<p>One of Brisbane's last major riverfront redevelopment opportunities has taken a significant step forward, with Lendlease selected as the Queensland Government's preferred development partner for the former Visy site in South Brisbane.</p>

<p>The seven-hectare industrial site, positioned between South Bank and West End and 1.3 kilometres from the Brisbane CBD, will be transformed into a mixed-use precinct expected to deliver more than 4,000 new homes alongside extensive public open space and riverfront parkland.</p>

<p>The project is one of the largest urban renewal opportunities currently planned in Brisbane and is expected to play a key role in accommodating the city's growing population ahead of the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games.</p>

<p>Plans for the precinct include a network of riverfront promenades and boardwalks, new public plazas, parkland, amphitheatre-style gathering spaces and shared pedestrian and cycling links designed to reconnect the long-isolated site with the Brisbane River.</p>

<p>The Queensland Government is targeting delivery of the first homes and key public spaces before the 2032 Games, allowing the precinct to begin contributing new housing and public amenity well before the broader masterplan is complete.</p>

<p>The redevelopment is also expected to support more than 3,000 jobs across planning, construction and ongoing operations.</p>

<p>For Lendlease, the appointment adds another major urban regeneration project to its Queensland portfolio. The developer has operated in the state for more than 70 years and has delivered a number of large-scale mixed-use precincts in partnership with government.</p>

<p>Lendlease Development CEO Claire Johnston said the project represented one of Brisbane's most significant redevelopment opportunities.</p>

<p>"The transformation of the former Visy site represents a rare opportunity to reimagine one of Brisbane's most significant riverfront locations, deliver thousands of much-needed homes, and create long-term legacy," Johnston said.</p>

<p>"In partnership with the Queensland Government, we have the opportunity to create a new riverside destination that will help shape Brisbane's growth and how people experience the city for decades to come.</p>

<p>"This is exactly the type of large-scale, city-shaping development that will provide lasting benefits for Queensland, bringing together housing, jobs and world-class public spaces."</p>

<p>Deputy Premier and Minister for State Development, Infrastructure and Planning Jarrod Bleijie said the riverfront transformation would deliver a thriving new community precinct.</p>

<p>“The Crisafulli Government is delivering this golden opportunity to unlock a riverfront jewel for all Queenslanders,” Deputy Premier Bleijie said.</p>

<p>“This is a once-in-a-generation moment to reshape a significant slice of Brisbane and deliver lasting benefits – thousands of new homes, and public spaces for all Queenslanders to enjoy well beyond the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games – unlike Labor’s plan which would have delivered zero benefits and zero new homes.</p>

<p>“Queensland is well and truly open for business and through partnership with the private sector, we are accelerating delivery while ensuring strong housing, community and economic outcomes."</p>

<p>Early works on the precinct are expected to commence in April 2027.</p>


Joel Robinson

Lendlease selected to deliver transformative South Brisbane riverfront precinct

<p>Eddy Haddad's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/level-33">Level 33</a> is levelling up its approved Wollongong development, as the coastal city south of Sydney continues to prove popular in the high-density development space.</p>

<p>Level 33, a longtime developer in the Wollongong area, has gone through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority to upsize its approved two-tower development on the corner of Crown Street and Gladstone Avenue, just 100 metres from Wollongong Station.</p>

<p>The developer currently has approval for 252 apartments across two buildings rising to 19 storeys. It is now seeking approval for 33 and 38-storey towers that would deliver 467 apartments, including 67 affordable homes.</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bka-architecture">BKA Architecture</a>, the development would comprise apartments above a three-level podium with around 1,100 sqm of retail space, along with basement parking for 448 vehicles.</p>

<p>According to the Urban Design Report by BKA, the proposal has the capacity to "reinforce the precinct's identity by strengthening links between health, education, and transport services, while also contributing to Wollongong's ongoing evolution as a key regional centre."</p>

<p>Wollongong is somewhat in vogue. Between Level 33 and Urban Property Group, the two developers have several thousand apartments planned across the city.</p>

