<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> has lodged plans for a $750 million, three-tower mixed-use precinct that would complete the long-running redevelopment of Carlton's former Carlton United Breweries site.

The proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/185-195-queensberry-street-carlton-vic-3053">46-78 Bouverie Street and 185-195 Queensberry Street</a> spans a 6,468 sqm site, the last remaining undeveloped parcels within the former brewery's 2007 masterplan.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the development will comprise two purpose-built student accommodation towers and a third build-to-sell apartment tower above a shared commercial podium and basement.

Across the three towers, SP Setia is proposing 606 build-to-sell apartments and 1,499 student accommodation units containing 2,009 beds.

The apartments will sit in the tallest tower, which will rise nearly 200m and 55 storeys. It will become&nbsp;one of the more substantial new build-to-sell apartment projects at the northern edge of Melbourne's CBD.

The apartment mix is weighted toward smaller inner-city product, with 188 studios, 206 one-bedroom apartments, 192 two-bedroom apartments and 20 three-bedroom apartments

<img alt="First look: SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8271bc87-1b0a-41b7-ac73-a425ee375261" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/3_2.png?VersionId=G4lw23o90B1boX4k4dj7rdz2ZEajS9wy" />

Part of the precinct will be a large-scale&nbsp;3,684 sqm supermarket and a further 2,198 sqm of speciality retail, creating close to 5,900 sqm of new commercial space within the precinct.

But one of the biggest components of the proposal is what sits between the buildings.

Around 4,650 sqm, or roughly 72 per cent of the site, will be publicly accessible open space, incorporating plazas, pedestrian connections, landscaped laneways and retail spill-out areas.

The ground plane is intended to finally complete pedestrian connections envisaged when the CUB masterplan was first approved nearly two decades ago, stitching together Victoria Street, Queensberry Street, Bouverie Street and Swanston Street through the former brewery precinct.

Urbis said the development would "complete the CUB precinct", with the public realm providing important north-south and east-west connections through what is currently the final undeveloped portion of the masterplanned site.

SP Setia is also exploring a new linear park within the Bouverie Street road reserve, with the concept to be developed further with the City of Melbourne through the planning process.

The proposal is being pursued through the Victorian Government's Development Facilitation Program under Clause 53.23 for significant residential development with affordable housing.

The planning report acknowledges the proposed heights exceed those contemplated under the original Comprehensive Development Plan and masterplan, but argues the built-form context has changed considerably over the past two decades.

Urbis said the three towers would instead create a stepped transition between Carlton and the Hoddle Grid, rising progressively from the 94.1-metre Tower One along the Queensberry Street edge to the 199.44-metre Tower Three closer to the established CBD-scale buildings to the south.

<img alt="SP Setia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e885a07a-592c-40fc-bf82-e6dbaf32da54" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.52.24%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=7s_ErUkSKAdY1mAWp3GRZgMNCGtwhk5m" />

SP Setia plans to deliver the development across three stages.

Stage One would deliver the basement, podium and retail areas for the entire precinct alongside the first student tower. Tower Two would follow in Stage Two, before the 606-apartment Tower Three is delivered as the final stage.

If approved and delivered, the project would close out a redevelopment process that has been underway since the former brewery masterplan was approved in 2007, adding more than 2,600 student beds and apartments to a precinct already home to Swanston Central, the Barak Building, RMIT Design Hub and several large student accommodation developments.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct

Melbourne developer Lowe Living is seeking to add to its growing bayside apartment pipeline, filing plans for a boutique eight-residence development in tightly held Middle Park.

Lowe Living, which has built much of its development portfolio across Melbourne's affluent bayside and south-east suburbs, is behind the plans for the 730 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/123-125-erskine-street-middle-park-vic-3206">123-125 Erskine Street</a>, just off Armstrong Street and within the Armstrong Street Neighbourhood Activity Centre.

The developer is seeking approval for a five-storey residential building above two basement levels, with just eight large-format apartments and 18 car spaces.

