2020 Forecast

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<h2>EXPERT OBSERVER</h2>

Capital city housing markets have surged towards years-end with robust buyer and seller activity clearing any doubts of a sustained post coronavirus shutdown recovery. Housing markets have rebounded quickly following the easing of local coronavirus restrictions with the clear prospect of the current generally strong market conditions continuing through 2021.

AUCTION MARKETS

Average weekend home auction clearance rates continued to rise over November In Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane with boom-time results maintained In Adelaide and Canberra The Melbourne auction market clearly reported the sharpest monthly increase In clearance rates and auction listings over the month, reflecting the impact of the easing of local coronavirus restrictions. Auction numbers also Increased significantly in each capital over the month. Clearance rates and auction numbers over November were generally similar to those recorded over the same period In 2019, although Melbourne listings remained significantly lower.

NEWLY REPORTED LISTINGS

Real-time Indicators of housing market activity supported November’s generally strong auction market performances The National Daily New Listings Index peaked at 110.35 over November before the seasonal constraints and distractions of the upcoming summer holiday period produced the unusual end-of-year decline in activity - particularly in auction listings. New listings however remained higher than reported over the same period last year. New listings fell in all capitals over the month reflecting the usual seasonal impact of the approaching end of year market shut down. Decline levels were reasonably consistent amongst the capitals. Melbourne again reported the highest number of new listings over the month - 8.8% higher than the Sydney total.

NEWLY REPORTED SALES

Newly reported home sales continued to rise over November in all capitals except Adelaide, with rebounding Melbourne market again the standout - Increasing sharply by 70% over the month. Although Sydney again reported the highest number of average weekly newly reported sales over the month, Melbourne has closed the gap significantly compared to the previous month and now lower over November by just 16.2%.

HOUSE AND UNIT ASKING PRICES

Sydney reported the highest Increase In average median daily asking prices for houses over November - up sharply by 3.5%. Sydney maintained Its most expensive position with the highest average median asking price over November at $1,154,216 and significantly ahead of the next highest Melbourne at $847,569.

Dr Andrew Wilson is the Chief Economist at Archistar
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Capital city housing markets have surged towards years-end with robust buyer and seller activity clearing any doubts of a sustained post coronavirus shutdown recovery.

2020 Forecast

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