Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

Joel Robinson

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

&nbsp;

Developer GURNER™ Group has revealed $1.65 billion in residential sales nationally across the 12 months to December 2025, driven largely by the continued momentum of its Docklands wellness-focused precinct, Elysium Fields.

The sales result was generated across seven projects in Victoria and New South Wales, headlined by Elysium Fields, GURNER™’s $2.75 billion mixed-use precinct planned for Harbour Esplanade in Docklands.

The project has recorded more than $500 million in sales across the first three towers, equating to around 580 apartments sold.

The first tower, Helios, has now sold out of its 240 private residences, with GURNER™ preparing to release a premium penthouse collection comprising 15 three-bedroom penthouses in coming weeks.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370975]

Elysium Fields is being developed on the long-held 20,000 sqm Docklands site at 208-226 Harbour Esplanade, which had remained undeveloped for more than two decades prior to GURNER™ taking over the project around four years ago.

Construction has now commenced across four towers ranging between 18 and 30 storeys, with Hamilton Marino and Maxcon appointed as builders.

Once complete, the precinct is expected to comprise around 1,100 residences, alongside retail, hospitality and public realm uses integrated throughout the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370981]

Designed by Fraser &amp; Partners in collaboration with GURNER™ Design House, the project has been positioned around the developer’s broader focus on wellness-led residential living.

“We don’t sell apartments. We create a true luxury lifestyle that simply doesn’t exist elsewhere in the market today,” Founder and Executive Chairman Tim Gurner said.

“To deliver that requires an extraordinary level of detail, coordination and discipline across multiple verticals, from design and hospitality through to wellness and service.”

“We’ve always believed that living extends far beyond the physical residence. It’s about how you feel the moment you arrive, how you live day-to-day, and the ecosystem that supports that.” 
[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370977]

The project’s design places a heavy focus on landscaping, wellness amenities and biophilic design principles.

Plans include around 3,700 sqm of landscaped gardens and open space throughout the precinct, alongside a retail and dining offering spanning approximately 5,000 sqm.

The broader public realm strategy centres around what GURNER™ describes as the “Path of Life”, an urban forest and landscaped pedestrian environment intended to connect the various buildings and wellness spaces across the precinct.

The apartments themselves will incorporate a range of wellness-focused inclusions, including purified air and water systems, circadian lighting, antimicrobial surfaces, and optional in-home wellness upgrades.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370980]

Gurner said the company’s experience through its Saint Haven wellness clubs had directly informed the residential offering now being incorporated into Elysium Fields.

“We’re seeing a clear global shift toward longevity, performance and proactive health,” Gurner said.

“Our role is to deliver that in a way that feels seamless, highly private and beautifully resolved within the environments we create.”

A large component of the wellness offering is planned through the resident amenity and health facilities proposed within the precinct.

That includes plans for bathing and recovery facilities spread throughout the towers, incorporating mineral pools, saunas, steam rooms, flotation therapy, red light therapy and wellness lounges.

The developer is also seeking approvals for what it describes as a “reverse ageing medical clinic” within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370978]

According to project information released by the group, the proposed facility would include cryotherapy, IV infusion therapy, infrared and dry saunas, PEMF beds, MRIs, DEXA scans, brain scans and blood analysis services.

Within the first tower, Helios, residents will also have access to a dedicated amenity offering known as the Sky Private Club.

The upper 15 levels of the building will include private lounges, dining spaces, rooftop amenities and optional private wellness studios integrated within residences.

The Helios tower itself comprises 260 apartments ranging between 60 sqm and 300 sqm, including a collection of penthouses.

That includes a planned two-storey penthouse spanning around 600 sqm with uninterrupted bay views.

The Elysium Fields precinct is being delivered in partnership with Digital Harbour Holdings, a consortium that includes the Liberman family, which controls the development rights across the Docklands site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370979]

The sales result comes as GURNER™ continues expanding its national development pipeline beyond Victoria.

“We have a strong pipeline across Australia and are now focused on scaling into key markets including New South Wales and Queensland, while continuing to build on our Melbourne base,” Gurner said.

“We currently have more than $3 billion in the market, growing to over $5 billion by October, and expect to materially outperform last year in the 2026 calendar year.”

The result also reflects the continued strength of the upper-end apartment market in Melbourne, particularly for owner-occupier-focused product with large-scale amenity and lifestyle offerings.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144441]

Record result anchored by the Group’s “utopian” Elysium Fields precinct – defying market headwinds in Docklands.

