<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bates-smart">Bates Smart</a> is one of Melbourne's longest standing architecture firms.</p>

<p data-end="421" data-start="0">Founded in Melbourne in 1853 by Joseph Reed, the firm began as Reed &amp; Barnes and has evolved through various partnerships before adopting the Bates Smart name in the 20th century. With a continuous presence spanning more than 170 years, the practice has played a pivotal role in shaping Melbourne’s architectural identity.</p>

<p data-end="826" data-start="423">In the 19th century, Bates Smart designed several of Melbourne’s enduring landmarks, including the Royal Exhibition Building (1880), a UNESCO World Heritage site, and the Melbourne Town Hall. The firm’s influence continued into the 20th century with notable works such as Ici House (1958), considered Melbourne’s first modern skyscraper and a milestone in post-war Australian architecture.</p>

<p data-end="1220" data-start="828">One of their landmark designs was&nbsp;The First Church of Christ, Scientist, at 336-340 St Kilda Road. The building, which is listed on the Victorian Heritage Register, was designed by Bates, Peeble and Smart with construction completed in 1922. Architecturally, the building is significant as a rare example of early twentieth century classicism applied to a religious building. Historically, the building is significant as the first church of the Christian Science movement.</p>

<p data-end="1220" data-start="828">Melbourne developer Time &amp; Place decided to bring Bates Smart back to the area to design their next residential apartment project, Park Modern.</p>

<p data-end="1220" data-start="828">[smartcode_project:default project_id=138453 project_image_fid=2138]</p>

<p data-end="1220" data-start="828"><a href="https://www.urban.com.au/new-apartments/park-modern-south-melbourne-1-middleton-lane-south-melbourne-vic-3205">Park Modern</a>, on one of the largest island sites on the Melbourne CBD fringe, bordered by Dorcas Street, Wells Street, and Middleton Lane, will comprise two sculptural towers. It is being positioned as a design-forward response to evolving owner-occupier preferences in the Domain precinct.</p>

<p data-end="1220" data-start="828">Tim Price, Director at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/time-place">Time &amp; Place</a>, says&nbsp;Bates Smart have got a footprint on this city, probably like no other architect.</p>

<p>"It’s a really nice kind of next chapter story, that they created from a design perspective so long ago," Price told Apartments.com.au.</p>

<p>Park Modern will be the third time Time &amp; Place has worked with Bates Smart, having successfully designed and delivered Collins House and Opera on St Kilda Road together.</p>

<p>The brief focused on creating a built form that would feel contextually appropriate while offering a contemporary evolution of inner-city apartment living.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=138453 project_image_fid=2137]</p>

<p>The focus for Park Modern is squarely on owner-occupiers.</p>

<p>“It’s not always about downsizing," Price says.</p>

<p>"Sometimes it’s just about creating a space which is easily maintained, lock up and leave, reflecting people’s aspirations, whether they’re entertainers, big dining room spaces, big open terraces, they’re important parts of any design consideration.”</p>

<p>The building includes a mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments, as well as penthouses, with layouts and floor plans designed to suit a broad demographic. The architecture has been shaped to capture&nbsp;view corridors to the Botanic Gardens, Port Phillip Bay and the CBD skyline.</p>

<p>Each apartment has been oriented to maximise natural light and provide a clear outlook, elements often cited by owner-occupiers as key criteria.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=138453 project_image_fid=351806]</p>

<p>Rather than defaulting to a generic luxury offering, the amenity strategy at Park Modern reflects specific insights into how residents want to live. The ground floor will include co-working areas, wellness facilities, and a concierge-led lobby that blends indoor and outdoor design cues.</p>

<p>“Wellness has become a more thoughtful consideration, not just gyms or lap pools, but things like magnesium plunge pools, saunas, daybeds, and studio spaces for Pilates and the regular cardio workout,” says Price.</p>

<p>One notable inclusion is a substantial porte-cochère, a covered vehicle drop-off zone integrated into the site plan. It’s a feature rarely seen in inner-urban developments and speaks to the team’s emphasis on ease of arrival and departure for residents and guests.</p>

