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GUEST OBSERVER
So much for the <a href="https://theconversation.com/the-reserve-bank-thinks-the-recovery-will-look-v-shaped-there-are-reasons-to-doubt-it-138213">v-shaped recovery</a>.
Australia is set to record its biggest quarterly fall in GDP in history this week. The federal government will extend its JobKeeper wage subsidy program by six months. About <a href="https://theconversation.com/victoria-will-have-more-people-on-jobkeeper-in-december-and-march-quarters-than-the-rest-of-australia-combined-145301">1.75 million workers</a>, including about 1 million Victorians, are expected to rely on it till March.
But there’s more to be done, particularly to help the small and medium-sized businesses taking the brunt of the COVID-19 economic impacts.
Small and medium enterprises employ about <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Latestproducts/8155.0Main%20Features42018-19?opendocument&amp;tabname=Summary&amp;prodno=8155.0&amp;issue=2018-19&amp;num=&amp;view=">two-thirds of the workforce</a>. They are crucial to the prosperity of local communities.
A full third are pessimistic about <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Latestproducts/5676.0.55.003Main%20Features3August%202020?opendocument&amp;tabname=Summary&amp;prodno=5676.0.55.003&amp;issue=August%202020&amp;num=&amp;view=">making it through</a> the next three months, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ most recent survey of <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Latestproducts/5676.0.55.003Main%20Features3August%202020?opendocument&amp;tabname=Summary&amp;prodno=5676.0.55.003&amp;issue=August%202020&amp;num=&amp;view=">COVID-19 business impacts</a>. By comparison only 18% of large companies (those employing more than 200 employees) expect difficulties in meeting their financial obligations.
Even at the best of times many small businesses struggle. Yet <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijebr-01-2020-0031">our research</a> on 223 Australian business owners highlights failure (or success) isn’t just the result of individual entrepreneurs’ personal resources and capabilities. The local business environment plays a significant role.
As Malcolm Gladwell puts it in his book <a href="https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/3228917-outliers">Outliers: The Story of Success</a>:
The tallest oak in the forest is the tallest not just because it grew from the hardiest acorn, it is the tallest also because no other trees blocked its sunlight, the soil around it was deep and rich, no rabbit chewed through its bark as a sapling, and no lumberjack cut it down before it matured.
The same is true for businesses. Even the most resourceful business owners struggle to get ahead when the environment stifles their efforts.
This is a thorny problem for governments as they turn from emergency measures to chart longer-term recovery policies.
There will, no doubt, be much debate over the usual areas – of subsidies and grants, tax breaks, red tape and industrial relations changes. But we suggest four less obvious priorities to create a favourable environment for small business.
1. Government procurement
Small businesses should be given a real advantage in procurement. Procurement policies and processes must be clear, protective and accessible to the small guys, <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/small-business/incredibly-traumatised-small-businesses-facing-bushfire-insurance-maze-20200122-p53tkp">not a maze</a> that ends up helping only the big corporations.
The <a href="https://www.asbfeo.gov.au/about/the-ombudsman">Australian Small Business and Family Enterprise Ombudsman</a>, Kate Carnell, has proposed that federal government contracts worth up to A$10 million <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/coronavirus/small-business-ombudsman-calls-for-small-business-procurement-panel/">go through a small business panel</a> as part of the tender process. “Lowest cost is not always the best value for money,” she said. We agree, with state and local government procurement policies being equally important.
2. Ensure they get good advice
One of the biggest decisions many small business owners will face will be whether to borrow money to keep their business going or cut their losses. That’s something for which they should get sound professional advice.
But when small businesses are cash-strapped, cutting back spending on advisers such as lawyers and accountants can be an obvious way to save money.
State and local governments offer some (limited) support to small business advisory services. Western Australia’s <a href="https://www.businessnews.com.au/article/The-Small-Business-Development-Corporation-helping-to-support-your-local-business-community">Small Business Development Corporation</a>, for example, provides free advice to local government for encouraging small business.
What we need now is a national program to ensure all small business owners can get good, free professional advice.
3. Encourage localism
Encouraging consumers to “buy local” is a pillar of regional development strategies. “Buy Australian” campaigns have been around since the 1980s with the latest incarnation <a href="http://www.buyaustralianmade.com.au/">Buy Australian Made</a> campaign launched in June. Its slogan: “It’s never been more important to buy Australian than right now.”
The success of these campaigns is <a href="https://theconversation.com/why-businesses-arent-buying-it-when-it-comes-australian-made-3022">open to debate</a>, but the general principle appears sound. A <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.07.039">2017 analysis</a> of foodstuffs, for example, found greater localism associated with more resilient and sustainable local economies.
4. Promote mental health
The last measure is more psychological support. This has been a neglected area in the past, but improving business owners’ mental health is as effective as building a stronger network or increasing cash flow.
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/ijebr-01-2020-0031">Our calculations</a> suggest developing hope, optimism, self-efficacy and resilience can improve firm performance by 38%. That’s the same as building a stronger social network (38%), and twice as much as formal entrepreneurial education (15%).
With growing recognition of mental health issues, and the effects of COVID-19 crisis, government policies to promote small business should include a focus on business owners’ mental health.
So what does it all mean?
Together, these key factors determine whether business owners can leverage their own resources to drive performance and ride out the recession.
In the words of motivational speaker Alexander Den Heijer in <a href="https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/40203003-nothing-you-don-t-already-know">Nothing you don’t already know</a>:
When a flower doesn’t bloom, you fix the environment in which it grows, not the flower.
Hopefully that will be enough.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/145310/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/andrei-alexander-lux-883644">Andrei Alexander Lux</a>, Lecturer in Leadership and Organisational Behaviour, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/edith-cowan-university-720">Edith Cowan University</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/flavio-romero-macau-998456">Flavio Romero Macau</a>, Senior Lecturer in Supply Chain Management and Global Logistics, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/edith-cowan-university-720">Edith Cowan University</a>
This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/4-things-governments-can-do-to-help-small-business-145310">original article</a>.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Four things governments can do to help small business