<p>Level 33 is currently delivering Easterly Wollongong, one of its most boutique projects to date with just 21 high-end apartments, as well as Atchison &amp; Kenny, a 329-apartment development due for completion later this year.</p>

<p>The developer plans to redevelop the 13,088 sqm WIN Grand megasite into <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crown-square-216-238-keira-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Crown Square</a>, a new $500 million precinct with nearly 600 apartments. It also has more than 900 apartments planned for the former Bunnings Warehouse site at the intersection of Gipps and Flinders streets.</p>

<p>Urban Property Group is also playing a major role in the city's transformation. Its five-tower Keira Place precinct will deliver more than 800 homes, and it has recently lodged plans for a further 300 apartments near Wollongong Station.</p>


First look: Level 33 upsizes Wollongong apartment towers

<p>Just a week after filing plans for the final stage of its major Keira Place masterplan, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has unveiled another significant housing proposal in Wollongong, this time targeting a prominent site opposite North Wollongong Station.</p>

<p>The developer has lodged a State Significant Development Application for a 38-storey mixed-use tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-4a-flinders-street-north-wollongong-nsw-2500">4-4A Flinders Street</a>, around one kilometre north of the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/keira-place-wollongong-120-122-smith-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Keira Place precinct</a> currently taking shape on the edge of the CBD.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Urban Property Group plans 38-storey North Wollongong tower as Keira Place expansion gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2b6428f1-6405-4038-8476-897de440e90d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/flinders%20podium.png?VersionId=QLqEvK0OuCEwRC47oHNftrw2B1YqaHF8" /></p>

<p>Designed by Studio.SC, the proposal comprises a 38-storey mixed-use development containing 303 apartments, including 45 affordable housing units, alongside 174 co-living residences. The scheme also includes ground-floor retail space, extensive landscaping and public domain improvements.</p>

<p>Studio.SC noted in the proposal it "outlines a vision for a landmark transit-oriented mixed-use development centred around North Wollongong Station, designed to support the city’s future growth while responding to the NSW Government’s housing and planning reforms."</p>

<p>The architecture firm said the proposal responds to the opportunities and constraints shaping future growth within the 400-metre catchment of the station and represents "a coordinated and future-focused approach to urban intensification, contributing to the long-term evolution of North Wollongong as a connected, walkable and high-density station precinct."</p>

<p>The site occupies a strategic corner bounded by Flinders Street, Station Street, Stafford Street and the Princes Highway, directly opposite North Wollongong Station.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Urban Property Group plans 38-storey North Wollongong tower as Keira Place expansion gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7863adad-1f71-4022-b850-f44b252738fd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/flinders%20podium%20a.png?VersionId=WsU7av0g8_8R2tGHWxgHeFSlhu7yeY1V" /></p>

<p>The proposal follows Urban Property Group's recent submission for the second and final stage of Keira Place, which would deliver a further three buildings comprising 657 homes opposite Beaton Park. It builds on the first stage, which features 150 apartments across two towers and recently commenced construction.</p>

<p>Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said breaking ground on the first stage marked a significant milestone for Wollongong and reflected the developer's long-term commitment to regional cities.</p>

<p>"Today's groundbreaking is about turning approvals into homes and moving quickly to deliver much-needed housing in Wollongong's city centre," Elias said.</p>

<p>"Keira Place will provide a diverse mix of homes close to jobs, transport and services, while setting a high benchmark for quality, durability and consumer protection."</p>

<p><strong><em>Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/urban-property-group-unveils-trio-of-towers-for-next-stage-of-new-wollongong-precinct-keira-place">Urban Property Group unveils trio of towers for next stage of new Wollongong precinct, Keira Place</a></em></strong></p>


First look: Urban Property Group plans next major Wollongong tower

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/arada">Arada</a> has wasted little time expanding its ambitions in Campsie, lodging plans for a second major project in the rapidly transforming town centre just months after unveiling its three-tower One Campsie proposal on Beamish Street.</p>

