December quarter (for +6 per cent growth in 2015). while Hobart prices also spiked by +2.5 per cent for an annual result of +3.5 per cent, mirroring more timely reports from other private sector data providers.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The most steadily consistent performer has been Brisbane, notching up another solid +1.6 per cent increase for its 14th consecutive quarterly gain and a +4.2 per cent annual increase. Since June 2012 dwelling prices have increased steadily by +17.1 per cent in Brisbane. Adelaide has followed a very similar trajectory with somewhat more suppressed nominal price growth. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/03/23/R6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a><br><img src="/images/2016/03/23/R6.jpg" alt=""><br><br></p>
<div>Over the past three years the total value of Australia's dwelling stock has increased by $1.33 trillion, with New South Wales (+$682 billion), Victoria (+$377 billion) and Queensland (+$143 billion) accounting for the bulk of the increase. </div>
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<div>Since December 2008 growth in property prices has been driven overwhelmingly by Sydney (+79.8 per cent) and Melbourne (+53.5 per cent), while Brisbane has recorded considerably less price growth (+22.1 per cent) over this timeframe. In fact since that time both Darwin and Canberra have fared better, although the Top End is now in correction mode.</div>
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<div>The ABS also now provides some interesting insights into the unstratified median price of established dwelling transfers, which also inferred a slowdown in Sydney house prices (in fact Sydney unit prices rose more than established house prices on this metric, jumping by +11.4 per cent to $685,000).<br><br>This data series is most instructive in depicting just how far Sydney and Melbourne house price growth has outpaced that of its respective regional market counterparts. </div>
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<div>There are myriad ways to look at house price data, some of which involve inflation adjustments and carefully selected data points, while others use hedonic regression analysis, but the simple long run data from March 2002 shows the median transfer price of established houses to be as follows:</div>
<ul>
<li>Sydney up from $365,000 to $910,000</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Melbourne up from $241,000 to $621,000 </li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Brisbane up from $185,000 to $499,800 </li>
</ul>
<div class="separator">At the state level the mean dwelling prices tell a broadly similar story to the capital city narrative for the past year, with New South Wales (+$76,300) and Victoria (+$56,100) once again recording the greatest gains in calendar year 2015, while the ACT (+$35,000) and Queensland (+$17,600) also saw notable increases.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/03/23/R7.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
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<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 3 - Supply response mixed</span></strong><br><br></p>
<div>Finally, the data denoting the total number of dwellings at the state level shows how New South Wales added just +7,400 dwellings to its total stock in the December quarter. Nationally the total number of dwellings increased solidly by +162,900 or +1.7 per cent in 2015 to 9.62 million, having now increased by +578,600 or +6.4 per cent since December 2011. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<span>Over the past four years, while the less densely populated territories of the Northern Territory (+10.2 per cent) and the ACT have added substantially to their stock of dwellings in percentage terms, the same has not been true everywhere. </span><br><br>Of the most populous states Western Australia (+8.9 per cent) and Victoria (+7.8 per cent) have co-ordinated the most material supply response as a percentage of established dwellings. However, the percentage increases in Queensland (+6.8 per cent) and in particular New South Wales (+4.6 per cent) have been less marked, reflected in their respective shallower gradients in the below chart. </div>
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<div>This seems likely to in part to reflect stock obsolescence and demolition in the larger capital cities, where older dwellings are often pulled down in order to make way for new apartment developments. However, in some locations there does remain an elevated volume of apartment construction in the pipeline, which you can doubtless see for yourself if you frequent the inner city hubs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall this historical data reflected already known market trends with the restraints on investor lending propitious in tapering price growth towards the end of the calendar year. At the macro level we can expect price growth nationally in 2016 to be lower than the +8.7 per cent seen in 2015, with investor lending have been successfully curbed and more supply due to come online. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>House price growth has resumed in 2016 in parts of Brisbane and Melbourne, Sydney's market has become a <em>bona fide</em> dichotomy, with many of the inner ring suburbs firing, but the outer ring now recording funereal auction results. Naturally at the sub-regional level results are far more mixed and trends more nuanced.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Brisbane racks up 14th consecutive quarterly gain: Pete Wargent

