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How the RBA interest rate cut affects your home loan after the 50-basis-point cut

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Today, all eyes will be on the Reserve Bank amid speculation that the cash rate will be eased by at least 25 basis points.
The RBA has often faced pressure from politicians and business leaders to reduce interest rates. But it seems that the objectives of politicians and independent monetary policy-makers are not always in agreement. Is there a way for the RBA to arm itself against meddlesome political rhetoric?
Ben Bernanke, chair of the US Federal Reserve, announced recently that the <a target="_blank" href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomc.htm">Open Market Committee</a> would publish its views on future interest rates. This move towards greater transparency brings the Federal Reserve into line with other central banks that publish interest rate projections, including New Zealand, Norway, and Sweden. Should the RBA adopt a similar approach?
An advantage of publishing longer-term interest rate projections is that the markets and other government departments have a clearer indication of what the future holds.
These projections are not promises; the planned path of interest rates will evolve in response to monetary conditions. Communication of the uncertainty about the plan would allow the public to gauge the odds that the current monetary strategy will require a rethink in the future.
Unfortunately, there are circumstances in which politicians and the public favour adjusting the monetary strategy to accommodate inflationary pressures, regardless of the inflation target.
The job of the independent central bank is to resist short-termism. Recently, the pressure in Australia has been strong.
“In the current economic environment, should the RBA consider it appropriate to change the cash rate, this could deliver widespread benefits for households and business – noting that a number of sectors of the economy most under strain are arguably more sensitive to interest rates”. Julia Gillard (<a target="_blank" href="https://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/pms-salvo-to-reserve-drop-rates-20120418-1x817">from a speech to a business audience, Perth, April 20, 2012</a>).
“The Reserve Bank has made the wrong call consistently and compounded those wrong calls. For some bizarre reason in this country, it’s like it is religious heresy to criticise the decisions of the RBA”. Paul Howes (talking to ABC Radio, quoted in The Australian, April 11, 2012).
And the chair of industry funds management, Garry Weaven, added further to the pressure. “At the end of the day, no-one is truly independent. If the requirements, both for the government and for the Reserve Bank, is the greatest good of the Australian people and, in particular, the specific requirements in the Reserve Act of full employment, then, you know, on independence of thought, fine, but in the end you must take account of the full picture.” Garry Weaven (<a target="_blank" href="https://www.abc.net.au/am/content/2012/s3479814.htm">talking to ABC News</a>, AM, April 18, 2012).
The RBA would be less vulnerable to political pressure if armed with an interest rate path. Then, to be taken seriously, a critique of policy would require a new path for interest rates, justified on an alternative assessment of monetary conditions. Simple claims of “the wrong call” wouldn’t suffice.
How difficult would it be for the RBA to publish longer-term probabilistic interest rate projections? Other countries, such as Norway, have found this route to be feasible.
Closer to home, the RBA Shadow Board at the Australian National University’s Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) currently provides long-term interest rate projections from individual <a target="_blank" href="https://cama.anu.edu.au/ShadowRBAboard.asp">shadow board members</a>. The CAMA Shadow Board projections for Australia, which are not forecasts of actual RBA Board behaviour, reveal a considerably diversity of views for longer-term interest rates.
Some experts – like some politicians – think that the monetary stance ought to be looser in 12 months. Others are not yet persuaded, seeing rates likely to rise over the next year. The pledge of future fiscal surpluses has not been enough to convince these independent experts that rates will be lower in the longer term. A key advantage of using monetary policy experts on a board is their monetary policy expertise. Monetary policymakers should not be easily swayed by government rhetoric.
Longer-term interest rate projections offer the RBA a feasible route to greater transparency and enhanced operational independence from short-term political interference. An expert-based RBA board would be a further improvement.
Shaun Vahey is a professor at ANU College of Business and Economics at <a target="_blank" href="https://www.anu.edu.au/">Australian National University</a>.
Liz Wakerly is a research fellow at the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis at <a target="_blank" href="https://www.anu.edu.au/">Australian National University</a>.
This article originally appeared on <a target="_blank" href="https://theconversation.edu.au/">The Conversation.</a>
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An interest rate path would provide greater independence for the RBA

