<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ignite-projects">Ignite Projects</a> has appointed OBX as the builder for its boutique beachside development, <a>Retreat Palm Beach</a>, following an exceptional early sales run that has seen more than half the residences already secured.

The appointment marks an exciting new partnership between the two Gold Coast-based companies, bringing together shared values, local expertise and a commitment to exceptional project delivery.

Ignite Projects Director Josh Foote said OBX’s local expertise backed by a talented and experienced team, made them the ideal partner to bring <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/retreat-palm-beach-188-jefferson-lane-palm-beach-qld-4221">Retreat Palm Beach</a> to life.

“We’ve been impressed by the depth of experience within the OBX team, and their commitment to quality, detail and delivery made them the natural choice for Retreat,” he said.

“Working with a builder we know and trust gives our buyers incredible confidence. OBX understands exactly what we want to achieve at Retreat, and we’re excited to create something truly special together.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134965 project_image_fid=1852]

Specialising in medium- to high-rise residential development, OBX has established a strong reputation for quality construction across the Gold Coast.

Director James O’Brien has more than 20 years' experience in tier one and tier two construction, including his former role as construction manager at Hutchinsons Builders, where he delivered landmark projects such as The Mondrian, Ignite’s own award-winning Cabana <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a> (one of the Gold Coast’s fastest-selling residential projects of 2021), and The Lanes.

He said he was proud to once again collaborate with Ignite on a premium coastal development.

“Our relationship with Ignite Projects has been built on transparency, shared standards and a mutual drive to deliver exceptional outcomes,” he said.

“Cabana set a high benchmark for boutique coastal living, and Retreat Palm Beach gives us the opportunity to elevate that standard even further. We’re looking forward to delivering a project that future residents will be proud to call home.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134965 project_image_fid=1851]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Architecture</a>, Retreat Palm Beach will offer a refined collection of residences that blend understated luxury with enduring craftsmanship.

Set on the prestigious beachside strip at 188 Jefferson Lane, Retreat Palm Beach represents a rare entry point into beachfront living and one of the last opportunities to live in a project of this scale in Palm Beach.

It will span nine levels and include a mix of 56 two and three-bedroom residences, most with butler’s pantries, private outdoor spaces and curated interior finishes. Prices range from $1.47 million to $3.95 million. A standout feature is the ground-floor communal wellness space, envisioned as a subterranean Mediterranean-style day spa, complete with a sculpted lagoon pool and floating day beds.

The builder appointment comes as Ignite Projects continues its strong growth trajectory, highlighted by the recent announcement of the group’s major new development on The Spit at Main Beach.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134965 project_image_fid=1847]

The $100 million project will deliver 27 premium residential units, dining venues and a commercial marina with at least 18 berths overlooking Southport Yacht Club. Construction is due to begin early next year and represents one of the most significant development opportunities on The Spit in recent years.

Ignite Projects’ expanding portfolio and repeat-builder partnerships underscore the company’s commitment to delivering high-quality, design-led developments across the Gold Coast.

Onsite activity at Retreat is now progressing, with earthworks already underway and construction commencing in the new year.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/new-property-agent-qld-npa">NPA</a> CEO Andrew Erwin said the remarkable sales result was a clear vote of confidence in the enviable Jefferson Lane lifestyle.

“With over 50 per cent of apartments already sold, we are seeing strong demand from local owner-occupiers who are upgrading to be on the beachside of the highway and want the exclusivity, privacy and walkability that only Jefferson Lane can offer," he said.

“At the same time, we’re attracting a new wave of discerning ‘lifestyle investors’ who want the best of both worlds: a beautifully designed beachfront apartment they can enjoy for holidays, with the flexibility of short-term letting to generate income when they’re not using it. It’s a genuine win-win and a major reason Retreat has resonated so strongly.”

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134965]

Joel Robinson

Ignite Projects appoints OBX to build wellness-inspired Retreat Palm Beach apartments

Mirvac has been announced as the preferred developer to work with the NSW Government on the redevelopment of the old Sydney Fish Market site, in a project delivery agreement with Infrastructure NSW (INSW).

The 3.6-hectare site is part of the wider Blackwattle Bay urban renewal and will be transformed into a vibrant mixed-useprecinct, comprising over 1,400 homes (which includes purpose-built student accommodation), and commercial and retail.

