One of Brisbane's last major riverfront redevelopment opportunities has taken a significant step forward, with Lendlease selected as the Queensland Government's preferred development partner for the former Visy site in South Brisbane.

The seven-hectare industrial site, positioned between South Bank and West End and 1.3 kilometres from the Brisbane CBD, will be transformed into a mixed-use precinct expected to deliver more than 4,000 new homes alongside extensive public open space and riverfront parkland.

The project is one of the largest urban renewal opportunities currently planned in Brisbane and is expected to play a key role in accommodating the city's growing population ahead of the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games.

Plans for the precinct include a network of riverfront promenades and boardwalks, new public plazas, parkland, amphitheatre-style gathering spaces and shared pedestrian and cycling links designed to reconnect the long-isolated site with the Brisbane River.

The Queensland Government is targeting delivery of the first homes and key public spaces before the 2032 Games, allowing the precinct to begin contributing new housing and public amenity well before the broader masterplan is complete.

The redevelopment is also expected to support more than 3,000 jobs across planning, construction and ongoing operations.

For Lendlease, the appointment adds another major urban regeneration project to its Queensland portfolio. The developer has operated in the state for more than 70 years and has delivered a number of large-scale mixed-use precincts in partnership with government.

Lendlease Development CEO Claire Johnston said the project represented one of Brisbane's most significant redevelopment opportunities.

"The transformation of the former Visy site represents a rare opportunity to reimagine one of Brisbane's most significant riverfront locations, deliver thousands of much-needed homes, and create long-term legacy," Johnston said.

"In partnership with the Queensland Government, we have the opportunity to create a new riverside destination that will help shape Brisbane's growth and how people experience the city for decades to come.

"This is exactly the type of large-scale, city-shaping development that will provide lasting benefits for Queensland, bringing together housing, jobs and world-class public spaces."

Deputy Premier and Minister for State Development, Infrastructure and Planning Jarrod Bleijie said the riverfront transformation would deliver a thriving new community precinct.

“The Crisafulli Government is delivering this golden opportunity to unlock a riverfront jewel for all Queenslanders,” Deputy Premier Bleijie said.

“This is a once-in-a-generation moment to reshape a significant slice of Brisbane and deliver lasting benefits – thousands of new homes, and public spaces for all Queenslanders to enjoy well beyond the 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games – unlike Labor’s plan which would have delivered zero benefits and zero new homes.

“Queensland is well and truly open for business and through partnership with the private sector, we are accelerating delivery while ensuring strong housing, community and economic outcomes."

Early works on the precinct are expected to commence in April 2027.

Joel Robinson

Lendlease selected to deliver transformative South Brisbane riverfront precinct

Eddy Haddad's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/level-33">Level 33</a> is levelling up its approved Wollongong development, as the coastal city south of Sydney continues to prove popular in the high-density development space.

Level 33, a longtime developer in the Wollongong area, has gone through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority to upsize its approved two-tower development on the corner of Crown Street and Gladstone Avenue, just 100 metres from Wollongong Station.

The developer currently has approval for 252 apartments across two buildings rising to 19 storeys. It is now seeking approval for 33 and 38-storey towers that would deliver 467 apartments, including 67 affordable homes.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bka-architecture">BKA Architecture</a>, the development would comprise apartments above a three-level podium with around 1,100 sqm of retail space, along with basement parking for 448 vehicles.

According to the Urban Design Report by BKA, the proposal has the capacity to "reinforce the precinct's identity by strengthening links between health, education, and transport services, while also contributing to Wollongong's ongoing evolution as a key regional centre."

Wollongong is somewhat in vogue. Between Level 33 and Urban Property Group, the two developers have several thousand apartments planned across the city.

Level 33 is currently delivering Easterly Wollongong, one of its most boutique projects to date with just 21 high-end apartments, as well as Atchison &amp; Kenny, a 329-apartment development due for completion later this year.

