<p data-end="226" data-start="88"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/crows-nest-nsw-2065">Crows Nest</a> continues to be a hive of activity for developers following the opening of the Crows Nest Metro station nearly two years ago.</p>

<p data-end="404" data-start="228">The latest Transport Oriented Development plans are located directly across the road from the station, which sees around 6,000 commuters pass through during the morning peak.</p>

<p data-end="686" data-start="406">A new State Significant Development Application, filed by an entity linked to Colin Rahim and Pierre Sukkar, directors at builder Growthbuilt and emerging developer Prosper, proposes a 40-storey mixed-use tower with 254 apartments on a 2,127 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/402-420-pacific-highway-crows-nest-nsw-2065">402–420 Pacific Highway</a>.</p>

<p data-end="686" data-start="406"><img alt="Crows Nest" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="dcc2264f-d701-4493-88e8-d2286770ed20" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-21%20at%209.19.11%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=ZayWJRJQvrngii1roqjR85EvTTmGXq6E" /></p>

<p data-end="989" data-start="688">The development will comprise 40 one-bedroom apartments, 105 two-bedroom apartments, half of which will include an additional study, 101 three-bedroom apartments, and eight four-bedroom penthouses. These will sit above a four-storey podium, with four levels of basement parking providing 148 spaces.</p>

<p data-end="1265" data-start="991">fjcstudio has designed the building, which it says “embodies the principles of Transit Oriented Development (TOD) by promoting higher-density, mixed-use urban living in close proximity to the Crows Nest Metro Station, consistent with the Crows Nest Precinct Design Guide.”</p>

<p data-end="1518" data-start="1267">The practice adds that the development supports economic activity, reduces reliance on private vehicles, and enhances the public realm through active ground-floor uses, public domain upgrades, improved permeability, and fine-grain street activation.</p>

<p data-end="1744" data-start="1520">“The proposal aligns with the Precinct Vision by contributing to a vibrant mixed commercial and residential centre that integrates housing, jobs, and services while strengthening the local village character of Crows Nest.”</p>

<p data-end="1744" data-start="1520"><img alt="Crows Nest" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d87ca5b0-d7d7-4721-b332-8c046afb4577" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-21%20at%209.08.01%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=ZCkGc4neaSZc6EHnsP2d2V0ZhRS2_BCz" /></p>

<p data-end="1996" data-start="1746">Crows Nest has become one of the most sought-after suburbs for both apartment developers and buyers since the Metro opened in 2024. Developer Third.i quickly sold out half of the apartments at Elevate Hume Place, located directly above the station.</p>

<p data-end="2170" data-start="1998">Deicorp recently launched its debut Lower North Shore project, Falcon &amp; Alexander, while Abadeen and Lindsay Bennelong have completed boutique developments in the suburb.</p>

<p data-end="2584" data-start="2172">Prosper is also active in Crows Nest, having recently launched Kora, a boutique development of just 10 apartments on Willoughby Road. Its development pipeline has expanded significantly in recent years, following the completion of its luxury Bellevue Hill project, Splendour, in 2024. The group also has plans for a boutique development on Cowan Road in St Ives, as well as a 55-apartment project in Drummoyne.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>


Joel Robinson

First look: Crows Nest Metro apartments pitched by Prosper

<p data-end="225" data-start="88">Private equity real estate firm Conquest is upsizing plans for its recently acquired Quadrangle Shopping Centre in Sydney’s Castlecrag.</p>

<p data-end="405" data-start="227">Conquest purchased the site for just shy of $70 million last year, with existing plans in place for a mixed-use residential and retail precinct comprising 38 luxury apartments.</p>

<p data-end="812" data-start="407">Those plans have now been significantly expanded, with the developer lodging a State Significant Development Application with the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority for 150 apartments across two 11-storey buildings. The apartments will sit above a four-storey podium, incorporating specialty retail tenancies and five levels of basement car parking, on the 5,166 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/100-edinburgh-road-castlecrag-nsw-2068">100 Edinburgh Road</a>.</p>

<p data-end="812" data-start="407"><img alt="Conquest" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="581d49cf-7f03-4d17-a864-88700bf1fef1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-21%20at%208.24.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=K1U7nXEFcwuYHEKJwEKlnmtggRb2XjDQ" /></p>

<p data-end="953" data-start="814">fjcstudio has designed the shop-top housing development, which it says will “deliver a more efficient and future-focused design outcome.”</p>

<p data-end="1178" data-start="955">“The site occupies a strategically significant position within the Castlecrag Local Centre, situated along Edinburgh Road and surrounded by established low-density residential areas and natural bushland,” the studio said.</p>

<p data-end="1400" data-start="1180">“The proposal responds to this context through a carefully considered design that integrates built form, landscape, and public domain improvements, while respecting the suburb’s strong landscape and heritage identity.”</p>

<p data-end="1400" data-start="1180"><img alt="Conquest" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="1c170ad2-0a65-43a3-a5de-8bea82b69b11" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-21%20at%208.25.38%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=gqsRHFKAlG7kH4t4Q9rkFWTMpmEbKmI8" /></p>

<p data-end="1642" data-start="1402">The architects say the increased height and density are consistent with the NSW Housing SEPP objectives, supporting greater housing diversity and affordability while achieving high standards of architectural and environmental performance.</p>

