Growing national developer Time &amp; Place has announced its fifth new apartment development.

With two projects in Manly and two upcoming in Surry Hills and Potts Point, the developer, which expanded beyond Melbourne just a few years ago, is now heading to Mosman. It is planning 53 new apartments on Redan Street.

The 3,233 sqm site, spanning <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-48-redan-street-mosman-nsw-2088">40–48 Redan Street</a> with frontage to Redan Lane, is located just under 400 metres from Spit Junction Town Centre. It is reported the developer paid around $100 million for the five-site amalgamation.

Time &amp; Place, founded by Tim Price and backed by James Packer’s private investment firm NPACT, has submitted the project as a State Significant Development through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

Of the 53 apartments, 42 will be released to the market, with the remaining 11 allocated as affordable housing in line with NSW Government requirements.

fjc Studio has designed the building. In its Design Report, the architect said the diverse mix of dwelling types and sizes, including 11 two-bedroom affordable housing units, 40 three-bedroom apartments, and two four-bedroom residences, will support a broad demographic, including families, downsizers, and key workers.

The development will rise to nine levels, a height encouraged by the NSW Government due to the site’s proximity to Spit Junction, which has been identified as a low- to mid-rise centre. Developments within a certain proximity to these centres are permitted increased height.

fjc said the project “achieves an appropriate density outcome for its setting by balancing increased housing supply with strong amenity performance,” adding that it “makes a measurable contribution to NSW housing supply targets through the delivery of additional dwellings and dedicated affordable housing.”

The new development will replace five existing two-storey homes.

“By aligning with the objectives of the Housing SEPP and applying careful architectural and urban design principles, the development provides high-quality residential accommodation that integrates sensitively within its established Mosman context and delivers enduring benefits to residents and the wider community.”

Mosman has become increasingly popular with developers in recent years.

Developer Abadeen has been particularly active, with Mosman Residences currently on the market and under construction on Clifford Street. It also has an upcoming Burran Avenue project, comprising just three apartments on the Balmoral Slopes, and recently secured the Midas and Honeysuckle nursery site on Military Road.

Prosker Property has a project on Redan Lane, just a few doors down from Time &amp; Place’s proposed development.

Developers including Toohey Miller, DARE Property Group, and WINIM also have projects underway in the area. In 2024, a five-year target was set for the Mosman LGA to increase housing supply by 500 dwellings by 2029.

Time &amp; Place entered the Sydney market with Two Tides, its under construction Manly development. Given its sales success, it has secured another development in the area, more boutique, facing the beach on North Steyne.

They are hoping to launch their redevelopment of The Chimes in Potts Point this year, and next year will look to take to market Marlborough House, an adaptive re-use of the landmark David Jones warehouse in Surry Hills.

Joel Robinson

Time & Place to take on Mosman apartment market

Brunswick’s civic heart continues to consolidate around the Merri-bek Arts and Culture Precinct, where a growing cluster of cultural institutions, recreation facilities, and public infrastructure has created one of the inner north’s most defined community hubs.&nbsp;

Within this evolving precinct, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/saxon-street-by-milieu-brunswick-31-saxon-street-brunswick-vic-3056">Saxon Street by Milieu</a> introduces new housing directly alongside the civic anchors that shape daily life in the suburb.

At 31 Saxon Street, the project sits immediately beside Brunswick Baths and within moments of Brunswick Library and Town Hall, longstanding institutions that support both community services and everyday amenity.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136434 project_image_fid=348840]

Next door, the newly delivered Balam Balam Place arts precinct has emerged as a central piece of Merri-bek Council’s cultural strategy, bringing together creative studios, exhibition spaces, maternal and child health services, and community programming in a purpose-built civic facility. Together, these destinations have reinforced the surrounding blocks as a focal point for public life in Brunswick.

This part of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/brunswick-vic-3056">Brunswick</a> forms a key pocket within the suburb’s designated Major Activity Centre, where long-term planning has prioritised walkability, civic investment, and increased housing supply close to transport and services. The surrounding street network reflects that strategy, with compact blocks, established retail corridors and active transport links supporting a lifestyle that is largely navigable on foot.