<p>A display suite for Park Modern is now open by appointment, giving prospective buyers an early look at the project.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=138453]</p>


Joel Robinson

100 years on, Bates Smart returns to South Melbourne's Domain Precinct to design Park Modern

<p>One of the most significant beachfront projects ever proposed for the small suburb of Miami on the Gold Coast, has taken a major step forward.&nbsp;Monaco Property Group has secured approval for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nalu-miami-122-marine-parade-qld-4220">NALU</a>, a $500 million development comprising just 45 ultra-luxury residences on the iconic former Nobby’s Outlook site.</p>

<p>Acquired by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/monaco-property-group">Monaco Property Group</a> in 2024 for $70 million, the rare 7,238 sqm Marine Parade parcel boasts more than 80 metres of uninterrupted ocean frontage.</p>

<p>With approvals now secured, Monaco Property Group will move NALU into its delivery phase. The project has been designed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, who collaborated with&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/ldg-landscape-architecture">LDG Landscape Architecture</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/tom-mark-henry">Tom Mark Henry Interiors</a>&nbsp;to create the low-rise building, its landscaping, and interiors.</p>

<p><img alt="NALU" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3fdf578e-7cc4-4b17-bbc2-ba853522a5d8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/122_Marine_Parade_002.jpg?VersionId=zFhJWVzX0jmCO.5iIIxNELImHesTjWS4" /></p>

<p>Residences will range from 237 sqm layouts to beachfront homes exceeding 1,400 sqm.</p>

<p>At the heart of the project is a 2,200 sqm lifestyle precinct with a bathhouse, fitness centre and resort-style pool, elevated by a concierge service.</p>

<p>Jonathan Grasso, Co-Founder of Monaco Property Group, said the council approval marks an exciting milestone for NALU, which will launch in Q1 2026.</p>

<p>“The project will now progress toward construction, working alongside our world-class collaborators to bring NALU to life," Grasso said.</p>

<p>“Our vision is to create a legacy project for the Gold Coast, one that not only honours the history of the site but also elevates its future, setting a new standard for coastal living in Australia. NALU embodies the pinnacle of design and location and will stand as an enduring icon of prestige and liveability.”</p>

<p><img alt="NALU" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="6ae8545b-87ca-4dea-90ed-ac273ec6515d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Image7.jpg?VersionId=Wnmie4bu3x2WQonnG4Pwmh39NdZVKeOV" /></p>

<p>Originally developed in the 1970s as Nobby’s Outlook and later refurbished in 2019 as Nalu, the property has long held a place in the local community’s coastal identity. The new vision will build on this legacy, creating luxury residences that capture ocean views while fostering a lifestyle defined by wellness, connection, and ease.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Beyond its residential offering, NALU will deliver significant economic benefits to the Gold Coast through job creation and opportunities for local suppliers and contractors. Construction is anticipated to commence in early 2026, with completion expected in Q3 2028.</p>


Monaco Property Group approved for $500 million NALU apartments on Miami beach

<p>The most elevated residential tower in Palm Beach, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/corallo-palm-beach-5-palm-beach-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Corallo</a>, has officially launched this week, however only a handful of buyers will have an opportunity to buy in to the 17-storey project.</p>

<p>The $200 million mixed-use project includes ground floor dining and retail and is considered so valuable its developer, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/changfa-group">Changfa Group</a>, will be staging its release of one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments and penthouses to the market.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112194 project_image_fid=806]</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/colliers">Colliers</a> International, Director, David Higgins, said the development’s location just metres from the beach on the corner of Palm Beach Avenue and the Gold Coast Highway influenced the sculptural design by the acclaimed Plus Architecture studio.</p>

<p>“<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a> locals understand the rare opportunity here at Corallo, particularly being the tallest building in the suburb and its proximity to the beach and local restaurants, and they’ve represented the bulk of pre-launch enquiries,” Higgins said.</p>