<img alt="Mirvac" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2bc4cfbf-3622-4976-9a0c-94e7d1ec5f65" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Mirvac%202.jpg?VersionId=oBHQZ76Ex7Ysi4UzXWc7lSARDxj.a754" />

Mirvac will also deliver a 26,000 sqm public domain, with an ambition to create an ‘outdoor living room’ for the 
community, along with a new public foreshore promenade and a boardwalk that will complete the 15-kilometre foreshore walk connecting Rozelle Bay to Woolloomooloo.

Announcing the agreement on site at Blackwattle Bay in Sydney on Tuesday with NSW Government, Mirvac’s Group CEO &amp; Managing Director, Campbell Hanan, said the company is "thrilled to deliver this project in partnership with Infrastructure NSW, where we will rejuvenate an iconic harbourside location."

“Blackwattle Bay is a significant urban renewal project and represents one of the last undeveloped parcels along the Sydney Harbour foreshore. Blackwattle Bay presents a fantastic opportunity for Mirvac to apply over 53 years of experience in delivering beautiful homes and significant public amenity, in a capital-efficient manner.”

Mirvac's will be partnering with Scape by The Living Company to&nbsp;deliver student accommodation within the precinct.

Mirvac’s CEO Development - Residential and Commercial Mixed Use, Stuart Penkils, said Mirvac has decades of experience in transforming undeveloped sites into vibrant precincts – from Walsh Bay in Sydney and Yarra’s Edge in Melbourne to Cutters Landing and Newstead in Brisbane.

"These are the sorts of projects where our integrated model comes to life and where we can leverage our in-house design, development and construction capability to deliver much needed housing supply, a key priority for government, and a new precinct that the whole community can enjoy.

“We’re committed to building on the trust and collaboration established through our nearby Harbourside redevelopment, and to working closely with Infrastructure NSW, the Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure, Transport for 
Sydney, the City of Sydney and the local community. Together, we want to shape a precinct that reflects shared aspirations, strengthened by genuine stakeholder input.”

<img alt="Mirvac" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="cd9a88bf-8ccd-4d0a-b23e-85b5566febd7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Mirvac%203.jpg?VersionId=e.cAyExj7eBZqjGpXUbQhaYwuZZ39U5y" />

Infrastructure NSW’s CEO, Tom Gellibrand, said the project will offer places to live and work alongside spaces to walk, cycle and relax, reconnecting Pyrmont and Glebe with Sydney Harbour.

Blackwattle Bay is well-located, adjacent to the new Sydney Fish Market, which is scheduled to open in January next year, and a five-minute walk from the new Pyrmont Metro station, which is scheduled to open in 2032. Planned public open space includes a central pedestrianised lane, cycleways, a skatepark, community kayak storage and a community pavilion.

The project is also close to Mirvac’s multi-award-winning Harold Park project in Glebe, a significant renewal project that saw the delivery of around 1,300 apartments and the adaptive reuse of the heritage tram depot, integrated with 3.8 hectares of new public parkland.

<img alt="Mirvac" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="75e43906-9e5b-43b2-ba3d-470a5d9d5198" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Mirvac%204.jpg?VersionId=5RD2grfduZlEe8fEdWREBtxknVxrO62k" />

In line with its sustainability ambition to decarbonise by 2030, Mirvac will target a net zero carbon precinct, which includes a 55 per cent reduction in embodied carbon. Mirvac will also partner with the Sydney Institute of Marine Sciences to undertake nature-based intervention to improve water quality, introduce circularity to reuse and reduce waste, and improve biodiversity on site with extensive native planting. Stories of Country, past streams and shorelines will be incorporated and celebrated throughout the precinct.

The project is expected to be delivered over multiple stages, with early works on site expected to commence in 2027, works on the housing component expected in 2028 , and completion expected in 2033. First settlements on the housing component are expected in 2030.

Mirvac to develop over 1,400 new homes on former Sydney Fish Market site

Rose Bay is emerging as one of Sydney’s most active suburbs for development, as developers respond to demand driven by the suburb’s ageing population.

More than 20 per cent of Rose Bay residents are aged 65 and over, according to the latest ABS census data. Combined with more favourable planning schemes introduced in recent years, new development activity in the suburb has accelerated.

Fresh off the back of a $173 million sale of what was marketed as “one of the largest sites ever amalgamated so close to Rose Bay Village,” created by 12 homeowners joining forces to combine nearly 6,000 sqm bordering Wilberforce Avenue and Dover Road, more than $200 million worth of development applications has been submitted in the suburb in the past month alone.

Aligned with the Rose Bay Place Plan 2023–2028, which identifies Wilberforce Avenue as a strategic location for new housing in response to local demographic shifts, Lewin Capital has lodged plans for a new $40 million project, also on Wilberforce. The proposal seeks to deliver 32 apartments, a mix of sizes designed to cater to a broad demographic range, including downsizers and key workers, with both smaller and family-sized units on offer.