Within a few minutes’ walk, Sydney Road delivers one of Melbourne’s most recognisable streets, known for its long-running mix of independent retailers, international dining venues and everyday convenience. Tram routes along Sydney Road provide frequent connections south toward the CBD and north through Brunswick and Coburg, while Jewell Station on the Upfield line sits within roughly a ten-minute walk, offering direct train access into the city.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136434 project_image_fid=348839]

Active transport also plays a significant role locally. The nearby Upfield Bike Path forms a key north–south cycling corridor linking Brunswick through Parkville and into the central city, reinforcing the area’s reputation as one of Melbourne’s most accessible inner-urban neighbourhoods for cyclists and pedestrians alike.

The surrounding civic cluster extends beyond cultural infrastructure. Siteworks, a nearby creative hub supporting artists and community organisations, adds to the concentration of cultural activity in the immediate area. Educational institutions such as Brunswick North Primary School, Brunswick Secondary College and RMIT’s Brunswick campus are also within easy reach, contributing to the suburb’s diverse resident base spanning families, students and professionals.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136434 project_image_fid=348841]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/jackson-clements-burrows-architects">Jackson Clements Burrows Architects</a> in collaboration with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> and landscape architects <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/oculus">OCULUS</a>, the nine-level building has been shaped to respond to the surrounding streetscape, with lower levels aligning to the street and upper storeys stepping back to soften its scale and improve solar access.&nbsp;

Curved balcony forms reference nearby heritage architecture, while the development’s public realm improvements include a widened footpath along Saxon Street to strengthen pedestrian connections between the precinct’s civic sites.

Sustainability also underpins the project’s approach. The building is designed to operate entirely on electric infrastructure supported by rooftop solar, with an average 7.5-star NatHERS energy rating and EV-charging readiness across the development. Shared resident amenities will include a landscaped rooftop terrace with barbecue and covered dining areas intended to encourage informal interaction between residents.

Saxon Street marks developer Milieu's fifth project in Brunswick and continues its focus on design-led infill housing across Melbourne’s inner suburbs.&nbsp;

Construction has commenced through reputable builder Manresa, who will complete the project in 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=136434]

Saxon Street by Milieu connects residents to Brunswick’s cultural and civic core

Within <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/candela-ivanhoe-40-upper-heidelberg-road-ivanhoe-vic-3079">Candela Ivanhoe</a>, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/salter-brothers">Salter Brothers</a>&nbsp;takes a different approach to larger residences, moving away from the constraints of a single level.

In Grand Residence 3.05, known as the Lustre, plays out across two levels, with a mezzanine configuration that is uncommon in apartment living.

Lustre is a four-bathroom residence where the layout creates a clear distinction between shared and private zones, with uninterrupted views toward the Dandenong Ranges extending the sense of openness from the main living areas.

Entry is to the primary living level, where the kitchen, dining, and living areas are arranged as one continuous space. Timber flooring runs throughout, with a fireplace set within the living zone. Full-height glazing brings in natural light, supported by double glazing that improves thermal performance.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=342 project_image_fid=357506]

The kitchen is configured as both a working and social space. A large island bench provides seating, while a walk-in pantry extends storage beyond typical apartment expectations.

Gaggenau appliances, including a 900mm gas cooktop and 600mm oven, are integrated into a layout that connects directly to the adjacent dining and living areas, and outward to the terrace. This balcony includes a built-in BBQ, reinforcing the apartment’s capacity to accommodate larger gatherings without compromising internal space.

A dedicated laundry room, powder room, and a wine cellar area sit discreetly off the main living zone, ensuring that functional requirements are resolved without encroaching on primary living areas. The master suite is also located on this level, designed as a retreat with a walk-through wardrobe and an ensuite that includes double vanities, a bath, and a dedicated dressing table.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=342 project_image_fid=357508]

The mezzanine level introduces a second layer of living, rather than simply additional bedrooms. Two large bedrooms with built-in robes are positioned alongside a central bathroom, while a secondary lounge and study area create a self-contained zone suited to children, guests, or extended family. A large storage room further supports long-term usability, addressing a common shortfall in apartment design.

