Strategic government planning will be crucial in addressing the ongoing supply/demand imbalance in Brisbane’s residential market, as new supply continues to lag.

That’s one of the conclusions from a new CBRE market analysis, which highlights positive fundamentals but ongoing challenges for both the Brisbane and broader South East Queensland residential market.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136432 project_image_fid=5479]

While 5,600 apartments and townhouses are projected to be completed in Brisbane this year – up from an average of 3,500 in the five years to 2024 – CBRE Research Director Craig Godber said this figure had been somewhat inflated by project delays, which had shifted some anticipated 2024 completions into 2025.

Godber noted that recent completion levels were also well below the peak period in 2016 and 2017 when annual additions averaged around 12,500 units and townhouses.

“Brisbane's residential market is experiencing unprecedented growth, with demand outstripping supply," Godber said.

"Strategic planning by the State Government is crucial in addressing this imbalance and ensuring sustainable development."

Godber noted that low supply levels had translated into an extended period of low vacancy rates, with Brisbane’s metropolitan vacancy being at or below 1.5% since early 2021 and hitting 0.9% as at March this year.

These tight market conditions are evident across all city precincts.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149098 project_image_fid=330588]

Looking ahead, adjusted additions between 2025 and 2029 are forecast at 23,200 dwellings, or 4,600 per annum, with 60% of these expected to be concentrated in Brisbane’s inner city.

“Brisbane’s low vacancy rate highlights the urgent need for additional residential supply and the forecasted growth in dwelling completions is a positive step towards meeting this demand,” Godber said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7574 project_image_fid=3770]

CBRE Metropolitan Investments Director Will Carman said Brisbane’s population expansion and strong demand fundamentals were driving interest in city development sites, but he noted that developer attitudes were shifting.

“As construction pricing continues to climb, developers are becoming more discerning. The focus has shifted toward delivering high-quality, well-located residential communities that can withstand market pressures and meet long-term demand,” Carman said.

He also noted the issue of affordability, with Brisbane’s median house price having crossed the $1 million mark.

“This reflects not only the city’s strong fundamentals and sustained demand, but also the growing challenge of affordability - particularly for first-home buyers. This price growth underscores the importance of strategic planning and quality development to meet evolving market expectations,” Carman said.

Developer focus shifts to high-quality, well-located residential communities that can withstand market pressures and meet long-term demand, new CBRE analysis shows

Joel Robinson

Challenges and opportunities in Brisbane’s residential market as supply lags

Not only is growth in Brisbane’s unit market lasting longer, it’s also getting stronger.

In August, unit values climbed a further 1.3 per cent, one of the strongest monthly results the Queensland capital has recorded in 2025, pushing the median unit value beyond $740,000, according to Cotality’s latest Home Value Index.

Over the rolling quarter, unit values surged 3.9 per cent, and are now 11.1 per cent higher year-to-date,&nbsp;making Brisbane the strongest-performing capital city unit market in the country.

The city’s apartment sector is also comfortably outpacing detached housing in 2025. House values rose 1.2 per cent in August to reach a median of $1.04 million, but quarterly growth was softer at 2.9 per cent, with an annual gain of just 7.3 per cent.

This widening divergence highlights the relative affordability of apartments and the intensifying demand for medium-density housing amid constrained supply,&nbsp;a trend reshaping Brisbane’s property market.

&nbsp;

<h2>What happened in Brisbane’s off the plan apartment market in August?</h2>

It was a busy month in Brisbane's off the plan property market, with new projects coming to the market, new projects and approved, and some hitting major construction milestones.

&nbsp;

Gold Coast developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> revealed its debut Brisbane apartment development to the market, starting to take expressions of interest for&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/symphony-south-brisbane-21-23-cordelia-street-south-brisbane-qld-4101">Symphony</a>&nbsp;in South Brisbane.&nbsp;

The 138-apartment development, part of Sherpa’s affordability-focused Flourish brand, is located near Fish Lane and aims to deliver quality homes at more accessible price points.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7574 project_image_fid=3444]

Symphony’s one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments will start from $655,000, with eligible first-home buyers benefiting from Queensland’s new stamp duty exemptions.&nbsp;

Over 1,400 sqm of communal amenity, including workspaces, rooftop pool, wellness centre, and private dining, will support a lifestyle-driven community.&nbsp;

Read more: <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/sherpa-opens-pre-release-for-debut-brisbane-apartment-development-symphony">Sherpa opens pre-release for debut Brisbane apartment development, Symphony</a>

Two new project launches in the same month is something Brisbane hasn’t seen in years. Joining Symphony at launch was <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/banksii-east-brisbane-169-wellington-road-east-brisbane-qld-4169">BANKSII</a>, a 72-apartment development rising opposite Raymond Park in East Brisbane

To be developed by joint venture partners <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/core-property-partners">Core Property Partners</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/vector-property">Vector Property</a>, BANKSII has been designed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mas-architecture-studio">MAS Architecture</a>&nbsp;to reinterpret and integrate the flow of the&nbsp;native Banksia flower into the architecture.

The rooftop will include a suite of wellness amenities including a pool, sauna, gym, and alfresco spaces.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136432 project_image_fid=5476]

&nbsp;

With the Kangaroo Point Green Bridge, The Gabba, and Cross River Rail all within walking distance, BANKSII is poised to benefit from Olympic precinct investment in the lead-up to 2032.