<img alt="12 Wilberforce Avenue ROSE BAY NSW" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e314fb24-2e53-4808-8411-d6e7c5fee2ea" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Plan%20-%20Photomontage%20-%20DA2025%20449%201%20-%2012-18%20Wilberforce%20Avenue%20ROSE%20BAY%20%281%29.JPG?VersionId=XX.AXChH4Kmv.kOB03suE8lenQ1NlqUe" />

Architecturally, the scheme adopts a measured approach to height and massing, stepping down at the rear to integrate with adjacent residential properties while forming a defined medium-density edge to the Rose Bay Centre.&nbsp;

“The proposed design for 12–18 Wilberforce Avenue, Rose Bay is a well-mannered apartment building in a mid-block position on a quiet street,” the Urban Design Report by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mhn-design-union">MHN Design Union</a> (MHNDU) states.&nbsp;

“It will form part of a new living environment in this highly desirable location.”

Builder-developer HSN Property Group is also bringing density to the same pocket, planning 54 two- and three-bedroom apartments that will also benefit from the recent Low and Mid-Rise Housing Reforms introduced under the NSW Housing SEPP. 14 of the apartments will be dedicated affordable under the SEPP in the $96 million proposal.

“The site’s location and context make it well suited to support a more diverse and sustainable residential offering in the area,” the developer stated in community consultation materials.

<img alt="HSN" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2976efc3-db69-4013-84ef-5acc05bc6f66" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-08%20at%201.14.27%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=A35N4_u2HA7uc_eiLAQedcHdsY_L4ywL" /> 
The plans by HSN for 2-16 Spencer St, Rose Bay

The architecture, led by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mhn-design-union">MHNDU</a>, reflects a "contemporary design approach sensitive to the character of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/rose-bay-nsw-2029" target="">Rose Bay</a>." Communal amenities will include a wellness area with a pool and sauna, a gym, a wine lounge, and landscaped spaces with barbecue facilities.&nbsp;

Fyve Developments is breaking into the eastern suburbs for the first time with their $32 million new development in Rose Bay. They are planning 19 apartments on Dover Lane.

Designed by PBD, the new project will comprise four two-bed apartments and 15 three-bed units.

<img alt="Fyve" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="91ec4820-1e05-4598-8d27-9df42234a52c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-08%20at%201.23.42%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=VtH0oa48nJcvXGiXqjbHJvtYY6zWdIC7" /> 
Fyve's plans on Dover Lane.

Luxcon is also back in the suburb, having previously delivered The Aristocrat back in 2020. They have filed plans for 17 three-bedroom apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-8-cooper-street-double-bay-nsw-2028">Cooper Street</a>.

Fortis wants to deliver <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/23-31-dover-road-rose-bay-nsw-2029">49 apartments on Dover Road</a>, an $86 million development. That adds to their <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/10-12-ian-street-rose-bay-nsw-2029">Ian St, Rose Bay development</a>, which they will likely launch next year.

Rose Bay apartment market fires up with $200m in new developments filed

Leading Sydney developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/deicorp">Deicorp</a> has recorded a strong market response at the launch of The Avenues, its $874 million East Zetland precinct.

On its recent launch they sold close to $18 million, predominantly to owner-occupiers, more specifically to families who wanted to be closer to kids and grandkids.

&nbsp;

Apartments sold ranged from $1.8 million to $1.97 million for two bedrooms, and $2.12 million to $2.62 million for three bedrooms.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146262 project_image_fid=357150]

Located four kilometres from the CBD, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-avenues-zetland-130-joynton-avenue-zetland-nsw-2017">The Avenues</a> is transforming a 2.87-hectare site into a pedestrian-friendly urban neighbourhood comprising 574 residences across nine buildings designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/candalepas-associates">Candalepas Associates</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">FK</a>.&nbsp;

Surrounded by tree-lined, walkable “avenues”, the precinct’s more than 800 sqm of ground-floor retail brings a lively, Paris-inspired streetscape to the heart of East <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/zetland-nsw-2017">Zetland</a> and will directly service nearby amenities and the surrounding residential community. 
&nbsp; 
The Avenues will also feature build-to-rent and purpose-built student housing in partnership with Scape, supporting key workers, students and long-term renters in this high-demand corridor.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146262 project_image_fid=357154]

Deicorp will also contribute more than $16 million to open space improvements, including upgrades to Woolwash and Biyanbing Parks, with The Avenues designed to strengthen pedestrian connections to Green Square Station and Gunyama Park.&nbsp;

Deicorp Founder, Fouad Deiri OAM, said a clear trend was evident, with purchasers driven by proximity to family and lifestyle essentials.&nbsp;

“We’ve seen a clear trend of parents wanting to live close to adult children and students, as well as interstate and international buyers seeking to reconnect with family in Sydney’s inner south,"&nbsp;Deiri said.

