<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/draycon">Draycon Building</a> is nearing completion of Boutique Chevron Island, a 42-apartment development on the northern end of Chevron Island at 17–19 Parneno Street, with a limited-time offer of fully furnished apartments available.

Now more than 90 per cent complete, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/boutique-chevron-island-17-19-parneno-chevron-island-qld-4217">Boutique</a> has been shaped by one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held island addresses, where riverfront outlooks and walkable access to Surfers Paradise converge.

For Draycon Building Managing Director Howard Dabit, the appeal of the site was immediate.

“I knew it was a good site as soon as I saw it,” Dabit said.

“The position and location on the north end of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/chevron-island-qld-4217">Chevron Island</a>, the way the river swirls around the site basically from the north to the east, it feels like the site is surrounded by the water. The height that we’ve got and the aspect looking north is beautiful. Eighty per cent of the apartments are looking north so they get that drenching sunlight coming in.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=89709 project_image_fid=360922]

That northern orientation places the development within a stretch of Chevron Island defined by open river aspects and skyline views, while remaining embedded in the suburb’s established village setting.

Chevron Island has increasingly drawn owner-occupiers seeking centrality without the intensity of high-rise beachfront living. Positioned at the geographical centre of the Gold Coast, the island offers direct access to both the beach and key cultural infrastructure while retaining a neighbourhood-scale character.

Connected by bridge to Surfers Paradise, Chevron Island offers walkable access to beaches, riverfront parklands and a revitalised foreshore boulevard animated by walkers and cyclists throughout the day. The Pacific Ocean is only minutes away, reinforcing the suburb’s dual river-and-surf identity.

At the same time, Thomas Drive forms the spine of the island’s village life, delivering cafés, wine bars, casual dining and everyday services within easy reach. Independent grocers, wellness operators and neighbourhood retailers contribute to a community atmosphere that remains distinct from the vertical scale of the beachfront.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=89709 project_image_fid=360915]

In the opposite direction, the Green Bridge links directly to HOTA – Home of the Arts – placing galleries, performance venues and parklands within walking distance. Weekly markets and major exhibitions draw visitors from across the region, while residents return to a quieter residential pocket at day’s end.

Public transport, including nearby bus routes and the G:link light rail corridor along the coastal spine, strengthens connectivity north and south. Griffith University, the Gold Coast University Hospital precinct and established private schools such as The Southport School are all within a short drive.

Ongoing investment across Surfers Paradise, HOTA and the broader Southport corridor has elevated amenity while preserving Chevron Island’s comparatively low-rise residential character. It is this balance, walkable village atmosphere paired with metropolitan-scale infrastructure, that continues to differentiate the suburb from higher-density beachfront precincts.

Boutique comprises just 42 residences, designed to maximise river and skyline outlooks within this tightly held island setting.

Boutique Chevron Island is slated for completion in April 2026, with prices starting from $1,220,000.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=89709]

Joel Robinson

Draycon Building’s Boutique Chevron Island places 42 residences at the heart of the Gold Coast

Sydney developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/deicorp">Deicorp</a> has secured planning approval for a $300 million residential development in Lindfield, marking the company’s second project on Sydney’s North Shore and its first on the Upper North Shore.

Located on Beaconsfield Parade and designed by DKO Architecture, the state significant development comprises three buildings of up to 10 storeys and will include 399 residences, including 59 affordable homes and 40 adaptable homes.

Residences will range in size from one, two and three bedrooms, with two-bedroom apartments accounting for over 60 per cent of the product make-up. Residents will have access to a broad suite of amenities, including a wellness area, indoor and outdoor recreational spaces, a pool, a gym, a community room and a golf simulator.

In line with Deicorp’s long-standing focus on creating transit-oriented communities, the project is located just 260 metres from the Lindfield Train Station, reinforcing its role in delivering well-connected housing close to established infrastructure, retail and local services.

The inclusion of affordable and adaptable housing supports greater diversity within the local market, while the mix of apartment types responds to demand from downsizers, young professionals and families seeking access to the Upper North Shore.

Deicorp Founder Fouad Deiri OAM said the approval represents an important milestone for both the company and the suburb

“This approval allows us to deliver well-designed homes in a location that is already supported by strong transport and community infrastructure," Deiri said.