Read more: <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/banksii-sales-launch-in-booming-east-brisbane-apartment-market">BANKSII sales launch in booming East Brisbane apartment market</a>

August saw major construction milestones achieved both in and out of the city.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia" target="">Sekisui House</a>&nbsp;celebrated the completion of the Uno building at West Village, unveiling its largest apartments, up to 347 sqm internally, as part of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-allere-collection-west-village-mollison-street-west-end" target="">The Allere Collection</a>.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=5698]

Positioned in one of Brisbane’s most mature masterplanned precincts, the new residences target the undersupplied upper end of the market, offering rooftop gardens, pools, and pet-friendly amenities like the Paw Pavilion.&nbsp;

The Uno tower follows strong interest in its sold-out sister building Duo, due for completion in late 2025.

Read more: <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/sekisui-house-unveils-allere-unos-largest-apartments-as-building-completes">Sekisui House unveils Allere Uno's largest apartments as building completes</a>

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/rochedale-qld-4123">Rochedale</a> in Brisbane’s south, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/metro-property-group">Metro Property Group</a> also marked a key construction milestone at Citrine Townhomes, with stage one now in the defects phase and full completion of all building works.&nbsp;

Stages one and two are fully sold out, while the recently launched stage three has just 10 four-bedroom homes remaining, priced from $1.125 million.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136295 project_image_fid=2663]

Across the three stages, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/citrine-townhomes-rochedale-311-gardner-road-rochedale-qld-4123">Citrine Townhomes</a> will deliver 90 three and four-bedroom homes with landscaped resident amenities, including a pool and BBQ area.&nbsp;

Settlements for stage one are expected to commence from October 2025.

Read more: <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-stage-of-townhouses-at-citrine-rochedale-reaches-completion-milestone">First stage of townhouses at Citrine Rochedale reaches completion milestone</a>

Builder-developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mcnab-developments">McNab</a> is expected to launch its new West End project after receiving development approval from the Brisbane City Council in August.

The new development,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.urban.com.au/new-apartments/tannery-residences-439-montague-road-west-end-qld-4101">The Tannery Residences</a>, will see the historic Dixon's Tannery reimagined into a 10-level apartment building that will&nbsp;integrate the original 19th-century building into a resident wellness hub dubbed The Retreat, featuring a sauna, plunge pools, gym, Pilates studio, and co-working areas.&nbsp;

<img alt="McNab secures approval to transform West End's Dixon’s Tannery into The Tannery Residences" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/McNab%20The%20Tannery_Render_09.jpg?VersionId=Ucpd19J0ABOpzetZ.BsyYmS_x2N2QV_g" />

The 81 residences, ranging from two to four bedrooms, will be complemented by expansive rooftop amenities, including a pool, dog-friendly zones, and outdoor dining.&nbsp;

McNab plans to begin construction in Q3 2025, with completion expected by late 2027.

Read more: <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/mcnab-secures-approval-to-transform-west-ends-dixon-s-tannery-into-the-tannery-residences">McNab secures approval to transform West End's Dixon’s Tannery into The Tannery Residences</a>

&nbsp;

One of the largest applications the local council has seen in years hit the new apartment pipeline in August.

Verso Development filed plans for Toowong Central, a $1 billion precinct across three towers delivering 1,100 apartments to Brisbane’s undersupplied inner-west.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

<img alt="$1 billion Toowong Central to deliver 1,100 apartments to undersupplied Brisbane market" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/architecture.png?VersionId=G7zTAAtY9Nj3muYKNSFxD_dzEWMqRn3X" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/kerry-hill-architects">KHA</a>, the scheme includes short-term accommodation and a civic plaza, and aims to reclaim <a href="Toowong">Toowong</a>’s identity with subtropical urbanism and integrated public realm outcomes.

Read more: <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/1-billion-toowong-central-to-deliver-1-100-apartments-to-undersupplied-brisbane-market">$1 billion Toowong Central to deliver 1,100 apartments to undersupplied Brisbane market</a>

City Beat August 2025: Brisbane unit values surge again in August, as two new apartment developments launch to market

Summit &amp; Ridge, the fourth stage of Sekisui House Australia's Sanctuary in Wentworth Point, secured a flurry of sales at its recent launch.

More than 80 per cent of purchasers of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/summit-ridge-at-sanctuary-wentworth-point-14-16-hill-road-wentworth-point-nsw-2127">Summit &amp; Ridge</a>&nbsp;were owner occupiers, underlining the strong demand from buyers looking to live within the new&nbsp;riverfront community. Over 40 apartments were sold valued at $46.5 million within three hours of the launch event, with an average price of $1.107 million.

“Buyers appreciated the larger layouts in this stage and the sense of space Summit &amp; Ridge offers,"&nbsp;said Matthew Landa, Senior Sales Executive – Apartments &amp; Mixed-Use Developments.

"The combination of generous apartments, exclusive amenities and unique position on the Parramatta River peninsula helped with sales. Many told us they could picture themselves living here, it is a place that feels established, green and connected, yet private."

The launch drew interest from local buyers within a 5km radius, as well as repeat purchasers from previous Sanctuary stages, with 15 per cent of buyers upgrading their property portfolio through Sekisui House Australia’s Rewards Program. Purchasers also came from the Lower North Shore, Oatlands and the Inner West, highlighting the project’s broad market appeal.&nbsp;

<img alt="Summit &amp; Ridge at Sanctuary, Wentworth Point" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="1166d1aa-e075-429c-a1f4-4861cad140e3" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/2417_TheSanctuary_02_EXT_Podium.jpg?VersionId=E37Ym7TBhQX4VFKnFNDwccSiDLp81KZA" />

Comprising 488 apartments across Summt (39 levels), and Ride (32 levels), the first sales release focused exclusively on one and two-bedroom residences, priced from $720,000 to $1.3 million. One-bedroom apartments were popular, with purchasers valuing their limited supply, pricing and uninterrupted views across the Newington Nature Reserve, Parramatta River and picturesque views across the Blue Mountains.