“This early sales performance reflects the strength of East Zetland as a connected, high-amenity location and the appeal of homes designed with long-term liveability in mind. Many of these early-stage buyers are repeat Deicorp purchasers, too."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146262 project_image_fid=357165]

Zetland is one of the top suburbs in Australia to experience an increase in housing density, with its population growing by 24 per cent in as little as three years to over 15,600 residents. According to REA, 197 units were available last month, with over 2300 buyers interested, demonstrating the strong demand for this inner southern pocket of Sydney.&nbsp;

Deicorp’s strong result at The Avenues follows significant spring momentum across its portfolio, with $63 million in combined sales recorded across recent launches for Showground Pavilions in Castle Hill and Falcon &amp; Alexander in Crows Nest.&nbsp;

Construction on The Avenues commenced in June, with the construction period expected to generate 2,700 jobs. Across its portfolio, Deicorp currently has 5,102 apartments under construction, playing a leading role in shaping connected, liveable communities across Sydney.&nbsp;

Its expanding portfolio of Metro-linked developments includes Tallawong Village, Kings Bay Village in Five Dock, Hyde Metropolitan, and Showground Village, all advancing the company’s long-term commitment to creating vibrant, transit-oriented neighbourhoods.&nbsp;

Apartments start from $955k for a one-bedroom, $1.48 million for a two-bedroom, and $2.04 million for a three-bedroom, all with car parking.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=146262]

Family proximity and connectivity fuel $18m in first-day sales at Deicorp’s East Zetland precinct, The Avenues

Leading property developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/abadeen-group">Abadeen</a> has officially completed ENSO, its premium boutique residential development in Neutral Bay Village.

Designed by internationally acclaimed architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/koichi-takada-architects">Koichi Takada</a> and built by Credence Constructions, ENSO draws inspiration from the Japanese Buddhist philosophy of the same name, a symbol of elegance, strength and enlightenment.

Comprising of just nine one-, two-, and three-bedroom residences, with a full floor four-bedroom penthouse, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/enso-neutral-bay-34-grosvenor-street-neutral-bay-nsw-2090">ENSO</a> combines sculptural form and refined materiality with a minimalist design language that evokes calm, balance and timeless sophistication.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=109705 project_image_fid=355893]

With the occupation certificate now in hand, Abadeen will soon welcome the first residents into their new residences, perfectly timed for Christmas.

Positioned along Grosvenor Street, which has emerged as one of the North Shore’s most exciting dining and lifestyle destinations, ENSO residents will enjoy a true village experience surrounded by Sydney’s best food, retail and culture. Grosvenor Street is home to brand new restaurants including Bombay Bloomers, Pocket Pizza and Fujitori Yakitori &amp; Sake Bar.&nbsp;

Within a one-minute walk of ENSO, a new retail precinct is introducing a curated line up anchored by Dan Murphy’s, together with Bodylove Pilates and the award winning Wholegreen Bakery. Coles is also close by, adding everyday convenience just minutes from the CBD.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=109705 project_image_fid=355895]

“ENSO represents the next chapter in Neutral Bay’s evolution,” said Justin Brown, Executive Chairman and Founder of Abadeen.

“You have Koichi Takada’s architecture on one side of the street and a vibrant new village scene on the other. It is the meeting point of design, lifestyle and community. This project captures what we value on the Lower North Shore: sophistication with a genuine sense of convenience where people want to live.”

Each residence is crafted with premium finishes, generous floorplans and seamless indoor to outdoor living, embracing Takada’s philosophy of organic, nature inspired design. Interiors are composed of soft, neutral palettes and tactile materials that promote calm and connection.

“This is a proud milestone for Abadeen,” Brown added. “ENSO has been carefully designed and delivered, a true boutique project that reflects our ongoing commitment to elevating the architectural and lifestyle experience across Sydney’s Lower North Shore.”