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GUEST OBSERVER
It’s become a truism of Australian politics that important economic reform peaked in the 1980s and 1990s.
Sometimes the early years of the Howard government in the late 1990s are given credit as well.
This Grattan Institute map of important reforms illustrates the story.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/355743/original/file-20200901-18-1sru2fr.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/355743/original/file-20200901-18-1sru2fr.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
 Notes: Reforms that were not passed, or that were subsequently substantially wound back or repealed, are shown shaded out. A/T/M = Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison. FTAs = Free Trade Agreements. PBO = Parliamentary Budget Office. GBE = Government Business Enterprise. CBA = Commonwealth Bank of Australia. Airline IPO = the sale and Initial Public Offering of Qantas in 1993 and 1995. <a class="source" href="https://blog.grattan.edu.au/2020/08/oecd-track-record/">Access Economics (2019); The Economist (2011); Grattan analysis</a>
<hr>
Indeed, it looks like Australian governments have merely ‘improved’ at unwinding the reforms of their predecessors, and the reforms they propose for themselves.
But it’s possible that this is all just the rosy-hued memories of former <a href="https://www.ceda.com.au/CEDA/media/General/Publication/PDFs/CEDA-Top-10-Speeches-of-2017-Paul-Keating-Final.pdf">politicians</a>, <a href="https://treasury.gov.au/speech/reflections-on-australias-era-of-economic-reform">public servants</a>, and <a href="https://www.afr.com/opinion/australia-must-rediscover-the-spirit-of-the-1980s-reformers-20180222-h0whbg">journalists</a>.
It might also be that today there are fewer policy reforms worth doing – perhaps most of the big ones have already been done.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/355750/original/file-20200901-14-m6y0gv.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/355750/original/file-20200901-14-m6y0gv.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=237&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
To test whether previous governments really were better at reform than more recent governments, we would need a running list of reforms proposed in advance, so we could see what proportion were adopted.
Between 1972 and 2018, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development produced 31 <a href="https://www.oecd.org/economy/australia-economic-snapshot/">Economic Surveys of Australia</a> – roughly one every 18 months.
Each publication put forward reforms that the OECD believed would increase economic growth and living standards.
The good old days were better
Our <a href="https://blog.grattan.edu.au/2020/08/oecd-track-record/">analysis of the full series</a> finds that between 1984 and 2001 the overwhelming bulk of these recommendations were taken up by the Hawke and Keating governments, and by the Howard government in its first two terms.
But from roughly 2003 onwards, the record is a lot more patchy: many more of the reforms recommended by the OECD have been either rejected, only partially implemented, or (in the case of carbon pricing) implemented and then unwound.
<hr>
Fate of OECD Economic Survey recommendations
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/355776/original/file-20200901-24-wqmkwn.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/355776/original/file-20200901-24-wqmkwn.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a> 
Policies that the OECD recommended but which ran into the sand include reducing the gap between the company tax and top personal income tax rates, implementing a mining resource rent tax, reviewing negative gearing, creating competitive neutrality among Australian ports, aligning the eligibility ages for superannuation and the age pension, including more of the value of owner-occupied housing when calculating eligibility for the age pension, and raising Newstart.
 