Summit &amp; Ridge enjoys an enviable position on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/wentworth-point-nsw-2127">Wentworth Point</a> peninsula, the only built environment north of Hill Road, surrounded by water and a nature reserve. The project’s Neighbourhood Green, a 1.5-hectare landscaped parkland running through the heart of Sanctuary will also open soon.

The towers by acclaimed architects <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/turner-studio">TURNER</a> are defined by organic, sculptural forms that frame views, guide movement and enhance the connection between nature and the city, a design approach that ensures Summit &amp; Ridge will become a striking architectural marker within Sydney’s skyline.

<img alt="Summit &amp; Ridge at Sanctuary, Wentworth Point" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="49e681c8-af8e-4623-aa60-7573acaade7e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/CGI1.png?VersionId=EkqjP9veHDeZaSeXkN8p1aOUW79nLdVv" />

Summit will feature resident-only amenities on level 29 including a resort-style pool and sauna, while Ridge offers an outdoor cinema, sunset bar and dining space on level 23. At the base of Ridge, a 110-place childcare centre will further support growing families, reinforcing the masterplan’s focus on lifestyle and community.

The interiors in the project by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/henderson-co">Henderson &amp; Co.</a>, were inspired by the “natural elegance” of Sanctuary’s landscape setting, with efficient Japanese design principles enhancing space and light throughout the homes. 
&nbsp; 
“The fact that sales were achieved so quickly shows the strength of demand for quality, well-designed apartments in Sydney,"&nbsp;Landa added.

"Owner occupiers in particular see the long-term value of being part of a master planned community delivered by Sekisui House Australia, and that trust has been a major driver behind this success."

Sales momentum was further supported by the current downward trend in interest rates, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

<img alt="Summit &amp; Ridge at Sanctuary, Wentworth Point" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="31591500-e65c-44d6-aa48-35310a7bd45b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/HERO_CASE%20STUDY%20A_1.jpg?VersionId=DiE.Zk1g8Rfb1fRmMMe_0r6oa55oYsAb" />

The recent completion of the third stage of Sanctuary, Laguna &amp; Glade,&nbsp;has further reinforced purchaser confidence, giving buyers a first-hand view of Sekisui House Australia’s build quality and design execution.

Nearby amenities include Marina Square Shopping Centre, Wentworth Point High School, ferry terminal, train station and the future Parramatta Light Rail.&nbsp;

Three and four-bedroom apartments will be released at future launches. &nbsp;Construction is anticipated to commence in Q4 2025 and completed by Q3 2028.

Every apartment in Summit &amp; Ridge will carry a 4 Gold Star iCIRT rating, an independent NSW Government-backed accreditation for integrity, capability and financial stability, giving buyers confidence they are investing in a home built to last.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144917]

Owner occupiers drive $46.5 million launch success at Summit & Ridge, Wentworth Point

Plans to transform the former VicRoads site in Kew are progressing with four shortlisted developers invited to submit their proposals for the site.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/riverlee">Riverlee</a>, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lendlease-development">Lendlease Development Pty Ltd</a>, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mirvac">Mirvac Group</a> and a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/milieu-property">Milieu</a>-led consortium have been invited to participate in the Request for Proposal (RFP) process to deliver much needed housing at 60 Denmark Street, Kew.

Acting Executive General Manager Housing, Nemesia Kennett, said the RFP stage follows a strong response to the initial Expression of Interest (EOI) campaign.

"Denmark Street, Kew, presents a unique development opportunity which has attracted high caliber developers well qualified to transform the site,"&nbsp;Kennett said.

“Each shortlisted developer brings a depth of expertise and proven track record in delivering quality housing projects, achieving excellence in design and community outcomes. We’re looking forward to seeing the shortlisted developers' proposals and understanding how they will deliver the best outcomes for the community if successful."

Local views and priorities for the site were captured in a Community Aspirations Report that will guide the next stage of the development process.

"The report found overwhelming community support for redevelopment of the site and recognition of the urgent need for more homes in Kew,"&nbsp;Kennett added.

“Feedback also highlighted opportunities to revitalise public areas, improve walking and cycling connections, create more green open space, and celebrate the site's heritage, including its rail history and Wurundjeri cultural stories.”

Development Victoria will continue to communicate with the Boroondara Council and the local community throughout the transaction process.

A preferred development partner will be confirmed in 2026, following a thorough assessment of proposals.

Developers shortlisted to deliver housing in Kew

Builder-developer ALAND has drawn back the curtain on its first city-focused new apartment development.

The North Sydney development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-walden-north-sydney-173-179-walker-street-north-sydney-nsw-2060">The Walden</a>, is the first time the company has ventured this close to the city, having previously completed thousands of apartments predominantly in Sydney's west, and more recently in Gosford.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aland">ALAND</a> acquired the prime North Sydney site, spanning Walker and Hampden Streets just down the road from the Victoria Cross Metro station, for $240 million in June.