"Our focus is on creating places that integrate into their surroundings and provide long-term value for residents, and the broader Lindfield community. Being within walking distance of the station ensures this project supports sustainable growth in the right locations."

Across its portfolio, Deicorp currently has 4,703 apartments under construction, playing a leading role in shaping connected, liveable communities across Sydney.

Its expanding portfolio of Metro-linked developments includes Tallawong Village, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kings-bay-village-five-dock-53-75-queens-road-five-dock-nsw-2046">Kings Bay Village</a> in Five Dock, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/hyde-metropolitan-sydney-133-141-liverpool-street-sydney-nsw-2000">Hyde Metropolitan</a> in Sydney CBD, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/falcon-alexander-crows-nest-8-alexander-street-crows-nest-nsw-2065">Falcon &amp; Alexander</a> in Crows Nest and Showground Village, Castle Hill.

Deicorp purchased the Beaconsfield Paradise site last year. Construction is scheduled to commence in Q2 of 2026 and will be completed in 2029.

Deicorp expands portfolio to nearly 5,000 apartments with Lindfield project

In a joint venture with The Trump Organization, Australia developer Altus Property Group has announced plans to bring a Trump International Hotel &amp; Tower to the Gold Coast, marking the first Trump-branded project in Australia.

"Trump International Hotel &amp; Tower, Gold Coast is our first official project in Australia and reflects our unwavering commitment to delivering world-class luxury experiences in iconic locations around the world," Eric Trump, Executive Vice President of The Trump Organization, said.

"This development exemplifies the Trump brand’s dedication to quality, sophistication, and unmatched service, and we are thrilled to bring this vision to the vibrant Gold Coast community."

The 91-storey building, which will become the tallest in Australia at 335 metres, will feature a&nbsp;285-room luxury hotel bearing the trademark Trump logo. It will also include 272 luxury residential apartments, a three-level podium with an exclusive Beach Club, and over 3,400 sqm of premium commercial, retail, and dining space, revitalizing the central Surfers Paradise precinct.

“Trump International Hotel &amp; Tower, Gold Coast will be a truly unique offering in the Australian market, bringing the prestige and allure of a world-class luxury brand,"&nbsp;Altus founder and chief executive David Young said.

"Altus Property Group is proud of its track record in delivering landmark developments across Australia, and our expertise ensures this project will be an outstanding success."

Trump Hotel heads for the Gold Coast to become Australia's tallest building

More than a century after the Corrimal Coke Works first opened in 1912, the industrial landmark that helped shape the suburb is being reinterpreted as a walkable residential neighbourhood, with Stage One of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-works-stage-one-27-railway-street-corrimal-nsw-2518">The Works</a> now underway at 27 Railway Street.

For 102 years, the site was central to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/corrimal-nsw-2518">Corrimal</a>’s economic and social identity before operations ceased in 2014. Rather than erasing that legacy, developer Legacy Property has embedded it into the masterplan, retaining and reinterpreting elements such as the iconic 1912 brick chimney and sections of the original C1 Coke Oven Battery, alongside the adaptive reuse of the former powerhouse building.

Stage One will introduce 181 apartments across low-rise buildings, offering predominantly two and three-bedroom residences with completion targeted for mid-2027. The scale and configuration reflect a deliberate focus on owner-occupiers, targeting those seeking a lower-maintenance home in a prime location within the northern suburbs of Wollongong.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=143415 project_image_fid=359833]

Apartments have been designed to maximise natural light and cross-ventilation, with floor-to-ceiling glazing extending living areas onto generous balconies. Engineered timber flooring, induction cooktops and 900mm ovens in larger residences support everyday functionality, while two interior palettes allow buyers to tailor finishes to their preferences. The material selection draws on a restrained coastal language, intended to connect homes to their surroundings rather than compete with them.

