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Albury-Wodonga has started the year with a semi circle of serious bushfires from north, north-east and south on both sides of the border, with the north-east of Victoria very much in the area and very much affected, according to the latest Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report. 
The report suggests the effects of this disaster are significant, however many townships were spared. Regardless, it will be a long bushfire season and it will take its toll on the entire region.
Shorter term recovery efforts will commence and in the longer term the full extent will be evident.
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"The underlying challenges will also exist for our tourist towns that were evacuated several times (Bright, Corryong, King Valley) and drove visitors away and no doubt local businesses will feel this along with farmers who have suffered loss of stock, infrastructure and income," the valuation firm said. 
"No one can predict the future but Australian communities working together in the face of disaster is a sure bet and like many other regions affected, the Albury-Wodonga region will display resilience and strength in 2020," they added. 
 This will likely mean that property markets across the region have a subdued start with less stock available and possibly many participants preoccupied by the effects of the bushfires personally, locally or regionally.
The upshot remains that the region offers many property options for home owners and investors alike. 
Overall, sales activity in 2019 was lower than 2018 and this trend may continue in 2020, the report noted. 
Median property prices across the region have held or increased by around four to five percent. The areas to watch in 2020 are Myrtleford, Wangaratta, Corowa and Mount Beauty/Tawonga/ Tawonga South and Benalla.
A Corowa three bedroom house was sold for 180,000 in January.
Situated at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-corowa-132709378" target="_blank">110 Redlands Roads</a> (pictured below), the renovated house comprises three bedrooms, open plan living and big back yard.
It was last sold for $166,000 in 2018. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/2/17/corowa%20.jpg" alt="">
In Albury-Wodonga, value remains in North Albury, West Albury and Thurgoona.
A recent sale in Thurgoona was a four bedroom, two bathroom house situated at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-thurgoona-132801634" target="_blank">40 Hinchinbrook Court </a>(pictured below). 
The north-facing home has been sold for $775,000 in January.
The house features open plan living, study, rumpus room, entertainer's kitchen, and remote-control double garage. 
It last sold for $751,000 in 2018. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/2/17/thurgoona.jpg" alt="">
"We are yet to have a smoke free day in the region this year. Let’s hope that when the smoke finally clears, we all appreciate how fortunate we are to have homes in such a terrific part of the country," the valuation firm concluded. 
 
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Albury-Wodonga markets have a subdued start in 2020 due to bushfires: HTW residential 

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Water, water, water! This will be the major determining factor over the next 12 months for how the Tamworth market performs, according to the latest Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report. 
The valuation firm asked their valuers to give an educated outlook on the residential market in their service areas.
 As the drought continues to ravage the state, the government recently announced funding for a new dam to be constructed for Tamworth’s water supply as well as a direct pipeline from existing water sources to the town treatment centre. 
"This has gone a long way in shoring up the town water supply as well as increasing confidence in the town, but as they are yet to be completed we are not out of the woods yet," the valuation firm commented. 
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Despite the drought, the real estate market in Tamworth has been holding up well, showing that Tamworth is no longer only reliant on the agricultural industry, however it is now clear that a slowdown has occurred with a noticeable increase in days on market. 
While properties are still achieving fair market value with no drop in values noted, they are certainly taking longer to sell, perhaps a month longer than expected but still below a six month period.
"We expect this trend to continue throughout 2020 unless we receive some drought-breaking rain which will increase cash flow into the local economy from the surrounding agricultural industry as well as refilling the town water supply," the valuation firm said. 
The extended selling periods currently being experienced may open up opportunities for the astute buyer if the vendor requires a quick sale.
"We would keep an eye on east, inner north and inner west Tamworth, as these areas can often be tightly held and have experienced good growth in past years," the valuation firm said. 
On the construction side of things, the past year saw a decrease in construction with some of the larger local builders reporting up to a 40 percent drop in new homes. This may be more a reflection on how many homes they were doing previously, with smaller builders reporting more work than before.
"We expect this trend to continue in 2020 with a possible uplift as the new first home owners grant is enacted, requiring first time buyers to have only a five percent deposit and the government guaranteeing the other 15 percent.
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"Overall we are expecting 2020 to remain stable but slower than the past few years with the continued drought. If we receive the rain we are praying for, we may see an uplift towards the latter half of the year." 
A recent sale was a Calala four bedroom, two bathroom house situated at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-tamworth-132367054" target="_blank">3 Currawong Drive </a>(pictured below). 
It was sold for $368,000 in February. 
Set on a 686 square metre block, the home features living spaces, outdoor slab, and double garage. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/2/17/tamworth%202.jpg" alt="">
A four bedroom house with elevated views of Tamworth has been listed for sale with $375,000 hopes.
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<div class="section">Situated at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-tamworth-124351090" target="_blank">13 Lemon Gums Drive</a> (pictured below), the house comprises four bedrooms, combined lounge/dining, family room and alfresco area.</div>
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<div class="section">Other features include in-ground pool, kitchen with bush land views, and double garage. <img src="blob:https://www.urban.com.au/c5528a23-7bf5-451d-a9b2-0da335568b88" alt="page14image3693520" width="0.500000" height="0.500000"> </div>
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Tamworth property market to be determined by rain in 2020: HTW residential 