<p data-end="1846" data-start="1644">The proposal also references the draft Willoughby Local Centres Strategy 2036, which aims to promote a network of thriving, attractive and distinctive village centres across the local government area.</p>

<p data-end="2345" data-start="1848">“The current trend shows that Castlecrag’s population is set to increase significantly over the coming years. The site falls within the study area for Castlecrag and is in an ideal location for higher density to meet anticipated urban strategy targets at both a state and local level. Aligning with metropolitan strategies, the proposed development will contribute to a more walkable local centre and help meet demand for an additional 1,500 dwellings across Willoughby’s local centres by 2036.”</p>

<p data-end="2462" data-start="2347">Of the roughly 1,000 homes in Castlecrag, only around 11 are apartments, according to the latest ABS Census data.</p>

<p data-end="2805" data-start="2464">Conquest has been increasingly active in the development space in recent years. The group acquired the Eastlakes Shopping Centre redevelopment, where it plans to deliver more than 1,000 apartments above a new retail precinct, and has also lodged a $900 million State Significant Development Application for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/conquest-unveils-900m-stanmore-village-vision-for-landmark-inner-west-site">mixed-use precinct in Stanmore</a>.</p>


First look: Conquest targets higher density at Castlecrag shopping centre site

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/capital-corporation">Capital Corporation</a> has announced that its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/lovedale-farm-1054-1184-wine-country-drive-lovedale-nsw-2325">Lovedale Farm</a> residential, resort and golf project has secured $24.6 million in sales in just three weeks since the opening of its display home, underscoring the appetite for premium lifestyle property in the Hunter Valley countryside.</p>

<p>The sales milestone has been driven by a diverse mix of buyers, including owner-occupiers and investors from Sydney, Newcastle and the local Hunter region, purchasing both land-only lots and house and land packages across the development.</p>

<p><img alt="Lovedale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e173edc9-e60e-4f19-a060-9dc4421a3233" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/LovedaleFarm_20250215-1.jpg?VersionId=1LY6CvOaD.Dzrt8tWpWxXtPyfchixNIo" /></p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>The result builds on the momentum generated at the display home opening on 22 March, which attracted more than 460 attendees.</p>

<p>With house and land pricing from $1.14 million, Lovedale Farm continues to attract strong interest from buyers seeking a premium lifestyle offering at a compelling price point. The development’s vision, a championship golf course, future epicurean village and access to the Hunter Valley’s celebrated wine country, has resonated with a broad buyer profile, from first-time investors to those looking to make the move and call the Hunter Valley home.</p>

<p><img alt="Lovedale Farm records $21.4 million in sales in three weeks" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b358e789-e1eb-40ed-8105-ed5c8297136f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/20260321LovedaleFarmDisplayHomeOpening--6.jpg?VersionId=6GUO8TNnxuELONrsM6n9imDB6oc82Bor" /></p>

<p>Jim Hunter, Managing Director of Capital Corporation said the response since opening the display home has been encouraging.</p>

<p>"To reach $24.6 million in sales in just three weeks speaks to the genuine demand for a lifestyle community of this calibre in the Hunter Valley," Hunter says.</p>

<p>"We’re seeing buyers from across the region and beyond, including investors who recognise the long-term value, and owner-occupiers who simply want to live somewhere truly special.</p>

<p>“Lovedale Farm is two decades in the making, and the market’s response is everything we hoped for. We’re excited to see these first buyers become part of the Lovedale Farm story from the very beginning."</p>

<p><img alt="Lovedale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="54d985cf-2ac2-400b-ac02-4401f3421ac7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/20260321LovedaleFarmDisplayHomeOpening--5.jpg?VersionId=3866bPoqpLZsm.3ACg9EafAr1W3miC_f" /></p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>Spanning 240 hectares on Wine Country Drive in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/lovedale-nsw-2325">Lovedale</a>, the $1 billion development is expected to deliver around 1,250 jobs during construction and inject more than $300 million into the local economy. The first 200 homes and championship 18-hole golf course are anticipated for completion in late 2027.</p>

<p>Capital Corporation has also lodged development plans for the Lovedale Farm clubhouse, set to become a vibrant hub for residents and the wider Hunter Valley community. Further releases are planned for later this year.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=14476]</p>


Lovedale Farm display home opening triggers $24.6 million in sales in three weeks

<p data-end="347" data-start="141">Prominent Malaysian developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/osk-property">OSK Property</a> has unveiled <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aura-at-melbourne-square-7-hoff-boulevard-southbank-vic-3006">Aura</a>, the next stage of its $3.5 billion Melbourne Square precinct in Southbank, continuing its push into wellness-led, amenity-rich apartment living.</p>

<p data-end="584" data-start="349">The $800 million tower, planned for 7 Hoff Boulevard, will rise 67 storeys and deliver 673 apartments, with COX Architecture drawing on both Japanese design principles and Australia’s natural landscape to shape the building’s identity. A rectangular grid aesthetic defines the building’s exterior, with COX drawing design cues from New York high-rises and Tokyo’s skyline.</p>

<p data-end="939" data-start="586">Aura builds on a growing trend in high-density living, where wellness is no longer an add-on but central to the product. The development is structured around four key pillars, combining calm, minimalist residences with layered communal spaces, landscaped gardens, and a suite of wellness amenities designed to support both physical and mental wellbeing.</p>