The Works forms part of a broader 18-hectare masterplan that will ultimately deliver around 550 dwellings, new parks, and a heritage precinct celebrating the site’s past. More than seven hectares are dedicated to open space, including Southern Park and a Village Green with community gardens and recreation areas. The creek corridor is being rehabilitated with 150,000 native plantings, restoring biodiversity to the site and softening landscape.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=143415 project_image_fid=359841]

Positioned adjacent to Corrimal Station and within walking distance of Corrimal Town Centre, the precinct places daily essentials, rail connections and local retail within easy reach. Wollongong CBD, including the hospital, university and entertainment venues, sits approximately 6.5 kilometres to the south.

For buyers more familiar with North Wollongong, Corrimal offers a different proposition: a well-established coastal suburb framed by beaches to the east and the escarpment to the west, with a strong sense of local identity shaped in part by the former Coke Works. The Works seeks to reinforce that identity by creating a connected, walkable neighbourhood between coast and escarpment, rather than a standalone apartment complex.

Sustainability underpins the development approach. The Works is targeting Wollongong’s first 5-Star Green Star-rated community, with water-sensitive urban design, recycled materials and energy-efficient buildings integrated across the masterplan. For residents, these measures provide not only environmental benefits but also reduced operational costs and future resilience.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=143415 project_image_fid=359842]

With construction commenced and display materials available to view, prospective buyers can now engage more directly with the project’s vision, reviewing floorplans, material selections and the broader masterplan in detail. For many local homeowners weighing a move, the opportunity to experience how heritage, landscape and contemporary design intersect may help bridge the gap between familiarity and the next chapter.

As Stage One progresses toward its mid-2027 completion, The Works represents a significant chapter in Corrimal’s evolution, transforming a site that once powered local industry into a walkable residential precinct designed for its next generation of residents.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=143415]

Legacy Property’s The Works reimagines Corrimal’s century-old Coke Works

When it comes to developing in Melb​ourne's Bayside region, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lowe-living">Lowe Living</a> knows exactly what buyers want.

With a longstanding presence in the area and a string of sell-out projects, Lowe Living consistently delivers developments that are as sought-after as their predecessors.

Their latest instalment is in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/hampton-vic-3188">Hampton</a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/hampton-east-vic-3188">&nbsp;East,</a> the same postcode where they have previously delivered Hampton Hill and Oceano. The developer-builder recently commenced construction on its newest project,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marella-hampton-31-35-alicia-street-hampton-east-vic-3188">Marella</a>, a collection of 32 apartments just five minutes from the beach.

Site acquisition is paramount to success. Lowe Living rarely brings a building to market that isn’t within walking distance of essential amenities, whether it be the beach, a prominent retail strip, or a train station. Marella is no exception, located at its Alicia Street address, less than a kilometre from the retail heart of Hampton Street and Hampton Station.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146197 project_image_fid=358495]

Equally important to Lowe Living is the architecture.

For Marella, they appointed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a>, who explains that the architectural vision was to create a contemporary reinterpretation of the Californian bungalow, a style that’s iconic to Hampton’s heritage.

"By borrowing, abstracting, and reinterpreting elements of this quintessential style, such as strong datum lines, articulated columns, exposed structures, and roof tiles, our design strikes a balance between modernity and familiarity," says Cera Stribley.

"This approach ensures that the development is not only visually appealing but also contextually sensitive, resonating with Hampton's existing architectural landscape."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146197 project_image_fid=358499]

The building features terracotta brick, soft cream masonry, and exposed metal detailing, giving it a tactile presence that is intended to weather gently over time.

Internally, the focus on lasting quality continues, with two and three-bedroom residences anchored by sculptural stone kitchen islands, natural light, and clearly defined transitions between living, dining, and outdoor spaces.

The layouts have been carefully designed. Open-plan zones extend to private balconies, with light-filled interiors and generous kitchen proportions, supported by Miele wall ovens, induction cooktops, and integrated fridge-freezers. These are not small apartments rebranded as luxury; they have been designed at scale, with ample storage, hotel-style entry access, and secure basement parking provided as standard.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146197 project_image_fid=358492]

At the uppermost level, Marella’s Signature Collection penthouses offer city or bay views, large entertaining terraces (some with outdoor spas), and elevated finishes, including fully wrapped stone kitchen benches and a Liebherr wine fridge.