A number of other proposed reforms continue to sit in the too-hard basket, including increasing the rate and coverage of the goods and services tax, swapping stamp duties for property taxes, congestion charging for roads, and the use of smart meters for time-of-day electricity pricing.
An imperfect measure, that tells us something
As a means to evaluate the history of reform, the OECD Economic Surveys aren’t perfect, but they’re guide.
It’s true that the scope and number of OECD recommendations has expanded over time, but that expansion was already underway during the Hawke/Keating and Howard eras.
And it’s arguable that these days, the OECD recommends smaller reforms - it certainly recommended many more between 1997 and 2010.
It’s likely that the OECD’s recommendations are partly influenced by the views of the government of the day. But many recommendations have been suggested under one government and implemented by the next.
And while OECD recommendations aren’t gospel, many policy experts support most of them. For instance, all of the policies that are on the OECD’s continuing wish-list are <a href="https://grattan.edu.au/report/commonwealth-orange-book-2019/">also advocated</a> by the <a href="https://grattan.edu.au/report/state-orange-book-2018/">Grattan Institute</a>.
Our review of what happened after the OECD surveys is broadly consistent with popular wisdom, or at least the recollections of old men (usually men) that the good old days really were better.
 
And it is consistent with work in progress by <a href="https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/official-reform-efforts-hit-multi-decade-low-20200811-p55kp9">Alphabeta</a> reviewing the history of Australian economic reform.
Our review also shows that it often takes a long run-up of research, advocacy, and detailing before a government implements a major reform. Many reforms were only implemented after sitting on the slate for well over a decade, including the goods and services tax, lower tariffs, a more flexible award system, lower company tax, and competition in utility industries. Reforms often require patient advocacy.
It’s hard to prove beyond reasonable doubt that Australia has got worse at it. But our review of the OECD’s recommendations for Australia over the past 48 years is consistent with the oft-cited view that governments in the most recent 20 years have rejected many more significant reforms than governments in the 20 years before them.
There’s plenty still on the slate for the 20 years to come.
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/john-daley-1870">John Daley</a>, Senior Fellow, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/grattan-institute-1168">Grattan Institute</a> and <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/rory-anderson-1151011">Rory Anderson</a>, Researcher, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/grattan-institute-1168">Grattan Institute</a>
This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/when-it-comes-to-economic-reform-the-old-days-really-were-better-we-checked-145296">original article</a>.
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When it comes to economic reform, the old days really were better

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McGrath Limited today announced the appointment of an additional non-executive director, Shane Smollen.

Mr Smollen’s appointment follows McGrath posting a significant turnaround with Underlying EBITDA of $3.7 million for the year to 30 June 2020, compared with a loss of $6.4 million in the previous year.

A leading property professional since 1983, Mr Smollen owned one of the country’s leading real estate networks before selling it to McGrath in 2015. Mr. Smollen, who currently holds 7.94% of McGrath’s issued capital, has been advising McGrath’s sales management team over recent months with a focus on productivity and revenue growth.

Chair of McGrath, Mr. Peter Lewis, said “Shane brings to the board an excellent real estate track record with expertise in all aspects of the sector, combined with integrity and insights that will accelerate our profit turnaround and restore shareholder value."

Mr Smollen said “I am delighted to join the board of McGrath, a company that I know well. I believe the group is well placed to take advantage of an expected consolidation of the real estate agency sector.

McGrath has performed significantly better than the market during the year, notwithstanding the ongoing impacts of COVID.

<h2>Recently listed properties:</h2>

[smartcode_project:default project_id=24323]

[smartcode_project:default project_id=22699]

[smartcode_project:default project_id=26730]
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McGrath appoints Shane Smollen as non-executive director

