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UBS has secured the mandate to advise the Victorian government on the sale of its land titles unit. 
The state has been seeking an adviser likely to recommend a sale in line with other states including New South Wales and South Australia. 
The unit is expected to be worth $2 billion plus.
Sources told the Australian Financial Review's Street Talk column that Victoria's Treasurer Tim Pallas wanted a sale finalised by the end of August 2018. 
Meanwhile after more than 15 years at 570 Bourke Street, Land Use Victoria is moving to 2 Lonsdale Street Melbourne.
Land Registry Services’ and Plan Acceptance’s offices at 570 Bourke Street closed to the public at noon on Friday 25 August and opened in the new location at 8.30 am on Tuesday 29 August.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

UBS to advise Victorian Government on land title sale

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There's whispers Telstra CEO Andrew Penn and wife Kallie Blauhorn have bought in Prahran.
The pinpointed $3.5 million purchase would represent an interesting move as its a warehouse advertised by Teska Carson as a blank canvas for a state of the art home office. There's talk an art gallery residence could be on the drawing board.
Set on 500 sqm, the warehouse came with permit for 10 luxury apartments. 
The couple have listed in South Yarra where their contemporary townhouse comes with price expectations between $3 million to $3.3 million.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/08/30/Screen%20Shot%202017-08-30%20at%202.48.01%20pm.jpg" alt="">
It cost $2.35 million new some seven years ago.
The UK-born executive migrated to Melbourne in 1992 and joined Telstra in 2012 as their chief financial officer.
This article first appeared in The Weekend Australian Mansions Australia section.
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Whispers Telstra CEO Andrew Penn has bought Prahran warehouse

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Michael Willems, who moved from selling trophy houses to marketing commercial and industrial properties, has just sold his first pub.
The Ray White Commercial agent found a buyer, at $1.9 million, for a Slacks Creek hotel that has been on the market for nine months.
The Moss Street International comes with a bottleshop.
It has been sold by a company associated with John Dalziel.
The purchaser of the 5000 sqm site, which lends itself to industrial development, has not been revealed.
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Michael Willems sells Slacks Creek property

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A South Yarra retail property has been listed for sale.
The <a href="https://www.commercialrealestate.com.au/property/207-commercial-road-south-yarra-vic-3141-2013765585" target="_blank">207 Commercial Road</a> property is located in the heart of Stonnington. It spans 110 sqm.
It is being marketed as a good opportunity to secure a freehold shop. The property has a rear lane access and popular food and cafes are close by with high exposure.
The property has a zoning permit for a Commercial 1 and there is a development opportunity available (STPA)
It is  next door to Prahran Market.
The property is offered through Beller Commercial agents Glenn Ye and Fred Nucara.
It last changed hands for $1,515,000, according to Corelogic RP Data.
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South Yarra freehold shopfront listed for sale

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Two adjoining commercial properties in the Brisbane suburb of Kangaroo Point, opposite the Shafston Hotel, have been snapped up for $1,940,000 in an off-market deal through Savills.
A local investor purchased the properties at 289 and <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property/291-shafston-ave-kangaroo-point-qld-4169" target="_blank">291 Shafston Avenue</a>.
The recently refurbished buildings provide nearly 350 sqm of net lettable area.
The properties sit on a 767 sqm site and feature a digital billboard leased to GOA on a 10-year term.
The sale marked a passing yield of 4 percent.
The selling agents were Nick Russell and Jack Morrison of Savills.
Russell said the properties appealed to the investor for a number of reasons, including their prime location, closeness to the CBD and their potential for solid returns and long term capital growth.
“The purchase represents a yield play for the investor as well as a solution for his own office requirement," said Russell.
"One of the buildings is leased to an architecture firm, however the other is available, allowing the investor to move his own office into half of the available building’s space and lease out the remainder.”
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Corner in Kangaroo Point sells for just under $2 million: Savills