Flexible room arrangements allow for a fourth bedroom or secondary living space, sought-after by both empty nesters who want the space when family visits and families with older children.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146197 project_image_fid=358498]

A residents’ lounge on the ground floor reinforces the project’s small-community feel. With a fireplace, private dining area, and adjoining terrace, it’s one of several shared spaces that balance amenity with privacy and scale.

Construction has commenced, with completion expected in early 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=146197]

Lowe Living continues Bayside legacy as Marella rises in Hampton

Market Growth

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Regional area index data for SA4 regions produced by CoreLogic is showing early signs of improving housing market conditions, predominately across Sydney and Melbourne and with some level of improvement in the areas where values previously recorded comparatively large falls.
Over the three months to July 2019, national dwelling values continued to decline, falling by -0.5%, however, the monthly rate of decline has been slowing right throughout 2019 with no change in values throughout the month of July.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/8/30/SA4%203.JPG" alt="">
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/8/30/SA4%204.JPG" alt="">
The improvement in market conditions was more evident across the combined capital cities, while the combined regional markets have seen the magnitude of declines trend higher throughout 2019.
The improvement in housing market conditions is largely being driven by a slowing rate of decline in values in Sydney and Melbourne throughout 2019 with increases over the past two months.
Melbourne is the only city where values increases occured over the past three months (0.1%) while a several cities recorded slower rates of decline. Dwelling values remained lower than when at their peak across all 46 capital city SA4 regions; the magnitude of declines varied greatly from city-to-city and within the individual capital cities.
While values are now lower than their peak across all SA4 regions, 13 individual regions have either recorded an increase in value or avoided declines over the past three months.
Analysis of the 13 regions where values did not fall over the past three months where in areas that have previously seen comparatively large value declines from their peak. To July 2019, Sydney dwelling values have fallen -14.7% from their peak.
Over the past three months, seven Sydney regions have avoided falls and Baulkham Hills and Hawkesbury (-15.7%), Inner West (- 15.9%), North Sydney and Hornsby (-15.4%) and Sutherland (-16.7%) have each recorded larger overall falls than the Sydney benchmark.
It is a similar story for Melbourne, four SA4 regions have avoided value falls over the past three months, two of which were the Inner East and Inner South which have seen some of the largest overall declines of all Melbourne regions, down - 15.0% and -14.4% from peak respectively. Outside of regions of Sydney and Melbourne, Hobart and Adelaide’s North have also recorded an increase in values over the past three months.
Only 15 of the 46 capital city SA4 regions have recorded falls in excess of 1.0% over the past three months.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/8/30/SA4%201.JPG" alt="">
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/8/30/SA4%202.JPG" alt="">
Several combined regional markets are not showing the same early signs of a market recovery that was visible for the capital city markets. Furthermore, some regional markets have seen significant overall declines. For the capital cities, Mandurah in Perth experienced the largest overall decline in values (-35.7%), while three regional markets have recorded larger total falls.
Of the 42 regional SA4 areas, 16 have either recorded an increase in values or no decline over the past three months which is greater than the 13 amongst the capital cities.
The reason for the declining regional values, and with little to no real signs of an improvement, is more to do with the fact that most of the larger regional markets continue to record value falls.
What is interesting is that some of the markets that have recorded significant value falls over recent years have actually recorded value increases over the past three months. Most of these are located in Qld: Townsville, Cairns, Central Qld and Mackay-Isaac Whitsunday while Outback SA has seen the largest value increase over the three months despite values being more than 20% below their peak.
Unlike the capital city SA4 regions, two regional markets have managed to avoid declines with values sitting at record-highs. These regions are West and North West Tas and South East SA. The more populous regional markets continued to record value falls over the past three months with areas like Townsville, Cairns, Richmond-Tweed, Toowoomba and Launceston and North East the main exceptions.