The developer plans to redevelop the 13,088 sqm WIN Grand megasite into <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crown-square-216-238-keira-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Crown Square</a>, a new $500 million precinct with nearly 600 apartments. It also has more than 900 apartments planned for the former Bunnings Warehouse site at the intersection of Gipps and Flinders streets.

Urban Property Group is also playing a major role in the city's transformation. Its five-tower Keira Place precinct will deliver more than 800 homes, and it has recently lodged plans for a further 300 apartments near Wollongong Station.

First look: Level 33 upsizes Wollongong apartment towers

Just a week after filing plans for the final stage of its major Keira Place masterplan, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has unveiled another significant housing proposal in Wollongong, this time targeting a prominent site opposite North Wollongong Station.

The developer has lodged a State Significant Development Application for a 38-storey mixed-use tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-4a-flinders-street-north-wollongong-nsw-2500">4-4A Flinders Street</a>, around one kilometre north of the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/keira-place-wollongong-120-122-smith-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Keira Place precinct</a> currently taking shape on the edge of the CBD.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group plans 38-storey North Wollongong tower as Keira Place expansion gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2b6428f1-6405-4038-8476-897de440e90d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/flinders%20podium.png?VersionId=QLqEvK0OuCEwRC47oHNftrw2B1YqaHF8" />

Designed by Studio.SC, the proposal comprises a 38-storey mixed-use development containing 303 apartments, including 45 affordable housing units, alongside 174 co-living residences. The scheme also includes ground-floor retail space, extensive landscaping and public domain improvements.

Studio.SC noted in the proposal it "outlines a vision for a landmark transit-oriented mixed-use development centred around North Wollongong Station, designed to support the city’s future growth while responding to the NSW Government’s housing and planning reforms."

The architecture firm said the proposal responds to the opportunities and constraints shaping future growth within the 400-metre catchment of the station and represents "a coordinated and future-focused approach to urban intensification, contributing to the long-term evolution of North Wollongong as a connected, walkable and high-density station precinct."

The site occupies a strategic corner bounded by Flinders Street, Station Street, Stafford Street and the Princes Highway, directly opposite North Wollongong Station.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group plans 38-storey North Wollongong tower as Keira Place expansion gathers pace" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7863adad-1f71-4022-b850-f44b252738fd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/flinders%20podium%20a.png?VersionId=WsU7av0g8_8R2tGHWxgHeFSlhu7yeY1V" />

The proposal follows Urban Property Group's recent submission for the second and final stage of Keira Place, which would deliver a further three buildings comprising 657 homes opposite Beaton Park. It builds on the first stage, which features 150 apartments across two towers and recently commenced construction.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said breaking ground on the first stage marked a significant milestone for Wollongong and reflected the developer's long-term commitment to regional cities.

"Today's groundbreaking is about turning approvals into homes and moving quickly to deliver much-needed housing in Wollongong's city centre," Elias said.

"Keira Place will provide a diverse mix of homes close to jobs, transport and services, while setting a high benchmark for quality, durability and consumer protection."

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/urban-property-group-unveils-trio-of-towers-for-next-stage-of-new-wollongong-precinct-keira-place">Urban Property Group unveils trio of towers for next stage of new Wollongong precinct, Keira Place</a>

First look: Urban Property Group plans next major Wollongong tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/arada">Arada</a> has wasted little time expanding its ambitions in Campsie, lodging plans for a second major project in the rapidly transforming town centre just months after unveiling its three-tower One Campsie proposal on Beamish Street.

The UAE-backed developer has now taken aim at one of the suburb’s most strategically positioned sites, filing a State Significant Development Application for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/10-north-parade-campsie-nsw-2194">33-storey mixed-use tower</a> at 10 London Street and 43 North Parade, directly opposite the future Campsie Metro Station. The proposal is currently on public exhibition and represents another significant vote of confidence in Campsie's emergence as one of Sydney’s key transit-oriented growth centres.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the development would deliver 156 apartments above a podium containing retail and commercial space, creating a new residential and commercial gateway to the town centre. The scheme also includes a four-level above-ground parking podium and a dedicated residential amenity floor featuring wellness and recreation facilities. At least 10 per cent of the apartments would be allocated as affordable housing for a period of 10 years.

