Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Joel Robinson

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

La Vera closes in on completion as Macquarie Park continues residential transformation

Brisbane developer Red &amp; Co's decision to include dual key apartments in its debut Gold Coast apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/como-varsity-lakes-22-lake-street-varsity-lakes-qld-4227">COMO Varsity Lakes</a>, is proving to be one of the project's biggest drawcards, with buyers quickly snapping up the flexible residences.

More than half of the project's 36 dual key apartments have already sold, helping drive COMO beyond the 50 per cent sold mark within the first month of launch.

The strong response highlights growing demand for apartment designs that can adapt to changing lifestyles, with buyers increasingly looking for homes that accommodate multi-generational living, provide rental income opportunities or simply offer greater flexibility over time.

Located on the shores of Lake Orr, COMO will deliver 156 apartments across 16 levels, with the dual-key residences forming a limited release within the broader development.

Each combines a primary two-bedroom apartment with a fully self-contained studio on a single title, connected by a shared foyer and lockable internal door. The design allows owners to house ageing parents, adult children or guests while maintaining privacy, or lease the secondary residence to generate additional income.

Just 17 of the original 36 dual key apartments remain available.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=367096]

The innovative configuration combines two fully self-contained residences on a single title, typically comprising a primary two-bedroom apartment alongside a separate studio residence, connected via a shared foyer and lockable internal door.&nbsp;

The model is proving particularly attractive to owner occupiers navigating changing family dynamics and the realities of the current housing crisis.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363511]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/npa">NPA</a>&nbsp;CEO Andrew Erwin said dual key living was resonating strongly with modern buyers because it delivered both financial flexibility and practical lifestyle benefits.&nbsp;

“The housing crisis and rising cost of living are fundamentally changing how Australians think about home ownership,” Erwin said.&nbsp;

“Dual key apartments provide a genuine solution for families who want to stay connected while maintaining independence. Parents can help adult children save for a future home, ageing parents can remain nearby without moving into aged care, and owners still retain privacy and flexibility.

“Importantly, buyers are also recognising the financial advantages. It creates the opportunity to generate additional income from part of the home without the holding costs associated with owning a separate investment property.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363509]

Unlike traditional dual occupancy arrangements, the residences operate under a single title, meaning owners only incur one set of body corporate fees, council rates and holding costs.&nbsp;

The secondary residence can also evolve over time - functioning as guest accommodation, a home office, creative studio or private retreat before later becoming an income-producing asset.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/red-co">Red &amp; Co</a>&nbsp;Director and Co-Founder David Laverty said the strong early sales reflected growing buyer urgency and changing priorities within the market.&nbsp;

“Securing more than half of COMO’s residences within such a short timeframe is an outstanding result and a clear endorsement of both the design and location,” Laverty said.&nbsp;

“Buyers are responding to the combination of location, connectivity and amenity, but ultimately it’s value relative to other East Coast markets that is driving enquiry.”&nbsp;

“We’re also seeing strong interest from owner occupiers looking for homes that can adapt with them over time. Flexibility has become one of the most important considerations for buyers in today’s market.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363515]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, COMO features a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom residences with 2.7-metre ceilings and larger-format floorplans aimed at owner occupiers, downsizers and lifestyle-focused buyers.&nbsp;

The development will feature an extensive rooftop recreation and wellness offering including a 25-metre lap pool, sundeck, barbecue and dining areas, gym, sauna, plunge baths, landscaped gardens, wellness spaces and rooftop pickleball and paddleball courts.

The remaining dual key apartments range from 137 sqm to 167 sqm and include generous three-bedroom layouts with separate self-contained studio accommodation and dual parking.&nbsp;

Erwin said the dual key concept represented a broader shift in how Australians would live in the future.

“People want homes that can evolve with their lives,” he said.&nbsp;

“A dual key apartment can suit a family today, support an ageing parent tomorrow, and potentially generate income later on. That adaptability is becoming incredibly valuable in the current environment.”

Prices currently range from $2,115,750 to $2,583,000.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135546]

Inter-generational living drives demand for COMO’s dual key apartments as housing pressures reshape buyer priorities 

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ceerose">Ceerose</a> has doubled down on its Leichhardt ambitions, lodging its second State Significant Development Application (SSDA) in the suburb in the last six months.