<p data-end="939" data-start="586">[smartcode_project:default project_id=151921 project_image_fid=367465]</p>

<p data-end="1180" data-start="941">At the core of the project is what OSK describes as a vertical wellness ecosystem, a multi-level approach to amenity that integrates health, lifestyle, and social spaces throughout the building rather than confining them to a single level.</p>

<p data-end="1677" data-start="1182">The main resident hub, the Aura Club on level seven, will include a pool, cold plunge, spa, gym, Pilates and yoga studios, alongside more lifestyle-driven inclusions like a golf simulator, music rooms, library, and work-from-home spaces. Above, a series of higher-level amenity zones, including the Meridian Club and Cumulus Club, introduce more refined, social and retreat-style environments, with private dining, lounges, and premium wellness spaces positioned to take advantage of city views.</p>

<p data-end="1677" data-start="1182">[smartcode_project:default project_id=151921 project_image_fid=367467]</p>

<p data-end="1934" data-start="1679">The residences themselves will largely include balconies, a key design move in a market increasingly focused on natural light, airflow, and connection to the outdoors. Views will extend across the CBD, the Arts Precinct, Royal Botanic Gardens, and beyond.</p>

<p data-end="2171" data-start="1936">Aura also introduces approximately 1,600 sqm of retail across the lower levels, further activating the Melbourne Square precinct, which already includes Kennedy Park, a Woolworths, childcare, and a growing mix of hospitality operators.</p>

<p data-end="2171" data-start="1936">[smartcode_project:default project_id=151921 project_image_fid=367474]</p>

<p>“Aura stands tall as an exemplar of holistic wellness – its focus on social, physical and mental health culminate in a building that is calming, restorative and relaxing, where residents will have their own sanctuary within the well-connected and sought-after <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/southbank-vic-3006">Southbank</a>," says&nbsp;OSK Property CEO Chong Boon Woon.</p>

<p>“We have been very encouraged by the market’s response to the BLVD offering, and we know there is a strong demand for the level of amenity, service and design that the Melbourne Square precinct is known for.</p>

<p>“Complemented by work-from-home lounges for professionals, family friendly outdoor garden spaces, and state-of-the-art fitness and wellness facilities, Aura will continue our focus on maximising physical, emotional, and mental wellbeing,” he said.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=151921 project_image_fid=367475]</p>

<p data-end="2376" data-start="2173">The project follows the strong performance of BLVD, which is now around 80 per cent sold, and reinforces OSK Property’s long-term commitment to Melbourne Square as a fully integrated, mixed-use precinct.</p>

<p data-end="2428" data-start="2378">Construction is expected to commence in late 2026.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151921]</p>


OSK unveils AURA, the latest stage in Southbank's $3.5 billion Melbourne Square precinct

<p data-end="211" data-start="96">National developer Time &amp; Place appears to have settled on a design for its long-anticipated Potts Point project.</p>

<p data-end="430" data-start="213">After several years of back and forth with local council and the NSW Government, the developer, which has spent seven years targeting the former The Chimes site on Macleay Street, has now progressed its plans.</p>

<p data-end="645" data-start="432">Following a concept design submission last year by SJB, Time &amp; Place has lodged a full State Significant Development Application with the NSW Government, this time for a scheme designed by Kerry Hill Architects.</p>

<p data-end="645" data-start="432"><img alt="Time &amp; Place" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="504d2a27-d65f-4227-8189-1e35e3376e62" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-20%20at%209.38.24%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=_XqFKATYHF30KnVByPxhaI9UBzmkmfn7" /></p>

<p data-end="801" data-start="647">The 16-storey proposal includes 44 apartments, 21 of which will be build-to-sell. These will comprise 19 three-bedroom apartments and two four-bedroom units.</p>

<p data-end="984" data-start="803">More than 50 per cent of the development will be dedicated to affordable housing, with 23 studio apartments to be delivered in line with the NSW Government’s Housing SEPP.</p>

<p data-end="1068" data-start="986">Kerry Hill Architects said the proposal is driven by a strong response to place.</p>

<p data-end="1224" data-start="1070">“Our proposal for a new residential building for Potts Point in Sydney is driven by a deep consideration of place,” the practice said in its submission.</p>

<p data-end="1630" data-start="1226">“This operates on multiple levels, including a landscape approach that reinstates endemic flora of the Sydney peninsula and provides a ground-floor garden for residents, reconnecting the site to its pre-European history. A brick podium further strengthens this relationship to context, integrating planting and fine bronze detailing that references the predominant material language of Macleay Street.”</p>

<p data-end="1898" data-start="1632">The three-level podium will be topped by a communal resident space, featuring a covered pool designed to receive direct afternoon sun in winter, a neighbouring reflection pool, dining and event areas oriented to maximise sunset views, and an outdoor exercise zone.</p>

<p data-end="1898" data-start="1632"><img alt="Time &amp; Place" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8d3eedc1-babb-44a3-bd96-d8a42f3adf1f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-20%20at%209.37.48%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Ii7.4dvqNatu5GQi6bhqNjAswrMB998." /></p>