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A retail property in the Mid North Coast of New South Wales, Woolgoolga, has been listed for sale.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-woolgoolga-126118970" target="_blank">Shops 1 &amp; 2 16 Market Street</a>, the property has prime exposure as a new commercial property and is close to the beach.
Its current original tenant is called Rustic Mezedes and is a well-known Woopi institution serving quality cuisine.
The restaurant is under two titles.
The property has been marketed as ideal for a self-managed superfund or an investor looking for a long-term asset.
There is a 10-year lease in place since 2014 with further options for two extensions of five years each.
The property earns $79,354 including GST annually with a gross return of over 6.6%.
It has a separate storeroom and other amenities.
There is also an adjoining car park with six separate apartments under the existing strata.
The outgoings are 60% of the lettable area ground floor with the tenant paying everything.
The listing agent is Mark Killian of Cardow Partners Property.
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Prime Woolgoolga retail property listed for sale

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Sydney’s housing market will see flat or possibly falling prices this month, while Melbourne’s market continues to edge up, with values set to rise around half a per cent in August, according to CoreLogic.
In a preview of its revised monthly housing price index, CoreLogic said there had been no price growth in Sydney during August, as investors withdrew following higher mortgage rates on the back of the banking regulator’s crackdown.
Sydney’s almost unstoppable housing market was not immune to a downturn, head of research Tim Lawless said.
It was not however a precursor for any dramatic price correction.
"If you look back at any past cycle, you will find that prices do not fall off the cliff," Mr Lawless said.
“We don’t think it would be disastrous, but it (Sydney housing values) could fall 5-10 per cent peak to trough,” Mr Lawless said following the launch in Sydney of CoreLogic’s updated housing value index.
<div>
"Sydney has been gradually cooling since November last year, <a href="https://www.afr.com/real-estate/how-it-sold-aged-housing-campaigner-barbara-squires-makes-own-downsizing-move-20170827-gy57z3">auction clearance rates</a> have starting slowing...all signs the market is cooling."
"The question is what will be the difference between the peak and trough."
</div>
He suggests by the end of this year, the pace of growth for Sydney and Melbourne could be neck and neck at 12.5-13 per cent in each city.
"Sydney’s market peaked at an annual growth rate of more than 19 per cent while Melbourne topped 15 per cent.
"In Melbourne, auction clearances were still topping 70 per cent, and investors were still active, unlike Sydney where investors had fallen away..
“Melbourne doesn’t have the affordability constraints of Sydney.
"The overall growth in Sydney’s values had been powered by the top end of the market while in Melbourne, more affordable housing had underpinned the market.
"Perth’s hard-hit housing market has seen a price fall of 1.5 per cent so far in this month.
"But the worst was likely behind the city as jobs growth improves in the state.
“Affordabitlity has been the silver lining ... noting that first home buyers accounted for about 25 per cent of sales.
"In Brisbane, CoreLogic found housing values edged up only 0.2 per cent for the quarter with the market dragged down by a flood of new apartment construction.
"The poor perceptions around the city’s unit market was dampening the city’s whole housing sector with the market not reflecting improved immigration."
<div>
Corelogic will reveal its new format hedonic index for August national house prices this Friday, which will see improved sampling, better handling of off the plan sales, along less volatility in daily and monthly readings.
The series goes back to 1980.
</div>
<div>The new index will result in slight changes in trends so far this year as Sydney's house prices rise in the year to July will be 10.9 per cent as opposed to 10.5 per cent under the old index.</div>
<div>
Melbourne will be up 15.7 per cent compared to 12.4 per cent and Brisbane will be 13 per cent for the year, as opposed to 15.9 per cent.
</div>
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Sydney’s housing market will see flat or falling prices this month: CoreLogic

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The warehouse-style Kaur House at Fitzroy has sold for $2,910,000.
The property on <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-fitzroy-126080870">15 Little George S</a><a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-fitzroy-126080870">t</a>, is designed by architect Andrew Maynard and spans three levels.
It features a living and dining 'zone' opening to an entertainers' courtyard, an integrated Miele kitchen, three large bedrooms and American Oak and concrete floors.
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Warehouse-style Kaur House, Fitzroy, sold

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A site spanning more than 5.057 hectares was recently snapped by a local developer for $2,400,000.
Located at <a href="https://www.realcommercial.com.au/property-land+development-vic-langwarrin-502253514" target="_blank">620 McClelland Drive, Langwarrin</a>, the property comprises a building and is zone Public Use.
Its area is 1,565 sqm with a frontage of 274 metres to McClelland Drive.
This sale price translates to a building rate of $1,533.55 per sqm.
The site is located less than 6 km from the Frankston foreshore and is close to the Penninsula Private Hospital, Karingal Hub Shopping Centre and the Elisabeth Murdoch College.
The selling agents were Craig McKellar and Seamus Bolst of CVA.
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Five hectare Langwarrin site sold for $2.4 million