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Q2 GDP fell by a massive 7% (-6.3% y/y), confirming the large hit to economic activity as a result of the shutdown to limit the COVID-19 pandemic.
The fall in activity was driven by a collapse in household consumption, where spending on services fell 18% amid the peak of the restrictions.
Likewise, by industry, hospitality and recreational services saw the largest falls in activity, although nearly all industries were heavily impacted. We expect that we are past the peak impact on activity, but the recovery will be still be a long process.
We forecast a broadly flat outcome in Q3 (which will be impacted by the Victorian restrictions) and a ramping up in the level of activity as the economy reopens in the first half of 2021.
The labour market will continue to deteriorate given the lags from activity to labour market and the worst in unemployment will probably be in early 2021. These accounts also clearly demonstrate the unprecedented support provided by policy makers, which has more than offset the hit to household income - but not the fall in the level of activity itself.
Overall, private sector demand drove the weakness in Q2, where it subtracted 7.9ppt from GDP. In particular, household consumption fell by a record 12% – with a very large 18% fall in services consumption, reflecting widespread restrictions in place early in Q2.
Dwelling investment also saw a sharp 7% decline in the quarter, while new business investment fell 3.5%. This was partially offset by public sector spending and net exports. These accounts also show the substantial support from government.
Despite the large hit to activity and the 10% collapse in hours worked, household income rose 2.5%. This reflects the significant 42% increase in social assistance benefits (welfare payments) and 22% increase in gross mixed income (boosted by JobKeeper), while compensation of employees (wages) only saw a fall of 2.2% (also supported by JobKeeper).
Looking forward, we expect a flatter outcome in the September quarter and a gradual recovery from there – but do not expect the economy to recover its pre-virus level until early/mid 2023. The unemployment rate will continue to rise from here, reaching a peak of over 9% later this year and nearer 10% in early 2021. It will then begin to recover over the course of 2021 and 2022, but will remain well above its starting point and the NAIRU.
From a policy perspective this outlook warrants ongoing support to ensure the recovery can happen as quickly as possible. We expect the RBA will remain on hold for an extended period with the risk of some further easing in policy should their forecasts be disappointed.
On the fiscal side we think ongoing support is required and that more will be likely done – likely in the form of ongoing wage subsidies, higher unemployment benefits and possibly the bring forward of tax cuts. They may also bring forward infrastructure investment and structural reform which would also help.
ALAN OSTER is the NAB Group Chief Economist
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Shocking GDP fall due to collapse in household consumption: NAB's Alan Oster

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ASIC has obtained interim orders in the Federal Court of Australia against companies in the Mayfair 101 group and their director, James Peter Mawhinney, including the appointment of provisional liquidators to M101 Nominees Pty Ltd, the issuer of the M Core Fixed Income Notes promoted by Mayfair 101.
On 13 August 2020, the Court appointed Said Jahani and Philip Campbell-Wilson of Grant Thornton as provisional liquidators of M101 Nominees, pending an application by ASIC to wind up M101 Nominees on just and equitable grounds. ASIC alleges that M101 Nominees has been involved in breaches of the corporations legislation, and there is a justifiable lack of confidence in the conduct and management of its affairs that gives rise to a risk to the public that warrants protection.
In particular, ASIC alleges that M101 Nominees raised approximately $67 million from investors through debentures called the M Core Fixed Income Notes, based on representations that there would be security for the full amount invested. ASIC further alleges that those funds were not fully secured, and consequently, M Core Fixed Income Note investors may be unable to recover the full amount of their principal investment.
The provisional liquidators will provide a report to the Court by 24 September 2020 about the provisional liquidation of M101 Nominees, including identifying its assets and their value, and providing an opinion as to solvency and the likely return to creditors if the company is wound up.
On 13 August 2020, the Court made additional interim orders restraining Mr Mawhinney, and any company of which he is an officer or shareholder, from:
Receiving or soliciting funds in connection with any financial product; Advertising or promoting any financial product; and Removing from Australia any assets acquired with funds received in connection with any financial product.
These orders apply to all products currently offered by Mayfair 101, including the M Core Fixed Income Notes, the M+ Fixed Income Notes and Australian Property Bonds, as well as any other financial product.
The Court also restrained Mr Mawhinney from leaving Australia until further order.
The Court made interim orders restraining Sunseeker Holdings Pty Ltd, of which Mr Mawhinney is a director, from dealing with the units in 14 trusts which hold property at Mission Beach and Dunk Island in Queensland. The units in those trusts are part of the security held on behalf of investors in the M Core Fixed Income Notes.
ASIC’s investigation is ongoing.
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ASIC Investigation ongoing against Mayfair 101 director James Mawhinney

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A mortgagee house in the Ballarat suburb of Miners Rest is under offer with an asking price of between $377,500 and $415,000.
Located at 9 Baxter Street, the property features four bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a double car garage.
Now under offer, it is situated on a 542 square metre block.
The home was built in 2008, and last sold in 2017 for $380,000.
Miners Rest’s median house price is $430,000.
John McMahon, from Professionals Ballarat, has the listing.
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Miners Rest, Victoria mortgagee home under offer

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A mortgagee house, in Kin Kora has been sold for $270,000, $15,000 higher than its asking price. 
Located at 8 Marlock Court, the property features four bedrooms, three bathrooms, and a lockup garage.
It is situated on a 706 square metre block.
The home was built in 1980, and last sold in 2010 for $439,000.
Kin Kora’s median house price is $279,000.
Kerry Connor, from Gladstone Real Estate, had the listing.
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Kin Kora, Queensland mortgagee house sold for $169,000 loss 

