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May 2015 marks a new era in Australian real estate. The rolling out of a variety of measures by banks to tighten credit policy on loans for investment properties will cause unintended and harmful consequences. From higher interest rates, to bigger deposits, and tougher loan serviceability assessments, we have already seen a number of banks bow to the pressure applied by Australia's banking regulator, APRA.
While I can't say that some form of change came as a great surprise I must say that I am bemused. It highlights just how out of touch regulators are with the real world and the distinct lack of initiative and lateral thinking that people in high places have.
APRA's concern directly relates to the two consecutive years of 15% price growth in Sydney's property market. In addition to being worried about the general sustainability of Sydney's market, the concern ~ understandably so ~ is the size of Sydney investor's debt (the median property value is about to tip $1 million; that’s a lot of coin to put down on a single asset).
Propertyology has publicly expressed concern about Sydney's market for a year or so. In our article titled <a href="https://mail.privatemedia.com.au/owa/redir.aspx?SURL=TmOKAgIe3oZ2VdJTROX84_z_q1nl0_QOLLtsovUkaDsi-YYWxWbSCGgAdAB0AHAAOgAvAC8AdwB3AHcALgBwAHIAbwBwAGUAcgB0AHkAbwBsAG8AZwB5AC4AYwBvAG0ALgBhAHUALwB3AHAALQBjAG8AbgB0AGUAbgB0AC8AdQBwAGwAbwBhAGQAcwAvADIAMAAxADQALwAwADQALwAyADAAMQA1AC0AMAAyAF8AUAByAG8AcABlAHIAdAB5AG8AbABvAGcAeQBfAFMAeQBkAG4AZQB5AE8AdQB0AGwAbwBvAGsALgBwAGQAZgA.&amp;URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.propertyology.com.au%2fwp-content%2fuploads%2f2014%2f04%2f2015-02_Propertyology_SydneyOutlook.pdf" target="_blank">House-Of-Cards</a> we warned that intervention by APRA was a distinct possibility. Now it has happened.
But Propertyology's bemusement is due to the broad brush implementation of changes to credit policy.
Here's an important message which I (again) want to give to the 20% of Australia's population who reside in Greater-Sydney - that includes a majority of this country's regulators, policy writers, CEO's, and  commentators. WE DO NOT HAVE A PROPERTY BOOM IN AUSTRALIA. Did you read that? Understand what it means?
Property markets in locations where the other 80% of Australians live are performing perfectly normal. Of the other capital cities, Melbourne and Brisbane are currently the strongest (a typical property has grown 5-8% over the last year). Right now, properties in Perth and Darwin are starting to lose value. Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra have grown by 1-5%. What boom?
Applying tighter credit policies across 100% of the market in attempt to address a concern in 20% of the market is akin to a doctor prescribing antibiotics to an entire classroom because one kid has a chest infection.
Propertyology would argue that there has never been a safer, more viable time to invest in Australian real estate over the last decade than right now (ex-Sydney)!
World economies in general are in a recovery phase. Markets are less volatile now than at any time over the last ten years. The Australian investor's household budget is supported by the lowest interest rates we've seen in our lifetimes. Population growth remains strong. Economic development potential for Australia in the Asian Century is incredibly exciting.
When not prescribed properly, antibiotics can cause harmful side effects. One example is state and local government budgets where the <a href="https://mail.privatemedia.com.au/owa/redir.aspx?SURL=2XH9AEyRtmYccatq2LmX4LBHiXlNoF0CD2tf_Xv59G8i-YYWxWbSCGgAdAB0AHAAOgAvAC8AdwB3AHcALgBwAHIAbwBwAGUAcgB0AHkAbwBiAHMAZQByAHYAZQByAC4AYwBvAG0ALgBhAHUALwBjAGEAbQBlAHIAbwBuAC0AawB1AHMAaABlAHIALwA0ADIAOAAyADIALQB5AHQAYwAtAG0AYQB5AC0AMgAwAC0AbwBiAHMAZQByAHYAZQByAC0AcAByAG8AcABlAHIAdAB5AC0AcgBlAGwAYQB0AGUAZAAtAHQAYQB4AC0AcgBlAHYAZQBuAHUAZQAtAHMAdQByAHAAYQBzAHMAZQBzAC0ANAAwAC0AYgBpAGwAbABpAG8AbgAtAGMAYQBtAGUAcgBvAG4ALQBrAHUAcwBoAGUAcgAuAGgAdABtAGwAIwAuAFYAVwBFAG4AXwBLAEYASQB6AGIAMAAuAHQAdwBpAHQAdABlAHIA&amp;URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.propertyobserver.com.au%2fcameron-kusher%2f42822-ytc-may-20-observer-property-related-tax-revenue-surpasses-40-billion-cameron-kusher%23.VWEn_KFIzb0.twitter" target="_blank">wide range of taxes on property transactions contributed 48.7%</a> of total combined revenue in 2013/14.
And then there’s the unsustainable reliance that Australians have on taxpayer-funded pensions (we are forking out $400 million per day, and growing). Encouraging people to invest during their 45 years in the workforce is the logical solution to living a comfortable lifestyle when they exit the workforce.
What is it with those who carry on as if 'investment' is a dirty word?
Legislators are right to be concerned about Sydney and the future household budgets of those who have invested there. But markets tend to have a way of smoothing themselves out soon enough. Antibiotics weren't needed when Brisbane property values grew 30%+ in 2003.
If intervention is considered necessary now those people in their ivory towers would have been wiser to cap loan-to-value ratios just on Sydney property. But, then again, the words 'legislator' and 'common sense' never go together.
Notwithstanding the lazy credit policy changes, property market fundamentals remain unchanged. Many markets across Australia are entering the recovery and upswing stages of the cycle. Propertyology is actively buying properties in a variety of regional locations across the country and a couple of pockets within capital cities.
Right now is one of the best periods for property investors for some years. But, you'll need to have a strategy to deal with the unwanted side-effects of the recklessly prescribed antibiotics.
 