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Victoria has experienced the country’s largest, long-term increase in medium density housing (apartments) in the five years to June 2016.
That is according to the Bankwest Housing Density report which is released today and which provides an analysis of approvals in medium density and low density housing over both the long and the short term, combined with the latest Census 2016 data.
The report reveals the amount of medium density housing in Victoria increased by almost a quarter (24.6%) in the five years to June 2016.
Growth in standalone housing during the same period increased by a little (3.4%), signaling Victoria’s shift towards apartment style living.
Bankwest General Manager Broker Sales Stewart Saunders says the state’s growing population has clearly had an impact on the types of houses found in SA.
“Victoria’s population growth was 10.7% in the five years to June 2016 – the highest of all the states - which will have had undoubted impact on the amount of new homes needed during that period,” said Mr Saunders.
Despite the change in housing levels the report shows a slight, short term decline in the amount of medium density properties being approved, down 1.4% to 32,078 in the 12 months to March 2017.
The report also shows the speed at which Melbourne is growing, even outstripping Sydney.
Melbourne City registered 35,011 medium density approvals in the six years to March 2017, the largest number of approvals of any Australian city.
This was almost two thirds (65.0%) more than Sydney’s inner city which recorded 21,222 new medium density approvals over the same period.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/08/16/Screen%20Shot%202017-08-16%20at%201.05.45%20pm.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/08/16/Screen%20Shot%202017-08-16%20at%201.05.45%20pm.jpg" alt="">
“When we look at the national picture the data paints a picture of a country where, overall, there is a continuing long term trend towards apartment style living,” said Mr Saunders.
“But what is noticeable in the short term analysis is that we see that over the 12 months to March the country has experienced its biggest decline in the proportion of medium density approvals for four years,” Mr Saunders added.
Medium density approvals declined by 6.5% in the 12 months to March to 110,471, down from 118,156 the previous year.
This national decline was largely driven by declines at a state level in Queensland (down 25.6%), and Western Australia (down 27.1%).
Mr Saunders said the annual Housing Density Report had been produced as part of Bankwest’s ongoing commitment to offer insights on economic data, trends and issues of value to its customers, businesses, communities and policy makers.
“Bankwest is committed to helping customers and local businesses achieve what matters, contributing to the development of our communities and being a positive voice in the debate on the future of the economy.”
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Victoria leading the charge to apartment style living in Australia: Bankwest

One of Brisbane's last major riverfront redevelopment opportunities has taken a significant step forward, with Lendlease selected as the Queensland Government's preferred development partner for the former Visy site in South Brisbane.

The seven-hectare industrial site, positioned between South Bank and West End and 1.3 kilometres from the Brisbane CBD, will be transformed into a mixed-use precinct expected to deliver more than 4,000 new homes alongside extensive public open space and riverfront parkland.

The project is one of the largest urban renewal opportunities currently planned in Brisbane and is expected to play a key role in accommodating the city's growing population ahead of the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games.

Plans for the precinct include a network of riverfront promenades and boardwalks, new public plazas, parkland, amphitheatre-style gathering spaces and shared pedestrian and cycling links designed to reconnect the long-isolated site with the Brisbane River.

The Queensland Government is targeting delivery of the first homes and key public spaces before the 2032 Games, allowing the precinct to begin contributing new housing and public amenity well before the broader masterplan is complete.

The redevelopment is also expected to support more than 3,000 jobs across planning, construction and ongoing operations.

For Lendlease, the appointment adds another major urban regeneration project to its Queensland portfolio. The developer has operated in the state for more than 70 years and has delivered a number of large-scale mixed-use precincts in partnership with government.

Lendlease Development CEO Claire Johnston said the project represented one of Brisbane's most significant redevelopment opportunities.

"The transformation of the former Visy site represents a rare opportunity to reimagine one of Brisbane's most significant riverfront locations, deliver thousands of much-needed homes, and create long-term legacy," Johnston said.

"In partnership with the Queensland Government, we have the opportunity to create a new riverside destination that will help shape Brisbane's growth and how people experience the city for decades to come.