<p data-end="2132" data-start="1900">The design also incorporates highly crafted shopfronts and a clearly defined residential entry to activate the street. Juliette balconies to the podium residences will provide passive surveillance and a strong sense of habitation.</p>

<p data-end="2225" data-start="2134">Above, the larger apartments are housed within a light-coloured masonry and bronze tower.</p>

<p data-end="2469" data-start="2227">“The tower steps back in a series of gently curved volumes that reference the rich Art Deco context of Macleay Street,” the architects said. “Carefully calibrated vertical fins frame the views while providing privacy and a sense of refuge.”</p>

<p><img alt="Time &amp; Place" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="6fab60f4-3140-4469-b47a-48c781e0a30b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-04-20%20at%209.28.44%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=e5XxrM3kzdASdKlcIACHAHbOSZhSKC9O" /></p>

<p>Time &amp; Place has been one of the most active developers nationally in the last 12 to 24 months. Late last year they completed&nbsp;The Queensbridge in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/southbank-vic-3006">Southbank</a>, a mixed-use tower with 353 apartments and a hotel. They are currently selling Park Modern, 246 apartments near the famous Botanic Gardens in South Melbourne.</p>

<p data-end="987" data-start="610">The developer has approval for The Burke, a mixed-use project in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/glen-iris-vic-3146">Glen Iris</a>&nbsp;being delivered in partnership with Woolworths. The 60 apartments, positioned above a new Woolworths supermarket, are expected to launch in the coming months. Time &amp; Place is also progressing plans for the redevelopment of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/northcote-vic-3070">Northcote</a>&nbsp;Plaza, and have recently submitted plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/vic/time-place-unveils-plans-22-storey-south-melbourne-tower">22-storey tower</a>, another in South Melbourne.</p>

<p data-end="1377" data-start="989">In&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/sydney-nsw">Sydney</a>, the developer has two projects in Manly: Two Tides, which is currently under construction, and an ultra high-end building on&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/shoreline-manly-beach-89-90-north-steyne-manly">North Steyne</a>, fronting the beach. It is also continuing to work through the redevelopment of The Chimes building on Macleay Street in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/potts-point-nsw-2011">Potts Point</a>, as well as Marlborough House, the redevelopment of the original David Jones warehouse building in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/surry-hills-nsw-2010">Surry Hills</a>.</p>


First look: Time & Place settles on design for The Chimes, Potts Point redevelopment

Population Trends

<html><body>
<p><span>Australia's four most populous states accounted for a thumping 93.4% of Australia's </span>population growth<span> over the year to Q1 2015, with New South Wales (its total population increasing to 7,597,000), Victoria (5,915,000), Queensland (4,767,000) and Western Australia (2,587,000) being the four states in question.</span><br><br><span>You could more or less chuck a soggy beach towel over the rest. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/25/B1.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/09/25/B1.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><span>The greatest gains in headcount across the most recent 12 month reporting period were seen in New South Wales (+101,200), Victoria (+97,500) and Queensland (+61,100), and as we've already seen that the recent "births" figures are almost certainly materially </span><a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/population-growth-surprise" target="_blank">understated</a><span> for the two most populous states. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/09/25/b2.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/09/25/b2.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<div>Population growth rates have slowed dramatically in the resources states and territories, including in Queensland (+1.3 per cent), and particularly in Western Australia (+1.4 per cent).<br><br>Meanwhile population growth in the Northern Territory has dried up almost completely (+0.2 per cent), and with net interstate migration away from the Top End reaching its most rapid level on record (-3,400) population 'growth' is set to turn negative in due course. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Population growth has also slowed in another state which is suffering from a "brain drain" - South Australia - where net interstate migration of negative -3,000 has helped to pull the rate of population growth down to just +0.8 per cent, though it still needs to slow further.<br><br>The 'Festival State' has not created a single full time job on a net basis since 2007 and the result has been a horribly increasing rate of unemployment.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/09/25/b2-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/09/25/b2-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Components of growth</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Net overseas migration remains very strong in New South Wales (+67,000) and Victoria (+55,000), but has clearly slowed in the resources states as the mining construction boom begins to fade into the rear view mirror.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/09/25/B5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/09/25/B5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>The most interesting trend for me over the last few years has been to note just how few people have been choosing to leave Sydney and Melbourne for cheaper or warmer climes (refer to the net interstate migration chart below), instead opting to stay put for the relative security of their capital city employment.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said, I do know more than a few people - including myself, in fact - who have recently decided to relocate from Sydney to Brisbane.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Brisbane is not only comparatively inexpensive, it also has a warmer climate and is considerably less crowded - and thus if the jobs market is creating the requisite employment it should be a no-brainer from my perspective!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The data below shows that the trickle of Sydneysiders moving to Queensland <em>has </em>only been a trickle through this cycle to date, and most certainly not a flood.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said, net interstate migration for the March quarter into Queensland (+1,300) was plenty stronger than we saw in the prior corresponding period (+700) taking annual net interstate migration into the Sunshine State back up to +6,200 from its recent nadir.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/09/25/B4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/09/25/B4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>Totting that little lot up we can see in the chart below that population growth has slowed significantly in Western Australia (+35,300) and Queensland (+61,100), and has slowed further in South Australia (+13,900).</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/09/25/B3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/09/25/B3.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>On the other hand annual population growth remains supremely strong in New South Wales (+101,200) and Victoria (+97,500) despite the under-reporting of births over the past six months.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Housing supply</span></strong>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>On an obliquely related note, although I can't remember exactly where I read it, somewhere this week was a piece which suggested that the construction of 10,000 apartments over four years at Sydney's Green Square would form part of a "tsunami" of oversupply in Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I'm not sure if this was some kind of gee-up, but as you can see the in the figures above with the state population having increased by close to +400,000 over the past four years alone...I dunno, but I reckon someone's having a giraffe.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Whatever the case, New South Wales has an existing stock of close to <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/nsw-dwelling-stock-value-explodes" target="_blank">3 million dwellings</a>, and to my knowledge there has not been any recorded example of such a tiny fraction of additional construction having a material impact on a capital city property market.<br><br>Like London, Sydney is a city which is increasingly constrained in terms of its land supply in desirable locations, and is a city which is more or less permanently in a position of requiring new supply.<br><br>Now granted we're presently constructing proportionately far too many of those "shoebox" type developments - no arguments there - but as the Greater Sydney population continues to mushroom over time any such localised examples of oversupply will only ever be temporary in nature. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</body></html>

pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

State population trends: Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<p style="text-align: left;" align="center">The number of ultra-wealthy people in Australia is expected to rise by 29 per cent over the next five years, equivalent to an extra 1,085 people, according to Knight Frank’s Wealth Report 2020.</p>
<p>The data shows Australia’s ultra-high-net-worth-individual (UHNWI) population will rise to 4,881 by 2024, up from 3,796 in 2019, with more than 200 new ultra-wealthy people being created in Australia each year.</p>
<p>Australia’s ultra-wealthy population grew by 5 per cent in 2019 and by 35 per cent over the past five years.</p>
<p>At the same time, Australia’s high-net-worth-individuals (HNWI**) are expected to grow by 34 per cent over the next five years to reach close to 2.1 million. Currently, 50 million people globally are considered millionaires, with wealth of  US$1 million or more.</p>
<p>According to Michelle Ciesielski, Knight Frank’s head of residential research,<strong> </strong>Australia is forecast to have one of the highest rates of growth in UHNWI populations globally over the next five years.</p>
<p>“Australia is ranked equal 15th with Canada for the projected growth in UHNWIs out of 43 countries globally,” she said. </p>
<p>“Our projections are based on The Knight Frank Wealth Sizing Model which allows us to project the number of individuals in each wealth band in the future. We have utilised data including forecast growth in GDP, house prices, equity performance, interest rates and other assets that individuals hold. </p>
<p>“Coming off a number of years of solid growth in Australia, 2019 saw further wealth creation off the back of a resilient stock market and further capital gains in the prime property market. </p>
<p>“Although challenges in the local economy persist, there has been much more certainty and solidifying of the global economy coming into 2020.”</p>
<p>Knight Frank’s Joint National Head of Private Office Sarah Harding said, “On average 80 per cent of Australian UHNWIs saw an increase in wealth in 2019, well above the global average response of 63 per cent in the Knight Frank Attitudes Survey.</p>
<p>“Looking ahead to 2020, 63 per cent of Australian UHNWIs believe their wealth portfolios will continue to grow, which is optimistic when compared to the global average of 55 per cent.</p>
<p>“Australian UHNWIs cite the top three issues challenging wealth creation in 2020 as being the flow on from the global economic slowdown, negative interest rates or bond returns and the global trade wars. </p>
<p>“As a result, 92 per cent of Australian ultra-wealthy population are making changes to protect their wealth.” </p>
<p>According to Ms Ciesielski, “The number of ultra-wealthy people around the world is predicted to grow by 27 per cent over the next five years, with the population rising by 136,087 to just under 650,000. An additional 31,000 UNHWI were created in 2019, an increase of 6.1 per cent. </p>
<p>“Out of the top 20 fastest growing countries presented in the report, six are located in Asia, with India forecast to have the highest growth of 73 per cent.</p>
<p>“We expect Asia will be the world’s second largest wealth hub by 2024, with a forecast five-year growth of 44 per cent, but it will still be only half the size of North America’s ultra-wealthy population, which is forecast to increase by 22 per cent.”</p>
<p> </p>
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Australia’s ultra-wealthy population projected to rise 29 per cent: Knight Frank