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A 1970s façade turned off potential buyers of a Melbourne townhouse at the weekend, as it was passed in and sold at a price at the lower end of its quoted range.
There's now a tipping website, <a href="https://www.propertytycoon.com.au/" target="_blank" style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left;">www.propertytycoon.com.au</a>, where punters can guess auction five results in Melbourne and Sydney, with no outlay. It's mostly about testing your market knowledge with a small cash prize as a sweetener.
The façade of the 1970s townhouse featured on Property Observer turned buyers off 4/10 Ryeburne Avenue, Hawthorn (pictured below), as it struggled to generate any real competition and was passed in for $881,000. It sold shortly after the auction for $908,000 which was at the lower end of its quoted range.
<img src="/images/stories/ryeburne.jpg">
In Sydney no auction tippers guessed the $2.25 million result at 16 Upper Minimbah, Northbridge (pictured below).
<img src="/images/stories/minimbah.jpg">
The property was quoted at $1.7 million plus, and although the house itself was not in great condition it was the 740 square metres of land and highly desirable location with view of the water that drove demand.
 
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Seventies townhouse façade turns off Melbourne buyers in property auction tipping competition

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2/48 Willis Street, Kingsford, NSW, 2032
<img src="/images/stories/willisst.jpg">
The tenant of this two-bedroom unit is paying $520 per week and is on a lease until November this year. It sold under the hammer on Thursday, April 26 for $500,000, securing its investor buyer an indicative gross rental yield of 5.4%, substantially above the median indicative gross rental yield of 4.6% for Kingsford units, according to RP Data. The gross rental yield does not consider the costs of maintaining the property, including council rates and other fees such as water bills and managing agent fees. 
The property is close to shops, restaurants, cafes, public transport, the University of NSW and beaches, and both bedrooms have built-in wardrobes.
LJ Hooker agent Anthony Rizzo gave pre-auction price hopes in the "early $500,000s". 
<a href="https://calc.washingtonbrown.com.au/wbdcalculator/calculator.aspx?RID=HPCAZOPTTT" target="_blank">Washington Brown</a> estimates the first-year tax depreciation deduction to be $5,500 and over five years to be $16,500.
The median unit price in Kingsford rose by 3.5% in the past year, according to RP Data.
For more about prices and yields in Kingsford, see the RP Data suburb page.
 
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Investor form guide wrap: Gross rental yield of 5.4% in Kingsford