The proposal occupies a 1,631 sqm site bounded by London Street, North Parade and Dispensary Lane, immediately adjoining the future Metro station precinct and just metres from Beamish Street’s retail and dining strip. According to the Urban Design Report, the project seeks to deliver "a great place that prioritises human-scaled experience and provides spatial improvements to the area."

<img alt="First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="175a8324-015b-4856-abe3-ce6f23199fa7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/podium%20campsie.png?VersionId=742UGwXFhFBX4GEl6wX4PYIWREAgn6il" />

Woods Bagot describes the tower as a key marker within Campsie's next phase of growth.

"Located directly opposite the new Campsie Metro Station on North Parade, 10 London Street is a thoughtfully composed 33-storey mixed-use tower that contributes to the ongoing transformation of the town centre," the Architectural Design Report states. The report says the project is intended to provide "high-quality homes within a vibrant, connected urban environment, while helping define Campsie's future skyline."

A strong emphasis has been placed on the public realm. The ground floor incorporates over 500 sqm of retail space and active frontages along both London Street and North Parade, while the podium is wrapped by extensive landscaped planting intended to soften the building's scale and strengthen the pedestrian experience. The development would also widen surrounding footpaths and improve connections between the Metro station and the broader town centre.

Above the podium, residents would have access to more than 1,400 sqm of communal amenities, including a pool, gym and landscaped recreation spaces. A distinctive green-wall treatment extending across four podium levels forms a major architectural feature, helping differentiate the project within the emerging high-density precinct.

The tower's design is closely tied to the broader Campsie Town Centre Master Plan and the arrival of Sydney Metro. The Urban Design Report notes the proposal "directly supports the Campsie Town Centre Master Plan by delivering new homes in a location explicitly identified for growth, improved accessibility, and high-quality urban renewal." It adds that the project contributes to the master plan's vision for a strengthened town centre supported by thousands of new homes around the future Metro station.

<img alt="First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bfd17654-253e-489a-bade-6278d63db412" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/base%20campsie.png?VersionId=3roJPMQGs36dazpkhvpvbDDP73Ld.Ica" />

The application follows Arada's recently lodged One Campsie project at 124–142 Beamish Street and 16–18 Ninth Avenue, where the developer is seeking approval for 346 apartments across three towers rising 24, 32 and 39 storeys. Together, the two proposals would cement Arada as one of the most influential developers shaping Campsie's future urban form.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-arada-files-for-trio-of-apartment-towers-in-campsie-town-centre">First Look: Arada files for trio of apartment towers in Campsie town centre</a>

Arada entered the Australian market in 2024 and has rapidly assembled a significant development pipeline across Sydney. Alongside its Campsie holdings, the developer is soon to launch <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/wattle-green-2-fishburn-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Wattle Green</a> in Castle Hill, and has expanded its local operations following its acquisition of construction firm Roberts &amp; Co.

Located around 14 kilometres south-west of the Sydney CBD, the site sits at the centre of one of Sydney's fastest-changing middle-ring precincts. The Metro conversion of Campsie Station, combined with Canterbury-Bankstown Council's master planning framework, is driving significant residential intensification around Beamish Street and North Parade, with thousands of new homes expected over coming decades.

First look: Arada doubles down in Campsie with 33-storey Metro-front tower plans

For the first time in a long time, Australia's inflation story is starting to look more like a landing than a fight.

The latest Consumer Price Index figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed annual inflation eased to four per cent in May, down from 4.2 per cent in April. On the surface, that might not seem like a major move. Inflation remains above the Reserve Bank's target range and some categories continue to record stubborn price growth.

But the significance of this result lies less in where inflation sits today and more in what it means for where interest rates are likely heading next.

The biggest takeaway is that inflation continues to move in the right direction.

