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We’re not in a property bubble, according to CommSec chief economist Craig James, but we are experiencing a “balancing” in Sydney.
With a slowdown in national home prices recorded by CoreLogic RP Data, and mixed results across capital city housing markets, James noted that there is no need for the Reserve Bank to progress with macroprudential controls on property investors.
“In essence, the market is correcting itself with more supply coming on to the market as evidenced by new listings and softer demand for homes in response to the higher prices. There is no bubble – demand ran ahead of supply in some capital cities like Sydney but markets are balancing,” James said.
With house prices down 0.3% in November and apartment prices up 0.1%, it’s not surprising that some are wondering if the growth is now over.
ANZ’s David Cannington has also focused on the easing down from the mid-2014 peak, but notes that positive home buyer sentiment and fundamentals still exist.
“Sydney house price gains are leading the pack, with a pick up in population growth driving strong underlying housing demand and solid capital growth attracting residential property investors,” wrote Cannington.
“Nonetheless, we expect house price momentum will ease heading into 2015 with house price growth in Sydney and Melbourne in particular likely to be weighed down by deteriorating affordability.”
Over 2015, he says that the affordability gap will weigh on price growth in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth.
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

No bubble and no need for macroprudential control: Craig James

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<img src="/images/2014/12/02/henry%20dec%202%20one.jpg" width="150" style="float: right;">
Foreign buyers continue to be a talking point for property fanatics in Australia.
Co-CEO of Chinese listing website Juwai, Simon Henry, pictured right, spoke to Property Observer from Hong Kong about some widely held perceptions of foreign buyers and how they really affect the Australian property market.
<ul>
<li>People get quite up in arms about foreign investors pricing first home buyers out of their suburbs. What do you think?</li>
</ul>
The latest Parliamentary report is probably the best indicator. There are a few key things to look at here. One is – is foreign investment good for Australia? Number two – is it pricing the home buyers out of the market? And number three – is the FIRB process actually working?
It found that, firstly, foreign investment is very good for Australia. It adds supply, that actually keeps prices low. If it wasn’t for foreign investors coming into the country prices would probably be higher than what they are. About 9% of the Australian population is employed in the construction industry and it is probably one of the things that has actually helped us be one of the few countries in the OECD to stay out of recession.
In terms of the first home buyers they found that the price point at which the foreign investors are buying is not the same as the first home buyer and that the two segments are almost completely segmented and unaffected by each other.
<ul>
<li>If this is the case, then why do you think we do still have a number of people saying that they are pricing out the first home buyers?</li>
</ul>
The evidence doesn’t suggest that, so I think it’s just misinformation. There’s a lot of media hype around the foreign investors in terms of what they’re doing and what they’re buying and the price point. I think this report shows that they are two very separate markets.
The report also finds that the average property bought by a foreign investor is $900,000 plus, which is well out of the price range of the first home buyer. The report also says that the Chinese shouldn’t be singled out in terms of a foreign buying group because the United States, for instance, are a very close second.
<ul>
<li>What sort of areas are we seeing Chinese buyers purchasing in?</li>
</ul>
We’re definitely seeing them purchasing in the major cities, you’re looking at Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane and the Gold Coast. Within those areas we're usually looking at the inner city, which is where most of the new builds happen, as the hottest spots.
But then your domestic Chinese audience, those Chinese Australians, typically buy in the high-concentration Chinese areas. In Melbourne that’s Doncaster, Box Hill and in Brisbane it’s Sunnybank Hills, in Sydney it’s Chatswood.
We’re dealing with two groups here. One is the domestic audience and one is an international audience.
<ul>
<li>Do you think in areas where there is established property that there is any illegal property activity occurring?</li>
</ul>
Definitely not. Anyone can buy a property in Australia as long as it has FIRB. If you look at some of the suburbs around, say, Double Bay or Mosman, these are multi-million dollar properties. They are established properties, however it is shown that people who buy these properties have approval to do so.
<ul>
<li>It looks as though it might take a while for public perception to come around to this. What’s your perspective?</li>
</ul>
It’s a shame really as the effect of foreign investment on Australia is so radically good. Instead of looking at foreign investors and saying ‘wow they’re driving up prices’, my view is that we should be saying ‘wow, thank you – you helped us avoid a complete recession in Australia during very hard times.’
<ul>
<li>Looking at your listings portal, Juwai, how many extra activity have you seen over the past 12 to 24 months?</li>
</ul>
We’ve definitely seen a lot of interest shifting towards Australia. It’s the second most popular country [on our portal] and the USA is number one, Canada is number three. So it is currently competing for foreign investment and there are other countries around the world with a lot less restriction [around foreign ownership] – the United States for example has almost no restrictions. It’s really a case of what amount will go to Australia to help fuel the Australian economy.
<ul>
<li>Some investors say that they can’t go overseas and buy a property in China and that it seems a little unequal that they can buy a property here. What do you think?</li>
</ul>
I certainly see where people are coming from. I lived in Thailand for 10 years. However it’s also just a case of demand. If you are a resident in China and worked and lived there for a year then you can buy a property. There’s also 1.4 billion people in China and they don’t require foreign investment in the property sector because they have an aggressive domestic supply.
Australia, on the other hand, has a massive shortage of housing. With population growth expected to be strong we’re looking to build around 400,000 new dwellings over the next couple of years just to handle the immigration supply. We need foreign investment in Australia.
Australia is a lucky country and it does have an immigration policy that brings more people to the country. With record low interest rates it causes people to be able to borrow more money and to buy property of higher value, but the major issue is supply. Whether that’s as a result of government policy, restrictions, the release of land, all those things – if you want to keep prices under control then supply has got to increase.
<ul>
<li>What is the future looking like for foreign investment?</li>
</ul>
We think that the market for foreign investment will continue to grow. We see it as a fantastic opportunity for every country that accepts foreign investment to benefit from it greatly. The only country in the world to have more foreign investment restrictions [than Australia] is Switzerland. Australia’s right up there already with the restrictions placed on foreign investors. Australia has been fortunate enough by its geolocation to Asia and its reputation that it still attracts a good number of foreign investors and this will continue.
It’s driven by the major motivations of Chinese looking at property: Investment, education and immigration.
Australia has a great reputation in terms of education and destination marketing.
See over page for the top 10 Sydney suburbs attracting Chinese buyer interest.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Here are Juwai's 10 Sydney suburbs for Chinese buyer interest at present.
<ol>
<li>
<a href="/news">Mosman</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Bondi Beach</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Campbelltown</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Willoughby</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">South Coogee</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Castlecrag</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Sydney</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Cremorne</a> 
</li>
<li>
<a href="/news">Bowral</a> 
</li>
<li><a href="/news">Cremorne Point</a></li>
</ol>
Source: Juwai
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Foreign investment has pushed prices down, not up: Q&A with Juwai's Simon Henry