<p>“The orientation of the apartments captures views of the coastline from Surfers Paradise to Currumbin, and the diversity of floor plans and apartment types provide an exceptional level of choice.</p>

<p>“The first release includes just 59 one-, two and three-bedroom apartments and two half-floor penthouses, with flexible use designed to appeal to both owner-occupiers and investors."</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112194 project_image_fid=799]</p>

<p>In addition to the ground floor amenity, residents will also have access to a private dedicated wellness level offering 734 sqm of resort-style amenities including a pool, cold plunge, wet deck, steam room, sauna, gym, day bed, fire pit, barbecue area, dining area and yoga/stretch deck.</p>

<p>The project is located within walking distance of Tallebudgera Creek, Burleigh Heads village, Currumbin Alley and Palm Beach Currumbin High School. The Gold Coast Airport is under 10 minutes away.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112194 project_image_fid=814]</p>

<p>Higgins said Palm Beach remained a hotly contested suburb for home buyers, with prices doubling in the past five years.</p>

<p>“What makes Corallo so appealing to the local market is the diversity of apartment types and pricing, with one-bedroom apartments starting from $841,000 and two-bedroom apartments starting from $1.34 million,” he said.</p>

<p>“The ground floor retail and dining offering will further expand on Palm Beach’s village atmosphere and create a meeting place for locals, and those opportunities for connection are highly valued.”</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112194 project_image_fid=807]</p>

<p>The on-site sales display, which includes a fully fitted kitchen, bathroom and bedroom, will be open until early works commence in Q1 2026. Each residence at Corallo will feature premium finishes including natural stone, artisanal brickwork, and warm copper accents.</p>

<p>Changfa Group has a two-decade history of delivering premium developments in Australia and internationally, having recently completed its collection of premium townhomes at Lyra, Hope Island, as well as apartment projects in Leichhardt, Carlingford, and Chatswood in New South Wales.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112194]</p>


$200 million Corallo Palm Beach launches with limited apartment release

<p>In a move that aligns with NSW's accelerated planning incentives for affordable housing, developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/the-one-collection">One Collection</a> has revised its Hills District apartment plans, and taken it to the NSW Government, to secure approval.</p>

<p>The developer, which is currently delivering Horizon Hurstville, is seeking to add 80 more apartments to its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-castle-hill-16-dawes-avenue-nsw-2154">Castle Hill development</a> near Castle Towers. They already have approval for 280 apartments across eight six-storey buildings.</p>

<p><img alt="One Collection" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b3c298ba-1cc5-4db7-9872-607c75f8ceca" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-10-13%20at%2010.19.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=wN9KpFIu5ENSGZLLsaZgXQHrXcwEO3Vd" /></p>

<p>Now on the desks of the NSW Department of Planning is 360 apartments, 48 of which will be dedicated to affordable housing.&nbsp;Affordable housing is to be “fully integrated within the building and visually indistinguishable,” according to the planning submission.</p>

<p>The 15,697 sqm block, an amalgamation of 16 sites, spans across Dawes Avenue, Hughes Avenue, and Camdan Crescent, sits 550m from Hills Showground Metro Station.&nbsp;</p>

<p>"The existing context is quickly changing from free-standing homes into residential flat buildings in line with the Hills Showground Precinct planning framework," Place Studio noted.</p>

<p><img alt="Castle Hill" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3ec24948-c185-48fa-af8b-ed25adf302bf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-10-13%20at%2010.19.04%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=zNDX.IeRROX1RlDeYcS38xn8w_dqgU2t" /></p>

<p>They said the design was informed by the site's unique condition of having three street frontages and was developed to to respond sensitively to iots surrounding context.</p>

<p>"The design adopted a conventional perpendicular alignment to the primary street frontage. The massing of the development was carefully modulated to align with the evolving character of the neighbourhood. The design ensured that the scale was not excessive or out of context, but instead contributed to a cohesive urban form consistent with emerging developments in the area."</p>