"This is exactly the type of large-scale, city-shaping development that will provide lasting benefits for Queensland, bringing together housing, jobs and world-class public spaces."

Deputy Premier and Minister for State Development, Infrastructure and Planning Jarrod Bleijie said the riverfront transformation would deliver a thriving new community precinct.

“The Crisafulli Government is delivering this golden opportunity to unlock a riverfront jewel for all Queenslanders,” Deputy Premier Bleijie said.

“This is a once-in-a-generation moment to reshape a significant slice of Brisbane and deliver lasting benefits – thousands of new homes, and public spaces for all Queenslanders to enjoy well beyond the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games – unlike Labor’s plan which would have delivered zero benefits and zero new homes.

“Queensland is well and truly open for business and through partnership with the private sector, we are accelerating delivery while ensuring strong housing, community and economic outcomes."

Early works on the precinct are expected to commence in April 2027.

Joel Robinson

Lendlease selected to deliver transformative South Brisbane riverfront precinct

Eddy Haddad's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/level-33">Level 33</a> is levelling up its approved Wollongong development, as the coastal city south of Sydney continues to prove popular in the high-density development space.

Level 33, a longtime developer in the Wollongong area, has gone through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority to upsize its approved two-tower development on the corner of Crown Street and Gladstone Avenue, just 100 metres from Wollongong Station.

The developer currently has approval for 252 apartments across two buildings rising to 19 storeys. It is now seeking approval for 33 and 38-storey towers that would deliver 467 apartments, including 67 affordable homes.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bka-architecture">BKA Architecture</a>, the development would comprise apartments above a three-level podium with around 1,100 sqm of retail space, along with basement parking for 448 vehicles.

According to the Urban Design Report by BKA, the proposal has the capacity to "reinforce the precinct's identity by strengthening links between health, education, and transport services, while also contributing to Wollongong's ongoing evolution as a key regional centre."

Wollongong is somewhat in vogue. Between Level 33 and Urban Property Group, the two developers have several thousand apartments planned across the city.

Level 33 is currently delivering Easterly Wollongong, one of its most boutique projects to date with just 21 high-end apartments, as well as Atchison &amp; Kenny, a 329-apartment development due for completion later this year.

The developer plans to redevelop the 13,088 sqm WIN Grand megasite into <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crown-square-216-238-keira-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Crown Square</a>, a new $500 million precinct with nearly 600 apartments. It also has more than 900 apartments planned for the former Bunnings Warehouse site at the intersection of Gipps and Flinders streets.

Urban Property Group is also playing a major role in the city's transformation. Its five-tower Keira Place precinct will deliver more than 800 homes, and it has recently lodged plans for a further 300 apartments near Wollongong Station.

First look: Level 33 upsizes Wollongong apartment towers

Just a week after filing plans for the final stage of its major Keira Place masterplan, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has unveiled another significant housing proposal in Wollongong, this time targeting a prominent site opposite North Wollongong Station.

The developer has lodged a State Significant Development Application for a 38-storey mixed-use tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-4a-flinders-street-north-wollongong-nsw-2500">4-4A Flinders Street</a>, around one kilometre north of the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/keira-place-wollongong-120-122-smith-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Keira Place precinct</a> currently taking shape on the edge of the CBD.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group plans 38-storey North Wollongong tower as Keira Place expansion gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2b6428f1-6405-4038-8476-897de440e90d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/flinders%20podium.png?VersionId=QLqEvK0OuCEwRC47oHNftrw2B1YqaHF8" />

Designed by Studio.SC, the proposal comprises a 38-storey mixed-use development containing 303 apartments, including 45 affordable housing units, alongside 174 co-living residences. The scheme also includes ground-floor retail space, extensive landscaping and public domain improvements.

Studio.SC noted in the proposal it "outlines a vision for a landmark transit-oriented mixed-use development centred around North Wollongong Station, designed to support the city’s future growth while responding to the NSW Government’s housing and planning reforms."

The architecture firm said the proposal responds to the opportunities and constraints shaping future growth within the 400-metre catchment of the station and represents "a coordinated and future-focused approach to urban intensification, contributing to the long-term evolution of North Wollongong as a connected, walkable and high-density station precinct."