<p>The UAE-backed developer has now taken aim at one of the suburb’s most strategically positioned sites, filing a State Significant Development Application for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/10-north-parade-campsie-nsw-2194">33-storey mixed-use tower</a> at 10 London Street and 43 North Parade, directly opposite the future Campsie Metro Station. The proposal is currently on public exhibition and represents another significant vote of confidence in Campsie's emergence as one of Sydney’s key transit-oriented growth centres.</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the development would deliver 156 apartments above a podium containing retail and commercial space, creating a new residential and commercial gateway to the town centre. The scheme also includes a four-level above-ground parking podium and a dedicated residential amenity floor featuring wellness and recreation facilities. At least 10 per cent of the apartments would be allocated as affordable housing for a period of 10 years.</p>

<p>The proposal occupies a 1,631 sqm site bounded by London Street, North Parade and Dispensary Lane, immediately adjoining the future Metro station precinct and just metres from Beamish Street’s retail and dining strip. According to the Urban Design Report, the project seeks to deliver "a great place that prioritises human-scaled experience and provides spatial improvements to the area."</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="175a8324-015b-4856-abe3-ce6f23199fa7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/podium%20campsie.png?VersionId=742UGwXFhFBX4GEl6wX4PYIWREAgn6il" /></p>

<p>Woods Bagot describes the tower as a key marker within Campsie's next phase of growth.</p>

<p>"Located directly opposite the new Campsie Metro Station on North Parade, 10 London Street is a thoughtfully composed 33-storey mixed-use tower that contributes to the ongoing transformation of the town centre," the Architectural Design Report states. The report says the project is intended to provide "high-quality homes within a vibrant, connected urban environment, while helping define Campsie's future skyline."</p>

<p>A strong emphasis has been placed on the public realm. The ground floor incorporates over 500 sqm of retail space and active frontages along both London Street and North Parade, while the podium is wrapped by extensive landscaped planting intended to soften the building's scale and strengthen the pedestrian experience. The development would also widen surrounding footpaths and improve connections between the Metro station and the broader town centre.</p>

<p>Above the podium, residents would have access to more than 1,400 sqm of communal amenities, including a pool, gym and landscaped recreation spaces. A distinctive green-wall treatment extending across four podium levels forms a major architectural feature, helping differentiate the project within the emerging high-density precinct.</p>

<p>The tower's design is closely tied to the broader Campsie Town Centre Master Plan and the arrival of Sydney Metro. The Urban Design Report notes the proposal "directly supports the Campsie Town Centre Master Plan by delivering new homes in a location explicitly identified for growth, improved accessibility, and high-quality urban renewal." It adds that the project contributes to the master plan's vision for a strengthened town centre supported by thousands of new homes around the future Metro station.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bfd17654-253e-489a-bade-6278d63db412" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/base%20campsie.png?VersionId=3roJPMQGs36dazpkhvpvbDDP73Ld.Ica" /></p>

<p>The application follows Arada's recently lodged One Campsie project at 124–142 Beamish Street and 16–18 Ninth Avenue, where the developer is seeking approval for 346 apartments across three towers rising 24, 32 and 39 storeys. Together, the two proposals would cement Arada as one of the most influential developers shaping Campsie's future urban form.</p>

<p><strong><em>Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-arada-files-for-trio-of-apartment-towers-in-campsie-town-centre">First Look: Arada files for trio of apartment towers in Campsie town centre</a></em></strong></p>

<p>Arada entered the Australian market in 2024 and has rapidly assembled a significant development pipeline across Sydney. Alongside its Campsie holdings, the developer is soon to launch <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/wattle-green-2-fishburn-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Wattle Green</a> in Castle Hill, and has expanded its local operations following its acquisition of construction firm Roberts &amp; Co.</p>

<p>Located around 14 kilometres south-west of the Sydney CBD, the site sits at the centre of one of Sydney's fastest-changing middle-ring precincts. The Metro conversion of Campsie Station, combined with Canterbury-Bankstown Council's master planning framework, is driving significant residential intensification around Beamish Street and North Parade, with thousands of new homes expected over coming decades.</p>


First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans

<p>For the first time in a long time, Australia's inflation story is starting to look more like a landing than a fight.</p>