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They are two of Australia’s biggest, yet less understood, companies: the lenders mortgage loss insurers, or “LMIs”: Genworth and QBE LMI. 
Both have estimated market values well in excess of $1 billion. Collectively they insure half a trillion dollars’ worth of Aussie home loans. And the recently deferred IPO of Genworth has suddenly brought the industry into focus. In particular, correspondents overseas have argued that this could be the “canary in the coal mine” for the Aussie housing market. 
But it is an odd time to be getting negative on this admittedly oblique industry. Australian Property Monitors reports today that Australian house prices rose by 0.9% in the first quarter of 2012 following the RBA’s two rate cuts in November and December. Unemployment is sitting at a historically low 5.2% and shows no signs of rising. And with the RBA all but certain to cut its cash rate by 50 basis points, which should deliver a net reduction in borrowing rates of about 75 basis points since November, conditions in the housing and mortgage markets are likely to improve further. Declining interest rates, low unemployment, and steady house prices are surely sanguine conditions for LMIs. 
Genworth Australia’s parent was planning on selling (only) 40% of the local business via an ASX listing in 2012. It was slated to be one of the biggest IPOs of the year. The explanation of the deferral of the IPO was tied to the expectation that there would be a “modest loss” reported by the Australian business in the first quarter of 2012. 
Yet it is not clear whether this decision was motivated by the modest loss, or just as much by the desire of the ailing US parent company to keep repatriating valuable dividends delivered by its Australian jewel. I’d suggest the latter is a very real possibility. 
In 2011 alone, the Australian business paid the parent $166 million in dividends. Since that time, there has been a material increase in premiums earned from the sale of insurance in Australia. 
The Australian business also has enormous excess capital. Standard &amp; Poor’s assesses that Genworth Australia’s total assessed capital before debt funding and reinsurance contracts, which further mitigate risk, is $3.3 billion. This is impressive because APRA’s minimum capital requirement for Genworth Australia is just $1.5 billion. The business’s formal Tier 1 capital is $2.3 billion, or over 1.5 times the minimum APRA wants. As the chart from S&amp;P below shows, Genworth’s capital ratios are substantially better than its main competitor, QBE LMI.
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What is more remarkable is that the Australian business has basically no debt at all. S&amp;P assesses total leverage to equal just 4.1%, with a single Lower Tier 2 loan of $140 million outstanding. 
This contrasts strikingly with the AA- rated major banks, which are heavily leveraged with substantial senior-secured (covered bonds), senior unsecured, subordinated and hybrid debt. The typical leverage ratio for the major banks is 15 to 18 times shareholder equity. Here S&amp;P notes that Genworth’s leverage (or lack thereof) is of “AAA” quality: 
“As of Dec. 31, 2011, GFMI's capitalization metrics continue to be very strong, with an S&amp;P capital model score maintained at 'AA,' and APRA MCR multiple of 1.55x. The company's leverage also remains well within our 'AAA' rating tolerance, with the A$140m 10NC5 subordinated debt issue representing 4.1% of total assessed capital.” 
Following the deferral of the IPO, S&amp;P issued no ratings action. Moody’s, on the other hand, put Genworth Australia’s rating “under review”. 
While S&amp;P assumes when giving the Australian business its “AA-“ rating that (1) the IPO doesn’t occur, (2) any reinsurance provided by the US parent, which is a declining minority of the Australian business’s total reinsurance, has zero value, and (3) that the housing market continues to remain “soft” with, importantly, no further interest rate relief, Moody’s has, relatively speaking, had a more negative view on the major banks, the LMIs, and the Australian housing market more generally. 
Notwithstanding their significance to the national economy, the business models of the two LMIs are not well understood. They are nevertheless quite simple. 
In short, Genworth and QBE LMI insure the risk of default on Aussie home loans. Collectively, they cover about $500 billion. Since there is a total of $1.23 trillion of home loans outstanding, the major banks, in effect, self-insure most of the default risk on the remaining $723 billion. The major banks are, therefore, mortgage loss insurers in addition to being deposit-taking and lending institutions. 
The LMIs do make interesting comparisons to the major banks. Unlike the major banks, they have basically no debt. They face no risk of a run on retail deposits, or the refusal of wholesale funders to refinance their debts. They have no exposures to the riskier corporate, personal, or commercial real estate lending markets (as judged by both default rates and APRA). And they have no non-core businesses that can introduce catastrophic risks (e.g., Asian expansion strategies). 
But what does a worst-case scenario for the LMIs look like? Tapping the parent’s US filings, we can look at Genworth’s total loans insured, the share of “bad” loans, and then compare these to the rest of the Australian home loan market. The next chart summarises the first part of this analysis.
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<a href="/images/stories/genworth1.gif" rel="shadowbox" title="Click to enlarge"><img src="/images/stories/genworth1thumb.gif"></a>
At the end of December 2011, Genworth’s 90-day delinquency rate across its 1.4 million loans was only 0.55%. This represents a fall from 0.59% in the September quarter and 0.56% in the June quarter. Importantly, this delinquency rate is actually below the industry-wide level assessed by the RBA, which was 0.6% at the end of December. 
Genworth’s low delinquency rate is a little surprising given that LMI is assumed to normally only apply to high loan-to-value ratio (LVR) loans of 80% or more. In fact, Genworth also does a lot of portfolio-wide insurance. 
In December 2011, Genworth reported that the weighted-average LVR across its book of 1.4 million loans was 62%. Its geographic distribution of loans is also what you would expect, and in line with the major banks, as the third chart below shows. Only 22% of its loans were originated in Queensland, which is consistent with the state’s share of the overall mortgage market.
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While Genworth’s Australian business has performed consistently well (e.g., during the GFC) and realised a strong increase in new net premium revenue over 2010 and 2011 (see next chart), its “loss ratio”, which reflects claims and provisions relative to premiums earned, had increased slightly over 2011. This is not a total surprise given the RBA’s decision to hike rates in late 2010, and the flat-lining of employment growth thereafter.
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The explanation for the “modest loss” that is expected to be reported in the March quarter reiterates messages Genworth had communicated months earlier to the rating agencies. For example, S&amp;P commented prior to the deferral of the IPO that: 
“GFMI's operating performance has remained steady and in line with our expectations, with Dec. 31, 2011, results showing good year-on-year gross written premium growth of 8.6%. However, this was offset by a loss ratio of 49.5%, up from 43.3% a year earlier due to continued pressure from southeastern Queensland, and certain lenders accelerating the claims process to address aged arrears.” 
What does a realistic worst-case scenario look like? Despite the strong geographic diversification and relatively low LVRs in its portfolio, you could, in such a scenario, boost its delinquency rate seven times to, say, 3%, which is in line with the peak in the UK during the GFC. 
You could then assume that half these loans go bad, which would be about right. So there are full mortgage loss insurance claims on 1.5% of all loans insured. Today the average claim per loan is about $65,000. Let’s hike this to $100,000 per loan. 
Total claims in this scenario would then sum to about $2.2 billion, which is well below Genworth’s current capital of $3.3 billion. Thus without any new funding at all, it could cover this realistic catastrophe. It would, of course, need to raise about $400 million of new capital to meet its minimum APRA requirements. Yet since these claims would be strung out over a period of two to three years, this seems like a straightforward task. 
The LMIs’ business models have risk — but no more than a major bank.
Dr Elvis Jarnecic is a senior lecturer at the <a href="https://sydney.edu.au/" target="_blank">University of Sydney</a>.
 