Larger regional areas such as Newcastle and Lake Macquarie, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast, Geelong, Illawarra and Bunbury have continued to see values fall. Overall early signs are emerging to suggest that the housing market has stabilized, however, this evidence is much more prevalent in capital cities than regional markets.
Within the capital cities, the research concluded that improved conditions are mainly being driven by Sydney and Melbourne and interestingly, in many instances it is those areas where values have recorded larger declines over recent years that are showing the largest improvement.
Over the coming months it will be interesting to see if the improvement continues and whether it spreads from Sydney and Melbourne to other capital cities and regional markets.
CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian branch of CoreLogic
Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Regional markets have seen the magnitude of declines trend higher throughout 2019: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Australia has many growth markets at the moment. Jurisdictions where prices are growing outnumber those where they’re falling.
Didn’t know that? Here’s the problem.
Most of our major media emanates from Melbourne and Sydney. Writers there are obsessed with themselves and have little awareness of the 17 million Australians who don’t live in the two biggest cities. They tend to assume that events in Sydney describe the whole nation. If Sydney’s booming, they write about the national property boom. If Melbourne - otherwise known as Corona Country, home of the Dan-demic – is falling, the coverage suggests a national market slump.
That’s never true and it’s certainly not true right now. Regional Australia is pumping and we’re not hearing too much about it.
Let’s look at the latest price data from Domain, which focuses on the figures for the June Quarter.
In annual terms, six of the eight capital cities have house prices higher than a year ago. Remarkable, really. The exceptions are Perth and Darwin.
In the June Quarter, Canberra and Hobart recorded increases while Adelaide was essentially no change. Sydney, Brisbane, Perth and Darwin all fell about 2% and Melbourne around 3%. Those figures generated nationwide headlines that prices were falling everywhere.
It’s important to note that other sources, like SQM Research and CoreLogic, have different results. Media never acknowledges that the various sources come up with different outcomes on prices – they’re too busy sensationalizing the negatives in any set of figures.
But CoreLogic’s latest figures record growth in house prices in the June Quarter in Adelaide, Hobart, Canberra and Darwin and no change in Brisbane. In other words, CoreLogic’s figures are more positive than those from Domain.
Returning to the Domain data, the results for regional Australia are considerably more bullish than those for capital city Australia. For the June Quarter it records price rises in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and Tasmania – while in annual terms, there are increases in Tasmania (12%), Victoria (7%), NSW (6%), South Australia (4%), the Northern Territory (4%) and Western Australia (2%). Queensland was the only regional jurisdiction to record an annual decrease (less than 1%).
The CoreLogic figures for regional Australia in the June Quarter recorded house price rises in NSW, Victoria, South Australia, Tasmania and the Northern Territory.
Markets in many regional areas are pumping. Regional cities and towns have generally experienced few cases of Covid-19 – and some have had zero cases. Apart from those heavily reliant on international tourism, local economies are travelling pretty well and some are thriving, because of the components of the local employment sector. Agriculture, viticulture, mining, medical services and food services are all sectors that have done fairly well or very well amid the virus shemozzle.
There is also the trend I call “the exodus to affordable lifestyle”. This was already well under way, with people relocating from the big cities to sea change and hill change locations within 1-2 hours of the capital. The virus shutdown phase has enhanced this significant trend. Working remotely doesn’t suit everyone but there are many for whom it works to work at home.
First-home buyers boosted by multiple government incentives and investors seeking affordability and yield, as well as solid growth prospects, are also helping to drive regional markets.
Near Melbourne, markets like the LGAs of Baw Baw (10%), Golden Plains (16%) and Central Goldfields (11%) have all recorded double-digit annual rises, according to the Domain data.
Near Hobart, municipalities such as Brighton and Huon Valley have risen 20% in 12 months, but growth markets can be found right across regional Tasmania.
In Queensland, the regional markets with prolific one-year increases tend to be resources-related locations, some of them rising from a low base after years of decline.
There’s plenty of growth happening out there in Australia, beyond the boundaries of Melbourne and Sydney.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au ryder@hotspotting.com.au twitter.com/hotspotting
 