Their newest proposal seeks to transform a former industrial precinct into a new residential community centred around the adaptive reuse of one of the site's heritage warehouse buildings.

The new project, on a 6,930 sqm block at&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-76-william-street-leichhardt-nsw-2040">40–76 William Street</a>, will bring more than 200 apartments to a suburb that has seen little to no new supply in recent years. It follows Ceerose's late 2025 SSDA for a mixed-use apartment project on nearby Parramatta Road, signalling the developer's growing investment in Sydney's Inner West.

Ceerose Founder Edward Doueihi told Apartments.com.au the developer’s long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West had given it a strong understanding of how the area has evolved and where its future opportunities lie.

“Ceerose has had a long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West, giving us a unique understanding of the area’s evolution and future potential,” Doueihi said.

“Having delivered projects throughout the region, we have witnessed the suburb’s transformation first-hand and understand the opportunities for its continued growth.”

Doueihi said that understanding also informed the planning process, with a comprehensive Stakeholder Engagement Outcomes Report prepared before the application was lodged.

The report identified the key issues and concerns raised by neighbouring residents and other stakeholders, allowing those matters to be considered and incorporated into the design where appropriate.

He said the delivery of additional housing would also play an important role in supporting the revitalisation of Norton Street and the Italian Forum.

“By increasing the local residential population, the development is expected to strengthen demand for local businesses, encourage further investment, and help restore the vibrancy that made the precinct a thriving destination in the early 2000s.”

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7258c54c-8167-479e-8361-2d5fca9915b4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010B%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%202.jpg?VersionId=S9DQfxu_jpcB5LrAEYFUbyMzg5odW6i5" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the redevelopment would involve the demolition of four existing industrial buildings while retaining and adaptively reusing the site's most significant warehouse. The retained structure would anchor a new residential precinct comprising five interconnected buildings arranged around a large central landscaped courtyard, with heights stepping from five storeys along the surrounding residential streets to 11 storeys at the William Street corner.

According to the Architecture Design Report by Woods Bagot, the proposal "seeks to create a residential village centred around a generous green heart while celebrating the site's industrial heritage through the adaptive reuse of the existing warehouse building."

The development would comprise 203 apartments, with 188 proposed as build-to-sell residences, alongside 15 affordable housing apartments.

Rather than treating the retained warehouse as a standalone heritage object, Woods Bagot has sought to weave the site's industrial history throughout the masterplan. The proposal retains the north and west facades of the landmark corner warehouse, while new buildings reinterpret the site's brick-and-steel industrial language through their material palette and architectural expression.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9e8c64c2-881b-49e1-8c90-6b6acaaa45b6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010C%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%203.jpg?VersionId=Qm8_8H_Xrg_sc4Mdjc59vlAcKF_5wRTb" />

The design is organised around what Woods Bagot describes as a "green heart", a landscaped communal open space that reinstates the leafy character removed when the site became an industrial storage facility. A new pedestrian laneway running through the site would improve permeability between William, North and Francis streets, linking residents through landscaped public spaces while activating the ground plane.

Residents would have access to communal gardens and shared recreation areas distributed throughout the development. Sustainability has also been prioritised, with the project targeting an average 7.9-star NatHERS rating. Proposed initiatives include rooftop solar generation, rainwater harvesting, passive solar design, naturally ventilated lobbies, extensive cross-ventilation and the reuse of existing building fabric to reduce embodied carbon.

The adaptive reuse strategy became a defining feature of the application after heritage investigations found only one of the site's industrial buildings could feasibly be retained. The Heritage Impact Statement concludes that preserving the key warehouse façades while referencing the site's industrial character throughout the new development provides an appropriate balance between renewal and conservation.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="efffafdb-594f-4e2b-a067-921fd51c05e1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010D%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%204.jpg?VersionId=DPmE4.k16YRt0i27hEZVtJAffarpvUfx" />

"Retention and adaptation of the site buildings has been explored but found not to be feasible except for the tallest building, whose street facades will be retained," the heritage report states.

"The proposed building will interpret the brick and steel character of the subject site, including reuse of some components and construction of a large 'sawtooth' structure in the proposed open space."