<html><body>
<p>CoreLogic observed that over the 12 months to December 2018, the estimated residential population of Australia increased by 1.6% or by 404,783 persons; the largest increase in raw number terms since September 2017 and it was also the third consecutive quarter in which the annual population increase trended higher.</p>
<p>Looking at the two components of population growth at a national level (natural increase and net overseas migration) they found that net overseas migration remains the primary driver of population growth.</p>
<p>Over the year, natural increase was recorded 156,337 persons, the highest it has been since March 2015 and 8.5% higher than in December 2017. Net overseas migration was recorded at 248,446 persons, the highest it has been since September 2017 and 2.8% higher than the previous year.</p>
<p>Across the states and territories, net interstate migration is also a contributor to population growth.</p>
<p><strong> <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%201.JPG" alt=""></strong></p>
<p><strong>NEW SOUTH WALES</strong></p>
<p> With an estimated population of 8,046,070 persons, the population has increased by 123,813 persons or 1.6% over the past year, which is in-line with the national rate of growth. The 123,813 person increase was the greatest since September 2017 and was made-up of natural increase of 53,711 persons, net overseas migration of 91,999 persons and a loss of 21,897 persons due to net interstate migration. Natural increase of 53,711 persons was the greatest on record while the 91,999 persons increase due to net overseas migration was the largest increase in 12 months. The loss of 21,897 residents due to net interstate migration was slightly lower than the previous quarter but up from 19,299 persons a year earlier.</p>
<p><strong><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%202.JPG" alt=""></strong></p>
<p><strong>VICTORIA</strong></p>
<p>The estimated population increased by 2.2% over the 2018 calendar year taking it to 6,526,413 persons with an increase of 139,430 persons over the past year. The 139,430 person population increase consisted of natural increase of 40,256 persons, net overseas migration of 85,965 persons and net interstate migration of 13,209 persons. Although the population continues to increase rapidly, both net overseas and net interstate migration are lower than they were a year ago and natural increase is higher than a year ago but lower than the previous quarter.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%203.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>QUEENSLAND</strong></p>
<p>The estimated population increased by 89,905 persons, or 1.8%, throughout 2018 taking the estimated population to 5,052,827 persons. The 1.8% annual increase in population was the largest since June 2013 and consisted of increases of 31,070 persons due to natural increase, 35,039 persons due to net overseas migration and 23,796 due to net interstate migration. Natural increase was the greatest it has been since March 2017, net overseas migration was the greatest since September 2013 while net interstate migration is the highest of any state it has slowed for two consecutive quarters and is the lowest since December 2017. </p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%204.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>SOUTH AUSTRALIA</strong></p>
<p>With an estimated 1,742,744 residents, the population increased by 0.8% or 14,585 persons throughout 2018. The 14,585 person increase included natural increase of 5,490 persons, net overseas migration of 13,319 persons and a loss of 4,224 persons due to net interstate migration. Natural increase was the greatest it has been since June 2017, net overseas migration was the greatest it has been since June 2010 and the outflow of residents to other state and territories was the slowest it has been since March 2015.</p>
<p> <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%205.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>West Australia</strong></p>
<p>Over the 2018 calendar year the estimated population increased by 23,961 persons or 0.9% to take the total population estimate to 2,606,338 persons. The 23,961 person increase over the year is well down on the peak of the mining boom when WA added 73,922 in 2008. The 23,961 person increase over the past year was made-up of natural increase of 18,601 persons, net overseas migration of 14,863 persons and a loss from net interstate migration of 9,503 persons. Natural increase was the lowest it has been since September 2009, net overseas migration was the highest it has been since December 2014 and the loss of residents to other states and territories was the smallest since March 2016.</p>
<p><strong><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%206.JPG" alt=""></strong></p>
<p><strong>Tasmania</strong></p>
<p>The population increased by 1.2% over the past year or 6,499 persons which was the largest annual increase in population since September 1990, taking the estimated population to 531,529 persons. Natural increase was recorded at 1,260 persons, the greatest it has been since December 2016. Net overseas migration was recorded at 2,717 persons, the greatest it has been since September 2017. Net interstate migration was recorded at 2,522 persons, the greatest it has been since June 2004.</p>
<p><strong> <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%207.JPG" alt=""></strong></p>
<p><strong>Northern Territory</strong></p>
<p>As at December 2018 the estimated population was 245,854 persons which was actually a reduction in population of 1,010 persons over the past year. While natural increase was recorded at 2,680 persons and net overseas migration at 526 persons. NT lost 4,216 residents due to net interstate migration causing the overall population to fall. Natural increase was the smallest since December 2005, net overseas migration was the smallest since September 2003 and the loss of residents due to net interstate migration was the largest on record. </p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%208.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p><strong>Australian Capital Territory</strong></p>
<p>The population increased by 1.8% or 7,574 persons throughout 2018 taking the estimated resident population to 423,811 persons. Over the year, natural increase was recorded at 3,247 persons, net overseas migration of 4,014 persons and net interstate migration of 313 persons. Natural increase was the lowest it has been since September 2009, net overseas migration was the lowest it has been since December 2016.</p>
<p> <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/27/Pop%20growth%208.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p>The data shows that the national population is still growing at a rapid rate despite recent moves to lower permanent migration. The population of NSW and Vic continues to grow by the greatest amount. Population increase in NSW is primarily driven by natural increase and net overseas migration, accounting for 37.0% of national net overseas migration. Vic has seen 34.6% on net overseas migration nationally over the past year and has also recorded the second highest rate of net interstate migration (behind Qld). Vic, Qld, Tas and ACT are seeing a positive rate of net interstate migration as more people arrive from interstate than leave. Over the coming quarters it is expected that similar trends will continue with strong population increases in NSW and Vic driven by overseas migration and strong rates of net interstate migration for Vic and Qld. Of course population growth, particularly migration, is a proxy for housing demand. High levels of migration mean increased demand for housing which is a factor that should assist in putting a floor under the recent declines in dwelling values (particularly in Sydney and Melbourne). Furthermore, increasing populations should also assist in the absorption of the large volume of apartments under construction in Sydney and Melbourne.</p>
<p><em>CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian branch of CoreLogic</em></p>
<p><em>Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.</em></p>
</body></html>

ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Australia's population grew over 400,000 in 2018: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

<html><body>
<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p>More people are deciding to call Australia home – if not permanently, at least for longer than a year. The lift in permanent and long-term arrivals reflects a perception of Australia as a great place to live and work – a country with a high standard of living and great opportunities.</p>
<p>Over 115,000 foreigners came to Australia as a “permanent or long-term arrival” in February. While February is seasonally a peak time for migrant inflows, the annual total of 844,800 is also a record high and up 11.4% on a year ago – the strongest growth in 20 months. </p>
<p>In February there were also 40,740 Aussies deciding to move overseas either permanently or for more than year – the lowest level in four months. Over the year to February the net number (arrivals less departures) of permanent and long-term arrivals hit a five-year high of almost 300,000 people. While studying, working or travelling, the ‘new Aussies’ will contribute to spending and demand for accommodation. </p>
<p>The new migrants boost employment in the short-term but provide the strongest contribution to economic output the longer that they are in their positions (as the case of all new employees). This highlights the fallacy of the recent ‘per capita’ discussion – more a reflection of a timing gap. </p>
<p><strong>Tourism</strong></p>
<p>Tourist arrivals rose by 0.9% in February, the strongest gain in five months. Aussie tourist departures fell by 3.3%, the biggest fall in almost two years. </p>
<p>Over the year, arrivals were up by 4% and departures were up by 3.7%. In February, tourists from Greater China (China and Hong Kong) totalled 141,800 (mainland China 115,600; Hong Kong 26,200), ahead of New Zealand (124,800). </p>
<p>China is the largest source of tourists to Australia. Over the past year a record 1,451,600 tourists came to Australia from China, up by 3.9%. </p>
<p>Tourists from New Zealand totalled 1,400,200 visitors over the past year, up by 3.0%. A record 364,300 Indian tourists travelled to Australia over the year to February, up by 16.7% on a year ago.</p>
<p>In February, there were record tourist inflows from New Zealand and India. And in the month a record number of Aussies travelled to India.</p>
<p><strong>Migration</strong> </p>
<p>In February there were 115,100 permanent and long-term arrivals in Australia. The annual number of permanent and long-term overseas arrivals rose to a record high of 844,800 in February, up by 7.3% over the year. </p>
<p>In February there were 40,740 permanent and long-term departures from Australia. The annual number of permanent and long-term overseas departures fell from 546,310 to 545,610 in February but were still up by 5.2% over the year. </p>
<p>Net permanent and long-term arrivals stood at a five-year high of 299,100 in the year to February, up 11.4% on the year.</p>
<p><strong>Chinese inflation</strong></p>
<p>Consumer prices rose by 2.3% in the year to March (forecast: +2.4%), after lifting by 1.5% in the year to February. It was the highest annual rate for consumer prices in five months </p>
<p>Consumer prices fell by 0.4% in March after rising 1.0% in February. Food prices fell by 0.9% to stand 4.1% higher than a year ago. Non-food prices fell by 0.2% to stand 1.8% higher than a year ago. </p>
<p>Producer prices rose by 0.4% in the year to March (forecast +0.4%), up from 0.1% in year to February.</p>
<p><strong>What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</strong> </p>
<p>Australia is rightly regarded as a great place for study, work and travel. The continued growth of short and longer term arrivals is good news for a raft of industries such as retailing, tourism and higher education. </p>
<p>The lift in Chinese inflation is encouraging as a weak economy would be more likely to have deflation issues. Chinese consumer price inflation is near a 2% annual rate, like a raft of economies at present.</p>
<p>CommSec expects the cash rate to remain unchanged for the foreseeable future.</p>
<p><em><strong>CRAIG JAMES</strong> is the Chief Economist of CommSec</em></p>
</body></html>