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Property growth markets are the majority despite claims otherwise: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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<div>Sydney median house prices were up by 1% in October to be up by 21% over the year to $1,058,500.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Sydney median unit prices were also up by 1% in the month to be up by 15% over the eyar to $684,500.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There has also been moderate growth over the past year for Brisbane houses (4%) and units (3%).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Interestingly Melbourne has now picked upp the pace, with house prices in the Victorian capital recording growth of 7% in the last quarter alone to be 11% higher over the year. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>On the other hand, some moderate declines were recorded in other cities and regions. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/1/Table_1_October_Statistics_Summary.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/1/Table_1_October_Statistics_Summary.jpg" alt="" width="781" height="579"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>In other news, there was a very strong result recorded for the Reserve Bank's Financial Aggregates.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Residex market update: Pete Wargent

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Most of Australia’s capital cities will benefit from the interest rate cuts and loosening of credit restrictions, Brisbane in particular looks set for growth even if APRA intervenes, according to Christopher’s Housing Boom and Bust Report for 2020, released today by SQM Research.
In every scenario and barring worst case, Scenario 4, a doomsday scenario, Brisbane is expected to see price growth.
Even in that case Brisbane is expected to see price movements of -3% to +1%.
<img src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb/images/4df1a5ab-58ab-48eb-be7c-da10730ccd12.png">
As a result of the improved international outlook and an existing recovering in mining investment, Brisbane similarly to Perth will benefit and should record price rises in the order of 3% to 6%. 
In the base case forecasts, what SQM view as the most likely scenario, there are no changes in interest rates and no intervention by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA).
Louis Christopher, when referencing a long term perspective, "better value can definitely found in other markets that aren't Sydney and Melbourne such as Perth and Brisbane."
SQM Research also anticipates an ongoing recovery in the Brisbane and Perth rental markets in 2020, he noted.
<a href="/expert-insights/buying/sydney-house-prices-could-jump-14-per-cent-in-2020-sqm-research">Sydney</a> and <a href="/expert-insights/buying/melbourne-house-prices-tipped-to-rise-by-up-to-15-per-cent-sqm-research">Melbourne</a> look set for the largest recovery, with Hobart and Canberra next up, followed by <a href="/expert-insights/buying/perth-real-estate-finally-set-for-price-growth-in-2020-sqm-research">Perth</a> and <a href="/expert-insights/buying/brisbane-housing-market-will-see-growth-in-2020-sqm-research">Brisbane</a> while Adelaide and <a href="/expert-insights/buying/darwin-the-only-city-forecast-for-falling-real-estate-prices-in-2020-sqm-research">Darwin</a> look set for minimal growth, or a loss.
Read the <a href="https://sqmresearch.us5.list-manage.com/track/click?u=9badbd870addb4af72206c2eb&amp;id=944878d0b0&amp;e=0aab96dc54" target="_blank" data-auth="NotApplicable">Christopher’s Housing Boom and Bust Report</a> here.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Brisbane housing market will see growth in 2020: SQM Research