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3bfef2b5-83f5-40cd-9cab-767092f34266" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010E%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%205.jpg?VersionId=7asb3i_ql4ybbuJOUb5UHBEIy0Q9t.DF" />

The William Street site is located around 300 metres from Leichhardt North Light Rail station and a short walk to Norton Street's retail, dining and hospitality precinct. The surrounding area has increasingly become a focus for urban renewal given its proximity to public transport and the Parramatta Road corridor.

Doueihi founded Ceerose in 1998 and has grown the business to become one of Sydney's more active apartment developers in recent years, with completed projects including The Alex Collective in Alexandria, Abbie's Lane in Annandale, and the award-winning Munro House in Elizabeth Bay. They are currently delivering Belgravia, 17 luxury apartments in Potts Point.

First look: Ceerose doubles down in Leichhardt with adaptive reuse of former warehouse site

Adelaide

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Adelaide often flies under the radar for investors. It’s perhaps the most under-rated among the capital cities, despite having delivered good growth rates in the past and currently it leads the nation on some measures, including the rise in sales activity.
Across the Adelaide metro area, the standouts are middle-market precincts like the City of Charles Sturt. This LGA, immediately north and north-west of the Adelaide CBD, is at the forefront of Adelaide’s efforts to evolve its economy, as manufacturing industries fade.
Topping the list of Adelaide projects is the $2 billion Royal Adelaide Hospital, due for completion in late 2016. There is also a serious focus on improved transport infrastructure, including road and rail, which will better connect industrial precincts and outer suburbs with the CBD, the Port of Adelaide and Adelaide Airport.
The City of Charles Sturt attracts people because it’s close to the beaches, the CBD, the airport and regional shopping facilities. Henley Beach is one of Adelaide’s most popular, with a noted restaurant precinct with boutique shopping. 
The LGA has long been considered the sporting and entertainment hub of Adelaide, with national basketball, soccer and football stadiums, three privately-owned golf courses, an international rowing course, the River Torrens Linear Park, the Adelaide Entertainment Centre, the coast and numerous highly-regarded local sporting venues.
The City is well-catered-for in terms of schools and medical services. Health is the largest employer in South Australia and has replaced manufacturing as the largest employer in Charles Sturt, which has two major hospitals: the Queen Elizabeth Hospital (the Western Region’s primary health care provider) and Western Hospital at Henley Beach.
Charles Sturt is a solid middle-market area that offers affordable homes, low vacancies and a strong construction pipeline. 
The LGA has bayside suburbs west of the Adelaide CBD, including rising markets such as Henley Beach (median house price $790,000) and Henley Beach South ($763,000), as well as some more affordable locations such as Findon ($473,000), Kidman Park ($570,000), Semaphore Park ($467,000) and Seaton ($460,000).
Long-term growth rates (average annual growth in median prices over 10 years) are generally 5–6% per year. Henley Beach, Henley Beach South and Woodville Park are slightly higher at 7 percent per year (which means values doubling in 10 years).
Most of properties in the city are stand-alone houses (73 percent), while 28 percent are units, according to the 2011 Census. However, there has been a marked increase in the number of units being built in the last three years.
Vacancies across Charles Sturt are generally low, with many postcodes having vacancy rates below 2 percent. Only postcodes 5020 and 5021 (which includes West Lakes and West Lakes Shore) have vacancies outside the general comfort zone.
Much is happening in Adelaide generally and the City of Charles Sturt specifically, and this is partly attributed to the State Government’s 30-Year Plan for Greater Adelaide.
Using the plan as a guide, Renewal SA is initiating urban renewal developments, led by four major projects valued at over $2 billion. The largest project will see the population of the small inner suburb of Bowden grow from a few hundred residents to 3,500 over the next decade. This area is being revitalised with cafés, restaurants, shops, offices and parks.
The old AAMI Stadium (also known as Football Park) at West Lakes is to be redeveloped. In 2014, the South Australia National Football League sold AAMI Stadium to developers Commercial and General for $71 million. Commercial &amp; General has plans to develop the site into residential, commercial and community land uses. It is estimated 1,600 homes will eventually occupy the site. 
Another Renewal SA project will see land adjacent to the Woodville Railway Station transformed with a mix of medium-density to high-rise dwellings.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Adelaide the most under-rated among the capital cities: Terry Ryder