Markets had been bracing for another sticky result after a period where progress appeared to stall. Instead, headline inflation came in softer than expected, helped by falling fuel prices and easing transport costs. Annual transport inflation halved from 6.6 per cent in April to 3.3 per cent in May, while automotive fuel prices fell 11.9 per cent during the month following lower oil prices and the impact of reduced fuel excise measures.

While petrol prices don't solve Australia's affordability challenges, they are one of the most visible and immediate costs for consumers. Falling fuel costs feed through the economy quickly, helping ease pressure on household budgets and business operating expenses.

The ABS data also showed headline inflation is now sitting at its lowest annual level in several months, reinforcing the broader trend that price growth is gradually moderating.

That trend is important because it aligns with what many economists and lenders have been saying for the last month.

Prior to this week's inflation data, ANZ, NAB and Commonwealth Bank had all shifted their forecasts, now believing the Reserve Bank had likely reached the peak of the interest rate cycle. Following the May inflation release, ANZ reaffirmed that view.

In its latest economic update, ANZ said it expects quarterly trimmed mean inflation to come in at 3.7 per cent for the June quarter, slightly below the Reserve Bank's forecast of 3.8 per cent. Importantly, the bank said that outcome, when combined with slowing economic activity, "supports our view that the cash rate has peaked".

The Reserve Bank has spent the better part of three years attempting to bring inflation under control through higher interest rates. If Australia's major banks are correct and rates have now peaked, the conversation shifts from how much higher rates could go to when they might begin coming down.

Westpac's caution comes from underlying inflation. The trimmed mean, the measure most closely watched by the Reserve Bank, increased from 3.4 per cent to 3.6 per cent annually. Housing inflation remains elevated at 6.5 per cent, reflecting ongoing increases in rents, electricity costs and new dwelling construction.

Electricity prices remain particularly problematic, rising 21.1 per cent over the past year following the removal of government rebates.

Housing construction costs are also showing signs of renewed pressure. ANZ noted new dwelling costs rose 0.9 per cent in May and are now running at an annualised pace of 8.6 per cent over the past three months. Builders continue to face higher labour, fuel and material costs, a reminder that inflationary pressures have not completely disappeared.

Housing affordability has deteriorated largely because of higher interest rates rather than higher property prices alone. Even modest reductions in mortgage rates would improve borrowing capacity, increase buyer confidence and reduce repayment pressure on existing homeowners.

While August is far from a certainty, the latest inflation result has strengthened the view that the next move in rates is more likely to be down than up. For borrowers, buyers and the development sector, that alone represents a significant shift from the conversation that dominated much of the past two years.