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Despite two years of housing market cooling in Sydney and Melbourne, Australia stayed near the top of the global unaffordability league in 2019. And with prices rebounding in our two largest cities, that status is likely to be reinforced in 2020. Australia’s 30-year housing affordability decline has been among the worst in the developed world.
This problem is <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02673037.2011.616994" target="_blank">fundamentally structural</a> – not cyclical – in nature. Yes, periodic turbulence affects prices and rents. And yes, market conditions vary greatly from place to place. Australia-wide, though, there is an underlying dynamic that – over the medium to long term – is driving housing affordability and rental stress in one general direction only: for the worse.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315152/original/file-20200213-41678-12hohlt.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315152/original/file-20200213-41678-12hohlt.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=237&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
<a class="source" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.palgrave.com/gp/book/9789811507793" target="_blank">Palgrave Macmillan</a>
Certain key factors in Australian housing woes are, of course, far from unique. As we argue in <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.palgrave.com/gp/book/9789811507793" target="_blank">our new book</a>, neoliberal policy dominance and the <a href="https://theconversation.com/explainer-the-financialisation-of-housing-and-what-can-be-done-about-it-73767" target="_blank">financialisation of housing</a> have damaged housing system performance in <a href="https://theconversation.com/housing-policy-reset-is-overdue-and-not-only-in-australia-112835" target="_blank">many other countries</a> as well. Similarly, cheap debt has supercharged house prices globally, not just here. And ours is not the only comparable nation where coping with rapid population growth is part of the policy challenge.
But, as we show in our book, over the past 30 years across 18 OECD countries, our market has had the third-biggest fall in house price affordability – and the largest of any major OECD nation.
In Australia, the focus of concern is often on the <a href="https://theconversation.com/first-home-buyer-schemes-arent-enough-to-meet-young-adults-housing-aspirations-121431" target="_blank">challenges aspiring first-home buyers face</a>. Although important, this shouldn’t distract policymakers from the bigger policy problem: <a href="https://theconversation.com/private-renters-are-doing-it-tough-in-outer-suburbs-of-sydney-and-melbourne-120427" target="_blank">affordability stress affecting lower-income renters</a>.
Being pushed into poverty by high rents is a serious issue. It affects <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.palgrave.com/gp/book/9789811507793" target="_blank">well over a million Australians</a>. That’s many more than the <a href="https://theconversation.com/small-but-well-formed-the-new-home-deposit-scheme-will-help-and-its-unlikely-to-push-up-prices-117073" target="_blank">marginal first-home-buyer cohort</a>.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315157/original/file-20200213-41683-5tfu2t.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315157/original/file-20200213-41683-5tfu2t.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
<a class="source" href="https://theconversation.com/private-renters-are-doing-it-tough-in-outer-suburbs-of-sydney-and-melbourne-120427" target="_blank">Source: Private renters are doing it tough in outer suburbs of Sydney and Melbourne/The Conversation</a>
<h2>Systemic problems have very broad impacts</h2>
Financial regulators and policymakers are starting to realise housing system under-performance doesn’t just <a href="https://theconversation.com/is-this-a-housing-system-that-cares-thats-the-question-for-australians-and-their-new-government-117311" target="_blank">damage the welfare</a> of key population groups. It also <a href="https://theconversation.com/is-social-housing-essential-infrastructure-how-we-think-about-it-does-matter-110777" target="_blank">raises concerns about economic productivity</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/four-ways-an-australian-housing-bubble-could-burst-76505" target="_blank">systemic financial risk</a>.
Even from a narrow “cost to government” perspective, the Australian government should treat current housing system trends as a serious budgetary concern because of impacts on future public spending.
For example, <a href="https://theconversation.com/retiree-home-ownership-is-about-to-plummet-soon-little-more-than-half-will-own-where-they-live-115255" target="_blank">declining home ownership</a> among younger and middle age groups will filter through to older age groups over time. Increasing numbers of older, <a href="https://theconversation.com/private-renters-are-doing-it-tough-in-outer-suburbs-of-sydney-and-melbourne-120427" target="_blank">lower-income, private renters</a> will <a href="https://www.aist.asn.au/Media-and-News/News/" target="_blank">generate political pressure</a> to boost <a href="https://www.servicesaustralia.gov.au/individuals/services/centrelink/rent-assistance" target="_blank">Rent Assistance</a> and the <a href="https://www.servicesaustralia.gov.au/individuals/services/centrelink/age-pension" target="_blank">Age Pension</a>. And <a href="https://www.aist.asn.au/Media-and-News/News/" target="_blank">pensioner numbers will be inflated</a> if rising numbers of home owners who reach retirement age with mortgages draw on superannuation savings to pay off their debt.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/296993/original/file-20191015-98661-b2ne0v.PNG?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/296993/original/file-20191015-98661-b2ne0v.PNG?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
The number of private renters has grown as the proportions of owner occupiers and public housing tenants have fallen. <a class="source" href="https://www.pc.gov.au/research/completed/renters/private-renters.pdf" target="_blank">Vulnerable Private Renters: Evidence and Options, Productivity Commission</a>, <a class="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">CC BY</a>
<h2>Why do we need system-wide change?</h2>
As we argue in our book, housing policy needs to be much more broadly conceived. It’s about much more than “housing programs”. Indeed, housing outcomes in Australia over the past 25 years have been driven far more by policy on tax, finance and regulation – activities rarely controlled by any department with housing in its title – than by explicit spending on housing or subsidies.
Because housing is a system, any serious attempt to improve housing outcomes must recognise the need for system-wide analysis and transformation.
Micro-measures have been the <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/02673037.2015.1044948" target="_blank">preferred approach</a> of most Australian governments over the past 25 years. But these often generate minimal net benefit or are <a href="https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=1&amp;cad=rja&amp;uact=8&amp;ved=2ahUKEwjKi9vC2qLnAhXyjOYKHXvSDhYQFjAAegQIAxAB&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.aph.gov.au%2FDocumentStore.ashx%3Fid%3D99cfa3f6-858f-467d-91a9-31e384534a5e%26subId%3D31798&amp;usg=AOvVaw3nBV95LNjlwdZiDyeAp7tN" target="_blank">even counterproductive</a>.
A national housing strategy is long overdue. And only the Commonwealth can lead this. The Commonwealth and its agencies – not the states – control key instruments driving housing outcomes, especially tax and social security settings, as well as financial regulation.
As national governments recognised in the early 1990s and from 2007-10 – and indeed exemplified by the Turnbull government’s 2018 <a href="https://theconversation.com/government-guarantee-opens-investment-highway-to-affordable-housing-88549" target="_blank">National Housing Finance and Investment Corporation</a> – the constitutional designation of state and territory responsibility for housing and planning is no bar to this.
What are the priorities for a national strategy?
A key goal must be to discourage speculation in land and housing. This would include a phased restructure of tax settings that incentivise unproductive housing over investment. For example, <a href="https://grattan.edu.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/901-Housing-affordability.pdf" target="_blank">most housing economists agree</a> investor landlord tax concessions should be wound back and a <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/it-s-just-a-bad-tax-former-treasury-heads-unite-to-slam-stamp-duty-20200216-p541aq" target="_blank">broad-based land tax should gradually replace stamp duty</a> on housing sales.
The strategy must also aim to increase diversity in the housing market. Expanding the scale of government and non-profit housing provider activity can boost the capacity to better house disadvantaged groups. It will also <a href="https://theconversation.com/build-social-and-affordable-housing-to-get-us-off-the-boom-and-bust-roller-coaster-113113" target="_blank">reduce vulnerability to damaging market volatility</a> arising from the overwhelming reliance on for-profit developers building for individual buyers.
To repair the hollowing-out of housing policy-making capability within governments, the plan should include institutional reform and capacity-building. Both levels of government should have a dedicated cabinet-level housing minister to champion the housing cause across departments. We also need an enduring national agency like the US Department of Housing and Urban Development or the former UK Housing Corporation.
<h2>Start small and build up to far-reaching action</h2>
Our insistence on system-wide analysis and reform might seem utopian, especially given the current state of Australian politics. There are parallels here to the challenges of climate change: many might ask how much worse things have to get before active policy action becomes irresistible as a bipartisan commitment.
In the absence of immediate system-wide action on housing, <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.palgrave.com/gp/book/9789811507793" target="_blank">we can also point</a> to initial reforms that Australian governments could easily adopt with minimal direct budgetary impact.
State and territory governments could, for example, follow many comparable countries in adopting planning system <a href="https://theconversation.com/england-expects-40-of-new-housing-developments-will-be-affordable-why-cant-australia-94581" target="_blank">rules that set minimum levels of affordable housing</a> that must be built within market housing developments.
In the realm of tenants’ rights, other states could <a href="https://www.tenantsvic.org.au/media/media-releases/rental_fairness_package_oct2017/" target="_blank">follow Victoria</a> in <a href="https://theconversation.com/an-open-letter-on-rental-housing-reform-103825" target="_blank">rebalancing residential tenancy laws</a> away from their typically in-built landlord advantage. “No grounds evictions” should be outlawed.
The Commonwealth could restore the pre-1996 rules of its longstanding <a href="https://theconversation.com/the-new-national-housing-agreement-wont-achieve-its-goals-without-enough-funding-99936" target="_blank">National Housing Agreement</a> with the states and territories which largely ringfenced federal funding to supply and improve social housing. All governments could commit to delivering a substantial proportion of affordable housing within residential developments on ex-government land. Many industry stakeholders advocate a <a href="https://www.domain.com.au/news/calls-for-higher-affordable-housing-targets-as-more-people-on-cusp-of-poverty-20170802-gxo11s/" target="_blank">30% target</a>.
We see scope for a phased approach: first-step measures could be implemented while building the political consensus needed for more far-reaching actions. To improve affordability and moderate the <a href="https://theconversation.com/how-the-housing-boom-is-remaking-australias-social-class-structure-66976" target="_blank">rising inequities within</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/for-the-first-time-in-a-long-time-were-setting-up-a-generation-to-be-worse-off-than-the-one-before-it-121983" target="_blank">between generations</a>, Australia’s housing system must be fundamentally reformed. There is no responsible “business as usual” option.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.palgrave.com/gp/book/9789811507793" target="_blank">Housing Policy in Australia: A case for system reform</a> by Hal Pawson, Vivienne Milligan and Judith Yates was published by Palgrave Macmillan this month.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/130291/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/hal-pawson-147969" target="_blank">Hal Pawson</a>, Professor of Housing Research and Policy, and Associate Director, City Futures Research Centre, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/unsw-1414" target="_blank">UNSW</a>; <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/judith-yates-148000" target="_blank">Judith Yates</a>, Honorary Associate Professor, School of Economics, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-sydney-841" target="_blank">University of Sydney</a>, and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/vivienne-milligan-147970" target="_blank">Vivienne Milligan</a>, Honorary Professor – Housing Policy and Practice, City Futures Research Centre, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/unsw-1414" target="_blank">UNSW</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/australias-housing-system-needs-a-big-shake-up-heres-how-we-can-crack-this-130291" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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Australia's housing system needs a big shake-up