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Adelaide now has the No.1 growth market among the eight state and territory capital cities.
While the former boom markets in Sydney and Melbourne have faded dramatically in 2016 (notwithstanding the dodgy data on auction clearance rates, which flatter to deceive), and Brisbane has lost some of its momentum, Adelaide has maintained its very steady performance.
My latest survey of sales activity for The Price Predictor Index shows that Adelaide leads the capital cities on the number of growth markets for the second consecutive survey. It has more suburbs with rising sales activity than all other cities, ahead of Melbourne and Brisbane. Adelaide is attracting growing attention from investors for its affordability and the value for money it offers compared to the bigger cities. 
Using sales volumes as the yardstick, there are now very few growth markets left in Sydney. And my latest survey adds another element to the downturn story: there are now suburbs I have identified as “danger markets”, because of the pattern of sharp decline in the number of sales. These are primarily apartment markets, where sales levels are dropping at a time of increasing supply. This represents an obvious danger for buyers.
Brisbane has had elevated sales activity for the past 2-3 years, without delivering the level of overall price growth seen in Sydney and Melbourne. But now, like the two biggest cities, Brisbane markets are running out of steam. In the past three quarterly surveys, the number of suburbs with growing sales activity has decreased markedly. This replicates the pattern seen earlier in Sydney.
At the same time, some of the inner-city apartment suburbs are now classified as “danger markets” – sales rates are dropping at a time of increasing new supply. Investors need to be careful also about Brisbane Northside suburban markets, as vacancies are high in some suburbs.
But Adelaide continues to thrive. It started 2016 in solid fashion and has kept going.
Unlike the patterns we have seen recently in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, where individual precincts have stood out as the market leaders, Adelaide has a broad geographical spread of LGAs with good numbers of growth markets. There are five municipalities which each have between four and six suburbs with rising sales trajectories likely to lead to price growth.
The No.1 municipality is the Port Adelaide Enfield LGA. This is one of the largest municipalities in Adelaide, covering the inner north and north-west of the city. Six suburbs in this LGA have rising markets, mostly suburbs with median house prices in the range from $390,000 to $520,000, which in Adelaide tends towards “middle market”. They include Broadview, Northgate, Clearview and Hillcrest.
Close behind is the downmarket Salisbury LGA in the far north of metropolitan Adelaide – it has five rising suburbs and seven with steady consistent sales rates. The suburb of Parafield Gardens has lifted sales from 53 to 63 to 75 in the past three quarters.
The City of Charles Sturt remains one of Adelaide’s solid middle-market areas with plenty of sales activity. The Charles Sturt LGA includes bayside suburbs west of the Adelaide CBD and has rising markets such as Flinders Park (median house price $530,000), Grange ($680,000), Henley Beach South ($735,000) and Seaton ($470,000).
The Marion and Onkaparinga municipalities both have four suburbs with rising sales activity. The Onkaparinga LGA in the far south of the Greater Adelaide area has been prominent in most of our quarterly surveys over the past two years and is one of South Australia’s leading precincts for population growth.
I’ve always regarded the Adelaide Hills as one of Australia’s most appealing Hill Change lifestyle areas. But while the Adelaide market generally has been rising for the past two years, the Hills haven’t stood out in terms of sales activity until 2016.
It’s taken time for the growth to ripple out to the metropolitan fringes. But now a number of the suburbs in the Mount Barker and Adelaide Hills LGAs are featuring with strong sales momentum, headed by the suburb of Mount Barker where sales rates have risen from around 70 per quarter to above 100.
Adelaide has always suffered from a lingering reputation as a place that lacks serious population growth or economic oomph. But it has more going for it than people realise – including a good level of spending on infrastructure – and above all else offers great value-for-money in its real estate, relative to the bigger cities.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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Adelaide claims top residential growth market