The inflation result the property market was waiting for

Deloitte

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EXPERT OBSERVER
It’s clearly been a tough year for many retailers, with 47% of our survey respondents [in Deloitte's Retailers' Christmas Survey 2019] telling us they’ve experienced flat or negative sales growth over the past 12 months.
So it’s probably no surprise many are also approaching this Christmas with a little less cheer, certainly compared to last year.
Just over 60% are expecting to increase their sales this Christmas, compared to 80% in 2018, and nearly 40% are also expecting to see a decrease in seasonal margins. This is, unfortunately, the most pessimistic we’ve seen retailers since 2013.
Many have pinned their hopes on federal government tax cuts, but the latest trading data suggests consumers have chosen to keep any windfall in their pockets. Retailers are no doubt hoping they’ve been saving up for Christmas.
As always, when to discount and by how much remains a critical decision for retailers over the holiday period. Last year they told us they were intent on holding strong. But with difficult trading conditions 12 months later, this will be challenging, with 39% of retailers planning to discount before Christmas compared to 31% last year, and 30% in early December. 
And with the proliferation of sales campaigns such as next week’s Black Friday leading into December, many are concerned this could bring forward Christmas trading at discounted prices.
Getting personal
The cautious consumer has brought good old customer service back to the fore, as retailers can no longer rely on buoyant spending to drive in-store trade.
Over a quarter of respondents highlighted customer service as the most important driver of sales this Christmas, just behind digital and omni-channel offerings.
These two strategies aren’t mutually exclusive. Forming a strong digital connection with the consumer is critical to building trust in the brand, regardless of where the customer spends, and this connection to the customer flows through to loyalty. 
Over 90% of respondents consider their customer loyalty as good or strong, but brand loyalty is also hard won and easily lost. In the era of cancel culture, retailers need to understand the reasons when things go wrong, and how dealing with a poor customer experience via exceptional customer service can protect, and even enhance, brand reputation and the value this can deliver.
Looking for green shoots in 2020
There are signs of more optimism amongst retailers for their prospects in 2020.
They’re still hoping for the best, with some 72% expecting to bounce back and grow their top line. But with most not forecasting growth in excess of 5%, it still looks like another challenging year ahead.  
New products and online will remain key to growth prospects, and only 11% of retailers are expecting to grow through new store openings, down from a peak of 43% in 2017. 
Rising input costs following the depreciation of the Australian dollar are also expected to bite when it comes to margins, and respondents continue to look to the likes of property costs as levers to reduce bottom line impacts.
It’s certainly critical that within the retail ecosystem, retailers, suppliers and landlords work together, rather than against each other. 
Ultimately, uncertainty kills confidence, and global economic turbulence certainly isn’t helping. Australian retailers will be waiting for a recovery in wage and jobs growth to provide a boost where interest rates and government tax cuts fail to provide the stimulus needed.
Profit AND purpose: big room for improvement
The survey report also looks at Australian retailer views on social impact their operations.
Consumers, employees and other stakeholders are increasingly expecting companies to operate in a responsible manner, from ethical sourcing, using sustainable materials and packaging, and reducing carbon emissions to the fair treatment of employees on pay and conditions and making a meaningful contribution to communities and society more broadly.
In a real concern, 42% of respondents believe social, ethical and environmental responsibility isn’t important to their brand.
Yet in the same breath, 91% believe they enjoy good or strong customer brand loyalty. There’s a concerning perception gap here. If Australian retailers don’t quickly grasp the reality of increasing stakeholder expectations, and respond in a considered, meaningful and, importantly, authentic way, consumers may vote with their wallets, and employees with their feet.
David White is the national leader of Deloitte’s Retail, Wholesale &amp; Distribution Group.
Deloitte's Retailers' Christmas Survey 2019 survey findings include:
<ul>
<li>Only 62% of retailers expect to see higher sales this Christmas compared to last year, down from 80% last year</li>
<li>Just under 40% are expecting to see some form of Christmas period margin decrease</li>
<li>39% will be discounting pre-Christmas to help drive sales</li>
<li>Digital continues to be a standout, with 58% expecting to see growth of 10% or more in online Christmas sales</li>
<li>72% expect to see positive sales growth in calendar year 2020, down from more than 90% for 2019. </li>
</ul>
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Positive retail sentiment is down as important Christmas trading period approaches: Deloitte

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Storm clouds are gathering over Australia’s housing market as NSW and Victoria's price growth boom was borrowed from the future and they will have to pay back some of it, according to a recent Del­oitte Access Economics’ report.
Home building will likely shrink further amid “increasing evidence that gravity may soon start to catch up with stupidity in housing markets,” noted Chris Richardson of Deloitte Access Economics in its quarterly outlook.
The report, while summarising the state of the world economy and its impact on Australia, said “the jump from a China boom to a housing price boom sent the nation’s money and momentum from its north and west towards its south and east”. 
The outlook from Deloitte is the latest in a series of warnings about the risks to Australia's economy from the housing market. Earlier, Citi had said property prices could fall by as much as 7 percent as the housing boom unwinds by 2018.
The report picked NSW and Victoria as having “clay feet”, saying a house price boom borrows growth from the future, and both states will have to pay back some of that in the years ahead “as today’s housing prices gradually reconnect with reality”.
It noted that NSW benefited from the shift to lower interest and exchange rates since 2012. 
“But storm clouds are building, as the housing price boom has artificially supported retail and home building. There’ll be an eventual butcher’s bill to pay as those supports reverse,” Richardson noted.
Victoria has benefited as key cyclical drivers – exchange and interest rates – moved in a ‘Victoria- friendly’ direction in recent years. And though Victoria is experiencing its strongest population gains for many a decade but its population and housing cycles may be near their peaks, it said.
In Queensland, Cyclone Debbie and slowing housing construction are current negatives, but Debbie’s impact will be temporary and gas exports are lifting, it said.
The report warned that the “gargantuan Chinese credit surge is finally easing back”, suggesting that “the global economy won’t be doing Australia quite as many favours from 2018 onwards”. 
Amid all the grim warnings of the risks from the housing market, the report said those were the only caveats  on an otherwise solid outlook. 
“Relative to the rest of the rich world, Australia’s economic outlook may not be quite as impressive as it once was, but we are still kicking goals,” it said.
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Gravity catching up with stupidity in housing markets: Deloitte report