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<div id="post-body-8331073014349855294" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>One should typically expect to see vacancy rates rise in December and January, and nationally vacancy rates were up to 2.8 per cent before Christmas according to SQM Research. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The increase was largely driven by Brisbane, which jumped to 3.7 percent.  </div>
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<br><div>As these numbers aren't seasonally adjusted it's technically 'chart crime' to smooth them over a few months, but nevertheless this can help to give a sense of the trend. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/17/VR2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/17/VR2.jpg" alt=""><br><br><div>We expect to see seasonal spikes in vacancy rates in suburbs such as Indro, Toowong, and perhaps Milton, at least in part because there are fewer students around over the summer break. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The tasty action is happening in the construction hubs such as the Valley and Newstead...</div>
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<div><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em> </em></span></div>
<div><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em>Source: SQM Research</em></span></div>
<br><div>And especially South Brisbane and West End, though the student effect is a part of this December jump too.</div>
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<br><div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/17/4101.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Source: SQM Research</span></em></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div>The trend is not the landlord's friend in these areas, with several thousand more inner city apartment completions expected to come onstream before the end of June. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Where Brisbane landords face rental challenges in 2017: Pete Wargent

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<div>SQM Research reported its always-excellent vacancy rates index today for the month of May 2018, with vacancy rates nationally at 2.1 per cent, down marginally from 2.3 per cent a year earlier. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>And the figures showed a fifth consecutive decline for vacancies in Brisbane.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Brisbane's city-wide vacancy rate was down to 2.9 per cent, from 3.5 per cent a year earlier. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This accords well with what we've been seeing on the ground in Brisbane.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Indeed, family-appropriate dwelling stock is now often renting at the first open home, with numerous instances of multiple offers and rentals achieving above the asking price. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There are still some notable pockets of pain, of course, most evidently in the inner-city high rise 'investor stock', where rental guarantees mask what is often optimistically pitched product.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There are also more high-rise units in the post for the CBD, with the SkyTower construction now well underway. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Generally speaking and across the city, however, the rental market is rebalancing as construction slows, thanks to positive interstate migration and somewhat pacier net overseas migration, and is in better nick than a year earlier.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Plotted below are the vacancy rate figures by capital city smoothed on a 6mMA basis (not seasonally adjusted). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As you can see, while Brisbane has now turned a corner, Sydney is now experiencing a high rate of unit completions with considerably more new apartment stock choice for renters. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Sydney's vacancy rate of 2.5 per cent was well up from 1.7 per cent in May 2017. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-R1Whw2TAGEA/Wyh6EPlQOqI/AAAAAAAAqpM/hLFxcsPFy80keuHyZQR13T_y6O6xMJCrgCLcBGAs/s640/SQM1.jpg" width="640" height="362" data-original-height="800" data-original-width="1410"></div>
<p> </p>
<div>Elsewhere, Perth is grinding its way back from its punishing rental market nadir (please don't email about terminology: if you don't like it substitute with an antonym; it's really not that difficult!), while Hobart remains a tight rental market despite a slight loosening year-on-year.<br><br>It will be interesting to see at what point rising prices in Hobart spark a significant supply response, in what is a relatively small city, though some developers are reluctant to stray from the mainland due to the additional logistical challenges. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Melbourne's vacancy rate was the same as it was a year earlier at just 1.4 per cent, despite hectic rates of dwelling construction. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Adelaide rental market has generally been tightening for some time now.<br><br>And finally, Canberra's rental vacancies have plummeted since the experiment with housing taxation, and it remains to be seen when a new rental market equilibrium is reached. </div>