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Putting your faith in published data on prices is one of the great perils facing property investors around Australia. 
Anyone who bases a major investment decision on something they read about the pricing levels in a particular location and how much they are growing (or falling) may end up with a serious miscalculation.
It’s possible to access three sources for price information on a particular location and get three different results – one suggesting prices are rising, another claiming they’re stagnating and a third declaring that values are falling.
Here’s an example: a couple of days ago, I was writing a report and did a Google search on the median house price for Alice Springs in the Northern Territory.
The search engine brought up results from multiple sources. 
Here are three of those outcomes:  
<ol class="ol1">
<li class="li1">According to Your Investment Property magazine, quoting CoreLogic data, the median house price was $299,950, up 5.7% in the past 12 months.</li>
<li class="li1">According to realestateinvestar.com.au, the median house price for Alice Springs was $469,000, unchanged from a year earlier; and </li>
<li class="li1">According to homesales.com.au, the median house price for Alice Springs was $1,109,913, down 1.7% on a year earlier. </li>
</ol>
So the median price was either $300,000 or $469,000 or $1.1 million, depending on which source you chose to believe. And prices in Alice Springs were either down a little, unchanged or up moderately, depending on your source. 
If this was an isolated example, there wouldn’t be a problem. But the experience of finding contradictory information on pricing is common. 
For the January edition of my monthly newsletter The Ryder Report, I compared price growth for apartments in the major cities, taking figures from three major sources.
Firstly, the figures demonstrate (yet again) that we don’t have a single property market in this country. We have many different markets, which currently are delivering contrasting results. And secondly, there are big differences in growth rates from one source to the next.
Hobart is the clear market leader: all three sources have the Tasmanian capital leading on annual growth in the median apartment price, but there are big variations in the claimed rate of growth, ranging from 9% to 18%.
Melbourne ranks second with two sources, but again there is quite a divergence in terms of the published annual growth rate in median prices. The ABS has apartment prices in Melbourne up 4% but CoreLogic has double the growth rate (a little over 8%) while SQM’s growth rate (13%) is three times higher than the ABS rate.
There is broad agreement that the Brisbane unit market is rather mediocre, but SQM record no change in prices, while ABS has prices down a little while CoreLogic has prices declining, but at three times the ABS rate of decrease.
It’s hard to know from these figures where the Canberra market is at: the three growth figures are 1.8%, 2.1% and 10%. Two sources suggest a quiet market while the third depict a strong rising market. 
Unit prices in Adelaide? CoreLogic suggests little change, SQM suggests a 2% annual rise and the ABS has prices up 6%. 
CoreLogic data suggests prices have stopped falling in Perth but both the ABS and SQM record an annual decline of about 6%. 
So, what do we make of that? My conclusion is: it’s all dodgy data, to a certain degree. 
All information about median prices and how much they’ve risen or fallen is rubbery figures to some extent, with the discrepancies and contradictions partly explained by different methodologies and varying definitions about various elements, such as how do you classify townhouses and where do the boundaries sit for a city like Melbourne.
But think about it. The Sydney metro area has over 700 suburbs and what’s happening in the Northern Beaches is somewhat different to the situation in Penrith, while Bondi has few similarities with Campbelltown. 
Yet a research company will try to distil all the sales activity in the past 12 months down to a single growth figure, declaring that Sydney prices are growing … well, the rate of growth depends very much on the source.
Media treats them as fact, despite these kinds of discrepancies, which are common. And bases sweeping interpretations on individual figures from a single source.
 
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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Investors struggle through the stats for price direction across Australia