<p><img alt="Castle Hill" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="f83ffdaa-f960-469d-b6fe-abcece57c9ef" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-10-13%20at%2010.19.09%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4oKlCyfaKes7jLi1_EMoqa46w2h_YvDZ" /></p>

<p>The apartment mix will be 46 one-beds, 168 two-bed apartments, and 146 three-bedroom units, with 631 parking spaces proposed.</p>

<p>Along the street frontages, the building heights are four storeys with a 7.5 metre setback, and eight storeys with an 11.5 metre setback. It should cost about $150 million to build.</p>

<p>One Collection works hand-in-hand with the respected development and construction firm Masscon, which has built a reputation for leveraging its expertise in the built environment to take on developments others can't. That's what they're achieving at Horizon Hurstville, having taken over the project to deliver it.</p>


First look: One Collection advances plans for Castle Hill apartments

<p>At Yarra’s Edge, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mirvac">Mirvac</a>’s newest tower under construction, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/trielle-at-yarra-s-edge-docklands-16-point-park-crescent-docklands-vic-3008">Trielle</a>, sets a new benchmark for elevated living. Rising 45 storeys, 12.5 metres from the Yarra River, the landmark building offers residents access to a private wellness retreat and spa, a resident-only golf simulator, and an elegant lounge, dining and bar complete with a self-playing piano, all without ever having to leave home.</p>

<p>Now, that sense of elevation has reached new heights with the Aerus Sub-Penthouses, a limited release of half-floor riverfront residences on the Collins St axis where the sought-after street meets the Yarra River.</p>

<p>Each Aerus Sub-Penthouse, located across levels 42 and 43, represents the most expansive offering within Trielle, aside from the yet-to-be-revealed crowning penthouses. Spanning between 269 and 301 sqm, these residences are designed to capture natural light and uninterrupted views of the city skyline, Yarra River, and Port Phillip Bay.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=114216 project_image_fid=3784]</p>

<p>Among the collection are three-bedroom sub penthouses, complemented by a media room, and expansive four-bedroom layouts. All include panoramic living areas and oversized master suites with luxury ensuites reminiscent of a five-star hotel, complemented by dedicated dressing rooms finished in timber and natural stone.</p>

<p>The interiors have been crafted by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mirvac-design">Mirvac Design</a>, the developer’s award-winning in-house architecture and design team. Every material has been chosen for quality and longevity, from sculpted stone island benches with feature soft wash LED lighting to bespoke joinery and chevron timber oak flooring.</p>

<p>Kitchens are fitted with a BORA induction cooktop with integrated downdraft extractor, alongside Gaggenau appliances, including a fridge, freezer, and wine fridge. The adjoining butler’s pantry incorporates the exclusive Gaggenau Minimalistic Series including oven, steam oven, microwave, coffee machine and warming drawer, all concealed behind handleless glass panels for a clean, integrated presentation. Bathrooms feature custom Apaisar freestanding baths and basins and natural stone benchtops, continuing Mirvac’s design emphasis on tactile, timeless materials.&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="Trielle at Yarra's Edge, Docklands" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c00be724-b0f1-47c0-afed-54f829870704" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Aerus%20sub-penthouse.png?VersionId=Uktd61kpLSqNjwJeDFs7IaZ3xgLlDQmu" /></p>

<p>Michael Wiener, Design Director at Mirvac, says The Aerus Sub-Penthouse embodies the apex of Mirvac’s design ethos.</p>

<p>“Moving through your home is like walking on air - a private sanctuary where the craftsmanship is refined, the proportions generous, and the flow so effortless, you feel completely at ease in the sky,” Wiener says.</p>

<p>“In Aerus, we wanted to create a sense of weightlessness - a home that feels suspended in the skyline, full of light, grounded in luxury.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=114216 project_image_fid=3777]</p>

<p>The Aerus Sub-Penthouses are expected to attract a mix of local and international buyers seeking a long-term residence of scale and quality in a riverfront setting, from returning expats to established families and business owners who value privacy, craftsmanship, and convenience within walking distance of the CBD.</p>