<html><body>
EXPERT OBSERVATION 
The leading growth markets in Australia are now occurring in places you might not expect. With the end to the up-cycles in Sydney and Melbourne, the growth stories are now focusing on our smaller capital cities and the larger regional ones.
In Hotspotting’s quarterly surveys of sales activity for the Price Predictor Index, one of main focus points is finding clusters of suburbs where there’s growth momentum. Rather than highlight individual suburbs, we identify Local Government Areas where there are multiple growth suburbs.
In the winter survey, we have identified the Top 10 LGAs in the nation, in terms of the number of upwardly-mobile suburbs.
Municipalities in Melbourne and Sydney previously dominated these lists, but no more. It’s now about Adelaide, Perth, Brisbane, Canberra and some of the more notable regional cities.
Here’s our new National Top 10, (in alphabetical order):
<ul>
<li>Ballarat, VIC</li>
</ul>
The regional city of Ballarat has become the strongest market in Victoria, having overtaken the City of Greater Geelong which has led the state on busy sales activity for the past year or so. Ballarat is attracting large numbers of buyers out of Melbourne, drawn by its affordability and better rental yields compared to the capital city. Ballarat also appeals for its growth potential, driven by the strength and diversity of the local economy. Our winter survey has identified nine suburbs with rising sales activity and this is starting to translate into strong price growth.
<ul>
<li>Belconnen, ACT</li>
</ul>
Canberra’s market is steadily rising and, as we have often observed, the strongest market activity in the national capital is happening in the northern suburbs, headed by the Districts of Belconnen and Gungahlin. Belconnen has seven suburbs with growing sales activity and is the market leader in a city characterised by low vacancies, strong rental growth and solid potential for prices to rise in 2018-19. Growth markets include Bruce, Florey, Flynn, Holt and Macgregor.
<ul>
<li>Bendigo, VIC</li>
</ul>
We’ve noted the rise of Ballarat in previous quarterly surveys, but the surge in Bendigo has emerged only recently. Like Ballarat, the city of Bendigo is rising because of its own inherent strengths and also because of its strong links to Melbourne. It has eight rising suburbs, including Kangaroo Flat where quarterly sales have been 52, 58, 64, 64, 68 and 71, while North Bendigo sales have been 14, 20, 25, 29 and 38. The median house price for both suburbs is $310,000, emphasising the city’s affordability. 
<ul>
<li>Geelong, VIC</li>
</ul>
The City of Greater Geelong is no longer the market leader in Victoria but it remains strong. The Geelong LGA has seven growth suburbs, more than any of the Melbourne LGAs, but down on the levels we identified in previous surveys. There’s evidence that it may have passed its peak, as there are now more plateau and consistency markets than rising markets. The Geelong market continues to appeal as a cheaper alternative to Melbourne but may lose some gloss as 2018 progresses.
<ul>
<li>Marion, SA</li>
</ul>
The City of Marion continues to be one of the leaders in the promising Adelaide market. This middle-market area in the south-west of Adelaide now has six suburbs with Rising Steadily markets, down on the nine we identified six months ago, but nevertheless a very steady market which is characterised by its value-for-money appeal and proximity to key infrastructure. This includes the Flinders university-medical precinct.
<ul>
<li>Melville, WA</li>
</ul>
One of the leaders of Perth’s fightback is the Melville LGA in the southern suburbs, with seven growth markets. Attadale, Bicton, Booragoon, Kardinya, Melville and Palmyra now have rising sales activity, while six other suburbs are consistent performers. Bicton sales have been 26, 31, 29, 44, 45, 54 and 60 in the past seven quarters and its median house price has risen 23% to $1.08 million in the past 12 months. Other locations have shown more moderate growth, such as Attadale which has risen 5% to $1.15 million.
<ul>
<li>Moreton Bay Region, QLD</li>
</ul>
Six months ago, Moreton Bay Region was the No.1 LGA in Australia for growth markets. It no longer has that title, but remains one of the nation’s leaders. Moreton Bay LGA, in Brisbane’s far north, has maintained its position as the No.1 market in the Greater Brisbane area but with a smaller number of growth markets. There are now eight Rising Steadily suburbs (down from 14 in our Spring 2017 survey). Growth locations include Bellara, Bellmere, Burpengary, Burpengary East, Caboolture, Caboolture South, Eatons Hill and Kippa-Ring, with affordability and solid infrastructure among the drivers of growth.
<ul>
<li>Port Adelaide Enfield, SA</li>
</ul>
The Port Adelaide Enfield LGA has emerged in 2018 as a market leader in the South Australian capital. Our latest survey reveals seven suburbs with growing sales activity. Upwardly-mobile markets in this LGA include Blair Athol, Broadview, Clearview, Greenacres, Hillcrest and Semaphore. This precinct is characterised by a number of smallish suburbs where turnover is steadily rising. The Port Adelaide sector is likely to attract growing interest as the massive long-term project to build vessels for the Navy unfolds. 
<ul>
<li>Onkaparinga, SA</li>
</ul>
The Onkaparinga LGA in Adelaide’s south is a regular feature in our reports, offering a mix of lifestyle and new growth suburbs, with improved transport links to central Adelaide. Rising suburbs include Woodcroft (median $395,000) where quarterly sales have been 40, 42, 47 and 55 in the past year. Other growth markets here include Aberfoyle Park, Noarlunga Downs, Old Reynella, Seaford and Seaford Rise. Most of these locations have median house prices in the $300,000s, emphasising that affordable dwellings amid an area with appealing lifestyle features is a core driver of growth. 