 
 
 
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Genworth no riskier than major banks despite Queensland exposure

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Construction has begun on the last of 20 “black holes” in Sydney’s Chinatown that were formerly part of Paddy’s Market, as Ausbao’s The Quay development gets under way.
The 270-apartment complex launched on Saturday, and CBRE director Murray Wood told Property Observer nearly 200 sold on the day. He says he expects more to sell today.
<img src="/images/stories/thequay9.jpg">
Of these, about 55% sold to owner-occupiers and many to locals, according to the Australian Financial Review, which reports that any unsold stock will be marketed in Hong Kong after May 7.
The agents report that buyers queued up from seven in the morning, and buying activity was "frenzied" once doors opened at 7.30am. Buyers have a five-day cooling-off period to change their minds.
<img src="/images/stories/thequay8.jpg">
Chinese-backed Ausbao Group bought the site at 61-79 Quay Street in 2009 for $38.38 million, according to RP Data, and has plans for a two-tower, $280 million development.
<img src="/images/stories/thequay1.jpg">
After purchasing the site the developer held a design competition, and Sydney City Council granted WMK Architecture’s winning entry 10% “bonus” floorspace because of its environmental features and ability to re-activate public spaces on the long-dormant site.
<img src="/images/stories/thequay5.jpg">
The site was the poultry section of Paddy’s Market from 1912 until the 1950s (historical photo above), and was a retail warehouse for a time. The building burnt down in 1985, leaving just a portion of the façade, and in the late 1980s and early 1990s recession projects to revitalise the site were abandoned.
It has been a car park in recent years, and is bounded by Quay Street, Thomas Street and Thomas Lane.
<img src="/images/stories/thequay2.jpg">
The Quay development will incorporate the façade of the former warehouse and will include 255 car spaces, three retail levels and copious bike parking along with the residential component. 
Apartments will range in price between $390,000 and over $1.7 million, according to marketing agents CBRE, which notes that the prices are not finalised yet. One-bedroom apartments will range between 36 and 64 square metres internally. Most will come with car spaces and some will include studies.
<img src="/images/stories/thequay3.jpg">
The two-bedroom apartments in The Quay will range from 76 to 88 square metres and will all include at least one car space, and the three-bedroom offerings will range between 104 square metres and 131 square metres internally. All the three-bedroom units will come with two car spaces.
CBRE head of residential project David Milton says the car spaces may be unnecessary for residents’ day-to-day life.
“We’re sure businesspeople and working couples will like the convenience of living in a walk-to-work situation, but if they do need to travel there is light rail and buses virtually outside the front door and Central Railway just across the road,” he says.
“This is certainly one location in Sydney where you can do without a car.”
<img src="/images/stories/thequay4.jpg">
A terrace garden will connect the two towers, and it will also feature an indoor/outdoor gymnasium.
“We introduced elements previously only seen in prestigious hotels, which gives The Quay an unique architectural point of difference over other residential developments,” says WMK managing director Greg Barnett.
“The geometric glass, aluminum and louvre facades embrace strong vertical and horizontal planes, and the subtly different architectural expression of each tower reflects the diversity of the inner city Haymarket precinct. You could say the buildings have different personalities within a common language.”
The interiors have been designed by Smart Design Studio and are set to be both unconventional and striking.
““Our concept is ‘life beautifully packaged’, and we’ve taken inspiration from the world of luxury brands,” says Smart Design Studio founder William Smart. “We’ve foregone the overhead cupboards, white polyurethane joinery and blond timber accents in order to create a special place that is crafted and unique. This concept pursues the idea that things that surround us can create the mood of a space, just like a stage set builds the scene that transports us to another world.”
<img src="/images/stories/thequay6.jpg">
The buildings will include sustainable extras like plantation-grown timber, eco-friendly building services and a gas heated central hot water system.
The development will be directly opposite the University of Technology Sydney’s Haymarket campus, where <a target="_blank" href="/news">Australia’s first Frank Gehry-designed building is due to be built</a>.
<img src="/images/stories/thequay7.jpg">
Construction began on the development a few weeks ago and is due to be completed in mid-2014.
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The Quay development on long-dormant Sydney Chinatown site sells well in first weekend