Elysium Fields drive Gurner to $1.65 billion in apartment sales over 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB) will fund <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera</a>, a $1 billion, 52-level luxury residential tower being developed by Central Equity in one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held coastal locations at Northcliffe.

The project, launched recently by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a>, one of Victoria’s largest private residential developers, comes at a time when construction funding for large residential developments has become increasingly competitive as lenders tighten exposure to the sector.

Multiplex has been appointed the builder, and construction is now underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365784]

Since its first project, Central Equity has delivered more than 85 residential developments with a combined end value exceeding $8 billion.

Palmera reflects Central Equity’s growing focus on the Gold Coast luxury apartment market and continues a relationship between Central Equity and NAB that dates back to the late 1980s, when the bank funded one of Melbourne’s earliest inner-city residential towers at a time when high-rise apartment living in the CBD was largely unproven.

“NAB’s funding of Central Equity’s $36 million CBD development in the late 1980’s to the financing of the billion-dollar tower today highlights the long-term relationship between the two organisations in delivering major residential projects” said Central Equity Founder and Chairman Eddie Kutner.

He said NAB’s early support was instrumental in helping establish the company’s development model.

“When we commenced our first residential tower in the late 1980s the concept of funding off-the-plan apartments was still largely untested in Australia,” Kutner said.

“NAB recognised the opportunity early and supported the project when others were uncertain. That relationship has now continued for more than 37 years across many developments.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Central Equity was established in 1987 when Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank precinct were still dominated by warehouses and commercial buildings. Fewer than 100 residents lived in Southbank at the time, and large-scale residential development in the inner city was not widely considered.

Recognising changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, the company began developing high-rise residential projects designed to bring permanent residents into the city centre.

Central Equity has provided accommodation for approximately 40,000 residents across Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank, while also incorporating supporting infrastructure including essential lifestyle facilities like retail spaces, childcare facilities and neighbourhood activity centres.

Central Equity has spent many years assembling the Palmera development site on the corner of Garfield Terrace and Frederick Street in Northcliffe, creating a supersite of around 3,300 sqm.

The developer said the Palmera apartment tower reflects its long-term view of the Gold Coast as a growing and increasingly diversified economy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365768]

Supported by infrastructure including the light rail network, major road upgrades expanded education, hospital and medical facilities and continued expansion at the Gold Coast Airport with more international and domestic flights.

Positioned in the tightly held Northcliffe precinct, the 52-level tower will deliver 347 apartments, targeting buyers seeking a high-end coastal lifestyle, from downsizers to interstate investors.

Designed by Marchese Partners with interiors by DBI, Palmera has been conceived as a next-generation residential offering, featuring a collection of oversized apartments, with premium three-bedroom residences offering sweeping northern views stretching from Surfers Paradise through to Burleigh Heads.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

NAB funds $1 billion Surfers Paradise apartment development, Palmera

Two years after completing one of the newest developments in North Sydney, developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aqualand-australia">Aqualand</a> is turning its attention to the rapidly evolving St Leonards apartment market.

The developer, which completed AURA by Aqualand on North Sydney's Walker Street, has lodged plans for a 5,918 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/33-37-herbert-street-st-leonards-nsw-2065">33-37 Herbert Street, St Leonards,</a> seeking approval for a pair of residential towers rising above a shared podium opposite Royal North Shore Hospital.

The proposal forms part of the broader transformation underway across the St Leonards-Crows Nest precinct, where former industrial and commercial sites are increasingly being redeveloped into high-density mixed-use projects tied to major transport infrastructure.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2cc428cf-fe70-4cac-9cd5-264ad53af62c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=otKSnHtbjAvAddOnovyXQMgcAwE6DMe1" />

According to the planning documents, the site sits “within the St Leonards–Crows Nest Strategic Centre, identified by the NSW Government as a key area for accommodating future jobs and housing across Sydney.”

The proposal has been designed by fjcstudio, formerly FJMT Studio, and is being progressed through the State Significant Development pathway due to its scale and affordable housing provision.

The scheme would comprise 413 apartments, including 46 affordable housing units, alongside retail and commercial uses fronting Herbert Street. The project would also include communal open space, landscaping, a swimming pool, gymnasium, children’s play areas and podium-level resident amenities.

Planning documents show the development would consist of a part-13, part-39 storey tower form positioned above a four-storey podium.

“The development comprises a unified podium that activates the street interface, and two setback towers to accommodate new housing supply while maintaining an appropriate human scale at ground level,” fjcstudio noted in its Design Report.