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A mortgagee house, in Kin Kora is now under offer with an asking price of $255,000.
Located at 8 Marlock Court, the property features four bedrooms, three bathrooms, and a lockup garage.
It is situated on a 706 square metre block.
The home was built in 1980, and last sold in 2010 for $439,000.
Kin Kora’s median house price is $279,000.
Kerry Connor, from Gladstone Real Estate, has the listing.
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Kin Kora, Queensland mortgagee house listed for $180,000 loss under offer

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
In August, reiwa.com data shows it took a median of 21 days to lease a property in Greater Perth which is 13 days less than the same time last year – making it the quickest time to lease since the construction phase of the last mining boom in February 2015.
Strong demand in the rental market continued into August which recorded improvements to the median rent price, listings volumes and days to lease.
From an individual suburb level, Maddington was the fastest suburb to lease in August, taking a median of seven days to lease, which was closely followed by Armadale with nine days, Coolbellup and Wanneroo with 10 days, and Secret Harbour with 11 days.
The median rent has remained stable at $360, however houses increased $10 per week to $380 and with Perth’s vacancy rate sitting at 1.6 per cent, we can expect to see continued upward pressure on rents in the coming months.
A closer look at the data shows four out of five Perth suburbs experienced an improved or stabilised median rent price, with Perth, Ellenbrook, Hamilton Hill, Bentley and Scarborough the top five performers.
The high demand for rentals has seen rental stock on reiwa.com fall 10 per cent on July, with 3,205 properties for rent on reiwa.com at the end of August and based on present levels of enquiry we expect stock levels to decline further in September.
Feedback from our members on the ground is that there is still only a limited number of investors in the market looking to buy investment property.
It’s important that we return confidence to investors and one way the State Government can lead is to significantly reduce the number of properties subject to the residential tenancies COVID-19 legislation. Unless we get investors confident enough to get into the market, the rental shortage will only get worse.
Perth residential sales market
CoreLogic’s latest home value index shows dwelling values in Perth stabilised in August.
Although overall prices had remained stable in the Perth region, reiwa.com data shows 45 per cent of suburbs experienced an increase in median sale price.
Kelmscott saw the biggest increase to its median in August with a 5.4 per cent increase to $320,000, which was followed by Riverton (up 3.9 per cent), Duncraig (up 3.7 per cent), Piara Waters (up 3.6 per cent), and Carramar (up 3.4 per cent).
Interestingly, three of the top five suburbs had a median sale price under Perth’s median of $475,000 and suggests people are taking advantage of properties in Perth that are priced at the lower end.
Listings for sale were also down in August with only 10,627 properties for sale on reiwa.com, which is 1.2 per cent lower than July and 23.2 per cent lower than this time last year.
In the last few months, sales activity has been particularly strong due to the various government bonus schemes, so it is only natural as the interest around the stimulus eased, we saw activity in August decrease compared to July.
The suburbs that saw the biggest improvement in sales were Stirling, Shenton Park, Fremantle, Bayswater and Iluka.
It certainly appears that Greater Perth, and in fact a large part of Western Australia, has escaped the COVID-19 induced property slowdown. Given the high levels of demand and limited supply, we may even see prices rise later in 2020.
DAMIEN COLLINS is the REIWA President
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WA rental properties leasing two weeks quicker in August: REIWA's Damian Collins