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A new Underquoting Advisory Panel was launched late last month by the Real Estate Institute of South Australia (REISA) with the aim of assisting the CEO and the Professional Standards Committee with progressing formal complaints about underquoting.
Effectively, they will look at the information and evidence to see whether it is sufficient to progress the complaint.
They mention that along with the legislation, the REISA requires members to provide an honest, researched and realistic appraisal of market value through the Code of Conduct.
Their official release notes that from “time to time” they are advised of possible instances of underquoting, and note that it can be “a very difficult complaints to manage and determine due to the various opinions and views on pricing representations with regard to selling real estate.”
The new panel will guide the initial complaint, subsequent referral and determination by the Professional Standards Committee.
They also referenced the <a href="/expert-insights/investing/victorian-election-real-estate-dramas-underquoting-and-election-stunts">previo</a><a href="/expert-insights/investing/victorian-election-real-estate-dramas-underquoting-and-election-stunts">usly mooted approach to underquoting that became an election issue last week</a>, noting that the South Australian legislation is even tougher than the suggested Victorian laws. In South Australia, the agent is required to give evidence of their genuine estimate to the vendor and the reserve is linked to the vendor’s acceptable price.
They also put out a reminder as to the rules of price guidance.
REISA considers that the following six examples are in breach of the legislation:
<ul>
<li>Offers considered over $400,000</li>
<li>Lots ranging from $400,000</li>
<li>Properties ranging from $400,000 to $1m</li>
<li>Price guide $400,000</li>
<li>Price guide $400,000 - $440,000</li>
<li>Advising purchasers of comparable sales (if one of the sales is less than the prescribed minimum advertising price and / or if the range of sales exceeds the 10% limit rule).</li>
</ul>
It is an offence to mislead on this matter which, in South Australia, can lead to a $20,000 fine, one year imprisonment, loss of commission and disqualification from being a registered agent or sales representative.
The four panel members have not all been officially announced but will include m3 Property’s Kym Dreyer and Herron Todd White director Bill Waterhouse.
An alternative suggestion to further regulating underquoting came from Miriam Sandkuhler. She suggests that <a href="/expert-insights/its-time-to-appoint-a-real-estate-ombudsman">a Real Estate Ombudsman is needed</a>.
{mijopolls 66}
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Should all states follow the Real Estate Institute of South Australia’s Underquoting Advisory Panel?