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Australia’s tourism sector remains a shining light for the nation’s economy, with strong growth in both international and domestic visitor numbers, according to Deloitte Access Economics’ latest Tourism and Hotel Market Outlook report.
International tourism
While strong macroeconomic tailwinds eased marginally as the Australian dollar edged up, international visitor arrivals continued to grow at record pace, after accelerating over 2016.
The growth Australia is experiencing is the fastest in a generation and is seeing it outpace both global performance and travel across the Asia Pacific.
In fact, international visitation to Australia is growing at nearly three times the rate of global travel.
As Deloitte Access Economics’ Bryon Merzeo observes: “Against any reference point, the performance of the Australian tourism industry is remarkable – the fastest growth and faster than our global competitors are achieving.”
“What is especially encouraging about the growth we’re witnessing in international travel is its broad-based nature.
Although emerging Asia continued to underwrite much of Australian tourism’s strength, Asian travellers only accounted for 50 percent growth in visitor arrivals in 2016, compared to 70% the year prior.”
While markets such as China, India, South Korea and Vietnam continued their double digit growth, many of Australia’s oldest legacy markets also performed strongly, with Japan defying a sluggish local economy to post growth of 23 percent and the US shaking off economic and political uncertainty to record arrivals growth of 18 percent.
Domestic tourism
On the domestic front, the good news continues, with leisure travel sustaining its momentum to grow by 8.2 percent over the year to September.  
As Merzeo notes: “Our report confirms that, for the sixth consecutive year, more Australians are travelling at home, and they’re travelling to Australia’s leisure favourites.
Successful promotional campaigns on food, wine and coastal tourism have contributed to a 6 percent increase in domestic guests at Cairns and Hobart airports, and double digit visitor night growth for both Western Australia and Southern Australia.”
Domestic corporate travel growth, however, slowed considerably to 2.3 percent as the weaker economic performance observed over the latter part of 2016 weighed on business travel, although the strength of the domestic leisure segment was sufficient to keep overall domestic travel growth at above trend.
Hotel performance
Despite the sustained strength of Australia’s tourism sector, performance of the hotel sector was restrained over the latter half of last year.
A significant contributor to this was growth in supply. At around 4,900 new rooms, the nationwide additional supply in 2016 was almost double the 15 year average.
However, performance was also affected by variable demand side conditions.
Merzeo explains: “The weaker demand observed across many markets partly reflects the softening of corporate travel, which accounts for one in three capital city hotel nights on average and considerably more for some individual properties.
However, it also suggests that leisure travellers are increasingly looking beyond traditional options for their holiday accommodation.
“They are clearly enjoying the choice and variety of accommodation offered by the likes of Airbnb.
Leisure travellers’ use of non-traditional accommodation increased by 11.5 percent in 2016, contributing to 8.7 percent growth in use of this form of accommodation overall.
Despite this, it was Australia’s leisure destinations leading the way in terms of hotel market performance:
Tasmania tourism continues to go from strength to strength, with Hobart overtaking Perth to assume third place in the occupancy rankings
Gold Coast and Tropical North Queensland maintained strong hotel performance growth over the second half of 2016
The mantle of the nation’s highest occupancies remained with Sydney (89 percent) and Melbourne (88 percent), while strong supply growth weighed on performance in Perth and Brisbane.
Tourism outlook
Merzeo said: “The outlook for the chief macroeconomic drivers of travel and tourism remains conducive to the super growth sector continuing to re-write the record books.
“Despite increased global political uncertainty, the economic growth prospects across key source markets remain sound.”