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Remarkable consistency of steady performance is the hallmark of the Adelaide property market, which I regard as the nation’s most under-rated. It has more suburbs with rising demand than any other capital city and the current number is the second highest for Adelaide since Hotspotting started its quarterly surveys of sales activity four years ago.
In the past seven quarterly surveys, the number of growth suburbs has been 48, 45, 58, 61, 71, 60 and 62, showing that the market remains elevated compared to the levels of 18 months ago and continues to show great consistency.
SA, dominated by Adelaide, has impressed with its steady performance in the past five years. Each of the past 21 quarters has recorded between 8,000 and 9,500 dwelling sales. Adelaide has recorded between 45 and 71 growth suburbs in 16 of the past 17 quarterly surveys. 
It continues to rank well ahead of Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, as well as the strongly recovering Perth market, in terms of the number of growth suburbs – and ahead of most state regional jurisdictions (where most of the strong growth markets are found at present).
And while sources such as CoreLogic and SQM Research report annual growth of only 1-2% in Adelaide house prices, these generalised figures disguise individual areas which have done better. Our suburb-by-suburb analysis shows that 74% of Adelaide markets have median prices higher than a year ago - and roughly half of those have grown by more than 5%.
Of the 199 Adelaide suburban markets analysed, 70 have grown 5% or more and 78 have increased by less than 5%. There are 23 suburbs where the annual growth in median prices has topped 10% - including North Adelaide (up 23%), Mansfield Park (20%), St Georges (18%), Henley Beach South (15%), Glenelg units (27%) and Norwood units (17%).
It’s noteworthy that many of the upper-end suburbs have recorded more than 5% growth in their median prices in past 12 months. Suburbs with median prices above $700,000 and good annual price growth include Beulah Park, Clarence Park, Craigburn Farm, Glen Osmond, Glenelg East, Glenunga, Goodwood, Henley Beach, Henley Beach South, Kensington Park, North Adelaide, Prospect, Seacliff, Somerton Park, St Georges, Stirling, Unley and Walkerville.
The growth is not all confined to the top end: there are suburbs with growth above 10% spread across all price ranges, including Broadview (up 15% to $560,000), Daw Park (up 14% to $640,000), Mansfield Park (up 20% to $395,000) and Tea Tree Gully (up 12% to $445,000). This reinforces the reality that out-performing areas can be found even when the overall market appears to be moderate.
The high number of suburban markets with rising sales activity suggests price growth will continue.
Adelaide has a broad geographical spread of LGAs with good numbers of growth markets. There are nine municipalities which have four or more suburbs with rising sales trajectories leading to price growth. This means there is growth momentum across the metropolitan area.
Port Adelaide Enfield continues to be a leading precinct, with eight growth suburbs including Dernancourt, Enfield, Greenacres, Lightsview, North Haven, Northfield and Semaphore. Five suburbs have recorded annual median price growth above 5%.
Onkaparinga, which always features prominently, also has eight suburbs with growth momentum – including Aldinga Beach (quarterly sales 54, 62, 71), Flagstaff Hill (36, 42, 53, 56), Reynella (16, 26, 36, 31, 42) and Sellicks Beach (15, 15, 23, 22, 35).
The upmarket Burnside LGA is a new contender: it has six upwardly-mobile suburbs, including Glenunga, Burnside, Kensington Gardens, St Georges and Toorak Gardens. Five suburbs have recorded annual price growth above 5%, including Glenunga (up 11% to $1,055,000) and St Georges (up 18% to $1,150,000).
The Marion LGA, a middle-market area in the south-west of Adelaide which has been a market leader for the past 18 months, has faded slightly but still has five growth suburbs in terms of sales activity and five where median prices have increased more than 5%.
Six municipalities have four or five rising markets each: the Charles Sturt, Campbelltown, Holdfast Bay, Playford and Salisbury LGAs, as well as Marion.
The affordable Tea Tree Gully LGA features as a highly-consistent market and one where eight suburbs have recorded median price growth of 5% or more – including the suburb of Tea Tree Gully (up 12% to $445,000) and Fairview Park (up 9% to $410,000).
The solid performance of the Playford and Salisbury LGAs (eight growth suburbs between them) means the northern suburbs provide a range of very affordable markets with rising momentum. The suburb of Salisbury Hills ($285,000) in the Salisbury LGA has lifted sales from 30 to 32 to 41 to 56 in the past four quarters, while Andrews Farm ($275,000) in the Playford municipality has recorded quarterly sales totalling 33, 46, 50 and 52 after the past 12 months.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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Adelaide the most under-rated property market in Australia: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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Like many of the smaller capital cities through COVID-19, Adelaide dwelling values avoided price declines, according to the latest data from CoreLogic.

The combined value of the Adelaide dwelling market is 4.1% higher from March through to November, and dwelling values are currently at a record high.

In the three months to November, dwelling value increases were strongest across the North of Adelaide, where typical dwelling values were $378,705.

The rate of change in Adelaide dwelling values has historically been among the least volatile of the capital cities. But with momentum building across the market, quarterly growth rates have reached the highest level in ten years.