“This is a deliberately very different proposition for us,"&nbsp;Tim Lowe, Co-Founder of Lowe Living, said.

"Eight residences is exceptionally boutique, but that's precisely what this site calls for.

“There is a strong community in Middle Park and the surrounding suburbs who have spent decades building a life here. They no longer want the maintenance of a large period home, but they aren't prepared to compromise on space, quality or location. We think there is a real opportunity to capture that hyper local market. A site like this rarely comes to market.”

<img alt="Lowe " data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="875fe572-0f14-4d90-9e11-55b28dd07731" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.42.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GDNQRv9BfpR9r1zkZ5UDyUM4ZvpIksut" />

The low-density proposal has been designed by Cera Stribley and is being progressed through the Victorian Government's Great Design Fast Track pathway, having already secured eligibility from the Minister for Planning.

The Office of the Victorian Government Architect supported its eligibility after finding the proposal demonstrated consistency with the program's seven design principles, while the project's financial feasibility has also been independently confirmed by Invest Victoria.

The project is targeting the downsizer market, with the planning documents describing the homes as larger-format residences and noting the two penthouses could otherwise have been configured as four separate apartments.

<img alt="Lowe 2" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="60ab0987-2da6-4175-adac-315dcf6053c6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.15%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=bOCPH0B2MFwlmaRW.TTCF9TzyifgVoQI" />

The site has dual frontage to Erskine Street and Canterbury Place and currently comprises a collection of commercial buildings used as offices, including a former heritage bakehouse, a former stable, a later gabled addition and a central courtyard.

It sits within the Commercial 1 Zone and the Armstrong Street Commercial Precinct heritage overlay, with the existing property classified as a contributory heritage place.

Heritage has subsequently played a significant role in Cera Stribley's design.

The front section of the former bakehouse facing Erskine Street will be retained, including its return walls, street-facing hipped roof and chimneys, while the Erskine Street façade and part of the western return wall of the former stable will also be incorporated into the new development.

Levels four and five will be set back five metres from the retained stable façade, while bricks removed through demolition are proposed to be salvaged and reused within the new building where possible.

<img alt="Lowe 3" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e97927a9-a2de-4a0f-83b6-65451238abfa" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.06%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=VR44AChLrX9q1XPB9GvVQV.ALXXbe4gC" />

Rather than presenting as a single five-storey building to Erskine Street, Cera Stribley has broken the development into a series of distinct forms.

A three-storey infill element will sit between the retained bakehouse and stable façades, with the upper levels recessed behind the heritage fabric. Canterbury Place will similarly feature two three-storey podium forms, separated by a central pedestrian accessway, before the upper two levels step back from the street.

A pedestrian through-link will run through the centre of the project between Erskine Street and Canterbury Place, creating entrances from both sides of the site and introducing landscaping and communal areas through the ground plane.

Landscape architect Acre has designed planting across the ground level, private terraces and upper levels, including a feature canopy tree at level three and integrated planting and arbours across the level four terraces. Five existing Erskine Street trees are proposed to be retained.

Sustainability is also a significant component of the Great Design Fast Track application. The apartments are targeting an average eight-star NatHERS rating, with no residence below 6.5 stars, while the project has achieved a 75 per cent BESS score. Seven of the eight apartments are designed for cross-ventilation, with the remaining residence using mechanically assisted natural ventilation.

The plans also incorporate an 8kWp rooftop solar system, a 5,000-litre rainwater tank and infrastructure allowing future electric vehicle charging for every residence.

Lowe has a strong portfolio across Melbourne's blue-chip suburbs. They recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/jardin-house-by-lowe-living-camberwell-335-camberwell-road-camberwell-vic-3124">Jardin House by Lowe Living</a> in Camberwell, their first development in the Stonnington LGA.