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BIS Shrapnel’s Outlook for Residential Land, 2014 to 2019 report has forecast that Sydney’s upturn will continue but the big performers appear to be Queensland’s Brisbane, Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast. Perth is, however, expecting a downturn over the period.
Sydney’s sales rate in the outer suburbs is notable for being close to its early-2000s level, explains BIS Shrapnel’s senior manager and report author Angie Zigomanis. Despite the increase in sales there has been an extended downturn in Sydney’s land market resulting in a continued shortfall in new housing.
The markets in Brisbane, Gold Coast and the Sunshine Coast can be looked at more as a recovery after extended weakness, with new house and land packages looking affordable relative to established houses with minimal upwards movement for land prices.
Melbourne and Adelaide are forecast to see growth, at a moderate pace, over 2015 – even in the low interest rate environment – with healthy levels of new house building seen in both.
“Demand for land in both the Melbourne and Adelaide markets is showing some increase, underpinned by low interest rates,” said Zigomanis.
“In Melbourne, lot production bottomed out in 2013/14 after the land market was oversupplied due to new subdivisions coming online following the market peaking in 2009/10. As a result, the stock of completed lots had to be progressively sold down before the next round of development could occur,” he said, noting that any excess has now been absorbed by an uptick in land demand, rising prices and low interest rates with sell outs in estates and off the plan sales common.
“Adelaide experienced mild growth in lot production in 2013/14, with low interest rates and limited price growth improving affordability and encouraging greater demand for land. However, the upside is more limited, with slower population growth expected, resulting in milder growth in demand for new dwellings in general. The market is also being impacted by the removal of the Housing Construction Grant at the end of 2013,” he said.
National roundup begins on the next page. Please click below.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
Sydney – In an upturn
Falls in lot prices (median lot price of $290,000 in 2013/2014) and rises in outer Sydney house prices have improved the attractiveness of new houses compared to established.
“The peak in land prices in 2004/05 meant that a significant premium had to be paid to buy a new house compared to the cost of an established home,” said Zigomanis.
“With established houses being much more affordable, demand for new houses collapsed in the following years and lot production fell to a low of 1,400 lots in 2009/10, with significant pent up demand also developing.”
Key driver: Low interest rates and improved affordability for new houses.
Lot sales have increased, with around 5,500 lots per annum estimated to have been completed for 2012/2013 and 2013/2014.
8,100 lots per annum forecast to be complete over five year to 2018/2019
Forecast peak of 9,000 lots in 2016/2017.
Brisbane – Entered early stages of recovery
Early recovery phase entered in 2013/2014, as lot production rises from 4,700 lots in 2012/2013 to 6,000 lots, though it remains below 8,900 lots per annum produced in the 10 years to 2011/2012.
“The improvement in lot production in 2013/14 was underpinned by the emergence of pent up demand for new houses after the sustained period of low new dwelling activity following the GFC,” said Zigomanis.
“Cuts to interest rates have improved the affordability equation for Brisbane home buyers, while weak land prices over the last five years have also made new housing more attractive.”
Key driver: Net interstate migration expected to pick up with strong price growth in southern states to encourage some to look to Queensland. Deficiency of dwellings to remain.
Lot production forecast to continue to rise and peak at 9,000 lots per annum by 2015/2016. Lot sizes have failed to maintain affordability, but are larger on average than other capitals.
Gold Coast/Sunshine Coast – Strengthening expected
A collapse in demand was seen after the GFC, with just 600 lots produced in each in 2012/2013, the lowest in 20 years.
“This lack of new dwelling supply has resulted in an underlying deficiency of dwellings emerging in both markets in 2013/14 – particularly for new houses – and we are seeing a recovery emerge,” said Zigomanis.
“Low interest rates have boosted affordability, which in turn has allowed for this pent up demand to be released. Land production in 2013/14 increased to an estimated 1,475 lots on the Gold Coast and 950 lots on the Sunshine Coast.”
Key driver: Local economic conditions becoming positive, major non-residential projects commencing, tourism sector increasing, interstate migration improving.
Lot production forecast to continue to strengthen, to peak at 2,100 on the Gold Coast and 1,800 on the Sunshine Coast by 2016/2017. 
Melbourne – Working through oversupply
Number of new estates increased strongly from 2008/2009 to 2012/2013, with just under 19,000 lots per annum completed in Outer Melbourne from 2008/2009 to 2011/2012. A downturn in demand was seen in 2010/2011.
“The excess of completed lots coincided with a 39% decline in new house building approvals in Outer Melbourne between 2009/10 and 2012/13, which in turn exacerbated the oversupply of land,” he said.
“As a result, new lot completions more than halved to 9,100 lots in 2013/14; the lowest level since 1997/98.”
Key driver: Low interest rates, population growth.
With stronger demand seen in 2013/2014, new developers have taken to selling future stages off the plan, with a solid increase in lot completions expected for next year, with a pea of 16,000 lots expected by 2015/2016.
Adelaide – Pick up after strong declne
An uptick was seen in lot production for outer Adelaide in 2013/2014 after a 42% decline from a 2008/2009 peak of 5,200 lots to 3,000 in 2012/2013.
Low interest rates and resulting improving affordability and declines in median land price have pushed up demand and lot production to 3,400 lots in 2013/2014.
Key driver: Low interest rates, $8,500 Housing Construction Grant.
Demand for Outer Adelaide is expected to remain stable. An average of 3,200 lots per annum is expected until 2018/2019. 
Perth – Moving into a downturn
Perth’s outer suburbs’ market, including Mandurah, rebounded strongly after the GFC downturn, with record migration and population growth, along with the mining boom, to drive lot production from 6,800 lots in 2011/2012 to 13,200 lots (a record) in 2013/2014.      
“A key to this rebound in activity has also been the improved housing and land affordability that emerged after prices stagnated over 2007-2012,” he said.
“With average land sizes, and therefore prices, also falling in Perth, improved land affordability relative to established houses also increased the demand for new houses and land.”
Key driver (causing downturn): Resource sector easing, resulting drops in migration inflows, population growth slowing, lowering purchaser confidence.
Record levels will be sustained over 2014/2015, according to BIS Shrapnel, but lot production will drop to a low of 8,800 lots by 2017/2018.
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Sydney demand to continue as South East Queensland gains momentum: BIS Shrapnel’s national forecast

