<p>Brisbane-based builder-developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/bpg-developments">BPG Developments</a> has secured approval for its $250 million Newstead apartment tower.</p>

<p>The building, at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/16-22-maud-street-newstead-qld-4006">16-22 Maud Street</a>, will have 103 apartments across the 15-level building which will be crowned with a rooftop wellness facilities.</p>

<p>Residents will range from expansive two-bedroom residences, through to several penthouses on level 15. There will be 1,380 sqm&nbsp;dedicated to wellness-inspired amenities including shaded outdoor dining nooks, a fire pit, barbecue area, sunset lounge, gym, yoga deck, magnesium lap pool, sun deck, a sauna, steam room, and cold plunge pool.</p>

<p>BPG put together the 2,430 sqm super-site combines three separate titles – a vacant warehouse, an electrical &nbsp;wholesaler and an industrial shed, which were acquired in two separate transactions over a 12 month period. &nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="BPG Developments secures development approval for $250 million Newstead project" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d007d4fb-9c44-4e54-b79e-50b68711ebbd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Final%2012_Podium%20Plaza%20View_r.jpg?VersionId=w6zql5hPjAp3j1..ZTCaYLzN65Ora8Z2" /></p>

<p>BPG was founded by industry veterans Nick Parr and Glen Williams. Parr said the project feels like a "coming home of sorts" for the pair, as they've both spent&nbsp;both spent the majority of their lives living in Brisbane's inner north. &nbsp;</p>

<p>“I lived just up the road in Teneriffe for most of my childhood," Parr said.</p>

<p>"We saw this site as an opportunity to deliver a timeless project in arguably Brisbane’s most popular suburb, where &nbsp;the standard for luxury design and amenities is incredibly high."</p>

<p>Parr believes Brisbane is in a bit of a "sweet spot" currently, in that&nbsp;construction prices have stabilised and demand has continued to climb which means the market is tightening up.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“The Brisbane market is unique in that there is no shortage of sites with existing development approvals, the issue is around the availability of builders who can deliver such projects. We are one of the few builder-developers who can build our own projects at scale &nbsp;so we are able to move quickly into delivery mode which gives confidence to our purchasers.” &nbsp;</p>

<p>Williams said they are proud of the project both&nbsp;in the sense of the significance of the site, but also in the quality and timelessness of the design. &nbsp;</p>

<p>“At BPG Projects we are conscious to prioritise quality over volume, so we tend to &nbsp;approach one project at a time," Williams said.</p>

<p>“For us we are motivated by creating a lasting legacy in our projects, so working with Plus &nbsp;Architecture to realise this vision has been a rewarding journey.” &nbsp;</p>

<p>BPG has appointed MOTIV to handle the sales and marketing of the new tower, which is expected to launch early next year. MOTIV Founder Carly Cottam said the project epitomises everything Newstead is about.</p>

<p>"Newstead is a huge success story in the revitalisation of Brisbane, and as a result it’s now one of the most popular inner suburbs, characterised by its exceptional urban design and wellness-driven lifestyle," Cottam said.</p>

<p>“We know this market values flexibility in floorplates, abundant storage and really liveable &nbsp;kitchens and interiors. That’s why designing an entire building around the owner occupier market with 100 &nbsp;percent of the floorplates representing two or three-bedroom residences mean this project is primed to appeal to the right audience.” &nbsp;</p>

<p>BPG completed Sable Palm Beach on the Gold Coast in 2019, and has plans for more developments in the suburb, as part of their $500 million development pipeline.</p>


Joel Robinson

BPG Developments secures development approval for $250 million Newstead project

<p>With three projects currently in market in Elizabeth Bay and Mosman, two of which are under construction and completing next year, apartment developer Toohey Miller is expanding its new development pipeline across Sydney.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/toohey-miller">Toohey Miller</a>, led by Nick Couloumbis, has filed plans for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/oxford160-160-oxford-street-paddington-nsw-2021">Oxford160</a>, 44 new apartments across a nine-storey building on Oxford Street in Paddington. It will have 12 apartment designated as affordable housing as per the Housing SEPP 2021 mid-rise reforms which trigger increased height limits, and street-level retail spaces.</p>