<a name="_GoBack" href=""></a>Simon Pressley is Managing Director of Propertyology, a REIA Hall Of Fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Buyer’s Agent. <a href="https://mail.privatemedia.com.au/owa/redir.aspx?SURL=rC2QG79lYWrMWvVdgzlx1bfCD77gHA38Bdx1AxmR8cgi-YYWxWbSCGgAdAB0AHAAOgAvAC8AdwB3AHcALgBwAHIAbwBwAGUAcgB0AHkAbwBsAG8AZwB5AC4AYwBvAG0ALgBhAHUALwBtAG8AcgBlAC0AdABoAGEAbgAtAGEALQBiAHUAeQBlAHIAcwAtAGEAZwBlAG4AdAAvAA..&amp;URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.propertyology.com.au%2fmore-than-a-buyers-agent%2f" target="_blank">Propertyology works exclusively with property investors</a> to purchase properties in strategically chosen locations all over Australia.
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spressley-sBoeMhannA

What is it with those who carry on as if 'investment' is a dirty word? Simon Pressley

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An unprecedented level of major projects in the pipeline has the potential to produce significant growth in Queensland property markets. Although, there are some unanswered questions with a new government coming to office.
According to our research, there are thirty seven major infrastructure projects with a combined project value of a staggering $123 billion. If they were all to proceed they would create 142,900 new direct jobs.
There’s been a lot of hype over the last couple of years about the end of the mining construction boom and very little else coming through Australia’s infrastructure pipeline. What has been unfolding behind the scenes in Queensland is quite exciting although few people realise it. I doubt whether any state at any time in Australia’s history has ever had such a big pipeline of projects.
Throughout 2014 there were a lot of approvals of major projects along with various new proposals. Queensland’s jobs growth trend began to show green shoots. By the back end of 2014, Propertyology had become quite bullish in regards to property market outlooks throughout parts of the state.
We place a heavy emphasis on job growth potential with our property market forecasting. Wherever there is a new job there is demand for accommodation.
<img src="/images/2015/05/25/QLD_Projects_Map1.jpg" alt="">
Official statistics from Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shows that Queensland created a total of 11,048 new jobs over the entire last three full calendar years. This puts the 142,900 job potential from Queensland’s project pipeline in to perspective.
Jobs growth has been the biggest driver of Sydney’s remarkable property boom over the last two years. The evidence is in the ABS data.
Australia created an additional 134,408 jobs in 2014. 52,975 of these were in Sydney.
We flag Brisbane, Gold Coast, Toowoomba, and Cairns as property markets with very promising outlooks. 
 
<img src="/images/2015/05/25/QLD_Projects_Stats.jpg" alt="">
The Abbott Point expansion at Bowen and rail infrastructure must be built in order to open up the biggest coal province in the world, Galilee Basin. High rollers such as Indian billionaires Adani and GVK, Gina Rinehart, Clive Palmer, and Chinese miner Macmines collectively have projects in the pipeline worth $53 billion.
Over the last two years, the city of Mackay has struggled under falling coal prices and property over-supply. But Mackay was placed back on Propertyology’s radar due to the potential 31,500 direct jobs which would be created if the Galilee Basin was officially opened up. Brisbane will benefit from the thousands of CBD administration new jobs that will be created. To a lesser extent, Townsville’s property market would also benefit through the supply of goods and services at the coal face and at Abbott Point.
During the January state election campaign, the Queensland Labor government made it known that they were opposed to expanding port facilities, even though, under former Premier Anna Bligh, Labor had initially approved the port expansion before the Newman government scaled it back to a more sustainable size. Earlier this month, Labor flagged a new proposal for the port dredging.
The new government has officially scrapped the $5.2 billion BaT Brisbane transport infrastructure project and raised questions over the proposed Queens Wharf project – comparable in size and quality to the new Barangaroo precinct in Sydney and the Crown Casino precinct in Melbourne.
Propertyology is still investing in Brisbane however we now place a couple of other locations ahead of Brisbane. The 18,000 extra jobs from the BaT project would have been very positive for Brisbane so too would have been the Herston medical precinct proposed by the Newman government. We had also factored in 10,000 new jobs from Queens Wharf but we just don’t know what will happen there now.
The Gold Coast property market has been described by Propertyology as having potential to be the best performing market in Australia over the next two years. When the Gold Coast Mayor first made mention that the proposed $7.5 billion ASF Resort project had potential for as many as 35,000 new (direct and indirect) jobs our ears certainly pricked up. Since being elected in to office, the new state government has scrapped the project. There’s already a lot of job creating infrastructure projects under way on the Gold Coast. And our outlook for the Australian tourism industry is off the Richter scale.  
Despite several major projects being declared ‘dead’ or doubtful’ over recent months, the job creation potential from within the long list of ‘likely to proceed’ projects is still very exciting. 
Queensland property markets have suffered over recent times from low confidence after the infamous 2011 floods, falling coal prices, and cut backs in the public sector. Pre-GFC, Queensland had previously created around 60,000 new jobs each year however there was actually a net loss of jobs in 2012 and 2013.
 
<img src="/images/2015/05/25/QLD_Projects_JobsTrend-2.jpg" alt="">
Simon Pressley is Managing Director of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au" target="_blank">Propertyology</a>, REIA Hall of Fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Buyer’s Agent. Propertyology works exclusively with property investors to purchase properties in strategically chosen locations all over Australia.
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Queensland's unprecedented infrastructure pipeline: Simon Pressley

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Analysing trends of the number of properties advertised for rent is the single most useful metric for property investors to make informed property management decisions. Propertyology has just completed an analysis of rental market trends across Australia and there are some interesting trends developing.
<table style="width: 507px; height: 244px;" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody><tr>
<td>
<div>
Biggest Increase In Rental Stock (last 12 months)
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/2015-03_Propertyology_SuratBasin.pdf" target="_blank">Roma</a> QLD (311% more)</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/2015.03_Propertyology_ArmidaleNSW.pdf" target="_blank">Armidale</a> NSW (81% more)</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/darwin/" target="_blank">Darwin</a> NT (79% more)</li>
<li>Whyalla SA (39% more)</li>
<li>Newcastle NSW (34% more)</li>
<li>Karratha WA (32% more)</li>
<li>Perth WA (31% more)</li>
<li>Mackay QLD (25% more)</li>
</ul>
 