Deloitte Access Economics forecasts international visitor trips to grow by 6.3 percent p.a. and visitor nights by 6.2 percent p.a. on average over the next three years – a marginally stronger outlook.
The growth will be led by India at 13 percent, closely followed by Indonesia and China at 10 percent.
“On current forecasts, we expect by 2020 that the value of inbound tourism from China will exceed the entire inbound international tourism market as it stood in 2000,” Merzeo said.
For domestic tourism, the story remains one of resurgent leisure travel, coupled with a transitioning economy and a corporate travel profile slowly re-orientating to the nation’s south-east.
With economic conditions expected to strengthen over the next two years, this points to a solid outlook for domestic travel with domestic trips forecast to grow by 3.3% p.a. and visitor nights to grow by 3.2% p.a. on average over the next three years.
Hotel outlook
A number of demand-side factors, including shifting corporate travel trends, historically high international arrivals growth and the increasing use of non-traditional accommodation options, are bearing heavily on the outlook for hotel markets.
However, the single biggest influence on the performance outlook is supply.
Merzeo said: “After years of record occupancies and rising room rates, investors and developers have finally responded.
The sizeable development pipeline which has emerged in Perth and Brisbane and which saw large additions to inventories in 2016 is being replicated in markets such as Sydney, Hobart and Melbourne, albeit to a lesser degree.”
Over the next two years, another 12,800 rooms are expected to come online, resulting in the nation’s hotel supply growing 2.5 times faster than its long term average rate.
In aggregate, Australian stocks are expected to expand by 122 properties and 15,800 rooms to December 2019.
The total pipeline of tourism-related investment stands at $29 billion, up from $17 billion three years ago.
Two-thirds of the investment pipeline is accommodation.
As Merzeo notes: “Yes, demand growth will still outpace growth in supply nationally.
But the gap between the two has narrowed markedly over recent years and the number of markets where supply growth is outpacing demand has increased.”
Room rates are expected to grow at an average of 2.5 percent p.a. for the next three years to $170 per night, chasing the 10 year historical average growth rate of 2.6%, while revenue per available room (RevPAR) is expected to grow by 3.1% to a national average of $123 by 2019.
Markets enjoying recent buoyant performance such as Hobart, Melbourne and, to an extent, Adelaide, have now established a solid pipeline of hotel developments, which will alter the demand/supply dynamics over the medium term.
“In a clear demonstration of the economics of hotel development at work, investors have clearly responded to the commercial opportunities in these markets,” says Merzeo.
Perth and Brisbane hoteliers will continue to feel the double-pinch of increased competition from new entrants, along with moderate demand growth compared to the mining boom peaks of five years ago.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Tourism growth a shining light as hotel development pipeline finally responds to record occupancies

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The home specialty storage retailer Howards Storage World has appointed Deloitte as voluntary administrators, with the view of selling the popular business.
With the company pledging to keep trading, the business has 59 stores across Australia, 29 of which are in the hands of Deloitte partners Vaughan Strawbridge and David Lombe.
The company has a loyalty program with 600,000 members.
The Australian reported company’s 2012 accounts were the last filed with the corporate regulator ASIC showing a then breach of foreign funds financial covenants though making a $396,401 profit. There was $39 million annual revenue.
The company started as Stack and Store in Northbridge in the early 1970s.
It moved into franchising in the late 1990s.
The Australian Financial Review advised its co-founders were Leslie and Edda Howard who formed a partnership with Dirk Spence in 1997.
According to documents filed with the corporate regulator Dirk Spence and Pauline Donald are directors.
Leslie Howard stepped down as a director in September.
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