<p>The vision for the project is to create a "welcoming and family-friendly place to live with a mix of quality and affordable homes to support the Paddington community at different life stages."</p>

<p>Designs prepared by Smart Design Studio outline a contemporary, articulated streetwall along Oxford Street, stepping back at the upper levels to mitigate bulk and improve visual integration with the local character. A new laneway will improve pedestrian connectivity to Shadforth Street, while communal open spaces are integrated at both ground and rooftop levels.</p>

<p><img alt="Oxford160" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0d6e77ed-8c25-4c52-a82d-dd076c66c777" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-01%20at%209.52.46%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=hjYcxIWIDOn7JWeom6RzIz7MWc1VG6HF" /></p>

<p>According to the Urban Design Supporting Letter prepared by architect and urban designer Matthew Pullinger, the new scheme “represents a contextually sensitive, responsive and high quality renewal of the site and the broader urban landscape”.</p>

<p>Pullinger said there are a range of benefits to the project, namely its contribution to the renewal of "this part of Oxford Street as a distinctive higher density urban high street and a defining element of greater Sydney’s urban character, thereby enhancing the vitality and liveability of this important street."</p>

<p>The new building will replace&nbsp;a dated 1960s-era apartment block which has 27 studio apartments.&nbsp;Design documents note that the current structure detracts from the character of Oxford Street, with the proposal seeking to restore and enhance the continuity of active shopfronts along the northern edge of the street.</p>

<p>The last project to launch on Oxford Street sold out immediately. It was fashion legend Robby Ingham's The Cambrian, which sold all of its 15 apartments in the first five hours of its weekend launch in 2023 through Ben Stewart.</p>


Toohey Miller plans rare new apartment development on Oxford Street, Paddington 

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/geocon-group">Geocon</a>&nbsp;is advancing its plans for its new&nbsp;mixed-use precinct in Braddon, updated the designs for the prominent site at the intersection of Northbourne and Wakefield Avenues.</p>

<p>The Canberra-based developer is proposing 558 apartments and seven commercial tenancies across four buildings under a staged application first lodged in 2023. The project also includes four levels of basement parking, communal spaces, pedestrian links, and landscaping enhancements.</p>

<p>While the development’s scale remains consistent, the current amendment introduces extensive changes to apartment layouts, building envelopes, façade articulation, and basement design.</p>

<p>According to the Design Statement by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a>, these adjustments were driven by two core objectives: “enhancing apartment and common area amenity” and “ensuring acknowledgement of the housing design guidelines, entity advice, and planning expectations, while retaining the integrity of the original architectural concept”.</p>

<p><img alt="Northbourne and Wakefield Avenues" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="066194ad-d73f-49b7-8e39-09e20690a7ac" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/pers%202.png?VersionId=I7eLnim8erdwd2Yu1N5sIcLSndeOK_TC" /></p>

<p>The revised apartment mix has been rebalanced to increase diversity and affordability, including a broader range of unit sizes and a higher proportion of three-bedroom dwellings. The updated design also removes problematic layouts, such as “snorkel” bedrooms and internalised studies, to improve liveability and natural light access.</p>

<p>Cox Architecture noted that “studios and smaller one-beds provide entry-level housing and broaden affordability,” while the number of family-sized three-bed apartments has been increased “in direct response to market demand and policy objectives”.</p>

<p>The circulation spaces within the towers have been redesigned to improve wayfinding and daylight penetration, while the ground floor layout has been reworked to create clearer and more visible entry points, particularly from Northbourne Avenue.</p>

<p>Refinements to the building’s massing and façades have also been introduced in response to planning feedback, with additional breaks and articulation to reduce perceived bulk. “Rooftop plant and lift overruns have been integrated and screened, resolving visibility concerns,” COX stated.</p>

<p>Basement levels have been consolidated and made more efficient, with improvements to bike and storage facilities.</p>

<p><img alt="Northbourne and Wakefield Avenues" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a1ab9357-707d-46fd-95d7-d6e09c70f20b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/pers%203.png?VersionId=crDXvrmDsGqFGcb_p6NSUlsr0vYsRacq" /></p>