Biggest Decrease In Rental Stock (last 12 months)
<ul>
<li>Canberra ACT (31% less)</li>
<li>Port Macquarie NSW (30% less)</li>
<li>Muswellbrook NSW (26% less)</li>
<li>Orange NSW (22% less)</li>
<li>Gold Coast QLD (21% less)</li>
</ul>
</div>
</td>
</tr></tbody></table>
The most common method for reporting the state of a rental market is vacancy rates. Data houses such as SQM Research do this by calculating the number of properties advertised for rent as a percentage of all rental properties within that given market. For example, if a specific location had one thousand properties which make up the total rental pool and twenty five of those owners were looking for a tenant the vacancy rate would be 2.5%.
A 3% vacancy rate is considered to be a ‘normal’ market. In my experience, pressure starts to build on rental prices when vacancy rates fall below 2%.
While the vacancy rate of a particular location at a particular time is useful information I find it even more meaningful to understand the rental trends which have been forming leading up to that point in time – is the available number of properties increasing or decreasing?
Imagine yourself receiving that friendly reminder from your property manager that a lease on one of your investment properties is getting close to expiry - the tenant has stated that they will not be renewing, and your property manager now needs your instructions on what rental price to advertise your property for. Propertyology is often asked by our clients to provide input in scenarios just like this.
The most appropriate response in this situation would be different if the property was in the south-west Queensland town of Roma compared to the Nation’s capital, Canberra. Research conducted by Propertyology confirms that Roma has experienced the biggest increase in the number of properties advertised for rent over the last 12 months (from 42 to 173). Canberra has experienced the biggest decrease (from 1,056 properties to 737).
When rental trends show a significant increase in volumes of properties available the most appropriate response by the landlord is often to set the rent below the rest of your competition. 80% of something is more than 100% of nothing; rents don’t always go up. And, unless there is a pending economic shift which gives hope for a reversal of this trend in the short term it might also be appropriate to seek a 12 month term as opposed to the traditional six months.
Conversely, there is more scope to increase rents when there is a limited number of properties for tenants to choose from. And, if the trend appears to be that the number of properties available is likely to decline it might be appropriate to stick with a short-term lease.  Port Macquarie in New South Wales (from 171 properties to 119), Muswellbrook in Hunter Valley (from 226 to 167), and Gold Coast (from 2,665 to 2,125) have also seen a significant reduction in the number of properties advertised for rent.
As forecast by Propertyology quite some time ago, Darwin (79% more rentals) and Perth (31% increase on an already high base) have significantly more properties available for rent today compared to 12 months ago.
Factors which influence the number of properties advertised for rent include:
<ul>
<li>The level of supply of new properties recently built;</li>
<li>Seasonal factors such as school holiday periods, peak tourism periods, Christmas / New Year, agriculture seasons;</li>
<li>Commencement and completion of large employment contracts; and</li>
<li>Commodity price peaks and troughs.</li>
</ul>
Large volumes of properties purchased by investors (as opposed to owner-occupiers) within a short period of time will also result in more stock available in a defined rental pool. A good example of this is Sydney where it has been reported that as high as 70% of home loan approvals during 2014 were to investors (30 – 45% is ‘normal’). Logic would suggest that pressure on rents will start to ease in Sydney.
Astute property investors will also analyse rental trends as part of their broader research in determining where to invest (although there are far more important considerations than this).  
Property is an asset class which requires investors to hold for the long-term. Over the years of holding a property there will invariably be periods when there are large volumes of properties available for rent and other periods when the rental market is tight. The astute landlord will understand the economic drivers which influence demand for their market, the supply pipeline, and current rental trends.
Simon Pressley is Managing Director of Propertyology, a REIA Hall Of Fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Buyer’s Agent. Contact Simon <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/contact-us/" target="_blank">here.</a>
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Watching rental market vacancy rate trends key for investment success: Propertyology's Simon Pressley

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Depending on the time of the purchase, an investor would have experienced capital growth three times that of capital cities or lost over $300,000. It’s all in the timing!
While the property market of Queensland’s capital city is currently performing strongly, falling commodity prices has been the primary cause for property markets in traditional mining towns to experience double digit declines in value. The biggest pain has been felt in the central Queensland shire of Isaac, which consists of Moranbah and Dysart.
A typical house was worth $580,000 in December 2012 and has since declined in value to $237,500 over the next two years (a decline of 36% per annum). At the peak of the market in 2012, houses were rented for $1,350 per week. Today that same property would be rented for $320 per week.
Emerald median values have declined by an average of 15.3% per annum over the last two years. Rental vacancy rates in Emerald are currently over 8% so rents have fallen from $700 per week (2012) to $270 per week.
The regional hub of Mackay provides a majority of goods and services to the coal face. In addition to a 33% reduction in coal prices over the last two years, Mackay has built more properties than demand required. Median property values have declined by an average of 3.0% per annum over the last two years. Rents have fallen from $500 per week to $380 per week.
In the far north west of the state, Mount Isa median values have remained unchanged. Mount Isa has a diverse range of minerals which it mines whereas central Queensland is predominantly coal. Meanwhile, Brisbane median property values have increased by an average of 6.6% per annum over the last two years.
<img src="/images/2015/04/07/MiningTowns_Qld.jpg" alt="">
In spite of Queensland’s recent mining town doldrums, the fact of the matter is that these markets have (significantly) outperformed Brisbane over the long-term. Astute investors would be aware that property is a long-term asset class.
Over the fourteen years since the turn of the century, which includes the recent downturn, Moranbah’s median property value has grown by an average of 14.8% per annum compared to Brisbane’s 7.8%. Emerald (10.9% per annum), Mount Isa (8.5%) and Mackay (8.5%) have also performed better than the state’s capital city.
It wasn’t that long ago when the likes of Brisbane, Gold Coast, and Sunshine Coast were having downturns of their own and the mining towns were setting record highs.
Investing in these locations is not for the faint-hearted. ‘Timing’ is significantly more important when investing in locations where specific industries have such a significant impact on demand for housing. Often, the smart decision is to do the opposite to what the masses are doing. In the words of the world’s most famous investor, Warren Buffet: “The time to be fearful is when everyone else is greedy. The time to be greedy is when everyone else is fearful."
A sophisticated property investor who purchased in Moranbah in late 2004 would have paid $150,000 for a 3-bedroom house. Even with the recent downturn, the current value of $237,500 still represents 4.7% average annual growth over the last ten years, which is only slightly below Brisbane’s 5%.
An investor who did purchase in Moranbah in 2004 and sold at the market peak of $580,000 in late 2012 would have made a massive 18.4% average annual growth over those eight years. That’s roughly three times better than what anyone could have achieved in any capital city. Let me spell it out for you. A $15,000 deposit (10%) paid on a Moranbah property in 2004 would have become $430,000 equity over eight years. Extraordinary!
On sheer numbers alone, one could argue a very good case that now is a good time to buy in Moranbah. An investor could pick the best property of the litter with no real competition, pay only $240,000, and rent it out for $320 per week. That 7.2% rental yield is far superior to anything that any capital will offer.
Our research suggests that an upswing in coal-related locations is on the horizon. Lower labour costs and the Australian dollar has improved the viability for mining giants such as BHP and Rio Tinto.
There are multiple new mining projects in the approval pipeline throughout Queensland and the Hunter Valley. The untapped Galilee Basin is the biggest coal province in the world. Our research has calculated five large mines with combined project values of $53 billion having potential for up to 31,500 new jobs if they all proceed. Emerald, Mackay and Brisbane will be the biggest beneficiaries.
At the peak of the mining construction boom two years ago, for every one job at the coal face in central Queensland there were nine management and administration jobs in Brisbane’s CBD.
Emerald
<ul>
<li>Median value increased by 10.9% per annum over the last 14 years, significantly more than Greater-Brisbane’s 7.8% per annum</li>
<li>22% decline during 2014 calendar year</li>
<li>Median rents have declined from $700 per week in September 2012 to $270 per week now</li>
<li>Vacancy rates currently 8.2%</li>
<li>Median value of a 3-bedroom house today is $319,500 and it would rent for $320 per week (5.2%)</li>
</ul>
<img src="/images/2015/04/07/Emerald_PropertyMarket_1990-2014.jpg" alt="">
Mackay
<ul>
<li>Median house value declined 5.8% during 2014</li>
<li>Median value increased by 8.5% per annum over the last 14 years, significantly more than Greater-Brisbane’s 7.8% per annum</li>
<li>50% fewer properties sold last year compared to its 2012 peak</li>
<li>Median rents have declined from $500 per week to $380 per week over last two years</li>
<li>An overzealous construction industry has contributed as much to the current subdued market as the falling coal prices</li>
</ul>
<img src="/images/2015/04/07/MtIsa_PropertyMarket_1990-2014.jpg" alt="">
Mount Isa
<ul>
<li>Median value increased by 8.5% per annum over the last 14 years, significantly more than Greater-Brisbane’s 7.8% per annum</li>
<li>Median rents have declined from $540 per week in September 2012 to $500 per week now</li>
<li>Vacancy rates currently 3.5%</li>
<li>Diverse range of commodities in the region, whereas central Queensland is predominantly coal and gas</li>
<li>Median value of a 3-bedroom house today is $319,500 and it would rent for $320 per week (5.2%)</li>
</ul>
<img src="/images/2015/04/07/MtIsa_PropertyMarket_1990-2014.jpg" alt="">
Moranbah
<ul>
<li>Median value increased by 14.8% per annum over the last 14 years, significantly more than Greater-Brisbane’s 7.8% per annum</li>
<li>Someone who purchased at the peak in late 2012 would have paid $580,000 for a house and received $1,350 per week rent. That property today would be worth $237,500 and be rented for $320 per week</li>
</ul>
<img src="/images/2015/04/07/Moranbah_PropertyMarket_1990-2014.jpg" alt="">
Brisbane
<ul>
<li>Greater-Brisbane’s median property value has increased 7.8% per annum over the last 15 years</li>
<li>Median house rents have increased from $430 per week in September 2012 to $450 per week now</li>
</ul>
<img src="/images/2015/04/07/Brisbane_PropertyMarket_1990-2014.jpg" alt="">
Simon Pressley is managing director of Propertyology, a REIA Hall Of fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Buyer’s Agent. 
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/more-than-a-buyers-agent/" target="_blank">Propertyology works exclusively with property investors</a> to purchase properties in strategically chosen locations all over Australia.
Photo of Mount Isa <a class="mw-mmv-license" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.5" target="_blank" style="font-size: 12.1599998474121px; line-height: 1.3em;">CC BY-SA 2.5</a>.
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Mining towns outperform capital city - but timing is critical: Simon Pressley