cjames-5S2v74qSNK

Migration to Australia is at record highs: CommSec's Craig James

<html><body>
<p>GUEST OBSERVATION</p>
<p>Australia is, apparently, in the midst of a population “crisis” – just this month, we passed the milestone of 25 million people. The nature of the crisis depends on the day and who you ask. Size and growth have become an increasing public preoccupation, particularly as immigration has held firm over the last 12 years as the major contributor to population growth.</p>
<p>Australia’s workforce is shrinking due to population ageing. This puts more pressure on young people to contribute enough personal income tax to fund the Australia we’ve become accustomed to. Immigration is one way to ensure Australia has the labour force it needs to offset the financial challenges of an ageing population.</p>
<p>But the population and population growth is unequal across Australia. The Turnbull government has signalled it will introduce a population policy (of sorts) by the end of the year. This will reportedly focus on settlement of immigrants in regions outside major cities.</p>
<p>The problem is that many people are conflicted about whether the population should continue to grow at all. A population policy offers a way for the country to be prepared and respond to the current and future needs of Australians. So, what would a good population policy look like?</p>
<p><strong>Well-being, not control</strong></p>
<p>The difficulties of the breadth of population-related matters in policy can be overcome, or at least minimised, by having a minister or agency with oversight over the progress of the population framework. The framework, which would include measurable indicators, would report and monitor success towards population-related well-being. This could provide an opportunity for the public to be involved and remain informed.</p>
<p>Population policies are usually focused on the components of population change: births, deaths and migration. Many people hold the mis-perception population policies are about control, and this isn’t surprising given the restrictive population policies in China.</p>
<p>But contemporary population policies, for countries like Australia, are less about controlling numbers and more about ensuring population well-being. The core tenet of a population policy for Australia should be about the population’s quality of life, now and into the future.</p>
<p>Health and education are central to quality of life. Babies born today or in the future should receive sufficient government investment to have a good start at life, particularly with respect to health and education. This means adequate housing and welfare support for families and children, quality equitable education and accessible and affordable health-care.</p>
<p>Gender inequality – both at home and in the workplace – are important elements to the population policy puzzle. Childcare and family support payments are crucial to population well-being, particularly among working parents.</p>
<p>A contemporary population policy for Australia should also include considerations of the use of land for agriculture, mining, water consumption and sources, and the degradation of natural parklands. Mandated environmental behaviours are overdue, and crucial to food and climate security.</p>
<p><strong>Not the size that matters</strong></p>
<p>Focus on population growth rates and size belies the nuances of the population context. It’s not size or growth that matters, but the characteristics and distribution of the population.</p>
<p>Strategies that seek to attract and retain populations outside the city limits will take the pressure off cities with the highest growth – such as Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane. And these strategies shouldn’t just consider immigrants are beneficiaries of settlement incentives — Australian locals could participate in such a scheme.</p>
<p>Essential services, such as schools and hospitals, are based around populations. That is, hospitals are built where there is already enough demand. Yet adequate infrastructure must already be present for viable communities in regional areas to attract people to move there.</p>
<p>A settlement strategy could also incorporate investigations and investments in the way Australian towns and associated infrastructure can best support communities. This can include such things as employment opportunities, appropriate housing, transport and telecommunications.</p>
<p>Nhill, a town in the Wimmera region of western Victoria, embarked on a strategic resettlement program for a group of Karen refugees from Myanmar in 2010. A report by Deloitte Access Economics showed an estimated increase of more than A$40 million in Gross Regional Product over five years as a result of this strategy. This serves as a good example for how community and industry can work together to attract people to help bolster local business.</p>
<p><strong>A policy is long overdue</strong></p>
<p>Population ageing means we need to take action now to guarantee Australia’s future social and demographic sustainability.</p>
<p>Australia is long overdue for a sensible strategy for the future. Australia doesn’t need an immigration plebiscite (or even consensus) or another population inquiry to advance a population policy. We need evidence based decision-making which will ensure sustainability and quality of life into the future.</p>
<p>Public consultation and government-commissioned quality research to inform the future needs of the migration program will ensure the parameters of population policy are right for Australia.</p>

<p>A population policy for Australia should provide a blueprint for the future; a framework for what the nation aspires to be, and achievable goals to get there.</p>
<p><em><strong>Liz Allen</strong>, Demographer, ANU Centre for Social Research and Methods, Australian National University</em></p>
<p><em>This article was originally published on <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/heres-what-a-population-policy-for-australia-could-look-like-101458" target="_blank">original article</a>.</em></p>
</body></html>

Here’s what a population policy for Australia could look like: Liz Allen

<html><body><div title="Page 1">
<div>
<div>
<p>The State Infrastructure Plan produced by Infrastructure NSW (INSW) while outlining a forward program of projects has raised concerns about the ageing population in NSW.</p>
<p>The detailed plan by Infrastructure NSW raises concerns about the fact that the NSW population is getting older and this will reduce income from taxation.</p>
<p>The number of people over 70 will increase by 85 percent by 2036 according to INSW. This will increase health services by 50 percent while less people will be contributing taxes.</p>
<p>A fundamental change will occur in how Sydney siders operate over the next 20 years with INSW predicting that train trips will almost double from 1.1 million now to 2.1 million in 2036.</p>
<p>Surprisingly INSW predicts that electricity consumption will only increase by 2 percent by 2036.</p>
<p>INSW calls for the government to make better use of government owned land in terms of development.</p>
<p>They have recommended that the Department of Planning and Environment establish by 2020 a housing and employment supply pipeline to ensure a 5 year supply. This will require action on zoning and on the development pipeline.</p>
<p>One recommendation (No 12) by INSW is that Major Project Planning approvals must be improved as they take too long and this adds to the cost.</p>
<p>The Urban Taskforce agrees totally with INSW that major projects need a much better approval process that the current slow and complex process.</p>
<p>They also call for ways to reduce bid costs for major project procurement.</p>
<p>INSW raise concerns about value capture by saying ‘In most cases it will not have a transformational impact on the funding equation.'</p>
<p>There is some visionary ideas about the use of digital data with suggestions that NSW could learn from Singapore in this regard.</p>
<p>With over 100 recommendations, mainly to other NSW Government agencies, there is a lot of content in the State Infrastructure Plan and its repeated references to the Regional Plan for Sydney and the Transport Plan for Sydney and for NSW.</p>
<p>It is good to see a number of NSW Government agencies working together.</p>
<p>The Urban Taskforce is keen to work with all of the NSW Government agencies to ensure Sydney grows in a sustainable manner.</p>
<p>Chris Johnson is the Urban Taskforce CEO</p>
</div>
</div>
</div></body></html>

Population Trends

Editor's Picks

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

Population Trends

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News