The northern and southern towers have been shaped to respond to the surrounding skyline while also limiting overshadowing impacts to nearby public open space, particularly Talus Reserve.

The design report said the differing tower heights were intended to “contribute to a varied skyline while responding to the surrounding built form context and solar access considerations.”

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36da62dc-ff9e-41f2-a7e3-7be38373751c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.45%E2%80%AFAM_0.png?VersionId=Mo6Rp2r.XRLTzIfg_PEEpw8NepDH8UBs" />

The site sits directly opposite Royal North Shore Hospital and within walking distance of both St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

While the site itself sits just outside the formal Crows Nest Transport Oriented Development boundary, the planning documents repeatedly reference its alignment with the broader TOD objectives reshaping the Lower North Shore.

“The site is located adjacent to St Leonards Station and in close proximity to Crows Nest Metro which is within the Crows Nest Transit Orientated Development Accelerated Precinct which has been identified by the NSW Government to support housing delivery,” the Design Verification Statement noted.

According to fjcstudio, the project has been designed to respond to the broader transition occurring across St Leonards, where increasing residential density is being concentrated around transport infrastructure and employment hubs.

“The broader precinct is undergoing significant change, with a mix of existing mid-rise buildings and newer high-density developments,” the report stated.

“Recent and approved projects indicate a consistent shift toward taller built form, typically organised as tower-and-podium typologies with more active ground levels.”

The proposal includes close to 6,000 sqm of retail and commercial space across the ground floor and podium levels, designed to create a more activated street edge along Herbert Street.

Aqualand’s plans would also introduce a landscaped podium shared between the two towers, with communal open space in the form of a podium rooftop designed to support resident interaction and improve urban greening outcomes. The scheme would also introduce pocket parks at the northern and southern ends of the site, including a landscaped area at the corner of Herbert and Ella streets designed to improve pedestrian amenity and soften the streetscape.

&nbsp;

The proposal is being progressed through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway, which was introduced to accelerate housing supply across the state. The application was declared State Significant Development in April 2025 following an expression of interest process.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="faf6d97d-2671-454f-b85a-fe1c6a7be608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=diVd28OBVr5.YV.7prrOz.uAanwwwm7a" />

St Leonards has been particularly active with new developments in recent weeks. Developer SP Setia’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-sp-setia-targets-st-leonards-skyline-with-40-storey-tod-tower">plans for a new 42-storey tower</a> recently went on exhibition through the same pathway, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">Stockland’s 52-storey tower proposal</a> was also recently unveiled.

Aside from the St Leonards project, which is expected to take around nine months to move through the approvals process ahead of a potential 2027 launch, Aqualand is also preparing to launch Boronia, a new apartment project in Roseville comprising around 111 apartments on Larkin Street.

The developer also has approvals in place for the next stage of the Barangaroo precinct, which will feature new residential, retail, hospitality and community uses, alongside a new metro entry across the five-hectare site.

More than 50 new retail destinations are planned for Central Barangaroo, alongside a 270-metre-long boulevard connecting Hickson Park to Nawi Cove. Together with Harbour Park, more than 50 per cent of the precinct will comprise public open space and parkland.

First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

&nbsp;

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

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Australian banks are really dotting their i’s and crossing their t’s with prestige property lending in 2015, according to the Melbourne buyers' agent Mal James.
"It is obvious that there have been directives from the top through most banking hierarchies," said James.
"Prudential banking is a good thing, just so long as it’s fair and equitable to local buyers as well," he suggested on the issue of offshore borrowings versus local.
He added the banks will lend if local buyers get in shape – with the right valuations, right loan to value ratios and updated earnings figures.
<div id="attachment_49545">But the now "massive differences between the agents quote and the end result" was becoming a major issue, he said.</div>
"Many Chinese buyers have worked out agent quoting, but some local buyers appear to have not.
"Chinese buyers have in many cases no real contact with agents and in many cases can’t even speak English, yet they are able to buy well and locals are not.
"Chinese buyers form their own opinions on values or get assistance from their friends or buyer advocates.
"Local buyers listen to agents, who fill their heads with mush."
<img src="https://marketnews.com.au/wp-content/uploads/Quoting-Bidding-597x448.jpg" alt="Quoting Bidding" width="597" height="448">
<a href="https://marketnews.com.au/2015/03/some-chinese-buyers-have-worked-out-agent-quoting-but-many-local-buyers-appear-to-have-not/" target="_blank">A James Buyers Agency graphic</a> (above) was used to show in red the agent quote on offerings in Brighton, Kew and Hawthorn.
The orange is the Chinese bidding which was consistently high across the board. He said his agency had some Chinese buyers on its books.
The blue is what Mal James bid and the black boxes is the range James Buyer Advocates gave to its clients the week before the auction on where it felt the home would sell.
"See how consistent it is with three different agents on three different homes in three different suburbs," said James.
"During the first few weeks of 2015 it was understandable for agents and advocates and buyers to get it wrong as the market shifted big time and yes, agents and advocates can’t get it right every time (but they shouldn’t get it wrong every time either)."
He noted many were underestimating the power of the inner Melbourne prestige market, saying "they think it is an aberration. 
"We do not share that view while the fundamentals are so obvious and so strong. 
"Of course we have no idea how long it will last but the bidder depth from overseas buyers is as David Hart from Brighton Buxton described it – 'profound'."
He advised values change dramatically with:
+ Building Quality + Chinese Bidding + Better Precincts + Building Size + Auction Volcano Interest - Poor Floor plan - Poor Land Features - Poorer Precincts - High Vendors
James also noted some houses - especially ones that cannot be bulldozed are actually discounting their land value; "such is the insatiable appetite by overseas buyers for land you can build on."
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Local banks unwittingly giving the Chinese advantages in Melbourne's prestige suburbs buyers' race: Mal James