<p>The precinct’s pedestrian connections have been clarified, and the public realm has been restructured to improve permeability and align with the broader Northbourne corridor urban design framework. Landscaping updates include increased deep soil zones and rooftop communal areas, with tree management to be addressed separately.</p>

<p>Geocon acquired the 10,633 sqm site earlier in 2023 following approval of a prior build-to-rent scheme by Evri Group. The existing nine-storey commercial building was demolished in 2022.</p>

<p>The current proposal, designed by Cox Architecture, is positioned as a key contributor to the ACT Government’s urban renewal vision for Northbourne Avenue, an established transport and development spine served by light rail and major arterial roads.</p>


First look: Geocon refines plans for four-tower precinct on Braddon's Northbourne Avenue

<p>The booming Bilinga beachfront is set for another luxury apartment development, with plans filed for KYRR, an 11-level block on the dress circle Pacific Parade.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kyrr-70-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">KYRR</a>, on the corner of Pacific Parade and Archer Street, will comprise 24 apartment on its prime 1,009 sqm site. There had previously been plans for a much more boutique seven-storey, five-unit scheme.</p>

<p>Plans have been pitched by CHM Living, an entity associated with James Quinert, the founder of Norwood Constructions which is based in Melbourne.</p>

<p><img alt="70 Pacific Parade and 1 Archer Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2f6159ee-3511-4b16-b9fa-ae8c008b8faf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_5.png?VersionId=4n2YaBQdjXcshUAkxX8ei9X5N0v2AWqB" /></p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/byculprit">ByCulprit Architects</a>, the project includes a sculptural façade with soft curves and natural finishes, inspired by the rhythm and calm of the nearby Pacific Ocean.</p>

<p>According to the Town Planning Report by Town Planning Alliance, the project aspires to reflect the intent of the Medium Density Residential zone, aiming to "contribute to the city’s iconic skyline along the coastal spine" with a high degree of architectural modulation and landscaping that softens the built form.</p>

<p>There will be 22 large-scale three-bedroom apartments and two five-bedroom penthouses. The wellness amenities, including a gym, steam room, sauna, pool, golf simulator, and cold plunge, will sit on level one.</p>

<p>Kyrr will follow in the footsteps of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/pipis-bilinga-303-golden-four-drive-bilinga-qld-4225">PIPIS</a> in Bilinga by SIERA, which is all but sold out with just one of its luxury 19 apartments left to sell. The building set suburb records, with the penthouses both selling for over $8 million. Down the road is Bilinga House, which has a wider mix of configurations and price points starting from just over $1.2 million.</p>


First look: Bilinga beachfront set for new luxury apartment development, KYRR

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/coronation-property">Coronation Property</a> has received development approval for Archer &amp; Albert, a 32-storey, mixed-use residential development in the heart of Chatswood.</p>

<p>Located at 57–61 Archer Street and 34 Albert Avenue, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/archer-albert-chatswood-57-61-archer-street-chatswood-nsw-2067">Archer &amp; Albert</a> will deliver 150 new homes, including affordable housing, alongside ground-floor and podium retail, commercial space, a heritage house activated as a café, additional ground-level activation, and a landscaped publicly accessible park designed for community use.&nbsp;</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/archer-albert-chatswood-57-61-archer-street-chatswood-nsw-2067">Archer &amp; Albert</a> is one of the few large-scale residential developments in the heart of Chatswood City to progress through a council-led architectural design competition and secure development approval, positioning it at the forefront of design led housing.&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="Archer" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="33cb754a-1493-4203-bd16-096d320597f6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A%2BA_C03_EXT_StreetScape_ID1.jpg?VersionId=oLUPFVAMxuRUTH1Bwki16R48cEo.vLeB" /></p>

<p>Designed by global architecture practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, long-term collaborators of the Coronation team, the project draws inspiration from the Sydney Blue Gum High Forest and the leafy character of the South Chatswood Heritage Conservation Area. The design integrates a restored heritage-listed home and establishes a landscaped connection between Chatswood’s urban centre and its surrounding residential neighbourhoods.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“This is an important project for us and our first entry into the North Shore,” said Joe Nahas, Managing Director of &nbsp;Coronation Property.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“We are deliberate about where we invest and build, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/chatswood-nsw-2067">Chatswood</a> stands out because the fundamentals are already strong. Transport, employment, education, retail and health are all in place. Archer &amp; Albert is about adding new housing into a centre that already works and building on what exists.”&nbsp;</p>