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Brisbane rental guarantees mask optimistically pitched apartment product: Pete Wargent

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<p>Featuring the nation’s only rooftop skystand overlooking a major sports stadium, a new residential development in Woolloongabba has begun marketing.</p>
<p>Adjacent to Brisbane’s Gabba stadium, the Silk One project will boast a rooftop terrace 20 stories high, providing residents views of the ground.</p>
<p>The development is just 300 metres from the planned Woolloongabba Cross River Rail train station, 350 metres from Woolloongabba Busway and within two kilometres of major lifestyle and entertainment developments including Queens Wharf, Howard Smith Wharves and Dexus Waterfront,</p>
<p>"Silk One will combine lifestyle, access and amenity" suggests the developer.</p>
<p>Sarazin managing director Darren Dougan said the developer chose the Woolloongabba site, as it’s in prime position to take advantage of a changing Brisbane market.</p>
<p>“Contrary to the gloom portrayed by oversupply a couple of years ago, the proof is in the data - Brisbane’s off the plan prices are flat, not falling, and are forecasted to grow,” Mr Dougan said.</p>
<p>“Queensland’s interstate migration is the nation’s highest , the affordability gap between 1 Brisbane and Sydney is now at 66 per cent plus the jobs market is surging - with 130,000 2 net new jobs within the past year ,” he said.</p>
<p>CBRE Brisbane Managing Director Paul Barratt confirmed the confidence in Brisbane’s inner-city residential apartment market, “Brisbane not only offers premium value at attainable prices, but with the market due for a natural correction - the Queensland capital is ahead of its southern counterpart when it comes to long-term financial return.”</p>
<p>“Smart money follows infrastructure, and Brisbane’s infrastructure is at an all time high, in fact, there is over $12 billion in projects planned or under construction in the CBD alone,” he said.</p>
<p>The project will deliver 178 residencies comprising a mix of one, two and three bedroom open plan apartments with prices starting from $369,000 (including one car park).</p>
<p>Strategically designed to maximise the birds-eye views of the Gabba stadium, the unique Silk One skystand rooftop will offer an outdoor dining and BBQ space, resort-style pool, gym and spa as well as a big screen TV near the bar to ensure not a minute of the action is missed.</p>
<p>For those wanting to enjoy Brisbane’s glorious weather privately, each of the varying orientations benefit from deep balconies all northerly facing apartments on level eight and above benefit from stunning city skyline views.</p>
<p>Registrations and expressions of interest are now <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-qld-woolloongabba-128459410" target="_blank">open</a> ahead of the global launch on 23 June 2018</p>
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Australian first Skystand provides new views for Brisbane apartment buyers

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<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Brisbane is increasingly in the crosshairs of real estate buyers because of the affordability comparison.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">It’s median house price is almost exactly half that of Sydney’s and so is its median unit price. The comparisons are also highly favourable with Melbourne and Canberra.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Having cheap real estate on offer is one thing; the key question is whether there are also prospects for growth. That’s why one of Hotspotting’s most popular products is the “Cheapies with Prospects” package – it focuses on areas that offer not only affordability but also potential for growth.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Brisbane overall hasn’t offered much in the way of capital gains during the period in which Sydney and Melbourne have thrived, largely because the underlying economy has under-achieved.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">But there are mounting signs of improvement, especially in the areas of jobs creation, population growth and revival in the resources sector.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">So where to head for homes at attainable prices and growth drivers? Brisbane offers three standout options, where there is ample supply of houses well below the overall Greater Brisbane median house price around $530,000.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The cheapest real estate in the Greater Brisbane area is generally found in the Ipswich City LGA in the south-west. Here there are suburbs with median house prices in the $200,000s and the low $300,000s.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">One precinct with appeal is the one that includes Goodna (median house price $325,000) and Redbank Plains ($335,000). These suburbs are at the eastern fringe of the LGA, the part closest to Brisbane – and they abut the motorway and the train line that links to central Brisbane.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">They’re also close to the Springfield master-planned community which has an array of modern facilities, including university campus, hospital and commercial-retail precincts.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">There are numerous big shopping centres and major employment nodes nearby, with the recently-announced $5 billion Defence vehicle contract focused on this precinct as a major new jobs creator.