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The Australian Bureau of Statistics has just released its annual update on regional population growth. The combined growth of Australia’s capital cities of 1.9% for the year ending 30 June 2014 is above the national growth rate of 1.6%. I’ve analysed the data of Australia’s 550 local government authorities to find the population hotspots.
<img src="/images/2015/04/07/Aust_PopulationGrowth_2013-14.JPG" alt="">
At a greater capital city level, Perth continues its status as Australia’s fastest growing city with a growth rate of 2.2%. Perth recently became Australia’s fourth city with a population in excess of 2 million people.
Melbourne and Darwin both had growth rates of 2.2%, ahead of Sydney (1.8%) and Brisbane (1.7%). Canberra (1.2%), Adelaide (1.0%) and Hobart (0.6%) continue their trend of being Australia’s slowest growing capital cities.
Of more interest is some of the data at local government level. The fastest growing population in Australia last year was the shire of Serpentine-Jarrahdale, at the southern urban footprint of Perth. With a population of 22,698 its rate of growth for the year was 6.2% - more than three times the national average.
The south-west Sydney shire of Camden was a close second with a growth rate for the year of 6.1%.
Casting our eyes across the nation revealed these other population hotspots:
<ul>
<li>The regional standout was Busselton, in the far south of Western Australia with a growth rate 3.7%, followed closely by the central Queensland industrial powerhouse of Gladstone with 3.5%; 
</li>
<li>The famous Western Australia wine region of Augusta-Margaret River experienced a 3.4% population growth (twice the Australian average) while the gas city of Karratha in the state’s north grew by 2.9% over the year; 
</li>
<li>While South Australia’s total population growth was only 1%, regional towns Gawler (2.8%) and Mount Barker (2.1%) produced surprising results; 
</li>
<li>A thirst for higher density living in Sydney drove population growth in Botany Bay (3.4%), Canada Bay (3.0%), Strathfield and Parramatta (both 2.9%); 
</li>
<li>Regional New South Wales towns of Yass Valley (2.3%) and Maitland (2.2%) were well above the national average; 
</li>
<li>Victoria’s population growth numbers is consistent with its urban sprawl strategy. Wyndham (outer-south-west 5.6%), Whittlesea (outer-north 4.4%), Melton (outer-west 4.0%), and Cardinia (south-east 3.6%) all produced big numbers. 
</li>
<li>The historic goldfields town of Ballarat with a population of 100,000 produced 1.7% growth; 
</li>
<li>In Queensland, Somerset (3.0%), Scenic Rim / Beaudesert (2.9%), and Ipswich (2.8%) were strong. The population of Australia’s single biggest local government, Brisbane City Council, grew by 1.5%</li>
</ul>
Simon Pressley is managing director of Propertyology, a REIA Hall Of fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and buyer’s agent.
 <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/more-than-a-buyers-agent/" target="_blank">Propertyology works exclusively with property investors</a> to purchase properties in strategically chosen locations all over Australia.
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Australia's population hotspots: Simon Pressley

