<p>Construction has commenced&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kew-palm-house-bellevue-hill-88-birriga-road-bellevue-hill-nsw-2023">Kew Palm House</a>, marking a significant milestone for the boutique Bellevue Hill apartment project on one of the suburb's best streets.</p>

<p>Developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/kew">KEW</a> recently hosted the traditional ground-breaking ceremony, joined by key project partners, officially turning the soil on what will become one of Bellevue Hill's most impressive new developments in one of&nbsp;Sydney’s most tightly held residential markets.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=133966 project_image_fid=352214]</p>

<p>Set across two low-rise buildings on the dress circle Birriga Road, Kew Palm House will deliver a mix of 16 two-, three-, and four-bedroom residences, including whole-floor homes and penthouses, responding to sustained demand from downsizers and owner-occupiers seeking high-quality apartment living without leaving the suburb.</p>

<p>The project occupies an amalgamated 3,000 sqm site bordering the Royal Sydney Golf Club, a rarity for new apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/bellevue-hill-nsw-2023">Bellevue Hill</a>.</p>

<p>Architecture by Woods Bagot takes a townhome-inspired approach, with finely detailed façades and layered massing designed to sit comfortably within the established streetscape.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=133966 project_image_fid=352216]</p>

<p>The buildings are surrounded by landscaped gardens by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/dangar-barin-smith">Dangar Barin Smith</a>, with communal pathways leading to a pool house and shared alfresco spaces intended to support a quieter, more residential form of apartment living.</p>

<p>Interiors will feature natural materials including travertine, stone and engineered timber, alongside V-ZUG kitchen appliances, with layouts prioritising generous proportions, privacy and indoor-outdoor connection.</p>

<p>Each residence has been designed to maximise natural light while maintaining separation from neighbouring homes.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=133966 project_image_fid=352222]</p>

<p>Kew Palm House forms part of KEW’s growing Eastern Suburbs portfolio under the Positive Investment Enterprise group. It follows the completion of Kew Bondi on Bondi Road, with Kew Hillcrest in Rose Bay also currently under construction. Palm House reflects the developer’s longer-term commitment to Bellevue Hill, where opportunities for new, design-led apartment projects remain limited.</p>

<p>Kew Palm House is targeting completion in late 2027, with construction to be delivered by Harvestland Construction. KEW also has Kew Hillcrest in Rose Bay under construction, just five luxury apartments near the beach.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=133966]</p>


Staff Writer

Construction commences at Kew Palm House in Bellevue Hill

<p>Brisbane-based <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/spyre-group">Spyre Group</a> is continuing to bolster its impress SEQ development pipeline with one of its most ambitious projects to date.</p>

<p>The developer, led by Daniel Laruccia and Andrew Malouf, is planning just over 300 apartments across three towers on the prized beachfront side of Main Beach Parade in Main Beach.</p>

<p>The prized 3,344 sqm site at&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/3640-main-beach-parade-main-beach-qld-4217">3640-3642 Main Beach Parade</a> also fronts Stafford and Montgomery Avenue and will offer street-level hospitality.</p>

<p><img alt="3640 Main Beach Parade, MAIN BEACH QLD 4217" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="18bfcdb3-b958-4b20-a85b-c61e3dbf81b9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Spyre%20DA%20pers.png?VersionId=QvGNOHg6KDoScJZw2nAkvbun0DT2gUn1" /></p>

<p>The project has been designed by New Zealand-based architecture firm Monk Mackenzie, whose scheme references the fluidity of coastal forces. The smallest tower will be 37 storeys, with the other two topping out at 41 storeys. The sculptural form intends to "resonate with the site's unique peninsular position between the Coral Sea and the Broadwater."</p>

<p>The southernmost tower will have just 59 four-bedroom apartments, above two food and drinks venues. Towers two and three, the tallest, will have 125 two- and three-bedroom apartments in each.</p>

<p>“The towers stand not in opposition to the dynamic coastal landscape, but in dialogue with it,” the architects wrote in their Design Report.</p>

<p>“Like tide posts embedded in sand, they register change. The movements of water, light, air, and human circulation gather and disperse around them”.</p>