This separation of levels is central to how the residence functions day-to-day. It allows the lower level to operate as the primary entertaining and living space, while the upper level provides privacy and flexibility. The result is closer in feel to a townhouse or standalone home, but with the benefits of apartment living, security, and low maintenance.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=342 project_image_fid=364553]

Candela is close to 80 per cent complete, with Ironside delivering construction ahead of its expected October 2026 completion. The development comprises 58 residences, with a strong owner-occupier profile and a mix of one to four-bedroom apartments and loft-style townhouses.

Candela has exclusive access to private amenities, including a residential lounge and rooftop terrace. A charming café and a lifestyle wellness centre are located on the ground level, designed to foster community connection and extend the living experience beyond individual apartments without competing with the scale of homes like Lustre.

Candela, positioned in the heart of Ivanhoe Village, reinforces the practicality of the address. With a Walk Score of 90, residents are within immediate reach of cafés, retail, parklands, and Ivanhoe Station, while also benefiting from proximity to established schools and healthcare services.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=342]

Inside Lustre: Grand Residence 3.05 at Candela Ivanhoe

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/milieu-property">Milieu</a>’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/elsternwick-gardens-by-milieu-8-gordon-street-elsternwick-vic-3185">Elsternwick Gardens</a> is being shaped around a simple but increasingly rare premise in apartment development: that the built environment should actively support residents’ wellbeing.&nbsp;

Located on the former ABC Studios site on Gordon Street in Melbourne’s south-east, the new neighbourhood sits on an expansive 11,740 sqm site neighbouring the heritage-listed Rippon Lea Estate, whose gardens date back more than 140 years.

Rather than positioning wellness as an add-on amenity, the development integrates it into the physical planning of the site. Architecture by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a> is arranged across six low-rise buildings set within extensive landscaping designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/oculus">OCULUS</a>, with more than 40 per cent of the land dedicated to gardens and green space. Walking trails, pocket gardens, and mature trees are threaded between buildings, creating a network of green corridors that encourage residents to move through the precinct on foot and spend more time outdoors.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136535 project_image_fid=288420]

Milieu has intentionally framed these gardens as an extension of the neighbouring Rippon Lea Estate. More than 16,000 new plants will be introduced across the site, with species carefully selected to protect and complement the area’s ecological significance. The approach focuses on strengthening existing environmental conditions while establishing new habitats that support native wildlife, reinforcing the role of the landscape as both an active ecosystem and a defining element of daily life.

A private resident gate will provide direct access to the historic grounds during opening hours, allowing residents to move seamlessly between the development’s landscaped gardens and the estate’s expansive lawns, lakes, and mature trees. The project’s gardens will also be maintained by the same gardeners responsible for Rippon Lea, reinforcing the visual and ecological continuity between the two landscapes.

Complementing the landscape is a dedicated wellness hub designed to support everyday health and recovery. Residents will have access to a gym alongside yoga and Pilates studios, while mineral pools and infrared saunas provide spaces for relaxation and restorative wellbeing. Shared lounges, workshop spaces, and pet care facilities expand the concept of wellness beyond fitness, creating opportunities for social connection and community interaction within the precinct.

Environmental performance is another key component of the project’s wellbeing focus. Elsternwick Gardens will be entirely fossil-fuel-free, with homes designed to operate on renewable electricity rather than gas. Passive design strategies, including cross-flow ventilation, high-performance insulation, and thermally broken double glazing, are intended to maintain comfortable indoor temperatures while reducing energy demand. Solar photovoltaic systems will power common building services, while rainwater harvesting will help irrigate the extensive landscaping across the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136535 project_image_fid=361030]

Milieu Founder and Managing Director Michael McCormack says the scale and setting of the project allowed the team to take a different approach to urban apartment living.

“This site represents a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to build something truly special,” McCormack says.