<p>With an unmatched suite of amenities, Trielle is the most extensively appointed development Mirvac has created to date at Yarra’s Edge. Within the tower will be The Oasis, a 900 sqm podium rooftop wellness retreat designed in collaboration with spa expert Naomi Gregory. Located seven storeys above the Yarra River promenade, it features a 25-metre lap pool, spa and sauna, hot magnesium spa, biophilic gym, yoga and Pilates studio, cold-pail contrast treatment, and day spa treatment rooms. Further amenities include a piano lounge, bookable dining room, cinema room, golf simulator studio, games room, teppanyaki bar, dog wash bay, and two flexible work hubs, The Biblioteca library and Mills Place office space, catering to residents’ evolving lifestyle needs.</p>

<p>Construction of the $350 million tower is underway through Mirvac’s in-house construction arm, with completion anticipated for mid-2027.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=114216]</p>


Sky-high sanctuaries: Mirvac unveils The Aerus sub-penthouses at Trielle

Dwelling Starts

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<div>No data release seems to create quite as much confusion as the building activity figures.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Construction work in the residential sector is always apparently either booming or crashing, depending on who you believe, or commonly it's both. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Still, where there is discord may we bring harmony, by breaking it all down into three simple parts, starting with...</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 1 - Commencements ease back</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Commencements fell again by 2.8 percent to 55,070 in the September 2016 quarter, following a 7.2 percent decline in the June quarter. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Dwelling starts fell in most states, even in New South Wales where the appetite for building is strongest, although the 'trend' figures still show NSW arcing higher. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/19/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/19/A3.jpg" alt=""><br><br></p>
<div>Following on from sharp falls in unit and apartment approvals, it's no surprise that it was declines in this sector which have led the fall in commencements, particularly in Melbourne.</div>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/19/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/19/A5.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div> </div>
<div>This in part represents nervous developers backing away from flooding the apartment markets further, as well as a failure to secure pre-sales in some cases. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 2 - Completions</span></strong></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Despite the huge boom in building work done over recent times, completions still hadn't run too high by the end of September, with 51,070 completions in the quarter, split between 27,773 houses and 22,666 units. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/19/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/19/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">The main reason for this is simply that it takes considerably longer to build a block of apartments than it does a detached house. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Despite this, apartment completions are starting to flow through in the most populous states, particularly in New South Wales and Queensland, although Victoria dropped back in the quarter as some developers reportedly moved into a "go slow" mode. </div>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/19/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/19/A4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p> </p>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Part 3 - The pipeline</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The most important thing to note from this release is that although the appetite for commencing new developments has cooled substantially, there were still more than 221,000 dwellings under construction as at the end of Q3 2016, including more than 150,000 units, townhouses, and apartments. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Although some small inroads had been made into the apartment construction pipeline, the bulk of multi-unit project completions had yet to hit the market. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/19/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/19/A1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div> </div>
<div>Given the sheer scale of the pipeline, perhaps it shouldn't be a surprise than an unprecedented number of approvals have not yet seen a shovel lifted in anger, with 42,591 approvals sitting in housing market Limboland.</div>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/19/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/19/A6.jpg" alt=""><br><br></p>
<div>Of course, there will always be some approvals waiting in this phase, yet 42,500 is just way, way above the historic norm. These are not normal times! </div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall, the market does seem to be correcting itself gradually with developers pulling back on new project commencements, and slowing the rate of completions in some cases to allow capital city population growth to play catch up.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>What the figures do show is that the full impact of the high rise boom had barely even begun to take shape by September 2016, so watch out for weakening apartment rents and and prices as 2017 rolls on. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The value of residential work done in Q3 declined, contributing to an awful negative GDP print for the quarter, and the sector is likely to become a headwind for the economy as the year progresses. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><em><span>PETE WARGENT </span>is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. </em></div>
</body></html>

pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

High rise boom has barely begun so watch out for weakening apartment rents and and prices in 2017: Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<p>Building activity data for the June 2017 quarter was published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics earlier this week. The data contains additional insight to the housing construction sector, tracking quarterly dwelling commencements, completions and counts of dwellings under construction. The data is showing a softening in commencements as approvals have slowed but still heightened levels of completions and dwellings under construction. </p>
<h3>Dwelling commencements</h3>
<p>Over the June 2017 quarter, seasonally adjusted data showed that 28,087 new houses and 24,380 new units commenced construction nationally.  The number of houses commenced was 3.3% higher over the quarter but -7.1% lower than a year earlier while unit commencements were down -0.8% over the quarter and -6.6% lower over the year.  <br> <br>Year-on-year new house commencements were lower in each state and territory, recorded at: -3.5% in NSW, -7.2% in Vic, -3.1% in Qld, -10.6% in SA, -12.2% in WA, -7.0% in Tas, -29.1% in NT and -37.9% in ACT.<br> <br>Year-on-year new unit commencements were higher in NSW (3.3%), Vic (3.2%), SA (35.0%) and Tas (153.1%) and they were lower in Qld (-30.4%), WA (-40.5%), NT (-40.9%) and ACT (-17.7%).</p>
<p>Commencements for houses picked up over the quarter but are lower across all regions over the year.  Meanwhile unit commencements are trending lower in most states and territories with notable exception of NSW, Vic and Tas.  NSW and Vic have been home to the two strongest housing markets over recent years (Sydney and Melbourne) and are seeing the largest increases in population fuelling housing demand.  Meanwhile, dwelling values in Tasmania’s largest city (Hobart) are rising at the fastest rate of any capital city while stock levels are very low so it seems a supply response is occurring.</p>
<h3>Dwelling completions</h3>
<p>Seasonally adjusted data nationally shows that over the June quarter there were 28,251 houses and 25,090 units completed nationally.  Interestingly these figures are fairly closely aligned to commencements so what was completed was effectively replaced as having started construction.  Over the quarter, new house completions were down -1.2% and new unit completions were -10.2% lower.  Year-on-year new house completions were -9.0% lower and new unit completions were down -5.2%.<br> <br>State and territory data which isn’t seasonally adjusted shows that year-on-year, new house completions rose in NSW (8.6%), Qld (18.3%) and ACT (73.3%) while completions were lower in Vic (-12.8%), SA (-3.7%), WA (-45.3%), Tas (-29.8%) and NT (-44.2%).<br> <br>New unit completions increased over the year in Vic (11.1%), Qld (13.7%) and ACT (29.6%) and were lower in NSW (-20.4%), SA (-41.6%), WA (-22.3%), Tas (-40.0%) and NT (-69.9%)</p>
<p>Completions remain at high levels however, they have eased back a little.  Given that there remains a high volume of stock under construction (as we will analyse shortly) it’s anticipated that completions are likely to remain elevated for some time.</p>
<h3>Dwellings under construction</h3>