<p><img alt="3640 Main Beach Parade, MAIN BEACH QLD 4217" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="cb2f3eb7-c517-47e5-afc8-01685c658a82" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/spyre%20podium.png?VersionId=hYe0w7UBEVNY7LPcoK9PnO9myEGn_xES" /></p>

<p>The podiums of each tower will feature landscaped communal open spaces, pools, and active wellness zones with spas, saunas and gyms with outdoor areas, as well a cinema and dining spaces.</p>

<p>Spyre's application describes the site as “uniquely positioned” to accommodate such scale, noting its separation from other towers, underutilised status, and alignment with the Gold Coast’s Light Rail Urban Renewal overlay. The staging strategy allows the towers to be delivered independently. Before it's amalgamation to make it a larger site, Spyre had approved plans for MARI, a 19-storey building with 15 apartments</p>

<p><img alt="3640 Main Beach Parade, MAIN BEACH QLD 4217" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ef40ca57-1c77-4568-a8aa-91c742334bef" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/spyre%20amenities.png?VersionId=BcaHvU4UeLkabtNlqydmvkuTEyuYmpft" /></p>

<p data-end="365" data-start="88">Spyre’s wide-ranging portfolio includes Watts &amp; Wright in Bulimba, Moray House in New Farm, and ARC Residences in Toowong, all of which are approaching completion. It also includes Hampden Ltd in Melbourne’s Bayside, marking the company’s first project in Victoria’s capital.</p>

<p data-end="629" data-start="372">Spyre has previously achieved significant success on the Gold Coast, setting region-breaking records at Glass House by Spyre in Burleigh Heads, where apartments sold for $24 million and $24.54 million. Cala Dei in Coolangatta also sold out in record time.</p>

<p data-end="726" data-start="636">Spyre will soon launch Echo by Spyre, a boutique development of just nine villas in Tugun.</p>


Joel Robinson

Spyre's three-tower beachfront plans for Main Beach

<p>IPM Property is progressing plans for its third development in Mona Vale in Sydney's Northern Beaches, and its latest will be the biggest yet.</p>

<p>IPM, led by Steven Sroba and Chris Webster, has filed a State Significant Development Application to the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority for 82 apartments on a prime 6,122 sqm site stretching across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/159-167-darley-street-west-mona-vale-nsw-2103">159-167 Darley Street West</a>, opposite Bayview Golf Course and just under 800m from Mona Vale town centre.</p>

<p>They've had <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/pbd-architects">PBD Architects</a> draw up the plans for the three-building development which will offer a mix of 26 two-bedroom units and 56 three-beds with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/mim-design">Mim Design</a>.</p>

<p>According to the Design Report by PBD, the built form "responds to the site’s natural fall, solar orientation, and established vegetation, creating a layered architectural expression that balances scale, materiality, and landscape”.</p>

<p><img alt="159-167 Darley Street West, Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="44040ed2-13c6-4f18-8326-a51467cb8532" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Mona%20vale%20pers.png?VersionId=4H1gEiyyCX2yT_fYV6kAdWaaVlCttC6P" /></p>

<p>The proposal aims to maximise passive design outcomes, with the site’s northern orientation supporting solar access and cross-ventilation. Building footprints have been shaped to preserve high-retention trees and accommodate an overland flow path, which runs diagonally through the rear of the site.</p>

<p>The development includes several sustainability initiatives, such as full electrification, EV charging provisions, and generous communal open spaces integrated across the ground and rooftop levels. As outlined in the planning documents, the buildings have been stepped in both plan and elevation to reduce bulk and provide separation to adjacent dwellings, in line with the Apartment Design Guide and local controls.</p>

<p data-end="240" data-start="66">The project site falls just within the 800-metre radius covered by the NSW Government’s Low and Mid-Rise Housing Reforms, which entered their second stage in February 2025. These reforms introduce specific planning controls that significantly increase the potential for medium-density housing growth within 800 metres of the Mona Vale town centre.</p>