Lowe Living unveils Middle Park apartment development

Article summary

<ul data-end="888" data-start="289">
	<li data-end="442" data-section-id="8tsh6o" data-start="289">DVB Projects is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway at 137 Old Burleigh Road, Broadbeach.</li>
	<li data-end="573" data-section-id="1nyxl3e" data-start="443">The 34-level tower will comprise just 49 ultra-luxury residences, including half-floor, full-floor and penthouse apartments.</li>
	<li data-end="717" data-section-id="oiyimj" data-start="574">The launch follows strong demand at DVB's nearby Sea Glass project, which is more than 50 per cent sold and currently under construction.</li>
	<li data-end="888" data-section-id="epk9o9" data-start="718">The development adds to the transformation of Old Burleigh Road, with premium beachfront apartment projects continuing to reshape the tightly held Broadbeach strip.</li>
</ul>

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/dvb-projects">DVB Projects</a> is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway on the Broadbeach site as the Sydney developer moves closer to bringing the ultra-luxury project to market.

The 34-level tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/137-old-burleigh-road-broadbeach-qld-4218">137 Old Burleigh Road</a> will comprise just 49 residences, ranging from half-floor apartments through to full-floor homes and a penthouse. The launch follows the strong sales performance of DVB's nearby Sea Glass development. More than half of the apartments at Sea Glass, on the other side of Broadbeach, have been snapped up, well ahead of its late 2027 completion

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2944b4be-c84e-4b54-8dc1-c712e76704c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E02_Exterior_Street%20Level%20Entrance.jpg?VersionId=YoNig7pRdrE3HCue7sUj78LzJteeQf3H" />

The start of demolition at 137 Old Burleigh Road signals DVB Projects’ underlying confidence in the Gold Coast’s luxury beachside apartment sector.

“We see the Gold Coast as one of the most compelling lifestyle markets in Australia, particularly at the premium end where demand continues to deepen,” said Dean Brown, Managing Director of DVB.&nbsp;

“This project has been carefully designed to respond to that demand - delivering large-format residences with a level of quality, privacy and amenity that is still relatively rare in the apartment market on the beachside."

Brown says the site itself is "exceptional."

"Old Burleigh Road is one of the most tightly held beachfront strips, and opportunities to deliver a project of this scale and calibre in this location are extremely limited.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="398f377a-c037-455e-9250-0c5e0d84c35b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/I12_FF%20Balcony.jpg?VersionId=NwOiRWGMubR1c8wthuEfggklcja7al9." />

The project will comprise 40 half-floor residences of approximately 260 sqm, alongside eight full-floor residences spanning around 524 sqm.

A single penthouse will crown the building, featuring a private pool, barbecue area, indoor gym and dedicated entertaining spaces.

Residents will have access to a resort-style suite of amenities, including a 20-metre pool with daybeds, a gymnasium, hot and cold plunge pools, a sauna, and private residents’ lounge and dining facilities.

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1642bb0-9a66-4427-a022-dfc0988c6287" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A02_Pool%20to%20View.jpg?VersionId=c0IXPyn_Gp_Kn3XCwzMrqIVkAdCEwVXP" />

Sales agent Todd Matheson, of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/pezet-matheson">Pezet Matheson</a>, which is marketing both 137 Old Burleigh Road and Sea Glass, said 137 Old Burleigh Road would address a clear gap in the market for genuine luxury products.

“There are very few opportunities on the Gold Coast where buyers can secure a residence of this size and quality in a new building,” Matheson said.

“What we’re seeing is a growing cohort of downsizers and interstate buyers who still want space - they’re not willing to compromise on living area, entertaining or finishes.

“This project has been designed with that buyer in mind. It offers the scale of a home, combined with the convenience and security of apartment living, in one of the coast’s most desirable positions.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="59aae0ca-5639-4320-8aca-d0bf60f48e43" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E01_Exterior%20Hero.jpg?VersionId=DS8Zfy2WtgUEtdfe0TEUuf1W1GfcZq8S" />

Located on a 1,156 sqm site one block from the beachfront, the development will replace an ageing walk-up building and is expected to contribute to the ongoing transformation of the Old Burleigh Road strip into one of the Gold Coast’s most prestigious residential corridors.