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Psst... Got a second? I’d like to let you know of an exciting property market location which is the second biggest regional city in its state, is the principle service centre for a region which is in close proximity to large and very valuable reserves of natural resources, it has critical deep sea port infrastructure in place, one of the highest rental yields in the country, its historical return on investment is close to double that of the capital city average, and a property entry price of $300,000. 
Every single word in the above opening paragraph is true, although – intentionally – the name of the location isn’t mentioned. If I said it was a bayside suburb in a capital city the odds are that this would instantly become Australia’s biggest hotspot. Now that I reveal that it is the South Australian regional city of Whyalla many people reading this will suddenly become uncomfortable.
I can think of no better example to illustrate how emotionally-based perceptions, as opposed to solid research and logic, get in the way of property investors standing to make the most of their hard-earned money.
From my desktop, I can hear people shouting: “But Simon, Whyalla is a mining town! Regional locations are high risk compared to capital cities.”
Whyalla is actually a steel manufacturing town (18% of jobs are in metal manufacturing). It services inland mines (lots of them). Whyalla is a seaport located on the east coast of the Eyre Peninsula. Tourism is a small secondary industry.
<img src="/images/2015/03/26/MedianValues_Capitals_5yrs-15yrs.jpg" alt="">
Mining giant, BHP established Whyalla in 1901 to facilitate the transport of iron ore from mines in the state’s north, via sea, to processing plants. A blast furnace was constructed in the 1940's and Whyalla's reputation as the 'steel city' grew.
Through the 1940s, 1950s and 1960s, Whyalla's population expanded rapidly and governments began planning for a 100,000 population. Shipbuilding had become the main industry until international competition forced its closure in 1978. The steel plant has evolved through peaks and troughs under BHP, then One Steel, and now Arrium. The one constant has been its status the biggest employer.
A mineral exploration boom unfolded throughout the last decade resulting in increased population. In 2000, an educated property investor would have paid a mere $80,500 for a house in Whyalla. An outer-suburbs capital city house back then would have cost $100,000 more than that. Over the next fifteen years Whyalla produced solid growth (an average of 9.5% per annum). The capital city average over the same fifteen year period was considerably less (7.3% per annum) and included three to four years of negative growth.
Do you want to re-evaluate that earlier comment about “risk”? Perhaps, you might be starting to see my point about “perception” and lost opportunity.
<img src="/images/2015/03/26/Whyalla_PropertyMarket.jpg" alt="">
The infrastructure in Whyalla is well established; as one should expect of a century old city with 22,000 people. University of SA has a campus in Whyalla, offering programs such as business, health, and community services. Daily flights to Adelaide are available with Regional Express; Qantaslink is also looking to service the region from 2015.
Three hours north of Whyalla is Olympic Dam. Opened in 1988, Olympic Dam holds some of the biggest reserves of copper, gold, uranium, and silver in the world. State and federal government approvals were granted to BHP for a $30 billion expansion in October 2011. In September 2012, BHP suspended the project, although it is widely expected that a scaled-down expansion will proceed at some point.
<img src="/images/2015/03/26/Whyalla.jpg" alt="">
Whyalla already has deep sea port infrastructure at Port Bonython which is very likely to come in to play when BHP eventually find the most viable development model. When it does, Whyalla’s property market will, yet again, perform much stronger than capital cities.
Whyalla’s property market is currently flat. Then again, so are most markets across Australia. An investor could buy a solid three-bedroom house in Whyalla today and get change from $300,000; rental yields are over 6%. Risk? I’d suggest there is considerably more risk investing in an inner-city apartment in <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/2015-02_Propertyology_SydneyOutlook.pdf">Sydney</a> or <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/2015_01_Propertyology_MelbourneOutlook.pdf">Melbourne</a>.
But, then again, I guess that depends on whether one bases things on perception or solid research and logic!
Simon Pressley is managing director of Propertyology, a REIA Hall Of fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and buyer’s agent. 
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/more-than-a-buyers-agent/" target="_blank">Propertyology</a> works exclusively with property investors to purchase properties in strategically chosen locations all over Australia.
Photo of Whyalla courtesy of Wikimedia Commons.
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The regional city that has outperformed all capital cities for 15 years: Simon Pressley

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GUEST OBSERVATION
With a population of approximately 170,000 people, Toowoomba is Australia’s second largest, non-coastal city, behind Canberra. It is the only zone in South East Queensland not to experience population growth above the national average over the last decade.
While its property market has teased with glimpses of green shoots every so often Toowoomba mostly underperformed over the last decade.
Situated 700 metres above sea level on the Great Dividing Range, ‘The Garden City’ is among rich volcanic soils. With agriculture among its economic mix, prolonged drought adversely affected the region for a few years, although new infrastructure has subsequently improved water security.
The city is a well established service centre for the Darling Downs agriculture industry, the expanding coal and gas industry in the Surat Basin, and the army aviation centre at Oakey. Toowoomba is also somewhat of an education hub with the well-funded South Queensland University, a few small university campuses and quality private schools.
A new, <a href="https://www.facebook.com/Propertyology" target="_blank">international-scale airport</a> officially opened in November 2014. This significant piece of transport infrastructure has the potential to <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/understanding-asian-century-key-to-success/" target="_blank">open up the region’s economy</a>. Qantas has already committed to a dozen flights per week to and from Sydney
Construction of the Wellchamp business park is currently underway and there is also a proposal for a nearby aviation school. $500 million is to be invested in expansion of retail facilities.
The tender for the <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/2014_09_Propertyology_MainEmploymentSectors_web.pdf" target="_blank">$1.5 billion Second Range Crossing</a> project is due to be announced early in 2015; construction should start shortly thereafter. This will significantly improve general public access between Brisbane and Toowoomba and significantly improve road freight safety and commute times.
Up and down housing supply from year to year has tended to keep pace with demand overall. <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/your-results/" target="_blank">Our research</a> suggests areas where new supply will be concentrated most include Highfields, Gowrie, Glenvale, and Westbrook.
<img src="/images/2015/02/25/Toowoomba_SupplyDemand_2006-2014.jpg" alt="">
Toowoomba is positioned along a national inland freight corridor and the proposed Melbourne-Brisbane inland port. Private and government investment <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/more-than-a-buyers-agent/">provides opportunities</a> for economic growth in tourism, agricultural, aviation, warehousing and logistics.
Simon Pressley is managing director of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/more-than-a-buyers-agent/">Propertyology</a>, a full-time property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Australia’s (REIA) Buyer’s Agent of the Year (2012+2013+2014).
Photo courtesy of Porjo/ <a class="mw-mmv-license" href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/" target="_blank" style="font-size: 12.1599998474121px; line-height: 1.3em;">CC BY-SA 3.0</a>.
<h2>How to purchase high-performing investment properties: a free Propertyology eBook</h2>
 
 
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Toowoomba has underperformed, but new infrastructure is promising: Simon Pressley