Now they've unveiled the new project, a mix of one-, two-, three- and four-bedroom apartments across a 30-level building designed by Rothelowman.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6384]

The Walden will capitalise on the site’s front-row position on the eastern fringe of the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/north-sydney-nsw-2060">North Sydney</a> CBD, which offers uninterrupted Sydney Harbour views stretching from the Sydney Harbour Bridge all the way to Sydney Heads.

The main tower will be flanked by a small four-level amenity building known as The Pavilion, offering exclusive resident-only amenities including a dedicated concierge service, a sauna and private wellness studio, a gymnasium and fitness studio, a resort-style rooftop pool and sundeck.

There will also be a&nbsp;residents’ lounge, private dining and a wine cellar, and co-working facilities with an on-site meeting room and boardroom.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6382]

ALAND Founder Andrew Hrsto said the company knew they could create something "iconic" with The Walden when they saw the site.

&nbsp;

“As a company, we had been searching for a site in one of Sydney’s blue-chip locations, spanning the Eastern Suburbs, the Sydney CBD and the North Shore, and when we had the opportunity to purchase this site, we immediately recognised that it could be something iconic – being the last development with a view offering this exceptional.

“We identified the attributes and quality of the site as being perfectly aligned for ALAND – and we feel that this off-market acquisition is a perfect opportunity to showcase our craftmanship and expertise through a truly unique offering."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6399]

Hrsto pointed to ALAND’s longstanding development expertise as a significant benefit in delivering a positive outcome for The Walden.

“Being a fully integrated development and construction business with a highly experienced team, we have the benefit of in-house experts across the development spectrum, from acquisitions, design, planning, and construction, to sales, marketing, property management, through to building management.

“As one of Australia’s largest private development and construction groups, we’ve been in operation for 23 years, with a Gold Star iCIRT rating and a 100 per cent delivery success rate across numerous masterplanned and mixed-use projects – and we’re very much looking forward to bringing this expertise to The Walden and contributing to the ongoing revitalisation of North Sydney."

The Walden is the latest development in Sydney to have the 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy by Resilience Insurance, protecting buyers from any structural or waterproofing-related issues for 10 years post-completion.&nbsp;

Demolition of existing structures on The Walden site has already commenced through specialist civil contractor Moits, with the aim of completing preparatory ground works by the end of 2025, ahead of construction commencement in early 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134323]

ALAND unveils The Walden, North Sydney's latest luxury apartment development

Property Hotspot

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Sometimes economic upheaval can be the best thing that happens to a property market. Places afflicted by business closures and industry shutdowns often go into fightback mode and the end result is a net positive.
Newcastle since the closure of BHP in the late 1990s is a great example. So is Wollongong, a city where doom was forecast when Bluescope Steel was downsizing but which these days has a thriving local economy and growth property market.
And Geelong, which has had a number of blue-collar industries close but which has evolved into one of regional Australia’s strongest economies, with a property market which had led Victoria on price growth in the past two years.
In Adelaide, the former Mitsubishi car plant property has been re-purposed as a high-tech innovation precinct, a sector in which the SA capital leads the nation. More recently, the Holden manufacturing facility closed down but that too is being reinvented with modern creative industries.
Sometimes, this kind of supposed adversity can be the best thing that can happen in a local economy and its real estate market.
So now, to the surprise of many, we have resurgence in the Latrobe Valley in Victoria, where the closure of coal-related industries was thought be the death knell for local towns. But, yet again, the opposite is true and now towns like Traralgon and Moe are shaping as the next to join Victoria’s regional property boom.
Yes, there’s a property boom sweeping through regional Victoria. Contrary to the theme of mainstream media, which has created the false impression of decline everywhere, there are thriving and rising markets across the nation – and regional Victoria is at the forefront of them.
Victoria’s Latrobe Valley is a market that many investors would avoid because many of its towns are down-market and the region has attracted mostly negative publicity suggesting economic decline.
But the reality is quite different from the media-driven perceptions. The Latrobe Valley is performing strongly and the real estate market is rising. It’s becoming the latest of the fightback markets of Australia.
Buyer demand has been slowly rippling eastward from Melbourne in the last few years. Sales activity in Cardinia Shire (Pakenham and Officer) and Baw Baw (Warragul and Drouin) has risen strongly, with big price growth. Now, it’s Latrobe City’s turn. 
The Latrobe Valley economy was impacted by the closure of coal-fired power stations but various levels of government have been directing resources to the region to boost the economy and maintain jobs. Numerous small projects to support small business and manufacturing are under way, schools and sporting complexes are being upgraded, a GovHub is being established and unemployment has fallen.
On a larger scale, the Defence Force is relocating its pilot training academy to nearby Sale, the local hospital is being redeveloped in a $217 million project, the Gippsland rail line is being duplicated in several sections and there are plans to establish an electronic car-making factory in the region.
This is drawing the focus from the traditional mining sector and steering Latrobe Valley in a new direction.
Latrobe City is recognised as one of Victoria’s four major regional centres along with Ballarat, Bendigo and Geelong. It is made up of four central towns – Churchill, Moe/Newborough, Morwell and Traralgon.
The City is the residential and commercial hub of a larger catchment of 262,000 people stretching across the Latrobe Valley and Gippsland region. Latrobe Valley is one of the most liveable regions in Victoria, known for its high-quality health, education and community services.
More commonly known for its energy production, the Latrobe region is also a heartland for agriculture, pastoral, papermaking and timber, supplemented by manufacturing and engineering.
Latrobe Valley is serviced by Victoria’s regional train network with V/Line train stations at Trafalgar, Moe, Morwell and Traralgon.
Regional Victoria is now the strongest market in Australian real estate. As the Melbourne boom subsides, regional markets are rising strongly.
Latrobe is a prime example: demand is rising in all four main towns. These markets are very affordable – Churchill, Moe and Morwell all have medians below $200,000. Traralgon, the biggest market with 620 annual sales, has a median house price of $290,000. 
Strong yields and low vacancies, both being hallmarks of a promising property market, are evident across Latrobe City. SQM Research data shows rents have generally risen in the last 12 months. The median rent in Morwell is $240, 8% higher than a year ago and 18% up on the rate of three years ago. Investors can expect rental returns around 6.8% in Churchill and Morwell, and 6.4% in Moe. 
The region can now offer a combination of low prices, low vacancies and high rental returns. 
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
</body></html>

terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Regional property markets historically defy their economic downturns: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

<html><body>
EXPERT OBSERVER
Markets in Regional NSW continue to head in the opposite direction to Sydney. While the Sydney market is showing increasing signs of decline (generally speaking – there are exceptions), the cities and towns of Regional NSW are delivering growth markets right across the state.
This is particularly evident in the price data. Hotspotting’s location-by-location analysis has revealed 150 Regional NSW locations where median prices have grown 5% or more in the past year, of which 65 locations have increased more than 10%.
In addition to the 150 places with 5%-plus price growth, there are another 67 locations with annual price growth between 1% and 5%.
The growth has been led by seven locations with growth of 20% or more: Crestwood (up 26%) Evans Head (up 23%), Kiama (up 22%), Catalina (up 21%), Berry (up 20%), Soldiers Point (up 23%) and the Shoal Bay unit market (up 31%).
The Newcastle region has been particularly strong on price growth in the past year. The LGAs of Newcastle, Lake Macquarie and Port Stephens all have multiple suburbs with solid to strong median price growth.
The Central Coast is another standout, with 13 suburbs with median price growth above 5%, including Ettalong Beach (up 17%), Kincumber (up 10%) and Wamberai (up 13%).
In terms of locations with rising demand, as measured by quarterly sales activity, our Summer survey has found 53 Regional NSW locations with markets trending upwards. This is slightly below the average of the past two years and is down on the 70 rising markets identified in the Spring 2018 sales survey.
The Queanbeyan-Palerang LGA just outside Canberra is the leading precinct, with five locations with rising demand. Leading locations include Crestwood and Queanbeyan East, where quarterly sales activity has been trending steadily upwards over the past 1-2 years. Crestwood’s median house price has risen 26% in the past 12 months.
The Newcastle region continues to stand out, although Newcastle itself is past the peak in terms of sales activity. There are only two Newcastle suburbs with rising demand but many with plateau markets. The previous strong demand is still delivering significant price growth and a number of suburbs (including Hamilton, Hamilton South, Mayfield, Wallsend and North Lambton) have risen more than 10% in the past year.
Outside Newcastle in neighbouring LGAs, Lake Macquarie and Maitland both have four suburbs with rising demand, while nearby Port Stephens has two. Out in the Hunter Region, Singleton, Muswellbrook and Scone all have increasing buyer activity. Muswellbrook’s quarterly sales have been 41, 52, 57, 74, 60 and 78 in the past 18 months – and its median house price has risen 8% to $305,000 in the past year.
Tamworth is one of the emerging markets. It now has four suburbs with rising demand, including North Tamworth where quarterly sales have been 17, 30, 34, 39, 34, 41 and 45 – with its median house price up 11.5% to $430,000 in the past 12 months.
There are towns with growth markets right across Regional NSW, including Casino, Kyogle, Cooma, Griffith, Parkes, Gunnedah, Cowra, Glen Innes, Inverell, Gloucester, Lithgow, Mudgee, Tuncurry and Broken Hill.
Some significant markets have passed their peaks in terms of sales activity, but still have strong prices. They include the Central Coast, Newcastle, Wollongong, the towns of the Wingecarribee LGA and the Tweed region near the Queensland border.
In the Tweed area, prices have risen strongly in the past 12 months in Bogangar (11%), Casuarina (19%) and Kingscliff (14%).
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au, ryder@hotspotting.com.au, twitter.com/hotspotting
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Regional NSW rising as Sydney falls: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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Many of the Sydney residential markets are showing resilience – refusing to lie down – but the overwhelming weight of evidence is that the big price boom has run its course.
You will note my reluctance to speak about “the Sydney property market” as a single entity. The tendency by media (and many of the attention-seekers, like economists and publicity-obsessed research companies, who feed journalists misinformation) to distil market dynamics for a major city to a single growth figure is really unhelpful and often misleading. 
The Sydney metro area, with over 700 suburbs, has many different markets. They’re not all moving as one. To describe Sydney house price movements as a single figure might satisfy a simplistic media but it tells no one anything useful. 
My latest analysis of sales data reveals there are still a small number of Sydney suburbs with growth markets, a much larger number which I classify as “plateau” markets (have levelled off a little below the peak), a few that show notable consistency of sales over time, and a small but growing number that I categorise as “danger” markets.
That amounts to lots of different scenarios within the boundaries of the Greater Sydney Area. 
If there is any commonality to be found, it’s that the volume of sales overall has dropped in 2016 and that most research sources are publishing data which confirms that the overall rate of price growth has dissipated considerably.
The other common feature is that many Sydney areas are hanging tough. Some of the key factors that drove the boom – the strength of the Sydney/NSW economy and the high level of spending on infrastructure – are still in place.
But some of the other influences – the absence of major growth in the decade pre-2013 and the relative affordability it created – has passed into history. There’s no way that strong level of price growth could continue beyond three years, because price becomes an issue for more and more people.
But a lot of Sydney markets are showing resilience – still making good sales and maintaining strong prices, just without the double-digit annual growth of the recent past. This is one of the reasons I’m not expecting any significant decline in Sydney markets in the near future.
But there are exceptions. There are now eight suburbs which I classify as danger markets. They’re all locations dominated by apartments and they’re places where sales rates have dropped markedly at a time when developers are still bringing lots of new supply to the market.
In some of those standout locations, like Parramatta, the rate of sale is a third of the levels of three years ago. Practitioners who claim Sydney can build unlimited numbers of new apartments because the city has a dwelling shortage are deluding themselves and others. There are specific markets in Sydney heading for major oversupply, regardless of the overall supply-demand situation for the metro area as a whole.
The areas showing the most solidity in the face of the overall decline in the market heat are headed by the City of Penrith. There’s still plenty of life in markets out in the far west – and this is typical of the Sydney places investors should consider to achieve growth in coming years.
Sydney’s property boom was caused by a number of core factors, including the overall strength of the NSW economy and the lengthy period without strong growth pre-2013.
But the biggest single factor for me is the high level of spending on infrastructure. Tens of billions of dollars are being invested and that’s generated economic activity and jobs, while improving the amenity and/or accessibility of locations. Transport and medical-educational facilities are the big ticket items.
So the way forward for investors in Sydney is to follow the infrastructure trail – and, in general terms, that means looking west where the second airport is being built, as well as new motorways and rail links.
Municipalities like Penrith, as well as Blacktown and Liverpool, are the most likely beneficiaries.
Buying property that lies in the path of progress has always been a core method of making money in real estate – and that’s one of the keys for investors contemplating the inevitable wind-down in markets in Sydney.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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Parramatta on list of eight danger property market suburbs: Terry Ryder