“Through that process, we arrived at a design that centres on a fully realised natural landscape – a series of private, interconnected gardens that encircle the homes and extend seamlessly from Rippon Lea Estate.”

Elsternwick Gardens will comprise three residential offerings, Gordon Place, Ripponlea Terrace, and The Garden Pavilion, each designed for owner-occupiers and shaped around high-quality interior design by Woods Bagot, K.P.D.O., and Flack Studio. The first stage, Gordon Place, includes one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments designed with a strong focus on indoor-outdoor living and sustainability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136535 project_image_fid=288412]

Milieu recently appointed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/brady-constructions">Brady Constructions</a> to deliver the project, marking a key milestone for the development. The appointment follows the demolition of the former studio buildings on the Gordon Street site, with construction progressing toward the delivery of the nature-led community.

Situated between the established villages of Elsternwick and Ripponlea, the development balances its garden setting with strong urban connectivity. Residents will be within walking distance of cafés, restaurants, and local retail, while nearby train and tram connections provide quick access to Melbourne’s CBD and the beaches of Elwood and St Kilda.

With construction underway and the first residents expected to move in by early 2027, Elsternwick Gardens represents a growing shift in apartment development toward environments that prioritise wellbeing as much as density or location. By placing landscape, sustainability, and shared spaces at the centre of the design, Milieu is positioning the project as a residential neighbourhood where wellness is not just promoted, but built into the structure of everyday life.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=136535]

Elsternwick Gardens' wellness-first design strategy

Brisbane-based developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/red-co">Red &amp; Co</a> has made a striking debut on the Gold Coast, officially unveiling its $250 million COMO development in Varsity Lakes, a lifestyle-driven residential project anchored by an extensive rooftop wellness and activity precinct.

Having recently launched to market, construction has already been fast-tracked by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/5point-projects">5Point Projects</a>, ensuring momentum continues on what is set to become a landmark residential address for the growing Varsity Lakes community.

Located at 22 Lake Street, Varsity Lakes, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/como-varsity-lakes-22-lake-street-varsity-lakes-qld-4227">COMO</a> will comprise 156 apartments across 16 levels, comprising one-, two- and three-bedroom residences designed for modern living. However, it is the project’s rooftop amenity offering that sets COMO apart.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363510]

Designed as a dedicated wellness and recreation hub, the rooftop will feature a 25-metre lap pool, fully equipped gymnasium, and multiple pickleball and paddleball courts - amenities rarely seen in boutique apartment projects.

Residents will also have access to a sauna and plunge baths, while landscaped gardens and relaxation zones will provide tranquil spaces overlooking sweeping panoramic views across the Gold Coast skyline.

The rooftop precinct has been designed to function as the social and wellness heart of the development, encouraging residents to embrace an active, balanced lifestyle within their own building.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363512]

Red &amp; Co director David Laverty said the amenity offering was central to the project’s design from the outset.

“Amenities were at the forefront of our decisions,” Laverty said.

“Buyers today are looking for more than just an apartment - they want a lifestyle that promotes health, connection and balance.

“The rooftop at COMO has been designed to be the epicentre of that lifestyle, with a suite of wellness and recreation facilities that are quite unique for a boutique development of this scale.”

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363514]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, the residences prioritise liveability, featuring spacious layouts, 2.7-metre ceilings and high-quality finishes throughout.

The development sits beside Bond University, placing residents within walking distance of education, retail and dining options within the vibrant Varsity Lakes precinct, including Robina Town Centre, Varsity Lakes Train Station and a range of leading schools.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363511]

Laverty said the location was a key driver behind Red &amp; Co’s decision to bring the project to the Gold Coast.

“<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/varsity-lakes-qld-4227">Varsity Lakes</a> was a clear choice for us to invest in as it’s a lifestyle hub that seamlessly blends lakeside living with urbanity,” he said.&nbsp;

“Como will capitalize on this great location, delivering a project that not only creates premium homes, but a lifestyle defined by community, wellbeing, and connectivity.”