<p><img alt="159-167 Darley Street West, Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5df61e6d-0696-4c1e-81c2-8d3535228878" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_9.png?VersionId=vWjI2oCZhAkCPKv4xMEVLdVNkn.keD6_" /></p>

<p data-end="449" data-start="73">IPM has been active in the local market for several years. Its recent projects include Maya on Bungan Street near the town centre, a 33-apartment development completed in late 2024, and Iluka on beachfront Golf Avenue, a boutique project of just 14 apartments. Iluka set a local record in 2021 when a full-floor, three-bedroom apartment sold off the plan for $4.775 million.</p>

<p data-end="727" data-start="456">Nearby in Palm Beach, IPM is also delivering Snappermans, a collection of just five luxury apartments designed by Koichi Takada Architects, located steps from Pittwater. The developer has also recently completed Como Coogee, a 20-apartment development on Carrington Road.</p>


First look: IPM plans third Mona Vale project

<p>With demand for high-quality family homes in the inner west continuing to rise, young families are increasingly turning to new forms of multi-generational living.</p>

<p>At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/ashbury-terraces-ashbury-165-171-milton-street-ashbury-nsw-2193">Ashbury Terraces</a>, Nikki Pham and Danny Lai are among the growing number of residents choosing the precinct for its space, design integrity and strong sense of community.</p>

<p>For Nikki and Danny, purchasing a three-storey terrace was about securing a long-term home for their young family. Having spent most of their lives in the inner west, they first discovered the project while it was under construction.</p>

<p>“We walked past and had a look during the build and instantly felt the vibe. It had everything we were looking for,” said Nikki.</p>

<p>A return to green, open spaces was a major drawcard after living closer to the CBD.</p>

<p>“We like going for walks, and here it feels like a mini oasis while still being central to everything we need,” she said.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112253 project_image_fid=354944]</p>

<p>Inside, the couple were immediately drawn to the craftsmanship.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“I love the Calacatta marble and timber detailing. If I’d designed it myself, these are exactly the fittings and fixtures I would have picked,” Nikki said. “There’s actually very little I’d change.</p>

<p>“We’ve found the craftsmanship has been great and I believe the beautiful arches and curves, including on our stunning staircase, are all made by hand.”</p>

<p>Since moving in with their seven-month-old baby in mid-August, the family has been making the most of the amenities, especially the pool.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“We love using the shallow area with the baby. It’s great for kids, and the sunbeds are perfect when it’s not too hot,” Danny said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112253 project_image_fid=354939]</p>

<p>The home features kitchen, living and dining areas on the ground floor with courtyard access to the pool, two bedrooms and a study on the middle level, and a master suite on the top floor. The proximity to local parks, childcare, and schools also made it an easy choice.</p>

<p>Nikki has noticed the project is sparking interest from the extended families of new residents.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Several of our neighbour’s parents have now bought here too. It’s ideal for multi-generational living because everyone has their own space but you’re still close by.”</p>

<h2>A growing trend in the inner west</h2>

<p>Aras Labutis, Head of Urban Transformations at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/coronation-property">Coronation Property</a>, said families like Nikki and Danny’s reflect a broader shift.</p>

<p>“Ashbury Terraces was designed for families at different life stages who want to stay connected to the inner west, including multi-generational households," Labutis said.</p>

<p>"Some terraces even include lifts, which make them ideal for older residents who want to remain independent while living close to children or grandchildren."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112253 project_image_fid=354936]</p>

<p>Recent ABS data shows around one in five Australian households is now multigenerational, following a 22 per cent rise in the five years to 2021.</p>

<p>“The demand we’re seeing aligns with broader national data showing ongoing growth in multi-generational living as families look for practical, long-term solutions in well-connected suburbs.”</p>

<h2>Milton Estate launches as the precinct’s next chapter</h2>

<p>Following this strong response, Coronation is now registering expressions of interest for Milton Estate, the next evolution of the precinct. Strong sales and sustained interest in family-focused inner west homes have underpinned the decision to bring this next stage to market sooner than anticipated.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112253 project_image_fid=358839]</p>

<p>The new collection continues the same design principles, quality materials, heritage sensitivity and family-focused layouts, and its launch reflects demand from both local buyers and extended families who want to remain part of the growing community at Ashbury Terraces.</p>