<ul>
<li>Stirling, WA</li>
</ul>
The middle-market Stirling LGA in Perth is now the No.1 municipality in the nation for growth markets. I have often commented that the municipality of Stirling has stood out for “sterling performance” in the face of the Perth downturn - and its status has grown. Ten of its suburbs have Rising Steadily markets. Sales in the suburb of Innaloo (median house price $560,000) have been 61, 66, 73, 72, 78, 97, 83, 98 and 102 over the past two years.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy75475%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy75475%20=%20addy75475%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'%5C''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy75475%20+%20'%5C'%3E');%20document.write(addy75475);%20document.write('%3C%5C/a%3E');%20//--%3E%5Cn%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=%5C'display:%20none;%5C'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E"></a><a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
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The top 10 LGAs in Australia for property growth markets: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/81103/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-advanced" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
A slew of official data on China’s economy were released at the start of this week. GDP growth was steady at 6.9% per annum.
Urban investment in June was an annualised 8.6% - also steady. Factory output was 7.6% and retail sales 11%.
All these figures beat expectations. Good news, if one believes the figures. It is, of course, hard to know, but markets expect these indicators to soften later this year. 
And if they remain stable it will be further evidence for the view of close observers of China, like Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics, who said:
"We have doubts over the accuracy of the official figures, which point to implausibly stable growth in recent years."
The ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence index for Australia was down 0.4% this week, on the back of a 1.3% drop the previous week. Still, the overall level is relatively upbeat coming in at around the average since 1990.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/07/21/Screen%20Shot%202017-07-21%20at%208.35.52%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/07/21/Screen%20Shot%202017-07-21%20at%208.35.52%20AM.png" alt="">
New Zealand CPI data shows inflation there is lower than already low expectations. Second-quater CPI was 0.0% quarter-on-quarter, compared to expectations of positive 0.2%, which put the year-on-year figure at 1.7% compared to expectations of 1.9%.
Like most advanced economies, New Zealand continues to experience puzzling-low inflation.
Australian Bureau of Statistics June employment data showed unemployment in Australia steady at 5.6%. The strong growth in full-time employment shows a robust labour market. This only deepens the puzzle of why inflation is so low at the same time.
Perhaps most interestingly, last month’s RBA minutes generated interest and surprised markets. The key part read as follows:
"Members discussed the Bank’s work estimating the neutral real interest rate for Australia. The various estimates suggested that the rate had been broadly stable until around 2007, but had since fallen by around 150 basis points to around 1%. This equated to a neutral nominal cash rate of around 3.5%, given that medium-term inflation expectations were well anchored around 2.5%, although there is significant uncertainty around this estimate."
3.5% versus the current 1.5%. Wow! The neutral rate is the steady-state RBA cash rate, it’s the the one the bank uses to judge whether their policy is contractionary (above the rate) or expansionary (below the rate). So this news sent the Australian dollar soaring to above US79 cents. 
Investors saw it as signalling a bunch of interest rate hikes down the track. Market expectations of a rate rise by the end of 2017 roughly doubled as well to 44%.
Of course, the real question is whether this is right. The RBA board’s reasoning was, the minutes continued:
"Members noted that some of this decline could be attributed to lower potential output growth, but the increase in risk aversion around the time of the global financial crisis was likely to have been a more important factor, given that the bulk of the decline in the estimated neutral real interest rate had occurred around that time. Estimates of neutral real interest rates for other economies had shown a similar decline. All estimates of the neutral real interest rate for Australia suggested that monetary policy had been clearly expansionary for the preceding five years or so."
In other words, if rates go back to where the RBA thinks the new normal will be, then current interest rates are too low.
There are reasons to be sceptical. First, if the secular stagnation theory is operative going forward then the real rate may in fact be negative (for a critical but beautifully argued perspective on this see here).
And inflation has been doggedly low, so it’s not clear that the 2.5% expectation for inflation is going to turn out to be right, however “well-anchored” it may be. So zero plus something less than 2.5, say 1.5, is well, 1.5. Right where we are now.
I’m not saying the RBA is wrong. I’m not even saying that a 3.5% equilibrium real cash rate isn’t the best point estimate. What I am saying is that there is very real uncertainty around this. And there is some non-trivial chance that 1.5 or 2% turns out to be right.
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/richard-holden-118107" target="_blank">Richard Holden</a> is a Professor of Economics and PLuS Alliance Fellow at UNSW and author for <a href="https://theconversation.com/au" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
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