The site occupies a strategic corner bounded by Flinders Street, Station Street, Stafford Street and the Princes Highway, directly opposite North Wollongong Station.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group plans 38-storey North Wollongong tower as Keira Place expansion gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7863adad-1f71-4022-b850-f44b252738fd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/flinders%20podium%20a.png?VersionId=WsU7av0g8_8R2tGHWxgHeFSlhu7yeY1V" />

The proposal follows Urban Property Group's recent submission for the second and final stage of Keira Place, which would deliver a further three buildings comprising 657 homes opposite Beaton Park. It builds on the first stage, which features 150 apartments across two towers and recently commenced construction.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said breaking ground on the first stage marked a significant milestone for Wollongong and reflected the developer's long-term commitment to regional cities.

"Today's groundbreaking is about turning approvals into homes and moving quickly to deliver much-needed housing in Wollongong's city centre," Elias said.

"Keira Place will provide a diverse mix of homes close to jobs, transport and services, while setting a high benchmark for quality, durability and consumer protection."

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/urban-property-group-unveils-trio-of-towers-for-next-stage-of-new-wollongong-precinct-keira-place">Urban Property Group unveils trio of towers for next stage of new Wollongong precinct, Keira Place</a>

First look: Urban Property Group plans next major Wollongong tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/arada">Arada Australia</a> has wasted little time expanding its ambitions in Campsie, lodging plans for a second major project in the rapidly transforming town centre just months after unveiling its three-tower One Campsie proposal on Beamish Street.

The UAE-backed developer has now taken aim at one of the suburb’s most strategically positioned sites, filing a State Significant Development Application for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/10-north-parade-campsie-nsw-2194">33-storey mixed-use tower</a> at 10 London Street and 43 North Parade, directly opposite the future Campsie Metro Station. The proposal is currently on public exhibition and represents another significant vote of confidence in Campsie's emergence as one of Sydney’s key transit-oriented growth centres.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the development would deliver 156 apartments above a podium containing retail and commercial space, creating a new residential and commercial gateway to the town centre. The scheme also includes a four-level above-ground parking podium and a dedicated residential amenity floor featuring wellness and recreation facilities. At least 10 per cent of the apartments would be allocated as affordable housing for a period of 10 years.

The proposal occupies a 1,631 sqm site bounded by London Street, North Parade and Dispensary Lane, immediately adjoining the future Metro station precinct and just metres from Beamish Street’s retail and dining strip. According to the Urban Design Report, the project seeks to deliver "a great place that prioritises human-scaled experience and provides spatial improvements to the area."

<img alt="First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="175a8324-015b-4856-abe3-ce6f23199fa7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/podium%20campsie.png?VersionId=742UGwXFhFBX4GEl6wX4PYIWREAgn6il" />

Woods Bagot describes the tower as a key marker within Campsie's next phase of growth.

"Located directly opposite the new Campsie Metro Station on North Parade, 10 London Street is a thoughtfully composed 33-storey mixed-use tower that contributes to the ongoing transformation of the town centre," the Architectural Design Report states. The report says the project is intended to provide "high-quality homes within a vibrant, connected urban environment, while helping define Campsie's future skyline."

A strong emphasis has been placed on the public realm. The ground floor incorporates over 500 sqm of retail space and active frontages along both London Street and North Parade, while the podium is wrapped by extensive landscaped planting intended to soften the building's scale and strengthen the pedestrian experience. The development would also widen surrounding footpaths and improve connections between the Metro station and the broader town centre.

Above the podium, residents would have access to more than 1,400 sqm of communal amenities, including a pool, gym and landscaped recreation spaces. A distinctive green-wall treatment extending across four podium levels forms a major architectural feature, helping differentiate the project within the emerging high-density precinct.

The tower's design is closely tied to the broader Campsie Town Centre Master Plan and the arrival of Sydney Metro. The Urban Design Report notes the proposal "directly supports the Campsie Town Centre Master Plan by delivering new homes in a location explicitly identified for growth, improved accessibility, and high-quality urban renewal." It adds that the project contributes to the master plan's vision for a strengthened town centre supported by thousands of new homes around the future Metro station.