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James Symond, the nephew of Aussie founder John Symond, is the new chief executive of the home loan group.
He replaces Ian Corfield in the top role, who joined Aussie from Bankwest <a href="/expert-insights/finance/aussie-home-loans-appoints-bankwest-executive-ian-corfield-as-new-ceo">in mid-2013</a>.
"It was clear after a rigorous international search and comparing a number of external candidates, James was the candidate with the best industry knowledge, track record and passion to be Aussie's CEO," executive chairman John Symond said in a statement.
Working his way up to be an executive director, James Symond has been with the company since his uncle established it in 1992.
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James Symond takes CEO job at Aussie 

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A CLSA analyst says interest rates in Australia will be less than 1% within two years and could even go to zero.
Christopher Wood, the managing director and chief strategist of the Asian-based equity broking and investment firm, made the forecast in an interview with The Australian Financial Review.
"I think less than 1% within the next two years. They are going to end up a lot lower than people still imagine," said Wood.
The AFR notes the most recent Bloomberg survey of economists indicates an average interest rate forecast of 2% for the end of the year and the first quarter of 2016.
Wood told investors to sell US mortgage securities before the subprime disaster.
"It's not whether interest rates go up, it's whether Australian interest rates go to zero," Wood said.
"When I was in Australia 15 months ago everyone thought that interest rates had bottomed and were going up. But now there is greater awareness among fund managers that it is going to stay lower for longer."
Wood said the drop in gross domestic product means the Reserve Bank of Australia needs to keep cutting interest rates, but it is caught in a difficult position.
"The issue from Australia's central bank standpoint is that it doesn't want to cut interest rates because of the housing market which, from a value point of view, is overextended," he said.
"You do have asset price rises driven by Chinese buying. But the bank is under pressure to cut rates, so I think it will have to come down to macroprudential controls and they are very political."
Wood is in Australia to meet with major fund manager clients. 
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Interest rates to zero forecast for Australia: CLSA's Christopher Wood

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ME Bank has announced an after-tax underlying net profit of $29.1 million for the six months ended 31 December 2014, a rise of 14% on the previous corresponding period ($25.5 million).
ME Bank chief executive Jamie McPhee said the half-year profit was a solid result given the highly competitive, low credit growth environment. 
“Profit growth was driven by a new record in home loan settlements − up 41% to $2.4 billion at the midpoint of the financial year compared to the previous corresponding period," he said.
“We settled the highest amount of home loans in ME Bank’s history − $432 million − in December 2014.”
After re-entering the broker channel in November 2011, ME Bank also increased sales momentum through brokers, generating $1.1 billion in home loan settlements for the half-year, up from $400 million for the previous corresponding period.
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ME Bank settled record $432 million in December home loans