Red &amp; Co has delivered more than 500 apartments and townhouses across 26 projects in Brisbane in recent years, with COMO marking the company’s first major Gold Coast development.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135546]

Red & Co unveils amenity-rich Como development in Varsity Lakes

Sentiment

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The fall in sentiment this month is troubling as it comes against what should have been a supportive backdrop for confidence. The last month has seen a further 25bp interest rate cut from the RBA, the Federal government’s tax package pass through Parliament, more signs that the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets are stabilising and even some more improvement in the US-China trade dispute. Despite these positives, Australian consumer confidence has fallen to a two year low.
The main driver continues to be deepening concerns about the outlook for the Australian economy and prospects for family finances. The index components show the biggest decline in the sub-index tracking expectations for the ‘economy, next 12 months’ which slumped 12.3% to be down 16.4% since May to its lowest level in four years. Longer term expectations for the economy were also pared back sharply, the ‘economy, next 5 years’ sub-index falling 6.7%.
Deteriorating expectations for the economy outweighed any near term support from the prospect of lower interest rates and tax relief. The sub-index tracking consumers’ expectations for ‘finances, next 12 months’ also recorded a sharp 8% fall, moving back into net pessimistic territory for the first time since late 2017.
Consumer views around current conditions were better supported. The ‘finances vs a year ago’ sub-index lifted 3% to a five month high, although at 85.7, the sub-index remains at weak levels overall. Consumer attitudes towards spending also improved, the ‘time to buy a major household item’ sub-index rising 3.6% to the highest level since late last year. This will be of some relief given that consumer views around current conditions tend to be a better guide to current spending activity. However, that support could fade quickly if weaker expectations for near term prospects are realised.
Responses over the survey week show the Reserve Bank’s rate cut on July 2 had little or no impact on sentiment. Note that the bulk of the survey was completed prior to the government’s tax package passing into legislation on July 4, although this had been widely foreshadowed by media coverage earlier in the week. Indeed, the muted sentiment response to both interest rate cuts and tax relief may stem from the fact that both developments were widely anticipated. Notably, the sub-group detail showed no boost to sentiment amongst groups that stand to benefit most from policy easing: sentiment amongst mortgage holders declined 3.3% in the month and sentiment amongst middle income earners was down 5.5%.
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Other aspects of the sub-group detail point to some notable ‘sub-plots’. The initial impact of the surprise Federal election result in May looks to be fading with sentiment amongst “Coalition voters retracing over three quarters of the 7.5% jump in June. Sentiment also recorded a big 14% drop in regional NSW where drought conditions have intensified markedly in recent months. Sentiment amongst those with a trade qualification was also down a sharper 7.6% suggesting the residential construction downturn may be starting to weigh more heavily on some households.
Increasing concern about the economy is undermining consumers’ sense of job security. Confidence in the labour market continued to deteriorate sharply in July. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Unemployment Expectations Index recorded a 5.8% rise, following on from a similar rise last month and taking the index materially above its long run average for the first time since mid-2017 (recall that higher readings indicate that more consumers expect unemployment to rise in the year ahead). Expectations have shown a more marked deterioration in NSW, Vic and WA.
Housing-related sentiment continues to show a clearer positive response to lower interest rates with assessments of both ‘time to buy’ and house price expectations recording strong increases in July.
The ‘time to buy a dwelling’ index rose 5.4% 123.2, the first above trend reading in four and a half years. The index is up 19.5% on the same time last year. The biggest turnaround continues to come in Sydney and Melbourne where substantial price corrections have also improved affordability over the last two years.
The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of House Price Expectations Index posted another robust 8.9% increase following last month’s spectacular 22.7% gain. At 119.4, the Index is now at its highest level since May last year but still below the long run average read of 125. All states have recorded sharp rises over the last two months and net positive reads comfortably over the 100 mark. Just over 40% of consumers expect prices to be higher in a year’s time – that compares to less than 20% back in March.
The Reserve Bank Board next meets on August 6. We expect the Bank to leave the cash rate on hold at this particular meeting but see further easing coming later in the year. Having delivered back to back 25bp cuts in June and July, the Reserve Bank has signalled that it is prepared to ease further “if needed”. Updated forecasts released in the August Statement on Monetary Policy, due August 8, will give the best guide to how the RBA sees the case for further policy action. At this stage it seems likely that the Bank will make only minor changes to its growth and inflation forecasts, suggesting policy will be unchanged at the August meeting.
However, policy is set to be in play at every Board meeting between now and the end of the year. Westpac continues to expect a further 25bp rate cut, most likely coinciding with a downgrade to the Bank’s growth and inflation forecasts in November. The specific timing of this next move remains highly uncertain – labour market developments could easily shift it around and there are other factors at play, both overseas and domestically. The Bank will also be monitoring policy sensitive sectors such as housing and the consumer closely to gauge the impact of its easing to date. On that count, updates on consumer sentiment clearly show interest rate moves have shored up confidence in the housing market but have not prevented a wider deterioration in sentiment.
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Sentiment falls 4.1% despite interest rate cuts and tax relief: Westpac