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The idea that we should decentralise our population has come up many times in Australia. Recently, the National Farmers’ Federation president pushed the notion, calling for a shift to the regions. And the premise is this: city living is unpleasant. Roads are jammed, housing is expensive and it’s all so much nicer out in the country. We need to “spread out”.
We reject this conclusion. Regional centres certainly must play a role in accommodating our population growth, but for now it’ll be a modest role.
The more immediate need is to focus on improving conditions in our major cities. Our smaller towns matter, but we can’t neglect the urgent need to get better at doing the bigger ones right.
Our cities <a href="https://www.infrastructurevictoria.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Growing-Victorias-Potential-April-2019.pdf" target="_blank">are growing very rapidly</a>. The fastest growth is in Melbourne, which <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/mf/3218.0" target="_blank">added 119,400 residents in 2017-18</a>. That’s nearly as many extra people as the <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://quickstats.censusdata.abs.gov.au/census_services/getproduct/census/2016/quickstat/701?opendocument" target="_blank">entire population of Darwin</a> in a single year. This rapid growth doesn’t need to mean more traffic, ugliness or stratospheric housing prices and rents – if we confront a difficult truth.
A dirty word in Australia
The truth is we’re just really ordinary at <a href="https://theconversation.com/urban-density-matters-but-what-does-it-mean-58977" target="_blank">urban density</a>. It’s so poorly executed in Australian cities that it has become a dirty word in local politics.
Urban density targets remain low in planning policies for many states. It’s often set at around <a href="https://cur.org.au/project/national-liveability-report/" target="_blank">15 dwellings per hectare</a>. In practice, <a href="https://cur.org.au/project/national-liveability-report/" target="_blank">even lower density is delivered</a>.
Australians tend to think of density as living in high-rise tiny apartments. Drop the “d-word” at your local pub and see how the term “shoebox” or “vertical slum” quickly follows.
The irony is that the very thing that makes a getaway to central Paris or Barcelona so attractive is what many Australian city residents revile at home. The places we visit and admire are really quite dense.
Our estimates based on <a href="https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/products/dyb/dybsets/2015.pdf" target="_blank">UN figures</a> suggest Paris averages around 213 people per hectare and Barcelona 156. (By contrast, Melbourne averages <a href="https://cur.org.au/project/national-liveability-report/" target="_blank">38 people per hectare and Sydney around 50</a>.)
It’s higher-density living that makes their streets and public spaces buzz. But, importantly, this density is achieved through a combination of well-designed mid-rise apartments (roughly six storeys) close to shops, services and public transport. This gives residents the best of both worlds: cities that are <a href="https://theconversation.com/this-is-what-our-cities-need-to-do-to-be-truly-liveable-for-all-83967" target="_blank">liveable</a> and <a href="https://insidestory.org.au/density-has-to-be-likeable/" target="_blank">likeable</a>.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315192/original/file-20200213-10980-7qrqy2.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315192/original/file-20200213-10980-7qrqy2.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
A Barcelona streetscape with bike racks: a picture of high-density liveability. <a class="source" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/18601748360" target="_blank">Eric Fischer/Flickr</a>, <a class="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">CC BY</a>
A failure of planning
Past failed experiments in density have made it difficult to replicate overseas examples locally. The great Australian dream of owning a quarter-acre block and the stigma around density persist with reason. In Melbourne, for example, rapid high-rise development in the last decade has delivered large numbers of very small apartments, in some cases of <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/melbournes-highrises-riddled-with-bad-apartments-20140613-zs7c9" target="_blank">poor quality and lacking natural light and ventilation</a>.
Very modest investment in public transport makes things worse, as new residents try to cram onto <a href="http://theconversation.com/crowded-trains-planning-focus-on-cars-misses-new-apartment-impacts-116514" target="_blank">services that haven’t kept pace with growth</a>. <a href="https://theconversation.com/of-all-the-problems-our-cities-need-to-fix-lack-of-car-parking-isnt-one-of-them-116179" target="_blank">Car parking</a>, however, is usually mandated. These planning rules mean the price of new apartments includes the expense of multiple floors of parking, and streetscapes are peppered with vehicle crossover ramps.
Without adequate public transport, roads fill with cars, stoking resident opposition to further infill development. The roads and parking these cars need occupy valuable space, which could be better used for <a href="https://theconversation.com/higher-density-cities-need-greening-to-stay-healthy-and-liveable-75840" target="_blank">trees and urban greening</a>. Green space is <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-13/climate-warning-over-heat-island-effect-as-city-greenery-decline/11923890" target="_blank">often overlooked</a> in the haste to accommodate rapid population growth, yet it’s <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1353829218307780" target="_blank">essential for community health and well-being</a> and for reducing urban heat island effects.
Handling population growth doesn’t require us to move to Tamworth or Toowoomba, but it will require some really important changes in our urban development priorities. There has to be a much stronger focus on quality and aesthetics to <a href="https://theconversation.com/to-cut-urban-sprawl-we-need-quality-infill-housing-displays-to-win-over-the-public-63930" target="_blank">win back public support for infill development</a>. It’s also going to take commitment to lift density targets in key planning policies.
Plan Melbourne’s 2017 <a href="/news">refresh</a>, for instance, has moved to a goal of “over 20 dwellings per hectare”. It follows the recommendations of <a href="https://ijbnpa.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12966-017-0621-9" target="_blank">research</a> in allowing higher densities in high-activity areas such as activity or town centres. However, it will take time to implement this change in existing and new areas across the city.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315198/original/file-20200213-11040-vmlu5l.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315198/original/file-20200213-11040-vmlu5l.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=237&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
Reducing car-dominated spaces creates more people-friendly places, as shown here in Basel, Switzerland. <a class="source" href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/dylanpassmore/10577659514/in/photolist-h7HgDU-vwaxHG-8eHXd1-8eJaxE-8eJ4gb-8eEDP6-8eENjM-vwGYZV-28P7D7q-XtaXGf-a7eeoe-8eERHV-8eJ9V1-9hpDid-8eEPh6-8eEHNF-8eJ9n7-bmgZKq-gs94sU-8eJa3C-a4JC3B-8eEMZv-8eJaoo-oiA3Bo-8eHVt1-8nGm2j-8eJ88y-8eJ98U-8eHVY1-h8b49R-a7edx2-Ywzi4B-8eJaDs-8eJ9eG-8eEEGr-bzc3F2-cw3c4f-8eENC8-8eEQwF-8eJ6Rf-a4JBSM-bmh1kA-8eJ5Ty-a7efHi-8eHSJS-a8Umxw-8KLwbc-bzbS9H-bmguBb-Jgn8Xr" target="_blank">Dylan Passmore/Flickr</a>, <a class="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/" target="_blank">CC BY-NC</a>
Density must be complemented by suitable streetscapes and infrastructure. This will require a significant rethink of the role of the car in urban areas, greater investment in public transport, and a reallocation of large areas of streetscape space to greenery and pedestrians.
That’s a big ask, but it’s worth it, because density really doesn’t have to mean “dogbox”.
Dutch show change is possible
Take a (<a href="https://www.google.com/maps/@53.2231784,6.5600609,3a,75y,254.66h,91.32t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1sshMD7V4VHGDn4q1zEu_CpA!2e0!7i13312!8i6656" target="_blank">digital</a>) walk around a <a href="https://theconversation.com/designing-the-compassionate-city-to-overcome-built-in-biases-and-help-us-live-better-92726" target="_blank">woonerf</a> neighbourhood in the Netherlands and you’ll notice on-street parking is scant, the speed limit is around 15km/h and plentiful road space is allocated to tree planting and garden beds. Kids play in the street under the watchful eye of long-term locals. You don’t notice the dense apartments around you because there are trees in the way and there’s a lot to see at ground level.
<img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/314169/original/file-20200207-27552-pm194k.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt="">
A woonerf (Dutch for ‘living area’) in Amsterdam. We estimate this area has a residential density of over 100 dwellings per hectare. Thami Croeser
Remarkably, it was only <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2015/may/05/amsterdam-bicycle-capital-world-transport-cycling-kindermoord" target="_blank">in the 1970s</a> that the Dutch started to move away from car-oriented planning to deliver this kind of urban design, which puts people and place first. With courageous policy change, we could have this in Australia too.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/131304/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/thami-croeser-729067" target="_blank">Thami Croeser</a>, Research Officer, Centre for Urban Research, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/rmit-university-1063" target="_blank">RMIT University</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/lucy-gunn-146721" target="_blank">Lucy Gunn</a>, Research Fellow, Healthy Liveable Cities Group, Centre for Urban Research, RMIT University, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/rmit-university-1063" target="_blank">RMIT University</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/no-need-to-give-up-on-crowded-cities-we-can-make-density-so-much-better-131304" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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No need to give up on crowded cities, we can make density so much better