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Our reading of key metrics suggests that Perth property values are likely to end this year a below where they started the year. Sadly, the news doesn’t get any better.
Sales volumes peaked two years ago and the numbers since have steadily declined. REIWA has reported the latest vacancy rate for Greater Perth at 4.2%, making it easily the highest of all Australian capital cities. Put simply, neither property values nor rents have any pressure currently being applied.
As shown in this graphic, the levels of new supply in the pipeline are at record levels so the pressure valve will be released even further as new stock comes on line. Sales listings have increased over the last 12 months by a massive 46% and broke through the 13,000 barrier in December 2014.
<img src="/images/2015/02/26/BuildingApprovals_Style_2014.12.jpg" alt="">
But, the bigger concern for Perth’s market is on the demand side of the equation. Perth’s impressive run as the nation’s leader in population growth stakes has ground to a halt.
76% of Western Australia’s total population live in the state’s capital (the highest concentration rate in Australia).
<img src="/images/2015/02/26/Population_GrowthRate_2014.06.jpg" alt="">
There has been a sharp decline in the number of people relocating to WA (that is, Perth) over the last 12-18 months. The latest figures released by Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shows a net overseas migration figure of 3,384 for the June 2014 quarter; well below the 10,201 average for the previous three comparative periods.
<img src="/images/2015/02/26/PropertyEconomy_2014.12.jpg" alt="">
As shown above, interstate migration has also been in decline. During 2011 to 2013, a net 2,000 people would typically relocate to WA from other states every quarter. The latest ABS data shows that a net 33 people left WA; the first time that the state has produced a negative figure since June 2003. To describe demand for extra accommodation as ‘easing’ is a gross under-estimate.
When we took a closer analysis of Perth’s economy to see where future demand might come from things look dull.
Iron ore plays a hugely important role in WA’s economy, accounting for 20% of the State’s total revenue and employing more than 61,000 people directly in 2013-14. Iron ore prices have fallen 50% over the last 3 years, hitting state government revenues hard and resulting in its first budget deficit in 15 years ($1.3 billion in 2014 and estimated to be a further $900 million in 2015).
While there are many mining jobs are in the state’s north, most of them live in Perth. 10,000 employees currently working on the Gorgon liquefied natural gas project and Roy Hill iron ore mine will be looking for new jobs once construction is completed later this year. The scenario will be the same for a further 6,000 workers on the Wheatstone LNG project that is set to be completed in 2016.
In spite of lower iron ore prices, mining heavy weights Rio Tinto and BHP have ramped up production. There is a school of thought that this is a strategic choice to squeeze out smaller players. There is a suggestion that, once the damage is done, production will be allowed to slow which can only mean job losses. Sentiment on the Perth jobs front is subdued. There’s no sign of new mining projects to support Perth’s engineering muscle.
To the current state government’s credit, there are an unprecedented number of large projects in metropolitan Perth. As shown in this info-graphic, these include the Crown Casino expansion, new sporting stadium, a large entertainment precinct, railway and airport upgrades, hospitals, and highways.
These big projects will ensure that new jobs will continue to be created in Perth. But, the rate of job growth has definitely slowed down and government finances are likely to remain tight for some time.
<img src="/images/2015/02/26/Jobs_Trend_2009-2014.jpg" alt="">
With the most active first home buyer market in the country over the last couple of years the reduction in residents competing for rental stock has resulted in rising vacancy rates. SQM Research lists the highest vacancies in East Perth (6.7%), Yanchep (5.3%), Perth City (5.0%), Darlington (4.8%), West Perth (4.6%), South Perth (4.2%), and East Fremantle (4.0%).
Bottom line, this will be more than a lull for Perth. Something significant will need to come from left field to stimulate housing demand otherwise Perth looks headed for a prolonged slump.
Simon Pressley is managing director of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/" target="_blank">Propertyology</a>, a full-time property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Australia’s (REIA) Buyer’s Agent of the Year (2012+2013+2014).
<h2>How to purchase high-performing investment properties: a free Propertyology eBook</h2>
 
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Perth is headed for a prolonged slump: Simon Pressley

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Ipswich has one of the fastest growing populations in Australia over the last decade.
When a few marketing jazz words are combined with a low entry price and above-average rental yields, it’s never been difficult for the so-called property guru to attract property investors to Ipswich. But does the region really stack up?
With its vast amounts of developable, cheap land available, Ipswich plays a key role in the <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/keep-granny-ditch-the-flat/" target="_blank">state government’s strategy</a> to try and direct population growth away from the coast.
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
Population Growth
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
2003-2013
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
2008-2013
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
 
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
(10yrs)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
(Post-GFC)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
Australia
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
1.7%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
1.8%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
Queensland
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
2.4%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
2.1%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="176">
Ipswich
</td>
<td valign="top" width="158">
4.2%
</td>
<td valign="top" width="201">
3.7%
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
The impact of a relatively large volume of sales of new properties in a developing region creates a distortion between the data for changes in median property values and the real change in property values.
As the graphic below illustrates, dwelling supply and population growth have kept pace with each other. In spite of the regular hotspot rhetoric that Ipswich cops from time to time, its property market performance has in fact been quite underwhelming.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2015/01/27/Ipswich_SupplyDemand_2006-2014.jpg" alt="">
With a traditional blue-collar demographic, successive state governments and the Ipswich City Council have had to work hard to create sufficient jobs for its growing population.
The award-winning Springfield masterplanned community has been developed over the last decade as a satellite city - Brisbane’s version of Parramatta.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2015/01/27/Ipswich_GreenfieldMap.jpg" alt="">
Already with a new hospital, business park, and railway line, Springfield currently has several good projects in the pipeline. These include a $50 million expansion of the University of Southern Queensland, $70 million headquarters for GE, $80 million Mater hospital, $100 million Brookwater resort and plans to further extend the Orion shopping centre.
The existing Amberley RAAF base has also been spoken about as an anchor tenant for a potential aeronautical precinct.
Investors could do worse than Ipswich, although it is far from our first preference. With so much land flagged for development, expect to see significant new supply, mostly concentrated around Springfield, Ripley, and Redbank Plains.
There is currently in the vicinity of $275 million in house and land packages currently under construction. The Springfield Land Corporation has also just announced a proposal to develop 10,000 new apartments.
Simon Pressley is managing director of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/" target="_blank">Propertyology</a>, a full-time property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Australia’s (REIA) Buyer’s Agent of the Year (2012+2013+2014).
Picture courtesy of Clarebear/ <a class="mw-mmv-license cc-license" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0" target="_blank">CC BY-SA 3.0</a>.
 
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How the Ipswich region stacks up: Simon Pressley