With the development moving into the delivery phase, 137 Old Burleigh Road is slated to hit the market later this year.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145141]

DVB Projects to launch second Broadbeach apartment tower as demolition commences

<a data-end="327" data-is-only-node="" data-start="250" href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/norus-projects" rel="noopener" target="_new">Norus Developments</a> has lodged plans for a new apartment development in Clayton that would add further momentum to the suburb's emerging Green Street corridor.

Plans have been lodged for the consolidated site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1359-1365-centre-road-clayton-vic-3168">1359-1365 Centre Road</a>, where Norus is seeking approval for 218 apartments across a 12-storey apartment building designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/life-architecture-and-urban-design">Life Architecture</a>.

The proposal sits within the Clayton Major Activity Centre at the threshold of the planned Green Street corridor, a landscaped pedestrian connection intended to improve links through the precinct towards Clayton Railway Station.

The development would replace the site's existing collection of low-scale residential and commercial buildings with a single consolidated building, introducing significantly greater housing density to this part of Centre Road.

A retail tenancy is proposed at ground level to activate the Centre Road frontage, accompanied by transparent street interfaces and landscaping intended to create a more pedestrian-focused edge to the development.

<img alt="First look: Norus Developments plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0a5a763a-d9e9-4253-af2f-88008de27ebf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Clayton%20a.png?VersionId=S2WJJbat1XVkZwB9SnYtygirXgWHiklX" />

The building has been designed with stepped massing and upper-level setbacks to manage its transition towards surrounding residential properties. The planning report describes the approach as one that integrates the building into the landscape rather than treating landscaping as a secondary element.

"A strong landscape and public realm strategy underpins the proposal," Urbis states in the planning report.

"Public benefits include an affordable housing contribution, a new pocket park, generous landscaped setbacks, deep soil planting and integrated Water Sensitive Urban Design."

The report adds that these elements are intended to create "a permeable, pedestrian-focused ground plane that enhances walkability, supports urban cooling and reinforces the emerging Green Street character."

Biophilic and passive design principles extend through the residential levels, with planting, daylight, natural ventilation and views towards landscaped areas forming part of the amenity strategy.

Parking would be concentrated away from the public realm, with 145 car spaces proposed from the rear laneway rather than dominating the Centre Road frontage.

The proposal follows an extensive pre-application process with the City of Monash. Three formal meetings were held between the project team and Council from December 2025 to March 2026, with the scheme evolving through several concept iterations before the current design was lodged.

The project arrives as Clayton prepares for substantial change around its established activity centre and the wider Suburban Rail Loop precinct. Its position on Centre Road places the development within an existing concentration of shops, services and public transport, while the Green Street connection is intended to strengthen pedestrian access towards Clayton Railway Station.

First look: Norus plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gardner-vaughan-group">Gardner Vaughan Group</a> has officially commenced construction on Bronze on Chevron, celebrating the sod turning of its first-ever Gold Coast development and marking a significant milestone in the company's continued expansion across South East Queensland.&nbsp;

Following the successful delivery of premium residential developments throughout Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bronze-on-chevron-8-mawarra-street-chevron-island-qld-4217">Bronze on Chevron</a> represents Gardner Vaughan Group's entry into the Gold Coast market. Bronze will deliver 119 one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments above two ground-level retail tenancies.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107520 project_image_fid=367193]

The recent sod turning ceremony was attended by Deputy Mayor Mark Hammel, President of the Surfers Paradise Surf Life Saving Club, Cassandra Sedgman, project consultants, purchasers, project partners and invited guests to celebrate the commencement of construction.&nbsp;

Gardner Vaughan Group Chief Executive Officer Simon Betteridge said Bronze on Chevron represented an exciting new chapter for the business.&nbsp;

"We've spent almost four decades building homes that respond to the way people want to live, and we're excited to bring that experience to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/chevron-island-qld-4217">Chevron Island</a>," Betteridge said.