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
So worried is the government about the meagre income it is getting from gas during the middle of Australia’s biggest gas export boom that it asked an independent advisor to chair a review and is getting the treasury to run the ruler over his recommendations.
Australia gets paid for gas mined from under its waters by the “<a href="https://www.ato.gov.au/Business/Petroleum-resource-rent-tax/PRRT-concepts/" target="_blank">petroleum resource rent tax</a>” set up by the Hawke government in 1988.
But payments peaked at around <a href="https://treasury.gov.au/review/review-of-the-petroleum-resource-rent-tax/final-report" target="_blank">A$2.5 billion</a> in 2000-01. They are now less than half that, and much lower still as a share of the economy and as a share of gas exported.
The government’s December budget update predicts petroleum resource rent tax revenue of just <a href="https://budget.gov.au/2019-20/content/myefo/index.htm" target="_blank">$1.15 billion</a> this financial year, revised down from the $1.4 billion expected in the May budget.
It has pencilled in only $1.15 billion for each of the next three years.
Qatar, which exports the <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/australia-tops-qatar-as-world-s-biggest-lng-exporter-20200106-p53p5h" target="_blank">about the same amount</a> of gas as Australia, is said to have got <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-04-01/tax-credits-for-oil-and-gas-giants-rise-to-324-billion/10959236" target="_blank">more than A$20 billion</a> in 2018.
Our tax is good in theory
The weak performance of the petroleum resource rent tax is all the odder because it has been held up as the gold standard for resource taxation.
The 2009 Henry Tax Review wanted to apply the model to iron ore and other minerals, which the Rudd government attempted to, announcing a <a href="https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/rp/BudgetReview201011/TaxationRSPTax" target="_blank">resource super profit tax</a> in 2010.
The Gillard government cleaved it to what became the milder <a href="/news">minerals resource rent tax</a>, before it was abolished by the Abbott government in <a href="https://www.allens.com.au/insights-news/insights/2014/09/repeal-of-the-minerals-resource-rent-tax/" target="_blank">2014</a>.
The petroleum resource rent tax collects a share of the profit made from mining gas instead of charging a fixed royalty of the kind imposed by state governments for other minerals.
But the “profit” depends on the choice of the price at which the gas is “sold” from one part of the entity that mines it to another before it is processed and turned into liquid for export.
<h2>It’s not as good in practice</h2>
There is a regulated method to calculate the true “transfer price” for the purpose of determining the tax payable. If it produces too low a result (as it seems to have) too little profit will be recorded and too little tax will be charged.
The Turnbull government was concerned enough about what was being charged to set up a petroleum resource rent tax review headed by former treasury official <a href="https://treasury.gov.au/review/review-of-the-petroleum-resource-rent-tax" target="_blank">Mike Callighan</a> in 2016.
<img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315167/original/file-20200213-41656-19iriq0.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=237&amp;fit=clip" alt="">
<a class="source" href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/tax-hike-on-gas-and-oil-on-cards-to-save-surplus/news-story/80728e8d4e4ee0c0b425cd543b770d84" target="_blank">The Australian , Saturday February 8, 2020</a>
Callahan identified <a href="https://treasury.gov.au/review/review-of-the-petroleum-resource-rent-tax" target="_blank">four reasons</a> for dwindling reported profits at a time of record production: declining oil and gas prices, declining production from older projects, the massive expenses involved in setting up new mega projects, and transfers of spending between projects for accounting purposes.
He also recommended an examination of the transfer pricing formula.
In 2018 Treasurer Josh Frydenberg <a href="https://treasury.gov.au/sites/default/files/2019-03/p2018-t339508-govt-response-PRRT.pdf" target="_blank">tightened</a> some of the provisions and asked the treasury to lead a <a href="https://treasury.gov.au/publication/p2015-t339508" target="_blank">review</a> of the formula that is due to report mid-year.
So large are the potential revenue gains that <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/tax-hike-on-gas-and-oil-on-cards-to-save-surplus/news-story/80728e8d4e4ee0c0b425cd543b770d84" target="_blank">The Australian</a> newspaper has reported that they could keep the budget in surplus.
We calculate the price of gas strangely
To determine the transfer price at which gas from Commonwealth waters is transferred from the part of the entity that extracts it to the rest of the entity, the Australian government uses a method used nowhere else in the world, and certainly not by Australian states in the calculation of their royalties on minerals.
It adopted the method on the recommendation of accounting firm <a href="https://treasury.gov.au/sites/default/files/2019-04/c2019-t364690-attachment.doc" target="_blank">Arthur Anderson</a> in 1998, a few years before it was disgraced in the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arthur_Andersen" target="_blank">Enron scandal</a> in the United States and stopped using that name.
The method averages two prices – the “net-back” price, which is used elsewhere, and a bespoke “cost-plus price” which is used nowhere else and purports to be a measure of the cost of mining the gas, but which oddly excludes both the cost of exploring for the gas and the cost of the gas itself.
The more commonly-used (and usually larger) net-back price is calculated by working backwards from the price at which the product is sold to the end-user, subtracting the costs involved in getting it to that point.
Modelling I have conducted for a article co-authored with Machiel Mulder and Peter Perey in the <a href="http://www.unswlawjournal.unsw.edu.au/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Kraal-et-al-Taxation-and-Pricing-of-Natural-Gas.pdf" target="_blank">UNSW Law Journal</a> finds that if the net-back price alone was used (as it is elsewhere) the big gas exporters would pay the government A$15.5 billion over the years between now and 2030, instead of the presently-expected $5.5 billion.
We shouldn’t value gas at zero
There is no obvious reason for the Australian government to value the gas itself at zero. The idea that its only value comes from the equipment, labour and technical know-how used to extract it wouldn’t be accepted in the United States or in any other place that charges for resources extracted and demands payment promptly upon extraction.
Fortunately, the government of Queensland continues with royalties for onshore gas and the government of Western Australia continues with royalties for North West Shelf gas.
If the treasury’s review of gas transfer pricing results in only fine-tuning the existing regulations it will miss the chance to get us a proper return on our resources. We own them and they are worth something.
Australians have a right to be paid what their resources are worth and to use that money to build government services or a budget surplus.
Listen to Dr Kraal discuss petroleum resource rent tax at Monash ‘<a href="https://www2.monash.edu/impact/podcasts/thought-capital/why-we-need-to-pay-attention-to-energy-justice/" target="_blank">Thought Capital</a>’
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/diane-kraal-14610" target="_blank">Diane Kraal</a>, Senior Lecturer, Business Law and Taxation Dept, Monash Business School, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/monash-university-1065" target="_blank">Monash University</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/in-the-midst-of-an-lng-export-boom-why-are-we-getting-so-little-for-our-gas-131461" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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In the midst of an LNG export boom, why are we getting so little for our gas?