<p>The latest Consumer Price Index figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed annual inflation eased to four per cent in May, down from 4.2 per cent in April. On the surface, that might not seem like a major move. Inflation remains above the Reserve Bank's target range and some categories continue to record stubborn price growth.</p>

<p>But the significance of this result lies less in where inflation sits today and more in what it means for where interest rates are likely heading next.</p>

<p>The biggest takeaway is that inflation continues to move in the right direction.</p>

<p>Markets had been bracing for another sticky result after a period where progress appeared to stall. Instead, headline inflation came in softer than expected, helped by falling fuel prices and easing transport costs. Annual transport inflation halved from 6.6 per cent in April to 3.3 per cent in May, while automotive fuel prices fell 11.9 per cent during the month following lower oil prices and the impact of reduced fuel excise measures.</p>

<p>While petrol prices don't solve Australia's affordability challenges, they are one of the most visible and immediate costs for consumers. Falling fuel costs feed through the economy quickly, helping ease pressure on household budgets and business operating expenses.</p>

<p>The ABS data also showed headline inflation is now sitting at its lowest annual level in several months, reinforcing the broader trend that price growth is gradually moderating.</p>

<p>That trend is important because it aligns with what many economists and lenders have been saying for the last month.</p>

<p>Prior to this week's inflation data, ANZ, NAB and Commonwealth Bank had all shifted their forecasts, now believing the Reserve Bank had likely reached the peak of the interest rate cycle. Following the May inflation release, ANZ reaffirmed that view.</p>

<p>In its latest economic update, ANZ said it expects quarterly trimmed mean inflation to come in at 3.7 per cent for the June quarter, slightly below the Reserve Bank's forecast of 3.8 per cent. Importantly, the bank said that outcome, when combined with slowing economic activity, "supports our view that the cash rate has peaked".</p>

<p>The Reserve Bank has spent the better part of three years attempting to bring inflation under control through higher interest rates. If Australia's major banks are correct and rates have now peaked, the conversation shifts from how much higher rates could go to when they might begin coming down.</p>

<p>Westpac's caution comes from underlying inflation. The trimmed mean, the measure most closely watched by the Reserve Bank, increased from 3.4 per cent to 3.6 per cent annually. Housing inflation remains elevated at 6.5 per cent, reflecting ongoing increases in rents, electricity costs and new dwelling construction.</p>

<p>Electricity prices remain particularly problematic, rising 21.1 per cent over the past year following the removal of government rebates.</p>

<p>Housing construction costs are also showing signs of renewed pressure. ANZ noted new dwelling costs rose 0.9 per cent in May and are now running at an annualised pace of 8.6 per cent over the past three months. Builders continue to face higher labour, fuel and material costs, a reminder that inflationary pressures have not completely disappeared.</p>

<p>Housing affordability has deteriorated largely because of higher interest rates rather than higher property prices alone. Even modest reductions in mortgage rates would improve borrowing capacity, increase buyer confidence and reduce repayment pressure on existing homeowners.</p>

<p>While August is far from a certainty, the latest inflation result has strengthened the view that the next move in rates is more likely to be down than up. For borrowers, buyers and the development sector, that alone represents a significant shift from the conversation that dominated much of the past two years.</p>