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<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/residential/melbourne-housing-market-on-the-wrong-side-of-the-ledger-residex-boss-john-edwards/2012041954363"><img src="/images/stories/70percent.gif"></a>
The<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/residential/melbourne-housing-market-on-the-wrong-side-of-the-ledger-residex-boss-john-edwards/2012041954363"> amount of overhang of stock in Melbourne</a>, the largest stock overhang of any capital in Australia, according to Residex boss John Edwards. “I’m worried about Victoria,” he says.
 
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<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/new-south-wales/model-of-1950s-and-60s-margot-mckendry-lists-darling-point-apartment-title-tattle/2012042254385" target="_blank"><img src="/images/stories/3mplus.gif"></a>
The <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/new-south-wales/model-of-1950s-and-60s-margot-mckendry-lists-darling-point-apartment-title-tattle/2012042254385" target="_blank">price hopes 1950 and '60s model Margot McKendry has for her Darling Point apartment</a>. It has north-westerly views across Elizabeth Bay towards the city and Harbour Bridge. It cost $900,000 when bought in 1986.
 
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<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/leisure/south-yarras-albany-boutique-hotel-sells-for-about-%2413-million/2012042354391" target="_blank"><img src="/images/stories/13m.gif"></a>
The <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/leisure/south-yarras-albany-boutique-hotel-sells-for-about-%2413-million/2012042354391" target="_blank">approximate sales price for South Yarra's Albany Hotel</a>, which recently sold. The site had 81 rooms, restaurant and bar, 24 car bays and roof top pool.
 
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<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/developments/balmain-leagues-club-site-could-become-megasized-rozelle-village-under-pacific-investments-plan/2012042254387"><img src="/images/stories/32.gif"></a>
The number of levels in one of the two towers<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/developments/balmain-leagues-club-site-could-become-megasized-rozelle-village-under-pacific-investments-plan/2012042254387"> in the proposed ‘Rozelle Village’ development on the Balmain Leagues club site</a>. The other tower is set to be 25 levels.  The revised proposal, which is double the size of the original plan that was rejected in 2010 because it was considered too big, has prompted outrage from local activists.
 
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<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/leisure/sunland-lists-gold-coasts-palazzo-versace-after-company-profits-slump/2012042354413"><img src="/images/stories/80m.gif"></a>
The price expectations for <a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/leisure/sunland-lists-gold-coasts-palazzo-versace-after-company-profits-slump/2012042354413">Palazzo Versace on the Gold Coast</a>. Sunland recently listed the hotel, just months after acquiring it outright following a swap arrangement with Dubai development partner the Enshaa Group.
 
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<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/residential/laurie-sutton-the-kingpin-of-sydney-property-as-he-swaps-mosman-for-kalua-in-palm-beach-in-record-setting-sales/2012042354412"><img src="/images/stories/23m.gif"></a>
The approximate price paid by retired car dealer <a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/residential/laurie-sutton-the-kingpin-of-sydney-property-as-he-swaps-mosman-for-kalua-in-palm-beach-in-record-setting-sales/2012042354412">Laurie Sutton for Kalua, the Joye family’s plantation-style Palm Beach trophy home</a>. The Joye family had hoped to secure $25 million for the property.
 