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If negative gearing is abolished, then renters should be prepared to pay 50% or more extra according to Chan &amp; Naylor.
While it has recently been argued that the government would save $5 billion in the first year by abolishing negative gearing, Chan &amp; Naylor’s Ken Raiss said that wider economic uncertainty and social dislocation would result as investment properties would quickly be re-directed into the hands of commercial landlords who would charge more.
With 96% of public housing provided by private investors, the majoring being ‘mum and dad’ investors, Raiss explains that as a result rental properties are available at varying levels of affordability.
Raiss argues that if the tax effect is taken out, then the 90% stock owned by mum and dad investors with one or two properties (73% an 18% respectively) will be bought up by commercial landlords who will charge more in order to get the higher rental yields that they typically see on their commercial portfolios.
Raiss notes that yields for commercial property are typically 50% above residential property.
 “Like any other public utility, as soon as they enter private and more entrepreneurial hands then prices will go up, and in the case of public housing this could lead to a rental price hike of as much as 50% over time, resulting in the government having to shoulder the weight of providing a much larger percentage of housing for tenants and social dislocation for those unable to receive government housing,” said Raiss.
“Small business owners wouldn’t invest in a new or start up business if they couldn’t claim their losses, so there is no reason why property investment should be any different,” he said.
In fact, his view is that property investors face a significant challenge of buying somewhere with enough growth that it offsets all their costs in the meantime.
“Property is the biggest asset most people will own, and so they need to surround themselves with professionals who can offer advice in making considered and informed decisions, such as buying in the right market and property cycle or choosing a property with the opportunity to raise equity through renovation or improvement, boosting both capital value as well as rental yield,” he said.
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Be prepared to pay 50% more rent if negative gearing goes: Chan & Naylor

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The demand for fixed rates hit a nine month high in November as an increasing numbers of people choose to fix their mortgage, according to Mortgage Choice’s latest national home loan approval data.
Fixed rate loans accounted for 26.98% of all loans written last month, a slight uptick from 26.64% recorded in October.
Mortgage Choice spokesperson Jessica Darnbrough said that it is likely borrowers want certainty around their repayments as rates stay low.
“A growing number of borrowers are beginning to realise that while rates are low, they can’t stay this way forever. And as such, they are looking to fix their mortgage now while rates are sitting at historically low levels,” said Darnbrough.
“Furthermore, a lot of lenders slashed the interest on their suite of fixed rate products at the end of July and we are finally starting to see the result of those rate movements coming through in our data.”
Variable rates with an ongoing discount, however, remain the most popular product.
In New South Wales, fixed rates accounted for 34.13% of loans written in November, compared to 28.65% in Queensland. Meanwhile, South Australia recorded 20.23% fixed loans, while Victoria and Western Australia noted 19.77% and 16.94% respectively.
Darnbrough said it’s unsurprising to see variable rates still popular as they do remain low.
“That said, fixed rates are also very competitive which is why we are seeing an increasing number of borrowers opting for the safety of a fixed rate product. Of course with interest rates currently sitting at historical lows and Australia’s lenders competing aggressively for business, borrowers can be assured of securing a good rate regardless of which product type they opt for,” she said.
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Fixed rate demand at nine month high: Mortgage Choice