"Bronze on Chevron is particularly significant because it marks Gardner Vaughan Group's first development on the Gold Coast following many successful projects across Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107520 project_image_fid=367183]

Betteridge said the ground breaking is a proud moment for the&nbsp;team and their purchasers, who can now see their future homes beginning to take shape.&nbsp;

"As both developer and builder, we're able to oversee every aspect of the project from design through to construction, ensuring the quality and attention to detail Gardner Vaughan Group has become renowned for."&nbsp;

Designed by acclaimed architectural practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cottee-parker-architects">Cottee Parker</a>, Bronze on Chevron has been thoughtfully designed to complement Chevron Island's evolving streetscape while embracing its relaxed coastal lifestyle.

The development will offer generous residences with refined interiors, premium finishes and resort-style amenities, with completion anticipated in early 2029.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=107520]

The development will offer generous residences with refined interiors, premium finishes and resort-style amenities, with completion anticipated in early 2029

Gardner Vaughan Group breaks ground on first Gold Coast development, Bronze on Chevron

Office Vacancy

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Office vacancy rates in the Adelaide CBD decreased from 14.7% to 14.2%, led by reductions in both the core and fringe sectors of the Adelaide market, according to the latest report from Herron Todd White.
The valuation firm found, Premium and A grade vacancy has been recorded at 2.6% and 14.3% respectively.
While that 2.6% premium grade vacancy figure seems very low, there is a very limited amount of premium space on offer in the Adelaide CBD so that should be taken into account.
These vacancy figures support the nation-wide push for more efficient and more sustainable office spaces as climate change discussions continue to dominate the political landscape.
As a result of the reducing vacancy rates, office property yields have remained solid, with A grade space in the Adelaide market recording yields of 6% to 8%.
The report authors said, "in comparison, Sydney and Melbourne A grade office properties are fetching 4.5% to 5.5%, however the eastern states are recording higher levels of rental growth compared to the Adelaide market."
"Gross face rents for prime space in the Adelaide office market are currently around $550 per square metre while A grade space is fetching $370 per square metre.
"The latest figures from the PCA have analysts predicting 2% to 2.5% growth for premium space in Adelaide over the next few years. In addition, the current incentive levels for premium and A grade office spaces are expected to decline over the next two years to a level around the 25% to 30% mark."
Sales are down from the record levels set in 2018.
There are however some major offerings currently on the market, notably 25 Grenfell Street (pictured in title), which was listed for sale just two years after being purchased by Credit Suisse for $125 million.
Furthermore, there are some significant developments that will increase the supply side of the office market throughout the second half of 2019.
One such development is GPO Tower, currently under development it will add 24,500 square metres of space to the core market, located at 2-10 Franklin Street.
Upon the project’s completion late this year, major tenant BHP will occupy 40% of the building and the global mining giant’s name will illuminate the Adelaide skyline as they have secured the naming rights of the new office tower as part of the lease agreement.
The BHP lease now takes the committed net lettable area of the building to roughly 90%, as the South Australian Attorney General’s department has pre-committed to a lease of 50%.
The pre-commitment levels mean that although the building is yet to be completed, there will only be roughly 10% or 2,450 square metres of lettable space available when the office building officially opens late this year.
However further additions by way of new development in the Adelaide market will be scarce.
The Festival Plaza development at Station Road, which encompasses over 43,000 square metres of lettable area, is not predicted to reach completion until 2021. Plus 73-85 Pirie Street, the old Planet Nightclub site that has lay dormant since 2004, has only now been granted
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Office vacancy rates down in Adelaide: HTW Commercial