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Consumer confidence: The weekly ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 0.5% in the week to March 15 to a reading of 110.8, mildly below the average level since 2014 of 111.4.
Reserve Bank Board minutes: Members considered cutting rates again at the March meeting but held off due to a range of uncertainties, including doubts on how borrowers and consumers would respond.
The consumer confidence figures have implications for retailers, and other consumer-focussed businesses. The Reserve Bank Board minutes provide insight into central bank thinking on interest rates.
What does it all mean?
The Reserve Bank is peering through the fog, trying to work out where to go from here. And aware that there are immense uncertainties in the current environment and that is no rush to cut rates again, Board members elected to sit quietly at the March rate setting meeting. Simply, Board members are hoping the fog will lift in the period ahead so they know which way to proceed from here.
One salient point from the latest Board minutes is that members are uncertain about the reactions of Aussie consumers and businesses in the current low rate environment. In other words, will rate cuts have a positive effect in boosting spending and investment or will people become worried that interest rates are too low. It is certainly clear so far that the February rate cut hasn’t led to a sustained lift in confidence levels.
Consumers clearly remain nonplussed. The job market improved in the latest month but the Aussie dollar remains soft and petrol prices are well above the lows reached in January. In addition there was no improvement in
Federal politics – politicians still can’t seem to come to agreement on the Budget initiatives being held up in the Senate.
There were no changes of note in the five components of the consumer confidence index.
The disappointment for the Reserve Bank is that the February rate cut has come and gone and consumer sentiment is weaker, not stronger. The Reserve Bank will continue to think long and hard about the benefits of continuing to cut interest rates with no real expectation that it will kick start growth.
What do the figures show?
Consumer sentiment:
The ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 0.5% from six-month lows in the week to March 8 to 110.8, mildly below the average since 2014 of 111.4.
Three of the five components of the index rose in the latest week:
<ul>
<li>The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was up from +4 to +6;</li>
<li>The estimate of family finances over the next year was up from +22 to +25;</li>
<li>Economic conditions over the next 12 months was down from -7 to -8;</li>
<li>Economic conditions over the next 5 years was up from 0 to +1;</li>
<li>The measure on whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was down from +32 to +30.</li>
</ul>
Reserve Bank Board minutes:
Minutes of the Reserve Bank Board meeting held on 3 March <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-minutes/2015/2015-03-03" target="_blank">can be found her</a>e.
The key quotes from the Board minutes:
“Members noted that the current setting of monetary policy had been accommodative for some time and that the recent reduction in the cash rate would provide some further support to the economy. They also acknowledged that a lower exchange rate would help achieve balanced growth in the economy. Nonetheless, on the basis of the current forecasts for growth and inflation, members were of the view that a case to ease monetary policy further might emerge.”
“In considering whether or not to reduce the cash rate further at this meeting, members saw benefit in allowing some time for the structure of interest rates and the economy to adjust to the earlier change. They also saw advantages in receiving more data to indicate whether or not the economy was on the previously forecast path. Further, they noted the greater degree of uncertainty about the behaviour of borrowers and savers in a world of very low interest rates. Taking account of all these factors, members judged it appropriate to hold the cash rate steady for the time being, while recognising that further easing over the period ahead may be appropriate to foster sustainable growth in demand while maintaining inflation consistent with the target.”
“While credit had continued to grow a little faster than incomes, household leverage had not increased significantly and the Bank would continue to work with other regulators to assess and contain risks that might arise from the housing market.”
What is the importance of the economic data?
The ANZ/Roy Morgan weekly survey of consumer confidence closely tracks the monthly Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index but the former measure is a timelier assessment of consumer attitudes and is now closely tracked by the Reserve Bank.
The Reserve Bank releases minutes of its monthly Board meeting a fortnight after the event. The minutes give a guide to Reserve Bank thinking on interest rate settings.
Each Reserve Bank Board meeting in the next couple of months is a “live” meeting – that is, the Board could decide to cut rates. It is now all about strategy. And that strategy hasn’t been adequately shared with financial markets. Perhaps the Reserve Bank Governor will provide further insights into his thinking in a speech to be delivered on Friday.
Interestingly, the Reserve Bank Board still believes there are potential benefits to be reaped from a rate cut – it depends whether interest rate savings are spent or saved.
 “They noted that the interest payments made by borrowers are significantly larger than the income received by holders of interest-bearing assets and, as a result, the very low level of interest rates was acting, other things equal, to support aggregate disposable income available for consumption. Members noted that the net effect on consumption through this transmission channel was a function of a number of factors, including the distribution of loans and interest-bearing assets across households and the extent to which the consumption behaviour of different households responds to low interest rates.”
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
Each Reserve Bank Board meeting in the next couple of months is a “live” meeting – that is, the Board could decide to cut rates. It is now all about strategy. And that strategy hasn’t been adequately shared with financial markets. Perhaps the Reserve Bank Governor will provide further insights into his thinking in a speech to be delivered on Friday.
Interestingly, the Reserve Bank Board still believes there are potential benefits to be reaped from a rate cut – it depends whether interest rate savings are spent or saved. 
“They noted that the interest payments made by borrowers are significantly larger than the income received by holders of interest-bearing assets and, as a result, the very low level of interest rates was acting, other things equal, to support aggregate disposable income available for consumption. Members noted that the net effect on consumption through this transmission channel was a function of a number of factors, including the distribution of loans and interest-bearing assets across households and the extent to which the consumption behaviour of different households responds to low interest rates.”
Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>. 
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cjames-5S2v74qSNK