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Queensland’s new real estate laws are now in place, despite much pushback from property industry members across the country.
The Queensland Property Occupations Act, passed through Parliament in May, will bring many changes to the property scene in Queensland. Most notably, price guides for properties going to auction are now outlawed.
Not only were the <a href="https://www.pertyobserver.com.au/finding/location/nsw/29164-reis-go-head-to-head-over-queensland-auction-price-guide-debate" target="_blank">Real Estate Institutes head-to-head over the issue</a>, but estate agent <a href="/news/qld/dark-ages-descending-on-queensland-as-auction-price-guide-ban-defies-common-sense-john-mcgrath">John McGrath called it “dark days” for the industry</a>.
Harcourts Queensland chief auctioneer Mitch Peereboom doesn’t expect any great changes to his role.
“The price guide obviously is the biggest issue, but ultimately in my role the impact of the price guide will be minimal because auction’s about having no price and the buyers determining the market place,” said Peereboom.
“The seller gets the transparency and determination from the buyers and the buyers get transparency as they are able to come forth with their best offer of what they believe the property is worth without any inhibiting from the seller in terms of what they are looking for.”
In fact, he notes that more buyers will inspect because there is no market price.
The Real Estate Institute of Queensland’s CEO Antonia Mercorella said that the rules are about cutting red tape, simplifying transactions and increasing transparency. The REIQ has been supportive of the laws.
“It’s been a long time coming, but it’s been worth the wait for these new laws,” Mercorella said.
“They’re specifically tailored to the realities of the modern real estate profession and will make life much easier for agents and consumers. The laws eliminate a lot of costly paperwork that’s been hampering agents and they feature practical reforms which will simplify real estate transactions in Queensland.”
She pointed to other key changes including the replacement of seven separate agent appointment forms with one, removing requirement for the agents to disclose to a buyer the commission they are receiving from the seller, extending the statutory limit on lengths of appointments for a sole exclusive agency from 60 days to 90 days, deregulating maximum commissions for sales and property management, and losing the requirement for a separate Form 30 Warning Statement.
<a href="/news/bid-for-homes-online-on-new-property-listings-website">Online auctioning platform ExchangeHouse</a> has also called the new laws beneficial for the industry, with director Mark Jamieson saying that the government "clearly" wants to limit subjective and opinionated price guides and information that could mislead.
"It is possible for real estate agents to provide objective, meaningful and accurate information to buyers, within the new act’s guidelines. It is all about the auction process and framework," said Jamieson.
“Our innovative online auction methodology requires the vendor to set a reserve price for their property upfront. The reserve is never disclosed to the market and is used to determine where bidding will start which is a first for the industry. Agents no longer need to provide a price guide under the ExchangeHouse method. Buyers can confidently inspect properties knowing where bidding is due to start well before bidding opens," he said.
“This method will bring greater transparency and efficiency around the property transaction process for agents, sellers and buyers. We believe it works within the new legislation and achieves the government’s goals of reducing red tape and misguided information.”
Other industry experts notably speaking out against the ban include News Corp commentator <a href="/news/qld/queenslands-auction-price-guidance-ban-legislation-is-madness-andrew-winter">Andrew Winter (who has called it 'madness’)</a>, the <a href="/expert-insights/buying/coercion-will-be-rife-under-new-queensland-price-guide-laws-rebaa">Real Estate Buyer's Association of Australia</a> and <a href="/expert-insights/investing/reinsws-malcolm-gunning-supports-early-publishing-of-reserve-prices">REINSW' Malcolm Gunning</a>.
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Price guide ban now in place for Queensland auctions

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New reforms have been introduced to the Western Australian Parliament regarding landowners and compensation when public works are undertaken on their property by the state government.
The Land Acquisition Legislation Amendment (Compensation) Bill 2014 was introduced to parliament yesterday.
The bill aims to reinforce private property rights when essential services need work, for instance power lines, and looks at the full impact of the land being used,  explained Premier Colin Barnett.
“The legislation will ensure the property rights of landholders - including pastoral leaseholders - are taken into account when Government decisions are made, and that those decisions are fair and transparent,” said Barnett.
“It will expressly require just compensation to be paid in cases where an interest in land is acquired for public works where there is loss of amenity, value of enjoyment, or changes in the aesthetic environment of land\,” he said.
He also noted that the Bill encourages utilities to use land already government-owned.
“Costs that are currently imposed on landholders will be appropriately transferred to the government authority undertaking the work,” he said.
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Reforms to clarify WA private property rights introduced to Parliament