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NAB Economics have forecasted Sydney and Melbourne house prices to both decline over eight percent over 2019.
Melbourne is forecasted to see falls greater than Sydney.
Houses in the Victoria capital are expected to fall 8.8%, compared to Sydney's 8.4%.
The forecasts mean NAB expect Sydney house prices to fall 20% peak to trough, with Melbourne 15%.
NAB expect house prices in the two biggest property markets to continue to decline in 2020, just at a much slower rate.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/11/nab%20economics%201%20.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
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Hobart and Adelaide are the only capital cities forecasted to see house prices growth in 2019.
"Overall, we see the adjustment in house prices continuing in an orderly manner, with prices remaining well up on 5 years ago," NAB said.
NAB expect Sydney's unit prices to be the worst performing over 2019, with 7.2% declines forecasted.
Melbourne's declines are set to be softer at 4.3%, below Perth (-4.7%) and just above Brisbane (-4.2%).
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Market sentiment among 300 surveyed property professionals ticked a little in higher Q1 2019 as the monthly rate of house price decline eased in the first three months of the year.
The NAB Residential Property Index rose five points to a still very weak -15 as house prices in much of the country continued falling.
Sentiment was negative in all states bar South Australia and the Northern Territory (where annual dwelling prices in SA remain positive) and remained weakest in NSW and VIC where price falls were biggest.
Confidence was unchanged for the next 12 months, suggesting that market momentum will remain weak into 2020, however longer-term confidence improved with suggestions housing market conditions may start improving moving into 2021.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/4/11/expert%201%20.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:
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Sydney property prices to decline by 20% from peak, with Melbourne down 15%: NAB