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Where are the first home buyer hotspots? REA's Nerida Conisbee

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Ballarat was the top major city regional performer with 12 percent annual house price growth in 2018, according to the REIV.
It outperformed Greater Geelong which recorded 10.8 percent annual house price growth.
Ballarat is Victoria's third largest precinct, only one hour from Melbourne.
Ballarat has a population of just over 100,000 people, with around 27 percent in rental accommodation, with investors attracted yields averaging 4.4 percent on houses and 5.2 percent on townhouses and units.
Despite the well-documented cooling of inner Melbourne house prices in recent months, Ballarat has been on the radar of buyers with low land prices, from $130,000 to $150,000, and full turnkey house &amp; land packages starting from $410,900.
The strong history of Ballarat provides a sought after niche with period housing, particularly 1900 Victorian-era dwellings.
Ballarat has the benefit of an express train service, with those who commute to Melbourne seeing the trip take around 60 minutes. 
Increasing numbers of new residents to the city has been fuelling demand with Ballarat experiencing 28 percent group within the past 24 months due to growing employment opportunities and the regional lifestyle appeal it offers to many city dwellers.
There's been a heightened infrastructure spend with the Victorian Government spending billions including rail upgrades, relocation of government departments and the hospital refurbishment.
<table dir="ltr" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>Regional Centres</td>
<td>Dec-18 Quarter</td>
<td>Quarterly Change</td>
<td>Sep-18 Quarter</td>
<td>Annual Change</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greater Geelong</td>
<td>$555,000</td>
<td>1.80%</td>
<td>$545,000</td>
<td>10.80%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greater Bendigo</td>
<td>$352,250</td>
<td>1.80%</td>
<td>$346,000</td>
<td>2.10%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>City of Ballarat</td>
<td>$386,500</td>
<td>1.70%</td>
<td>$380,000</td>
<td>12.00%</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
Ballarat is made up of many sub-markets, starting with Ballarat Central.
BALLARAT CENTRAL Lower Quartile: $255,750 Dec-18 Median: $308,000 Upper Quartile: $475,000 Quarterly Change: 11.60%
LAKE WENDOUREE Lower Quartile: $325,000 Dec-18 Median: $500,000 Upper Quartile: $550,000 Quarterly Change: 12.00%
BALLARAT NORTH Lower Quartile: $201,000 Dec-18 Median: $265,000 Upper Quartile: $299,000 Quarterly Change: -4.30%
BALLARAT EAST Lower Quartile: $237,000 Dec-18 Median: $275,000 Upper Quartile: $310,000 Quarterly Change: -0.50%
WENDOUREE Lower Quartile: $167,750 Dec-18 Median: $199,000 Upper Quartile: $337,000 Quarterly Change: -3.40%
ALFREDTON Lower Quartile: $240,000 Dec-18 Median: $288,750 Upper Quartile: $332,000 Quarterly Change: 8.30%
REDAN Lower Quartile: $228,000 Dec-18 Median: $260,975 Upper Quartile: $310,000 Quarterly Change: 3.40%
SEBASTOPOL Lower Quartile: $203,000 Dec-18 Median: $231,000 Upper Quartile: $259,000 Quarterly Change: 0.40%
BROWN HILL Lower Quartile: $255,000 Dec-18 Median: $284,000 Upper Quartile: $295,000 Quarterly Change: 0.60%
MOUNT CLEAR Lower Quartile: $242,500 Dec-18 Median: $275,000 Upper Quartile: $314,556 Quarterly Change: 0.00%
CANADIAN Lower Quartile: $241,000 Dec-18 Median: $279,500 Upper Quartile: $330,000 Quarterly Change: 3.50%
Source REIV
In mid-2018 the Herron Todd White residential report looked at the prestige market noting it "probably kicks in around the $1 million dollar mark, but things really start to get interesting north of about $1.5 million."
These properties are generally situated in Ballarat Central, Lake Wendouree and Invermay with a smattering in Soldiers Hill, Newington and Buninyong.
<div class="column">
In general terms, $1 million to $1.5 million in Ballarat at present will buy you a large fully renovated period dwelling on a block of circa 1,000 square metres.
"If you have more than $1.5 million to $2 million to spend you will be able to get something on Lake Wendouree," the HTW valuer noted.