"Nationally, housing market values did not see the large decline anticipated at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Housing values fell just 1.9% between March and September before moving into a recovery trend, increasing 0.4% nationally through October and 0.8% in November," Eliza Owen, CoreLogic’s Head of Research Australia said.

"Relative to previous housing market downturns, the current decline through to November seems relatively mild, with dwelling values just 0.7% below the pre-COVID levels. There are numerous factors which have contributed to the prevention of a larger downturn in dwelling values including the institutional, coordinated response to the pandemic, which have seen low borrowing costs, added incentives for first home buyers and the extension of mortgage repayment deferrals limiting forced sales."

"Despite an initial slump in housing finance through the beginning of the year due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the year to October saw a remarkable 14.5% lift in the volume of finance secured for the purchase of property, according to ABS lending indicators."

"The post-COVID mortgage lending boost was driven by owner-occupiers including changeover buyers such as upsizers and downsizers, as well as buyers getting into the property market for the first time."

"Money lent to first home buyers saw the fastest growth rate at 35.1% in the year to October, accounting for 22.1% of lending, up from 18.8% in the year prior. Meanwhile, investor mortgage lending increased less than 1% in the same period. There are several factors that contributed to this growth in first home buyer activity, including generational trends, monetary and fiscal incentives and lower dwelling values and competition," she concluded.
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The combined value of the Adelaide dwelling market is 4.1% higher from March through to November, and dwelling values are currently at a record high.

urban.com.au

Adelaide dwelling values ignored the COVID-19 decline reaching record highs

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Adelaide has seen an increase in the portion of profit making resales, with 9.2% of properties seeing a nominal decline in the sale price, according to the recent CoreLogic Pain and Gain report. 
The report notes the June quarter was a reversal of the trend seen in the March quarter, where loss making sales had trended up to 9.9% of resales.
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The increase in profitability was faster across houses, which saw a 70 basis point increase in the rate of profit making sales from the March to June quarter, as opposed to a 20 basis point increase across units.
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93.2% of houses saw a nominal increase in price in the June quarter, compared with 79.9% of units. 
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The portion of loss making sales was highest across the Adelaide (21.6%), Playford (21.6%) and Mallala (21.4%) LGA regions, the report notes. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/10/7/adelaide%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/10/7/adelaide%201.jpg" alt="">
Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain report
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The vast majority of loss making sales across the Adelaide LGA were investor-owned units, which may have been prompted by a decline in unit rent values since the onset of the pandemic. 
However, loss making sales were more varied in characteristics across Playford, and loss making sales across Mallala were off a very low base (13 sales).
 Mount Barker saw the highest level of profitability, with just 2.9% of properties selling for less than the previous sale price in the June quarter.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/10/7/adelaide%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/10/7/adelaide%202.jpg" alt="">
Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain report 
Greater Adelaide has seen an increase in dwelling values since the onset of the pandemic. 
This historically steady market will likely only see further rates of profitable sales in the second half of 2020, aided by low mortgage rates and greater consumer confidence amid low COVID case numbers, the report noted. 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Greater Adelaide sees an increase in dwelling values: CoreLogic Pain & Gain report 

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A staggering 47 registered bidders signed up for the recent auction in the north of Adelaide.
The abandoned house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-sa-ingle+farm-134778362" target="_blank">39 Lauder St, Ingle Farm</a> sold for $398,000
"I knew it was going to be a strong auction after I had sent out contracts to some 50 buyers," Ray White Para Hills agent Lukasz Jaworek said.
It was a burned shell of a house.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/NOV/30/Ingle%202.jpg" alt="">
“Ingle Farm prices are up 7.8 per cent this year and I knew developers would be running at it as the house needs to be demolished but its over the road from a park and near to shops on 705sqm with a 20m frontage so we ran an auction sale. 
“In the end it was a family who bought it to build their dream home with enough room to build an investment property later on too."
The house was <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E_nR4gVZFM8" target="_blank">in the news late last year </a>after the occupant was charged with an alleged arson.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Staggering 47 registered bidders for fire-ridden Ingle Farm cottage auction