<p><img alt="Chatswood" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="620fcd78-00be-489b-823a-ca353387b91b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A%2BA_C04_EXT_PARK_HA_ID2.jpg?VersionId=NxSl04Zl1rzt94xlXNA6CNzSR9XMyLgP" /></p>

<p>Aras Labutis, Head of Urban Transformation at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/coronation-property">Coronation Property</a>, said the project reflects a disciplined, collaborative approach to city shaping.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Chatswood sits at an important junction between high-density commercial activity and established residential &nbsp;neighbourhoods," Labutis said.</p>

<p>"Our focus for Archer &amp; Albert was to manage that transition carefully, respecting what’s already there &nbsp;while contributing something new that feels deliberate and enduring."</p>

<p>The approved scheme delivers:&nbsp;</p>

<ul>
	<li>A 32-storey mixed-use tower comprising 150 homes, including 41 affordable housing dwellings • 530sqm of ground-floor retail, dining and commercial offerings&nbsp;</li>
	<li>A 760sqm wellness tenancy integrated within the podium&nbsp;</li>
	<li>A restored heritage building, thoughtfully reimagined as a café overlooking the park&nbsp;</li>
	<li>A landscaped public park, designed as a calm green retreat in the heart of Chatswood&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Resident amenities include a premium gym, golf simulator, mahjong room, dedicated wellness areas, private &nbsp;dining facilities and a curated wine room&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Deep private balconies designed to capture outlooks and northern light&nbsp;</li>
	<li>A refined material palette of natural stone, timber and terracotta&nbsp;</li>
</ul>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=29796]</p>


Coronation receives green light for Archer & Albert apartments in Chatswood

Business Confidence

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<div>Consumer confidence rose +1.2 per cent last week to 93.5, according to ANZ-Roy Morgan, a 13-week high.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, confidence levels remain well below the monthly average since 1990 of 112.6, and even still a reading of 93.5 is equivalent to what Australia experienced through the financial crisis. </div>
<div> </div>
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<div><em>Source: ANZ-Roy Morgan</em></div>
<div> </div>
<div>On March 29 the COVID shock saw consumer confidence reading hit the lowest level in half a century at 65.3, but it has since rebounded by 43 per cent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Curiously confidence levels in Melbourne have picked up this week to a level 'a touch below neutral' -  possibly on optimism of restrictions being eased - and confidence levels in Melbourne are now higher than in Sydney. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong>RBA update</strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The RBA put out some state level payroll jobs figures this week which showed that jobs have been steadily picking up elsewhere, but not in Victoria. </div>
<div> </div>
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<p>However, the payrolls recovery has stalled this week, and indeed it cannot really take hold until the Victorian economy sees restrictions broadly eased. </p>
<div>Separate analysis from UBS highlighted how small businesses have disproportionately felt the pain this year, and this is reflected in hiring figures relative to large businesses. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This has raised the prospect of a potential further reduction of interest rates, as discussed today by the RBA’s Guy Debelle.</div>
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<div> </div>
<div>The RBA has now expanded its balance sheet significantly, almost doubling from from $170 billion in February to $300 billion, through its various policy measures. with a further 'decently large' expansion to come. </div>
<div> </div>
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<div> </div>
<div>In the money markets swap rates are now at record lows. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-AKO7Q4wvkD8/X2pXNbrruuI/AAAAAAAA4bQ/IAE0kGoX9707mn1loIZ6287W93v30zTawCNcBGAsYHQ/s733/MMR.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-AKO7Q4wvkD8/X2pXNbrruuI/AAAAAAAA4bQ/IAE0kGoX9707mn1loIZ6287W93v30zTawCNcBGAsYHQ/w640-h506/MMR.jpg" width="640" height="506" data-original-height="580" data-original-width="733"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Banks are now allowing their offshore funding to roll off, which has reduced the share of offshore bonds funding, and this has been replaced by take-up of the cheaper Term Funding Facility (TFF). </div>
<div> </div>
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<div> </div>
<div>It's interesting to note that the Chinese economy has come surging back from its 10 per cent decline in the March 2020 quarter, to the extent that its output is now greater than it was at the end of 2019, as targeted stimulus measures have successfully bolstered production.</div>
<div> </div>
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<div> </div>
<div>Australia has gone down a different route, focusing instead on income support, to the extent that household income actually <em>increased</em> over the previous quarter, which is a very unusual outcome for a recession.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>This was driven by a range of factors including lower interest rates, super withdrawals, mortgage and rent deferrals, and all of the various government stimulus measures (including JobKeeper payments, and JobSeeker). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>No wonder them Harvey Norman shares have come roaring back! </div>
<p><strong>PETE WARGENT</strong><em><span> </span>is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers and a best-selling author and blogger </em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Consumer confidence hits three month high: Pete Wargent