With construction complete and final residences available, ENSO presents a rare opportunity to move into a brand-new home within an established, connected and increasingly vibrant village community.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=109705]

Staff Writer

Abadeen completes ENSO in the heart of Neutral Bay’s fast-evolving village precinct

2020 Property Breakdown

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From 1 January to 31 December there were 6,777 cuts to home loans, with an average cut of -0.30%, according to Canstar's database.

It recorded:

<ul>
<li>880 cuts to variable rates for owner occupiers, with an average cut of -0.21%</li>
	<li>2,455 cuts to fixed rates for owner occupiers, with an average cut of -0.33%</li>
	<li>764 cuts to variable rates for investors, with an average cut of -0.21%</li>
	<li>2,678 cuts to fixed rates for investors, with an average cut of -0.32%</li>
</ul>
Over the same period there were 535 home loan rate increases, with an average increase of 0.20%.

On 1st January 2020 the average variable rate for owner occupiers paying principal and interest was 3.73% (80% LVR). Today that rate is 3.32% The lowest variable rate was 2.69% and it is now 1.99% (80% LVR) or 1.77% (60% LVR).

On the 1st January 2020 the average 3-year fixed rate for owner occupiers paying principal and interest was 3.15%. Today the average 3-year fixed rate is 2.30%. The lowest 3-year fixed rate was 2.69% and it is now 1.89%.

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/2020_home_loan_rate_changes.jpg" rel="gallery-all"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="505" src="/s3/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/2020_home_loan_rate_changes.jpg?itok=dknBFocG" width="580"></a></figure>Savings interest rates

From 1 January to 31 December Canstar recorded:

<ul>
<li>529 cuts to savings, with an average cut of -0.18%</li>
	<li>262 cuts to regular savings accounts, with an average cut of -0.19% </li>
	<li>267 cuts to bonus savings accounts, with an average cut of -0.17%</li>
</ul>
On 1st January 2020 the average regular savings account rate was 1.12%. Today that rate is 0.43%. The maximum rate was 2.65% and it is now 1.75% (available for 4-months).

On 1st January 2020 the average bonus savings account rate was 1.47%, now just 0.75%. The maximum rate was 2.25% and it is now 1.35%.
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From 1 January to 31 December there were 6,777 cuts to home loans, with an average cut of -0.30%, according to Canstar

urban.com.au

2020 saw 6,777 interest rate cuts across Australia's home loan institutions

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<h2>EXPERT INSIGHT</h2>

The first indicators for 2021 – home prices and manufacturing activity – are exhibiting signs of economic strength, rather than weakness.

Home prices are rising across the country. In fact home prices only fell in two of the 88 regions in the past month. And over the past year all but 12 regions posted gains in home prices. The icing on the cake: data shows that in 39 of the 88 regions, home prices were at record highs at the end of 2020.

The outback regions of South Australia and the Northern Territory as well as the mid to far north coast regions of NSW were amongst those posting the strongest home price gains in December. The Sydney Eastern Suburbs (down 0.1 per cent) and Far West and Orana region of NSW (-0.4 per cent) were the only two regions to record falls in home prices in December.

Regional home prices continue to outpace capital cities and house prices are out-pacing apartment prices. Both reflect Covid-19 effects, especially the new reality that work can be done anywhere and at any time.

The manufacturing sector is expanding solidly. In fact many companies reported that “backlogs of work had risen simply due to a short-term inability to expand production capacity sufficiently to meet the recent surge in demand.” And further, “efforts to boost capacity were reflected in manufacturers taking on extra staff at a rate not seen for just over two years.”   

What do the figures show?  Home prices – December 2020

The CoreLogic Home Value Index of national home prices rose by 1.0 per cent in December to be 3.0 per cent higher over the year. 

In capital cities, prices rose by 0.9 per cent to be up 2.0 per cent over the year. House prices climbed 1.1 per cent, but apartment prices rose by just 0.2 per cent. House prices were up 2.6 per cent on a year ago and prices of apartments increased by 0.2 per cent.

In regional areas, home prices jumped 1.6 per cent with house prices up 1.7 per cent and apartment prices up by 1.1 per cent. Regional home prices were up 6.9 per cent on the year with houses lifting 7.1 per cent and apartments up 5.9 per cent.  

The average Australian capital city house price (median price) in December was $696,413 and the average unit price was $574,388.

Home prices were higher in all eight capital cities in December: Sydney (+0.7 per cent); Melbourne (+1.0 per cent); Brisbane (+1.1 per cent); Adelaide (+1.1 per cent); Perth (+1.1 per cent); Hobart (+0.7 per cent); Darwin (+2.3 per cent); Canberra (+0.6 per cent).