The inflation result the property market was waiting for

Mortgage Lendng

<html><body>
<div>EXPERT OBSERVATION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The regulatory throttling of mortgage lending maintained its firm stranglehold in the first quarter of 2018, with interest-only lending remaining at just 15.7 per cent of new residential term loans by value (a far cry from 45.6 per cent at the September 2015 peak). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Both the stock and flow of interest-only loans has been significantly reduced by the introduced macroprudential measures. </div>
<p> </p>
<div><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-2jv1gfRCvAw/Wysf2SDxvrI/AAAAAAAAqss/WcKMXyO_Hp0MOWLqTZC2PrTCLWw5XHb9ACLcBGAs/s1600/APRA1.jpg"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-2jv1gfRCvAw/Wysf2SDxvrI/AAAAAAAAqss/WcKMXyO_Hp0MOWLqTZC2PrTCLWw5XHb9ACLcBGAs/s640/APRA1.jpg" width="640" height="370" data-original-height="798" data-original-width="1374"></a></div>
<p> </p>
<div>Tighter loan-to-value (LVR) ratios also continued to be applied in Q1, with just 6.8 per cent of new residential lending at LVRs of 90 per cent or greater in the March 2018 quarter. </div>
<div> </div>
<p> </p>
<div><a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-7mEIZLUEhXo/Wysf2kwS39I/AAAAAAAAqsw/oNlM9WmxH6sZOhK4rQHu8m3clxqeyt0bgCLcBGAs/s1600/APRA3.jpg"><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-7mEIZLUEhXo/Wysf2kwS39I/AAAAAAAAqsw/oNlM9WmxH6sZOhK4rQHu8m3clxqeyt0bgCLcBGAs/s640/APRA3.jpg" width="640" height="370" data-original-height="797" data-original-width="1378"></a></div>
<p> </p>
<div>Loans approved outside serviceability were well down from the December 2017 quarter spike, but remained at an elevated level implying that tighter standards almost certainly continued to bite throughout the first half of 2018. </div>
<p> </p>
<div><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-TAISqpuzD5s/Wysf2uTdZ5I/AAAAAAAAqtA/m_X8X5T_vl82Rt4rcFuuj19tw9Z8pcYRACEwYBhgL/s1600/APRA2.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-TAISqpuzD5s/Wysf2uTdZ5I/AAAAAAAAqtA/m_X8X5T_vl82Rt4rcFuuj19tw9Z8pcYRACEwYBhgL/s640/APRA2.jpg" width="640" height="372" data-original-height="792" data-original-width="1360"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</em></div>
</body></html>

pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Interest-only loans stay low: Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<div>EXPERT OBSERVATION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The average mortgage size in Queensland in the final quarter of 2018 took a leap from $424,000 to above $450,000, according to AFG's latest mortgage index.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Evidently more southern state types are taking their borrowing capacity north to the Sunshine State. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-RFZw-CWuY0g/XEmcu8PJ11I/AAAAAAAAuGY/MdnQfZz97CI9vpgPtaq1Wfh9N71xivtBwCLcBGAs/s640/AFG1.jpg" width="640" height="380" data-original-height="800" data-original-width="1346"></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Overall lending volumes through AFG brokers were way down on a year earlier at a shade over $13 billion for the quarter.<br><br>The prior year comparative figure was $14.8 billion, some 12 per cent higher.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Major lenders continue to leak market share at under 58 per cent of lodgement volumes, down from 78 per cent in 2013. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>With the share of investors in the market well down - and the share of interest-only lending also at the lowest level across the data series - a natural consequence of this is borrowers redirecting their borrowing capacity at larger home loans. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Thanks to Queensland borrowers the average loan size nationally hit a fresh high level in the fourth quarter of 2018 at $509,162, up from $499,193 a year earlier.<br><br><span>The <a href="http://petewargent.blogspot.com/2019/01/loan-sizes-down-in-victoria-wa" target="_blank">ABS has noted</a> it has discontinued its figures on implied average loan sizes due to loan-splitting potentially understating the results. </span><br><span><br></span><span>According to Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) research only around 1 in 10 borrowers use their maximum borrowing capacity or something close to it, helping to explain how the average loan size can now be at a record high. </span>
</div>
<div>
<span><br></span><span>In the RBA's own words "tighter lending standards do not constrain most borrowers, but do affect some".</span>
</div>
<div><strong> </strong></div>
<div><span><em><strong>PETE WARGENT</strong> is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</em></span></div>
</body></html>