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<p><span>The 2019 March quarter ANZ-</span><span>Property Council survey shows that confidence in Australia’s housing </span><span>sector has fallen further than in 2018 and is now at its lowest level since the survey commenced in 2011.</span></p>
<p>It is not surprising given that many indicators are around their worst levels in many years.</p>
<p>"Housing prices, credit, auction results, days on market and vendor discounts are all weak," the report noted adding there is little sign of improvement.</p>
<p>"The ANZ-Property Council survey is consistent with these other indicators and suggests we are set for an extended period of weakness in the housing sector," it noted.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/10/ANZ-Prop%20Counc%20G1.JPG" alt=""></p>
</div>
</div>
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</div>
<p>NSW's property industry confidence has dropped to one of the lowest in the nation, according to the latest ANZ/Property Council Survey.</p>
<p>The largest decline in confidence came in Queensland.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a></p>
<p>Property Council NSW Executive Director Jane Fitzgerald said sentiment is down.</p>
<p>"With a state and federal election just around the corner, I don’t think we will see it rebound in the short term despite stronger results in some sectors," she said.</p>
<p>“The industry is facing a lot of uncertainty and change, particularly over the past twelve months.</p>
<p>"We have seen the introduction of Special Infrastructure Contributions, increasing 7.11 levies, the changing of key policies such as the Medium Density Housing Code, the updating of Local Environmental Plans, and the review of approaches to planning in areas such as Ryde – that’s a lot of change for an industry."</p>
<p>“With a flat residential market, there is a real risk that this moving feast of policy changes will have a detrimental effect on economic growth and jobs. The 400,000 people who work in the property industry in NSW rely on a healthy industry for their economic wellbeing," she concluded.</p>
<p>David Plank, the ANZ Head of Australian Economics, said the survey gives a softer reading on the health of Australia’s property sector.</p>
<p>"Survey respondents report that the availability of finance will worsen further over the coming year, which is a central feature of our housing outlook.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/1/10/ANZ-Prop%20Counc%20G2.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p>"In turn, respondents also expect housing prices and construction activity will continue to ease.</p>
<p>"We think prices will fall through to 2020, and expect to see declines <a href="/expert-insights/buying/anz-revise-forecast-upwards-to-20-percent-house-price-declines-in-sydney-and-melbourne">around 15–20% peak to trough</a> for Sydney and Melbourne.</p>
<p>"We also think the decline in housing construction will accelerate through 2019 and 2020, as the current backlog of work is gradually completed.</p>
<p>"The survey also suggests that firms expect the next interest rate movement to be higher, though the conviction in this expectation has dropped from the last survey.</p>
<p>"With risks around global trade tension and questions over the sustainability of domestic household spending, we think any RBA move is still some time off.</p>
<p>"Overall, though, the forward work schedule is solid and employment intentions are holding up.</p>
<p>"But clearly sentiment in the property sector is being challenged by a number of significant headwinds.," Plank said.</p>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Little sign of optimism in the residential sector as confidence falls to lowest levels: ANZ/Property Council