<img alt="First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bfd17654-253e-489a-bade-6278d63db412" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/base%20campsie.png?VersionId=3roJPMQGs36dazpkhvpvbDDP73Ld.Ica" />

The application follows Arada Australia's recently lodged One Campsie project at 124–142 Beamish Street and 16–18 Ninth Avenue, where the developer is seeking approval for 346 apartments across three towers rising 24, 32 and 39 storeys. Together, the two proposals would cement Arada Australia as one of the most influential developers shaping Campsie's future urban form.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-arada-files-for-trio-of-apartment-towers-in-campsie-town-centre">First Look: Arada Australia files for trio of apartment towers in Campsie town centre</a>

Arada Australia entered the Australian market in 2024 and has rapidly assembled a significant development pipeline across Sydney. Alongside its Campsie holdings, the developer is soon to launch <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/wattle-green-2-fishburn-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Wattle Green</a> in Castle Hill, and has expanded its local operations following its acquisition of construction firm Roberts &amp; Co.

Located around 14 kilometres south-west of the Sydney CBD, the site sits at the centre of one of Sydney's fastest-changing middle-ring precincts. The Metro conversion of Campsie Station, combined with Canterbury-Bankstown Council's master planning framework, is driving significant residential intensification around Beamish Street and North Parade, with thousands of new homes expected over coming decades.

First look: Arada Australia doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans

For the first time in a long time, Australia's inflation story is starting to look more like a landing than a fight.

The latest Consumer Price Index figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed annual inflation eased to four per cent in May, down from 4.2 per cent in April. On the surface, that might not seem like a major move. Inflation remains above the Reserve Bank's target range and some categories continue to record stubborn price growth.

But the significance of this result lies less in where inflation sits today and more in what it means for where interest rates are likely heading next.

The biggest takeaway is that inflation continues to move in the right direction.

Markets had been bracing for another sticky result after a period where progress appeared to stall. Instead, headline inflation came in softer than expected, helped by falling fuel prices and easing transport costs. Annual transport inflation halved from 6.6 per cent in April to 3.3 per cent in May, while automotive fuel prices fell 11.9 per cent during the month following lower oil prices and the impact of reduced fuel excise measures.

While petrol prices don't solve Australia's affordability challenges, they are one of the most visible and immediate costs for consumers. Falling fuel costs feed through the economy quickly, helping ease pressure on household budgets and business operating expenses.

The ABS data also showed headline inflation is now sitting at its lowest annual level in several months, reinforcing the broader trend that price growth is gradually moderating.

That trend is important because it aligns with what many economists and lenders have been saying for the last month.

Prior to this week's inflation data, ANZ, NAB and Commonwealth Bank had all shifted their forecasts, now believing the Reserve Bank had likely reached the peak of the interest rate cycle. Following the May inflation release, ANZ reaffirmed that view.

In its latest economic update, ANZ said it expects quarterly trimmed mean inflation to come in at 3.7 per cent for the June quarter, slightly below the Reserve Bank's forecast of 3.8 per cent. Importantly, the bank said that outcome, when combined with slowing economic activity, "supports our view that the cash rate has peaked".

The Reserve Bank has spent the better part of three years attempting to bring inflation under control through higher interest rates. If Australia's major banks are correct and rates have now peaked, the conversation shifts from how much higher rates could go to when they might begin coming down.

Westpac's caution comes from underlying inflation. The trimmed mean, the measure most closely watched by the Reserve Bank, increased from 3.4 per cent to 3.6 per cent annually. Housing inflation remains elevated at 6.5 per cent, reflecting ongoing increases in rents, electricity costs and new dwelling construction.

Electricity prices remain particularly problematic, rising 21.1 per cent over the past year following the removal of government rebates.

Housing construction costs are also showing signs of renewed pressure. ANZ noted new dwelling costs rose 0.9 per cent in May and are now running at an annualised pace of 8.6 per cent over the past three months. Builders continue to face higher labour, fuel and material costs, a reminder that inflationary pressures have not completely disappeared.

Housing affordability has deteriorated largely because of higher interest rates rather than higher property prices alone. Even modest reductions in mortgage rates would improve borrowing capacity, increase buyer confidence and reduce repayment pressure on existing homeowners.

While August is far from a certainty, the latest inflation result has strengthened the view that the next move in rates is more likely to be down than up. For borrowers, buyers and the development sector, that alone represents a significant shift from the conversation that dominated much of the past two years.

Staff reporter

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