"It is at this level that the market is considered ultra-prestige."
"The market is being traded mostly by local high net worth individuals and people new to town who have come from markets where the quantum of cash perhaps doesn’t stretch so far. In general purchasers seem to seek high quality locations, with good sized lots and renovated period dwellings."
HTW noted the main drivers of the market are the economic success of Ballarat as a centre.
"This can be measured by population growth, employment growth and perhaps even tourism growth.
"These three measures have performed very well in the past four years and as a result the prestige market has also shown significant growth.
"With further growth in these areas forecast as well as additional local and state government spending, we consider the future growth prospects for the market to be strong.
A Ballarat Central four bedroom sold for $935,000 in April (pictured below).
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-ballarat+central-128084590" target="_blank">Positioned at 217 Windermere St</a>, the Victorian home comes with four bedrooms, open plan kitchen,  spacious lounge/home theatre and landscaped private rear alfresco area.
Further additions include central heating, reverse cycle air-conditioning and double garage.
Positioned on 869sqm, it is within close proximity to cafes and restaurants, the CBD, hospitals and just minutes to the lake and schools.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/5/15/%20ballarat%20central%20.jpg" alt="">
A Lake Wendouree three bedroom townhouse was traded for $625,000 (pictured below).
<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-lake+wendouree-128325954" target="_blank">The 1/4 Hotham St home </a>features four bedrooms, open plan living/dining area, Victorian Ash kitchen, and low maintenance courtyard garden.
Other features include custom joinery throughout, ducted heating and vacuum, side access to laundry and secure side access.
It is just a couple of blocks from Lake Wendouree and hospitals in this quiet neighbourly street, stroll to cafes, restaurants and Lake amenities.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/5/15/Lkae%20wendouree%20.jpg" alt="">
Another Lake Wendouree home, this time representing the median price is <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-lake+wendouree-128860942" target="_blank">18 Burnbank Street</a> (pictured below).
Sold for $525,000 last September the house has increased in value by $120,000 since it's 2016 sale price of $405,000.
The three bedroom one bathroom home is set on 549 sqm and is located less than 400 metres from Lake Wenouree itself.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/18/Wendouree.JPG" alt="">
An example of the median sale price in Sebastopol is <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-unit-vic-sebastopol-129925826" target="_blank">4/3 Verdon Street </a> (pictured below).
The property, sold in early December, is currently tenanted at $235 per week.
Sold for $231,000 the two bedroom, one bathroom townhouse saw an increase in price of $36,000 from it's January 2015 sale price of $195,000.
Situated within walking distance of a supermarket, shopping &amp; public transport, the townhouse features a one car garage.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/18/Sebastopol.JPG" alt="">
An example of the median price in Mount Clear is <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-mount+clear-128592462" target="_blank">946 Geelong Road</a> (pictured below).
Set on 557 sqm, the three bedroom one bathroom home sold in late July for $268,000.
Last sold in November 2011 for $197,000, the property has increased in value by $71,000 over the past 7 years.
Located in between the Ballarat CBD &amp; Federation University, the property is close to schools, super markets &amp; recreational facilities.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/21/Mount%20Clear.JPG" alt="">
</div>
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Ballarat ranked as Victoria's top regional performer with 12 percent 2018 house price growth: REIV