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The national vacancy rate held steady for the third consecutive month, remaining at 2.1 per cent and below the April peak of 2.6 per cent.
A two-speed vacancy rate has emerged as Melbourne entered its first month of heightened stage four restrictions in early August. Elsewhere, other capitals have avoided secondary lockdowns despite minor outbreaks occurring.
Melbourne’s stricter stage four lockdown has disrupted the rental market, with estimated vacant rental listings surging by 20.6 per cent over the month, and a staggering 140.7 per cent higher compared to last year.
In all other capital cities, vacant rental listings continue to see a downward trend in vacant rentals since the April peak.
Vacancy rates across the capitals continued to decline for the fourth consecutive month, except Melbourne, Sydney and Adelaide.
Melbourne has seen a steady rise since April, overtaking Sydney for the first time in the Domain’s vacancy rate series to become Australia’s highest vacancy rate market. Also, vacancy rates in Adelaide and Sydney remained stable over the month but are lower than the April peak.
Sydney’s vacancy rate held steady at 3.5 per cent, now the second highest of all capital cities. This is 50 basis points higher than one year ago. There were an estimated 21,828 vacant rental listings at the end of August, a fall of 0.5 per cent from the previous month.
In Melbourne, vacancy rates surged in August, increasing 60 basis points to 3.8 per cent, the highest rate ever recorded in the Domain vacancy rate series and 220 basis points higher than last year.
This was due to a 20.6 per cent rise in estimated vacancies, with 21,509 rentals sitting vacant by the end of the month. The elevated vacancy rate will continue to put downward pressure on rents in the months to follow.
In Brisbane, the vacancy rate declined 10 basis points to 2.2 per cent. There were an estimated 6679 vacant rental listings at the end of August, a fall of 240 over the month. Year-on-year the vacancy rate remains steady.
Conditions have tightened for Hobart tenants, with the vacancy rate now returning to pre-pandemic levels of March, contracting 10 basis points to 0.6 per cent. This makes Hobart the tightest capital city rental market.
In a small rental market, this represents 28 fewer vacant rentals by the end of the month. Over the year, Hobart’s vacancy rate is still 20 basis points higher than than the extraordinarily tight 0.4 per cent.
In Perth, the vacancy rate has continued its long-term downward trend despite the COVID-19 pandemic shock in April, a sign Perth’s property market is recovering.
The vacancy rate continues to fall, contracting 30 basis points to 1 per cent, and is the lowest vacancy rate recorded in Perth since the inception of the Domain vacancy rate series. This is down from the peak of 5 per cent in June 2017 and down 170 basis points year on year.
The vacancy rate in Canberra continues to fall, declining 10 basis points to 1 per cent, to become the second tightest rental market across the capital cities. Over the year, Canberra is 10 basis points lower.
In Adelaide, the vacancy rate held steady at 0.9 per cent, 10 basis points higher than last year.
Darwin’s vacancy rate continues to see a sharp decline, falling 40 basis points to 1.3 per cent, 210 basis points lower than last year.
NICOLA POWELL is a Senior Research Analyst at Domain
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Melbourne's rental vacancy rate surged 20% in August: Domain's Nicola Powell

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

Joel Robinson

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

&nbsp;

Developer GURNER™ Group has revealed $1.65 billion in residential sales nationally across the 12 months to December 2025, driven largely by the continued momentum of its Docklands wellness-focused precinct, Elysium Fields.

The sales result was generated across seven projects in Victoria and New South Wales, headlined by Elysium Fields, GURNER™’s $2.75 billion mixed-use precinct planned for Harbour Esplanade in Docklands.

The project has recorded more than $500 million in sales across the first three towers, equating to around 580 apartments sold.

The first tower, Helios, has now sold out of its 240 private residences, with GURNER™ preparing to release a premium penthouse collection comprising 15 three-bedroom penthouses in coming weeks.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370975]

Elysium Fields is being developed on the long-held 20,000 sqm Docklands site at 208-226 Harbour Esplanade, which had remained undeveloped for more than two decades prior to GURNER™ taking over the project around four years ago.

Construction has now commenced across four towers ranging between 18 and 30 storeys, with Hamilton Marino and Maxcon appointed as builders.

Once complete, the precinct is expected to comprise around 1,100 residences, alongside retail, hospitality and public realm uses integrated throughout the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370981]

Designed by Fraser &amp; Partners in collaboration with GURNER™ Design House, the project has been positioned around the developer’s broader focus on wellness-led residential living.

“We don’t sell apartments. We create a true luxury lifestyle that simply doesn’t exist elsewhere in the market today,” Founder and Executive Chairman Tim Gurner said.

“To deliver that requires an extraordinary level of detail, coordination and discipline across multiple verticals, from design and hospitality through to wellness and service.”

“We’ve always believed that living extends far beyond the physical residence. It’s about how you feel the moment you arrive, how you live day-to-day, and the ecosystem that supports that.” 
[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370977]

The project’s design places a heavy focus on landscaping, wellness amenities and biophilic design principles.

Plans include around 3,700 sqm of landscaped gardens and open space throughout the precinct, alongside a retail and dining offering spanning approximately 5,000 sqm.

The broader public realm strategy centres around what GURNER™ describes as the “Path of Life”, an urban forest and landscaped pedestrian environment intended to connect the various buildings and wellness spaces across the precinct.

The apartments themselves will incorporate a range of wellness-focused inclusions, including purified air and water systems, circadian lighting, antimicrobial surfaces, and optional in-home wellness upgrades.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370980]

Gurner said the company’s experience through its Saint Haven wellness clubs had directly informed the residential offering now being incorporated into Elysium Fields.

“We’re seeing a clear global shift toward longevity, performance and proactive health,” Gurner said.

“Our role is to deliver that in a way that feels seamless, highly private and beautifully resolved within the environments we create.”

A large component of the wellness offering is planned through the resident amenity and health facilities proposed within the precinct.