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<img src="/images/stories/8929.gif">
The number of applications the Queensland government has received so far for its $10,000 building boost scheme, which will close April 30. The scheme could end with as much as half of the funding set aside for the scheme unclaimed by new home buyers and builders.
 
 
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The 7 must-know numbers of the week, starting with Melbourne's oversupply of stock, according to Residex boss John Edwards

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44 Timbs Street, Ulladulla, NSW, 2359
<img src="/images/stories/timbsst.jpg">
The tenants of this three-bedroom house are paying $270 per week and are on an expired lease. Raine &amp; Horne listing agent Lyn Chambers says this is at market rent, and the tenants are keen to stay on. The property is close to walking tracks and parks, and the 807-square-metre block includes a garage.
Chambers <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.raineandhorne.com.au/properties/209254" target="_blank">is marketing the property </a>with price hopes of $250,000 plus. If it sells for $250,000 that would secure an investor a gross rental yield of 5.6%, significantly above the indicative gross rental yield of 4.4%, according to RP Data. The gross rental yield does not consider the costs of maintaining the property, including council rates and other fees such as water bills and managing agent fees.
<a target="_blank" href="https://calc.washingtonbrown.com.au/wbdcalculator/calculator.aspx?RID=HPCAZOPTTT">Washington Brown</a> estimates the first-year tax depreciation deduction to be $6,000 and over five years to be $18,000.
The median house price in Ulladulla fell by 9.7% in the past year, according to RP Data.
The property will go to auction Saturday, April 28 at 11am.
For more about prices and yields in <a target="_blank" href="/news">Ulladulla, see the RP Data suburb page</a>.
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Friday form guide: Yields of up to 5.6% in Ulladulla

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The amount of rental stock available in each capital city has changed little in the past month, according to SQM Research. 
The vacancy rate has remained fairy static across all eight capitals, with the amount of stock available to rent increasing slightly in Sydney, Adelaide, Canberra and Hobart and decreasing slightly in the other capitals. 
SQM Research director Louis Christopher says Perth's very low vacancy rate is concerning.
"Perth is now an area of major concern, with vacancies now sitting at an incredibly low 0.5%," Christopher says.
"This is consistent with evidence from other researchers reporting rapidly rising rents."
However, Christopher says the Hobart market is also problematic, but for the opposite reason.
“Hobart, on the other hand, is beginning to show signs of the opposite extreme, with vacancies doubling since this time last year and many localities recording vacancy rates above 4%. We are also seeing rising stock levels in this area, which in contrast to other capital cities which seem to suffer from one or the other, reveals that Hobart is being hit with an oversupply issue from both sides.”
 
 
<img src="/images/stories/10738.gif">
The amount of stock available to rent in Melbourne in March 2012, according to SQM Research. This represents a vacancy rate of 2.9% and is up from the 8,763 properties available to rent in March 2011.
 
<hr>
<img src="/images/stories/8198.gif">
The amount of stock available to rent in Sydney in March 2012, according to SQM Research. This represents a vacancy rate of 1.5% and is up from the 6,454 properties available to rent in March 2011.
 
<hr>
<img src="/images/stories/4205.gif">
The amount of stock available to rent in Brisbane in March 2012, according to SQM Research. This represents a vacancy rate of 1.5% and is up from the 4,289 properties available to rent in March 2011.
 
<hr>
<img src="/images/stories/2365.gif">
The amount of stock available to rent in Adelaide in March 2012, according to SQM Research. This represents a vacancy rate of 1.4% and is up from the 1,689 properties available to rent in March 2011.
 
<hr>
<img src="/images/stories/936.gif">
The amount of stock available to rent in Perth in March 2012, according to SQM Research. This represents a vacancy rate of 0.5% and is down from the 1,462 properties available to rent in March 2011.
 
<hr>
<img src="/images/stories/678.gif">
The amount of stock available to rent in Hobart in March 2012, according to SQM Research. This represents a vacancy rate of 2.4% and is up from the 328 properties available to rent in March 2011.
 
<hr>
<img src="/images/stories/346.gif">
The amount of stock available to rent in Canberra in March 2012, according to SQM Research. This represents a vacancy rate of 0.8% and is up from the 257 properties available to rent in March 2011.
<hr>
<img src="/images/stories/142.gif">
The amount of stock available to rent in Darwin in March 2012, according to SQM Research. This represents a vacancy rate of 0.6% and is down from the 470 properties available to rent in March 2011.
 