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EXPERT OBSERVER 
Despite the well-documented cooling of Melbourne house prices in recent months, down almost two percent over the June quarter, Melbourne’s median house price is still an eye-watering $882,082 according to Domain’s latest research. For the vast majority of first-time buyers, whether owner-occupiers or investors, that puts Melbourne property ownership way out of their financial reach.
So where else can these hopeful buyers get a foothold into the property market?
Reventon has been securing property for clients in Geelong for a number of years now. However, land prices have appreciated over $150,000 in the last two years, making it difficult for investors and first home buyers to continue purchasing in Geelong.
For those buyers who purchased an investment property or family home in Geelong one to two years ago, they now have generated enough equity in their property to look at their next investment purchase. But where should that be?
Ballarat is the next hotspot. Land prices are low, from $130,000, making it affordable for first home buyers and investors alike to purchase. We have seen a significant increase in land value over the last three months’ alone, and this is likely to continue alongside the growing market demand.
So why is Ballarat my top pick?
1. Affordability – With land prices averaging between $130,000 -$150,000, Ballarat land is at a far lower price point than in any of the major capital cities or in Melbourne's outer suburbs. Full turnkey House &amp; Land packages start from $410,900, again still very affordable.
2. Transportation – Ballarat has the benefit of an express train service. Those who work in the city can commute to Melbourne in around 60 minutes, which is faster than many outer suburban commutes. 
3. Population growth – Increasing numbers of new residents to the city are fuelling demand. Ballarat has experienced a massive growth of 27.9 percent within the past 24 months due to growing employment opportunities and the regional lifestyle appeal it offers to many city dwellers.
4. Infrastructure spend – The Victorian Government has committed to spending billions of dollars on infrastructure investment in the Ballarat region. This spending includes:
o Road infrastructure projects - $7 billion
o Rail upgrades - $551.7 million
o City transformation and relocation of government departments - $47.8 million
o Health investment including hospital refurbishment - $461 million
o Private sector investment is also contributing to the creation of thousands of new jobs
5. Lifestyle - Ballarat has so much to offer in the way of lifestyle, cultural, culinary, sporting and entertainment options. It is Victoria's third largest precinct and only one hour from Melbourne.
6. Low stamp duty - Due to the current low base land price, average stamp duty is only around $3,200, adding to the overall affordability for buyers. This is far lower than duty paid for higher priced locations and especially apartments, where investors now have to pay full stamp duty on an off the plan purchase, which equates to 5.5 percent or $27,500 in stamp duty payable on a $500,000 apartment, even more for foreign buyers once additional taxes are added.
7. Rental Demand – Ballarat has a population of just over 100,000 people, and around 27 percent of its occupants live in rental accommodation, so plenty of demand, especially for new properties. Ballarat’s vacancy rates are low also, at around 1.1 percent.
8. Rental Yields – Investors are attracted by attractive yields, which are averaging 4.4 percent* on houses and 5.2 percent on townhouses and units,* which compares favourably to Melbourne’s ever-dropping yields as house prices increase.
So, there are my eight sizzling reasons why Ballarat is Victoria’s next property hotspot. For those looking to secure their first property in the region, my advice is to move sooner rather than later...
Chris Christofi is the Founder and CEO, Reventon, a company he built from the ground up in 2005
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Why Ballarat is Victoria’s next sizzling hotspot: Chris Christofi

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The Hotspotting columnist Terry Ryder has nominated Langwarrin, as “the nation’s most consistent market” in his latest report.
Langwarrin is a suburb of Melbourne, located 42 km south-east from Melbourne's central business district.
Property Observer went to <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/terry-ryder/87612-australia-s-most-consistent-property-market-hotspotting-s-terry-ryder" target="_blank">check it out</a>. 
A recent sale in Langwarrin was a Rubida Drive three bedroom house which has been sold for $550,000 (pictured below).
It was listed by Andrew Guerin from Harcourts Langwarrin.
Located in the Lang Park Estate, the <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-langwarrin-128761254" target="_blank">24 Rubida Drive</a> house comes with three good-sized bedrooms, formal lounge room, separate family living area, spacious kitchen with the gas cook.
Other features include large grassed rear yard, gas wall heating, split system A/C, security doors and single garage.
It is close to local shops, schools, public transport and parks.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/8/6/24%20rubinda%20drive%20.jpg" alt=""> 
Another recent sale was an Anthony Street three bedroom house which was sold for $641,000 last month (pictured below).
It was sold by Robert Anderson and John Walsh from Barry Plant Frankston.
Set on an 838sqm allotment, <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-langwarrin-128739070" target="_blank">14 Anthony Street </a>comes with expansive living, dining &amp; meals zones, versatile studio/office, kitchen with stainless steel appliances and undercover alfresco area.
Additional features include ducted heating, split system cooling, and a single lock up garage.
It is only moments to Lloyd Park, Langwarrin Park Primary and The Gateway Shopping Centre.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/8/6/14%20anthony%20st.jpg" alt=""> 
A North Road two bedroom unit has been sold for $410,000 (pictured below).
It was sold by Ange Sarailis from Purplebricks.
Set at the rear of a 2013-built complex,<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-unit-vic-langwarrin-128756846" target="_blank"> Unit 5/200A North Road </a>consists of two carpeted bedrooms, living area, tiled dining/kitchen and private north-west facing pergola-covered deck.
It is close to local North Rd corner shops and 4-min walk to Bus 771 to Frankston shops and Station.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/8/6/200a%20north%20rd.jpg" alt="">
A new offering is an Allington Place four bedroom house priced at $649,950 (pictured below).
It has been listed by OBrien from Jared McGovern.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-langwarrin-129007058" target="_blank">27 Allington Place</a>, it comprises of four bedrooms, study, two separate living rooms, two separate dining/ meals areas as well as breakfast bar to the kitchen.
Extra features include solar electricity, ducted heating, split system heating/cooling and two separate backyards.
It is situated a short walk to the Langwarrin Plaza as well as nearby to Woodlands Primary School, public transport and both the Peninsula Link and Western Port Hwy.
The suburb's median house price sits at <a href="/news">$613,000</a> and its median unit price sits at<a href="/news"> $446,750</a>, according to CoreLogic. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/8/6/27%20allington%20palace.jpg" alt="">
A Cedar Street four bedroom house has been listed for $650,000 to $700,000 (pictured below).
It has been offered by Jamie Universita and Michael Spring from Eview Group - Universia Spring Estate Agents.
Situated in the heart of Leafy Langwarrin,<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-langwarrin-128972158" target="_blank"> 43 Cedar Street </a>house features four bedrooms, huge designer kitchen, open plan living with high vaulted ceilings, and spacious lounge.dining.
Additional features include ducted heating, split system cooling, inground pool, and single carport.  
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/8/6/43%20cedar%20rd.jpg" alt="">
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