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">So this precinct offers an appealing package: affordability, transport links, shopping and jobs nodes.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Logan City in the far south of the Greater Brisbane area has plenty to offer as well. Many of its suburbs have median house prices in the $300,000s, including Eagleby ($315,000), Beenleigh ($335,000) and Woodridge ($310,000).</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">This LGA has new development areas, where master-planned communities are under way, but these are off the west, whereas the older and cheaper suburbs tend to be clustered around the transport spine created by the Pacific Motorway and the train line, both of which link central Brisbane to the Gold Coast.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">This is also where there is an impressive shopping offering, including major bulky goods retail, and well-established infrastructure like schools and medical facilities (as well as a surprising number of golf courses).</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The third of the “Cheapies with Prospects” areas to note in Greater Brisbane is the Moreton Bay LGA up in the far north heading towards the Sunshine Coast. Like Logan City, this precinct has major road and rail links between the coast and central Brisbane.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">This is the most active market in Greater Brisbane at the moment: Caboolture, Kallangur, Morayfield, Narangba and North Lakes have each recorded over 400 house sales in the past 12 months.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The first three on that list have median house prices in the $300,000s, as do several other suburbs in the LGA (including some of the bayside areas). North Lakes, a suburb created by an ongoing master-planned community, is more expensive with a median around $500,000, but has brought a heightened level of infrastructure and amenities to the precinct.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">There are emerging signs of price growth in this precinct: the suburbs of Beachmere, Burpengary and Upper Caboolture have had double-digit growth in their median prices in the past year, while others are up 6-7 percent.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The upmarket end of the Moreton Bay LGA market is the Redcliffe Peninsula – but most of the water-focused suburbs in this precinct have median house prices in the $400,000s, which is still fairly attractive compared to what you’d pay in Sydney and Melbourne.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">And the Peninsula now has rail links to central Brisbane (the new line opened in 2016).</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Many of the suburbs in the three precincts have median rental yields in the 5 to 5.5 percent range, as an additional appeal factor.</span></p>
<p class="p2"> </p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s2">T<em>erry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au</em></span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s3"><a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au"><em>ryder@hotspotting.com.au</em></a></span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s2"><em>twitter.com/hotspotting</em></span></p>
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Top three Brisbane property locations for affordability and growth: Terry Ryder

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER </p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Brisbane is doing what it’s done for the past five years. It’s performing solidly, with most markets recording price rises in the past year, but it’s not a compelling growth market. As I commented recently: “Brisbane is like a car where the engine is revving but it can’t move forward because the handbrake is on.”</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Hotspotting’s Winter survey of sales activity shows a reduction in the number of growth markets, measured by patterns in dwelling sales quarter-by-quarter. Prior to this, Brisbane had recorded a rising trend for three consecutive surveys. But now the engine has stalled.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Brisbane continues to perform quite well on price growth, with 66% of suburbs delivering annual growth in their median house prices, which means 135 suburbs with median house prices higher than a year ago. The figures for apartment markets, however, are much less positive, which reflects unit over-supply in recent years.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The number of suburbs with growing demand had risen from 19 to 29 to 33 to 44 in our previous surveys, but the number of growth markets has dropped to 24 in our Winter survey. In the early part of 2019, Brisbane has been impacted by some of the national factors, such as tighter credit and uncertainty prior to the 18 May election.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">We expect some revival in the second half of 2019, helped by the series of fortunate events since 18 May, including cuts to taxes and interest rates, plus the prospect of improved infrastructure spending by the Queensland Government. In the meantime, Brisbane continues to be steady but unexciting.