That includes plans for bathing and recovery facilities spread throughout the towers, incorporating mineral pools, saunas, steam rooms, flotation therapy, red light therapy and wellness lounges.

The developer is also seeking approvals for what it describes as a “reverse ageing medical clinic” within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370978]

According to project information released by the group, the proposed facility would include cryotherapy, IV infusion therapy, infrared and dry saunas, PEMF beds, MRIs, DEXA scans, brain scans and blood analysis services.

Within the first tower, Helios, residents will also have access to a dedicated amenity offering known as the Sky Private Club.

The upper 15 levels of the building will include private lounges, dining spaces, rooftop amenities and optional private wellness studios integrated within residences.

The Helios tower itself comprises 260 apartments ranging between 60 sqm and 300 sqm, including a collection of penthouses.

That includes a planned two-storey penthouse spanning around 600 sqm with uninterrupted bay views.

The Elysium Fields precinct is being delivered in partnership with Digital Harbour Holdings, a consortium that includes the Liberman family, which controls the development rights across the Docklands site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370979]

The sales result comes as GURNER™ continues expanding its national development pipeline beyond Victoria.

“We have a strong pipeline across Australia and are now focused on scaling into key markets including New South Wales and Queensland, while continuing to build on our Melbourne base,” Gurner said.

“We currently have more than $3 billion in the market, growing to over $5 billion by October, and expect to materially outperform last year in the 2026 calendar year.”

The result also reflects the continued strength of the upper-end apartment market in Melbourne, particularly for owner-occupier-focused product with large-scale amenity and lifestyle offerings.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144441]

Record result anchored by the Group’s “utopian” Elysium Fields precinct – defying market headwinds in Docklands.

Elysium Fields drive Gurner to $1.65 billion in apartment sales over 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB) will fund <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera</a>, a $1 billion, 52-level luxury residential tower being developed by Central Equity in one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held coastal locations at Northcliffe.

The project, launched recently by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a>, one of Victoria’s largest private residential developers, comes at a time when construction funding for large residential developments has become increasingly competitive as lenders tighten exposure to the sector.

Multiplex has been appointed the builder, and construction is now underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365784]

Since its first project, Central Equity has delivered more than 85 residential developments with a combined end value exceeding $8 billion.

Palmera reflects Central Equity’s growing focus on the Gold Coast luxury apartment market and continues a relationship between Central Equity and NAB that dates back to the late 1980s, when the bank funded one of Melbourne’s earliest inner-city residential towers at a time when high-rise apartment living in the CBD was largely unproven.

“NAB’s funding of Central Equity’s $36 million CBD development in the late 1980’s to the financing of the billion-dollar tower today highlights the long-term relationship between the two organisations in delivering major residential projects” said Central Equity Founder and Chairman Eddie Kutner.

He said NAB’s early support was instrumental in helping establish the company’s development model.

“When we commenced our first residential tower in the late 1980s the concept of funding off-the-plan apartments was still largely untested in Australia,” Kutner said.

“NAB recognised the opportunity early and supported the project when others were uncertain. That relationship has now continued for more than 37 years across many developments.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Central Equity was established in 1987 when Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank precinct were still dominated by warehouses and commercial buildings. Fewer than 100 residents lived in Southbank at the time, and large-scale residential development in the inner city was not widely considered.

Recognising changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, the company began developing high-rise residential projects designed to bring permanent residents into the city centre.

Central Equity has provided accommodation for approximately 40,000 residents across Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank, while also incorporating supporting infrastructure including essential lifestyle facilities like retail spaces, childcare facilities and neighbourhood activity centres.

Central Equity has spent many years assembling the Palmera development site on the corner of Garfield Terrace and Frederick Street in Northcliffe, creating a supersite of around 3,300 sqm.

The developer said the Palmera apartment tower reflects its long-term view of the Gold Coast as a growing and increasingly diversified economy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365768]

Supported by infrastructure including the light rail network, major road upgrades expanded education, hospital and medical facilities and continued expansion at the Gold Coast Airport with more international and domestic flights.

Positioned in the tightly held Northcliffe precinct, the 52-level tower will deliver 347 apartments, targeting buyers seeking a high-end coastal lifestyle, from downsizers to interstate investors.

Designed by Marchese Partners with interiors by DBI, Palmera has been conceived as a next-generation residential offering, featuring a collection of oversized apartments, with premium three-bedroom residences offering sweeping northern views stretching from Surfers Paradise through to Burleigh Heads.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

NAB funds $1 billion Surfers Paradise apartment development, Palmera

Two years after completing one of the newest developments in North Sydney, developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aqualand-australia">Aqualand</a> is turning its attention to the rapidly evolving St Leonards apartment market.