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<p>Business confidence in the WA property sector has climbed to its highest level since 2014, according to the ANZ/Property Council Survey for the June quarter 2017, which revealed a 20-percentage point increase in the confidence index.</p>
<p>“These results point to an economic turnaround in WA led by proposed investments by non-mining businesses,” Property Council WA Executive Director Lino Iacomella said.</p>
<p>“The improvement in industry confidence is due to expectations that improved national economic growth will flow to WA, and a lift in forward work schedules and staffing numbers. </p>
<p>A raft of major projects is proposed in WA, including shopping centre expansions, hotels and new infrastructure such as the Forrestfield-Airport Link.</p>
<p>The retail and retirement living sectors continue to lead the way with continued growth expectations.</p>
<p>Other sectors in the property industry are continuing to show declining growth expectations, however the outlook has improved with house price growth expectations close to stabilising. </p>
<p>The property industry is looking forward to working with the new McGowan state Government to progress economic reforms, fast-track infrastructure planning and cut red-tape to ensure the major construction projects proposed for WA get off the ground,” Mr Iacomella said.</p>
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Confidence returning to WA property industry

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>The December NAB business survey showed business confidence remaining reasonable at +6 and businessconditions improving significantly to a strong reading of +11.</p>
<p>The bounce in conditions reflected strength in trading, profits and new orders.</p>
<p>Business continues to remain more confident than are consumers, but the rebound in business conditions adds to confidence that the September quarter downturn in GDP reversed in the December quarter.</p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/01/image006.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/01/image006.png" alt=""></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal">Source: Westpac, NAB, AMP Capital</p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal">Meanwhile, private credit rose a stronger than expected +0.7 percent <span id="0.6023802033159882" class="highlight">in</span> December or 5.6 percent year on year. </p>
<p class="x_MsoListParagraph">The <span id="0.19327247748151422" class="highlight">bounce</span> <span id="0.08058031392283738" class="highlight">in</span> credit growth from +0.5 percent mom <span id="0.4836013962049037" class="highlight">in</span> November was driven by stronger <span id="0.4131828281097114" class="highlight">lending</span> <span id="0.2442040389869362" class="highlight">to</span> <span id="0.799539064290002" class="highlight">business</span>es, which is potentially a good sign. </p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal">While housing credit growth was unchanged at 0.5 percent/mom or 6.3 percent/yoy <span id="0.3568573796655983" class="highlight">in</span> December, what is concerning is a continued deceleration <span id="0.41784490551799536" class="highlight">in</span> owner occupier housing credit (<span id="0.5229188892990351" class="highlight">to</span> +0.4 percent/mom) relative <span id="0.9022720851935446" class="highlight">to</span> <span id="0.7141850041225553" class="highlight">in</span>vestor credit (which rose +0.8 percent/mom). Over the last three months <span id="0.3730766784865409" class="highlight">in</span>vestor housing credit rose at an annual rate of 9 percent <span id="0.8393944983836263" class="highlight">and</span> is now rapidly approaching APRA’s 10 percent threshold.</p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal">It is <span id="0.8709192702081054" class="highlight">in</span>creasingly clear that the dampening impact of APRA’s 2015 macro prudential tightening has worn off <span id="0.09559610136784613" class="highlight">to</span> a significant degree. With household <span id="0.3539372014347464" class="highlight">in</span>come growth <span id="0.7710073834750801" class="highlight">in</span> the economy running well below 10% yoy <span id="0.07574582751840353" class="highlight">and</span>the Sydney <span id="0.6721861795522273" class="highlight">and</span> Melbourne <span id="0.8575597342569381" class="highlight">property</span> markets <span id="0.7601068657822907" class="highlight">continuing</span> <span id="0.8739038927014917" class="highlight">to</span> run <span id="0.9272325034253299" class="highlight">to</span>o hot <span id="0.6534713262226433" class="highlight">in</span> the face of ultra-low <span id="0.46389276324771345" class="highlight">in</span>terest rates there remains a case for APRA <span id="0.7982982180546969" class="highlight">to</span> further lower the 10 percent growth threshold for <span id="0.04621078143827617" class="highlight">property</span> <span id="0.7070795088075101" class="highlight">in</span>vestor credit.</p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/01/image009.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/01/image009.png" alt=""></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"><em><span><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author" target="_blank">SHANE OLIVER</a></span> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home" target="_blank">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.</em></p>
<p class="x_MsoNormal"> </p>
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