<p>At the end of the June 2017 quarter, there were 216,242 dwellings under construction nationally.  Although the number of dwellings under construction is down from its historic high of 224,314 in September 2016, it is still at an extremely elevated level.  As a comparison, the long-term average number of dwellings under construction at the end of a quarter is 106,774 and even over the past 10 years the average has been recorded at 153,545.  In June 2017, there were 62,409 new houses and 151,510 new units under construction nationally.  Again, both are well above the long-run averages of 48,329 and 38,964 respectively.<br> <br>Looking at the data across the states, at the end of the quarter the number of new houses under construction was recorded at: 17,845 in NSW, 21,401 in Vic, 8,605 in Qld, 4,726 in SA, 7,669 in WA, 1,227 in Tas, 276 in NT and 660 in ACT.  By comparison, the long-term average number of houses under construction across the states is recorded at: 13,566 in NSW, 15,186 in Vic, 7,250 in Qld, 3,681 in SA, 7,455 in WA, 1,548 in Tas, 544 in NT and 938 in ACT.  All states and territories except for Tas, NT and ACT currently have more new houses under construction than the long-term average.<br> <br>The number of new units under construction is where there is generally a substantial deviation from the long-term average.  Across the states, at the end of the June 2017 quarter the number of new units under construction was recorded at: 64,470 in NSW, 43,240 in Vic, 27,420 in Qld, 4,230 in SA, 6,360 in WA, 391 in Tas, 495 in NT and 4,904 in ACT.  Tas is the only state or territory with fewer new units currently under construction than its long-term average which is recorded at 431.  Across the remaining states, the long term average number of new units under construction is: 17,162 in NSW, 10,854 in Vic, 7,897 in Qld, 1,955 in SA, 3,382 in WA, 445 in NT and 1,235 in ACT.  The current number of new units under construction in NSW (+276%), Vic (+298%), Qld (+247%), SA (+116%) and ACT (+297%) is well in excess of double the long-term average.</p>
<p>The volume of new housing stock under construction remains at dizzying heights, albeit not quite as high as a few quarters ago.  The surge in stock under construction is being driven by units which by nature take longer to build and deliver more stock in a single project than houses. Interestingly, the number of units under construction has slowed in Vic and Qld but continues to climb in NSW.  This is probably to do with the fact that many property purchasers in NSW can simply no longer afford houses (particularly in Sydney) so units become their only housing purchase option. </p>
<h3>Conclusion</h3>
<p>Although dwelling approvals have eased from their record high levels, over recent months they have been fairly steady.  They seem to have settled at a level which is well above long-term average levels.  While this means that commencements won’t be as strong going forward they are likely to remain high relative to historic levels.  There is a significant number of new dwellings (particularly units) under construction which means that completions are likely to remain elevated for some time. Once they do fall we would expect them to stabilise at a level well above the long-term average.  With the national population increasing rapidly, these people need to be housed so although housing construction is unlikely to remain as strong as it has been recently, we do expect that a substantial volume of housing construction is likely to continue to take place.</p>
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Pipeline of housing stock has peaked but pending supply remains well above long term average levels