Home prices were higher than a year ago in seven of the eight capital cities in December: Sydney (+2.7 per cent); Melbourne (-1.3 per cent); Brisbane (+3.6 per cent); Adelaide (+5.9 per cent); Perth (+2.0 per cent); Hobart (+7.7 per cent); Darwin (+11.9 per cent); Canberra (+8.5 per cent).

Total returns on national dwellings rose by 6.6 per cent in the year to December with houses up 7.1 per cent and units up by 5.0 per cent on a year earlier. In contrast, the S&amp;P/ASX All Ordinaries Accumulation Index rose by 3.6 per cent over the year to December. 

What are the implications for investors?

Higher home prices boost household wealth and also serve to boost borrowing capacity. As such the lift in home prices is positive for consumer durables including demand for cars.

CoreLogic reports that annual home sales were around 8 per cent higher over 2020. CoreLogic notes: “More home sales implies more work for a range of industries including real estate professionals, removalists, conveyancers, financiers and building inspectors along with more spending on household goods such as home furnishings, white goods and appliances.”

The strength in manufacturing is positive for employment and related sectors such as retailing. The increases in input prices and selling prices need to be watched though.

Risks to the housing market – prices, sales and building – include policy mistakes, the scaledown of JobKeeper and JobSeeker, new waves of virus infection and the length of time that foreign borders stay closed.

CRAIG JAMES is the Chief Economist at CommSec
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Regional home prices continue to outpace capital cities and house prices are out-pacing apartment prices

cjames

Home prices hit record highs across half of Australia despite COVID-19: Craig James

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EXPERT INSIGHT

With the deepest recession since the end of World War 2, a sharp collapse in employment in April and May and a halving in underlying population based demand for housing (as a result of the hit to immigration) it might have been expected that 2020 would have been a pretty bad year for house prices. As its turned out though the property market held up pretty well and in recent months has started to accelerate again. It certainly turned out a lot stronger than I anticipated 6-9 months ago.

Basically, the combination of reopening unleashing pent up demand, an avalanche of government incentives (including stamp duty concessions, various state support measures, HomeBuilder which has now been extended to March albeit at a reduced payment and an expansion of the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme), a further easing in lending standards on the way for early this year (with the removal of responsible lending obligations), record low mortgage rates, the desire to "escape from the city" helped along by ongoing bank payment holidays and Government income support measures averted a sharp fall in prices that would otherwise have followed from higher unemployment and underemployment, weak inner city rental markets and the hit to immigration and brought forward demand from first home buyers and owner occupiers. As a result property prices turned up far earlier than I had been expecting and there appears to be a bit of FOMO (or the “fear of missing out”) creeping into some markets – particularly outside of Melbourne and Sydney.

At the current rate of increase average capital city dwelling prices will surpass their September 2017 record high by March, although this masks a wide divergence with: record highs already in Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra and in average regional home prices; Perth and Darwin remaining well down on their 2014 highs; and Sydney and Melbourne prices having been range bound since 2017.  

Outlook

Australian home prices are likely to continue to be boosted through 2021 by record low mortgage rates, government home buyer incentives, with the recovery in the economy expected to offset the phasing down of income support measures and bank payment holidays. As a result average home prices are expected to rise by around 5% through the year.

However, the outlook is widely divergent across cities, within cities and across units versus houses.

The risks relate to: renewed coronavirus related lockdowns although so far new case numbers seem to be getting kept down and vaccines should help head off this risk entirely later in the year; higher unemployment and underemployment and distressed sales as government income and bank support measures wind down although the risk on this front are rapidly diminishing; falling rents and high vacancy rates in inner city Melbourne and Sydney weighing on investors; a 100,000 per annum reduction in underlying dwelling demand flowing from the hit to immigration; and a pandemic/work from home driven “escape to the suburbs and regions” that is weighing on inner city/unit prices but pushing up outer suburban/house and regional prices.

It remains hard to see that the reversal in net immigration from around 240,000 people per annum to an expected net outflow of people this financial year (of -70,000) and next (of -20,000) won’t have a significant impact. The surge in population growth of around 150,000 people per annum taking it to around 375,000 people per annum due to higher immigration from the middle of the 2000s was the main factor explaining very expensive Australian housing over the last 15 years as the property market became chronically undersupplied. The collapse in population growth which is likely to result in a halving in underlying demand for housing this financial year and next at the same time that governments are intent on supporting housing construction via various initiatives including HomeBuilder is likely to weigh on prices at some point as chronic undersupply gives way to oversupply in some areas. Particularly with rate cuts and incentives pulling demand forward and mortgage rate reductions reaching the end of the road. This is particularly likely to weigh on unit rents and prices along with investor demand in Sydney and Melbourne.