Average mortgage size leaps in Queensland: Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<p>The first glimpses of recovery are emerging in the Australian mortgage market, with an increase in lodgements seen for the first time in a year, according to the latest AFG Index.</p>
<p>Notably their findings showed that, non-major lenders are driving much of the activity, responsible for a record high 42 per cent of lodgements and for the first time accounting for more than one in every three mortgages for first home buyers.</p>
<p>The AFG Index recorded more than $13 billion in lodgements in the three months to June 30, representing a 12 per cent increase on the last quarter. Despite the turnaround in the last quarter, the numbers remain 11 per cent down on the same time last year.</p>
<p>AFG Chief Executive Officer David Bailey said, “there are tentative signs of increased activity with both lodgement numbers and volumes up significantly for the quarter. It will be important to see the impact of recent moves by the RBA but we remain cautiously optimistic."</p>
<p>“It remains relatively subdued out there in Victoria and New South Wales, with both states recording an 11 per cent dip on the same time last year, offset by activity in the smaller states,” he noted.</p>
<p>South Australia was ostensibly flat, whilst Queensland and Western Australia recorded slips of thirteen per cent and seven per cent respectively.</p>
<p>Average mortgage size is at an all-time high of almost $515,000, with South Australia the only state to record a drop to now be sitting at $402,473.</p>
<p>Mr Bailey said “with investor lending up, it is interesting to also note the major banks’ responses to the recent cash rate reductions where investor loan rates have seen larger rate cuts passed on to customers. With those APRA-related restrictions now lifted, this could signal a new battleground for customers.</p>
<p>“After a period of slow growth, Refinancers have lifted to 28 per cent, but this is still a long way from the activity seen in 2016 when they recorded levels as high as 39 per cent. Homeowners looking to Upgrade have dropped back to the same level they were at in the final quarter of 2017,” he said.</p>
<p>AFG found, among the non-majors, Macquarie’s market share grew steadily across the quarter and finished June just shy of 10 per cent. ING has also been regaining ground and finished the quarter at four per cent, after dropping to less than two per cent in March.</p>
<p>While among the majors, CBA increased market share to finish June at 18 per cent and NAB finished a tough quarter to reach seven per cent by the end of June. NAB’s gains appear to be at the expense of the Westpac group of brands with Westpac, Bank SA, Bank of Melbourne and St George all recording a fall in market share.</p>
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Signs of home loan market recovery, non-major market share at record high: AFG

<html><body>
<p>Data for lending to households and businesses data for December 2018 was released earlier this week.</p>
<p>This data series replaces the old housing finance and lending finance series and includes some different data. Specifically focusing on lending to households the data shows that the weakening of demand for mortgages has continued.</p>
<p><img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/pic1.png" alt="pic1.png" width="842" height="355" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bb33c8c9-5ed9-47d3-a589-bf7f9843bf66" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/pic1.png"></p>
<p><br>As the above chart shows, investor mortgage lending has been weakening for some time however, over recent months there has been a rapid slowdown in lending to owner-occupiers. Over the month, there was a total of $26.0 billion in mortgage finance to borrowers which was the lowest monthly value since January 2014. The value of mortgage lending has fallen -5.2% over the month and is -15.2% year-on-year. Looking at the split between owner-occupier and investor mortgage lending, there was $18.5 billion worth of finance commitments to owner occupiers which was -5.3% lower than the previous month and its lowest value since May 2015. The remaining $7.5 billion worth of finance to investors was -4.8% lower over the month and the lowest monthly value since April 2013. While the slowdown in mortgage demand began, and is well entrenched, across the investor segment, owner-occupier mortgage demand is now also falling rapidly.</p>
<p><img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/pic2.png" alt="pic2.png" width="802" height="338" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b08c7e3c-d4d4-48b8-9ecd-078d9723d53f" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/pic2.png"></p>
<p><br>Looking a little more granularly at the data, over the month there was $12.5 billion worth of owner-occupier finance commitments excluding refinance, $6.0 billion worth of owner occupier refinance commitments, $4.9 billion worth of non-refinance commitments to investors and $2.6 billion worth of investor refinances. The chart highlights a weakening of demand across each of these four categories however, refinance demand is generally holding up better than non-refinance. New lending to owner-occupiers is the lowest it has been since May 2015, owner occupier refinances are the lowest they’ve been since August 2017, investor new lending is at its lowest value since January 2012 and investor refinance lending is the lowest it has been since August 2018. </p>
<p>The data clearly shows that housing finance commitments are falling the bigger question is what is the actual driver of the falls. According to recent commentary from the Reserve Bank in their Statement on Monetary Policy, demand is falling because of ‘significantly fewer loan applications over the past year or more.’ Personally, I am not necessarily convinced this is the only reason.</p>
<p>The volumes that eventually make their way to lending teams are likely to be significantly lower but is this actually occurring because of fewer people wanting a mortgage or fewer making it that far? I suspect that demand has certainly fallen but possibly it has fallen a greater amount because people are talking to the bank lender or mortgage broker and the feedback they are given is that there is no point applying because with current credit conditions this just isn’t going to get approved.</p>
<p>Looking at it another way, credit conditions remain tighter than they have been in many years. Although the 10% cap on investment credit growth and 30% interest-only origination limit have been removed (largely because they became redundant), both investor and interest-only borrowers continue to be charged a premium compared to owner-occupier mortgages. Furthermore, lenders are now asking a lot more questions about household expenditure than they have in the past rather than relying on an index of household expenditure. Although this may be a new normal, in the past, potential borrowers perhaps haven’t had to be so mindful of their expenditure prior to a mortgage application and there will be a period of adjustment to these new conditions.</p>
<p>In the past borrowers have tended to adjust their expenditure appropriately once they have taken on the mortgage rather than now when the adjustment has to be made prior to obtaining approval for the mortgage. Finally, when applying for a mortgage, borrowers are being assessed on their ability to repay a mortgage at an interest rate above 7% while most lenders will offer a new borrower a discounted variable at around or below 4%. The current cash rate futures yield curve is now suggesting a reduction in official interest rates is more likely than a hike. In my mind, 7% mortgage rates are a long way off and we won’t be getting back to those levels absent some decent household income growth.</p>
<p>While in isolation these individual changes to credit policy changes may not remove many potential borrowers, the combination of these changes likely result in far fewer borrowers being considered credit-worthy for a mortgage. Therefore, while application volumes are likely lower, the blame can’t solely be pointed at fewer applications when the process for applying for a mortgage has changed so dramatically over recent years.</p>
<p><em><strong>CAMERON KUSHER</strong> is a Research Analyst at CoreLogic.</em></p>
</body></html>

ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Is it tighter credit or fewer applications hitting mortgage demand? CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

<html><body>
<div>
<p>Westpac Group, the nation's second largest mortgage lender, has told mortgage brokers to grill clients on why they want an interest-only loan.</p>
<p>They are to "make them aware of their features and considerations".</p>
</div>
<div>Brokers must note the client's answers and include them in the application.</div>
<div>
<p>"It is important clients can provide clear reasoning for their choice of loan and can demonstrate an understanding of an interest-only loan and its features so we can have confidence our product aligns to their needs," a bank spokesman told Fairfax Media.</p>
</div>
</body></html>

Westpac tells mortgage brokers to quiz investors on IO rationale

<html><body>
<p>AMP is reducing its mortgage lending to most non-resident borrowers.</p>
<p>AMP is blaming the tough policy on "changes to the market" without specifying their nature or extent.</p>
<p>"Our standards are continually reviewed with market developments to ensure we remain a prudent and responsible lender. Our criteria for overseas borrowers has recently been reviewed in line with this objective," AMP said in a statement obtained by the<em> Australian Financial Review</em>.</p>
<p>It follows complaints among other major lenders about fraudulent applications and fears of money laundering.</p>
<p>Major banks are believed to have only between 2 and 4 percent of their portfolios with overseas investors.</p>
<p>Under AMP's policy, revealed in confidential documents being circulated to major third party distributors, foreign currencies are split into Tier 1 and Tier 2 categories.</p>
<p>Under the new arrangements, 80 percent of income and expenses derived from a Tier 1 category is acceptable and 50 percent from a tier 2 when assessing a loan application.</p>
<p>Tier 1 category are Canadian dollars, Euros, British sterling, Hong Kong dollars, Japanese yen, New Zealand dollars, Singapore dollars and US dollars.  </p>
<p>Tier 2 is the Chinese yuan. Borrowers seeking a loan with Chinese yuan must also provide a 50 percent deposit. For borrowers with Tier 1 currencies the maximum deposit is 30 percent.</p>
</body></html>

Mortgage Lendng

Editor's Picks

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

Mortgage Lendng

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News