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
An Australian family on the average wage typically spends close to A$6,000 out of pocket per year on child care, a new analysis from the Mitchell Institute shows. This is more than the average cost of sending a child to a private primary school.
Unlike the school sector, families don’t have the option to choose a low cost publicly delivered childcare service.
Childcare costs in Australia are among the <a href="https://data.oecd.org/benwage/net-childcare-costs.htm" target="_blank">highest in the OECD</a>, eating up <a href="https://womensagenda.com.au/latest/childcare-costs-are-an-increasing-stress-for-parents-nows-the-time-for-good-policy-making/" target="_blank">around 27%</a> of families’ incomes. Many families are being forced to <a href="https://theconversation.com/not-all-australian-parents-can-access-quality-childcare-and-preschool-they-cant-just-shop-around-130369" target="_blank">choose affordability over quality</a>.
But research shows quality preschool can deliver <a href="https://www.thefrontproject.org.au/images/downloads/Cost-benefit%20analysis_brochure.pdf" target="_blank">$2 of returns to the economy for every $1 invested</a>. Children who receive quality early childhood education and care are also up to <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Two-Years-are-Better-than-One.pdf" target="_blank">eight months ahead</a> in learning, with the benefit still evident in adolescence.
If quality early learning delivers public benefits for the country as well as private benefits for families, then there’s a strong case for Australian governments to carry a greater share of the cost.
How much are we paying?
Our analysis shows government spending on early childhood education and care has <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/reports/australian-investment-in-education-early-learning/" target="_blank">escalated over the past ten years by around 140%</a>. This means <a href="https://theconversation.com/both-major-parties-are-finally-talking-about-the-importance-of-preschool-heres-why-it-matters-114974" target="_blank">both sides of politics</a> are recognising early learning is a worthwhile investment. But Australia’s public investment is still <a href="http://www.earlychildhoodaustralia.org.au/our-work/submissions-statements/state-early-learning-australia-report-2019/" target="_blank">below the OECD average</a> of <a href="https://read.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2019_f8d7880d-en#page180" target="_blank">0.8% of GDP</a>.
Over the past ten years, families’ investment in early childhood services has grown even faster, by <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/reports/australian-investment-in-education-early-learning/" target="_blank">about 150%</a>.
Governments contribute a far lower share for early learning than what they contribute to schools. A two-parent, one-child Australian family on an average income of A$85,000 will typically spend around <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/reports/australian-investment-in-education-early-learning/" target="_blank">A$6,000 a year on childcare fees</a>, with the government contributing about the same amount.
If that child then goes to a public primary school, the government contributes <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/reports/australian-investment-in-education-early-learning/" target="_blank">close to A$12,000</a>, with minimal costs imposed on the family. Even a private primary school would typically cost the family less than they spend on child care, thanks to <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/reports/australian-investment-in-education-early-learning/" target="_blank">almost A$10,000</a> per child in government funding.
The early years of life are the <a href="https://www.rch.org.au/ccch/first-thousand-days/" target="_blank">most critical period for brain development</a>. Yet Australian governments are under-investing in early learning, preferring to spend millions remediating gaps once children reach the government-funded school system.
Investing in parental workforce participation
<a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/reports/australian-investment-in-education-early-learning/" target="_blank">About half</a> of the increase in Australia’s investment in early childhood services can be explained by the increase in children attending them. Since the early 1990s, the number of children in childcare <a href="https://aifs.gov.au/sites/default/files/publication-documents/1907_cce_early_monitoring_report_citation.pdf" target="_blank">has increased five-fold</a>. <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/reports/australian-investment-in-education-early-learning/" target="_blank">Our analysis</a> shows since 2008, participation in childcare has increased by around 80%.
Changing family structures have fuelled this rise in demand. In the 1980s, <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/6224.0.55.001" target="_blank">most two-parent families</a> had only one adult in the paid workforce. Now, <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/6224.0.55.001" target="_blank">more than one in five</a> Australian families with young children have both adults in full-time work.
It’s not feasible to <a href="https://www.childcarecanada.org/sites/default/files/Chap%203.pdf" target="_blank">say this is a private choice</a>, and that the costs of childcare should therefore be borne by the family. For many Australian families, costs of living can only be met by both parents working, and accessing childcare as cheaply as possible.
The impact of childcare costs is greatest for Australia’s most vulnerable children and families. Low-income families are likely to spend a <a href="https://natsem.canberra.edu.au/publications/?publication=ampnatsem-income-and-wealth-report-issue-35-childcare-affordability-in-australia" target="_blank">much bigger proportion</a> of their discretionary income on childcare than high-income families – meaning less is leftover for other family essentials.
Other families combine care for children with part-time work. Australia has the <a href="https://data.oecd.org/emp/part-time-employment-rate.htm" target="_blank">fourth-highest rate of part-time work</a> in the OECD, and <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2017/sep/3" target="_blank">numbers of part-time workers are growing</a>.
The Australian government recognises that helping families balance work and family life is a worthwhile investment. The childcare subsidy is designed to make it easier for families to work, <a href="https://aifs.gov.au/publications/child-care-package-evaluation-early-monitoring-report" target="_blank">especially working parents</a> on lower incomes.
One problem with subsidies to working families is that <a href="https://www.education.gov.au/child-care-subsidy-activity-test" target="_blank">children miss out if either parent is unemployed</a>. These children stand to gain most from quality early childhood services, which <a href="https://www.aihw.gov.au/getmedia/321201fc-ca0c-4c20-9582-7c3dc5c9d1b9/19438.pdf.aspx?inline=true" target="_blank">deliver greatest benefits</a> for children from lower-income homes.
More money to families also enables childcare providers to charge more. Education minister Dan Tehan has acknowledged the benefits of the 2018 change to the <a href="http://thespoke.earlychildhoodaustralia.org.au/whats-story-child-care-costs/" target="_blank">childcare subsidy on costs for families</a> have been <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/childcare-package-all-but-gone-18-months-after-introduction-20200131-p53wlr" target="_blank">swallowed up by fee increases</a>. This suggests Australia needs to invest in early learning more wisely.
Investing in children
A smarter investment in early childhood education and care focuses on the benefits for children’s learning. This kind of investment ensures all children gain access to quality early childhood services, regardless of what their parents can pay.
In 2009, governments committed to <a href="https://www.education.gov.au/national-partnership-agreements" target="_blank">15 hours of preschool for children in the year before school</a>, recognising this would yield strong public benefits in the long-term.
This investment logic is similar to schools: goverments pay, children learn, and the economy and society benefits. Parents can pay extra if they choose, but every child is guaranteed a quality education.
Few people would question this logic for schools, but the Australian government is <a href="https://www.education.gov.au/universal-access-early-childhood-education" target="_blank">still holding back</a> from funding preschool long-term. This instability creates inefficiencies. <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/UANP-review-submission_Mitchell-Institute_.pdf" target="_blank">Many preschool staff are on short-term contracts</a> and families are unable to plan their investment in their child’s early learning.
Other countries do this better. Australian families might <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/education/looking-to-swedish-model-of-childcare-and-education-20150518-gh48hj" target="_blank">look longingly to Sweden</a>, which provides over 500 hours of free education and care for children aged three to five, and low fees for younger children, matched to families’ income. Sweden is in the <a href="https://www.dca.org.au/sites/default/files/share_the_care_final.pdf" target="_blank">top five countries for working mums</a>, and <a href="http://www3.weforum.org/docs/GCR2018/05FullReport/TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport2018.pdf" target="_blank">top ten for economic competitiveness</a>.
A shift from private to public investment is possible even in early childhood systems more similar to Australia. In Canada, a major review of early childhood funding concluded <a href="https://theconversation.com/why-free-preschool-makes-the-most-sense-for-families-94716" target="_blank">free preschool from age 2.5</a> was the fairest solution, above all other options.
The review also found tax deductions (a solution <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/money/tax/plan-for-tax-deductible-childcare-ought-to-be-on-the-table-20200120-p53t2k" target="_blank">proposed in Australia</a>) favoured middle-income families, but <a href="https://theconversation.com/why-an-ontario-tax-credit-for-child-care-is-a-bad-idea-115207" target="_blank">left low-income families behind</a>. This is because they wouldn’t earn enough for tax credits to cover the costs of quality education and care.
Whatever the solution, something has to change. As annual government investment in early childhood <a href="http://www.mitchellinstitute.org.au/reports/australian-investment-in-education-early-learning/" target="_blank">approaches $10 billion</a>, and families still struggle under the burden of costs, the <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/opinion/child-care-policies-australia-is-waiting-20040113-gdx3o5" target="_blank">longstanding “barbecue stopper”</a> of childcare costs needs to become an evidence-based debate about smarter investment.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/131748/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/jen-jackson-424659" target="_blank">Jen Jackson</a>, Education Policy Lead, Mitchell Institute, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/victoria-university-1175" target="_blank">Victoria University</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/quality-childcare-has-become-a-necessity-for-australian-families-and-for-society-its-time-the-government-paid-up-131748" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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Why is childcare so expensive in Australia? Jen Jackson