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Melbourne CBD’s office market is on an upswing, with vacancy rate at its lowest in five years, but a pause is likely before the second leg kicks in at the turn of the decade, according to BIS Oxford Economics.
The Victorian capital’s office market posted impressive results through 2016. The CBD vacancy rate fell by 140 bps to 6.4%—its lowest level since 2012—net effective rents increased by 14% and capital values surged almost 20% higher. 
The positive momentum is continuing this year and the trend is far from over, says the forecaster. However, it won’t be all smooth sailing and a looming slowdown in demand lies ahead coinciding with a spike in new supply, it said.
A similar trend was witnessed in the <a href="/expert-insights/investing/melbourne-city-fringe-office-vacancy-rate-declines-colliers">city fringe market</a> as well, with vacancy rate dropping to 3.47 percent in March from 4.96 percent in September 2016, according to a separate report by Colliers International.
“This is the lowest vacancy rate that Colliers International has ever recorded for the City Fringe market, and is the outcome of strong demand and very low levels of supply," said the Colliers report.
Last year’s strong run in the CBD market meant average prime net effective rents rose nearly 20% above post-GFC lows, while aggressive yield compression pushed values a 90% higher, said BIS Oxford Economics. That puts average prime values around 50% above pre- GFC peak levels. 
After a high like this, one might expect a muted outlook for the market. But BIS Oxford Economics expects further gains of more than 60% in prime net effective rents and almost 50% growth in values to a peak in the early 2020s. 
However, senior project manager and report author Maria Lee has a caveat.
“It won’t be smooth sailing through the upswing. In particular, Victoria faces several headwinds that are likely to cause economic growth to slow over the next few years, with a negative impact on the demand for office space,” Lee said. 
This slowdown in demand is likely to coincide with a substantial quantum of new supply coming on to the market. 
Six major towers are currently under construction in the CBD, with work on two more likely to begin shortly. These will be completed from the second half of 2018. 
Although substantially pre-committed, there is an as-yet uncommitted component which will result in considerable back-fill space becoming available, according to the forecaster.
The impact of these coming changes to the demand/supply balance would be more like a pause in the upswing rather than an end to the trend. 
“Melbourne retains a key affordability advantage over its northern neighbour and competitor, Sydney. This will help to insulate Melbourne somewhat from the negative impacts of the closure of the Hazelwood power station, the end of car manufacturing and a coming downturn in residential construction. For a national company looking to expand its back-office functions, the scales are tipped in Melbourne’s favour,” Lee said. 
The rental differential with Sydney is only set to increase over the next few years, according to BIS Oxford Economics, with Sydney’s CBD rents set to surge as the vacancy rate gets extremely tight for an extended period. 
Once Victoria has emerged from the challenges of the next few years, BIS Oxford Economics expects that Melbourne’s inherent advantages of plenty of skilled labour, a cheap and plentiful supply of land for residential, industrial and commercial building, and lower rents will come to the fore and support the second leg of the upswing. 
“Any near-term weakness should not discourage market participants from the longer term prize” concludes Lee. 
 
 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Melbourne’s office market vacancy lowest since 2012, but slowdown likely: BIS Oxford Economics

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The number of full office floors (Premium and A Grade) vacant across Australia’s capital city office markets has dropped over the last 12 months in line with slightly better overall total vacancy figures, according to recent research by Savills Australia.
The overall figures, however, masked a mixed bag of results with Sydney and Melbourne showing the biggest falls and Brisbane with a total office vacancy of 16.9 percent – its worst result in more than 25 years – paradoxically reporting an 11 percent fall in the number of full floors available, while Perth and Adelaide followed the script with rises.
Savills’ Prime Full Floor Availability Report assesses each Premium and A grade building in each city on a floor-by-floor basis highlighting which floors are available for lease, now and in the near future, in each building including those under construction and refurbishment. 
According to Savills national head of Research Tony Crabb, the figures further confirm the recovery in Sydney and Melbourne’s office markets whilst underlining the negative impact the end of the mining investment boom continues to have on the Perth market.
He said Brisbane was at first glance an anomaly, but evidence of an uptick in leasing suggested the figures could be a bellwether for a more positive market there.
Office demand had bounced back over the last 12 months with 117,437 square metres of leasing activity (&gt; 500 square metres) in the Brisbane CBD,  up 27 percent on the 12 months prior, said state director-Office Leasing in Brisbane, John McDonald.
“There’s no doubt that the CBD market has turned the corner and the full floor figures reflect that with 32,000 square metres of prime space being filled this year alone,” said McDonald.
He said competitive rents and incentive packages attracting fringe and suburban tenants to the CBD and state government leases had been key drivers with childcare, health, and education and incubator businesses prominent.
<a href="/images/2016/09/15/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-15%20at%2010.29.37%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/09/15/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-15%20at%2010.29.37%20AM.png" alt="">
 