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GUEST OBSERVATION
While there may still be a bit of steam left in Sydney’s property engine, I previously described Sydney’s market fundamentals as being <a href="/expert-insights/sydney-s-property-market-is-a-house-of-cards">as fragile as a house of cards</a>.
A statement in February’s Reserve Bank press release could be a suggestion that a joker in the pack may soon be played.
It is this statement from the RBA that could suggest that policy makers may soon play that joker:
"Credit growth picked up to moderate rates in 2014, with stronger growth in lending to investors in housing assets. Dwelling prices have continued to rise strongly in Sydney, though trends have been more varied in a number of other cities over recent months. The Bank is working with other regulators to assess and contain economic risks that may arise from the housing market".
The concerns for Sydney are these:
<ol>
<li>Lack of affordability (long been Sydney’s Achilles heel),</li>
<li>A very high level of sales transactions to investors,</li>
<li>Potential tightening of credit policy specific to Sydney,</li>
<li>Potential policy changes by Australia’s Foreign Investment Review Board to curb Asian investors, and</li>
<li>A significant supply of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/ApartmentsApproved_States_2014-04.jpg" target="_blank">new dwelling stock in the pipeline</a>.</li>
</ol>
Under ‘normal’ circumstances the RBA responds to a property boom with a few interest rate hikes to caution consumers. But this current boom is isolated to Sydney – it’s not like the RBA can raise rates just in Sydney.
In fact, the RBA’s decision at its February meeting to reduce rates has the potential to add fuel Sydney’s market. A subdued employment market and sharp declines in commodity prices are bigger national issues which forced the RBA’s hand.
This is where that “working with other regulators to assess and contain economic risks that may arise from the housing market” comment is so interesting. What if the Foreign Investment Review Board passed legislation to restrict Asian investment in Australian real estate? Joker number one!
What if banks (with some ‘encouragement’ from the likes of APRA and / or RBA) tighten their credit policy just on Sydney-based securities to shelter themselves from extra risk? Banks have been known to do this before when they’ve identified a ‘location risk’ in the likes of the Pilbara and Moranbah. Joker number two!
Another possibility lies in China where there are reports of residential market declines of 15% over the last 12 months. Chinese banking executives and economists say that a severe housing downturn could cause a considerable increase in non-performing loans amongst Chinese banks. We know that when times get tough investment properties are often one of the first assets disposed of in order to bring the household budget back in to order. Further instability in China’s market could result in high levels of resale stock in Sydney. Joker number three!
Regardless, we expect vacancy rates to increase and rental yields to reduce in Sydney. An unhealthily high ratio of investor-owned properties is already occurring with ABS data confirming that 60% of NSW home loan approvals (refer Sydney) were for investors [30% is ‘normal’].
The Fundamentals
The performance of Sydney’s property market over the past 18-24 months is as spectacular as it is concerning.
Contrary to tabloid rhetoric, outside of Sydney, property markets are experiencing <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/MedianValues_Capitals_2011-2014.jpg">a predictable post-GFC recovery phase</a> with normal rates of growth (0 to 6%) over the past 12 months.
The state of New South Wales is home to 7.4 million people (a third of <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Aust_PopulationConcentration.jpg">Australia’s total population</a>) and 4.3 million (18.7%) of these are in Sydney
<img src="/images/2015/02/09/pressley%20feb%209%20one.png" alt="">
Greater-Sydney can be broken in to ‘Metropolitan’ and ‘Western Sydney’. With a population of 2.06 million people (8.9% of Australia), Western Sydney on its own is bigger than the combined populations of South Australia, Tasmania, ACT, and Northern Territory.
With a median house price of $730,000 Sydney is the least affordable location in Australia (miles above the capital city average of $580,000).
For the same price that you can buy a Sydney apartment (median value $576,000) you can buy a house in every other location in Australia with the exception of Melbourne.
Sydney’s population growth rate has been below the national average for much of the past 10 years, and only ahead of economic minnows South Australia and Hobart. Rate of growth is completely different to population size.
<img src="/images/2015/02/09/pressley%20feb%209%20two.jpg" alt="">
New South Wales has a long history of people immigrating away from Sydney to alternative locations. Cost of living, especially housing, is a key factor.
<img src="/images/2015/02/09/pressley%20feb%209%20three.jpg" alt="">
Sydney has been Australia's worst performing capital city market since the 2000 Olympic Games. Sydney’s high property prices meant less buyer competition to force the rate of growth that other locations around the country have historically experienced. It’s not until we had 60-year low interest rates that Sydney has first significant price growth spurt in more than a decade.
<img src="/images/2015/02/09/pressley%20feb%209%20four.jpg" alt="">
Through 2000 to 2010, the NSW unemployment rate was regularly above the national average. A massive job swing has recently occurred; of the <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/the-environment-for-property-investors-is-healthy/" target="_blank">134,408 jobs created nationally</a> during 2014, 52,975 of these were in Sydney. Boom!
<img src="/images/2015/02/09/pressley%20feb%209%20five.jpg" alt="">
Metropolitan Sydney is Australia’s white-collar capital and unemployment rates are currently up to 50% better than the national average. Much of the recent jobs growth has been in white collar sectors such as financial services. If only people can afford to buy a property in Metro Sydney.
Large parts of Western Sydney, on the other hand, have significantly fewer job opportunities. Manufacturing accounts for 16% of jobs (not ideal in the current climate) while a fifth of all businesses are in the construction industry. Australia’s highest crime rates are in Western Sydney.
<img src="/images/2015/02/09/pressley%20feb%209%20six.png" alt="">
To overcome a reported 182,000 job shortfall, tens of thousands of people have to commute from the more affordable western suburbs to work in metro Sydney each day.
Transport infrastructure has not kept pace with population growth. The rail network has not been significantly expanded since the 1930s, yet the region’s population is now five times greater. The heavy reliance on passenger cars results in horrendous traffic congestion, loss of productivity, and high fuel costs. Remember that earlier Interstate Immigration graph?
15 years of babble about Sydney having run out of land and therefore having <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Supply-and-Demand-State-by-State_2014.11.pdf" target="_blank" style="font-size: 12.1599998474121px; line-height: 1.3em;">an under-supplied property market is not totally correct</a>. Metro Sydney’s land shortage has been compensated by higher density construction while sprawl has occurred to the west. Overall, dwelling construction was greater than required until the GFC handbrake was applied. The tightening of supply is another reason for the more recent pressure on Sydney property prices.
There is significantly more supply in the property pipeline. Building approvals are now at record levels.
<img src="/images/2015/02/09/pressley%20feb%209%20seven.jpg" alt="">
My money is on Sydney performing similar to the last 15 years – below the Australian average. But the immediate question is whether policy makers play one of those jokers!
Simon Pressley is managing director of Propertyology, a property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and buyer’s agent.
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/more-than-a-buyers-agent/" target="_blank">Propertyology </a>works exclusively with property investors to purchase properties in strategically chosen locations all over Australia.
<h2>How to purchase high-performing investment properties: a free Propertyology eBook</h2>
 
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The Sydney property market house of cards - the joker in the pack: Simon Pressley

Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.

Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FH_1EzB-1vs?si=XScVlP1ERsTDJoME" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.

Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.

“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.

He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]

After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.

"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."

Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.

"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]

Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.

"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."

For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tsioMLcnjas?si=zq-ys3JuWpfa5hFv" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.

"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."

As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.

"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.

"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]

Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.

"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."

That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.

"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351104]

Aimee says one moment stood out.

"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."

The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.

Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356822]

ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;

The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]

For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.

"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."

For Aimee, the change is measured in time.

“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351102]

Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.

ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]

Joel Robinson

From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

Virgate Property Group is preparing to commence construction of Verdé, its new apartment development in Melbourne's Arts Precinct at Southbank, following a strong run of sales that has seen more than half of the project's 173 apartments secured.

Verdé has attracted a broad mix of first home buyers, owner-occupiers upgrading from nearby inner-city suburbs and investors, with younger owner-occupier couples aged between 28 and 45 accounting for the strongest enquiry. Many are already living in Southbank, South Melbourne, Albert Park, Port Melbourne, South Yarra and the CBD.

"Verdé is located in one of the most desirable pockets of southern Melbourne," Blair Property Group Director Darren Blair, who is managing sales at Verdé, said.