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Some sub-markets are doing better than others. The clear market leader is the Brisbane-north precinct, which comprises the northern suburbs of the Brisbane City Council area – essentially this is Brisbane’s middle market on the northside. Brisbane-north has 10 suburbs with growth momentum (almost half of the growth markets in the Brisbane metro area), including solid middle market areas like Alderley, Everton Park, Kedron, McDowall, Sandgate, Stafford and Wavell Heights.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Quarterly sales in Alderley have been 28, 37, 48, 50 and 52 – and its median prices have risen 6% for houses ($860,000) and 15% for apartments ($425,000) in the past 12 months. Sandgate has had a 15% rise in its median house price ($750,000).</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Before the Winter 2019 survey, t</span><span class="s2">he Moreton Bay Region in the far north had been the No.1 market in Greater Brisbane for some time. It had lifted the number of growth suburbs from 7 to 10 to 12 in the previous three surveys. But now the Moreton Bay LGA has faded – it now has only five growth suburbs, with 33 suburbs which are either plateau or consistency markets. The remaining suburbs with growth momentum are Everton Hills, Ferny Hills, Kippa-Ring, Murrumba Downs and Warner.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">I expect revival in this market, or sections of it, later in the year, helped by infrastructure like the new university campus in the Petrie area.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">A number of Moreton Bay suburbs recorded good price growth in the past 12 months, including Bellara (up 11%), Bray Park (6%), Cashmere (10%), Joyner (9%), Sandstone Point (11%), Caboolture (6%), Upper Caboolture (6%), Scarborough (8%), Strathpine (11%), Woody Point (9%), Burpengary East (11%) and Murrumba Downs (8%).<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">This reflects a well-established pattern in real estate that prices often remain strong for some time after sales activity has faded.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">Elsewhere across the Brisbane metro area, the most notable markets are those marked by consistency and solidity (like Ipswich City and the Brisbane-south precinct) and those where the trends are more negative (like the Brisbane-inner precinct and Logan City).</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">The number of danger markets in Brisbane is gradually reducing – the seven that remain are primarily inner-city suburbs impacted by the apartment oversupply, which is gradually being absorbed. A couple of inner-city markets, notably Kangaroo Point and Milton, have lost their danger ranking in this survey as the data gradually improves.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">But the highly-regarded western suburb of Fig Tree Pocket has been classified as a danger market, because sales activity have declined significantly, the median house price has dropped 25% to $890,000 and vacancies in this postcode are 4.5%.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">The price data for the Greater Brisbane Area is noteworthy, because it shows that the generalised figures published in mainstream media are highly misleading. The latest figures from sources like SQM Research, Domain and CoreLogic have Brisbane houses showing little or no growth in the past year, but our suburb-by-suburb analysis shows there are many outperformers.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">Hotspotting analysed 287 suburban markets – 205 house markets and 82 unit markets - looking at the latest figures showing annual growth rates. The results for houses are a lot more positive than those for units.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">Of the suburb house markets, 135 (66%) have median house prices higher than a year ago, including 44 where medians have grown more than 5% - headed by West End (up 16%), Windaroo (16%), Sandgate (15%), Hemmant (23%) and East Ipswich (19%).<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">A total of 70 suburbs (34%) have median house prices down in annual terms, but most are down by less than 5%. Only 12 suburbs have recorded median house price decline above 5%.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">The apartment market shows a different pattern, impacted by several years of over-supply which drove up vacancy rates, especially in the inner-city areas. Of the suburbs with unit markets, 38% have higher medians than year ago and 62% have recorded decline in their median prices.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">It’s notable than 26 or the 38 Brisbane markets where median prices have dropped more than 5% are apartment markets. The median apartment price for inner-city Bowen Hills is down 19%.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">Overall, Brisbane is solid market – or a series of mostly solid markets – awaiting a catalyst. It’s likely to get at least part of the boost it needs from recent national factors, including the election result, the APRA easing, the reductions to interest rates and the tax cuts.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au</em></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s4"><a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au"><em>ryder@hotspotting.com.au</em></a></span></p>
<p class="p6"><span class="s3"><em>twitter.com/hotspotting</em></span></p>
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