Sydney trending well
The 14 per cent decrease to 260 full floors available in Sydney had been expected given the much stronger demand over the last 18 months, said Crabb. In the last 12 months, 38 full floors had either been filled, partially occupied or committed to and it was unlikely the market would see a dramatic fall given backfill space and new developments would add to the numbers.
He said that while the downward trend was positive, it was a timely reminder for larger tenants with looming lease expiries, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne.
“What the figures show for tenants is that their options are diminishing. It’s not panic stations just yet but the trend is downward and that means that tenants with lease expiries on the horizon need to do their homework to identify just what is going to be available in their preferred location,’’ he said.
Crabb said in Melbourne the general consensus was that with leasing up 17 percent on last year a recovery was well under way and that Victoria’s strong economic growth, underpinned by rapidly increasing population, would see that trend continue.
The report found 831 full floors were vacant across the Adelaide, Brisbane, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney CBD office markets in August 2016, down from the 883 floors vacant in August 2015.  
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Full office floor vacancy in capital cities trending down: Savills Australia

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The office vacancy rate on Melbourne’s most famous boulevard, St Kilda Road, has fallen to 7.3 percent, its lowest level in eight years, according to property firm Savills’ latest Fringe Office market research.
The fall in vacancy from 10.8 per cent in July 2013 drove rental growth of 23 percent over the last three years including 12 percent in the last 12 months. The market is so tight that vacant is 38 percent below the average vacancy over the last 25 years. 
Monica Mondkar, manager-Research &amp; Consultancy, said, “Net face rents in July 2013 ranged between $270 and $325, and in July 2016 between $340 and $400. Based on an average rent, that is a 23 percent rise over the last three years.”
Vacancy peaked at 22.4 percent in July 1992 following the Savings and Loan Crisis but has been on a rollercoaster ride ever since.
However, according to Savills associate director-Office Leasing, Kizzy Okoukoni, the latest figure has more to do with the iconic boulevard’s residential makeover than an economic recovery. 
“Ongoing demand for CBD fringe office space is of course a key contributing factor in the tighter vacancy level but the continual withdrawal of stock for other uses, predominantly residential, has also been a significant determinant,’’ Okoukoni said.
Despite residential conversions St Kilda Road is still Australia’s fourth largest non-CBD office market with 686,175 square metres of office space. It has lost less than 1.2 percent of office space to residential use per year over the last 10 years, however, this has accelerated in recent years.
"It’s only a matter of time before the commercial/residential property profile balance in St Kilda Road, which currently has a two thirds office/one third residential mix, shifts permanently to residential.
"For some landlords maintaining an older office building with any vacancy, on top of exorbitant land taxes, is not a long term option.
"There is no way this can stack up when a residential redevelopment can mean such a massive increase in return on the property,’’ Okoukoni said.
Office buildings likely to withstand this change would be the more modern ones with long-term tenants, he added.
But despite the incentive to convert to residential use, office property would always maintain a significant presence on St Kilda Road, he said.
“Residents need services, they need supermarkets, they need childcare, they need restaurants, cafes, accountants, financial planners, gymnasiums, etcetera.”
<a href="/images/2016/08/29/charty.png" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/08/29/charty.png" alt="">
The total investment sales on St Kilda Road were $246 million with the most notable being AMP Capital’s acquisition of 636 St Kilda Road for $87.5 million and Bayley Stuart Capital’s purchase of 616 St Kilda Road for $40 million. Domestic funds and syndicates accounted for 52 percent of the sales by value.
Mondkar said yields on the boulevard over the 12 months had firmed by 25 basis points and now range from 6.75 to 7 percent. In comparison, in September 2013 yields ranged from 8 to 8.75 percent. 
 
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