<img alt="image008.png@01D6B106.AC24C7A0" data-image-whitelisted="" height="376" id="m_-6478027253593781169m_-4542295210685584014_x0000_i1028" src="https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0?ui=2&amp;ik=134db8e8c7&amp;attid=0.7&amp;permmsgid=msg-f:1687916156705272432&amp;th=176caecd330f7270&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ9FtgYIq5JXDH2F_FyDfWWj9C1o7lbrwJ0rLtJRxkUsCjYI8qllivVKe1pXjUSJNWDUdLouyLHVy7qTgDDiqkj4DCVMLXl-pTuQmmupxL23y3wHb3M12fQAooA&amp;disp=emb&amp;realattid=176caec726b25664d67" tabindex="0" width="620">

Source: ABS, AMP Capital

Inner city Melbourne and Sydney are the most vulnerable to the hit to immigration, but this may not become fully apparent for another six months or so. Outer suburban areas and houses in these cities are likely to continue seeing solid price gains reflecting the “escape from the city” phenomenon against a backdrop of very low mortgage rates. On average Sydney and Melbourne price gains are likely to be modest at around 2 to 3% through 2021.

Other cities and regional areas are likely to perform well reflecting lower levels of debt and less exposure to immigration and as such as likely to see rising average prices with record low mortgage rates dominating. Adelaide and Brisbane are playing catch up after years of underperformance compared to Sydney and Melbourne, Canberra is benefitting from strength in public sector employment and Perth and Darwin are starting to recover after bear markets ever since 2014 helped by the recovery in mining investment in WA. Expect average price gains of close to 10% in Adelaide, Brisbane, Perth, Darwin and regional areas and around 5 to 7% in Canberra and Hobart.

The next chart puts the relative performance of the capital cities into perspective by focussing on rolling 5 year price gains. Basically, Sydney and Melbourne lead the longer term cycle and the other cities follow. Right now, Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra dwelling prices are playing catch up after underperforming Sydney and Melbourne through much of last decade and Perth and Darwin home prices are finally recovering from a multi-year bear market that went bust with the end of the mining investment boom. The surge in immigration played a big role in the outperformance of Sydney and Melbourne into 2017 and this is now going into reverse.

<img data-image-whitelisted="" height="355" id="m_-6478027253593781169m_-4542295210685584014Picture_x0020_9" src="https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0?ui=2&amp;ik=134db8e8c7&amp;attid=0.8&amp;permmsgid=msg-f:1687916156705272432&amp;th=176caecd330f7270&amp;view=fimg&amp;sz=s0-l75-ft&amp;attbid=ANGjdJ_gH4A3QD-fRbFPZ5uL1acBi9UQclRFlZW5h5YkYBpGbsseFJmIcT8l9FO0gBY-fXqDo6QcHXR13csczrDC4G-2YcCyYnxgAhCDQLHlYLdwZt4SAXlNf5KFFwY&amp;disp=emb&amp;realattid=176caec726b3a898ee8" tabindex="0" width="545">

Source: CoreLogic, AMP Capital

Outer suburban houses and dwellings in regional centres are likely to perform better than inner city units in most capital cities as a continuing trend to working from home and a greater focus on lifestyle dominates.

SHANE OLIVER is the Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Capital 
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At the current rate of increase average capital city dwelling prices will surpass their September 2017 record high by March

soliver

2020 property market far stronger than anticipated when the pandemic first hit: Shane Oliver

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In a year that no one could have predicted, from a deadly global pandemic to our largest economic downturn since the 1930’s, CoreLogic’s recent Best of the Best 2020 Report reveals Australia’s $7.2 trillion residential real estate market proved remarkably resilient.

Eliza Owen, CoreLogic’s Head of Research Australia, says “The Best of the Best report for 2020 highlights the resilience of luxury markets in Australia, where the highest median house value was once again in Darling Point, and the highest median unit value was found in Point Piper, as with 2019.

“This is not to say these suburbs have been unaffected by the pandemic; indeed the high end of the Sydney market is generally more volatile to changes in economic conditions. However, this volatility also tends to see a rapid recovery in the wake of lower mortgage rates and an improvement in consumer sentiment.

“Perhaps even more surprising is that some of the suburbs more impacted by the pandemic are represented in this edition of the Best of the Best report as having the highest sales turnover value in the year to September.