RBA still believes  potential benefits to be reaped from a rate cut: Craig James

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Home buyers should not use a holding deposit when they want to secure a property purchase.
The preferable way to proceed is to exchange purchasing contracts, then use the cooling off period to complete enquiries.   With competition so strong for the nation’s limited housing stocks, purchasers need to better understand the legalities around how they secure their purchase and not leave themselves exposed to gazumping.   Buyers sometimes ask our agents to take a holding deposit, but then take their time to organise building and pest inspections as well as legal enquiries, mistakenly believing they have secured the property.   Paying a holding deposit does not mean the seller is legally obliged to sell you the property, or that you are legally obliged to buy.
Only an exchange of contracts constitutes a legally enforceable agreement. Without an exchange of contracts, buyers place themselves at the mercy of a very competitive buyer marketplace.   Real estate agents often don’t want to be seen to rush buyers into an exchange of contracts due to the relatively small penalty buyers incur if they decide to terminate their purchase during the cooling off period.   A cooling off period is the number of business days where a property buyer can walk away from a legal agreement to purchase a residential property. Buyers who do this usually have to pay the seller a small termination fee, which is often around 0.25% of the purchase price of the property. Any deposit above this will commonly need to be refunded.   But when you’re sure you’ve found the right property and want to complete your due diligence, many would argue it’s better to exchange contracts and secure the property, rather than risk being gazumped, having to continue the search for a property, and incurring yet more costs.   The best advice for buyers is to have finance approved and move quickly to complete enquiries. Sometimes, in the most competitive marketplaces, it’s in a buyer’s best interests to exchange contracts and make those enquiries during the cooling off period. 
Ray Ellis is First National Real Estate's chief executive.
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rellis-3VhjqdJSN2

Exchange of contract safer than holding deposits: Ray Ellis

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Strong, modest and even in decline. That was how the RBA board views the various residential property markets around the country.
A bit like the three bears and their porridge. And they thrown in a commercial property risks warning too.
The central bank advised the current strength of housing construction and the increase in housing prices were expected to provide a measure of support for consumption, <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-minutes/2015/2015-03-03" target="_blank">according to the RBA March minutes</a>.
It noted housing price growth remained strongest in Sydney and to a lesser extent Melbourne, while price rises in other parts of the country had been more modest, while prices had even declined in some cities recently. 
"A range of indicators, including residential building approvals, suggested further strong growth of dwelling investment in the near term," the minutes said.
"Growth in housing credit for owner-occupiers had remained around 6% in six-month-ended annualised terms, while growth in credit for housing investors was noticeably faster, at over 10% measured on the same basis."
The minutes noted activity in the housing market had remained strong. 
"Housing prices had continued to increase strongly in Sydney and at a solid pace in Melbourne. 
"In other capital cities, trends had been more mixed and annual increases in capital city housing prices (excluding Sydney and Melbourne) had averaged about 3 per cent. 
"Growth of dwelling investment was estimated to have picked up in the December quarter and was expected to remain at a high level in the near term. 
"While credit had continued to grow a little faster than incomes, household leverage had not increased significantly and the Bank would continue to work with other regulators to assess and contain risks that might arise from the housing market."
It noted risks in the household sector continued to be centred on housing and mortgage markets. 
"The composition of these markets remained skewed to investor activity, especially in Sydney. 
"Members noted that, at the margin, the recent decline in interest rates could boost the housing market, including prices. 
"The measures announced by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority and Australian Securities and Investments Commission in December were designed to temper the housing market risks faced both by households and lenders, although these risks also needed to be placed in the context of the prevailing low levels of household stress."
The bank made a rare commentary on the commercial property markets.
"Members further noted that risks had been beginning to build in commercial property markets, including developers of residential as well as non-residential property. Prices in several market segments had been rising, even as vacancy rates remained high and leasing conditions weakened," the minutes said.
In conclusion the board minutes noted the current setting of monetary policy had been accommodative for some time and that the recent reduction in the cash rate would provide some further support to the economy. 
"They also acknowledged that a lower exchange rate would help achieve balanced growth in the economy. 
"Nonetheless, on the basis of the current forecasts for growth and inflation, members were of the view that a case to ease monetary policy further might emerge.
 