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The Big Four banks continue to dominate Australia’s mortgage market, but when looking at refinancing figures it’s clear that the non-major lenders are taking an increasing share.
According to comparethemarket.com.au, an analysis of AFG’s latest data found non-major lenders responsible for 32.1% of refinanced mortgages in the last 12 months. When looking at all mortgages this figure dipped to 26%.
Comparethemarket.com.au’s Abigail Koch said that home owners who are looking to refinance are increasingly willing to consider small lenders, as opposed to first home buyers who stick to the mainstream lenders.
“Where first home buyers likely lack confidence and prefer the perceived safety of the ‘Big Four’, Australians refinancing, having gone through the mortgage process previously, are more comfortable using smaller lenders if it means they can secure a larger loan, lower rate or lower fees. As a result, they may be more willing to compare a variety of providers,” she said.
It seems the refinancing space offers opportunities for non-major lenders.
“Refinanced mortgages comprise just over a third of all AFG-introduced mortgages annually, it is a very substantial portion of the overall market. Additionally, data also shows that the percentage of first time buyers is steadily declining across every state in Australia,” she said.
First home buyers were noted as more likely than investors to opt for a non-major lender, with 29.1% of first timers opting for a non-major in the last 12 months, compared to 23.5% of investors. Of course, it’s worth remembering that investors are a major part of the market, and their numbers are substantially higher than first timers at present.
In fact, while first time buyers accounted for 10.2% of mortgages brokered by AFG, investors totalled 39.1% of business.
Investors may consider the big four as they have “greater financial muscle” when it comes to financing multiple properties, explained Koch.
“The GFC took its toll on smaller lenders. Consequently, customers looking to acquire a mortgage felt more comfortable going with the brands they had known their whole lives, as they felt they would be a safer bet,” she said.
“Now that the economy has stabilised, first time buyers are taking notice that the ‘smaller guys’ may have greater agility than the majors in terms of reducing interest rates and ongoing fees, which has helped them to steal a greater market share."
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First home buyers stick to Big Four as refinancers show confidence in non-majors

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The latest Finder Reserve Bank Survey, with 37 experts on the panel, has found that a rise in property prices is largely expected to occur next year.
Money Expert at Finder, Michelle Hutchison, said that this is bad news for first home buyers who are already struggling.
“If you’re a first home buyer struggling to get into the property market this year, next year isn’t looking to get any better,” she said.
Of those surveyed, 69% expect the price gains to continue.
“There were also 14% of respondents who expect property prices to stabilise, while 17% are betting on property prices to fall next year,” she said.
While it isn’t necessarily expected to improve, it may not worsen too much either.
“Most of the experts in the survey are expecting property prices to continue rising however, they don’t expect the higher costs will dramatically impact the first home buyer market,” she said.
The majority, 64%, expect the level of first home buyers active in the market to remain similar to this year, with one in five expecting fewer people will be able to enter market.
“With the national median property price across our capital cities hitting $545,000 in October – 8.9% higher than the previous year – it’s a good time to jump into the property market if you are prepared,” said Hutchison.
“But there’s no point in rushing in you’re not ready, because overstretching your budget could have serious consequences if interest rates rise next year.”
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“Next year isn’t looking to get any better” for struggling first timers: Finder

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

Joel Robinson

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

&nbsp;

Developer GURNER™ Group has revealed $1.65 billion in residential sales nationally across the 12 months to December 2025, driven largely by the continued momentum of its Docklands wellness-focused precinct, Elysium Fields.

The sales result was generated across seven projects in Victoria and New South Wales, headlined by Elysium Fields, GURNER™’s $2.75 billion mixed-use precinct planned for Harbour Esplanade in Docklands.

The project has recorded more than $500 million in sales across the first three towers, equating to around 580 apartments sold.

The first tower, Helios, has now sold out of its 240 private residences, with GURNER™ preparing to release a premium penthouse collection comprising 15 three-bedroom penthouses in coming weeks.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370975]

Elysium Fields is being developed on the long-held 20,000 sqm Docklands site at 208-226 Harbour Esplanade, which had remained undeveloped for more than two decades prior to GURNER™ taking over the project around four years ago.

Construction has now commenced across four towers ranging between 18 and 30 storeys, with Hamilton Marino and Maxcon appointed as builders.

Once complete, the precinct is expected to comprise around 1,100 residences, alongside retail, hospitality and public realm uses integrated throughout the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370981]

Designed by Fraser &amp; Partners in collaboration with GURNER™ Design House, the project has been positioned around the developer’s broader focus on wellness-led residential living.

“We don’t sell apartments. We create a true luxury lifestyle that simply doesn’t exist elsewhere in the market today,” Founder and Executive Chairman Tim Gurner said.

“To deliver that requires an extraordinary level of detail, coordination and discipline across multiple verticals, from design and hospitality through to wellness and service.”

“We’ve always believed that living extends far beyond the physical residence. It’s about how you feel the moment you arrive, how you live day-to-day, and the ecosystem that supports that.” 
[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370977]

The project’s design places a heavy focus on landscaping, wellness amenities and biophilic design principles.

Plans include around 3,700 sqm of landscaped gardens and open space throughout the precinct, alongside a retail and dining offering spanning approximately 5,000 sqm.

The broader public realm strategy centres around what GURNER™ describes as the “Path of Life”, an urban forest and landscaped pedestrian environment intended to connect the various buildings and wellness spaces across the precinct.

The apartments themselves will incorporate a range of wellness-focused inclusions, including purified air and water systems, circadian lighting, antimicrobial surfaces, and optional in-home wellness upgrades.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370980]

Gurner said the company’s experience through its Saint Haven wellness clubs had directly informed the residential offering now being incorporated into Elysium Fields.