 
 
 
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How much stock is available to rent in your capital city: A state-by-state analysis: SQM Research

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In Melbourne this weekend the first-home buyer and investor market is proving to be weak but the home buyer market is very strong.
There's now a tipping website, <a style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left;" target="_blank" href="https://www.propertytycoon.com.au/">www.propertytycoon.com.au</a>, where punters can guess auction five results in Melbourne and Sydney, with no outlay. It's mostly about testing your market knowledge with a small cash prize as a sweetener.
<img src="/images/stories/byrneave.jpg">
The one-bedroom apartment at 10/17 Byrne Avenue, Elwood (pictured above), failed to gather any real traction and was passed in on a solitary bid. It sold soon after auction for $450,000.
Unit 11 in the same block sold earlier this year for $510,000, and although this apartment was slightly bigger, it does illustrate a market with patchy demand.
<img src="/images/stories/thompsonst1.jpg">
The property at 57 Thompson Street, Drummoyne (pictured above), failed to get any interest at all. The Drummoyne property was quoted at $1.75 million plusand was withdrawn from sale prior to the auction.
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Melbourne first-home buyer weak, affordability key in Sydney as auction tipping competition properties struggle to get across the line

For most new apartment buildings, the Owners Corporation starts life with little more than a bank account and the first quarterly strata levies.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/9-gay-street-castle-hill-9-gay-street-castle-hill-nsw-2154">9 Gay Street</a> in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/castle-hill-nsw-2154">Castle Hill</a>, it starts with around $7 million in reserve.

It's an unusual legacy of what was once one of Sydney's highest-profile apartment remediation projects. When the development, originally known as Skyview and built by disgraced developer Top Place, came under scrutiny by then NSW Building Commissioner David Chandler, an $11 million remediation bond was negotiated to ensure any building defects could be fully rectified.

The building underwent an 18-month remediation program, during which around $4 million of that bond was spent bringing the building up to the standard it should have been in from the outset.

After extensive inspections, all active rectification orders have been lifted. What's more, around $7.2 million remains secured for the Owners Corporation for the next 15 years.

In a twist few would have predicted, what began as a significant concern for purchasers has left the building with something almost unheard of in the apartment market: a multi-million-dollar financial reserve from day one.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=147685 project_image_fid=359136]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a> Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said the structure offers buyers a level of certainty that is difficult to replicate.

"The $11 million bond established for the Skyview Castle Hill development represents exceptional value, providing genuine financial security for purchasers," Huxley said.

"Unlike a standard insurance policy, this bond consists of real funds held in trust for the Owners Corporation, offering a tangible layer of protection and added peace of mind."

The apartments themselves have been designed with a focus on practical, contemporary living. Interiors feature Smeg appliances, stone benchtops, tiled living areas, carpeted bedrooms, 2.7-metre ceilings, floor-to-ceiling glazing, and ducted heating and cooling throughout.

Residents also have access to a range of shared amenities, including two rooftop barbecue areas, a swimming pool, children's playgrounds, secure building access, storage cages, and visitor parking.

The location continues to be one of the project's strongest drawcards. Castle Hill Metro Station sits virtually on the doorstep, providing direct connections across Sydney's expanding Metro network, while Castle Towers offers extensive retail, dining, entertainment, and service amenities within walking distance.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=147685 project_image_fid=359127]

The building, now named after its location at 9 Gay Street, comprises a diverse mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments starting from just under $600,000.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett said demand in the Hills District continues to be driven by buyers seeking convenience and connectivity.

"Interest from both owner-occupiers and investors in Castle Hill remains exceptionally strong, with buyers consistently prioritising developments in close proximity to the Metro station and Castle Towers Shopping Centre," Hamblett said.

"There is a clear trend in the market, with purchasers seeking convenient access to transport and lifestyle amenities that support a seamless, low-maintenance way of living."

On top of the long-term protection afforded by the remaining $7.2 million bond, Equitifund is offering a limited-time stamp duty rebate on selected apartments.

Eligible purchasers can also secure finance options, including a 3.99 per cent two-year variable rate, loan-to-value ratios of up to 90 per cent, and interest-only lending options through EquitiCredit.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=147685]

Joel Robinson

Why this Castle Hill apartment building starts with a $7 million advantage

For much of the past few years, conversations about Australia's property market have centred on the rapid growth seen in Sydney, Brisbane, Gold Coast, and Perth. <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melbourne-vic-3004">Melbourne</a> has followed a different trajectory.