<h2>A new neighbourhood taking shape</h2>

<p>Designed by award-winning architects <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, and brought to life with landscaping by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/360-degrees-landscape">360 Degrees</a>, Ashbury Terraces comprises 136 residences across five low-rise buildings, supported by amenities including a pool, gym and landscaped communal spaces.</p>

<p>For Nikki and Danny, it already feels like a place to grow for years to come.</p>

<p>“We’ve found great childcare nearby, and Ashbury Primary and Trinity Grammar are within easy reach. There are other excellent public and private school options too,” Nikki said.</p>

<p>“It’s hard to find something like this in the Inner West,” she added. “It’s certainly unique in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/ashbury-nsw-2193">Ashbury</a>. We’ve got everything we need here and it already feels like home.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112253]</p>


Ashbury Terraces proves a perfect fit for growing families and multi-generational living

<p>An exclusive collection of luxury Sky Homes featuring sweeping water views, each with their own private rooftop terrace and marina berth, are part of the latest release at Lewis Land’s visionary <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplanned community.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The Sky Homes, which sit within the Signature Collection, have been designed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;feature contemporary light-filled coastal interiors, accented by natural textures of timber and stone. The homes range from 282 sqm to 367sqm and offer three bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, three car parks, large private balconies, and their own rooftop terraces. &nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=359204]</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lewis-land-group">Lewis Land</a> Head of Development Michael Long said the three double-storey Sky Homes occupying the &nbsp;upper levels of The Waterline apartment building formed part of the masterplan’s Signature Collection of &nbsp;luxury residences. &nbsp;</p>

<p>“The exclusive Sky Homes are more than penthouses, they are double-storey homes featuring expansive living spaces and outdoor terraces,” Mr Long said.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Located on levels five and six of The Waterline, each Sky Home includes its own private marina berth with direct Broadwater access and carefully curated high-end finishes throughout.”&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=359206]</p>

<p>The launch of The Signature Collection coincides with the milestone topping out of The Waterline, the first of three residential collections being delivered in the first stage of Harbour Shores.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Residents will also have access to a private pool and other resident-only amenities including a large &nbsp;lagoon pool, social clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga and sauna facilities. &nbsp;</p>

<p>Prices for the Sky Homes start from $3.65 million. &nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=290031]</p>

<p>The Signature Collection also features The Residences, an exclusive release of six premium waterfront villas, positioned directly on the 1.2km waterfront boardwalk.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The Residences offer more than 350 sqm of contemporary living with premium finishes throughout and &nbsp;dining spaces that flow seamlessly to the outdoor entertaining area on the ground floor. Each have their own private plunge pool overlooking the water, and a private marina berth.</p>

<p>All villas include two secure car parks and residents have access to the extensive amenities within the broader precinct. Prices start from $3.05 million. &nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=290030]</p>

<p>Harbour Shores is a resort-style community focused on lifestyle and wellness where neighbourhoods &nbsp;are connected by extensive landscaping, green spaces and pedestrian networks, including a 1.2- kilometre waterfront boardwalk.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Boasting a 6 Star Green Star Communities V1.1 rating, the highest level of sustainability of any project &nbsp;on the Gold Coast, Harbour Shores will deliver more than 2,000 homes over the next decade.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Colliers is marketing Harbour Shores, and has seen significant demand from local owner-occupiers.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]</p>


Lewis Land unveils Harbour Shores’ double-storey sky homes with private marina berths