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New South Wales top for dwelling starts: CommSec's Craig James

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>Consumer confidence: The Westpac/Melbourne Institute survey of consumer sentiment rose by 0.1 percent in January to 97.4. The confidence index is up 0.1 percent on a year ago.</p>
<p>Dwelling starts: Starts fell by 2.8 percent in the September quarter after falling by 7.2 percent in the June quarter. Building work done fell by 5.5 percent in the quarter to be up 1.4 percent on the year.</p>
<p>As at the September quarter, a record 218,297 homes were being built, up 12.1 per cent on a year ago.</p>
<p>In the year to September, dwelling starts were at record highs in NSW (70,326) and 79 percent above the decade average. In Queensland starts were at 21-year highs (49,939) and 36 percent above decade averages.</p>
<p>The consumer confidence figures have implications for finance providers, retailers, and companies dependent on consumer and business spending. Building &amp; building material companies are affected by dwelling starts including Boral, James Hardie, Adelaide Brighton, Brickworks, AV Jennings Limited, Devine Limited and Beacon Lighting.</p>
<p>What does it all mean?</p>
<p>The latest monthly reading on consumer sentiment suggests consumers are non-plussed about life. But the more timely Roy Morgan weekly survey suggest consumers are super chipper about the current environment. In addition the monthly consumer sentiment reading suggests that sentiment lifted by between 1.9 percent and 7.4 percent across the major capital cities, yet the overall reading only lifted by a sedate 0.1 percent. </p>
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<p>So just how are consumers faring? The outcome is likely to be somewhere in the middle. Consumers are modestly upbeat and more importantly household finances remain in good shape. Interestingly the weekly and monthly consumer sentiment readings seem to agree on one key point - the measure on whether it is a good time to purchase a major household item? Well, it seems there is no time like the present, with both readings recording a four or five-month high.</p>
<p>Looking forward, a potential dampener to sentiment is likely to be the lift in petrol prices. However the stronger Australian dollar should help to offset that in coming weeks. The ongoing strength in sharemarkets should provide a degree of support to household confidence. Interestingly the measure of whether it was a good time to buy a major household item remains upbeat despite the latest fall.</p>
<p>What do the figures show?</p>
<p>Consumer confidence</p>
<p>The Westpac/Melbourne Institute index of consumer confidence rose by 0.1 percent in January to 97.4. The confidence index is up 0.1 percent on a year ago.</p>
<p>The current conditions index fell by 0.5 percent while the expectations index rose by 0.5 percent.</p>
<p>Three of the five components of the index rose in January:</p>
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<li>The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was down by 7.6 percent; </li>
<li>The estimate of family finances over the next year was up by 0.3 percent;</li>
<li>Economic conditions over the next 12 months was up by 2.5 percent;</li>
<li>Economic conditions over the next 5 years was down by 1.4 percent;</li>
<li>The measure on whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was up by 4.9 percent.</li>
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<p>Gender &amp; demographics: Men (index reading of 102.9, up 5.2 percent) were still more optimistic than Women (99.6, up 2.8 percent). The sentiment index for young people fell by 0.6 percent to 119.3 in January. Across the other demographics: 25-44 years (index 99.3, down by 1.3 percent); 45 years plus (index 98.3, up by 9.5 percent). </p>
<p>Housing outlook: A good time to buy a dwelling? The index was down 2 percent in the month to 100.9 and was down by 10.7 percent over the year.</p>
<p>States: NSW (103.8, up by 2.7 percent); Victoria (index 103.7, up 5.7 percent); Queensland (99.6, up 3.2 percent); Western Australia (95.2, up 7.4 per cent); South Australia (92.8, up 1.9 percent).</p>
<p>Dwelling starts</p>
<p>Dwelling starts (commencements) fell by 2.8 percent in the September quarter after falling by 7.2 percent in the June quarter. House approvals fell by 1.8 per cent and apartments fell by 0.7 percent. Work started on 229,295 new dwellings over the year to September, easing further from the record high of 232,018 dwellings in the year to March.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Across Australia, starts in the September quarter fell in six states/territories: NSW (up by 5.8 percent); Victoria (down by 9.6 percent); Queensland (up by 6.3 percent); South Australia (down by 20 percent); Western Australia (down by 13.6 percent); Tasmania (down by 0.6 percent); Northern Territory (down by 7.6 percent); and the ACT (down 39.6 percent).</p>
<p>In the year to September, dwelling starts were higher than the decade average in all the states &amp; territories except for South Australia (down 1 percent), Western Australia (down 3.5 percent), Tasmania (down 15 percent) and Northern Territory (down 12.6 percent). Starts were at record highs in NSW (70,326) and 79 percent above the decade average. In Queensland starts were at 21 year highs (49,939) and 36 percent above decade averages.</p>
<p>What is the importance of the economic data?</p>
<p>Westpac and the Melbourne Institute release the Index of Consumer Sentiment each month. According to Melbourne Institute: “The survey of consumer sentiment was first undertaken in 1973 and was conducted on a quarterly basis until 1976, a six-weekly basis from 1976 to 1986, and has been conducted monthly ever since.” Confident consumers may be more inclined to spend, especially on major items.</p>
<p>The Australian Bureau of Statistics releases data on dwelling commencements (starts) each quarter. The figures provide guidance on future construction activity. If construction begins on new houses or apartments, it signifies work for building trades.</p>
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<p>What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</p>
<p><span> </span><span>There are a few headwinds for consumer confidence. No doubt the lift in oil prices and the resulting lift in petrol prices does have a direct impact on household budgets. In addition, the ongoing rebalancing of the Australian economy away from mining to housing and uncertainty about future housing supply in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane will occupy policymaker discussions in coming months. Overall the Reserve Bank is comfortably on the sidelines looking to see how the economy evolves over the early part of 2017. </span></p>
<p><span><em>Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.</em></span></p>
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