"In considering whether or not to reduce the cash rate further at this meeting, members saw benefit in allowing some time for the structure of interest rates and the economy to adjust to the earlier change.
"They also saw advantages in receiving more data to indicate whether or not the economy was on the previously forecast path.
"Further, they noted the greater degree of uncertainty about the behaviour of borrowers and savers in a world of very low interest rates.
"Taking account of all these factors, members judged it appropriate to hold the cash rate steady for the time being, while recognising that further easing over the period ahead may be appropriate to foster sustainable growth in demand while maintaining inflation consistent with the target."
 
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Commercial property risks looms as housing credit for investors outstrips owner-occupiers: RBA March meeting minutes

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While the majority of variable home loans available have dropped their interest rates following February's rate cut, 40% of variable loan rates stay on hold, according to comparison website Finder.
Of the 1,358 variable loans monitored by Finder, 815, or 60%, have had their interest rates cut since the Reserve Bank dropped the official cash rate on 3 February by 25 basis points. The cash rate now sits at a record low of 2.25%.
Some lenders are still continuing to pass along the Reserve Bank's cut, with Finder noting that interest rates were cut on 20 variable rate loan products in the past week.
Lenders who dropped variable rates in the last week include Commonwealth Bank, RAMS, Western Credit Union and Catalyst mutual, according to Finder.
Finder's Michelle Hutchison says borrowers should be proactive about keeping track of their home loans.
"While it's not surprising to see some lenders being slow to pass on the cash rate cut to their variable home loan customers, it's disappointing that some are taking advantage of the situation," she says.
"Many borrowers aren't aware of what interest rate they are being charged and may not realise that their lender hasn't passed on the rate cut."
She urges borrowers to compare available rates on the market and to consider asking their lender for a discount if they have failed to pass along the Reserve Bank's rate cut.
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jrichardson-uRX5hFdKfN

40% of variable home loans yet to pass on February rate cut: Finder

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To date the No Land Tax political party has only been evident with bright yellow campaign signs on roadside telegraph poles, but that has all changed as the single issue party as won the coveted first spot on the ballot paper for Legislative Council election.
The No Land Tax party drew position A, giving it a reasonable chance of getting its candidate elected. It is running 93 lower house candidates which ought generate assistance for the upper house prospect.
<a href="https://www.nolandtax.com.au/" target="_blank">The party</a> wants a full restructuring of the state's taxation system, including land tax, stamp duty and payroll tax.
A total of 24 groups are contesting the Upper House election. No Land Tax has 16 candidates on its upper house list.
Candidate Peter Jones hopes land tax can be abolished just like death duties were in 1981.
Land tax is levied on investment residential and commercial property and holiday homes in NSW regardless of the income generated by the property. 
The party's website says over 150,000 people are hit with land tax every year in NSW. 
"There is no equivalent tax on share investors," it notes.
"With high property prices in Sydney and NSW, it’s not difficult to be dragged into paying land tax.
"Land tax is calculated on the 'highest permissible use' of the property, so for example, a warehouse that has been rezoned for residential development is taxed at the higher valuation, even if the warehouse tenant has a long term lease.
"It is not uncommon for some property investors to pay more in land tax than they receive in rent."
In 2003 the NSW government collected over $1.1 billion in land tax. The figure is almost $2.4 billion now and it is expected to increase to almost $3 billion by 2017.
Over the years Peter Jones has caught the attention of Fairfax and News Ltd journalists, with 2GB broadcaster Ray Hadley suggesting the party was an interesting invention that would secure plenty of colourful coverage.
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No Land Tax party puts the $2.4 billion issue atop the NSW election agenda