"It's within walking distance of the Arts Centre, Royal Botanic Gardens, Albert Park Lake, and Southbank's restaurants and retail. It's a great lifestyle location with strong amenity and liveability, which made it a very attractive choice for the project."

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Virgate was already familiar with the precinct, having previously delivered the successful Domain House development in neighbouring South Melbourne. That experience gave the developer confidence to acquire the Coventry Street site and continue expanding its presence in Melbourne's inner south.

"We had been keeping an eye on the site and the broader precinct for a few months before deciding to move forward with the acquisition," Virgate said.

The project was ultimately secured in 2020 following feasibility studies, planning assessments and due diligence, with the brief centred on delivering "a high-quality, considered design that feels both refined and fit for purpose."

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Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, Verdé comprises 173 one, two and three-bedroom apartments priced from $599,000. The architecture is distinguished by a faceted glass façade that responds to both the site's outlook and Melbourne's changing light conditions.

According to Bruce Henderson Architects, the coloured glazing gives the building a distinctive identity while also providing privacy and solar shading, with residences oriented to capture views across the bay, city skyline and surrounding parklands.

Inside, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> has created interiors focused on natural light, efficient planning and enduring materials. Apartments feature engineered oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, floor-to-ceiling glazing and SMEG appliances, while a restrained material palette aims to complement the expansive outlooks rather than compete with them.

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Resident amenity has also been designed around everyday functionality rather than occasional use. Facilities include a concierge-serviced lobby, residents' lounge with fireplace, library and co-working space, gym, terrace garden with barbecue facilities, ground-floor café, and package delivery management.

The project's location continues to be one of its strongest drawcards. Positioned on Coventry Street, Verdé sits within walking distance of the National Gallery of Victoria, Arts Centre Melbourne, Royal Botanic Gardens and Albert Park Lake, while Southbank's dining precinct, Sturt Street trams and the new ANZAC Station are all nearby. The surrounding education catchment also includes Melbourne Grammar, Melbourne Girls Grammar, Mac.Robertson Girls' High School and several major university campuses.

The sales team says buyers have responded particularly well to the combination of location, design quality and long-term liveability.

"They're responding really positively to the quality of the design, premium resident amenities and the uninterrupted views. Many also appreciate the location and how connected it is to everything they need."

The ability to secure stamp duty savings before completion has also been a key factor for purchasers, alongside the opportunity to personalise finishes ahead of settlement.

With construction set to commence soon and more than half the apartments already sold, Verdé enters its next phase as one of the Arts Precinct's more established apartment developments, offering remaining buyers an opportunity to secure a residence before construction advances further. Expected completion is scheduled for late 2027.

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Virgate's Verdé Southbank moves toward construction as sales fly past halfway stage

Downsizer-focused apartment development Kooyongkoot in Hawthorn has been recognised at the 2026 Better Future Melbourne Design Awards, taking home Gold and Silver awards in two categories.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kooyongkoot-hawthorn-1-kooyongkoot-road-hawthorn-vic-3122">Kooyongkoot</a>, currently being delivered by developer PQD and designed by Cera Stribley, received Gold in the Interior Design – Proposed category and Silver in the Architecture – Proposed category.

The dual recognition reflects the design approach behind the boutique development on prestigious Kooyongkoot Road, where the focus has been on creating homes for downsizers seeking the space, quality and functionality of a detached house within a low-rise apartment building.

Rather than maximising apartment numbers, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pqd">PQD</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a> limited the development to just 18 residences, allowing for larger floorplans, greater privacy, generous landscaping and expansive communal spaces.&nbsp;The majority of the apartments also benefit from corner aspects, allowing for dual sources of natural light.

Now around 70 per cent complete and on track for completion in November 2026, Kooyongkoot will comprise a mix of garden residences, ter​race apartments, sub-penthouses, and is crowned by two half-floor penthouses with direct lift access and private rooftop terraces.

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The Silver Award for Architecture recognised the way the building responds to its prominent corner position at the ent​rance to Hawthorn's Scotch Hill precinct, one of Melbourne's most established residential neighbourhoods.

Rather than competing with the grand homes that line Kooyongkoot Road, the architectural approach focused on restraint and longevity, using curved brickwork, generous landscaping and carefully considered proportions to integrate with the existing streetscape.

"The form feels fluid and timeless, as though shaped by the landscape itself – architecture that belongs, rather than competes," said Chris Stribley, Co-Founder and Managing Principal of Cera Stribley.

The judging submission also highlighted practical innovations throughout the building, including lift cores servicing only nine homes each, a central landscaped lightcourt designed to bring daylight and ventilation into the building, and fully enclosed private storage rooms with lighting, power and shelving to better accommodate residents transitioning from larger family homes.

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The Gold Award for Interior Design recognised the project's focus on long-term liveability rather than display-home aesthetics.

According to the awards submission, the interiors were designed from the inside out, prioritising how homes would function over decades of daily use through generous proportions, practical storage, durable natural materials and flexible layouts.

The specification includes natural stone throughout, upgraded acoustic glazing, V-ZUG appliances and fully enclosed storage rooms, alongside an amenity offering focused on wellness, entertainment and everyday convenience.&nbsp;

Residents will have access to a gym and yoga studio, a wellness centre featuring traditional and infrared saunas, a cold therapy shower and treatment room, as well as a residents' lounge and golf simulator/cinema room for entertainment.&nbsp;Kooyongkoot has also considered the everyday convenience of its residents by offering a private carwash and pet wash facilities on site as well as dedicated parcel lockers and oversized fully enclosed storage rooms.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355303]

The project's attention to detail has already resonated with buyers. Earlier this year, Kooyongkoot recorded one of Boroondara's highest apartment sales when an $8 million penthouse was purchased by a Melbourne CEO downsizing from a nearby family home.

"Every detail feels deliberate, from the overall design down to the smallest touches," the purchaser said.

"The level of quality and refinement is exceptional, but what really sold it was how liveable it felt... It felt like a place where everything had been considered, not just a luxury building."

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Sustainability also formed a key part of both award submissions. Kooyongkoot is targeting a minimum 7.5-star NatHERS rating across all residences, supported by passive design principles, high-performance glazing, EV charging infrastructure, water reuse systems and a wellness model focused on lower-energy dry facilities rather than pools and large wet areas.

Located within walking distance of Scotch College, Methodist Ladies' College, Koo​yong Lawn Tennis Club, Aubur​n Village and Camberwell Junction, Kooyongkoot continues to target owner-occupiers looking to remain in Melbourne's inner east without compromising on space or quality. A limited selection of two, three and four-bedroom residences remains available, with prices starting from $1.9 million.

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Kooyongkoot wins Gold and Silver at Better Future Melbourne Design Awards

New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

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Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

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Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

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Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

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The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

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The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Simon Pressley

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