That relative underperformance is now encouraging some buyers to reassess the city, particularly those willing to look beyond short-term market movements and focus on quality property in established locations, along with the long-term growth prospects of a city expected to overtake Sydney as Australia’s most populous.

John Bekiaris, Research &amp; Market Insights at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Projects by Equitifund</a>, said Melbourne's current position is attracting increasingly sophisticated purchasers.

"Melbourne continues to present one of Australia's strongest long-term investment stories," Bekiaris says.

"While other capital cities have experienced stronger recent growth, that relative underperformance is exactly what's attracting sophisticated counter-cyclical investors."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=1979 project_image_fid=363268]

Equitifund isn't just commenting on Melbourne's property market, it's investing in it.

The Sydney-headquartered capital partner has taken over the remaining apartments at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/victoriana-melbourne-20-queens-road-melbourne-vic-3004">Victoriana</a>, the recently completed glass-encased development opposite Albert Park Lake in Melbourne's tightly held St Kilda Road precinct.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a> and built by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/hickory">Hickory</a>, Victoriana places residents between one of Melbourne's most recognised parklands and the CBD, offering oversized two and three-bedroom apartments aimed at owner-occupiers seeking a genuine alternative to a traditional family home.

The development comprises 232 completed residences alongside a suite of resident amenities, including a 25-metre indoor swimming pool, gymnasium, landscaped entertaining areas, resident lounges, EV charging, secure basement parking and a concierge-style arrival experience.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=1979 project_image_fid=363229]

The apartments have been designed with owner-occupiers firmly in mind.&nbsp;Open-plan living and dining areas flow onto generous balconies framing views across Albert Park Lake, Fawkner Park, the Royal Botanic Gardens and the Melbourne skyline.

Kitchens feature Gaggenau appliances, stone benchtops and generous preparation space. Bedrooms include built-in robes, while bathrooms feature full-height textured tiling. Hardwood flooring and ducted air conditioning complete residences designed for long-term living.

Rothelowman's architecture takes its cues from the landscape opposite the site. Sweeping horizontal glazing references the movement of Albert Park Lake, while generous balconies and expansive glazing strengthen the connection between the apartments and the surrounding parklands. The result is a building designed to deliver the scale and amenity expected of luxury apartment living, while offering the larger floorplans increasingly sought by owner-occupiers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=1979 project_image_fid=363284]

The location is one of Victoriana's defining characteristics. Positioned on Queens Road, residents are directly opposite Albert Park Lake and within easy reach of Fawkner Park, the Royal Botanic Gardens, South Melbourne, St Kilda Road and the CBD. With few comparable development opportunities remaining in the precinct, buyers are increasingly placing value on outlooks that are unlikely to be interrupted by future construction.

Greg Huxley, Founder of Equitifund, believes those qualities become even more valuable over time.

"Premium real estate has always rewarded buyers who take a long-term view," Huxley said.

"Victoriana represents the kind of asset that's increasingly difficult to recreate today, particularly in an established location like Queens Road."

He said rising construction costs are also changing the way buyers assess completed developments.

"When you combine an irreplaceable location with thoughtful architecture and premium finishes, you create something that becomes increasingly difficult to reproduce as construction costs continue to rise."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=1979 project_image_fid=363228]

According to National Sales Director Ben Hamblett, enquiry has been driven largely by Melbourne downsizers and buyers upgrading from smaller apartments.

"Interest in Victoriana continues to build, with strong buyer focus on the larger owner-occupier residences within the development," Hamblett says.

"Enquiry is increasingly driven by local buyers who recognise the rarity of what's on offer: park-facing apartments in an established neighbourhood where new development opportunities are becoming increasingly scarce. At Victoriana, the view is not just a feature; it's an appreciating asset in its own right."

He said interstate enquiry has also strengthened as buyers reassess Melbourne's position within the national property cycle.

"Melbourne currently stands as the most compelling entry point of any major Australian capital, and discerning buyers are beginning to recognise what those who move early always understand: the best opportunities are taken before the price rise confirms them."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=1979]

Why now is the time to buy in Melbourne's premium apartment market

Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

Cassidy Knowlton

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