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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released housing finance data for January 2015 this week. 
This data represents the first full month of lending-based results after APRA’s recommendation to Australian Authorised Deposit-taking Institutes (ADI’s) reinforcing sound residential mortgage lending benchmarks. <img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4377" src="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Chart-11.jpg" alt="Chart 1" width="500" height="186"> Over the month the total value of housing finance commitments fell by -0.6% across both the owner occupier and investor segments of the market. The value of housing finance commitments has increased by 12.8% year on year. 
Taking a look at the breakdown between the owner occupier and investor segment of the market, it is clear that most of the strength is coming from investors. The value of owner occupier housing finance commitments fell by -1.0% over the month and investor lending recorded a fall of -0.1%. 
Despite the monthly fall in lending, the value of housing finance commitments was 7.1% higher year on year to owner occupiers and 22.1% higher to investors. <img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4378" src="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Chart-21.jpg" alt="Chart 2" width="500" height="182"> The proportion of total lending to investors reached an all-time high in January 2015. Over the month, 41.4% of the value of all housing finance commitments was to investors. 
In comparison, a record low 39.1% of the value of housing lending was to owner occupiers for new loan purposes and 19.5% was to owner occupiers for refinances. If we look solely at the value of new lending (excluding refinances) investor lending hit a record high 51.4% of all new lending in January 2015. <img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4379" src="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Chart-31.jpg" alt="Chart 3" width="500" height="180"> Focussing on the owner occupier segment of lending, $17.7 billion was lent in January down from $17.9 billion in December. Across the segment: $1.8 billion was lent for construction of new homes, $0.9 billion for the purchase of new homes, a record high $5.9 billion for refinances and $9.1 billion for purchase of established homes.
 Month on month, housing finance commitments for owner occupiers fell by -2.6% for construction of new homes, -5.4% for the purchase of new homes, +1.8% for refinances and -2.0% for purchases of established dwellings. year on year, the strength in the owner occupier segment has largely been from refinances which have increased by 28.5%. Across the other segments, construction of new homes were up +1.5%, purchase of new homes are -7.2% and purchase of established homes are -0.9%.
The data indicates that much of the activity across the owner occupier segment of the market is coming from refinances as home owners shop around for a better deal or prepare to withdraw some of their equity which would feed into the strength of the investment segment. <img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4380" src="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Chart-41.jpg" alt="Chart 4" width="500" height="183"> Turning to the investment lending segment, $12.5 billion was lent in January which was slightly lower than investment lending in December. Over the month there was $0.8 billion in commitments for construction of new dwelling and $11.7 billion for commitments to existing homes showing that investor lending is largely going to existing homes with lending to that segment almost 14 times greater than lending for new construction. Over the month, investor commitments for new construction fell -18.8% compared to a 1.6% increase in lending for purchases of existing homes.
year on year, the value of commitments for construction of new dwellings is 85.1% higher while investor lending for established homes has increased by 19.1%. The data shows that despite lending to investors is surging, a relatively small amount of this lending is contributing to new housing stock being constructed. <img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4381" src="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Chart-51.jpg" alt="Chart 5" width="500" height="181"> Turning to the first home buyer segment of the market, the number of owner occupier first home buyer commitments fell sharply in January. It should be noted that this data series is not seasonally adjusted. Over the month there were 5,961 commitments which was -26.4% lower over the month and -14.4% lower year on year. As a proportion of all owner occupier housing finance commitments, investors accounted for 14.2% of commitments in January. 
Based on this data, the level of first home buyer participation in the market remains extremely low, however a weakness of the ABS data set is that it doesn’t identify first home buyers that are purchasing as investors. Anecdotally, it appears that many first time buyers are choosing to purchase an investment property rather than a principal place of residence. <img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4382" src="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Mortgage-Index.jpg" alt="Mortgage Index" width="500" height="181"> The CoreLogic RP Data Mortgage Index measures activity across CoreLogic RP Data’s mortgage platforms each week. The activity is highly correlated with housing finance data and as the above chart shows, activity has surged over recent weeks. Based on this data, it suggests that despite the Christmas / New Year slowdown there has been no sustained slowdown in mortgage demand. Given this we would expect a rebound in housing finance commitment over the coming months.
Following the letter from APRA to Australian ADI’s in December we have seen a slight easing in housing finance commitments however, it is too early to suggest the two are related. Investor activity remains very strong and for the first time on record we have seen six consecutive months in which lending to investors is greater than lending to owner occupiers for new loans. Investors are largely purchasing existing homes which does little to contribute to new housing, although the value of commitments to investors for new construction has risen sharply over the past year. The owner occupier segment is largely being driven by refinance activity as borrowers shop around for better deals on their mortgage and prepare to re-invest some of their equity.
Over the coming months it will be important to monitor if the new guidelines from APRA and the ramping up of their surveillance of mortgage lending has much of an effect on demand. We would suspect that the high level of competition in the mortgage market is likely to result in minimal change across the board. While some individual lenders may have to tinker with their lending policies, borrowers have many other banks to choose from if one borrower cannot provide the type of product they are looking for.
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NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

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NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

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