“We’re seeing a clear global shift toward longevity, performance and proactive health,” Gurner said.

“Our role is to deliver that in a way that feels seamless, highly private and beautifully resolved within the environments we create.”

A large component of the wellness offering is planned through the resident amenity and health facilities proposed within the precinct.

That includes plans for bathing and recovery facilities spread throughout the towers, incorporating mineral pools, saunas, steam rooms, flotation therapy, red light therapy and wellness lounges.

The developer is also seeking approvals for what it describes as a “reverse ageing medical clinic” within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370978]

According to project information released by the group, the proposed facility would include cryotherapy, IV infusion therapy, infrared and dry saunas, PEMF beds, MRIs, DEXA scans, brain scans and blood analysis services.

Within the first tower, Helios, residents will also have access to a dedicated amenity offering known as the Sky Private Club.

The upper 15 levels of the building will include private lounges, dining spaces, rooftop amenities and optional private wellness studios integrated within residences.

The Helios tower itself comprises 260 apartments ranging between 60 sqm and 300 sqm, including a collection of penthouses.

That includes a planned two-storey penthouse spanning around 600 sqm with uninterrupted bay views.

The Elysium Fields precinct is being delivered in partnership with Digital Harbour Holdings, a consortium that includes the Liberman family, which controls the development rights across the Docklands site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370979]

The sales result comes as GURNER™ continues expanding its national development pipeline beyond Victoria.

“We have a strong pipeline across Australia and are now focused on scaling into key markets including New South Wales and Queensland, while continuing to build on our Melbourne base,” Gurner said.

“We currently have more than $3 billion in the market, growing to over $5 billion by October, and expect to materially outperform last year in the 2026 calendar year.”

The result also reflects the continued strength of the upper-end apartment market in Melbourne, particularly for owner-occupier-focused product with large-scale amenity and lifestyle offerings.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144441]

Record result anchored by the Group’s “utopian” Elysium Fields precinct – defying market headwinds in Docklands.

Elysium Fields drive Gurner to $1.65 billion in apartment sales over 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB) will fund <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera</a>, a $1 billion, 52-level luxury residential tower being developed by Central Equity in one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held coastal locations at Northcliffe.

The project, launched recently by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a>, one of Victoria’s largest private residential developers, comes at a time when construction funding for large residential developments has become increasingly competitive as lenders tighten exposure to the sector.

Multiplex has been appointed the builder, and construction is now underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365784]

Since its first project, Central Equity has delivered more than 85 residential developments with a combined end value exceeding $8 billion.

Palmera reflects Central Equity’s growing focus on the Gold Coast luxury apartment market and continues a relationship between Central Equity and NAB that dates back to the late 1980s, when the bank funded one of Melbourne’s earliest inner-city residential towers at a time when high-rise apartment living in the CBD was largely unproven.

“NAB’s funding of Central Equity’s $36 million CBD development in the late 1980’s to the financing of the billion-dollar tower today highlights the long-term relationship between the two organisations in delivering major residential projects” said Central Equity Founder and Chairman Eddie Kutner.

He said NAB’s early support was instrumental in helping establish the company’s development model.

“When we commenced our first residential tower in the late 1980s the concept of funding off-the-plan apartments was still largely untested in Australia,” Kutner said.

“NAB recognised the opportunity early and supported the project when others were uncertain. That relationship has now continued for more than 37 years across many developments.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Central Equity was established in 1987 when Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank precinct were still dominated by warehouses and commercial buildings. Fewer than 100 residents lived in Southbank at the time, and large-scale residential development in the inner city was not widely considered.

Recognising changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, the company began developing high-rise residential projects designed to bring permanent residents into the city centre.

Central Equity has provided accommodation for approximately 40,000 residents across Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank, while also incorporating supporting infrastructure including essential lifestyle facilities like retail spaces, childcare facilities and neighbourhood activity centres.

Central Equity has spent many years assembling the Palmera development site on the corner of Garfield Terrace and Frederick Street in Northcliffe, creating a supersite of around 3,300 sqm.

The developer said the Palmera apartment tower reflects its long-term view of the Gold Coast as a growing and increasingly diversified economy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365768]

Supported by infrastructure including the light rail network, major road upgrades expanded education, hospital and medical facilities and continued expansion at the Gold Coast Airport with more international and domestic flights.

Positioned in the tightly held Northcliffe precinct, the 52-level tower will deliver 347 apartments, targeting buyers seeking a high-end coastal lifestyle, from downsizers to interstate investors.

Designed by Marchese Partners with interiors by DBI, Palmera has been conceived as a next-generation residential offering, featuring a collection of oversized apartments, with premium three-bedroom residences offering sweeping northern views stretching from Surfers Paradise through to Burleigh Heads.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

NAB funds $1 billion Surfers Paradise apartment development, Palmera

Two years after completing one of the newest developments in North Sydney, developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aqualand-australia">Aqualand</a> is turning its attention to the rapidly evolving St Leonards apartment market.