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EXPERT OBSERVER
In the latest March quarter survey only 8.8 per cent of respondents thought the ‘wisest’ place to put new savings was in ‘real estate’ – a record 46-year low.
The ‘wisest’ place for savings remains bank deposits (28.8 per cent of respondents) from ‘pay debt’ (26.3 per cent).
 Consumer confidence: The Westpac/Melbourne Institute survey of consumer sentiment index fell by 4.8 per cent to 98.8 in March after rising by 4.3 per cent to 103.8 points in February.
The sentiment index is back below its long-term average of 101.3.The consumer confidence figures have implications for retailers, and other consumer-focused businesses.
<div>
What does it all mean?
Aussie consumers remain super-conservative. When asked what was the wisest place to put new savings, ‘bank deposits’ and ‘paying-off debt’ were ranked number one and two. Understandably with home prices falling, real estate didn’t feature in the top places for new savings. In fact the result for ‘real estate’ was the lowest since the survey began in 1973.
Aussie consumers aren’t confronted with a lot of financial news in the mainstream media nowadays. But when it is published it tends to be bad news. Last week consumers would have heard that the Australian economy slowed in the December quarter, that the Australian dollar had fallen to US70 cents, and that retail sales rose modestly in January. 
There was speculation about rate cuts. Understandably this was picked up in the ANZ-Roy Morgan confidence index yesterday and today’s Westpac-Melbourne Institute survey. Confidence does bounce from week-to-week and month-to-month. Before the latest drop, Aussie confidence levels were actually above longer-term averages.
Westpac noted: “Responses over the survey week show a marked drop-off after the national accounts update. Those collected before the March 6 release had a combined index read of 100.7. Those collected after the release had a combined read of 92.7, an 8 per cent fall.”
If consumers are pessimistic, they may reduce spending. But much depends on the strength of the job market (at present, it is quite strong) and consumer prices (inflation rate is low). So it is a case of being alert and not alarmed.
The good news is that more homebuyers believe that now is a good time to buy a home. The index is at 5-year highs, up 30 per cent from the mid 2017 low.
What do the figures show?
The Westpac/Melbourne Institute survey of consumer sentiment index fell by 4.8 per cent to 98.8 in March after rising by 4.3 per cent to 103.8 points in February. The sentiment index is back below its long-term average of 101.3. A reading above 100 denotes optimism. The survey of 1,200 people was conducted from March 4-8.
The current conditions index fell by 2.8 per cent and the expectations index fell by 6.2 per cent.
All five of the components of the index fell in March after all rose in February:
<ul>
<li>The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago fell by 5.6 per cent to 84.4;</li>
<li>The estimate of family finances over the next year fell by 5.9 per cent to 107.8;</li>
<li>Economic conditions over the next 12 months fell by 7.0 per cent to 101.4;</li>
<li>Economic conditions over the next 5 years fell by 5.5 per cent to 94.6;</li>
<li>The measure on whether it was a good time to buy a major household item fell by 0.6 per cent to 117.9.</li>
</ul>
Housing outlook: A good time to buy a dwelling? The index rose 3.5 per cent to 112.7, and was up 11.5 per cent on the year. House price expectations fell by 2.7 per cent to 85.4 and were down by 34.1 per cent on a year ago.
Unemployment expectations: Unemployment expectations rose by 8.9 per cent to 130.6 in March to be up by 7.2 per cent over the year.
Wisest place for savings: On the question of the ‘wisest place for savings’, banks (28.8 per cent) led the way from paying down debt (26.3 per cent). Only 8.8 per cent of respondents selected real estate while 7.5 per cent nominated shares. Overall a record 51.7 per cent suggested choices for putting savings other than traditional real estate, bank deposits, building society deposits, bonds or shares.
What is the importance of the economic data?
Westpac and the Melbourne Institute release the Index of Consumer Sentiment each month. According to Melbourne Institute: “The survey of consumer sentiment was first undertaken in 1973 and was conducted on a quarterly basis until 1976, a six-weekly basis from 1976 to 1986, and has been conducted monthly ever since.” Confident consumers may be more inclined to spend, especially on major items.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
Consumer confidence ebbs and flows over time, but the job market remains in strong shape. Provided unemployment remains low, job opportunities abound and wages tilt higher then consumers will continue to embrace ‘retail therapy’.
Consumers may currently prefer to put savings in other places than real estate but that could be about to change. The reading on whether it was a good time to buy a home has lifted to 4-year highs. Low interest rates, softer home prices and a strong job market are a heady mix of positive influences, balanced against a raft of new housing supply in the process of hitting markets.
CommSec doesn’t expect a change in official interest rates for the foreseeable future.
CRAIG JAMES is the Chief Economist at CommSec
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Real estate sentiment hits 46-year low: CommSec's Craig James