Market Correction

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<div><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">There's a lot of drivel written about the supply response in Sydney causing a serious property market correction.</span></div>
<div> </div>
<div>It really depends on what property type and locations you're talking about.<br><br>
</div>
<div>Sure, I don't doubt that some of those buying new apartments off the plan in parts of the inner south will see prices fall.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That's more or less certain to happen when the downturn phase of the cycle ticks around. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There are some other areas where the market will be flooded by new apartments too, such as around parts of North Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There's nothing new or surprising about this.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But as an owner of property in a suburb like Pyrmont - where the supply of new sites has been totally depleted - it's hard to get too excited by the babble in the media.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Prices in these parts will only be materially impacted by a lack of capacity to pay, which means very high interest rates (nah) or high unemployment (the unemployment rate in Pyrmont-Ultimo has increased from 2.8% to 2.9% over the past year).<br><br>A fair proportion of units are investor owned, of course, but in the current low interest rate environment cash flows are strong, while vacancy rates remain very low.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Capped supply</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>To be quite blunt, it has long been obvious that property prices in Pyrmont would soar. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>With the population of Greater Sydney increasing by around 84,200 or so persons per annum - give or take - the demand side of the equation more or less takes care of itself in such a prime location suburb. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As for new supply...well, there isn't any. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There is none, because there is nowhere left to build.</div>
<div>
<br>Actually, strictly speaking that's not quite true.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A <a href="/news">DA was lodged</a> to develop a few dozen apartments at 97 Pyrmont Bridge Road back in May 2013.</div>
<div>
<br>And down the road in the adjacent suburb of Ultimo there was a development application lodged in 2014 to build 50 apartments on Harris Street.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>So, there might be a very slight trickle of new supply in the area.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>But even though Harris Street is a pretty busy thoroughfare, land prices in these parts have been exploding higher over recent years, and ultimately the price of property is a derivative of the land that sits thereunder.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The 485 Harris development fetched some $63 million, equating to a price per apartment of more than $1.25 million (in Ultimo!..on Harris Street!).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>So, no, I can't say I worry too much about the supply of apartments causing a price correction in Pyrmont.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Now the South Dowling precinct on the other hand...the latest inner apartments report from BIS Shrapnel sums it up rather nicely.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/08/06/BIS.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/08/06/BIS.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Demand for apartments in Sydney from overseas investors in particular shows "little sign of abating", but there is plenty of supply due to come online in suburbs such as Zetland, Waterloo, Rosebery, Alexandria...and for that matter Mascot, Green Square et al.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Apartment completions</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Inner Sydney apartment should average around 3,100 per annum over the next few years to 2018 per BIS Shrapnel.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/08/06/BIS4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/08/06/BIS4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div>
<div>But the new supply of apartments in Sydney will be very much skewed towards the inner south and the old urban wastelands around Sydney airport.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>49% of the new inner Sydney apartments will be in the South Dowling precinct, as compared to just 1% in Pyrmont.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/08/06/BIS2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/08/06/BIS2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div><span>Or, to put that graphically:</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/08/06/BIS3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/08/06/BIS3.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Much of property investment is about common sense. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Invest in the areas where people really want to live but where there is nowhere left to build new supply. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Unfortunately too many people do precisely the opposite by investing in areas where people don't really want to live and where there are stacks of sites on which to build.</div>
<div>
<br>Same applies in Brisbane by the way!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Check out the full BIS Shrapnel report <a href="https://www.theurbandeveloper.com/wp-content/uploads/Inner-Sydney-Apartment-Market-Brief-July-2015.pdf" target="_blank">here</a>. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</body></html>

pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

A lot of drivel written about Sydney's supply response: Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<p>Every time the Australian economy delivers a lacklustre growth data just like clockwork we start hearing that we can expect another correction in real estate prices as we are now fast tracking an inevitable recession – all a distinct possibility.</p>
<p>How quickly some forget that Australia has now successfully completed a record 24 years of consecutive economic growth. As is the case in Australia where real wages are down this is a global problem where I foresee that the household sector will struggle with the declining weak wage results. This is further evident with the data release this week identifying GDP growth for 2014/15 came in at 2.4% and nominal GDP growth at 1.8% for the 2014/15 financial year, which is the weakest growth in nominal GDP since 1961/62.</p>
<p>As a result of the wages decline what is even more alarming is when one examines stock levels we are witnessing the lowest ever levels despite a record low cash rate. For example, Mosman has 5,890 houses with just 63 on the market today which represents 1.069% of properties on the market and which is also quite common for the vast majority of Sydney suburbs.</p>
<p>Too many are sugar – coating the Sydney property market by focusing on the Sydney median house price, which keeps increasing, and not looking at the grass – roots property market by analysing individual niche market performances which paints an entirely different proposition. When you have individual property markets posting record low stock levels it’s hardly likely we will see significant price growth which is exactly what we are seeing today.</p>
<p>The reality being in Mosman is that presently we have 1.069% of vendors on the market with the remaining 98.931% of property owners not wanting to sell despite a record low cash rate that will almost certainly go lower in 2016. Much of the problem relates solely to job security where individual households are refusing to take on more debt which then has the markets flatlining.</p>
<p>Going on past market corrections which were brought about by unprecedented high turnover of properties by households which has not been the case in the majority of instances. We have seen unusual high turnover of properties by investors to the extent that we are now seeing parity being reached between tenants and investors in terms of rent. That’s good news for those renting given it appears that rental growth has peaked in Sydney where in some cases we are now seeing an oversupply of properties for rent.</p>
<p>This is a positive for the economy given the general rule of thumb is one – third rent, the next third own with a mortgage and the final third own with no mortgage. So it appears now that the Sydney investor market has peaked and we can now expect to see some tapering of prices as investors chase new market opportunities. Brisbane is the stand – out so we expect to see investors jumping all over that market from here on. In the perfect property world this is exactly how investor machinations should operate with Sydney and Melbourne peaking and entering re – calibration mode.</p>
<p>Another interesting thing to look out for is the Sydney vacancy rate which we expect to see grow significantly given the enormous investor movements across Sydney. We can also expect to see some investors flipping investment properties by taking their profits and then re – investing in the new growth markets where depending on when they bought into the market there have been very strong capital appreciation generated.</p>
<p>When the Australian economy produces a poor report card this then forces our elected politicians to concentrate on the much needed reforms that must be implemented as we are now twelve months out from the next Federal Election.</p>
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 80</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 65</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this week – 66</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 61</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 42</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this week – 49</p>
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 5</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 4</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this week – 4</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 15</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 18</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this week – 19</p>
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
<p>• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 10</p>
<p>• Number of houses on the market last week – 2</p>
<p>•Number of houses on the market this week – 5</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 29</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market last week – 30</p>
<p>• Number of apartments on the market this week – 35</p>
<p>For this week’s sales in Cremorne real estate, Cremorne Point real estate, Mosman real estate, Beauty Point real estate, Clifton Gardens real estate, Balmoral real estate, Neutral Bay real estate, Cammeray real estate.</p>
<p><em><span>ROBERT SIMEON</span> is a director of </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> </em><em>and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. <br>He has also been writing real estate blog </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> </em><em>since 2000. </em></p>
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Why property markets just got a lot more interesting: Robert Simeon

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<p>The latest CoreLogic home value data shows the national housing market moving out of its correction, led by Sydney and Melbourne, according to Moody's Analytics.</p>
<p>The national index for home values has fallen for almost two years but now house values have begung to rise starting in the September quarter.</p>
<p>National house values are on track to fall by 7% in 2019, before rising by 5.4% in 2020. Apartment values are forecast to fall by 3.8% in 2019, before rising by 5.1% in 2020.</p>
<p>The RBA has reduced the cash rate by 75 basis points so far this year to 0.75% and a further 25-basis point reduction is expected for early 2020, according to Moody's Analytics.</p>
<p>Katrina Ell, Economist at Moody’s Analytics said that for 2019 and 2020 Moody's has individual City and state forecasts, "drilling into the details, house values across Sydney are on track to fall by 8.4% in 2019, before a forecast 7.7% expansion in 2020. Apartment values are set to decline by 5.9% in 2019, followed by a forecast 7.9% expansion in 2020."</p>
<p>"House values began rising from July, while apartment values began improving from June."</p>
<p>"House values in Melbourne are set to fall by 9.2% in 2019, building on the modest 0.3% decline in 2018. Like Sydney, the correction has largely passed and house values are forecast to rise by 7% in 2020 and a further 7.8% in 2021," she said.</p>
<p>"House values in Brisbane will see a modest full-year correction in 2019, with values estimated to fall by 1.8%, with particular weakness in South Brisbane house values. A relatively mild correction is forecast for apartment values in 2019, with a 1.3% forecast decline in 2019, following a 1% fall in 2018. This year is predicted to be the worst for Brisbane’s apartment market before it transitions to a projected 5.4% rise in 2020."</p>
<p>"House values in Perth will likely decline 7.8% in 2019, followed by a further 0.7% decline in 2020. Meanwhile, Adelaide’s housing market will continue its stable run, with house values forecast to fall by a modest 0.5% in 2019 after a 1.9% gain in 2018."</p>
<p>"House values in Hobart are on track to grow by 4.1% in 2019 and a further 1% in 2020. Similarly, the Hobart apartment market will likely decelerate from 12.2% growth in 2018 to 2.7% in 2019, before a small 0.4% drop is forecast for 2020."</p>
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The housing market correction has passed: Moody's Analytics