The developer, which completed AURA by Aqualand on North Sydney's Walker Street, has lodged plans for a 5,918 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/33-37-herbert-street-st-leonards-nsw-2065">33-37 Herbert Street, St Leonards,</a> seeking approval for a pair of residential towers rising above a shared podium opposite Royal North Shore Hospital.

The proposal forms part of the broader transformation underway across the St Leonards-Crows Nest precinct, where former industrial and commercial sites are increasingly being redeveloped into high-density mixed-use projects tied to major transport infrastructure.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2cc428cf-fe70-4cac-9cd5-264ad53af62c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=otKSnHtbjAvAddOnovyXQMgcAwE6DMe1" />

According to the planning documents, the site sits “within the St Leonards–Crows Nest Strategic Centre, identified by the NSW Government as a key area for accommodating future jobs and housing across Sydney.”

The proposal has been designed by fjcstudio, formerly FJMT Studio, and is being progressed through the State Significant Development pathway due to its scale and affordable housing provision.

The scheme would comprise 413 apartments, including 46 affordable housing units, alongside retail and commercial uses fronting Herbert Street. The project would also include communal open space, landscaping, a swimming pool, gymnasium, children’s play areas and podium-level resident amenities.

Planning documents show the development would consist of a part-13, part-39 storey tower form positioned above a four-storey podium.

“The development comprises a unified podium that activates the street interface, and two setback towers to accommodate new housing supply while maintaining an appropriate human scale at ground level,” fjcstudio noted in its Design Report.

The northern and southern towers have been shaped to respond to the surrounding skyline while also limiting overshadowing impacts to nearby public open space, particularly Talus Reserve.

The design report said the differing tower heights were intended to “contribute to a varied skyline while responding to the surrounding built form context and solar access considerations.”

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36da62dc-ff9e-41f2-a7e3-7be38373751c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.45%E2%80%AFAM_0.png?VersionId=Mo6Rp2r.XRLTzIfg_PEEpw8NepDH8UBs" />

The site sits directly opposite Royal North Shore Hospital and within walking distance of both St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

While the site itself sits just outside the formal Crows Nest Transport Oriented Development boundary, the planning documents repeatedly reference its alignment with the broader TOD objectives reshaping the Lower North Shore.

“The site is located adjacent to St Leonards Station and in close proximity to Crows Nest Metro which is within the Crows Nest Transit Orientated Development Accelerated Precinct which has been identified by the NSW Government to support housing delivery,” the Design Verification Statement noted.

According to fjcstudio, the project has been designed to respond to the broader transition occurring across St Leonards, where increasing residential density is being concentrated around transport infrastructure and employment hubs.

“The broader precinct is undergoing significant change, with a mix of existing mid-rise buildings and newer high-density developments,” the report stated.

“Recent and approved projects indicate a consistent shift toward taller built form, typically organised as tower-and-podium typologies with more active ground levels.”

The proposal includes close to 6,000 sqm of retail and commercial space across the ground floor and podium levels, designed to create a more activated street edge along Herbert Street.

Aqualand’s plans would also introduce a landscaped podium shared between the two towers, with communal open space in the form of a podium rooftop designed to support resident interaction and improve urban greening outcomes. The scheme would also introduce pocket parks at the northern and southern ends of the site, including a landscaped area at the corner of Herbert and Ella streets designed to improve pedestrian amenity and soften the streetscape.

&nbsp;

The proposal is being progressed through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway, which was introduced to accelerate housing supply across the state. The application was declared State Significant Development in April 2025 following an expression of interest process.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="faf6d97d-2671-454f-b85a-fe1c6a7be608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=diVd28OBVr5.YV.7prrOz.uAanwwwm7a" />

St Leonards has been particularly active with new developments in recent weeks. Developer SP Setia’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-sp-setia-targets-st-leonards-skyline-with-40-storey-tod-tower">plans for a new 42-storey tower</a> recently went on exhibition through the same pathway, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">Stockland’s 52-storey tower proposal</a> was also recently unveiled.

Aside from the St Leonards project, which is expected to take around nine months to move through the approvals process ahead of a potential 2027 launch, Aqualand is also preparing to launch Boronia, a new apartment project in Roseville comprising around 111 apartments on Larkin Street.

The developer also has approvals in place for the next stage of the Barangaroo precinct, which will feature new residential, retail, hospitality and community uses, alongside a new metro entry across the five-hectare site.

More than 50 new retail destinations are planned for Central Barangaroo, alongside a 270-metre-long boulevard connecting Hickson Park to Nawi Cove. Together with Harbour Park, more than 50 per cent of the precinct will comprise public open space and parkland.

Jennifer Duke

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