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Commercial property sentiment moderated for the second consecutive quarter, according to NAB’s latest index, though overall confidence improved in the September and the index is expected to rise to +38 in the next 12 months.
NAB’s Commercial Property Index was down 5 to +18, but remains above long-term average levels. 
“Although sentiment was above long- term averages in all markets (except CBD hotels), it continues to vary widely by property type,” said an accompanying release. 
The uptrend in office that started in mid- 2016 reversed in Q3 (down 11 to +28), with weaker outcomes reported in all states except WA (but still negative). 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/10/18/NABCommPropMain.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/10/18/NABCommPropMain.png" alt="">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/10/18/NABCommProp2.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/10/18/NABCommProp2.png" alt="">
NSW leads in office markets (with sentiment at very high levels), followed by Victoria. 
CBD hotels re-emerged as the most positive sector (up 9 to +30). Retail market sentiment was also higher (up 6 to +12) and lifted in all states (bar WA &amp; NSW) with QLD leading the way. Industrial sentiment softened (down 15 to +2) - with sentiment lower in all states except WA (but negative). 
Overall confidence levels in commercial property markets improved in the September quarter - the index is now expected to rise to +38 in the next 12 months (from +30 previously) and +43 in 2 years’ time (+35 previously). 
“Confidence levels among surveyed property experts lifted in all sectors - most noticeably in the CBD hotels sector - which is likely reflecting strong fundamentals in key CBD markets, especially Sydney,” it said. 
Overall confidence levels in office were also slightly higher in Q3 as weaker (but still vey strong) outcomes in NSW and Victoria were offset by improvements all other states (particularly WA). 
In retail markets, confidence increased, with gains in all states. 
In the industrial property sector, gains were largely in WA and Queensland, with experts in the industrial property sector in Queensland also still the most confident of all states, and confidence levels in WA improving the most (but from very low levels). 
By state, lower overall sentiment was dragged down by NSW and Victoria. 
Sentiment lifted in SA/NT and WA (but negative) and was steady in Queensland. The state index for NSW fell (13 to 34), and was lower in all sectors. 
In Victoria (down 13 to +29) the index fell in Office and Industrial, offsetting an improvement in Retail. Sentiment continued to recover in WA (up 11 to -29), recording its strongest read since late-2014 (but still negative). Property experts in NSW and VIC were also less confident in the Q3 survey - but remain the most upbeat of all states in the next 1-2 years. 
Queensland is however bridging the gap, with confidence levels rising in all market sectors. Confidence in SA/NT also lifted solidly (from a small sample size) led by better outcomes in Office and Retail. In WA, confidence levels also improved - and in all sectors with a particularly big uplift in the Office segment. 
On average, property experts have lifted their expectations for capital growth in the next 1-2 years in all sectors. Expectations are strongest for CBD Hotels (2.3% &amp; 2.4%), followed by Office (1.9% &amp; 2.3%), Industrial (0.9% &amp; 1.9%) and Retail (1.3% &amp; 1.1%). 
Capital growth expectations for Office property were pared back but are still highest in NSW (3.4% &amp; 3.2%) and Victoria (1.8% &amp; 2.8%). They were revised up in Queensland (0.8% &amp; 1.5%) and in WA (-0.1%&amp; 1.9%). QLD is expected to provided the best capital returns in Industrial markets (2.0% &amp; 3.5%), followed by NSW (2.1% &amp; 2.8%). 
Industrial capital values in WA are tipped to fall heavily next year (-1.9%) and grow in 2 years’ time (0.4%), with weaker growth also predicted for Victoria (0.9% &amp; 1.2%). Overall capital growth expectations in Retail improved again in Q3 (1.3% &amp; 1.1%), with Queensland and Victoria the stand out states. 
The national Office vacancy rate was unchanged at 9.7% in Q3. Vacancy rates were reportedly lowest in VIC (4.3%) and NSW (6.3%) where strong tenant demand and take-up is continuing. Vacancy rates in SA/NT (12.3%), Queensland (13.0%) and WA (15.0%) were however still elevated. In Retail, overall vacancy climbed to 5.7% in Q3 to its highest level since late-2014. 
Vacancy increased most in WA (8.0%) and was lowest in Queensland (4.7%). In Industrial markets, vacancy also climbed to a survey high 7.0%, mainly reflecting a significant increase in available space in WA (10.0%). Looking forward, Office vacancy is expected to drift down in the next 1-2 years, with market tightness most apparent in VIC &amp; NSW. Vacancy is also expected to improve in Queensland, SA/NT and WA, but remain high amid large supply over-hangs in WA. 
 
 
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