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Having returned to his native Victoria to play with St Kilda, the former Adelaide Crow Brad Crouch is selling his renovated Kidman Park home.
Crouch, who won the best and fairest award for the Crows in 2019, has renovated the Sydney Avenue home over the last four years.
He and his brother paid $552,000 for the four bedroom home on 730 sqm in 2016, when Crouch was half way through his seven year stint at the Crows having been picked up in the 2011 mini-draft.
They've renovated the back rooms, replacing the floor, and added a brand new kitchen and bathroom.
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Ray White Henley Beach Principal Anthony Fahey and Samuel Parsons are marketing the home for a November 28 auction.
Fahey said the home was a great starter or an ideal investment.
Crouch, who won the best and fairest award for the Crows in 2019, has renovated the Sydney Avenue home over the last five years.
“I bought the home back in 2015 and have lived there for the last two-and-a-half years and it has provided my partner and I with some really great times and memories,” Mr Crouch said.
“My brother and I were living together with our partners and we decided it was time to make the split and the timing was perfect as the lease was coming to an end on the house.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/NOV/23/Crouch%202.jpg" alt="">
“It’s been such a great property for us and some of my best memories have been kicked back with a load of mates in the back rooms watching sport together.
 
“The home is actually ideal for a family though, because of the space, and for a developer who wants to take advantage of the large block size. “I originally planned on building a hammerhead development by keeping the original house and building a townhouse on the back – or you could just knock down and build your dream home.”
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

St Kilda AFL player Brad Crouch lists Adelaide home

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Singapore-based developer Wee Hur Holdings Ltd has announced the launch of Y Suites, the brand of their Australian purpose build student accommodation (PBSA) portfolio.
Y Suites’ portfolio will include 5,609 beds across their seven projects in various stages of development in Sydney, Melbourne, Canberra, Adelaide and Brisbane.
The first property to be launched, <a href="/news/adelaide-primed-for-two-telling-new-developments?utm_source=PropertyObserver" target="_blank">124 Waymouth Street</a>, which was purchased for $9.275 million, will be Wee Hur’s second PBSA in Adelaide.
Operational from January 2021, the residence will include 811 rooms.
<a href="/developers/wee-hur-holdings-ltd?utm_source=PropertyObserver" target="_blank">Wee Hur Holdings’</a> focused PBSA portfolio includes two operational residences run by student accommodation operator UniLodge.
Y Suites will partner with UniLodge under a white-label arrangement, which will see it as the strategic brand driver for marketing, sales and reservations.
The two operational PBSAS, Unilodge Park Central at Brisbane and Unilodge City Gardens in Adelaide, are currently operating under UniLodge branding.
Both buildings will operate under Y Suites in 2021 with UniLodge continuing with property management.
The remaining four PBSAs in the Wee Hur portfolio are scheduled to be operational between 2022 and 2023.
One of which includes the under-construction <a href="/news/profiling-the-next-wave-of-melbourne-student-accommodation-builds?utm_source=PropertyObserver" target="_blank">Y Suites on A’Beckett in Melbourne</a>, which will have 888 rooms upon completion.
Executive chairman Goh Yeow Lian said he was happy to see the birth of Y Suites after it was conceptualised one year ago.
“We have built up a sizable PBSA portfolio in Australia since we embarked on this business 5 year ago, and developing our own brand was a logical next step for us,” Lian said.
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Wee Hur launches new student accommodation brand Y Suites in Adelaide

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An Adelaide trophy home has been listed with a price tag of $2.05 million.
Situated at 365 Angas Street, the three-bedroom, three-bathroom residence was designed by architect Angelo Ali.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/Screen%20Shot%202020-09-17%20at%2011.46.14%20am.png" alt="">
Offering privacy, the property is set behind a 2.4 metre wall and secure pedestrian iron gate.
Its features include a courtyard, water feature and expansive open-plan living.
"Oozing in quality throughout, it is obvious that no expense has been spared to provide luxurious living, with huge rooms &amp; a practical floorplan," the home's marketing said.
The master bedroom is an impressive ‘ballroom size’, opening out to a terrace through classic French doors.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/Screen%20Shot%202020-09-17%20at%2011.46.07%20am.png" alt="">
It includes an en-suite, home office and a concealed bar fridge.
The home, which is marketed by Ouwens Casserly’s Cynthia Sajkunovic, is less than 1.5 kilometres from Adelaide Central Market.
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