“In the suburb of Melbourne, for example, unit values declined -3.4% between the onset of the pandemic in March, and the end of September. The total value of sales is down -3.9% in the year to September 2020 compared with the year to 2019. Yet the suburb of Melbourne has gone from having the sixth highest total sales value in 2019, to claim the number one spot in 2020,” says Ms Owen.

2020 in review

While the initial shock of COVID-19 led to a -2.1% decline in national property values between April and September, Australian housing values were 1.1% higher over the year to November following a recovery trend in the last two months.

Ms Owen says “Housing values have been supported by a strong mix of regulatory, monetary and fiscal measures, which have induced record-low mortgage rates, the deferment of mortgage repayment for households impacted by COVID-19, support for low income households, as well as grants and concessions for owner-occupier purchases.”

Demand for lifestyle areas is also a trend that may have been exacerbated, but was not necessarily triggered, by COVID-19. The narrative of Australians fleeing capital cities in search of a sea-change or tree change “because of COVID” has dominated reporting on the housing market through 2020.

“The relative popularity of lifestyle markets is evident in our report, and regional Australia out-performed the combined capital cities market. With the exception of the highest median value suburbs, our Best of the Best report is dominated by high performing regional areas across the country. Sunshine Beach on the Sunshine Coast has seen the highest annual capital growth in houses nationally, compared with 2019 when St Kilda in Melbourne saw the highest housing growth,” says Ms Owen.

Alternatively, rental market performance has been highly disparate. Ms Owen says “COVID-19 has had a severe impact on select rental markets in Australia, with Greater Melbourne unit rents falling -7.0% in the year to November 2020. Inner city rental markets of Sydney, Melbourne and to a lesser extent, Brisbane have been particularly impacted by the closure of international borders, where historically high demand from overseas migrants has been disrupted. Notably the vast majority of overseas arrivals to Australia are initially renters.

“However, there is a completely different dynamic in rental markets across Perth, Darwin, and other mining-related markets that has emerged. Following the long withdrawal of investor demand and several years of low new supply additions, rental markets are tightening. Across the suburb of South Headland, which holds the position of highest rental yields for units across the country, rents have increased significantly over the year following a long correction post mining-boom. This is also reflected in the WA capital, where Perth rent values have increased a remarkable 8.2% across dwellings over the year,” says Ms Owen.

2021 Outlook

Looking ahead to next year, Ms Owen comments on some expected trends.

“Record-low mortgage rates will likely be a significant tailwind for property values, and may place upward pressure on prices through 2021. Combined with a recovery in economic, some earlier factors considered a major risk to housing markets have been reduced, including the end of mortgage repayment deferrals.

“The inner-city Melbourne market is seeing greater risk in 2021, with an increase in listing stock weighing on a recovery in values. For example, modelled sales volumes for November estimate 4,301 transactions took place across Melbourne, compared with 8,054 new listings added to the market in the same period.  This means there was around 0.5 sales for each new listing added. This is very different from conditions across other capital cities, where the November sales to new listings ratio averaged 1.2 sales for each new listing added.

“So despite Melbourne dwelling values joining a broad-based recovery trend in November, and values rising 0.7% in the month, the disproportionate volume of stock to sales volumes may slow the rate recovery across the city in 2021.

“Property investment activity is likely to increase across smaller capital cities such as Perth, where rent values rose a remarkable 8.2% in the year to November. In Hobart, where gross rent yields are 4.6% across dwellings, the investor share of mortgage finance increased from a recent low of 16.4% in August 2020, to 21.8% in October across Tasmania.

“Institutional interventions will continue to shape the profile of property buyers, particularly as HomeBuilder is extended at a reduced rate into Q1 2021, and regulators monitor prudential lending standards. At June 2020, the housing debt to income ratio was 141.2, with housing debt accounting for most of Australian household debt. This poses an ongoing risk to the Australian economy, especially where heavily indebted households may be more likely to save rather than spend during periods of uncertainty or economic hardship.

“As a result, policy makers and regulators may watch for signs of rising household debt, or a decline in prudential lending standards that could lead to higher household debt. Higher LVR lending or higher loan to income ratios could be a trigger for macro-prudential intervention in 2021.

“Overall, the housing market outlook for 2021 is positive, given highly accommodative monetary and fiscal policy, signs of an economic recovery and many first home buyer incentives remaining in place through to early next year,” concludes Ms Owen.

ELIZA OWEN is CoreLogic’s Head of Research Australia
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CoreLogic’s Best of the Best 2020 Report released today reveals Australia’s $7.2 trillion residential real estate market proved remarkably resilient

2020 Property Breakdown

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