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Victoria’s government finds itself in a big hole with its West Gate Tunnel project.
As diggers lie idle in a dispute over what to do with contaminated soil, it’s facing long delays and billions in extra costs. But the government appears locked into a contentious project that was put to it as a market-led proposal, an arrangement that bedevils transport projects across Australia.
Australian governments look increasingly to <a href="http://www.projectmanagement.ie/blog/megaprojects-10-facts-you-should-know" target="_blank">mega-projects</a> to solve urban and regional transport problems. These projects are city-shaping. They can transform how entire urban regions function.
The public has a clear stake in these projects, but unsolicited market-led proposals are subverting planning processes that are meant to protect the public interest.
Market-led proposals are <a href="https://www.claytonutz.com/knowledge/2014/february/victoria-releases-new-unsolicited-proposal-guideline-for-projects-and-services" target="_blank">unsolicited bids</a> to government by private firms to provide public services or infrastructure. Policies governing market-led proposals were <a href="https://graduates.corrs.com.au/assets/thinking/downloads/whats-next-market-led-proposals-in-aus.pdf" target="_blank">introduced in 2014 and 2015</a> by state governments across Australia to promote innovation in service delivery and value for money for taxpayers.
The <a href="https://thelawreviews.co.uk/edition/the-public-private-partnership-law-review-edition-5/1189694/australia" target="_blank">increasing use</a> of <a href="https://www.dtf.vic.gov.au/infrastructure-investment/market-led-proposals" target="_blank">market-led proposals</a> for transport mega-projects raises important questions. How are policies governing these managed, to what end, and for whose benefit?
In Melbourne, the <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/tunnel-trouble-dan-andrews-and-transurban-face-a-parting-of-the-ways-20200131-p53wjo" target="_blank">tensions</a> between toll road operator Transurban and the Victorian government over the West Gate Tunnel highlight a fundamental shortcoming of market-led proposals. Bluntly, these are not suited to the planning of transport mega-projects because governments can become “locked in” with <a href="https://theconversation.com/impending-traffic-chaos-beware-the-problematic-west-gate-tunnel-forecasts-79331" target="_blank">questionable benefits</a>. Lock-in has been <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1068/b36017" target="_blank">defined</a> as “the escalating commitment of decision-makers to an ineffective course of action”.
The case of the West Gate Tunnel
Transurban’s builders of the West Gate Tunnel, John Holland and CPB Contractors, <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/more-than-100-west-gate-tunnel-workers-set-to-be-laid-off-20200113-p53r1a" target="_blank">laid off 137 workers</a> last month in a dispute about liability for contaminated soil. This is bad press for the state government, which touted <a href="http://westgatetunnelproject.vic.gov.au/about/faqs/west-gate-tunnel/what-job-opportunities-are-there" target="_blank">job creation and training</a> as key project benefits.
The dispute could add to delays and costs on top of two earlier changes related to the project. The first was a ten-year extension to Transurban’s <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CityLink" target="_blank">CityLink tolling concession</a> that will cost road users <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-19/cost-to-motorists-of-westgate-tunnel-deal-revealed/10915998" target="_blank">billions of dollars</a>. The second was an increase in construction costs from <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-12/melbournes-west-gate-tunnel-project-cost-blows-out/9248994" target="_blank">A$5.5 billion to A$6.7 billion</a> to extend tunnels to <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/western-distributor-longer-tunnel-chosen-for-second-river-crossing-project-20160709-gq24uf" target="_blank">save a public park</a>.
Explanations for the dispute include the Environmental Protection Authority <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/west-gate-tunnel-builders-threaten-to-tear-up-contract-over-soil-contamination-20200129-p53vo2" target="_blank">tightening soil disposal requirements</a>, <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/west-gate-tunnel-in-limbo-as-government-companies-argue-over-contaminated-soil-20200122-p53tnm" target="_blank">difficulties determining site conditions</a> during the environmental assessment process, and <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-01-29/west-gate-tunnel-builders-seek-to-terminate-contract-over-pfas/11909402" target="_blank">insufficient foresight and planning for these risks</a>.
Another explanation for what happened is “lock-in”. Evidence of lock-in on the West Gate Tunnel points to deeper systemic problems with market-led proposals for transport mega-projects in general.
How does lock-in happen?
Lock-in can occur when powerful corporations partner with governments in circumstances that enable them to exploit vulnerabilities in our public institutions. Some of these vulnerabilities include increasing reliance by governments on private finance, and the short period between elections compared to the time it takes to deliver bold public works programs.
Lock-in happens when the real decision to build a project is made well in advance of processes that are publicly declared to inform that decision. Once governments are locked in to a project, it can make alternatives appear increasingly unviable, if not unthinkable.
There is strong evidence to suggest this happened with the West Gate Tunnel. <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/melbourne-an-international-pariah-on-west-gate-tunnel-experts-warn-20171207-h00use" target="_blank">Significant concerns</a> were raised early on that the project might not provide its claimed public benefits.
What makes market-led proposals different?
Market-led proposals differ from government-led projects because planning is effectively outsourced to the private sector.
Market-led proposals also differ from <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/public-private-partnerships.asp" target="_blank">public-private partnerships</a>, like Melbourne’s CityLink tollway. In such cases, government plans these projects, but private firms deliver and operate them. (At least CityLink was part of a <a href="https://theconversation.com/50-years-on-from-the-melbourne-transportation-plan-what-can-we-learn-from-its-legacy-127721" target="_blank">long-standing, if largely discredited, strategic plan</a>.)
Revelations that Transurban acted in <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/tunnel-trouble-dan-andrews-and-transurban-face-a-parting-of-the-ways-20200131-p53wjo" target="_blank">secretive and strategic ways</a> to secure support for its West Gate Tunnel raise serious ethical questions. What does it mean to be a “good partner” to government? How should powerful private corporations obtain a “social licence” to operate?
These questions draw attention to problems inherent in Victoria’s opaque market-led proposal process. The government’s caution about the AirRail consortium’s <a href="https://theconversation.com/market-led-infrastructure-may-sound-good-but-not-if-it-short-changes-the-public-127603" target="_blank">unsolicited bid for Melbourne’s airport rail link</a> points toward some of these dangers.
What’s wrong with this approach?
Government policies for assessing market-led proposals give <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/transurban-the-making-of-a-monster-20160512-gotjm9" target="_blank">powerful private firms like Transurban</a> influence over strategic planning. This contrasts with the relatively limited influence granted to affected communities and stakeholder groups advocating for sustainable transport solutions.
Acceptance of Transurban’s bid allowed a multi-billion-dollar toll road to override plans that had been <a href="https://www.viclabor.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Victorian-Labor-Platform-2014.pdf" target="_blank">taken to an election</a>. These plans were simpler and far less expensive. The plans had been developed with the local community to better manage freight traffic by <a href="https://www.viclabor.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Victorian-Labor-Platform-2014.pdf" target="_blank">upgrading access to existing freeways</a>.
The West Gate Tunnel process involved expedited planning that bypassed broad-based community consultation. John Holland and CPB Contractors were selected in April 2017 “<a href="https://www.premier.vic.gov.au/only-the-best-for-the-west-with-6000-new-jobs/" target="_blank">to get to work</a>” on the project. That was five months before <a href="http://westgatetunnelproject.vic.gov.au/library/environment-effects-statement" target="_blank">public hearings</a> concluded in September. Over 500 submissions were received.
Add to this the suppression of <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/expert-cut-from-toll-road-project-after-warning-tim-pallas-it-did-not-stack-up-20170803-gxoohi" target="_blank">independent and critical oversight</a> and a <a href="https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/voters-need-to-see-light-at-start-of-west-gate-tunnel-20180219-h0wawa" target="_blank">heavily redacted</a> business case, and a very concerning picture of Victoria’s market-led process emerges. 
Wanted: an integrated transport plan
Because governments are ultimately responsible for their partnerships, the Victorian government should demonstrate stronger accountability and leadership. Victorians are still waiting for an integrated transport plan, as is required to be prepared under the <a href="https://transport.vic.gov.au/about/legislation" target="_blank">2010 Transport Integration Act</a>. Instead of outsourcing transport problems to private firms, the government should develop a statewide, genuinely consultative, evidence-based plan.
An integrated transport plan would allow Victorians to see how future mega-projects, regardless of who proposes them, might serve everyone’s interests.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/131210/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/james-whitten-954981" target="_blank">James Whitten</a>, Ph.D Candidate, Faculty of Architecture, Building and Planning, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-melbourne-722" target="_blank">University of Melbourne</a>; <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/crystal-legacy-18412" target="_blank">Crystal Legacy</a>, Senior Lecturer in Urban Planning, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-melbourne-722" target="_blank">University of Melbourne</a>, and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/ian-woodcock-150260" target="_blank">Ian Woodcock</a>, Senior Lecturer, Director of Urban Design, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/swinburne-university-of-technology-767" target="_blank">Swinburne University of Technology</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/west-gate-tunnel-saga-shows-risk-of-lock-in-on-mega-projects-pitched-by-business-131210" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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Gate Tunnel saga shows risk of ‘lock-in’ on mega-projects pitched by business

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EXPERT OBSERVER
We were heavily involved in the consultation program for Melbourne’s long-term land-use plan, Plan Melbourne. The idea that resonated most with many participants was shaping the city as a series of 20-minute neighbourhoods.
People generally loved the thought that most (not all) of the things needed for a good life could be within a 20-minute public transport trip, bike ride or walk from home. These are things such as shopping, business services, education, community facilities, recreational and sporting resources, and some jobs (but probably not brain surgery).
Creating a city of 20-minute neighbourhoods is a key policy direction of <a href="https://www.planmelbourne.vic.gov.au/" target="_blank">Plan Melbourne 2017-2050</a>. As the plan <a href="https://www.planmelbourne.vic.gov.au/highlights/healthy,-vibrant-and-inclusive-neighbourhoods" target="_blank">states</a>:
The 20-minute neighbourhood is all about ‘living locally’ – giving people the ability to meet most of their everyday needs within a 20-minute walk, cycle or local public transport trip of their home.
This planning idea has gained Melbourne recognition in international planning circles. For example, Singapore’s recent <a href="https://www.lta.gov.sg/content/ltagov/en/who_we_are/our_work/land_transport_master_plan_2040" target="_blank">Land Transport Master Plan 2040</a> is based on shaping the city and its transport systems to achieve 20-minute towns within a 45-minute city. Officials who prepared the report have acknowledged to one of us Melbourne’s leadership with the concept.
The concept is not about travel by car. It is about active transport (walking, cycling) and the use of public transport. The goal is that this combination of modes would offer a reasonably sized catchment area in which people, jobs and services, including recreational opportunities and nature, are accessible.
 