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<p><span><span>EXPERT OBSERVATION</span></span></p>
<p><span><span>While Sydney and Melbourne remain at the centre of the current housing correction there are some significant differences between the two, in terms of the timing, scale and spread of price declines.</span></span></p>
<p><span><span>Melbourne’s price correction started later in the piece but has gathered pace since mid-2018. Prices are now down 8.7% from their peak but have been tracking closer to a 10%+ annual pace of decline over the last 6mths.</span></span></p>
<p><span><span>Notably, the price correction has shown much bigger differences across segments and tiers. For Sydney, there is about a 4ppt wedge between price declines across houses and units, and across different market tiers. For Melbourne, it’s a much larger 8-12pt wedge with units and bottom tier areas holding up much better (indeed, prices across the bottom 25% properties are essentially flat).</span></span></p>
<p><span><span>This theme is also apparent across sub-regions. The big movers over the second half of 2018 were Melbourne’s Inner East and Inner South, with the Inner City and West holding up considerably better. Prices are also performing better across the regional Victoria.</span></span></p>
<p><span><span>Some of this difference may relate to differences in the supply-demand balance across part of Melbourne. Overall, the city’s rental market remains tight with vacancy rates holding around 2%. However, parts of the city are seeing a significant surge in apartment completions, from around 10k a year mid-decade to 17-18k a year currently. </span></span></p>
<p><span><span>Meanwhile, rental vacancy rates are extremely tight across Victoria’s regions, having fallen from 2% in late 2017 to just 1.2% in early 2019. This in turn suggests the uneven performance is likely to continue.</span></span></p>
<p><img src="https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/image/Housing_Pulse/Housing_Pulse_Bites/2019-02/Housing-pulse-bite-2019-02-6.jpg" alt="">  </p>
<p><em>MATTHEW HASSAN is a Senior Economist for Westpac</em></p>
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Melbourne's uneven price correction: Matthew Hassan

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<p>One of the world's largest fund management groups has disputed suggestions about a collapse of the Australian residential property market.</p>
<p>Vanguard, which has $7 trillion under management globally, claims slowing residential property market is unlikely to turn into a sharp downturn that could derail economic growth. </p>
<p>Vanguard says there is only a low risk of a sharp correction.</p>
<p>The US funds house conducted an in-depth analysis of four of the world’s largest and most developed housing markets.</p>
<p>It found that Australia and Canada stood out because of their high cost of housing and high levels of household debt, even compared to the US and Britain.</p>
<p>The house price to income ratio in Australia for the quartile is the highest ever, while household debt to GDP is ­approaching an all-time high of 122%.</p>
<p>Vanguard determined that Australia’s housing market rally had “exceeded expectations” ­beyond traditional measures of housing demand versus supply, interest rates and foreign investment.</p>
<p>However, the fund manager’s economists considered there was a low risk of falls causing a ­recession in all markets studied, including Australia.</p>
<p>“A big unknown is how households deal with their high debt given the slow income growth in Australia, however, and this will be a large factor in what transpires in Australia’s housing market,” Vanguard economist Matthew Tufano said.</p>
<p>“However, the large pipeline of housing — mostly apartments — coming into the market in Australia could effect a more gradual moderation in house prices, rather than a sharp ­correction.”</p>
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