The developer, which completed AURA by Aqualand on North Sydney's Walker Street, has lodged plans for a 5,918 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/33-37-herbert-street-st-leonards-nsw-2065">33-37 Herbert Street, St Leonards,</a> seeking approval for a pair of residential towers rising above a shared podium opposite Royal North Shore Hospital.

The proposal forms part of the broader transformation underway across the St Leonards-Crows Nest precinct, where former industrial and commercial sites are increasingly being redeveloped into high-density mixed-use projects tied to major transport infrastructure.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2cc428cf-fe70-4cac-9cd5-264ad53af62c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=otKSnHtbjAvAddOnovyXQMgcAwE6DMe1" />

According to the planning documents, the site sits “within the St Leonards–Crows Nest Strategic Centre, identified by the NSW Government as a key area for accommodating future jobs and housing across Sydney.”

The proposal has been designed by fjcstudio, formerly FJMT Studio, and is being progressed through the State Significant Development pathway due to its scale and affordable housing provision.

The scheme would comprise 413 apartments, including 46 affordable housing units, alongside retail and commercial uses fronting Herbert Street. The project would also include communal open space, landscaping, a swimming pool, gymnasium, children’s play areas and podium-level resident amenities.

Planning documents show the development would consist of a part-13, part-39 storey tower form positioned above a four-storey podium.

“The development comprises a unified podium that activates the street interface, and two setback towers to accommodate new housing supply while maintaining an appropriate human scale at ground level,” fjcstudio noted in its Design Report.

The northern and southern towers have been shaped to respond to the surrounding skyline while also limiting overshadowing impacts to nearby public open space, particularly Talus Reserve.

The design report said the differing tower heights were intended to “contribute to a varied skyline while responding to the surrounding built form context and solar access considerations.”

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36da62dc-ff9e-41f2-a7e3-7be38373751c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.45%E2%80%AFAM_0.png?VersionId=Mo6Rp2r.XRLTzIfg_PEEpw8NepDH8UBs" />

The site sits directly opposite Royal North Shore Hospital and within walking distance of both St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

While the site itself sits just outside the formal Crows Nest Transport Oriented Development boundary, the planning documents repeatedly reference its alignment with the broader TOD objectives reshaping the Lower North Shore.

“The site is located adjacent to St Leonards Station and in close proximity to Crows Nest Metro which is within the Crows Nest Transit Orientated Development Accelerated Precinct which has been identified by the NSW Government to support housing delivery,” the Design Verification Statement noted.

According to fjcstudio, the project has been designed to respond to the broader transition occurring across St Leonards, where increasing residential density is being concentrated around transport infrastructure and employment hubs.

“The broader precinct is undergoing significant change, with a mix of existing mid-rise buildings and newer high-density developments,” the report stated.

“Recent and approved projects indicate a consistent shift toward taller built form, typically organised as tower-and-podium typologies with more active ground levels.”

The proposal includes close to 6,000 sqm of retail and commercial space across the ground floor and podium levels, designed to create a more activated street edge along Herbert Street.

Aqualand’s plans would also introduce a landscaped podium shared between the two towers, with communal open space in the form of a podium rooftop designed to support resident interaction and improve urban greening outcomes. The scheme would also introduce pocket parks at the northern and southern ends of the site, including a landscaped area at the corner of Herbert and Ella streets designed to improve pedestrian amenity and soften the streetscape.

&nbsp;

The proposal is being progressed through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway, which was introduced to accelerate housing supply across the state. The application was declared State Significant Development in April 2025 following an expression of interest process.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="faf6d97d-2671-454f-b85a-fe1c6a7be608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=diVd28OBVr5.YV.7prrOz.uAanwwwm7a" />

St Leonards has been particularly active with new developments in recent weeks. Developer SP Setia’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-sp-setia-targets-st-leonards-skyline-with-40-storey-tod-tower">plans for a new 42-storey tower</a> recently went on exhibition through the same pathway, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">Stockland’s 52-storey tower proposal</a> was also recently unveiled.

Aside from the St Leonards project, which is expected to take around nine months to move through the approvals process ahead of a potential 2027 launch, Aqualand is also preparing to launch Boronia, a new apartment project in Roseville comprising around 111 apartments on Larkin Street.

The developer also has approvals in place for the next stage of the Barangaroo precinct, which will feature new residential, retail, hospitality and community uses, alongside a new metro entry across the five-hectare site.

More than 50 new retail destinations are planned for Central Barangaroo, alongside a 270-metre-long boulevard connecting Hickson Park to Nawi Cove. Together with Harbour Park, more than 50 per cent of the precinct will comprise public open space and parkland.

Staff reporter

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