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315667/original/file-20200217-10976-sx3sli.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/315667/original/file-20200217-10976-sx3sli.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
<a class="source" href="https://www.planning.vic.gov.au/policy-and-strategy/planning-for-melbourne/plan-melbourne/20-minute-neighbourhoods" target="_blank">State Government of Victoria</a>, <a class="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" target="_blank">CC BY</a>
Inner parts of Australia’s capital cities and parts of their middle suburbs already meet a 20-minute neighbourhood test. Very few of the outer suburbs would do so. However, new developments such as the <a href="https://www.greaterspringfield.com.au/">City of Springfield</a> in outer Brisbane are encouraging.
Key ingredients of 20-minute neighbourhoods
If outer suburbs, in particular, are to become 20-minute neighbourhoods, then two key requirements must be met.
First, local development densities need to be increased. This means ensuring minimum density levels of around 25-30 dwellings per hectare, which will better support local activity and services provision.
Consultations with council planners suggest new developments in Melbourne’s outer north, for example, are typically running at about 18 dwellings. The density of developments was about 12 just a decade ago.
Accompanying more dense residential development is the need to integrate a mix of uses within these neighbourhoods. This would bring more jobs and services close to where people live. They would also have a range of housing to support a mix of household types, income levels and age groups.
So we need not just density but also a mix of land uses within a neighbourhood. This is often known as density plus diversity.
Second, local public transport service levels need to be greatly improved. To achieve 20-minute neighbourhoods requires local weekday public transport services running every 20 minutes or better, from around 5am until 11pm (start of last run). That’s a minimum of 55 services per stop per day per direction.
The map below shows very few parts of outer Melbourne have services anywhere near this level.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/313621/original/file-20200205-20014-ppvhia.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/313621/original/file-20200205-20014-ppvhia.png?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
Public transport service levels across Melbourne (dark green is best, dark red is worst). Source: PTV GTFS feed, Author provided 
What would it cost to achieve?
Gross funding increases of about 50% for local public transport services (essentially buses) would be needed to meet this basic service standard for 20-minute neighbourhoods across Melbourne. Based on scaling up the <a href="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/budgetfiles201920.budget.vic.gov.au/2019-20+State+Budget+-+Service+Delivery.pdf" target="_blank">cost of current bus services</a> in Melbourne, we estimate the cost would be about A$250 million a year, or A$4 billion over the long term, in present values.
This is a modest amount compared to current capital commitments for rail. These total <a href="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/budgetfiles201920.budget.vic.gov.au/2019-20+State+Budget+-+State+Capital+Program.pdf" target="_blank">A$30-40 billion</a>, depending on what share of the <a href="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/budgetfiles201920.budget.vic.gov.au/2019-20+State+Budget+-+State+Capital+Program.pdf" target="_blank">cost of level-crossing removals</a> is attributed to rail. Development of the government’s proposed <a href="https://suburbanrailloop.vic.gov.au/en" target="_blank">Suburban Rail Loop</a> around the city will add an <a href="/news/victorian-government-says-melbournes-suburban-rail-loop-will-be-an-operationally-independent-railway" target="_blank">estimated A$50 billion</a>. Annual payments for metropolitan train services add <a href="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/budgetfiles201920.budget.vic.gov.au/2019-20+State+Budget+-+Service+Delivery.pdf" target="_blank">A$1.1 billion</a>.
Trains now carry only <a href="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/budgetfiles201920.budget.vic.gov.au/2019-20+State+Budget+-+Service+Delivery.pdf" target="_blank">twice as many passengers</a> as buses do. So the suggestion that an extra A$4 billion or so be spent on bus services, in capitalised terms, is very modest compared to the commitments being made to rail. The amount includes an allowance for infrastructure works to improve operating speeds – such as bus lanes and B-lights, which give buses priority through intersections.
The tram network could make an equally strong argument for extra funding, relative to trains, given the relative passenger loads carried and <a href="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/budgetfiles201920.budget.vic.gov.au/2019-20+State+Budget+-+State+Capital+Program.pdf" target="_blank">small new capital program</a> in place for trams (hundreds of millions rather than tens of billions).
Melbourne has recently had a massive jump in spending on capital projects, particularly transport projects. This investment is needed to tackle the backlog from years of neglect and cope with one of the <a href="https://sustainable.unimelb.edu.au/publications/research-papers/melbourne-how-big" target="_blank">fastest population growth rates</a> of any similar-sized city in the developed world.
The 2019-20 state budget, for example, suggests <a href="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/budgetfiles201920.budget.vic.gov.au/2019-20+State+Budget+-+State+Capital+Program.pdf" target="_blank">capital spending will average A$13.9 billion a year</a> over the four years to 2022-23. It was less than A$5 billion a year from 2005-06 to 2014-15.
It’s about more than walkability
In stark contrast, implementation of 20-minute neighbourhoods has been limited to <a href="https://www.planmelbourne.vic.gov.au/current-projects/20-minute-neighbourhoods/pilot-program" target="_blank">three pilot studies</a>, in <a href="/news">Strathmore</a>, <a href="/news">South Croydon</a> and <a href="/news">Sunshine West</a>. These studies appear to be focused heavily on developing walkable neighbourhoods, rather than on improving access by walking, cycling and public transport, which was the original intent of the idea.
Walkable neighbourhoods are an important part of 20-minute neighbourhoods, but only one part. Increased neighbourhood densities and more mixed-use development across local active transport and public transport catchments, together with better walking, cycling and local public transport opportunities, need far greater attention if 20-minute neighbourhoods are to be created in outer and middle suburbs.
We expect a much stronger focus at the neighbourhood level will deliver very high social, environmental and economic returns from small outlays. But, for this to be achieved, much greater urgency is needed.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/131193/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/john-stanley-115" target="_blank">John Stanley</a>, Adjunct Professor, Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies, University of Sydney Business School, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-sydney-841" target="_blank">University of Sydney</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/roz-hansen-957736" target="_blank">Roz Hansen</a>, Adjunct Professor, Deakin University; Professorial Fellow, Faculty of Architecture, Building and Planning, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-melbourne-722" target="_blank">University of Melbourne</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/people-love-the-idea-of-20-minute-neighbourhoods-so-why-isnt-it-top-of-the-agenda-131193" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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People love the idea of a 20-minute neighbourhoods

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The sale of 33 convenience retail outlets owned by 7-Eleven was considered very successful with a 100% clearance rate.
They sold for a combined $156 million.
Commercial agency Burgess Rawson successfully auctioned a final group of 18 properties at a 100% clearance rate earrlier this week. They previously sold an additional 15 of the company’s outlets at an auction in October 2019.
All properties sold on Tuesday traded on a blended yield of 4.83%, with one asset at Wahroonga in Sydney achieving a noteworthy yield of just 2.5% after selling for $4.67 million.
A further eight outlets sold on yields in the 4% range, including one in Penrith South, which was declared on the market on its first bid and reached $4.56 million, while another property at Pascoe Vale in Melbourne’s north sold for $4.775 million on a 4.09% yield.
Burgess Rawson director Billy Holderhead, who marketed the portfolio with colleagues Jamie Perlinger and Simon Staddon, and with Charter Keck Cramer’s Andrew Grant, Jessica Crossland and Tom Byrnes as transaction advisors, said the auctions had been runaway successes.
“Without a doubt this is one of the most successful – if not the most successful – commercial portfolios ever transacted in Australia,” Mr Holderhead said.
Mr Perlinger added – “Today’s auction alone was attended by 144 bidders and generated an estimated buyer pool of more than $550 million, which is a very clear indication that there is still a significant amount of unsatisfied demand in the fuel and convenience retail market.”
The properties featured new 12-year leases, indicating the belief in 7-Eleven as a brand and business model.
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33 7-Eleven outlets auctioned with 100% clearance rate

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Charterhill SMSF accountant George Nowak has pleaded guilty in the District Court of South Australia to 17 counts of aggravated deception and 1 count of dishonest dealings with documents. 
Nowak’s bail was revoked on 24 February 2020. The matter has been adjourned to 19 March for further submissions on sentencing.
Mr Nowak entered the plea during the third week of his criminal trial on these charges.    
ASIC investigated Mr Nowak's conduct in dealing with members of self-managed superannuation funds, who were undertaking property purchases offered by companies of which he was a director, including EJ Property Developments Pty Ltd.
Charges laid against Nowak concern the misappropriation of $1.2 million in SMSF monies by not holding those funds in a designated account and by not applying those funds towards the intended property purchase.
The matter is being prosecuted by the Commonwealth Director of Public Prosecutions.
Sentencing submissions are listed for 24 February 2020.
The charges of aggravated deception contrary to section 139(a) of the SA Criminal Law Consolidation Act 1935 each carry a maximum penalty of fifteen years imprisonment.
The charge of dishonest dealings with documents contrary to section 140 of the SA Criminal Law Consolidation Act 1935 carries a maximum penalty of ten years imprisonment.
Mr Nowak was the founder of the Charterhill group of companies. The following companies in the Charterhill Group have been placed under external control:
<ul>
<li>Lending Solutions International Pty Ltd – liquidators appointed (Andrew Heard and Anthony Phillips of Heard Phillips)</li>
<li>Nova Real Estate Pty Ltd – external administrators appointed (Andrew Heard and Anthony Phillips of Heard Phillips)</li>
<li>EJ Property Developments Pty Ltd – receivers and managers appointed (Michael Basedow and Leigh Prior of Pitcher Partners)</li>
<li>Financial Wellness Pty Ltd – receivers and managers appointed (Michael Basedow and Leigh Prior of Pitcher Partners)</li>
</ul>
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Charterhill SMSF accountant George Nowak pleads guilty to dishonest dealings

Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.

Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FH_1EzB-1vs?si=XScVlP1ERsTDJoME" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.

Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.

“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.

He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]

After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.

"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."

Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.

"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]

Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.

"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."

For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.

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The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.

"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."

As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.

"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.

"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]

Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.

"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."

That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.

"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."

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Aimee says one moment stood out.

"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."

The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.

Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.

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ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;

The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]

For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.

"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."

For Aimee, the change is measured in time.

“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.

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Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.

ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]

Joel Robinson

From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

Virgate Property Group is preparing to commence construction of Verdé, its new apartment development in Melbourne's Arts Precinct at Southbank, following a strong run of sales that has seen more than half of the project's 173 apartments secured.

Verdé has attracted a broad mix of first home buyers, owner-occupiers upgrading from nearby inner-city suburbs and investors, with younger owner-occupier couples aged between 28 and 45 accounting for the strongest enquiry. Many are already living in Southbank, South Melbourne, Albert Park, Port Melbourne, South Yarra and the CBD.

"Verdé is located in one of the most desirable pockets of southern Melbourne," Blair Property Group Director Darren Blair, who is managing sales at Verdé, said.

"It's within walking distance of the Arts Centre, Royal Botanic Gardens, Albert Park Lake, and Southbank's restaurants and retail. It's a great lifestyle location with strong amenity and liveability, which made it a very attractive choice for the project."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372549]

Virgate was already familiar with the precinct, having previously delivered the successful Domain House development in neighbouring South Melbourne. That experience gave the developer confidence to acquire the Coventry Street site and continue expanding its presence in Melbourne's inner south.

"We had been keeping an eye on the site and the broader precinct for a few months before deciding to move forward with the acquisition," Virgate said.

The project was ultimately secured in 2020 following feasibility studies, planning assessments and due diligence, with the brief centred on delivering "a high-quality, considered design that feels both refined and fit for purpose."

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Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, Verdé comprises 173 one, two and three-bedroom apartments priced from $599,000. The architecture is distinguished by a faceted glass façade that responds to both the site's outlook and Melbourne's changing light conditions.

According to Bruce Henderson Architects, the coloured glazing gives the building a distinctive identity while also providing privacy and solar shading, with residences oriented to capture views across the bay, city skyline and surrounding parklands.

Inside, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> has created interiors focused on natural light, efficient planning and enduring materials. Apartments feature engineered oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, floor-to-ceiling glazing and SMEG appliances, while a restrained material palette aims to complement the expansive outlooks rather than compete with them.

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Resident amenity has also been designed around everyday functionality rather than occasional use. Facilities include a concierge-serviced lobby, residents' lounge with fireplace, library and co-working space, gym, terrace garden with barbecue facilities, ground-floor café, and package delivery management.

The project's location continues to be one of its strongest drawcards. Positioned on Coventry Street, Verdé sits within walking distance of the National Gallery of Victoria, Arts Centre Melbourne, Royal Botanic Gardens and Albert Park Lake, while Southbank's dining precinct, Sturt Street trams and the new ANZAC Station are all nearby. The surrounding education catchment also includes Melbourne Grammar, Melbourne Girls Grammar, Mac.Robertson Girls' High School and several major university campuses.

The sales team says buyers have responded particularly well to the combination of location, design quality and long-term liveability.

"They're responding really positively to the quality of the design, premium resident amenities and the uninterrupted views. Many also appreciate the location and how connected it is to everything they need."

The ability to secure stamp duty savings before completion has also been a key factor for purchasers, alongside the opportunity to personalise finishes ahead of settlement.

With construction set to commence soon and more than half the apartments already sold, Verdé enters its next phase as one of the Arts Precinct's more established apartment developments, offering remaining buyers an opportunity to secure a residence before construction advances further. Expected completion is scheduled for late 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4661]

Virgate's Verdé Southbank moves toward construction as sales fly past halfway stage

Downsizer-focused apartment development Kooyongkoot in Hawthorn has been recognised at the 2026 Better Future Melbourne Design Awards, taking home Gold and Silver awards in two categories.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kooyongkoot-hawthorn-1-kooyongkoot-road-hawthorn-vic-3122">Kooyongkoot</a>, currently being delivered by developer PQD and designed by Cera Stribley, received Gold in the Interior Design – Proposed category and Silver in the Architecture – Proposed category.

The dual recognition reflects the design approach behind the boutique development on prestigious Kooyongkoot Road, where the focus has been on creating homes for downsizers seeking the space, quality and functionality of a detached house within a low-rise apartment building.

Rather than maximising apartment numbers, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pqd">PQD</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a> limited the development to just 18 residences, allowing for larger floorplans, greater privacy, generous landscaping and expansive communal spaces.&nbsp;The majority of the apartments also benefit from corner aspects, allowing for dual sources of natural light.

Now around 70 per cent complete and on track for completion in November 2026, Kooyongkoot will comprise a mix of garden residences, ter​race apartments, sub-penthouses, and is crowned by two half-floor penthouses with direct lift access and private rooftop terraces.

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The Silver Award for Architecture recognised the way the building responds to its prominent corner position at the ent​rance to Hawthorn's Scotch Hill precinct, one of Melbourne's most established residential neighbourhoods.

Rather than competing with the grand homes that line Kooyongkoot Road, the architectural approach focused on restraint and longevity, using curved brickwork, generous landscaping and carefully considered proportions to integrate with the existing streetscape.

"The form feels fluid and timeless, as though shaped by the landscape itself – architecture that belongs, rather than competes," said Chris Stribley, Co-Founder and Managing Principal of Cera Stribley.

The judging submission also highlighted practical innovations throughout the building, including lift cores servicing only nine homes each, a central landscaped lightcourt designed to bring daylight and ventilation into the building, and fully enclosed private storage rooms with lighting, power and shelving to better accommodate residents transitioning from larger family homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355293]

The Gold Award for Interior Design recognised the project's focus on long-term liveability rather than display-home aesthetics.

According to the awards submission, the interiors were designed from the inside out, prioritising how homes would function over decades of daily use through generous proportions, practical storage, durable natural materials and flexible layouts.

The specification includes natural stone throughout, upgraded acoustic glazing, V-ZUG appliances and fully enclosed storage rooms, alongside an amenity offering focused on wellness, entertainment and everyday convenience.&nbsp;

Residents will have access to a gym and yoga studio, a wellness centre featuring traditional and infrared saunas, a cold therapy shower and treatment room, as well as a residents' lounge and golf simulator/cinema room for entertainment.&nbsp;Kooyongkoot has also considered the everyday convenience of its residents by offering a private carwash and pet wash facilities on site as well as dedicated parcel lockers and oversized fully enclosed storage rooms.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355303]

The project's attention to detail has already resonated with buyers. Earlier this year, Kooyongkoot recorded one of Boroondara's highest apartment sales when an $8 million penthouse was purchased by a Melbourne CEO downsizing from a nearby family home.

"Every detail feels deliberate, from the overall design down to the smallest touches," the purchaser said.

"The level of quality and refinement is exceptional, but what really sold it was how liveable it felt... It felt like a place where everything had been considered, not just a luxury building."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355304]

Sustainability also formed a key part of both award submissions. Kooyongkoot is targeting a minimum 7.5-star NatHERS rating across all residences, supported by passive design principles, high-performance glazing, EV charging infrastructure, water reuse systems and a wellness model focused on lower-energy dry facilities rather than pools and large wet areas.

Located within walking distance of Scotch College, Methodist Ladies' College, Koo​yong Lawn Tennis Club, Aubur​n Village and Camberwell Junction, Kooyongkoot continues to target owner-occupiers looking to remain in Melbourne's inner east without compromising on space or quality. A limited selection of two, three and four-bedroom residences remains available, with prices starting from $1.9 million.

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Kooyongkoot wins Gold and Silver at Better Future Melbourne Design Awards

New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

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Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

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The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

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The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Staff reporter

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